Week 1, 2026

Every play changed the expected final score. These are the games of the week, ordered by how much the result was in doubt.

The Games

BUF

36

HOU

31

2.32 bits of excitement · winner fell to 27%

NO

30

DET

31

1.77 bits of excitement · winner fell to 30%

NE

10

SEA

13

1.71 bits of excitement · winner fell to 15%

WAS

22

PHI

24

1.10 bits of excitement · winner fell to 40%

ATL

13

PIT

20

1.05 bits of excitement · winner fell to 37%

GB

22

MIN

39

1.04 bits of excitement · winner fell to 10%

TB

27

CIN

33

0.88 bits of excitement · winner fell to 42%

ARI

26

LAC

14

0.77 bits of excitement · winner fell to 37%

CHI

59

CAR

37

0.77 bits of excitement · winner fell to 26%

BAL

41

IND

23

0.56 bits of excitement · winner fell to 30%

DAL

20

NYG

28

0.50 bits of excitement · winner fell to 49%

SF

27

LA

7

0.45 bits of excitement · winner fell to 23%

MIA

13

LV

27

0.42 bits of excitement · winner fell to 46%

DEN

10

KC

31

0.41 bits of excitement · winner fell to 50%

NYJ

23

TEN

10

0.33 bits of excitement · winner fell to 47%

CLE

10

JAX

34

0.28 bits of excitement · winner fell to 44%