JD
CASE

WAS 22, PHI 24 — week 1, 2026

WAS
22 at 24
PHI
Week 1 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive scrimmage plays. Each value shows the total, with its per-play average beneath it. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team Plays Points YARDS EPA CASE POINTS
NOW
THE GAME
AFTER1
CONTESTED
CASE2
  PHI 64 24 3185.0 +1.7+0.027 +0.7+0.011 +5.0+0.077 −4.2−0.066 +0.7+0.033
  WAS 81 22 2953.6 +0.3+0.003 +1.9+0.023 +1.8+0.022 +0.1+0.001 −0.8−0.033
NET −17 2 231.3 +1.4+0.023 −1.2−0.012 +3.2+0.056 −4.4−0.068 +1.5+0.066
1 Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
2 Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE | Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is PHI minus WAS.

Game Timeline

WAS at PHI. PHI won by 2. Two panels. Top: PHI's win probability across 161 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 100%; PHI was favored on 86% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at PHI by 10.9 in the second quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: +11% at play 32, J.Hurts pass deep right to D.Wicks to WAS 6 for 64 yards; +9% at play 104, D.Stevens 54 yard field goal — NO GOOD; +22% at play 143, J.Hurts pass short middle to D.Goedert for 43… — TOUCHDOWN.

Best CASE

Every play a player was part of — passing, rushing and receiving — so a quarterback who runs gets credit for both.

Player Team Plays
CASE
CONTESTED
CASE
EPA
PASSING RUSHING RECEIVING ALL
D.Goedert   PHI 5 — — +7.5+1.49 +7.5+1.49 +2.6+1.67 +8.3+1.66
A.Williams   WAS 4 — — +7.4+1.85 +7.4+1.85 +1.7+1.89 +8.8+2.20
J.Daniels   WAS 40 +3.3+0.10 +0.8+0.15 — +4.1+0.10 −0.2−0.01 +5.4+0.13
J.Hurts   PHI 35 +0.9+0.03 +2.5+0.36 — +3.4+0.10 +1.6+0.14 +5.5+0.16
D.Wicks   PHI 4 — — +2.7+0.68 +2.7+0.68 +1.0+0.69 +3.8+0.94
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE | Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team left, home team right. Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

  WAS
Player Completions Attempts Touchdowns Interceptions Sacks YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
J.Daniels 18 34 2 0 1 1644.8 +4.9+0.14 +3.3+0.10 −0.3−0.03
  PHI
Player Completions Attempts Touchdowns Interceptions Sacks YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
J.Hurts 14 25 3 0 3 2038.1 +1.3+0.05 +0.9+0.03 +0.3+0.03

Rushing

  WAS
Player Carries Touchdowns YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
J.Croskey-Merritt 16 1 633.9 +2.3+0.14 +2.7+0.17 +0.9+0.17
R.White 7 0 223.1 −2.8−0.40 −2.6−0.37 −1.0−0.39
J.Daniels 5 0 316.2 +0.5+0.10 +0.8+0.15 +0.1+0.08
K.Allen 4 0 164.0 +0.2+0.04 −0.3−0.08 −0.1−0.07
  PHI
Player Carries Touchdowns YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
S.Barkley 15 0 835.5 −0.7−0.04 −0.3−0.02 −0.2−0.04
J.Hurts 7 0 466.6 +4.2+0.60 +2.5+0.36 +1.3+0.80
W.Shipley 2 0 42.0 −0.9−0.43 −0.8−0.39 −0.2−0.39
T.Bigsby 1 0 33.0 −0.3−0.32 −0.1−0.11 0.0−0.11

Receiving

  WAS
Player Targets Receptions Touchdowns YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
S.Diggs 9 4 1 5513.8 +3.8+0.42 +2.5+0.28 +0.5+0.17
T.McLaurin 4 2 0 147.0 +2.0+0.49 +1.1+0.28 −0.1−0.06
A.Williams 4 4 1 6416.0 +8.8+2.20 +7.4+1.85 +1.7+1.89
J.Bates 3 2 0 136.5 −0.7−0.23 −0.3−0.09 0.00.00
C.Okonkwo 3 2 0 168.0 +0.9+0.31 +0.6+0.19 +0.2+0.20
D.Brown 2 0 0 0— −2.0−1.02 −2.0−1.00 −0.8−1.00
R.White 2 2 0 52.5 −1.7−0.84 −1.1−0.55 −0.4−0.57
J.Croskey-Merritt 1 1 0 −7−7.0 −1.3−1.34 −0.9−0.91 −0.3−0.91
J.Lane 1 1 0 44.0 −0.8−0.80 −0.5−0.48 −0.1−0.48
  PHI
Player Targets Receptions Touchdowns YARDS EPA CASE CONTESTED
CASE
D.Smith 6 3 0 5317.7 +0.8+0.14 +0.2+0.03 0.0−0.02
D.Goedert 5 4 2 7719.2 +8.3+1.66 +7.5+1.49 +2.6+1.67
M.Lemon 4 3 0 −5−1.7 −3.9−0.97 −2.9−0.72 −1.0−0.70
D.Wicks 4 2 1 7336.5 +3.8+0.94 +2.7+0.68 +1.0+0.69
S.Barkley 2 1 0 −3−3.0 −1.4−0.68 −1.2−0.61 −0.4−0.60
W.Shipley 1 1 0 88.0 +0.4+0.38 +0.5+0.49 +0.1+0.49