History

Every completed season since 2006, on one scale. CASE+ measures each team, game and player against its own season: 100 is that year's average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. A 130 in 2007 and a 130 in 2023 mean the same thing.

All-time 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Teams

#	Season	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Season	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Net yds	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	2016	NE	14–2	126	+0.199	+63.0	+0.142	+191.2	441	250	+957	+0.108	13.2	0.74	0.62
2	2007	NE	16–0	126	+0.250	+75.0	+0.237	+314.0	589	274	+1,967	+0.210	14.0	0.76	0.58
3	2015	CAR	15–1	122	+0.187	+63.8	+0.141	+191.7	500	308	+704	+0.060	13.2	1.07	0.65
4	2011	GB	15–1	122	+0.216	+67.9	+0.152	+200.4	560	359	−110	+0.190	14.5	0.96	0.62
5	2010	NE	14–2	122	+0.190	+55.4	+0.160	+202.0	518	313	−44	+0.152	12.7	0.80	0.61
6	2019	BAL	14–2	122	+0.187	+57.6	+0.188	+248.5	531	282	+1,712	+0.165	13.2	0.70	0.62
7	2023	BAL	13–4	121	+0.169	+61.9	+0.143	+202.2	483	280	+1,173	+0.048	14.5	0.99	0.68
8	2022	PHI	14–3	121	+0.145	+52.1	+0.092	+130.9	477	344	+1,489	+0.056	13.7	0.88	0.67
9	2018	KC	12–4	120	+0.159	+50.1	+0.115	+143.5	565	421	+322	+0.204	12.0	1.17	0.64
10	2016	ATL	11–5	120	+0.154	+49.7	+0.106	+133.8	540	406	+714	+0.166	12.1	0.89	0.65
11	2023	SF	12–5	120	+0.158	+50.6	+0.149	+194.2	491	298	+1,606	+0.135	13.3	0.74	0.64
12	2025	SEA	14–3	120	+0.172	+58.0	+0.142	+191.3	483	292	+1,113	+0.021	12.8	1.03	0.66
13	2022	SF	13–4	120	+0.138	+47.5	+0.129	+171.5	450	277	+1,106	+0.041	12.9	0.79	0.67
14	2006	SD	14–2	119	+0.140	+46.8	+0.147	+190.0	492	303	+1,014	+0.119	12.8	1.04	0.67
15	2022	BUF	13–3	119	+0.136	+50.0	+0.130	+169.5	455	286	+1,255	+0.084	11.8	1.60	0.72
16	2013	SF	12–4	119	+0.149	+49.9	+0.102	+133.4	406	272	+109	+0.039	12.2	0.91	0.68
17	2020	GB	13–3	119	+0.169	+51.7	+0.111	+140.2	509	369	+880	+0.178	13.2	0.73	0.61
18	2013	DEN	13–3	119	+0.146	+52.4	+0.138	+206.2	606	399	+1,621	+0.179	12.9	0.91	0.63
19	2018	CHI	12–4	119	+0.145	+46.1	+0.106	+137.8	421	283	+707	−0.003	12.7	1.17	0.66
20	2012	NE	12–4	118	+0.166	+57.7	+0.155	+225.7	557	331	+874	+0.161	13.4	1.02	0.62
21	2006	BAL	13–3	118	+0.131	+40.0	+0.124	+151.0	353	201	+847	−0.047	10.7	1.06	0.66
22	2022	KC	14–3	118	+0.126	+49.0	+0.093	+128.3	496	369	+1,453	+0.142	13.8	1.15	0.72
23	2015	ARI	13–3	118	+0.149	+50.4	+0.132	+177.0	489	313	+1,386	+0.082	12.9	0.93	0.66
24	2024	DET	15–2	118	+0.158	+55.3	+0.158	+221.2	564	342	+1,142	+0.136	13.2	0.89	0.65
25	2013	SEA	13–3	118	+0.139	+46.6	+0.144	+185.5	417	231	+1,046	+0.037	12.0	0.91	0.69
26	2019	NE	12–4	117	+0.145	+44.8	+0.151	+195.0	420	225	+1,250	−0.015	11.5	0.74	0.63
27	2017	NE	13–3	117	+0.137	+48.5	+0.117	+162.2	458	296	+451	+0.123	11.3	0.93	0.66
28	2020	BUF	13–3	117	+0.151	+50.2	+0.094	+126.0	501	375	+703	+0.131	12.6	0.97	0.65
29	2007	IND	13–3	117	+0.161	+52.2	+0.146	+186.0	450	262	+1,264	+0.091	14.1	0.78	0.67
30	2017	MIN	13–3	116	+0.132	+44.5	+0.100	+129.5	382	252	+1,295	−0.004	12.4	0.70	0.67
31	2021	BUF	11–6	116	+0.122	+41.1	+0.139	+192.4	483	289	+1,856	+0.061	11.9	0.74	0.65
32	2019	KC	12–4	116	+0.139	+47.2	+0.111	+142.5	451	308	+473	+0.113	12.3	1.11	0.70
33	2020	BAL	11–5	116	+0.146	+44.4	+0.130	+165.0	468	303	+534	+0.090	11.5	0.73	0.62
34	2006	NE	12–4	116	+0.115	+39.8	+0.118	+150.9	385	237	+661	+0.004	11.0	0.90	0.70
35	2023	DAL	12–5	116	+0.125	+40.9	+0.139	+195.2	509	315	+1,222	+0.098	11.4	0.69	0.60
36	2025	NE	14–3	116	+0.136	+48.3	+0.127	+169.2	490	320	+1,430	+0.102	13.0	0.93	0.69
37	2006	CHI	13–3	115	+0.113	+35.0	+0.126	+172.0	427	255	+475	−0.051	10.7	1.11	0.60
38	2015	NE	12–4	115	+0.129	+44.0	+0.109	+149.2	465	315	+560	+0.071	11.8	0.96	0.65
39	2008	BAL	11–5	115	+0.130	+41.2	+0.114	+141.0	385	244	+1,012	−0.039	12.5	0.94	0.66
40	2016	DAL	13–3	115	+0.116	+42.6	+0.089	+116.0	421	306	+524	+0.085	11.9	0.96	0.73
41	2019	NO	13–3	115	+0.131	+45.4	+0.089	+116.8	458	341	+653	+0.059	12.3	0.92	0.68
42	2014	GB	12–4*	115	+0.125	+36.8	+0.095	+116.8	486	348	+774	+0.087	10.6	0.85	0.60
43	2015	KC	11–5	115	+0.126	+39.5	+0.090	+117.5	405	287	+30	+0.019	11.6	0.96	0.63
44	2024	MIN	14–3	114	+0.130	+47.0	+0.071	+98.2	432	332	+196	+0.010	13.2	1.14	0.70
45	2022	CIN	12–4	114	+0.101	+34.5	+0.074	+98.6	418	322	+397	+0.047	11.3	1.10	0.67
46	2009	GB	11–5	114	+0.147	+46.6	+0.129	+167.8	461	297	+1,514	+0.051	11.6	1.14	0.63
47	2014	DEN	12–4	114	+0.119	+37.8	+0.092	+127.7	482	354	+1,563	+0.045	11.2	0.76	0.60
48	2018	NE	11–5	114	+0.111	+37.5	+0.082	+111.3	436	325	+549	+0.051	11.3	0.69	0.63
49	2012	DEN	13–3	114	+0.130	+40.9	+0.139	+192.0	481	289	+1,714	+0.092	12.1	0.68	0.60
50	2017	PHI	13–3	114	+0.114	+41.8	+0.121	+161.7	457	295	+948	+0.039	11.7	1.00	0.71

#	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Net yds	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	2010	7	OAK	DEN	W 59–14	156	+1.823	+10.4	+0.565	+46.4	+268	+0.358	100%	0.28	0.21
2	2025	10	SEA	ARI	W 44–22	152	+1.483	+8.5	+0.239	+21.2	+37	+0.082	100%	0.32	0.19
3	2006	8	CHI	SF	W 41–10	149	+1.471	+7.8	+0.423	+30.6	+140	+0.134	100%	0.14	0.22
4	2019	1	BAL	MIA	W 59–10	145	+1.317	+8.6	+0.584	+50.0	+443	+0.602	100%	0.22	0.21
5	2014	3	ATL	TB	W 56–14	143	+1.400	+7.8	+0.520	+41.2	+271	+0.070	100%	0.15	0.20
6	2010	10	PHI	WAS	W 59–28	143	+1.390	+9.4	+0.363	+32.4	+217	+0.490	100%	0.34	0.21
7	2011	17	ATL	TB	W 45–24	143	+1.351	+7.8	+0.260	+20.2	+134	+0.074	100%	0.18	0.21
8	2014	6	BAL	TB	W 48–17	142	+1.365	+9.5	+0.368	+32.0	+111	+0.357	100%	0.25	0.21
9	2007	14	IND	BAL	W 44–20	142	+1.331	+9.3	+0.362	+25.4	+91	+0.268	100%	0.28	0.24
10	2008	10	NYJ	STL	W 47–3	142	+1.290	+8.3	+0.638	+43.6	+173	+0.254	100%	0.24	0.25
11	2025	3	SEA	NO	W 44–13	140	+1.119	+7.4	+0.356	+30.0	+36	+0.127	100%	0.14	0.23
12	2015	7	MIA	HOU	W 44–26	139	+1.173	+7.9	+0.182	+17.0	+181	+0.168	100%	0.18	0.19
13	2018	3	BUF	MIN	W 27–6	139	+1.161	+8.4	+0.281	+22.0	0	−0.023	100%	0.19	0.26
14	2013	14	KC	WAS	W 45–10	138	+1.083	+8.7	+0.433	+36.0	+89	+0.005	100%	0.28	0.26
15	2015	3	ARI	SF	W 47–7	137	+1.113	+8.1	+0.554	+39.2	+290	+0.137	100%	0.32	0.26
16	2006	3	SEA	NYG	W 42–30	137	+1.110	+7.9	+0.137	+11.6	−4	+0.031	100%	0.16	0.23
17	2022	9	CIN	CAR	W 42–21	137	+0.900	+6.7	+0.236	+20.2	+236	+0.286	100%	0.11	0.27
18	2024	1	NO	CAR	W 47–10	136	+1.010	+7.2	+0.461	+36.2	+186	+0.210	100%	0.19	0.25
19	2022	Post	PHI	NYG	W 38–7	136	+0.866	+6.7	+0.392	+30.2	+189	+0.271	100%	0.17	0.27
20	2023	15	LV	LAC	W 63–21	135	+0.977	+7.6	+0.486	+41.0	+52	+0.273	100%	0.15	0.24

#	Season	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Season	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Yards	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	2007	NE	16–0	130	+0.244	+73.4	+0.218	+290.3	589	274	6,580	+0.210	14.0	0.76	0.58
2	2013	DEN	13–3	126	+0.160	+57.2	+0.138	+206.3	606	399	7,317	+0.179	12.9	0.91	0.63
3	2010	NE	14–2	126	+0.190	+55.3	+0.173	+220.7	518	313	5,820	+0.152	12.7	0.80	0.61
4	2018	KC	12–4	125	+0.213	+69.0	+0.181	+238.4	565	421	6,810	+0.204	12.0	1.17	0.64
5	2017	NE	13–3	125	+0.164	+57.6	+0.125	+172.9	458	296	6,307	+0.123	11.3	0.93	0.66
6	2016	ATL	11–5	125	+0.182	+58.9	+0.150	+194.4	540	406	6,653	+0.166	12.1	0.89	0.65
7	2011	GB	15–1	124	+0.178	+55.8	+0.136	+179.1	560	359	6,475	+0.190	14.5	0.96	0.62
8	2019	BAL	14–2	123	+0.149	+46.1	+0.151	+202.8	531	282	6,521	+0.165	13.2	0.70	0.62
9	2006	IND	12–4	123	+0.150	+53.0	+0.133	+170.9	427	360	6,065	+0.111	11.7	1.11	0.73
10	2023	SF	12–5	122	+0.185	+59.5	+0.157	+205.3	491	298	6,773	+0.135	13.3	0.74	0.64
11	2022	KC	14–3	122	+0.166	+63.9	+0.135	+187.8	496	369	7,032	+0.142	13.8	1.15	0.72
12	2020	GB	13–3	121	+0.205	+62.5	+0.163	+205.8	509	369	6,224	+0.178	13.2	0.73	0.61
13	2019	KC	12–4	121	+0.137	+46.2	+0.108	+137.7	451	308	6,067	+0.113	12.3	1.11	0.70
14	2016	NE	14–2	120	+0.154	+49.3	+0.103	+140.0	441	250	6,180	+0.108	13.2	0.74	0.62
15	2024	DET	15–2	120	+0.189	+65.5	+0.181	+251.7	564	342	6,962	+0.136	13.2	0.89	0.65
16	2022	BUF	13–3	120	+0.155	+56.8	+0.118	+153.0	455	286	6,361	+0.084	11.8	1.60	0.72
17	2015	ARI	13–3	120	+0.106	+36.2	+0.082	+110.6	489	313	6,533	+0.082	12.9	0.93	0.66
18	2011	NO	13–3*	120	+0.143	+45.7	+0.133	+176.5	547	339	7,036	+0.159	10.9	0.90	0.64
19	2008	ATL	11–5	119	+0.157	+53.0	+0.105	+135.3	391	325	5,779	+0.047	11.1	0.93	0.67
20	2021	KC	12–5	119	+0.147	+54.0	+0.112	+160.7	480	364	6,746	+0.131	11.8	0.90	0.67
21	2011	NE	13–3	119	+0.137	+50.6	+0.132	+183.1	513	342	6,848	+0.185	12.5	1.06	0.69
22	2020	KC	14–2	119	+0.189	+71.1	+0.158	+212.6	473	362	6,653	+0.143	11.9	1.03	0.73
23	2017	NO	11–5	119	+0.126	+39.2	+0.097	+124.1	448	326	6,259	+0.070	10.5	0.83	0.64
24	2012	NE	12–4	118	+0.114	+40.7	+0.106	+158.8	557	331	6,846	+0.161	13.4	1.02	0.62
25	2009	IND	14–2	118	+0.165	+54.8	+0.115	+144.9	416	307	5,809	+0.079	12.5	0.98	0.69
26	2009	NO	13–3	118	+0.165	+53.1	+0.128	+169.1	510	341	6,461	+0.082	11.4	1.15	0.64
27	2009	SD	13–3	118	+0.164	+53.4	+0.150	+188.1	454	320	5,761	+0.129	11.9	1.06	0.69
28	2014	GB	12–4*	117	+0.113	+33.7	+0.076	+93.2	486	348	5,820	+0.087	10.6	0.85	0.60
29	2006	SD	14–2	117	+0.118	+39.5	+0.137	+177.0	492	303	5,839	+0.119	12.8	1.04	0.67
30	2023	DAL	12–5	117	+0.152	+49.3	+0.111	+157.6	509	315	6,317	+0.098	11.4	0.69	0.60
31	2007	IND	13–3	117	+0.146	+47.5	+0.136	+173.9	450	262	5,739	+0.091	14.1	0.78	0.67
32	2015	CAR	15–1	117	+0.092	+32.0	+0.064	+87.6	500	308	5,871	+0.060	13.2	1.07	0.65
33	2018	LA	13–3	116	+0.146	+52.1	+0.126	+171.3	527	384	6,738	+0.116	11.7	1.02	0.69
34	2018	NO	13–3	116	+0.146	+48.9	+0.151	+193.6	504	353	6,067	+0.126	10.7	1.02	0.67
35	2021	GB	13–4	116	+0.129	+47.8	+0.103	+139.7	450	371	6,215	+0.105	12.5	1.09	0.70
36	2015	NO	7–9	116	+0.087	+31.9	+0.049	+69.7	408	476	6,461	+0.028	7.2	1.11	0.69
37	2020	BUF	13–3	116	+0.170	+56.7	+0.140	+187.3	501	375	6,343	+0.131	12.6	0.97	0.65
38	2022	PHI	14–3	116	+0.131	+47.4	+0.087	+123.4	477	344	6,614	+0.056	13.7	0.88	0.67
39	2014	DAL	12–4	115	+0.100	+32.4	+0.079	+103.4	467	352	6,138	+0.090	11.0	1.00	0.62
40	2013	SD	9–7	115	+0.092	+36.1	+0.083	+113.0	396	348	6,293	+0.133	9.2	1.27	0.75
41	2025	LA	12–5	115	+0.151	+55.1	+0.141	+194.8	518	346	6,709	+0.089	12.6	1.04	0.69
42	2015	NE	12–4	115	+0.082	+27.8	+0.073	+100.8	465	315	5,991	+0.071	11.8	0.96	0.65
43	2016	DAL	13–3	115	+0.122	+44.7	+0.103	+133.8	421	306	6,027	+0.085	11.9	0.96	0.73
44	2025	NE	14–3	115	+0.150	+53.0	+0.122	+162.7	490	320	6,449	+0.102	13.0	0.93	0.69
45	2021	TB	13–4	115	+0.123	+45.9	+0.097	+139.6	511	353	6,901	+0.088	11.4	0.92	0.68
46	2024	BUF	13–4	115	+0.155	+54.2	+0.157	+211.1	525	368	6,105	+0.131	12.3	0.81	0.67
47	2019	NO	13–3	115	+0.104	+36.3	+0.098	+129.4	458	341	5,982	+0.059	12.3	0.92	0.68
48	2025	DAL	7.5–9.5	114	+0.146	+58.4	+0.124	+181.0	471	511	6,663	+0.092	6.8	1.15	0.71
49	2024	BAL	12–5	114	+0.150	+53.0	+0.148	+202.5	518	361	7,199	+0.145	12.1	0.93	0.67
50	2008	NYG	12–4	114	+0.124	+44.1	+0.102	+135.2	427	294	5,695	+0.069	11.9	0.90	0.69

#	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Yards	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	2019	1	BAL	MIA	W 59–10	146	+0.876	+6.1	+0.448	+40.7	643	+0.602	100%	0.22	0.21
2	2010	10	PHI	WAS	W 59–28	145	+0.923	+6.6	+0.367	+32.7	592	+0.490	100%	0.34	0.21
3	2016	17	ATL	NO	W 38–32	145	+0.810	+8.6	+0.225	+18.9	465	+0.258	100%	0.38	0.38
4	2007	7	NE	MIA	W 49–28	144	+0.939	+8.0	+0.416	+28.3	443	+0.442	100%	0.31	0.27
5	2016	10	TEN	GB	W 47–25	141	+0.745	+7.2	+0.322	+26.4	446	+0.343	100%	0.43	0.35
6	2015	7	MIA	HOU	W 44–26	140	+0.741	+4.8	+0.075	+6.0	503	+0.168	100%	0.18	0.19
7	2007	3	PHI	DET	W 56–21	139	+0.848	+9.2	+0.414	+33.6	536	+0.422	100%	0.46	0.33
8	2014	13	STL	OAK	W 52–0	139	+0.765	+5.4	+0.192	+13.6	348	+0.173	100%	0.16	0.23
9	2024	2	NO	DAL	W 44–19	139	+0.741	+9.1	+0.384	+27.6	432	+0.396	100%	0.49	0.50
10	2008	5	NYG	SEA	W 44–6	137	+0.778	+6.9	+0.393	+31.0	523	+0.414	100%	0.20	0.34
11	2015	14	CAR	ATL	W 38–0	137	+0.674	+5.8	+0.207	+15.7	424	+0.235	100%	0.20	0.27
12	2025	3	SEA	NO	W 44–13	136	+0.705	+3.1	+0.180	+13.0	320	+0.127	100%	0.14	0.23
13	2007	16	JAX	OAK	W 49–11	135	+0.753	+4.9	+0.310	+23.6	437	+0.367	100%	0.31	0.30
14	2010	17	PIT	CLE	W 41–9	135	+0.718	+5.9	+0.340	+25.8	418	+0.413	100%	0.24	0.30
15	2023	16	PIT	CIN	W 34–11	134	+0.638	+4.9	+0.204	+14.9	397	+0.170	100%	0.43	0.34
16	2016	3	GB	DET	W 34–27	134	+0.627	+6.2	+0.234	+15.9	324	+0.267	100%	0.49	0.41
17	2011	14	GB	OAK	W 46–16	134	+0.649	+5.1	+0.171	+14.2	384	+0.206	100%	0.20	0.25
18	2007	8	SD	HOU	W 35–10	134	+0.731	+4.2	+0.165	+9.4	237	+0.111	100%	0.28	0.29
19	2010	10	DEN	KC	W 49–29	134	+0.704	+5.9	+0.245	+20.1	452	+0.274	100%	0.27	0.21
20	2007	13	MIN	DET	W 42–10	134	+0.725	+8.1	+0.421	+33.2	443	+0.317	100%	0.32	0.41

#	Season	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Season	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Yds allowed	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	2018	CHI	12–4	134	−0.109	−33.5	−0.083	−107.8	421	283	4,795	−0.003	12.7	1.17	0.66
2	2023	BAL	13–4	127	−0.083	−30.5	−0.069	−99.3	483	280	5,123	+0.048	14.5	0.99	0.68
3	2021	BUF	11–6	126	−0.075	−24.4	−0.070	−93.3	483	289	4,637	+0.061	11.9	0.74	0.65
4	2006	CHI	13–3	126	−0.125	−38.9	−0.126	−171.5	427	255	4,724	−0.051	10.7	1.11	0.60
5	2012	CHI	10–6	125	−0.135	−42.9	−0.136	−177.2	375	277	5,050	−0.057	9.3	0.85	0.62
6	2019	NE	12–4	125	−0.117	−35.5	−0.127	−161.3	420	225	4,414	−0.015	11.5	0.74	0.63
7	2006	BAL	13–3	125	−0.120	−36.4	−0.123	−149.7	353	201	4,225	−0.047	10.7	1.06	0.66
8	2025	SEA	14–3	124	−0.078	−27.2	−0.070	−97.1	483	292	4,860	+0.021	12.8	1.03	0.66
9	2011	SF	13–3	124	−0.144	−48.0	−0.130	−165.3	380	229	4,931	+0.002	11.6	0.96	0.69
10	2013	SEA	13–3	124	−0.115	−38.8	−0.124	−160.5	417	231	4,378	+0.037	12.0	0.91	0.69
11	2008	BAL	11–5	123	−0.112	−34.6	−0.105	−129.2	385	244	4,177	−0.039	12.5	0.94	0.66
12	2023	CLE	11–6	123	−0.066	−23.3	−0.071	−97.8	396	362	4,593	−0.108	8.7	1.18	0.67
13	2024	MIN	14–3	121	−0.033	−12.4	−0.010	−14.1	432	332	5,702	+0.010	13.2	1.14	0.70
14	2015	CAR	15–1	120	−0.095	−31.8	−0.077	−104.1	500	308	5,167	+0.060	13.2	1.07	0.65
15	2020	PIT	12–4	120	−0.045	−15.4	−0.048	−62.3	416	312	4,893	+0.011	11.2	0.99	0.70
16	2024	PHI	14–3	120	−0.026	−9.6	−0.017	−21.8	463	303	4,732	+0.076	13.8	1.09	0.72
17	2007	SD	11–5	120	−0.074	−22.4	−0.063	−81.1	412	284	5,125	−0.021	10.1	0.87	0.60
18	2017	JAX	10–6	119	−0.071	−22.4	−0.087	−113.7	417	268	4,578	−0.010	9.7	0.96	0.64
19	2008	PIT	12–4	119	−0.084	−30.4	−0.101	−125.8	347	223	3,791	−0.042	10.5	1.06	0.77
20	2022	SF	13–4	118	−0.027	−9.5	−0.052	−68.5	450	277	5,110	+0.041	12.9	0.79	0.67
21	2009	NYJ	9–7	118	−0.069	−23.1	−0.107	−133.3	348	236	4,037	−0.075	9.3	1.04	0.69
22	2007	WAS	9–7	118	−0.066	−23.2	−0.026	−35.0	334	310	4,881	−0.066	10.2	1.19	0.71
23	2015	KC	11–5	118	−0.081	−26.1	−0.066	−87.6	405	287	5,269	+0.019	11.6	0.96	0.63
24	2013	SF	12–4	118	−0.087	−29.6	−0.075	−98.8	406	272	5,071	+0.039	12.2	0.91	0.68
25	2010	PIT	12–4	117	−0.061	−20.5	−0.066	−84.0	375	232	4,430	+0.012	11.1	1.16	0.69
26	2014	BUF	9–7	117	−0.074	−27.5	−0.085	−115.5	343	289	4,995	−0.084	8.1	1.03	0.72
27	2025	HOU	12–5	117	−0.039	−14.3	−0.042	−54.9	404	295	4,713	−0.012	12.4	1.22	0.74
28	2017	MIN	13–3	117	−0.060	−19.2	−0.063	−78.9	382	252	4,415	−0.004	12.4	0.70	0.67
29	2017	BAL	9–7	117	−0.059	−20.4	−0.077	−103.7	395	303	5,201	−0.040	9.9	1.06	0.65
30	2007	TB	9–7	117	−0.061	−19.4	−0.046	−56.6	334	270	4,461	−0.036	10.3	0.94	0.67
31	2011	BAL	12–4	117	−0.105	−32.8	−0.120	−155.7	378	266	4,622	−0.005	10.9	0.94	0.63
32	2020	LA	10–6	116	−0.023	−7.8	−0.043	−54.8	372	296	4,511	−0.051	10.3	0.94	0.70
33	2015	DEN	12–4	116	−0.075	−30.0	−0.073	−100.5	355	296	4,530	−0.068	10.6	1.44	0.77
34	2010	CHI	11–5	116	−0.055	−20.7	−0.072	−93.4	334	286	5,029	−0.124	10.4	1.08	0.75
35	2008	TEN	13–3	116	−0.067	−23.8	−0.069	−92.1	375	234	4,698	−0.024	11.8	0.87	0.69
36	2009	GB	11–5	116	−0.056	−16.8	−0.058	−72.8	461	297	4,551	+0.051	11.6	1.14	0.63
37	2009	MIN	12–4	116	−0.056	−16.8	−0.013	−15.7	470	312	4,888	+0.042	11.3	1.06	0.63
38	2020	BAL	11–5	116	−0.020	−6.1	−0.027	−35.6	468	303	5,276	+0.090	11.5	0.73	0.62
39	2016	HOU	9–7	116	−0.047	−16.3	−0.033	−42.1	279	328	4,821	−0.095	8.2	0.92	0.72
40	2014	HOU	9–7	115	−0.065	−23.1	−0.068	−93.4	372	307	5,571	−0.047	8.9	0.97	0.67
41	2016	NE	14–2	115	−0.044	−13.7	−0.039	−51.1	441	250	5,223	+0.108	13.2	0.74	0.62
42	2019	PIT	8–8	115	−0.059	−22.5	−0.069	−91.3	289	303	4,866	−0.142	7.6	1.11	0.75
43	2013	CIN	11–5	115	−0.075	−25.5	−0.093	−124.2	430	305	4,888	+0.016	10.5	1.22	0.68
44	2024	DEN	10–7	115	−0.006	−2.3	−0.030	−42.9	425	311	5,391	+0.007	9.8	0.98	0.66
45	2022	PHI	14–3	115	−0.014	−4.7	−0.005	−7.5	477	344	5,125	+0.056	13.7	0.88	0.67
46	2008	PHI	9.5–6.5	114	−0.055	−19.2	−0.083	−108.1	416	289	4,389	−0.027	10.3	1.02	0.69
47	2021	NO	9–8	114	−0.024	−8.5	−0.043	−58.9	364	335	5,410	−0.083	9.1	0.82	0.68
48	2010	NYG	10–6	114	−0.045	−13.3	−0.032	−41.4	394	347	4,972	−0.052	10.8	0.86	0.60
49	2025	PHI	11–6	114	−0.022	−8.8	+0.001	+1.9	379	325	5,341	+0.004	12.1	1.17	0.75
50	2014	IND	11–5	114	−0.058	−17.0	−0.026	−35.1	458	369	5,483	+0.026	10.6	0.83	0.57

#	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Yds allowed	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	2010	7	OAK	DEN	W 59–14	171	−1.401	−6.4	−0.352	−25.3	240	+0.358	100%	0.28	0.21
2	2025	10	SEA	ARI	W 44–22	155	−0.947	−5.0	−0.189	−17.4	335	+0.082	100%	0.32	0.19
3	2006	8	CHI	SF	W 41–10	153	−1.014	−3.8	−0.265	−17.0	262	+0.134	100%	0.14	0.22
4	2015	3	ARI	SF	W 47–7	152	−0.957	−6.8	−0.444	−29.3	156	+0.137	100%	0.32	0.26
5	2012	9	CHI	TEN	W 51–20	149	−0.917	−10.8	−0.467	−36.9	339	+0.014	100%	0.38	0.31
6	2025	3	MIN	CIN	W 48–10	148	−0.811	−7.6	−0.435	−31.7	171	+0.029	100%	0.37	0.31
7	2014	3	ATL	TB	W 56–14	147	−0.918	−3.6	−0.507	−40.1	217	+0.070	100%	0.15	0.20
8	2018	3	BUF	MIN	W 27–6	144	−0.798	−4.6	−0.259	−20.2	292	−0.023	100%	0.19	0.26
9	2008	10	NYJ	STL	W 47–3	143	−0.826	−4.4	−0.428	−27.4	200	+0.254	100%	0.24	0.25
10	2017	15	MIN	CIN	W 34–7	141	−0.705	−5.2	−0.393	−27.9	161	−0.026	100%	0.22	0.30
11	2008	15	MIN	ARI	W 35–14	141	−0.777	−6.6	−0.263	−20.5	316	+0.037	100%	0.55	0.33
12	2019	17	NO	CAR	W 42–10	140	−0.725	−5.0	−0.193	−16.8	329	+0.275	100%	0.18	0.29
13	2011	17	ATL	TB	W 45–24	140	−0.788	−2.8	−0.201	−15.9	294	+0.074	100%	0.18	0.21
14	2006	17	GB	CHI	W 26–7	139	−0.755	−9.0	−0.393	−27.1	316	−0.034	100%	0.69	0.44
15	2018	7	DEN	ARI	W 45–10	139	−0.715	−6.6	−0.387	−32.5	223	−0.073	100%	0.31	0.25
16	2006	3	SEA	NYG	W 42–30	139	−0.745	−4.9	−0.064	−4.6	337	+0.031	100%	0.16	0.23
17	2023	5	NO	NE	W 34–0	138	−0.660	−6.8	−0.503	−36.2	156	−0.030	100%	0.40	0.37
18	2023	1	DAL	NYG	W 40–0	138	−0.653	−7.2	−0.439	−36.9	171	+0.125	100%	0.41	0.29
19	2014	6	BAL	TB	W 48–17	138	−0.731	−4.5	−0.178	−16.2	364	+0.357	100%	0.25	0.21
20	2018	9	CHI	BUF	W 41–9	138	−0.687	−8.1	−0.329	−35.2	264	−0.065	100%	0.39	0.38

Ranked by CASE+ of Contested CASE per play. For Allowed, CASE+ is flipped, so above 100 is always better. Records are regular season; games include the playoffs, marked.

Exp. wins: how many games a team that played this way usually wins. Win exp.: the same for one game. Off. EPA: the offense's EPA per play. Post: a playoff game.

12 games since 2006 aren't scored, because their play-by-play doesn't add up to the final score. CASE only reports games it can reconcile exactly. A * marks a team missing one.

Players

#	Player	Season	Team	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Passing
#	Player	Season	Team	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Att	Yds	Y/A	TD	INT
1	P.Manning	2013	DEN	126	+0.378	+67.1	+0.369	+250.4	+0.374	+253.7	659	5,477	8.3	55	10
2	T.Brady	2007	NE	126	+0.402	+58.9	+0.391	+233.9	+0.417	+250.0	578	4,806	8.3	50	8
3	P.Manning	2006	IND	125	+0.312	+51.3	+0.291	+166.5	+0.291	+166.5	557	4,397	7.9	31	9
4	P.Mahomes	2018	KC	123	+0.333	+53.0	+0.308	+186.8	+0.348	+211.4	580	5,097	8.8	50	12
5	A.Rodgers	2011	GB	123	+0.408	+55.8	+0.382	+205.6	+0.415	+223.4	501	4,636	9.3	45	6
6	T.Romo	2014	DAL	123	+0.335	+40.3	+0.272	+126.2	+0.271	+125.8	435	3,705	8.5	34	9
7	J.McCown	2013	CHI	122	+0.322	+22.2	+0.304	+71.8	+0.336	+79.4	224	1,829	8.2	13	1
8	P.Mahomes	2022	KC	122	+0.297	+58.9	+0.254	+171.9	+0.258	+175.0	648	5,250	8.1	41	12
9	P.Mahomes	2019	KC	121	+0.300	+42.9	+0.246	+123.7	+0.252	+126.6	484	4,031	8.3	26	5
10	B.Purdy	2023	SF	120	+0.298	+37.6	+0.300	+141.8	+0.294	+138.9	444	4,280	9.6	31	11
11	A.Rodgers	2021	GB	120	+0.274	+23.1	+0.278	+79.9	+0.306	+87.8	531	4,115	7.7	37	4
12	T.Brady	2010	NE	120	+0.261	+34.4	+0.258	+133.4	+0.273	+141.2	492	3,900	7.9	36	4
13	M.Ryan	2016	ATL	119	+0.314	+48.4	+0.283	+163.0	+0.296	+170.2	534	4,944	9.3	38	7
14	D.Maye	2025	NE	119	+0.270	+41.2	+0.272	+146.6	+0.298	+160.9	492	4,394	8.9	31	8
15	A.Rodgers	2020	GB	119	+0.341	+48.0	+0.293	+160.2	+0.322	+175.7	526	4,299	8.2	48	5
16	M.Ryan	2008	ATL	119	+0.268	+32.7	+0.167	+75.5	+0.133	+59.9	434	3,440	7.9	16	11
17	T.Brady	2016	NE	119	+0.308	+36.4	+0.285	+127.9	+0.305	+136.9	432	3,554	8.2	28	2
18	L.Jackson	2024	BAL	119	+0.256	+36.3	+0.287	+143.2	+0.337	+168.3	474	4,172	8.8	41	4
19	A.Rodgers	2014	GB	119	+0.290	+39.9	+0.302	+157.1	+0.270	+140.8	520	4,381	8.4	38	5
20	A.Dalton	2015	CIN	118	+0.256	+29.4	+0.248	+100.7	+0.277	+112.4	386	3,250	8.4	25	7
21	P.Manning	2014	DEN	118	+0.284	+42.6	+0.236	+145.3	+0.190	+117.2	597	4,727	7.9	39	15
22	P.Rivers	2013	SD	118	+0.273	+46.5	+0.271	+155.5	+0.276	+158.5	544	4,478	8.2	32	11
23	C.Palmer	2015	ARI	118	+0.250	+39.1	+0.250	+140.4	+0.253	+142.1	537	4,671	8.7	35	11
24	P.Manning	2009	IND	118	+0.329	+53.8	+0.294	+170.9	+0.290	+168.7	571	4,500	7.9	33	16
25	J.Goff	2024	DET	118	+0.242	+36.3	+0.275	+157.0	+0.274	+156.5	539	4,629	8.6	37	12
26	D.Brees	2019	NO	117	+0.262	+27.5	+0.264	+103.1	+0.237	+92.8	378	2,979	7.9	27	4
27	M.Ryan	2010	ATL	117	+0.238	+33.8	+0.200	+101.2	+0.185	+93.8	571	3,705	6.5	28	9
28	T.Romo	2006	DAL	117	+0.218	+22.8	+0.234	+84.4	+0.231	+83.2	337	2,903	8.6	19	13
29	T.Tagovailoa	2022	MIA	117	+0.244	+28.6	+0.227	+95.8	+0.214	+90.4	400	3,548	8.9	25	8
30	T.Brady	2017	NE	117	+0.240	+39.9	+0.216	+133.5	+0.228	+140.6	581	4,577	7.9	32	8
31	D.Brees	2006	NO	117	+0.213	+33.8	+0.226	+128.6	+0.195	+110.9	555	4,424	8.0	26	11
32	M.Stafford	2025	LA	117	+0.242	+43.6	+0.243	+150.8	+0.227	+140.9	597	4,707	7.9	46	8
33	D.Brees	2015	NO	117	+0.236	+40.2	+0.176	+115.8	+0.138	+90.8	627	4,870	7.8	32	11
34	D.Brees	2011	NO	117	+0.309	+51.6	+0.299	+192.7	+0.310	+200.3	660	5,535	8.4	46	14
35	J.Love	2025	GB	116	+0.239	+34.9	+0.208	+96.1	+0.239	+110.6	439	3,381	7.7	23	6
36	P.Rivers	2009	SD	116	+0.302	+44.2	+0.312	+159.5	+0.325	+166.0	486	4,254	8.8	28	9
37	A.Rodgers	2013	GB	116	+0.248	+21.6	+0.280	+87.2	+0.284	+88.6	290	2,536	8.7	17	6
38	R.Wilson	2015	SEA	116	+0.227	+31.5	+0.217	+115.3	+0.236	+125.3	483	4,024	8.3	34	8
39	D.Huard	2006	KC	116	+0.198	+11.3	+0.151	+39.4	+0.112	+29.3	244	1,878	7.7	11	1
40	M.Stafford	2019	DET	116	+0.242	+23.3	+0.214	+66.2	+0.212	+65.8	291	2,499	8.6	19	5
41	P.Manning	2008	IND	115	+0.228	+37.1	+0.212	+121.0	+0.232	+132.4	555	4,002	7.2	27	12
42	M.Schaub	2011	HOU	115	+0.288	+24.7	+0.207	+63.6	+0.206	+63.5	292	2,479	8.5	15	6
43	D.Prescott	2023	DAL	115	+0.229	+35.7	+0.183	+115.7	+0.176	+111.0	590	4,516	7.7	36	9
44	T.Tagovailoa	2023	MIA	115	+0.228	+36.3	+0.166	+98.3	+0.184	+108.9	560	4,624	8.3	29	14
45	T.Brady	2012	NE	115	+0.248	+41.9	+0.240	+159.5	+0.269	+178.7	637	4,827	7.6	34	8
46	C.Wentz	2017	PHI	115	+0.215	+27.3	+0.190	+89.7	+0.197	+93.0	440	3,296	7.5	33	7
47	N.Foles	2013	PHI	115	+0.235	+21.3	+0.272	+95.2	+0.284	+99.3	317	2,891	9.1	27	2
48	P.Manning	2007	IND	115	+0.230	+34.2	+0.263	+141.2	+0.253	+136.1	515	4,040	7.8	31	14
49	D.Brees	2018	NO	115	+0.238	+35.3	+0.276	+140.2	+0.272	+138.0	489	3,992	8.2	32	5
50	M.Ryan	2012	ATL	114	+0.237	+42.7	+0.235	+151.2	+0.210	+135.5	615	4,719	7.7	32	14

#	Player	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Passing
#	Player	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Att	Yds	Y/A	TD	INT
1	L.Jackson	2019	1	BAL	MIA	160	+2.144	+4.0	+1.295	+27.2	+1.383	+29.1	20	324	16.2	5	0
2	S.Darnold	2025	3	SEA	NO	153	+1.877	+3.2	+0.960	+17.3	+0.943	+17.0	18	218	12.1	2	0
3	M.Vick	2010	10	PHI	WAS	151	+1.956	+5.4	+0.774	+22.5	+0.850	+24.6	28	333	11.9	4	0
4	R.Tannehill	2015	7	MIA	HOU	151	+1.856	+5.0	+0.647	+14.9	+0.503	+11.6	19	282	14.8	4	0
5	J.Flacco	2014	6	BAL	TB	147	+1.731	+5.5	+0.984	+27.6	+0.981	+27.5	28	306	10.9	5	0
6	K.Warner	2008	2	ARI	MIA	146	+1.757	+6.0	+0.901	+23.4	+0.943	+24.5	24	361	15.0	3	0
7	L.Jackson	2019	10	BAL	CIN	146	+1.637	+5.9	+1.186	+20.2	+1.357	+23.1	17	223	13.1	3	0
8	D.Carr	2024	2	NO	DAL	144	+1.524	+5.6	+0.727	+12.4	+0.825	+14.0	16	243	15.2	2	1
9	T.Brady	2007	7	NE	MIA	143	+1.649	+5.4	+1.136	+29.5	+1.198	+31.1	25	354	14.2	6	0
10	R.Wilson	2018	13	SEA	SF	143	+1.555	+3.3	+0.462	+9.2	+0.537	+10.7	17	185	10.9	4	0
11	B.Roethlisberger	2010	17	PIT	CLE	142	+1.626	+4.6	+0.911	+20.0	+0.966	+21.2	22	280	12.7	2	0
12	D.Maye	2025	17	NE	NYJ	142	+1.492	+4.9	+1.128	+24.8	+1.327	+29.2	21	256	12.2	5	0
13	P.Rivers	2008	14	SD	OAK	142	+1.600	+3.1	+0.752	+16.5	+0.680	+15.0	22	214	9.7	3	0
14	A.Smith	2013	15	KC	OAK	141	+1.434	+6.9	+0.933	+20.5	+0.887	+19.5	20	287	14.3	5	0
15	M.Mariota	2015	1	TEN	TB	141	+1.503	+4.8	+1.022	+17.4	+1.126	+19.1	15	209	13.9	4	0
16	C.Newton	2015	14	CAR	ATL	140	+1.487	+4.6	+0.699	+16.1	+0.744	+17.1	21	265	12.6	3	0
17	B.Roethlisberger	2016	Post	PIT	MIA	140	+1.294	+4.6	+0.216	+4.1	+0.144	+2.7	18	197	10.9	2	2
18	K.Murray	2024	2	ARI	LA	139	+1.347	+4.1	+0.771	+17.0	+0.823	+18.1	21	266	12.7	3	0
19	B.Roethlisberger	2006	6	PIT	KC	138	+1.401	+3.9	+0.749	+15.0	+0.641	+12.8	19	238	12.5	2	0
20	D.McNabb	2007	3	PHI	DET	138	+1.448	+5.5	+0.874	+23.6	+0.847	+22.9	26	381	14.7	4	0

#	Player	Season	Team	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Rushing
#	Player	Season	Team	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Car	Yds	Y/C	TD
1	J.Allen	2023	BUF	144	+0.554	+15.9	+0.492	+54.6	+0.490	+54.4	111	524	4.7	15
2	L.Jackson	2019	BAL	142	+0.366	+16.4	+0.307	+54.7	+0.308	+54.9	176	1,206	6.9	7
3	C.Newton	2013	CAR	142	+0.402	+11.9	+0.335	+37.2	+0.336	+37.3	111	585	5.3	6
4	C.Newton	2011	CAR	142	+0.439	+14.3	+0.427	+53.8	+0.322	+40.5	126	706	5.6	14
5	J.Allen	2024	BUF	141	+0.533	+12.9	+0.550	+56.1	+0.559	+57.0	102	531	5.2	12
6	C.Newton	2015	CAR	139	+0.293	+9.7	+0.279	+36.8	+0.194	+25.7	132	636	4.8	10
7	M.Vick	2006	ATL	138	+0.413	+14.3	+0.440	+54.1	+0.431	+53.0	123	1,039	8.4	2
8	R.Wilson	2014	SEA	138	+0.448	+11.7	+0.295	+34.8	+0.239	+28.2	118	849	7.2	6
9	C.Newton	2012	CAR	137	+0.417	+14.5	+0.285	+36.2	+0.243	+30.8	127	741	5.8	8
10	C.Newton	2014	CAR	135	+0.417	+11.5	+0.301	+31.0	+0.263	+27.0	103	539	5.2	5
11	R.Griffin	2012	WAS	134	+0.388	+11.7	+0.339	+40.7	+0.297	+35.7	120	815	6.8	7
12	J.Allen	2021	BUF	134	+0.406	+11.4	+0.434	+52.0	+0.474	+56.9	122	763	6.3	6
13	A.Kamara	2017	NO	134	+0.262	+7.4	+0.268	+32.5	+0.253	+30.6	120	728	6.1	8
14	J.Hurts	2025	PHI	134	+0.325	+9.2	+0.190	+19.9	+0.159	+16.7	105	421	4.0	8
15	K.Murray	2020	ARI	131	+0.402	+14.5	+0.334	+44.8	+0.321	+43.0	133	819	6.2	11
16	J.Hurts	2021	PHI	130	+0.360	+11.7	+0.308	+42.8	+0.292	+40.6	139	784	5.6	10
17	J.Fields	2022	CHI	130	+0.513	+25.5	+0.415	+66.4	+0.407	+65.2	160	1,143	7.1	8
18	L.Jackson	2020	BAL	128	+0.372	+15.1	+0.290	+46.1	+0.251	+40.0	159	1,005	6.3	7
19	J.Daniels	2024	WAS	128	+0.387	+15.2	+0.347	+51.8	+0.393	+58.5	148	891	6.0	6
20	J.Hurts	2022	PHI	128	+0.491	+19.2	+0.349	+58.4	+0.298	+49.7	165	760	4.6	13
21	M.Gillislee	2016	BUF	128	+0.216	+6.0	+0.254	+25.7	+0.235	+23.7	101	577	5.7	8
22	J.Allen	2022	BUF	128	+0.488	+16.3	+0.307	+38.4	+0.323	+40.4	124	762	6.1	7
23	C.Newton	2017	CAR	127	+0.200	+7.2	+0.141	+19.7	+0.085	+11.8	139	754	5.4	6
24	C.Newton	2018	CAR	126	+0.244	+5.9	+0.178	+17.9	+0.101	+10.2	101	488	4.8	4
25	W.McGahee	2009	BAL	124	+0.221	+5.3	+0.157	+17.1	+0.102	+11.1	109	544	5.0	12
26	J.Charles	2010	KC	124	+0.161	+9.4	+0.144	+33.1	+0.167	+38.4	230	1,467	6.4	5
27	J.Stewart	2011	CAR	123	+0.243	+9.3	+0.126	+17.8	+0.117	+16.7	142	761	5.4	4
28	J.Allen	2025	BUF	122	+0.225	+6.1	+0.269	+30.1	+0.346	+38.8	112	579	5.2	14
29	D.Williams	2008	CAR	122	+0.175	+13.2	+0.150	+41.2	+0.139	+38.3	274	1,518	5.5	18
30	L.Jackson	2022	BAL	122	+0.395	+11.8	+0.337	+37.7	+0.355	+39.8	112	764	6.8	3
31	R.Wilson	2015	SEA	122	+0.154	+3.6	+0.065	+6.7	+0.039	+4.0	103	553	5.4	1
32	R.Brown	2007	MIA	121	+0.191	+6.8	+0.197	+23.6	+0.197	+23.6	119	602	5.1	4
33	D.Maye	2025	NE	121	+0.215	+5.0	+0.174	+18.1	+0.108	+11.2	103	450	4.4	4
34	D.Johnson	2021	CLE	121	+0.262	+5.0	+0.101	+10.1	+0.064	+6.4	100	534	5.3	3
35	M.Jones-Drew	2006	JAX	120	+0.221	+9.6	+0.193	+32.1	+0.150	+24.9	166	941	5.7	13
36	B.Green-Ellis	2010	NE	120	+0.136	+6.4	+0.141	+32.3	+0.103	+23.6	229	1,008	4.4	13
37	C.Ivory	2010	NO	120	+0.132	+5.1	+0.115	+15.7	+0.075	+10.2	137	716	5.2	5
38	J.Hurts	2023	PHI	120	+0.266	+11.5	+0.187	+29.4	+0.136	+21.3	157	605	3.9	15
39	D.Jones	2022	NYG	119	+0.352	+11.2	+0.340	+40.7	+0.327	+39.3	120	708	5.9	7
40	J.Hurts	2024	PHI	119	+0.269	+10.7	+0.217	+32.9	+0.268	+40.7	150	630	4.2	14
41	L.McCoy	2010	PHI	118	+0.121	+6.0	+0.090	+18.7	+0.059	+12.3	207	1,080	5.2	7
42	D.Lewis	2017	NE	118	+0.128	+5.6	+0.125	+22.4	+0.103	+18.6	180	896	5.0	6
43	D.Achane	2023	MIA	118	+0.245	+5.0	+0.283	+29.1	+0.323	+33.2	103	800	7.8	8
44	J.Addai	2010	IND	118	+0.117	+4.1	+0.044	+5.1	+0.032	+3.7	116	495	4.3	4
45	C.Newton	2020	NE	117	+0.245	+8.9	+0.164	+22.9	+0.132	+18.4	137	592	4.3	12
46	L.McCoy	2016	BUF	117	+0.125	+8.6	+0.123	+29.0	+0.064	+15.1	234	1,267	5.4	13
47	K.Drake	2019	ARI	117	+0.152	+4.8	+0.146	+18.0	+0.096	+11.8	123	643	5.2	8
48	L.Tomlinson	2006	SD	116	+0.176	+16.5	+0.174	+60.7	+0.122	+42.4	349	1,815	5.2	28
49	R.Grant	2007	GB	116	+0.147	+6.9	+0.069	+12.9	+0.020	+3.8	188	956	5.1	8
50	J.Charles	2009	KC	116	+0.145	+8.3	+0.138	+26.3	+0.118	+22.5	190	1,120	5.9	7

#	Player	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Rushing
#	Player	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Car	Yds	Y/C	TD
1	C.Johnson	2008	13	TEN	DET	172	+1.923	+3.4	+0.330	+5.3	+0.389	+6.2	16	125	7.8	2
2	R.Grant	2011	14	GB	OAK	169	+1.827	+2.1	+0.577	+5.8	+0.365	+3.7	10	85	8.5	2
3	J.Allen	2018	3	BUF	MIN	165	+1.695	+2.2	+0.765	+7.6	+0.613	+6.1	10	39	3.9	2
4	J.Gibbs	2024	8	DET	TEN	164	+1.719	+2.2	+0.603	+6.6	+0.573	+6.3	11	127	11.5	1
5	A.Bradshaw	2009	5	NYG	OAK	159	+1.558	+2.5	+0.727	+8.0	+0.515	+5.7	11	110	10.0	2
6	B.Tate	2011	9	HOU	CLE	159	+1.581	+2.1	+0.611	+7.3	+0.529	+6.3	12	115	9.6	1
7	M.Ingram	2019	1	BAL	MIA	158	+1.477	+2.1	+0.606	+8.5	+0.540	+7.6	14	107	7.6	2
8	D.Montgomery	2020	14	CHI	HOU	157	+1.600	+2.6	+0.532	+5.9	+0.487	+5.4	11	113	10.3	1
9	J.Fields	2022	17	CHI	DET	155	+1.487	+3.3	+0.828	+8.3	+0.921	+9.2	10	132	13.2	0
10	D.Maye	2025	Post	NE	DEN	154	+1.342	+3.4	+0.925	+9.2	+0.773	+7.7	10	65	6.5	1
11	D.Henry	2018	14	TEN	JAX	152	+1.361	+3.5	+0.855	+14.5	+0.834	+14.2	17	238	14.0	4
12	M.Jones-Drew	2006	14	JAX	IND	152	+1.371	+3.4	+0.624	+9.4	+0.558	+8.4	15	166	11.1	2
13	C.Taylor	2007	13	MIN	DET	147	+1.186	+2.0	+0.286	+4.0	+0.214	+3.0	14	70	5.0	1
14	J.Stewart	2015	Post	CAR	SEA	145	+1.037	+2.5	+0.230	+4.4	+0.096	+1.8	19	106	5.6	2
15	C.Kaepernick	2012	Post	SF	GB	145	+1.136	+5.3	+0.816	+13.1	+0.627	+10.0	16	181	11.3	2
16	D.Murray	2016	10	TEN	GB	144	+1.078	+2.1	+0.144	+2.5	+0.017	+0.3	17	123	7.2	1
17	C.Newton	2014	14	CAR	NO	143	+1.052	+2.5	+0.785	+9.4	+0.769	+9.2	12	83	6.9	1
18	C.Kaepernick	2013	7	SF	TEN	143	+1.044	+2.0	+0.398	+4.4	+0.361	+4.0	11	68	6.2	1
19	M.Jones-Drew	2006	5	JAX	NYJ	142	+1.116	+1.6	+0.567	+7.4	+0.375	+4.9	13	59	4.5	2
20	R.Mostert	2019	Post	SF	GB	141	+1.054	+3.1	+0.452	+13.1	+0.482	+14.0	29	220	7.6	4

#	Player	Season	Team	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Receiving
#	Player	Season	Team	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Tgt	Rec	Yds	Y/R	TD
1	T.Lockett	2018	SEA	137	+1.042	+20.6	+0.972	+69.0	+1.055	+74.9	70	57	965	16.9	10
2	D.Kincaid	2025	BUF	130	+0.829	+12.6	+0.726	+36.3	+0.788	+39.4	49	39	571	14.6	5
3	A.Gates	2010	SD	130	+0.812	+13.5	+0.750	+48.8	+0.903	+58.7	65	50	782	15.6	10
4	C.Hogan	2016	NE	130	+0.732	+9.9	+0.468	+27.1	+0.480	+27.9	58	38	680	17.9	4
5	M.Andrews	2018	BAL	129	+0.861	+12.1	+0.732	+36.6	+0.775	+38.8	50	34	552	16.2	3
6	T.Lockett	2015	SEA	128	+0.723	+13.2	+0.689	+47.6	+0.772	+53.3	69	51	664	13.0	6
7	A.Boldin	2013	SF	128	+0.736	+28.1	+0.604	+77.9	+0.684	+88.3	129	85	1,179	13.9	7
8	D.Goedert	2022	PHI	127	+0.658	+13.1	+0.622	+42.9	+0.655	+45.2	69	55	702	12.8	3
9	T.Williams	2019	OAK	126	+0.737	+12.0	+0.413	+26.4	+0.451	+28.8	64	42	651	15.5	6
10	J.Nelson	2011	GB	126	+0.830	+20.5	+0.849	+81.5	+0.871	+83.6	96	68	1,263	18.6	15
11	J.Reed	2013	WAS	126	+0.711	+10.4	+0.529	+32.3	+0.546	+33.3	60	45	499	11.1	3
12	K.Britt	2010	TEN	126	+0.724	+13.7	+0.588	+43.5	+0.620	+45.9	73	42	775	18.5	9
13	A.Pierce	2025	IND	126	+0.739	+16.5	+0.608	+51.0	+0.664	+55.8	84	47	1,003	21.3	6
14	M.Wallace	2010	PIT	125	+0.713	+18.6	+0.699	+68.5	+0.710	+69.5	98	60	1,257	20.9	10
15	M.Colston	2011	NO	125	+0.800	+19.9	+0.700	+69.3	+0.808	+80.0	109	82	1,164	14.2	8
16	R.Meachem	2009	NO	125	+0.721	+10.6	+0.722	+46.2	+0.701	+44.8	64	45	722	16.0	9
17	R.Gronkowski	2017	NE	125	+0.660	+19.4	+0.637	+67.6	+0.704	+74.6	105	69	1,084	15.7	8
18	V.Davis	2010	SF	125	+0.698	+15.8	+0.503	+44.7	+0.465	+41.4	93	56	914	16.3	7
19	T.Kelce	2016	KC	125	+0.636	+20.0	+0.564	+66.6	+0.600	+70.8	117	85	1,125	13.2	4
20	E.Royal	2013	SD	124	+0.669	+12.5	+0.590	+39.5	+0.653	+43.7	67	47	631	13.4	8
21	R.Gronkowski	2010	NE	124	+0.684	+8.8	+0.689	+40.6	+0.744	+43.9	59	42	546	13.0	10
22	J.Avant	2009	PHI	124	+0.700	+8.7	+0.597	+35.2	+0.611	+36.1	58	41	587	14.3	3
23	S.Watkins	2015	BUF	124	+0.641	+16.8	+0.666	+61.9	+0.718	+66.8	96	60	1,047	17.4	9
24	J.Cook	2019	NO	124	+0.684	+12.0	+0.566	+36.8	+0.561	+36.4	65	43	705	16.4	9
25	D.Hopkins	2021	ARI	123	+0.685	+12.3	+0.600	+38.4	+0.662	+42.4	64	42	572	13.6	8
26	R.Tonyan	2020	GB	123	+0.724	+11.0	+0.749	+44.2	+0.742	+43.8	59	52	586	11.3	11
27	J.Waddle	2022	MIA	123	+0.591	+19.9	+0.568	+67.0	+0.644	+76.0	117	75	1,356	18.1	8
28	M.Floyd	2011	SD	123	+0.752	+13.9	+0.792	+55.5	+0.902	+63.1	70	43	856	19.9	5
29	J.Smith-Schuster	2017	PIT	123	+0.624	+13.6	+0.624	+49.3	+0.674	+53.2	79	58	917	15.8	7
30	M.Andrews	2024	BAL	123	+0.679	+13.2	+0.656	+45.3	+0.726	+50.1	69	55	673	12.2	11
31	K.Stills	2013	NO	123	+0.641	+8.5	+0.712	+35.6	+0.801	+40.0	50	32	641	20.0	5
32	T.Hill	2019	KC	122	+0.654	+16.6	+0.544	+48.4	+0.563	+50.1	89	58	860	14.8	7
33	E.Sanders	2014	DEN	122	+0.683	+24.1	+0.564	+80.1	+0.582	+82.6	141	101	1,404	13.9	9
34	V.Jackson	2009	SD	122	+0.658	+20.7	+0.645	+69.0	+0.721	+77.1	107	68	1,167	17.2	9
35	D.Goedert	2021	PHI	122	+0.653	+14.0	+0.643	+49.5	+0.693	+53.4	76	56	830	14.8	4
36	J.Nelson	2012	GB	122	+0.662	+13.7	+0.614	+45.4	+0.661	+48.9	73	49	745	15.2	7
37	S.Rice	2009	MIN	122	+0.652	+19.8	+0.684	+83.4	+0.736	+89.8	122	84	1,312	15.6	8
38	H.Henry	2017	LAC	122	+0.598	+11.8	+0.542	+33.6	+0.628	+38.9	62	45	579	12.9	4
39	J.Thomas	2013	DEN	122	+0.620	+16.0	+0.577	+51.9	+0.568	+51.2	90	65	788	12.1	12
40	R.Higgins	2020	CLE	122	+0.692	+10.1	+0.645	+33.5	+0.695	+36.1	52	37	599	16.2	4
41	H.Henry	2016	SD	122	+0.580	+9.2	+0.561	+30.3	+0.644	+34.8	53	36	478	13.3	8
42	N.Brown	2023	HOU	121	+0.629	+8.9	+0.362	+20.3	+0.373	+20.9	55	33	567	17.2	2
43	A.Lazard	2021	GB	121	+0.642	+10.9	+0.523	+31.4	+0.610	+36.6	60	40	513	12.8	8
44	R.Bateman	2024	BAL	121	+0.646	+11.7	+0.572	+41.2	+0.625	+45.0	72	45	756	16.8	9
45	S.Moss	2012	WAS	121	+0.645	+9.9	+0.494	+30.6	+0.550	+34.1	62	41	573	14.0	8
46	R.Meachem	2011	NO	121	+0.701	+9.5	+0.483	+26.1	+0.457	+24.7	61	41	658	16.0	6
47	C.Godwin	2020	TB	121	+0.678	+14.2	+0.642	+54.0	+0.657	+55.2	84	65	840	12.9	7
48	P.Nacua	2025	LA	121	+0.636	+31.4	+0.596	+99.0	+0.697	+115.7	166	129	1,715	13.3	10
49	D.Jackson	2010	PHI	121	+0.615	+16.6	+0.476	+45.6	+0.466	+44.7	96	47	1,056	22.5	6
50	B.Aiyuk	2023	SF	121	+0.615	+18.4	+0.724	+76.1	+0.779	+81.8	105	75	1,342	17.9	7

#	Player	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Receiving
#	Player	Season	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Tgt	Rec	Yds	Y/R	TD
1	K.Golladay	2019	13	DET	CHI	156	+3.402	+4.9	+3.087	+15.4	+2.716	+13.6	5	4	158	39.5	1
2	J.Charles	2013	15	KC	OAK	152	+3.280	+6.6	+2.512	+20.1	+2.469	+19.7	8	8	195	24.4	4
3	R.Cooper	2013	9	PHI	OAK	150	+3.187	+3.6	+2.039	+12.2	+2.372	+14.2	6	5	139	27.8	3
4	J.Maclin	2009	5	PHI	TB	149	+3.156	+3.5	+1.480	+11.8	+1.421	+11.4	8	6	142	23.7	2
5	T.Smith	2011	3	BAL	STL	149	+3.227	+4.9	+1.778	+14.2	+1.602	+12.8	8	5	152	30.4	3
6	G.Davis	2022	5	BUF	PIT	148	+2.794	+3.6	+1.440	+8.6	+1.252	+7.5	6	3	171	57.0	2
7	D.Bryant	2014	17	DAL	WAS	143	+2.818	+3.9	+1.504	+9.0	+1.082	+6.5	6	4	99	24.8	2
8	S.Rice	2010	13	MIN	BUF	142	+2.665	+3.5	+1.151	+6.9	+0.942	+5.7	6	5	105	21.0	2
9	J.Jones	2009	9	GB	TB	142	+2.730	+3.1	+1.218	+7.3	+1.254	+7.5	6	4	103	25.8	1
10	J.Nailor	2025	10	MIN	BAL	142	+2.538	+2.9	+2.117	+12.7	+2.545	+15.3	6	5	124	24.8	1
11	A.Brown	2025	7	PHI	MIN	141	+2.516	+3.7	+2.058	+12.3	+2.416	+14.5	6	4	121	30.2	2
12	V.Davis	2010	13	SF	GB	141	+2.574	+2.8	+1.476	+8.9	+1.718	+10.3	6	4	126	31.5	1
13	T.Hill	2023	13	MIA	WAS	141	+2.550	+4.0	+1.727	+12.1	+2.074	+14.5	7	5	157	31.4	2
14	D.Baldwin	2016	3	SEA	SF	141	+2.408	+2.7	+1.192	+11.9	+1.472	+14.7	10	8	164	20.5	1
15	J.Jones	2012	8	ATL	PHI	140	+2.558	+2.7	+2.035	+10.2	+2.355	+11.8	5	5	123	24.6	1
16	M.Jones	2013	8	CIN	NYJ	140	+2.548	+3.4	+1.969	+15.7	+2.065	+16.5	8	8	122	15.2	4
17	T.Smith	2014	6	BAL	TB	139	+2.589	+3.0	+1.655	+8.3	+1.368	+6.8	5	4	51	12.8	2
18	B.Cooks	2015	16	NO	JAX	138	+2.299	+3.3	+1.275	+8.9	+1.281	+9.0	7	5	123	24.6	1
19	D.Alexander	2012	10	SD	TB	138	+2.441	+4.7	+1.863	+13.0	+1.624	+11.4	7	5	134	26.8	1
20	J.Taylor	2021	5	IND	BAL	138	+2.401	+3.4	+1.721	+8.6	+1.838	+9.2	4	3	116	38.7	1

Great seasons and great games - not a verdict on the best players ever. Case Keenum's 2017 belongs on this list, and it should. Qualifying: passing 200 a season and 15 a game; rushing 100 a season and 10 a game; receiving 50 a season and 5 a game, and a full play's worth of leverage. Receiving starts in 2009.

The League by Season

League excitement by season, 2006 to 2025: highest 2013 (1.16), lowest 2014 (0.977).

Averages per regular-season game. Spread is how far apart the teams were: the standard deviation of net Contested CASE per play across the league.

All of it, down to the play: every season, on GitHub .