JD
CASE

DAL 20, NYG 28 — week 1, 2026

DAL
20 at 28
NYG
Week 1 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive scrimmage plays. Each value shows the total, with its per-play average beneath it. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team Plays Points YARDS EPA CASE POINTS
NOW
THE GAME
AFTER1
CONTESTED
CASE2
  NYG 75 28 3945.3 +20.3+0.270 +18.5+0.246 +20.5+0.274 −2.1−0.027 +5.5+0.299
  DAL 61 20 2444.0 +15.4+0.253 +11.8+0.194 +12.8+0.210 −1.0−0.016 +1.8+0.106
NET 14 8 1501.3 +4.8+0.017 +6.6+0.052 +7.7+0.063 −1.1−0.011 +3.7+0.192
1 Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
2 Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE | Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is NYG minus DAL.

Game Timeline

DAL at NYG. NYG won by 8. Two panels. Top: NYG's win probability across 152 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 100%; NYG was favored on 99% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at NYG by 13.2 in the third quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -11% at play 44, D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to G.Pickens…; -11% at play 63, T.Tracy left end to DAL 21 for 8 yards — FUMBLES.

Best CASE

Every play a player was part of — passing, rushing and receiving — so a quarterback who runs gets credit for both.

Player Team Plays
CASE
CONTESTED
CASE
EPA
PASSING RUSHING RECEIVING ALL
J.Dart   NYG 42 +18.7+0.60 +2.5+0.23 — +21.3+0.51 +6.5+0.63 +25.6+0.61
I.Likely   NYG 8 — — +10.2+1.27 +10.2+1.27 +2.7+1.31 +11.0+1.38
D.Prescott   DAL 36 +8.2+0.24 +0.6+0.30 — +8.8+0.24 +1.1+0.12 +11.3+0.31
C.Lamb   DAL 9 — −0.6−0.55 +5.6+0.70 +5.0+0.56 +1.2+0.60 +4.8+0.53
M.Nabers   NYG 9 — — +4.2+0.46 +4.2+0.46 +1.4+0.55 +5.0+0.56
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE | Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team left, home team right. Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

  DAL
Player Completions Attempts Touchdowns Interceptions Sacks YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
D.Prescott 22 34 2 1 0 1755.1 +10.4+0.31 +8.2+0.24 +0.9+0.11
  NYG
Player Completions Attempts Touchdowns Interceptions Sacks YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
J.Dart 23 29 3 0 2 2307.9 +21.9+0.71 +18.7+0.60 +4.7+0.57

Rushing

  DAL
Player Carries Touchdowns YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
J.Williams 12 1 413.4 +1.4+0.12 +1.1+0.09 +0.1+0.02
D.Prescott 2 0 147.0 +0.9+0.47 +0.6+0.30 +0.2+0.30
E.Demercado 2 0 73.5 −0.3−0.16 0.0−0.01 0.00.00
C.Lamb 1 0 00.0 −0.8−0.84 −0.6−0.55 −0.2−0.55
H.Luepke 1 0 77.0 −0.1−0.07 −1.5−1.49 −0.5−1.49
  NYG
Player Carries Touchdowns YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
C.Skattebo 18 1 814.5 −0.6−0.04 +1.4+0.08 +0.2+0.06
J.Dart 11 0 544.9 +3.7+0.34 +2.5+0.23 +1.7+0.87
D.Singletary 6 0 162.7 −1.0−0.17 −0.8−0.14 −0.2−0.12
T.Tracy 2 0 147.0 −2.7−1.34 −2.3−1.17 −0.9−1.26

Receiving

  DAL
Player Targets Receptions Touchdowns YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
C.Lamb 8 5 1 448.8 +5.6+0.70 +5.6+0.70 +1.4+0.85
G.Pickens 6 3 0 289.3 +0.6+0.10 +0.4+0.06 0.00.00
J.Williams 5 5 1 316.2 +1.6+0.33 +1.0+0.20 +0.1+0.09
R.Flournoy 4 2 0 2211.0 +2.5+0.63 +1.7+0.43 −0.2−0.19
B.Spann-Ford 2 2 0 147.0 +0.5+0.26 +0.5+0.27 +0.2+0.27
J.Ferguson 2 2 0 63.0 −0.2−0.11 −0.2−0.08 0.0−0.04
K.Turpin 1 1 0 88.0 +0.9+0.93 +0.8+0.82 +0.3+0.82
L.Schoonmaker 1 1 0 1212.0 +0.9+0.87 +0.8+0.85 +0.3+0.85
J.Mingo 1 1 0 1010.0 +1.0+1.02 +0.8+0.78 0.0+0.78
  NYG
Player Targets Receptions Touchdowns YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
M.Nabers 9 6 0 6911.5 +5.0+0.56 +4.2+0.46 +1.4+0.55
I.Likely 8 8 2 789.8 +11.0+1.38 +10.2+1.27 +2.7+1.31
M.Fields 4 2 0 2512.5 +0.5+0.13 +0.3+0.08 +0.2+0.17
D.Singletary 4 4 1 225.5 +3.5+0.87 +3.1+0.79 +0.3+0.67
D.Mooney 2 2 0 2713.5 +2.4+1.22 +1.8+0.91 +0.6+0.94
P.Ricard 1 0 0 0— −0.5−0.50 −0.5−0.45 −0.2−0.45
T.Johnson 1 1 0 99.0 +0.9+0.86 +0.6+0.59 +0.2+0.59