NYJ 23, TEN 10 — week 1, 2026

Box Score

Offensive scrimmage plays. Each value shows the total, with its per-play average beneath it. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER1	CONTESTED CASE2
TEN	60	10	1953.2	−10.2−0.171	−5.5−0.091	−6.4−0.107	+1.0+0.016	−1.9−0.156
NYJ	78	23	3674.7	+3.0+0.039	+3.6+0.046	+3.7+0.047	−0.1−0.001	+1.7+0.090
NET	−18	−13	−172−1.5	−13.3−0.210	−9.1−0.137	−10.1−0.154	+1.0+0.017	−3.6−0.246
1 Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
2 Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE | Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is TEN minus NYJ.

Game Timeline

Best CASE

Every play a player was part of — passing, rushing and receiving — so a quarterback who runs gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
				PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL
	G.Smith	NYJ	30	+8.9+0.37	−2.5−0.41	—	+6.5+0.22	+2.4+0.31	+4.5+0.15
	G.Wilson	NYJ	7	—	—	+4.2+0.59	+4.2+0.59	+1.1+0.56	+5.5+0.78
	B.Hall	NYJ	24	—	+2.5+0.11	+1.1+0.53	+3.6+0.15	+0.9+0.15	+3.6+0.15
	A.Mitchell	NYJ	3	—	—	+3.5+1.17	+3.5+1.17	+1.1+1.17	+3.1+1.03
	O.Cooper	NYJ	1	—	—	+3.0+3.04	+3.0+3.04	+1.2+3.04	+3.6+3.58
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE | Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team left, home team right. Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

NYJ
	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
	G.Smith	19	24	0	0	0	2159.0	+9.8+0.41	+8.9+0.37	+3.1+0.47

TEN
	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
	C.Ward	19	32	1	0	3	1404.4	−7.4−0.21	−4.9−0.14	−2.1−0.31

Rushing

NYJ
	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
	B.Hall	22	1	1024.6	+2.3+0.11	+2.5+0.11	+0.5+0.10
	B.Allen	10	0	404.0	−0.6−0.06	−0.1−0.01	+0.6+0.28
	G.Smith	6	0	71.2	−5.3−0.88	−2.5−0.41	−0.8−0.78
	K.Sadiq	1	1	33.0	+1.2+1.24	+1.9+1.93	+0.7+1.93

TEN
	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
	T.Pollard	7	0	355.0	−0.5−0.07	+0.2+0.03	−0.1−0.05
	C.Ward	4	0	215.2	+2.5+0.62	+2.2+0.55	+0.8+0.78
	T.Spears	3	0	124.0	−0.5−0.16	−0.5−0.15	−0.2−0.34

Receiving

NYJ
	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
	G.Wilson	7	6	0	7913.2	+5.5+0.78	+4.2+0.59	+1.1+0.56
	K.Sadiq	3	3	0	217.0	+0.5+0.17	+0.4+0.13	+0.2+0.45
	M.Taylor	3	2	0	−2−1.0	−2.4−0.79	−1.9−0.64	−0.6−0.61
	A.Mitchell	3	3	0	6020.0	+3.1+1.03	+3.5+1.17	+1.1+1.17
	B.Hall	2	2	0	168.0	+1.2+0.62	+1.1+0.53	+0.3+0.53
	O.Cooper	1	1	0	3030.0	+3.6+3.58	+3.0+3.04	+1.2+3.04
	B.Allen	1	0	0	0—	−1.0−0.97	−0.8−0.76	−0.2−0.76
	I.Williams	1	1	0	77.0	+0.2+0.21	+0.5+0.52	+0.2+0.52
	A.Smith	1	0	0	0—	−0.6−0.60	−0.4−0.45	−0.1−0.45
	J.Ruckert	1	1	0	44.0	−0.3−0.26	−0.1−0.12	0.0−0.12

TEN
	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
	W.Robinson	6	5	0	387.6	+3.0+0.49	+2.3+0.38	+0.1+0.10
	C.Tate	6	4	0	389.5	+0.3+0.05	0.00.00	0.0+0.01
	G.Helm	5	4	0	287.0	−0.9−0.17	−0.9−0.17	−0.4−0.84
	T.Spears	4	2	0	126.0	−2.0−0.49	−1.5−0.38	−0.3−0.92
	E.Ayomanor	3	1	1	1111.0	+1.2+0.41	+1.5+0.51	−0.4−1.16
	T.Pollard	2	1	0	−1−1.0	−1.6−0.79	−1.4−0.68	−0.5−0.68
	C.Dike	1	1	0	77.0	+0.3+0.29	+0.3+0.35	+0.1+0.35
	D.Bellinger	1	1	0	77.0	−0.4−0.37	+0.2+0.19	+0.1+0.19