ARI 26, LAC 14 — week 1, 2026

26 at 14

Week 1 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive scrimmage plays. Each value shows the total, with its per-play average beneath it. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
LAC	62	14	2684.3	−15.8−0.256	−4.6−0.074	−6.0−0.097	+1.5+0.023	−0.1−0.004
ARI	86	26	3934.6	+2.1+0.025	+7.9+0.092	+6.0+0.069	+1.9+0.022	+2.9+0.108
NET	−24	−12	−125−0.2	−18.0−0.280	−12.5−0.165	−12.0−0.166	−0.5+0.001	−3.0−0.112
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is LAC minus ARI.

Game Timeline

ARI at LAC. ARI won by 12. Two panels. Top: LAC's win probability across 161 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 0%; LAC was favored on 9% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at ARI by 12.0 in the fourth quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -13% at play 37, O.Hampton left end to ARI 31 for -1 yards — FUMBLES; -13% at play 64, J.Herbert sacked at ARI 13 for -10 yards; +11% at play 94, J.Herbert pass incomplete deep left to T.Harris. PENALTY on…; -11% at play 124, J.Scott punt — BLOCKED.

Best CASE

Every play a player was part of — passing, rushing and receiving — so a quarterback who runs gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	J.Brissett	ARI	44	+10.4+0.27	+2.9+0.48	—	+13.3+0.30	+5.1+0.35	+11.1+0.25
	L.McConkey	LAC	7	—	—	+6.1+0.88	+6.1+0.88	+2.3+0.88	+6.8+0.97
	K.Bourne	ARI	8	—	—	+5.6+0.70	+5.6+0.70	+2.1+0.70	+5.8+0.73
	T.McBride	ARI	13	—	—	+3.9+0.30	+3.9+0.30	+1.3+0.29	+3.8+0.29
	Mi.Wilson	ARI	7	—	—	+2.1+0.31	+2.1+0.31	+0.7+0.27	+1.9+0.28
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team left, home team right. Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
ARI
	J.Brissett	27	37	1	0	1	2777.5	+9.0+0.24	+10.4+0.27	+4.0+0.29

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LAC
	J.Herbert	17	27	1	1	3	2097.7	−5.6−0.19	−2.5−0.08	+0.6+0.08

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
ARI
	T.Allgeier	17	0	613.6	−3.0−0.17	−1.0−0.06	−0.1−0.04
	J.Love	11	1	413.7	+0.3+0.03	+1.2+0.11	+0.6+0.14
	J.Brissett	6	0	142.3	+2.1+0.34	+2.9+0.48	+1.1+0.95

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LAC
	O.Hampton	12	1	433.6	−4.6−0.39	−1.7−0.14	−0.6−0.14
	J.Herbert	5	0	295.8	−1.1−0.21	−0.3−0.05	−0.2−0.13
	K.Mitchell	4	0	92.2	−1.1−0.29	−0.4−0.10	−0.2−0.10

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
ARI
	T.McBride	13	9	1	9510.6	+3.8+0.29	+3.9+0.30	+1.3+0.29
	K.Bourne	8	8	0	759.4	+5.8+0.73	+5.6+0.70	+2.1+0.70
	Mi.Wilson	7	5	0	5611.2	+1.9+0.28	+2.1+0.31	+0.7+0.27
	J.Love	4	2	0	94.5	−1.6−0.39	−1.1−0.27	−0.3−0.24
	M.Harrison	3	1	0	3333.0	+0.9+0.28	+0.8+0.25	+0.2+0.19
	T.Allgeier	2	2	0	94.5	−0.2−0.08	+0.2+0.11	+0.1+0.11

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LAC
	L.McConkey	7	5	1	8216.4	+6.8+0.97	+6.1+0.88	+2.3+0.88
	Q.Johnston	6	2	0	178.5	−1.1−0.18	−1.2−0.19	−0.2−0.15
	T.Harris	6	3	0	206.7	−3.3−0.56	−2.7−0.44	−0.7−0.46
	D.Njoku	5	5	0	5811.6	−0.3−0.06	+0.4+0.08	+0.4+0.36
	O.Gadsden	2	2	0	3216.0	+0.3+0.17	+1.2+0.62	+0.7+1.76
	D.Davis	1	0	0	0—	−2.3−2.35	−1.2−1.21	−0.3−1.21