History: 2007

Every completed season since 2006, on one scale. CASE+ measures each team, game and player against its own season: 100 is that year's average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. A 130 in 2007 and a 130 in 2023 mean the same thing.

All-time 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Teams

#	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Net yds	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	NE	16–0	126	+0.250	+75.0	+0.237	+314.0	589	274	+1,967	+0.210	14.0	0.76	0.58
2	IND	13–3	117	+0.161	+52.2	+0.146	+186.0	450	262	+1,264	+0.091	14.1	0.78	0.67
3	GB	13–3	112	+0.119	+40.2	+0.111	+141.1	435	291	+920	+0.059	12.2	1.04	0.70
4	SD	11–5	112	+0.113	+33.6	+0.100	+128.0	412	284	−81	−0.021	10.1	0.87	0.60
5	DAL	13–3	109	+0.088	+30.4	+0.103	+131.0	455	325	+924	+0.075	11.3	1.14	0.70
6	JAX	11–5	108	+0.080	+26.3	+0.081	+104.1	411	304	+698	+0.074	10.4	0.83	0.66
7	SEA	10–6	108	+0.076	+26.7	+0.076	+102.0	393	291	+442	−0.030	9.6	1.07	0.68
8	PIT	10–6	107	+0.070	+21.6	+0.100	+124.0	393	269	+977	+0.043	9.8	0.79	0.66
9	TB	9–7	107	+0.066	+21.1	+0.052	+65.0	334	270	+768	−0.036	10.3	0.94	0.67
10	WAS	9–7	106	+0.064	+22.6	+0.017	+23.0	334	310	+454	−0.066	10.2	1.19	0.71
11	TEN	10–6	103	+0.034	+12.3	+0.006	+7.8	301	297	+322	−0.062	9.5	1.16	0.75
12	CLE	10–6	103	+0.031	+10.2	+0.016	+19.0	402	382	−133	−0.037	9.3	1.10	0.67
13	MIN	8–8	103	+0.026	+9.0	+0.040	+52.1	365	311	−39	−0.063	8.3	1.16	0.67
14	PHI	8–8	102	+0.017	+6.6	+0.029	+37.9	336	300	+747	−0.008	9.0	1.25	0.78
15	NYG	10–6	101	+0.015	+5.6	+0.016	+21.0	373	351	+415	−0.047	9.4	1.15	0.72
16	HOU	8–8*	101	+0.011	+1.6	+0.007	+6.5	379	384	−255	−0.012	7.6	0.82	0.63
17	ARI	8–8	100	0.000	−0.3	+0.005	+6.9	404	399	+218	−0.090	8.2	1.38	0.72
18	NO	7–9	99	−0.006	−1.2	−0.014	−12.8	379	388	+219	−0.031	7.4	0.91	0.65
19	CIN	7–9	99	−0.011	−3.4	−0.006	−6.9	380	385	−12	−0.004	7.4	0.99	0.69
20	BUF	7–9	97	−0.023	−7.8	−0.079	−98.2	252	354	−1,375	−0.111	6.3	1.15	0.71
21	CHI	7–9	97	−0.024	−10.2	−0.009	−12.1	334	348	−983	−0.130	5.5	1.46	0.77
22	DEN	7–9	97	−0.028	−9.5	−0.070	−89.0	320	409	+165	−0.019	8.0	0.92	0.65
23	DET	7–9	95	−0.046	−15.4	−0.070	−97.0	346	444	−877	−0.085	7.7	1.00	0.60
24	NYJ	4–12	93	−0.067	−24.4	−0.068	−87.0	268	355	−594	−0.085	4.3	1.08	0.74
25	CAR	7–9	91	−0.081	−27.6	−0.062	−80.0	267	347	−663	−0.096	6.1	0.85	0.69
26	KC	4–12	90	−0.095	−34.8	−0.084	−109.0	226	335	−678	−0.139	4.2	1.04	0.74
27	STL	3–13	90	−0.095	−32.3	−0.134	−175.0	263	438	−710	−0.148	4.9	1.04	0.68
28	BAL	5–11	89	−0.101	−31.8	−0.083	−110.0	275	384	+7	−0.121	5.8	0.92	0.62
29	OAK	4–12	89	−0.104	−37.1	−0.091	−116.0	283	398	−748	−0.106	4.7	1.06	0.73
30	ATL	4–12*	85	−0.139	−46.4	−0.133	−162.7	259	414	−771	−0.177	3.4	1.00	0.71
31	SF	5–11	83	−0.160	−51.8	−0.117	−143.1	219	364	−1,722	−0.203	3.0	1.12	0.69
32	MIA	1–15	81	−0.184	−60.9	−0.135	−171.0	267	437	−866	−0.078	2.9	0.83	0.69

#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Net yds	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	14	IND	BAL	W 44–20	142	+1.331	+9.3	+0.362	+25.4	+91	+0.268	100%	0.28	0.24
2	8	SD	HOU	W 35–10	134	+1.077	+7.9	+0.333	+24.6	−130	+0.111	100%	0.28	0.29
3	7	NE	MIA	W 49–28	131	+0.987	+8.4	+0.350	+22.4	+61	+0.442	100%	0.31	0.27
4	9	PIT	BAL	W 38–7	131	+0.977	+7.7	+0.402	+30.6	+187	+0.047	100%	0.23	0.26
5	16	JAX	OAK	W 49–11	129	+0.922	+6.9	+0.460	+36.6	+222	+0.367	100%	0.31	0.30
6	2	NE	SD	W 38–14	127	+0.853	+8.1	+0.308	+23.6	+206	+0.209	100%	0.40	0.36
7	15	SD	DET	W 51–14	125	+0.792	+7.1	+0.412	+35.6	+88	+0.186	100%	0.17	0.27
8	11	NE	BUF	W 56–10	125	+0.779	+7.4	+0.587	+46.4	+281	+0.531	100%	0.25	0.33
9	14	MIN	SF	W 27–7	123	+0.720	+8.0	+0.217	+20.4	−5	−0.022	100%	0.47	0.35
10	15	TB	ATL	W 37–3	123	+0.713	+7.0	+0.606	+32.6	+152	−0.007	100%	0.30	0.35
11	3	PHI	DET	W 56–21	122	+0.695	+7.5	+0.415	+33.6	+104	+0.422	100%	0.46	0.33
12	16	NE	MIA	W 28–7	122	+0.692	+6.5	+0.247	+19.6	+159	+0.123	100%	0.23	0.30
13	5	SD	DEN	W 41–3	121	+0.671	+7.0	+0.537	+38.4	+188	+0.367	100%	0.25	0.38
14	14	BUF	MIA	W 38–17	121	+0.662	+7.6	+0.234	+20.6	+104	+0.001	100%	0.48	0.35
15	12	DAL	NYJ	W 34–3	120	+0.645	+6.8	+0.428	+30.6	+164	+0.098	100%	0.26	0.39
16	4	CLE	BAL	W 27–13	120	+0.632	+6.8	+0.192	+13.6	−115	+0.101	100%	0.38	0.38
17	13	MIN	DET	W 42–10	119	+0.591	+6.5	+0.379	+30.6	+189	+0.317	100%	0.32	0.41
18	16	WAS	MIN	W 32–21	119	+0.587	+6.7	+0.149	+12.4	+68	−0.014	100%	0.41	0.43
19	2	TB	NO	W 31–14	118	+0.574	+6.5	+0.236	+15.6	−13	+0.155	100%	0.32	0.40
20	14	SEA	ARI	W 42–21	118	+0.568	+6.7	+0.234	+19.6	−6	+0.176	100%	0.46	0.38

#	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Yards	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	NE	16–0	130	+0.244	+73.4	+0.218	+290.3	589	274	6,580	+0.210	14.0	0.76	0.58
2	IND	13–3	117	+0.146	+47.5	+0.136	+173.9	450	262	5,739	+0.091	14.1	0.78	0.67
3	GB	13–3	114	+0.119	+40.2	+0.107	+135.6	435	291	5,933	+0.059	12.2	1.04	0.70
4	JAX	11–5	111	+0.096	+31.2	+0.096	+123.5	411	304	5,719	+0.074	10.4	0.83	0.66
5	DAL	13–3	110	+0.091	+31.3	+0.100	+126.6	455	325	5,846	+0.075	11.3	1.14	0.70
6	PIT	10–6	108	+0.074	+23.0	+0.085	+105.6	393	269	5,239	+0.043	9.8	0.79	0.66
7	HOU	8–8*	107	+0.067	+18.6	+0.059	+68.4	379	384	4,939	−0.012	7.6	0.82	0.63
8	NO	7–9	105	+0.054	+17.9	+0.042	+57.0	379	388	5,789	−0.031	7.4	0.91	0.65
9	CLE	10–6	105	+0.052	+17.6	+0.045	+58.6	402	382	5,620	−0.037	9.3	1.10	0.67
10	DEN	7–9	104	+0.044	+13.6	+0.001	+1.0	320	409	5,541	−0.019	8.0	0.92	0.65
11	SD	11–5	103	+0.039	+11.2	+0.037	+46.9	412	284	5,044	−0.021	10.1	0.87	0.60
12	CIN	7–9	103	+0.039	+13.4	+0.036	+47.3	380	385	5,567	−0.004	7.4	0.99	0.69
13	PHI	8–8	103	+0.037	+14.2	+0.041	+53.2	336	300	5,729	−0.008	9.0	1.25	0.78
14	SEA	10–6	102	+0.034	+11.9	+0.024	+31.5	393	291	5,591	−0.030	9.6	1.07	0.68
15	NYG	10–6	100	+0.020	+7.1	+0.001	+1.1	373	351	5,304	−0.047	9.4	1.15	0.72
16	DET	7–9	100	+0.017	+5.0	+0.001	+1.9	346	444	5,165	−0.085	7.7	1.00	0.60
17	TB	9–7	98	+0.005	+1.7	+0.007	+8.3	334	270	5,229	−0.036	10.3	0.94	0.67
18	MIN	8–8	98	+0.005	+1.5	+0.020	+25.0	365	311	5,375	−0.063	8.3	1.16	0.67
19	WAS	9–7	97	−0.002	−0.6	−0.009	−12.0	334	310	5,335	−0.066	10.2	1.19	0.71
20	TEN	10–6	97	−0.003	−1.1	−0.013	−17.2	301	297	4,987	−0.062	9.5	1.16	0.75
21	BUF	7–9	96	−0.010	−3.2	−0.038	−44.8	252	354	4,434	−0.111	6.3	1.15	0.71
22	ARI	8–8	96	−0.014	−5.4	−0.009	−12.3	404	399	5,507	−0.090	8.2	1.38	0.72
23	NYJ	4–12	94	−0.025	−9.2	−0.015	−19.3	268	355	4,716	−0.085	4.3	1.08	0.74
24	STL	3–13	94	−0.028	−9.7	−0.053	−70.7	263	438	4,760	−0.148	4.9	1.04	0.68
25	CAR	7–9	91	−0.048	−16.2	−0.050	−64.4	267	347	4,536	−0.096	6.1	0.85	0.69
26	OAK	4–12	91	−0.049	−18.2	−0.041	−54.1	283	398	4,718	−0.106	4.7	1.06	0.73
27	CHI	7–9	91	−0.052	−21.1	−0.040	−54.3	334	348	4,692	−0.130	5.5	1.46	0.77
28	MIA	1–15	90	−0.055	−18.1	−0.016	−20.0	267	437	4,609	−0.078	2.9	0.83	0.69
29	ATL	4–12*	88	−0.069	−23.2	−0.080	−96.8	259	414	4,519	−0.177	3.4	1.00	0.71
30	KC	4–12	88	−0.072	−26.7	−0.082	−107.6	226	335	4,429	−0.139	4.2	1.04	0.74
31	BAL	5–11	87	−0.080	−25.6	−0.075	−99.6	275	384	4,832	−0.121	5.8	0.92	0.62
32	SF	5–11	80	−0.132	−41.7	−0.123	−151.1	219	364	3,800	−0.203	3.0	1.12	0.69

#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Yards	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	7	NE	MIA	W 49–28	144	+0.939	+8.0	+0.416	+28.3	443	+0.442	100%	0.31	0.27
2	3	PHI	DET	W 56–21	139	+0.848	+9.2	+0.414	+33.6	536	+0.422	100%	0.46	0.33
3	16	JAX	OAK	W 49–11	135	+0.753	+4.9	+0.310	+23.6	437	+0.367	100%	0.31	0.30
4	8	SD	HOU	W 35–10	134	+0.731	+4.2	+0.165	+9.4	237	+0.111	100%	0.28	0.29
5	13	MIN	DET	W 42–10	134	+0.725	+8.1	+0.421	+33.2	443	+0.317	100%	0.32	0.41
6	11	NE	BUF	W 56–10	131	+0.672	+6.4	+0.425	+35.3	510	+0.531	100%	0.25	0.33
7	14	IND	BAL	W 44–20	131	+0.669	+5.0	+0.281	+18.8	334	+0.268	100%	0.28	0.24
8	17	HOU	JAX	W 42–28	125	+0.548	+8.9	+0.428	+29.5	290	+0.264	94%	0.69	0.59
9	16	NE	MIA	W 28–7	125	+0.545	+5.1	+0.171	+12.8	400	+0.123	100%	0.23	0.30
10	14	DEN	KC	W 41–7	124	+0.523	+5.8	+0.252	+19.7	453	+0.267	100%	0.21	0.38
11	4	CLE	BAL	W 27–13	121	+0.471	+4.8	+0.154	+10.1	303	+0.101	100%	0.38	0.38
12	2	CLE	CIN	W 51–45	121	+0.456	+11.1	+0.398	+33.1	554	+0.311	99%	1.48	0.74
13	11	DEN	TEN	W 34–20	121	+0.456	+5.6	+0.264	+17.2	359	+0.307	100%	0.65	0.55
14	16	IND	HOU	W 38–15	120	+0.449	+7.0	+0.287	+24.1	458	+0.298	100%	0.35	0.46
15	17	GB	DET	W 34–13	120	+0.448	+6.0	+0.203	+16.2	394	+0.148	100%	0.40	0.42
16	9	DAL	PHI	W 38–17	120	+0.440	+6.4	+0.379	+26.9	434	+0.394	100%	0.34	0.49
17	9	PIT	BAL	W 38–7	120	+0.434	+4.1	+0.103	+8.7	291	+0.047	100%	0.23	0.26
18	16	PIT	STL	W 41–24	119	+0.428	+9.8	+0.369	+28.4	425	+0.382	97%	0.79	0.74
19	14	NE	PIT	W 34–13	119	+0.423	+7.1	+0.351	+25.3	421	+0.321	100%	0.51	0.61
20	13	DAL	GB	W 37–27	119	+0.414	+8.5	+0.303	+24.6	414	+0.231	98%	1.02	0.67

#	Team	Record	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard				Context
#	Team	Record	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	PF	PA	Yds allowed	Off. EPA	Exp. wins	Excitement	Tension
1	SD	11–5	120	−0.074	−22.4	−0.063	−81.1	412	284	5,125	−0.021	10.1	0.87	0.60
2	WAS	9–7	118	−0.066	−23.2	−0.026	−35.0	334	310	4,881	−0.066	10.2	1.19	0.71
3	TB	9–7	117	−0.061	−19.4	−0.046	−56.6	334	270	4,461	−0.036	10.3	0.94	0.67
4	SEA	10–6	113	−0.042	−14.8	−0.052	−70.5	393	291	5,149	−0.030	9.6	1.07	0.68
5	TEN	10–6	111	−0.037	−13.3	−0.020	−25.0	301	297	4,665	−0.062	9.5	1.16	0.75
6	CHI	7–9	109	−0.028	−10.9	−0.031	−42.2	334	348	5,675	−0.130	5.5	1.46	0.77
7	MIN	8–8	108	−0.021	−7.5	−0.020	−27.0	365	311	5,414	−0.063	8.3	1.16	0.67
8	IND	13–3	107	−0.015	−4.7	−0.010	−12.2	450	262	4,475	+0.091	14.1	0.78	0.67
9	ARI	8–8	106	−0.014	−5.1	−0.015	−19.2	404	399	5,289	−0.090	8.2	1.38	0.72
10	NE	16–0	105	−0.006	−1.6	−0.019	−23.8	589	274	4,613	+0.210	14.0	0.76	0.58
11	GB	13–3	103	0.000	−0.1	−0.004	−5.5	435	291	5,013	+0.059	12.2	1.04	0.70
12	DAL	13–3	103	+0.003	+0.9	−0.003	−4.4	455	325	4,922	+0.075	11.3	1.14	0.70
13	NYG	10–6	102	+0.004	+1.6	−0.015	−19.9	373	351	4,889	−0.047	9.4	1.15	0.72
14	PIT	10–6	102	+0.004	+1.4	−0.015	−18.4	393	269	4,262	+0.043	9.8	0.79	0.66
15	BUF	7–9	100	+0.013	+4.6	+0.041	+53.4	252	354	5,809	−0.111	6.3	1.15	0.71
16	JAX	11–5	100	+0.016	+5.0	+0.016	+19.4	411	304	5,021	+0.074	10.4	0.83	0.66
17	PHI	8–8	99	+0.020	+7.6	+0.012	+15.2	336	300	4,982	−0.008	9.0	1.25	0.78
18	BAL	5–11	99	+0.021	+6.2	+0.008	+10.4	275	384	4,825	−0.121	5.8	0.92	0.62
19	CLE	10–6	99	+0.021	+7.4	+0.029	+39.6	402	382	5,753	−0.037	9.3	1.10	0.67
20	KC	4–12	98	+0.023	+8.0	+0.001	+1.4	226	335	5,107	−0.139	4.2	1.04	0.74
21	SF	5–11	97	+0.028	+10.2	−0.006	−8.1	219	364	5,522	−0.203	3.0	1.12	0.69
22	CAR	7–9	96	+0.032	+11.5	+0.012	+15.6	267	347	5,199	−0.096	6.1	0.85	0.69
23	NYJ	4–12	94	+0.042	+15.2	+0.053	+67.7	268	355	5,310	−0.085	4.3	1.08	0.74
24	CIN	7–9	93	+0.049	+16.8	+0.043	+54.3	380	385	5,579	−0.004	7.4	0.99	0.69
25	OAK	4–12	91	+0.055	+18.9	+0.050	+61.9	283	398	5,466	−0.106	4.7	1.06	0.73
26	HOU	8–8*	91	+0.056	+17.0	+0.052	+61.9	379	384	5,194	−0.012	7.6	0.82	0.63
27	NO	7–9	90	+0.061	+19.1	+0.057	+69.8	379	388	5,570	−0.031	7.4	0.91	0.65
28	DET	7–9	89	+0.063	+20.4	+0.071	+98.9	346	444	6,042	−0.085	7.7	1.00	0.60
29	STL	3–13	88	+0.068	+22.6	+0.081	+104.3	263	438	5,470	−0.148	4.9	1.04	0.68
30	ATL	4–12*	88	+0.070	+23.2	+0.053	+65.9	259	414	5,290	−0.177	3.4	1.00	0.71
31	DEN	7–9	87	+0.072	+23.2	+0.071	+90.0	320	409	5,376	−0.019	8.0	0.92	0.65
32	MIA	1–15	75	+0.129	+42.9	+0.120	+150.9	267	437	5,475	−0.078	2.9	0.83	0.69

#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		Standard		Context
#	Wk	Team	Opp	Result	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Yds allowed	Off. EPA	Win exp.	Excitement	Tension
1	14	IND	BAL	W 44–20	132	−0.662	−4.2	−0.081	−6.6	243	+0.268	100%	0.28	0.24
2	2	NE	SD	W 38–14	131	−0.631	−5.4	−0.151	−10.7	201	+0.209	100%	0.40	0.36
3	12	DAL	NYJ	W 34–3	128	−0.563	−5.8	−0.324	−22.4	180	+0.098	100%	0.26	0.39
4	16	WAS	MIN	W 32–21	127	−0.560	−6.3	−0.091	−7.6	299	−0.014	100%	0.41	0.43
5	15	TB	ATL	W 37–3	127	−0.546	−5.3	−0.566	−28.9	133	−0.007	100%	0.30	0.35
6	9	PIT	BAL	W 38–7	127	−0.542	−3.6	−0.299	−21.9	104	+0.047	100%	0.23	0.26
7	14	MIN	SF	W 27–7	126	−0.525	−6.1	−0.264	−23.7	285	−0.022	100%	0.47	0.35
8	16	SEA	BAL	W 27–6	124	−0.485	−6.1	−0.302	−23.9	293	−0.036	100%	0.38	0.43
9	1	PIT	CLE	W 34–7	122	−0.446	−6.3	−0.273	−21.3	221	+0.060	100%	0.30	0.41
10	11	TB	ATL	W 31–7	122	−0.441	−8.1	−0.283	−25.2	275	−0.048	100%	0.42	0.52
11	16	CHI	GB	W 35–7	122	−0.439	−5.1	−0.382	−26.0	274	−0.031	100%	0.52	0.59
12	15	NE	NYJ	W 20–10	121	−0.427	−7.3	−0.249	−19.4	236	−0.153	100%	1.01	0.62
13	6	BAL	STL	W 22–3	121	−0.425	−6.5	−0.287	−23.8	264	−0.147	100%	0.48	0.53
14	7	TEN	HOU	W 38–36	121	−0.422	−6.6	−0.075	−6.1	333	−0.020	100%	2.79	0.57
15	10	SEA	SF	W 24–0	120	−0.409	−4.8	−0.404	−26.7	173	−0.022	100%	0.43	0.45
16	4	SEA	SF	W 23–3	120	−0.406	−7.1	−0.356	−29.9	184	−0.100	100%	0.48	0.53
17	15	SD	DET	W 51–14	120	−0.404	−2.8	−0.182	−13.3	328	+0.186	100%	0.17	0.27
18	9	TEN	CAR	W 20–7	119	−0.388	−6.1	−0.233	−19.8	191	−0.123	100%	0.52	0.49
19	17	WAS	DAL	W 27–6	119	−0.375	−4.8	−0.274	−18.1	147	−0.013	100%	0.49	0.53
20	16	CIN	CLE	W 19–14	118	−0.352	−7.0	−0.211	−18.3	379	−0.235	100%	1.43	0.61

Ranked by CASE+ of Contested CASE per play. For Allowed, CASE+ is flipped, so above 100 is always better. Records are regular season; games include the playoffs, marked.

Exp. wins: how many games a team that played this way usually wins. Win exp.: the same for one game. Off. EPA: the offense's EPA per play. Post: a playoff game.

12 games since 2006 aren't scored, because their play-by-play doesn't add up to the final score. CASE only reports games it can reconcile exactly. A * marks a team missing one.

Players

#	Player	Team	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Passing
#	Player	Team	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Att	Yds	Y/A	TD	INT
1	T.Brady	NE	126	+0.402	+58.9	+0.391	+233.9	+0.417	+250.0	578	4,806	8.3	50	8
2	P.Manning	IND	115	+0.230	+34.2	+0.263	+141.2	+0.253	+136.1	515	4,040	7.8	31	14
3	T.Romo	DAL	111	+0.180	+29.9	+0.210	+114.4	+0.227	+124.2	520	4,211	8.1	36	19
4	D.Garrard	JAX	111	+0.174	+17.3	+0.185	+63.9	+0.194	+66.8	325	2,509	7.7	18	3
5	J.Cutler	DEN	110	+0.163	+20.7	+0.096	+47.6	+0.094	+46.7	467	3,497	7.5	20	14
6	S.Rosenfels	HOU	110	+0.155	+7.2	+0.150	+37.1	+0.130	+32.1	240	1,684	7.0	15	12
7	B.Favre	GB	110	+0.153	+24.5	+0.181	+99.5	+0.172	+94.4	535	4,157	7.8	28	15
8	B.Roethlisberger	PIT	109	+0.142	+17.9	+0.173	+78.4	+0.173	+78.3	405	3,158	7.8	32	11
9	C.Palmer	CIN	107	+0.116	+17.9	+0.087	+51.5	+0.080	+47.6	575	4,130	7.2	26	20
10	J.Garcia	TB	107	+0.110	+10.2	+0.101	+35.2	+0.081	+28.3	327	2,440	7.5	13	4
11	D.Brees	NO	107	+0.109	+17.8	+0.095	+63.7	+0.064	+42.6	655	4,428	6.8	28	18
12	M.Hasselbeck	SEA	106	+0.098	+16.8	+0.118	+70.4	+0.096	+57.2	562	3,966	7.1	28	12
13	D.Anderson	CLE	105	+0.086	+12.3	+0.062	+33.9	+0.052	+28.5	527	3,786	7.2	29	19
14	J.Campbell	WAS	104	+0.069	+8.6	+0.032	+14.3	+0.030	+13.0	417	2,700	6.5	12	11
15	K.Warner	ARI	103	+0.050	+6.5	+0.075	+35.2	+0.036	+17.0	452	3,409	7.5	27	17
16	V.Young	TEN	102	+0.031	+3.7	−0.015	−6.1	−0.042	−17.0	382	2,546	6.7	9	17
17	D.McNabb	PHI	102	+0.029	+4.4	+0.065	+33.7	+0.047	+24.5	473	3,324	7.0	19	7
18	P.Rivers	SD	101	+0.026	+3.0	+0.075	+36.1	+0.064	+30.6	460	3,152	6.9	21	15
19	C.Lemon	MIA	100	+0.008	+0.5	−0.038	−12.6	−0.050	−16.7	309	1,773	5.7	6	6
20	C.Pennington	NYJ	100	+0.001	+0.1	−0.003	−0.9	−0.016	−4.6	260	1,766	6.8	10	9
21	J.Kitna	DET	100	−0.001	−0.1	−0.004	−2.4	−0.050	−30.6	563	4,066	7.2	18	21
22	M.Bulger	STL	98	−0.027	−3.0	−0.082	−34.2	−0.132	−54.7	378	2,392	6.3	11	15
23	T.Edwards	BUF	97	−0.044	−3.5	−0.113	−31.7	−0.178	−49.9	269	1,630	6.1	7	8
24	M.Schaub	HOU	96	−0.054	−4.0	−0.072	−19.1	−0.098	−25.8	289	2,241	7.8	9	9
25	E.Manning	NYG	96	−0.059	−8.9	−0.099	−54.8	−0.106	−58.9	528	3,336	6.3	23	20
26	D.Culpepper	OAK	95	−0.067	−3.9	−0.017	−3.4	−0.035	−7.2	185	1,332	7.2	5	5
27	J.McCown	OAK	95	−0.073	−4.3	−0.071	−14.6	−0.110	−22.8	191	1,151	6.0	10	11
28	B.Griese	CHI	94	−0.079	−6.5	−0.015	−4.1	+0.001	+0.3	262	1,803	6.9	10	12
29	D.Huard	KC	94	−0.082	−8.6	−0.097	−36.2	−0.103	−38.0	332	2,257	6.8	11	13
30	J.Harrington	ATL	94	−0.086	−8.0	−0.121	−42.1	−0.161	−56.3	348	2,215	6.4	7	8
31	B.Croyle	KC	94	−0.087	−5.3	−0.115	−27.6	−0.157	−37.7	224	1,227	5.5	6	6
32	T.Jackson	MIN	93	−0.097	−7.6	−0.036	−11.3	−0.066	−20.7	294	1,911	6.5	9	12
33	K.Boller	BAL	91	−0.128	−8.6	−0.121	−36.3	−0.129	−38.7	275	1,743	6.3	9	10
34	S.McNair	BAL	90	−0.153	−8.4	−0.174	−37.6	−0.188	−40.6	205	1,113	5.4	2	4
35	R.Grossman	CHI	89	−0.156	−11.2	−0.216	−54.1	−0.220	−55.0	225	1,411	6.3	4	7
36	K.Clemens	NYJ	86	−0.201	−13.8	−0.160	−44.5	−0.199	−55.4	250	1,529	6.1	5	10
37	T.Dilfer	SF	77	−0.346	−20.4	−0.328	−80.9	−0.363	−89.6	219	1,166	5.3	7	12
38	A.Smith	SF	75	−0.380	−19.3	−0.316	−66.3	−0.346	−72.6	193	914	4.7	2	4

#	Player	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Passing
#	Player	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Att	Yds	Y/A	TD	INT
1	T.Brady	7	NE	MIA	143	+1.649	+5.4	+1.136	+29.5	+1.198	+31.1	25	354	14.2	6	0
2	D.McNabb	3	PHI	DET	138	+1.448	+5.5	+0.874	+23.6	+0.847	+22.9	26	381	14.7	4	0
3	P.Manning	14	IND	BAL	135	+1.355	+4.9	+1.493	+25.4	+1.592	+27.1	17	249	14.6	4	0
4	J.Cutler	14	DEN	KC	127	+1.052	+3.8	+0.606	+16.4	+0.537	+14.5	27	244	9.0	4	0
5	T.Brady	11	NE	BUF	126	+1.003	+5.6	+0.780	+30.4	+0.914	+35.6	39	373	9.6	5	0
6	B.Roethlisberger	9	PIT	BAL	126	+0.984	+3.0	+0.932	+17.7	+0.789	+15.0	16	209	13.1	5	0
7	P.Rivers	5	SD	DEN	125	+0.948	+3.0	+1.151	+20.7	+1.502	+27.0	18	270	15.0	2	0
8	D.Anderson	4	CLE	BAL	123	+0.877	+3.0	+0.431	+7.8	+0.270	+4.9	18	204	11.3	2	1
9	J.Cutler	11	DEN	TEN	122	+0.865	+4.0	+0.500	+11.0	+0.585	+12.9	21	200	9.5	2	0
10	J.Garcia	2	TB	NO	122	+0.860	+3.2	+0.818	+13.1	+0.799	+12.8	16	243	15.2	2	0
11	T.Brady	1	NE	NYJ	122	+0.841	+6.0	+0.838	+23.5	+0.978	+27.4	28	297	10.6	3	0
12	P.Rivers	Post	SD	IND	121	+0.821	+5.6	+0.873	+16.6	+1.084	+20.6	19	264	13.9	3	1
13	T.Jackson	12	MIN	NYG	120	+0.790	+3.3	+0.503	+8.0	+0.479	+7.7	12	129	10.8	1	0
14	T.Brady	Post	NE	JAX	120	+0.787	+7.2	+0.818	+23.7	+0.768	+22.3	28	262	9.4	3	0
15	P.Manning	13	IND	JAX	120	+0.784	+6.1	+0.640	+19.2	+0.565	+16.9	29	288	9.9	4	1
16	T.Romo	1	DAL	NYG	120	+0.774	+6.3	+0.844	+21.1	+0.917	+22.9	24	345	14.4	4	1
17	B.Roethlisberger	16	PIT	STL	120	+0.766	+6.0	+0.661	+15.9	+0.733	+17.6	20	261	13.1	3	0
18	T.Romo	13	DAL	GB	118	+0.718	+6.2	+0.644	+19.3	+0.570	+17.1	30	309	10.3	4	1
19	D.Anderson	6	CLE	MIA	118	+0.702	+4.2	+0.820	+21.3	+0.749	+19.5	25	245	9.8	3	0
20	D.Anderson	2	CLE	CIN	118	+0.692	+7.4	+0.659	+21.7	+0.525	+17.3	33	328	9.9	5	1

#	Player	Team	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Rushing
#	Player	Team	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Car	Yds	Y/C	TD
1	R.Brown	MIA	121	+0.191	+6.8	+0.197	+23.6	+0.197	+23.6	119	602	5.1	4
2	R.Grant	GB	116	+0.147	+6.9	+0.069	+12.9	+0.020	+3.8	188	956	5.1	8
3	M.Barber	DAL	116	+0.146	+6.4	+0.144	+29.3	+0.094	+19.1	203	973	4.8	10
4	M.Jones-Drew	JAX	115	+0.138	+5.7	+0.081	+13.5	+0.028	+4.7	167	768	4.6	9
5	D.Ward	NYG	112	+0.111	+4.1	+0.111	+13.8	+0.046	+5.8	125	602	4.8	3
6	J.Addai	IND	112	+0.106	+7.8	+0.080	+21.0	+0.020	+5.2	261	1,072	4.1	12
7	A.Peterson	MIN	111	+0.101	+7.1	+0.067	+16.0	+0.046	+10.9	238	1,341	5.6	12
8	C.Brown	TEN	110	+0.097	+2.8	+0.063	+6.4	+0.021	+2.1	101	464	4.6	5
9	S.Young	DEN	110	+0.096	+3.4	−0.008	−1.1	−0.027	−3.7	140	729	5.2	1
10	N.Davenport	PIT	109	+0.087	+1.8	+0.140	+15.0	+0.067	+7.1	107	499	4.7	5
11	L.Tomlinson	SD	108	+0.079	+6.6	+0.087	+27.4	+0.031	+9.7	315	1,474	4.7	15
12	A.Stecker	NO	108	+0.073	+2.0	−0.010	−1.1	−0.120	−13.7	114	444	3.9	5
13	B.Westbrook	PHI	107	+0.068	+5.9	+0.049	+13.6	+0.014	+3.8	278	1,333	4.8	7
14	L.Maroney	NE	107	+0.064	+3.0	+0.034	+6.3	+0.015	+2.8	185	835	4.5	6
15	M.Morris	SEA	106	+0.061	+1.8	−0.077	−10.8	−0.100	−14.0	140	628	4.5	4
16	R.Dayne	HOU	105	+0.052	+2.1	+0.022	+3.9	−0.046	−8.2	194	773	4.0	6
17	K.Keith	IND	105	+0.052	+1.2	+0.132	+16.0	+0.083	+10.0	121	533	4.4	3
18	K.Jones	DET	104	+0.043	+1.8	+0.003	+0.4	−0.087	−13.3	153	581	3.8	8
19	B.Jacobs	NYG	104	+0.042	+2.6	+0.063	+12.6	+0.036	+7.2	200	1,011	5.1	4
20	F.Taylor	JAX	103	+0.030	+1.9	+0.028	+6.2	+0.019	+4.1	223	1,202	5.4	5
21	K.Watson	CIN	103	+0.029	+1.4	+0.030	+5.3	+0.001	+0.2	178	763	4.3	7
22	E.James	ARI	102	+0.020	+1.8	−0.003	−1.1	−0.047	−15.2	324	1,232	3.8	7
23	D.Williams	CAR	101	+0.018	+0.6	+0.085	+12.2	+0.076	+10.9	144	717	5.0	4
24	T.Henry	DEN	101	+0.016	+0.7	−0.001	−0.2	−0.060	−10.0	167	691	4.1	4
25	E.Graham	TB	101	+0.011	+0.6	+0.023	+5.1	−0.024	−5.4	222	898	4.0	10
26	C.Taylor	MIN	101	+0.011	+0.4	+0.018	+2.8	−0.060	−9.4	157	844	5.4	7
27	K.Smith	KC	101	+0.011	+0.4	−0.022	−2.5	−0.040	−4.5	112	407	3.6	2
28	R.Bush	NO	99	−0.004	−0.2	−0.056	−8.9	−0.113	−18.1	157	581	3.7	4
29	S.Jackson	STL	98	−0.010	−0.7	−0.035	−8.2	−0.103	−24.3	237	1,002	4.2	5
30	S.Alexander	SEA	97	−0.022	−1.2	−0.075	−15.4	−0.138	−28.5	207	716	3.5	4
31	J.Lewis	CLE	97	−0.024	−1.9	−0.036	−10.8	−0.076	−22.7	299	1,303	4.4	9
32	J.Fargas	OAK	94	−0.043	−2.9	−0.018	−4.1	−0.049	−10.9	222	1,009	4.5	4
33	W.McGahee	BAL	93	−0.056	−4.6	−0.053	−15.7	−0.102	−29.9	294	1,207	4.1	7
34	L.Jordan	OAK	92	−0.065	−2.7	−0.096	−13.8	−0.093	−13.4	144	549	3.8	3
35	M.Lynch	BUF	92	−0.067	−5.5	−0.076	−21.4	−0.094	−26.4	280	1,115	4.0	7
36	C.Portis	WAS	92	−0.069	−6.4	−0.073	−23.7	−0.136	−44.3	325	1,262	3.9	11
37	A.Peterson	CHI	91	−0.071	−3.2	−0.090	−13.5	−0.122	−18.4	151	510	3.4	3
38	T.Jones	NYJ	91	−0.072	−6.6	−0.065	−20.0	−0.114	−35.4	310	1,119	3.6	1
39	W.Parker	PIT	91	−0.076	−6.1	−0.091	−29.3	−0.136	−43.7	321	1,316	4.1	2
40	J.Jones	DAL	90	−0.086	−4.1	−0.121	−20.1	−0.191	−31.6	166	584	3.5	2
41	F.Gore	SF	89	−0.089	−6.7	−0.078	−20.3	−0.147	−38.2	260	1,102	4.2	5
42	C.Benson	CHI	87	−0.105	−7.0	−0.117	−23.1	−0.190	−37.4	197	678	3.4	4
43	D.Foster	CAR	86	−0.115	−8.5	−0.126	−31.2	−0.214	−52.8	247	876	3.5	3
44	L.Johnson	KC	86	−0.120	−5.6	−0.132	−20.9	−0.205	−32.5	158	559	3.5	3
45	W.Dunn	ATL	86	−0.121	−7.9	−0.149	−31.2	−0.253	−53.2	228	718	3.1	4
46	L.White	TEN	85	−0.130	−11.5	−0.096	−29.3	−0.171	−51.9	304	1,108	3.6	7
47	J.Chatman	MIA	83	−0.140	−5.8	−0.086	−11.0	−0.171	−21.9	128	515	4.0	1
48	R.Johnson	CIN	81	−0.161	−7.5	−0.141	−24.1	−0.215	−36.8	170	497	2.9	3

#	Player	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	Contested CASE		CASE		EPA		Rushing
#	Player	Wk	Team	Opp	CASE+	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	/ play	Total	Car	Yds	Y/C	TD
1	C.Taylor	13	MIN	DET	147	+1.186	+2.0	+0.286	+4.0	+0.214	+3.0	14	70	5.0	1
2	B.Westbrook	3	PHI	DET	139	+0.991	+3.0	+0.594	+8.3	+0.472	+6.6	14	110	7.9	2
3	L.Washington	13	NYJ	MIA	135	+0.882	+1.7	+0.799	+8.0	+0.607	+6.1	10	68	6.8	2
4	S.Alexander	14	SEA	ARI	131	+0.790	+0.9	−0.043	−0.4	−0.054	−0.5	10	38	3.8	0
5	R.Brown	4	MIA	OAK	127	+0.676	+3.1	+0.641	+9.6	+0.612	+9.2	15	134	8.9	1
6	A.Bradshaw	16	NYG	BUF	126	+0.666	+2.4	+0.324	+5.5	+0.273	+4.6	17	151	8.9	1
7	M.Barber	12	DAL	NYJ	126	+0.650	+1.0	+0.239	+4.3	+0.232	+4.2	18	103	5.7	1
8	C.Ross	17	BAL	PIT	124	+0.607	+1.1	+0.230	+2.8	+0.133	+1.6	12	72	6.0	1
9	L.Tomlinson	6	SD	OAK	124	+0.607	+3.1	+0.644	+15.5	+0.568	+13.6	24	198	8.2	4
10	M.Barber	1	DAL	NYG	123	+0.581	+1.1	+0.281	+3.1	+0.179	+2.0	11	65	5.9	1
11	D.Garrard	3	JAX	DEN	123	+0.572	+1.3	+0.429	+5.1	+0.351	+4.2	12	52	4.3	0
12	S.Young	14	DEN	KC	123	+0.570	+1.8	+0.255	+4.3	+0.259	+4.4	17	156	9.2	0
13	F.Taylor	12	JAX	BUF	122	+0.555	+1.9	+0.268	+3.8	+0.207	+2.9	14	104	7.4	1
14	L.Tomlinson	15	SD	DET	121	+0.539	+2.0	+0.559	+8.4	+0.347	+5.2	15	116	7.7	2
15	M.Jones-Drew	11	JAX	SD	121	+0.520	+1.6	+0.167	+2.0	−0.052	−0.6	12	33	2.8	1
16	M.Jones-Drew	15	JAX	PIT	120	+0.513	+2.1	+0.529	+6.4	+0.649	+7.8	12	69	5.8	0
17	A.Peterson	6	MIN	CHI	120	+0.502	+2.8	+0.423	+8.5	+0.610	+12.2	20	224	11.2	3
18	B.Jacobs	7	NYG	SF	119	+0.492	+2.4	+0.343	+6.2	+0.327	+5.9	18	107	5.9	1
19	G.Jones	17	JAX	HOU	119	+0.489	+1.2	+0.182	+2.6	+0.187	+2.6	14	71	5.1	0
20	V.Young	11	TEN	DEN	119	+0.484	+1.3	+0.650	+7.2	+0.608	+6.7	11	74	6.7	1

Great seasons and great games - not a verdict on the best players ever. Case Keenum's 2017 belongs on this list, and it should. Qualifying: passing 200 a season and 15 a game; rushing 100 a season and 10 a game; receiving 50 a season and 5 a game, and a full play's worth of leverage. Receiving starts in 2009.

All of it, down to the play: every 2007 row, on GitHub .