History: 2008

Every completed season since 2006, on one scale. CASE+ measures each team, game and player against its own season: 100 is that year's average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. A 130 in 2007 and a 130 in 2023 mean the same thing.

All-time 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Teams

#	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Net yds	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	BAL	11–5	115	+0.130	+41.2	+0.114	+141.0	385	244	+1,012	−0.039	12.5	0.94	0.66
2	TEN	13–3	113	+0.110	+38.3	+0.108	+141.0	375	234	+321	−0.024	11.8	0.87	0.69
3	ATL	11–5	113	+0.108	+37.1	+0.054	+69.8	391	325	+221	+0.047	11.1	0.93	0.67
4	NYG	12–4	113	+0.108	+38.7	+0.101	+134.0	427	294	+1,023	+0.069	11.9	0.90	0.69
5	CAR	12–4	109	+0.077	+24.5	+0.069	+86.0	414	329	+294	+0.029	10.4	1.18	0.69
6	PHI	9.5–6.5	109	+0.075	+26.1	+0.098	+128.9	416	289	+1,217	−0.027	10.3	1.02	0.69
7	PIT	12–4	108	+0.070	+25.2	+0.098	+122.2	347	223	+1,200	−0.042	10.5	1.06	0.77
8	NE	11–5	108	+0.065	+22.8	+0.068	+97.2	410	309	+907	+0.078	10.3	0.83	0.66
9	MIA	11–5	107	+0.060	+19.6	+0.023	+27.0	345	317	+271	+0.044	10.4	1.23	0.76
10	CHI	9–7	105	+0.044	+15.7	+0.014	+19.3	375	350	−621	−0.083	8.5	1.13	0.70
11	NYJ	9–7*	105	+0.042	+13.5	+0.037	+44.3	405	356	+28	+0.006	8.2	1.10	0.69
12	IND	12–4	105	+0.039	+13.3	+0.065	+80.0	377	298	+393	+0.076	8.9	0.97	0.73
13	SD	8–8	104	+0.032	+7.4	+0.085	+93.9	439	347	−20	+0.116	7.2	1.37	0.70
14	MIN	10–6	103	+0.024	+8.6	+0.036	+46.0	379	333	+607	−0.075	9.0	1.16	0.73
15	TB	9–7	103	+0.021	+7.6	+0.026	+32.3	361	323	+558	−0.053	8.2	1.20	0.74
16	NO	8–8	102	+0.018	+8.0	+0.053	+72.9	463	393	+1,139	+0.081	9.2	1.05	0.70
17	GB	6–10	102	+0.012	+4.9	+0.032	+41.9	419	380	+267	+0.025	7.9	1.24	0.74
18	ARI	9–7	102	+0.012	+4.2	−0.001	−1.9	427	426	+548	+0.014	9.3	0.81	0.58
19	DAL	9–7	101	+0.008	+2.5	−0.003	−4.0	362	365	+803	−0.044	8.4	0.99	0.67
20	HOU	8–8	101	+0.003	+1.5	−0.024	−25.1	366	394	+723	+0.004	9.0	1.26	0.69
21	WAS	8–8	98	−0.016	−5.9	−0.021	−28.2	265	296	+499	−0.079	7.6	1.00	0.76
22	DEN	8–8	95	−0.043	−12.6	−0.063	−77.0	370	448	+330	+0.067	6.5	1.00	0.70
23	BUF	7–9*	95	−0.049	−15.7	+0.002	+2.5	336	342	−320	−0.048	5.7	1.11	0.74
24	SF	7–9	94	−0.052	−18.3	−0.030	−40.9	339	381	−236	−0.061	5.7	1.10	0.69
25	CIN	4.5–11.5	91	−0.077	−25.8	−0.126	−160.0	204	364	−1,275	−0.172	5.2	0.90	0.68
26	JAX	5–11	91	−0.082	−26.7	−0.057	−66.9	302	367	−206	−0.026	4.4	1.07	0.73
27	SEA	4–12	90	−0.092	−31.3	−0.074	−99.9	294	392	−1,663	−0.059	4.6	0.89	0.65
28	CLE	4–12	89	−0.095	−33.0	−0.097	−119.0	232	350	−1,719	−0.142	5.3	1.11	0.73
29	KC	2–14	89	−0.101	−34.5	−0.115	−149.0	291	440	−1,352	−0.064	5.3	1.14	0.68
30	OAK	5–11	88	−0.104	−32.5	−0.098	−124.0	263	388	−1,422	−0.119	6.5	0.96	0.64
31	STL	2–14	80	−0.174	−50.6	−0.183	−234.0	232	465	−1,347	−0.167	4.1	0.92	0.60
32	DET	0–16	72	−0.247	−73.8	−0.196	−250.0	268	517	−2,180	−0.130	0.9	0.79	0.62

#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Net yds	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	10	NYJ	STL	W 47–3	142	+1.290	+8.3	+0.638	+43.6	+173	+0.254	100%	0.24	0.25
2	13	TEN	DET	W 47–10	133	+1.023	+8.0	+0.473	+37.4	+302	+0.215	100%	0.28	0.26
3	15	MIN	ARI	W 35–14	132	+0.977	+8.8	+0.286	+22.4	+80	+0.037	100%	0.55	0.33
4	9	ATL	OAK	W 24–0	129	+0.896	+8.0	+0.489	+25.4	+376	+0.103	100%	0.27	0.32
5	16	NE	ARI	W 47–7	129	+0.893	+6.9	+0.467	+38.6	+328	+0.212	100%	0.19	0.24
6	14	SD	OAK	W 34–7	125	+0.780	+7.7	+0.345	+26.6	+209	+0.162	100%	0.34	0.33
7	15	NE	OAK	W 49–26	124	+0.740	+8.9	+0.258	+23.4	+153	+0.298	100%	0.45	0.34
8	11	SF	STL	W 35–16	124	+0.736	+6.4	+0.199	+17.6	−72	+0.086	100%	0.22	0.30
9	5	NYG	SEA	W 44–6	124	+0.726	+6.4	+0.470	+36.6	+336	+0.414	100%	0.20	0.34
10	5	CAR	KC	W 34–0	123	+0.695	+7.0	+0.464	+33.6	+314	+0.081	100%	0.27	0.36
11	2	ARI	MIA	W 31–10	122	+0.693	+6.2	+0.257	+19.6	+209	+0.322	100%	0.23	0.31
12	12	CHI	STL	W 27–3	122	+0.684	+7.9	+0.322	+25.4	+127	−0.016	100%	0.33	0.38
13	1	PIT	HOU	W 38–17	122	+0.684	+6.5	+0.261	+19.6	+71	+0.123	100%	0.31	0.33
14	6	IND	BAL	W 31–3	122	+0.683	+6.5	+0.342	+26.6	+74	+0.086	100%	0.20	0.32
15	1	PHI	STL	W 38–3	122	+0.671	+6.8	+0.444	+34.6	+356	+0.280	100%	0.26	0.33
16	9	NYG	DAL	W 35–14	121	+0.658	+7.3	+0.286	+20.6	+136	−0.037	100%	0.56	0.44
17	4	NYJ	ARI	W 56–35	120	+0.608	+7.0	+0.237	+20.6	−95	+0.192	100%	0.58	0.33
18	13	DAL	SEA	W 34–9	119	+0.591	+6.7	+0.304	+24.6	+125	+0.239	100%	0.30	0.37
19	17	PHI	DAL	W 44–6	118	+0.541	+7.2	+0.474	+37.6	+5	+0.088	100%	0.35	0.44
20	17	IND	TEN	W 23–0	117	+0.535	+5.9	+0.366	+22.6	+265	+0.138	100%	0.23	0.48

#	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Yards	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	ATL	11–5	119	+0.157	+53.0	+0.105	+135.3	391	325	5,779	+0.047	11.1	0.93	0.67
2	NYG	12–4	114	+0.124	+44.1	+0.102	+135.2	427	294	5,695	+0.069	11.9	0.90	0.69
3	NE	11–5	114	+0.123	+40.6	+0.113	+151.3	410	309	5,848	+0.078	10.3	0.83	0.66
4	IND	12–4	114	+0.122	+41.9	+0.113	+139.0	377	298	5,368	+0.076	8.9	0.97	0.73
5	SD	8–8	114	+0.122	+38.8	+0.139	+166.1	439	347	5,579	+0.116	7.2	1.37	0.70
6	MIA	11–5	112	+0.111	+38.8	+0.080	+98.2	345	317	5,519	+0.044	10.4	1.23	0.76
7	DEN	8–8	110	+0.101	+35.6	+0.096	+124.8	370	448	6,333	+0.067	6.5	1.00	0.70
8	NO	8–8	110	+0.099	+35.9	+0.119	+159.4	463	393	6,571	+0.081	9.2	1.05	0.70
9	CAR	12–4	108	+0.090	+29.1	+0.063	+77.4	414	329	5,593	+0.029	10.4	1.18	0.69
10	HOU	8–8	108	+0.085	+28.5	+0.052	+66.6	366	394	6,113	+0.004	9.0	1.26	0.69
11	GB	6–10	106	+0.074	+27.7	+0.063	+82.4	419	380	5,618	+0.025	7.9	1.24	0.74
12	ARI	9–7	104	+0.065	+19.0	+0.052	+67.2	427	426	5,852	+0.014	9.3	0.81	0.58
13	NYJ	9–7*	102	+0.049	+15.7	+0.063	+75.3	405	356	5,006	+0.006	8.2	1.10	0.69
14	TEN	13–3	101	+0.044	+14.5	+0.039	+48.9	375	234	5,019	−0.024	11.8	0.87	0.69
15	CHI	9–7	99	+0.029	+10.3	−0.001	−1.7	375	350	4,734	−0.083	8.5	1.13	0.70
16	DAL	9–7	97	+0.020	+6.4	+0.008	+10.0	362	365	5,512	−0.044	8.4	0.99	0.67
17	PHI	9.5–6.5	97	+0.020	+6.9	+0.016	+20.8	416	289	5,606	−0.027	10.3	1.02	0.69
18	BAL	11–5	97	+0.019	+6.5	+0.009	+11.8	385	244	5,189	−0.039	12.5	0.94	0.66
19	BUF	7–9*	96	+0.017	+5.7	+0.028	+32.2	336	342	4,590	−0.048	5.7	1.11	0.74
20	JAX	5–11	96	+0.012	+4.2	+0.009	+11.8	302	367	5,089	−0.026	4.4	1.07	0.73
21	MIN	10–6	95	+0.008	+3.0	−0.002	−3.0	379	333	5,285	−0.075	9.0	1.16	0.73
22	KC	2–14	95	+0.008	+2.5	−0.006	−7.6	291	440	4,939	−0.064	5.3	1.14	0.68
23	TB	9–7	95	+0.007	+2.5	−0.001	−0.8	361	323	5,456	−0.053	8.2	1.20	0.74
24	SF	7–9	94	+0.004	+1.4	+0.010	+12.9	339	381	4,978	−0.061	5.7	1.10	0.69
25	SEA	4–12	94	+0.004	+1.1	+0.003	+3.4	294	392	4,385	−0.059	4.6	0.89	0.65
26	WAS	8–8	92	−0.010	−3.8	−0.026	−33.4	265	296	5,120	−0.079	7.6	1.00	0.76
27	PIT	12–4	91	−0.014	−5.2	−0.003	−3.6	347	223	4,991	−0.042	10.5	1.06	0.77
28	CLE	4–12	88	−0.035	−11.9	−0.068	−82.5	232	350	3,985	−0.142	5.3	1.11	0.73
29	DET	0–16	86	−0.047	−13.7	−0.037	−45.6	268	517	4,283	−0.130	0.9	0.79	0.62
30	OAK	5–11	85	−0.054	−16.0	−0.052	−63.7	263	388	4,353	−0.119	6.5	0.96	0.64
31	STL	2–14	84	−0.057	−17.0	−0.095	−123.3	232	465	4,593	−0.167	4.1	0.92	0.60
32	CIN	4.5–11.5	83	−0.066	−22.1	−0.103	−131.0	204	364	3,926	−0.172	5.2	0.90	0.68

#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Yards	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	5	NYG	SEA	W 44–6	137	+0.778	+6.9	+0.393	+31.0	523	+0.414	100%	0.20	0.34
2	13	TEN	DET	W 47–10	133	+0.700	+5.2	+0.223	+19.4	456	+0.215	100%	0.28	0.26
3	15	NE	OAK	W 49–26	130	+0.642	+7.9	+0.356	+31.7	487	+0.298	100%	0.45	0.34
4	2	ARI	MIA	W 31–10	129	+0.615	+5.5	+0.320	+24.3	445	+0.322	100%	0.23	0.31
5	11	SF	STL	W 35–16	126	+0.564	+3.9	+0.111	+8.8	334	+0.086	100%	0.22	0.30
6	16	NO	DET	W 42–7	126	+0.548	+7.9	+0.430	+34.9	532	+0.461	100%	0.23	0.43
7	1	ATL	DET	W 34–21	125	+0.542	+6.2	+0.281	+19.6	474	+0.270	100%	0.41	0.47
8	17	SD	DEN	W 52–21	125	+0.537	+7.9	+0.475	+38.9	491	+0.487	100%	0.35	0.44
9	13	DAL	SEA	W 34–9	124	+0.523	+5.9	+0.234	+18.5	447	+0.239	100%	0.30	0.37
10	9	ATL	OAK	W 24–0	123	+0.490	+5.9	+0.051	+4.8	453	+0.103	100%	0.27	0.32
11	1	PHI	STL	W 38–3	122	+0.478	+5.0	+0.205	+17.8	522	+0.280	100%	0.26	0.33
12	14	SD	OAK	W 34–7	122	+0.470	+5.2	+0.173	+14.9	372	+0.162	100%	0.34	0.33
13	3	MIA	NE	W 38–13	122	+0.469	+6.5	+0.357	+26.1	461	+0.415	100%	0.37	0.54
14	16	NE	ARI	W 47–7	122	+0.468	+3.7	+0.192	+18.9	514	+0.212	100%	0.19	0.24
15	10	NYJ	STL	W 47–3	121	+0.464	+3.9	+0.210	+16.2	373	+0.254	100%	0.24	0.25
16	12	NO	GB	W 51–29	121	+0.452	+8.3	+0.378	+27.6	416	+0.258	99%	0.54	0.59
17	7	HOU	DET	W 28–21	120	+0.441	+6.0	+0.215	+18.3	404	+0.213	100%	0.40	0.41
18	1	PIT	HOU	W 38–17	119	+0.420	+3.9	+0.146	+10.7	305	+0.123	100%	0.31	0.33
19	3	SEA	STL	W 37–13	119	+0.411	+5.8	+0.300	+25.8	407	+0.260	100%	0.37	0.39
20	Post	ARI	PHI	W 32–25	118	+0.392	+7.4	+0.271	+20.8	369	+0.197	99%	1.00	0.63

#	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Yds allowed	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	BAL	11–5	123	−0.112	−34.6	−0.105	−129.2	385	244	4,177	−0.039	12.5	0.94	0.66
2	PIT	12–4	119	−0.084	−30.4	−0.101	−125.8	347	223	3,791	−0.042	10.5	1.06	0.77
3	TEN	13–3	116	−0.067	−23.8	−0.069	−92.1	375	234	4,698	−0.024	11.8	0.87	0.69
4	PHI	9.5–6.5	114	−0.055	−19.2	−0.083	−108.1	416	289	4,389	−0.027	10.3	1.02	0.69
5	MIN	10–6	109	−0.016	−5.6	−0.039	−49.0	379	333	4,678	−0.075	9.0	1.16	0.73
6	CHI	9–7	108	−0.015	−5.4	−0.015	−20.9	375	350	5,355	−0.083	8.5	1.13	0.70
7	TB	9–7	108	−0.014	−5.0	−0.027	−33.0	361	323	4,898	−0.053	8.2	1.20	0.74
8	WAS	8–8	105	+0.006	+2.1	−0.004	−5.2	265	296	4,621	−0.079	7.6	1.00	0.76
9	NYJ	9–7*	105	+0.007	+2.1	+0.025	+31.0	405	356	4,978	+0.006	8.2	1.10	0.69
10	CIN	4.5–11.5	104	+0.011	+3.7	+0.023	+29.0	204	364	5,201	−0.172	5.2	0.90	0.68
11	DAL	9–7	104	+0.011	+3.9	+0.011	+14.0	362	365	4,709	−0.044	8.4	0.99	0.67
12	CAR	12–4	104	+0.013	+4.7	−0.006	−8.5	414	329	5,299	+0.029	10.4	1.18	0.69
13	NYG	12–4	104	+0.017	+5.4	+0.001	+1.3	427	294	4,672	+0.069	11.9	0.90	0.69
14	ATL	11–5	99	+0.049	+15.9	+0.051	+65.5	391	325	5,558	+0.047	11.1	0.93	0.67
15	OAK	5–11	99	+0.051	+16.6	+0.045	+60.3	263	388	5,775	−0.119	6.5	0.96	0.64
16	MIA	11–5	98	+0.051	+19.2	+0.057	+71.2	345	317	5,248	+0.044	10.4	1.23	0.76
17	ARI	9–7	98	+0.053	+14.8	+0.053	+69.1	427	426	5,304	+0.014	9.3	0.81	0.58
18	SF	7–9	98	+0.057	+19.8	+0.040	+53.9	339	381	5,214	−0.061	5.7	1.10	0.69
19	NE	11–5	97	+0.058	+17.8	+0.045	+54.2	410	309	4,941	+0.078	10.3	0.83	0.66
20	CLE	4–12	97	+0.060	+21.0	+0.029	+36.5	232	350	5,704	−0.142	5.3	1.11	0.73
21	GB	6–10	97	+0.062	+22.8	+0.031	+40.5	419	380	5,351	+0.025	7.9	1.24	0.74
22	BUF	7–9*	96	+0.066	+21.3	+0.025	+29.7	336	342	4,910	−0.048	5.7	1.11	0.74
23	NO	8–8	94	+0.081	+27.9	+0.066	+86.5	463	393	5,432	+0.081	9.2	1.05	0.70
24	HOU	8–8	94	+0.082	+27.1	+0.075	+91.7	366	394	5,390	+0.004	9.0	1.26	0.69
25	IND	12–4	94	+0.083	+28.6	+0.048	+59.0	377	298	4,975	+0.076	8.9	0.97	0.73
26	SD	8–8	93	+0.089	+31.5	+0.054	+72.2	439	347	5,599	+0.116	7.2	1.37	0.70
27	JAX	5–11	92	+0.094	+30.9	+0.066	+78.7	302	367	5,295	−0.026	4.4	1.07	0.73
28	SEA	4–12	92	+0.096	+32.4	+0.077	+103.4	294	392	6,048	−0.059	4.6	0.89	0.65
29	KC	2–14	90	+0.109	+37.0	+0.108	+141.4	291	440	6,291	−0.064	5.3	1.14	0.68
30	STL	2–14	89	+0.117	+33.7	+0.087	+110.6	232	465	5,940	−0.167	4.1	0.92	0.60
31	DEN	8–8	85	+0.143	+48.2	+0.160	+201.8	370	448	6,003	+0.067	6.5	1.00	0.70
32	DET	0–16	76	+0.200	+60.0	+0.159	+204.4	268	517	6,463	−0.130	0.9	0.79	0.62

#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Yds allowed	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	10	NYJ	STL	W 47–3	143	−0.826	−4.4	−0.428	−27.4	200	+0.254	100%	0.24	0.25
2	15	MIN	ARI	W 35–14	141	−0.777	−6.6	−0.263	−20.5	316	+0.037	100%	0.55	0.33
3	9	NYG	DAL	W 35–14	130	−0.566	−5.8	−0.287	−20.7	183	−0.037	100%	0.56	0.44
4	4	NYJ	ARI	W 56–35	128	−0.525	−6.1	−0.037	−3.6	468	+0.192	100%	0.58	0.33
5	6	TB	CAR	W 27–3	124	−0.435	−5.9	−0.320	−23.6	282	+0.047	100%	0.33	0.43
6	5	CAR	KC	W 34–0	123	−0.428	−3.2	−0.369	−25.4	127	+0.081	100%	0.27	0.36
7	16	NE	ARI	W 47–7	123	−0.425	−3.2	−0.274	−19.8	186	+0.212	100%	0.19	0.24
8	12	BAL	PHI	W 36–7	123	−0.418	−9.6	−0.374	−31.4	206	−0.096	100%	1.00	0.74
9	9	ATL	OAK	W 24–0	122	−0.406	−2.1	−0.437	−20.6	77	+0.103	100%	0.27	0.32
10	6	IND	BAL	W 31–3	122	−0.398	−3.6	−0.217	−16.7	260	+0.086	100%	0.20	0.32
11	14	BAL	WAS	W 24–10	120	−0.370	−5.8	−0.252	−20.9	254	−0.161	100%	0.43	0.47
12	16	CIN	CLE	W 14–0	120	−0.367	−5.6	−0.358	−24.3	182	−0.179	100%	0.61	0.56
13	7	TB	SEA	W 20–10	119	−0.352	−4.1	−0.164	−8.9	176	−0.015	100%	0.42	0.48
14	12	MIN	JAX	W 30–12	119	−0.345	−7.2	−0.221	−18.8	321	+0.003	97%	0.60	0.59
15	10	CAR	OAK	W 17–6	119	−0.336	−8.6	−0.287	−27.8	259	−0.299	84%	0.91	0.67
16	12	CHI	STL	W 27–3	119	−0.334	−4.1	−0.290	−22.9	207	−0.016	100%	0.33	0.38
17	5	CHI	DET	W 34–7	119	−0.334	−4.4	−0.231	−17.5	185	+0.085	100%	0.34	0.48
18	13	HOU	JAX	W 30–17	118	−0.333	−5.3	−0.068	−5.7	388	−0.009	100%	0.49	0.49
19	13	TEN	DET	W 47–10	118	−0.323	−2.8	−0.250	−18.0	154	+0.215	100%	0.28	0.26
20	1	BAL	CIN	W 17–10	117	−0.313	−6.2	−0.288	−19.6	154	−0.204	100%	0.87	0.67

Ranked by CASE+ of Contested CASE per play. For Allowed, CASE+ is flipped, so above 100 is always better. Records are regular season; games include the playoffs, marked.

Exp. wins: how many games a team that played this way usually wins. Win exp.: the same for one game. Off. EPA: the offense's EPA per play. Post: a playoff game.

12 games since 2006 aren't scored, because their play-by-play doesn't add up to the final score. CASE only reports games it can reconcile exactly. A * marks a team missing one.

Players

#	Player	Team	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Passing
#	Player	Team	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Att	Yds	Y/A	TD	INT
1	M.Ryan	ATL	119	+0.268	+32.7	+0.167	+75.5	+0.133	+59.9	434	3,440	7.9	16	11
2	P.Manning	IND	115	+0.228	+37.1	+0.212	+121.0	+0.232	+132.4	555	4,002	7.2	27	12
3	K.Warner	ARI	113	+0.205	+30.1	+0.148	+93.1	+0.145	+91.3	599	4,582	7.6	30	14
4	J.Cutler	DEN	113	+0.199	+33.7	+0.166	+104.0	+0.171	+107.3	616	4,525	7.3	25	18
5	C.Pennington	MIA	112	+0.195	+28.9	+0.158	+78.7	+0.180	+90.0	476	3,653	7.7	19	7
6	P.Rivers	SD	112	+0.186	+26.0	+0.224	+113.9	+0.238	+120.7	478	4,004	8.4	34	11
7	D.Brees	NO	111	+0.183	+32.7	+0.235	+152.8	+0.236	+153.3	635	5,069	8.0	34	17
8	M.Cassel	NE	110	+0.164	+23.8	+0.126	+71.0	+0.129	+72.7	518	3,693	7.1	21	11
9	A.Rodgers	GB	110	+0.163	+26.6	+0.148	+84.8	+0.140	+80.0	536	4,038	7.5	28	13
10	E.Manning	NYG	107	+0.136	+19.6	+0.099	+50.1	+0.091	+46.4	479	3,238	6.8	21	10
11	M.Schaub	HOU	106	+0.118	+13.0	+0.065	+26.4	+0.048	+19.5	380	3,043	8.0	15	10
12	T.Romo	DAL	104	+0.102	+12.7	+0.090	+42.4	+0.074	+34.8	451	3,448	7.6	26	14
13	S.Hill	SF	102	+0.082	+6.3	+0.070	+21.7	+0.066	+20.4	288	2,046	7.1	13	8
14	K.Collins	TEN	102	+0.079	+10.0	+0.058	+24.8	+0.036	+15.1	416	2,681	6.4	12	7
15	J.Delhomme	CAR	102	+0.073	+8.6	+0.072	+31.1	+0.064	+27.6	414	3,284	7.9	15	12
16	D.McNabb	PHI	100	+0.059	+10.1	+0.087	+52.1	+0.088	+52.3	571	3,914	6.9	23	11
17	J.Garcia	TB	100	+0.055	+6.1	+0.049	+19.7	+0.066	+26.6	377	2,712	7.2	12	6
18	S.Wallace	SEA	100	+0.050	+3.5	+0.034	+8.6	+0.041	+10.5	242	1,532	6.3	11	3
19	J.Campbell	WAS	98	+0.031	+4.8	−0.011	−6.1	−0.044	−23.8	506	3,245	6.4	13	6
20	K.Orton	CHI	98	+0.027	+3.7	−0.029	−14.1	−0.073	−36.3	466	2,979	6.4	18	12
21	B.Favre	NYJ	97	+0.016	+2.3	+0.040	+21.3	+0.018	+9.6	522	3,472	6.7	22	22
22	T.Thigpen	KC	96	+0.015	+1.7	−0.031	−13.8	−0.046	−20.9	420	2,608	6.2	18	12
23	T.Edwards	BUF	95	0.000	0.0	+0.044	+15.6	+0.033	+11.8	374	2,699	7.2	11	10
24	J.Flacco	BAL	95	0.000	−0.1	−0.012	−5.7	−0.049	−22.6	428	2,971	6.9	14	12
25	D.Garrard	JAX	95	−0.004	−0.6	−0.010	−5.7	0.000	0.0	535	3,620	6.8	15	13
26	B.Roethlisberger	PIT	95	−0.004	−0.7	−0.017	−8.9	−0.031	−16.3	470	3,314	7.1	17	15
27	D.Anderson	CLE	91	−0.052	−4.7	−0.067	−20.1	−0.084	−25.3	283	1,615	5.7	9	8
28	D.Orlovsky	DET	89	−0.068	−4.1	−0.058	−15.8	−0.097	−26.2	255	1,616	6.3	8	8
29	J.Russell	OAK	89	−0.070	−6.5	−0.100	−39.8	−0.149	−59.2	367	2,423	6.6	13	8
30	G.Frerotte	MIN	89	−0.072	−6.8	−0.077	−25.4	−0.116	−38.4	301	2,157	7.2	12	15
31	R.Fitzpatrick	CIN	87	−0.094	−9.9	−0.157	−64.7	−0.193	−79.4	372	1,905	5.1	8	9
32	M.Hasselbeck	SEA	86	−0.103	−5.4	−0.151	−34.7	−0.181	−41.5	209	1,216	5.8	5	10
33	M.Bulger	STL	86	−0.109	−11.4	−0.163	−78.2	−0.193	−92.8	441	2,727	6.2	11	13
34	J.O'Sullivan	SF	78	−0.197	−13.1	−0.183	−46.3	−0.232	−58.6	220	1,678	7.6	8	11

#	Player	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Passing
#	Player	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Att	Yds	Y/A	TD	INT
1	K.Warner	2	ARI	MIA	146	+1.757	+6.0	+0.901	+23.4	+0.943	+24.5	24	361	15.0	3	0
2	P.Rivers	14	SD	OAK	142	+1.600	+3.1	+0.752	+16.5	+0.680	+15.0	22	214	9.7	3	0
3	S.Hill	11	SF	STL	135	+1.363	+2.5	+0.456	+10.0	+0.528	+11.6	20	213	10.7	2	0
4	E.Manning	5	NYG	SEA	129	+1.125	+4.3	+0.609	+15.8	+0.537	+14.0	25	267	10.7	2	0
5	D.McNabb	1	PHI	STL	126	+1.018	+5.7	+0.560	+18.5	+0.549	+18.1	33	361	10.9	3	0
6	M.Ryan	9	ATL	OAK	126	+1.010	+3.8	+0.292	+7.3	+0.369	+9.2	22	220	10.0	2	0
7	J.Cutler	1	DEN	OAK	126	+1.007	+5.6	+0.882	+21.2	+0.991	+23.8	24	299	12.5	2	0
8	M.Cassel	15	NE	OAK	125	+0.985	+4.9	+0.432	+13.8	+0.459	+14.7	30	218	7.3	4	1
9	K.Warner	Post	ARI	PHI	122	+0.879	+6.7	+0.657	+20.4	+0.628	+19.5	28	279	10.0	4	0
10	B.Favre	10	NYJ	STL	121	+0.821	+2.4	+0.544	+10.3	+0.516	+9.8	19	167	8.8	1	0
11	T.Romo	1	DAL	CLE	121	+0.816	+5.6	+0.508	+16.3	+0.635	+20.3	32	320	10.0	1	1
12	J.Delhomme	5	CAR	KC	120	+0.803	+3.6	+0.536	+11.8	+0.611	+13.4	22	236	10.7	2	1
13	T.Romo	13	DAL	SEA	120	+0.790	+4.3	+0.432	+14.7	+0.408	+13.9	34	331	9.7	3	1
14	P.Manning	16	IND	JAX	120	+0.779	+7.4	+0.836	+28.4	+0.932	+31.7	34	364	10.7	3	0
15	M.Cassel	16	NE	ARI	119	+0.759	+1.8	+0.471	+17.4	+0.472	+17.5	36	345	9.6	3	0
16	P.Manning	6	IND	BAL	119	+0.748	+3.6	+0.577	+17.3	+0.548	+16.4	28	271	9.7	3	0
17	M.Bulger	7	STL	DAL	118	+0.717	+2.2	+0.123	+3.0	+0.039	+0.9	19	173	9.1	1	0
18	D.Brees	12	NO	GB	118	+0.707	+6.1	+0.813	+22.0	+0.749	+20.2	26	323	12.4	4	0
19	M.Ryan	6	ATL	CHI	118	+0.697	+6.6	+0.600	+18.0	+0.638	+19.1	30	301	10.0	1	0
20	P.Rivers	6	SD	NE	118	+0.696	+4.5	+0.707	+19.1	+0.573	+15.5	27	306	11.3	3	0

#	Player	Team	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Rushing
#	Player	Team	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Car	Yds	Y/C	TD
1	D.Williams	CAR	122	+0.175	+13.2	+0.150	+41.2	+0.139	+38.3	274	1,518	5.5	18
2	P.Thomas	NO	115	+0.115	+3.9	+0.147	+18.9	+0.101	+13.0	129	625	4.8	9
3	J.Stewart	CAR	115	+0.114	+5.0	+0.054	+9.8	+0.017	+3.2	183	835	4.6	10
4	D.Ward	NYG	115	+0.113	+5.7	+0.105	+19.1	+0.100	+18.2	182	1,025	5.6	2
5	B.Jacobs	NYG	113	+0.102	+6.4	+0.102	+22.3	+0.054	+11.8	219	1,089	5.0	15
6	S.Morris	NE	112	+0.092	+3.9	+0.095	+14.9	+0.059	+9.2	156	727	4.7	7
7	D.McAllister	NO	112	+0.091	+2.3	+0.063	+6.8	−0.026	−2.8	107	418	3.9	5
8	M.Jones-Drew	JAX	111	+0.083	+4.9	+0.039	+7.6	−0.003	−0.6	197	824	4.2	12
9	T.Jones	NYJ	108	+0.063	+4.8	+0.047	+13.2	+0.006	+1.5	290	1,312	4.5	13
10	L.White	TEN	107	+0.055	+2.4	+0.054	+10.9	+0.003	+0.6	200	773	3.9	15
11	L.McClain	BAL	107	+0.054	+3.0	+0.044	+10.2	+0.002	+0.4	231	907	3.9	10
12	M.Turner	ATL	107	+0.054	+5.4	+0.052	+19.8	−0.016	−6.2	377	1,699	4.5	17
13	S.Slaton	HOU	106	+0.045	+3.1	+0.040	+10.8	−0.022	−5.8	268	1,282	4.8	9
14	L.Johnson	KC	106	+0.042	+2.4	+0.012	+2.3	−0.066	−12.7	193	874	4.5	5
15	W.McGahee	BAL	106	+0.041	+1.8	−0.001	−0.1	−0.049	−8.3	170	671	3.9	7
16	M.Moore	PIT	105	+0.032	+1.3	+0.021	+3.0	−0.045	−6.2	140	588	4.2	5
17	C.Portis	WAS	104	+0.026	+2.7	+0.003	+1.0	−0.044	−15.2	342	1,487	4.3	9
18	M.Lynch	BUF	103	+0.017	+1.3	+0.008	+2.0	−0.015	−3.6	251	1,047	4.2	8
19	C.Johnson	TEN	103	+0.015	+1.1	+0.009	+2.2	−0.049	−12.4	251	1,228	4.9	9
20	D.Rhodes	IND	103	+0.015	+0.6	−0.044	−6.7	−0.090	−13.8	152	538	3.5	6
21	A.Peterson	MIN	102	+0.011	+1.2	+0.018	+6.5	−0.047	−17.3	364	1,757	4.8	10
22	M.Barber	DAL	101	+0.002	+0.1	−0.028	−6.6	−0.083	−19.8	238	885	3.7	7
23	L.Tomlinson	SD	101	0.000	0.0	+0.008	+2.5	−0.064	−18.7	292	1,110	3.8	11
24	B.Westbrook	PHI	100	−0.004	−0.2	+0.009	+2.1	−0.034	−8.0	233	936	4.0	9
25	J.Addai	IND	100	−0.005	−0.3	+0.001	+0.1	−0.073	−11.2	155	544	3.5	5
26	F.Jackson	BUF	100	−0.005	−0.2	−0.052	−6.4	−0.094	−11.4	129	560	4.3	3
27	Kevin Smith	DET	100	−0.006	−0.4	+0.041	+9.8	−0.031	−7.5	239	975	4.1	8
28	C.Taylor	MIN	100	−0.008	−0.2	−0.026	−2.7	−0.059	−6.0	101	399	4.0	4
29	R.Brown	MIA	100	−0.008	−0.5	+0.010	+2.2	−0.029	−6.2	214	916	4.3	10
30	T.Hightower	ARI	99	−0.016	−0.5	−0.020	−2.9	−0.115	−16.5	143	399	2.8	10
31	S.Jackson	STL	97	−0.032	−2.2	−0.066	−16.6	−0.104	−26.4	254	1,043	4.1	7
32	F.Gore	SF	96	−0.040	−2.8	−0.042	−10.1	−0.074	−17.7	240	1,036	4.3	6
33	D.McFadden	OAK	95	−0.045	−1.2	−0.002	−0.3	−0.030	−3.3	113	499	4.4	4
34	M.Forte	CHI	95	−0.049	−4.5	−0.062	−19.6	−0.092	−29.0	315	1,231	3.9	8
35	M.Morris	SEA	95	−0.052	−2.0	−0.063	−8.3	−0.075	−9.9	132	574	4.3	0
36	E.James	ARI	94	−0.055	−1.8	−0.051	−6.8	−0.098	−13.1	133	514	3.9	3
37	R.Williams	MIA	94	−0.060	−2.7	−0.080	−12.8	−0.109	−17.5	161	659	4.1	4
38	J.Lewis	CLE	93	−0.068	−5.9	−0.070	−19.6	−0.116	−32.3	279	1,002	3.6	4
39	W.Dunn	TB	92	−0.070	−3.5	−0.071	−13.2	−0.138	−25.7	186	786	4.2	2
40	J.Jones	SEA	92	−0.075	−3.1	−0.044	−7.0	−0.117	−18.4	158	698	4.4	2
41	R.Grant	GB	92	−0.076	−7.2	−0.089	−27.8	−0.144	−44.8	312	1,203	3.9	4
42	W.Parker	PIT	91	−0.079	−4.8	−0.061	−12.8	−0.087	−18.1	209	789	3.8	5
43	R.Rice	BAL	91	−0.084	−2.2	−0.134	−14.3	−0.166	−17.8	107	454	4.2	0
44	J.Fargas	OAK	89	−0.100	−6.2	−0.093	−20.4	−0.182	−39.8	219	855	3.9	1
45	R.Bush	NO	88	−0.106	−3.7	−0.140	−15.0	−0.245	−26.2	106	404	3.8	2
46	E.Graham	TB	87	−0.113	−3.9	−0.045	−6.0	−0.112	−14.8	132	563	4.3	4
47	F.Taylor	JAX	87	−0.118	−5.3	−0.085	−12.1	−0.161	−23.0	143	556	3.9	1
48	C.Benson	CIN	86	−0.121	−6.4	−0.124	−26.6	−0.167	−35.7	214	747	3.5	2
49	C.Perry	CIN	64	−0.308	−10.5	−0.332	−33.8	−0.437	−44.5	102	264	2.6	2

#	Player	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Rushing
#	Player	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Car	Yds	Y/C	TD
1	C.Johnson	13	TEN	DET	172	+1.923	+3.4	+0.330	+5.3	+0.389	+6.2	16	125	7.8	2
2	M.Turner	1	ATL	DET	133	+0.890	+3.3	+0.627	+13.8	+0.580	+12.8	22	220	10.0	2
3	M.Jones-Drew	10	JAX	DET	133	+0.886	+2.1	+0.610	+6.7	+0.549	+6.0	11	70	6.4	3
4	B.Jacobs	11	NYG	BAL	131	+0.815	+2.4	+0.571	+6.3	+0.435	+4.8	11	73	6.6	2
5	D.Ward	16	NYG	CAR	130	+0.808	+4.1	+0.817	+12.3	+0.968	+14.5	15	215	14.3	0
6	T.Jones	10	NYJ	STL	129	+0.769	+2.5	+0.418	+10.9	+0.299	+7.8	26	149	5.7	3
7	L.McClain	3	BAL	CLE	128	+0.747	+1.1	+0.164	+2.8	+0.077	+1.3	17	66	3.9	2
8	S.Slaton	11	HOU	IND	128	+0.739	+3.5	+0.737	+10.3	+0.848	+11.9	14	156	11.1	1
9	B.Jacobs	5	NYG	SEA	125	+0.674	+1.7	+0.596	+8.9	+0.659	+9.9	15	136	9.1	2
10	S.Morris	15	NE	OAK	125	+0.661	+1.3	+0.348	+4.9	+0.311	+4.4	14	117	8.4	1
11	J.Norwood	9	ATL	OAK	124	+0.654	+1.3	+0.247	+3.2	+0.227	+3.0	13	63	4.8	1
12	D.Williams	11	CAR	DET	124	+0.648	+2.4	+0.449	+6.3	+0.404	+5.7	14	120	8.6	2
13	L.White	7	TEN	KC	123	+0.623	+1.7	+0.714	+12.1	+0.724	+12.3	17	149	8.8	3
14	R.Fitzpatrick	15	CIN	WAS	123	+0.607	+1.1	+0.221	+2.4	+0.194	+2.1	11	29	2.6	1
15	Kevin Smith	7	DET	HOU	122	+0.596	+0.8	+0.470	+4.7	+0.389	+3.9	10	61	6.1	1
16	T.Jones	13	NYJ	DEN	121	+0.559	+2.9	+0.502	+8.0	+0.316	+5.1	16	138	8.6	2
17	L.Jordan	16	NE	ARI	120	+0.545	+1.2	+0.177	+3.5	+0.057	+1.1	20	78	3.9	2
18	R.Brown	3	MIA	NE	120	+0.530	+2.0	+0.487	+8.3	+0.459	+7.8	17	113	6.6	4
19	J.Stewart	14	CAR	TB	119	+0.522	+2.3	+0.510	+7.6	+0.528	+7.9	15	115	7.7	2
20	S.Morris	13	NE	PIT	119	+0.505	+1.7	+0.455	+4.6	+0.398	+4.0	10	45	4.5	1

Great seasons and great games - not a verdict on the best players ever. Case Keenum's 2017 belongs on this list, and it should. Qualifying: passing 200 a season and 15 a game; rushing 100 a season and 10 a game; receiving 50 a season and 5 a game, and a full play's worth of leverage. Receiving starts in 2009.

All of it, down to the play: every 2008 row, on GitHub .