DEN 14, SF 24 — week 4, 2026

DEN

14 at 24

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

DEN season | SF season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

DEN 22%

Win expectancy

from how they played

DEN 11%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
SF	72	24	3585.0	+13.4+0.186	+14.4+0.200	+15.6+0.216	−1.1−0.016	+3.9+0.162
DEN	77	14	2963.8	+3.3+0.043	+3.2+0.042	+0.4+0.006	+2.8+0.037	+0.9+0.038
NET	−5	10	621.1	+10.1+0.143	+11.2+0.158	+15.1+0.210	−3.9−0.052	+3.0+0.124
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is SF minus DEN.

Game Timeline

DEN at SF. SF won by 10. Two panels. Top: SF's win probability across 162 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 100%; SF was favored on 68% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at SF by 11.0 in the fourth quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -9% at play 35, B.Purdy up the middle to DEN 34 for no gain; +23% at play 100, C.Waitman punts 61 yards to DEN 28. M.Mims to DEN… — FUMBLES; +13% at play 150, B.Purdy pass short left to G.Kittle for 56 yards — TOUCHDOWN.

Excitement

0.9 bits

#9 of 16 this week

50th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.84

#6 of 16 this week

73rd percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

412 pts

#9 of 16 this week

58th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

73%

#6 of 16 this week

75th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#8 of 16 this week

53rd percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

33%

#8 of 16 this week

57th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 2:25	SF	2nd & 8	SF 44	(2:25) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 85-G.Kittle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+5.34	+6.60	−1.26	+5.50	+13%	0.6×
2	Q3 9:52	SF	4th & 7	SF 11	(9:52) 15-C.Waitman punts 61 yards to DEN 28, Center-46-J.Weeks. 19-M.Mims to DEN 29 for 1 yard (33-S.Neal). FUMBLES (33-S.Neal), RECOVERED by SF-33-S.Neal at DEN 28. 33-S.Neal to DEN 28 for no gain (19-M.Mims).	+5.17	+5.26	−0.09	+6.48	+23%	1.4×
3	Q2 14:30	SF	4th & 1	DEN 34	(14:30) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to DEN 34 for no gain (49-A.Singleton).	−2.65	−3.14	+0.49	−3.54	−9%	1.4×
4	Q3 2:48	DEN	3rd & 6	DEN 19	(2:48) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 13-P.Bryant to DEN 49 for 30 yards (27-J.Brown; 2-D.Lenoir). DEN-13-P.Bryant was injured during the play.	+2.50	+2.57	−0.06	+3.27	+10%	0.8×
5	Q1 14:17	DEN	4th & 8	DEN 37	(14:17) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 57 yards to SF 6, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.	+2.23	+0.60	+1.63	+0.73	+7%	1.4×
6	Q4 1:52	DEN	4th & 3	DEN 49	(1:52) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 1-E.Engram to SF 45 for 6 yards (57-D.Greenlaw).	+2.08	+2.12	−0.04	+2.39	+3%	0.1×
7	Q1 7:46	DEN	3rd & 3	DEN 18	(7:46) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 28-T.Badie ran ob at DEN 43 for 25 yards (36-M.Sigle).	+2.05	+2.03	+0.02	+2.74	+7%	1.4×
8	Q2 0:38	SF	2nd & 10	SF 18	(:38) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 5-M.Evans to SF 42 for 24 yards (22-B.Jones). DEN-2-P.Surtain was injured during the play.	+1.74	+1.76	−0.02	+0.64	+7%	1.4×
9	Q2 2:15	SF	2nd & 10	DEN 43	(2:15) 19-D.Samuel left end to DEN 23 for 20 yards (22-B.Jones).	+1.62	+1.61	+0.01	+1.91	+6%	1.4×
10	Q1 4:23	DEN	3rd & 8	SF 43	(4:23) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 19-M.Mims to SF 33 for 10 yards (36-M.Sigle; 92-O.Odighizuwa).	+1.61	+1.65	−0.04	+2.07	+5%	1.4×
11	Q4 10:18	SF	1st & 10	DEN 18	(10:18) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 5-M.Evans to DEN 1 for 17 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	+1.55	+1.44	+0.11	+1.61	+4%	0.7×
12	Q3 12:43	DEN	3rd & 7	DEN 26	(12:43) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 13-P.Bryant ran ob at DEN 37 for 11 yards (20-U.Stout).	+1.50	+1.55	−0.05	+2.02	+7%	1.4×
13	Q3 4:22	SF	3rd & 1	DEN 1	(4:22) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 19-D.Samuel for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.30	+2.23	−0.93	+1.11	+6%	1.1×
14	Q2 5:18	DEN	3rd & 5	SF 42	(5:18) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 1-E.Engram (6-M.Mustapha).	−1.28	−1.28	0.00	−1.57	−5%	1.3×
15	Q4 2:15	DEN	Kickoff	SF 35	18-E.Pineiro kicks 60 yards from SF 35 to DEN 5. 12-R.Harvey MUFFS catch, and recovers at DEN 5. 12-R.Harvey to DEN 42 for 37 yards (51-L.Gifford). SF-36-M.Sigle was injured during the play.	+1.28	+1.11	+0.16	+0.89	+2%	0.1×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 9:52	SF	4th & 7	SF 11	(9:52) 15-C.Waitman punts 61 yards to DEN 28, Center-46-J.Weeks. 19-M.Mims to DEN 29 for 1 yard (33-S.Neal). FUMBLES (33-S.Neal), RECOVERED by SF-33-S.Neal at DEN 28. 33-S.Neal to DEN 28 for no gain (19-M.Mims).	+5.17	+5.26	−0.09	+6.48	+23%	1.4×
2	Q2 14:30	SF	4th & 1	DEN 34	(14:30) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to DEN 34 for no gain (49-A.Singleton).	−2.65	−3.14	+0.49	−3.54	−9%	1.4×
3	Q4 2:25	SF	2nd & 8	SF 44	(2:25) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 85-G.Kittle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+5.34	+6.60	−1.26	+5.50	+13%	0.6×
4	Q1 14:17	DEN	4th & 8	DEN 37	(14:17) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 57 yards to SF 6, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.	+2.23	+0.60	+1.63	+0.73	+7%	1.4×
5	Q1 7:46	DEN	3rd & 3	DEN 18	(7:46) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 28-T.Badie ran ob at DEN 43 for 25 yards (36-M.Sigle).	+2.05	+2.03	+0.02	+2.74	+7%	1.4×
6	Q2 0:38	SF	2nd & 10	SF 18	(:38) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 5-M.Evans to SF 42 for 24 yards (22-B.Jones). DEN-2-P.Surtain was injured during the play.	+1.74	+1.76	−0.02	+0.64	+7%	1.4×
7	Q1 4:23	DEN	3rd & 8	SF 43	(4:23) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 19-M.Mims to SF 33 for 10 yards (36-M.Sigle; 92-O.Odighizuwa).	+1.61	+1.65	−0.04	+2.07	+5%	1.4×
8	Q2 2:15	SF	2nd & 10	DEN 43	(2:15) 19-D.Samuel left end to DEN 23 for 20 yards (22-B.Jones).	+1.62	+1.61	+0.01	+1.91	+6%	1.4×
9	Q3 12:43	DEN	3rd & 7	DEN 26	(12:43) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 13-P.Bryant ran ob at DEN 37 for 11 yards (20-U.Stout).	+1.50	+1.55	−0.05	+2.02	+7%	1.4×
10	Q3 2:48	DEN	3rd & 6	DEN 19	(2:48) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 13-P.Bryant to DEN 49 for 30 yards (27-J.Brown; 2-D.Lenoir). DEN-13-P.Bryant was injured during the play.	+2.50	+2.57	−0.06	+3.27	+10%	0.8×
11	Q2 8:43	DEN	3rd & 5	DEN 35	(8:43) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix scrambles left end to DEN 42 for 7 yards (59-O.Okoronkwo).	+1.25	+1.20	+0.04	+1.57	+4%	1.4×
12	Q2 5:18	DEN	3rd & 5	SF 42	(5:18) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 1-E.Engram (6-M.Mustapha).	−1.28	−1.28	0.00	−1.57	−5%	1.3×
13	Q1 1:48	DEN	4th & 11	SF 34	(1:48) 3-W.Lutz 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	+1.15	+1.06	+0.09	+2.05	+6%	1.4×
14	Q1 1:43	SF	1st & 10	SF 35	(1:43) 19-D.Samuel up the middle pushed ob at DEN 43 for 22 yards (2-P.Surtain).	+1.14	+1.22	−0.08	+1.41	+4%	1.4×
15	Q1 13:33	SF	2nd & 7	SF 9	(13:33) 23-C.McCaffrey left end to SF 21 for 12 yards (22-B.Jones; 52-J.Elliss).	+1.12	+0.97	+0.16	+1.24	+3%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 9:52	SF	4th & 7	SF 11	(9:52) 15-C.Waitman punts 61 yards to DEN 28, Center-46-J.Weeks. 19-M.Mims to DEN 29 for 1 yard (33-S.Neal). FUMBLES (33-S.Neal), RECOVERED by SF-33-S.Neal at DEN 28. 33-S.Neal to DEN 28 for no gain (19-M.Mims).	+5.17	+5.26	−0.09	+6.48	+23%	1.4×
2	Q4 2:25	SF	2nd & 8	SF 44	(2:25) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 85-G.Kittle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+5.34	+6.60	−1.26	+5.50	+13%	0.6×
3	Q3 2:48	DEN	3rd & 6	DEN 19	(2:48) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 13-P.Bryant to DEN 49 for 30 yards (27-J.Brown; 2-D.Lenoir). DEN-13-P.Bryant was injured during the play.	+2.50	+2.57	−0.06	+3.27	+10%	0.8×
4	Q2 14:30	SF	4th & 1	DEN 34	(14:30) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to DEN 34 for no gain (49-A.Singleton).	−2.65	−3.14	+0.49	−3.54	−9%	1.4×
5	Q2 0:38	SF	2nd & 10	SF 18	(:38) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 5-M.Evans to SF 42 for 24 yards (22-B.Jones). DEN-2-P.Surtain was injured during the play.	+1.74	+1.76	−0.02	+0.64	+7%	1.4×
6	Q3 12:43	DEN	3rd & 7	DEN 26	(12:43) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 13-P.Bryant ran ob at DEN 37 for 11 yards (20-U.Stout).	+1.50	+1.55	−0.05	+2.02	+7%	1.4×
7	Q4 4:05	SF	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 58 yards from DEN 35 to SF 7. 19-D.Samuel to SF 31 for 24 yards (55-J.Turner).	−1.17	−0.85	−0.32	+0.46	−7%	0.7×
8	Q1 7:46	DEN	3rd & 3	DEN 18	(7:46) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 28-T.Badie ran ob at DEN 43 for 25 yards (36-M.Sigle).	+2.05	+2.03	+0.02	+2.74	+7%	1.4×
9	Q1 14:17	DEN	4th & 8	DEN 37	(14:17) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 57 yards to SF 6, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.	+2.23	+0.60	+1.63	+0.73	+7%	1.4×
10	Q2 2:15	SF	2nd & 10	DEN 43	(2:15) 19-D.Samuel left end to DEN 23 for 20 yards (22-B.Jones).	+1.62	+1.61	+0.01	+1.91	+6%	1.4×
11	Q3 4:22	SF	3rd & 1	DEN 1	(4:22) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 19-D.Samuel for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.30	+2.23	−0.93	+1.11	+6%	1.1×
12	Q4 4:05	DEN	Try	SF 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 28-T.Badie rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+0.65	+0.28	+0.37	+1.05	+6%	0.5×
13	Q4 3:12	SF	3rd & 1	SF 40	(3:12) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to SF 42 for 2 yards (49-A.Singleton; 97-M.Roach).	+0.40	+0.33	+0.07	+0.51	+6%	0.8×
14	Q1 1:48	DEN	4th & 11	SF 34	(1:48) 3-W.Lutz 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	+1.15	+1.06	+0.09	+2.05	+6%	1.4×
15	Q1 4:23	DEN	3rd & 8	SF 43	(4:23) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 19-M.Mims to SF 33 for 10 yards (36-M.Sigle; 92-O.Odighizuwa).	+1.61	+1.65	−0.04	+2.07	+5%	1.4×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 162 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	DEN	Kickoff	SF 35	18-E.Pineiro kicks 65 yards from SF 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DEN 35.	+0.56	+0.62	−0.06	+0.50	+2%	1.4×
Q1 15:00	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 35	(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 17-J.Waddle to DEN 37 for 2 yards (0-R.Green).	−0.11	−0.27	+0.17	−0.26	0%	1.4×
Q1 14:28	DEN	2nd & 8	DEN 37	(14:28) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right.	−0.57	−0.61	+0.04	−0.15	−2%	1.4×
Q1 14:21	DEN	3rd & 8	DEN 37	(14:21) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep right to 14-C.Sutton.	−1.07	−1.10	+0.02	−1.50	−3%	1.4×
Q1 14:17	DEN	4th & 8	DEN 37	(14:17) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 57 yards to SF 6, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.	+2.23	+0.60	+1.63	+0.73	+7%	1.4×
Q1 14:09	SF	1st & 10	SF 6	(14:09) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle to SF 9 for 3 yards (93-D.Jones).	−0.03	−0.20	+0.17	−0.39	0%	1.4×
Q1 13:33	SF	2nd & 7	SF 9	(13:33) 23-C.McCaffrey left end to SF 21 for 12 yards (22-B.Jones; 52-J.Elliss).	+1.12	+0.97	+0.16	+1.24	+3%	1.4×
Q1 12:54	SF	1st & 10	SF 21	(12:54) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 19-D.Samuel to SF 28 for 7 yards (49-A.Singleton; 40-J.Strnad).	+0.45	+0.33	+0.12	+0.39	+1%	1.4×
Q1 12:17	SF	2nd & 3	SF 28	(12:17) 4-J.Cowing right end to SF 30 for 2 yards (22-B.Jones).	−0.14	−0.23	+0.09	+0.02	0%	1.4×
Q1 11:39	SF	3rd & 1	SF 30	(11:39) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to SF 32 for 2 yards (40-J.Strnad).	+0.54	+0.49	+0.05	+0.51	+2%	1.4×
Q1 11:04	SF	1st & 10	SF 32	(11:04) (Shotgun) 26-K.Black right guard to SF 33 for 1 yard (96-E.Uwazurike).	−0.33	−0.36	+0.03	−0.57	−1%	1.4×
Q1 10:23	SF	2nd & 9	SF 33	(10:23) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 85-G.Kittle to SF 36 for 3 yards (2-P.Surtain).	−0.29	−0.31	+0.02	−0.48	−1%	1.4×
Q1 9:43	SF	3rd & 6	SF 36	(9:43) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete short left to 4-J.Cowing.	−1.08	−1.08	0.00	−1.34	−3%	1.4×
Q1 9:38	SF	4th & 6	SF 36	(9:38) 15-C.Waitman punts 53 yards to DEN 11, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.	+0.54	+0.31	+0.23	+0.49	+2%	1.4×
Q1 9:31	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 11	(9:31) (Shotgun) 12-R.Harvey up the middle to DEN 16 for 5 yards (93-G.Halton; 36-M.Sigle). PENALTY on DEN-19-M.Mims, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 11 - No Play.	−0.47	−0.48	+0.02	−0.90	−1%	1.4×
Q1 9:12	DEN	1st & 15	DEN 6	(9:12) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to DEN 12 for 6 yards (57-D.Greenlaw).	+0.13	+0.11	+0.02	+0.33	0%	1.4×
Q1 8:27	DEN	2nd & 9	DEN 12	(8:27) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 13-P.Bryant to DEN 18 for 6 yards (94-R.Height).	+0.10	+0.06	+0.04	0.00	0%	1.4×
Q1 7:46	DEN	3rd & 3	DEN 18	(7:46) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 28-T.Badie ran ob at DEN 43 for 25 yards (36-M.Sigle).	+2.05	+2.03	+0.02	+2.74	+7%	1.4×
Q1 7:15	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 43	(7:15) 12-R.Harvey left guard to DEN 49 for 6 yards (27-J.Brown).	+0.23	+0.18	+0.05	+0.25	+1%	1.4×
Q1 6:35	DEN	2nd & 4	DEN 49	(6:35) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 12-R.Harvey to SF 49 for 2 yards (27-J.Brown).	−0.30	−0.35	+0.05	−0.49	−1%	1.4×
Q1 5:52	DEN	3rd & 2	SF 49	(5:52) (Shotgun) 28-T.Badie right guard to SF 45 for 4 yards (54-F.Warner; 20-U.Stout).	+0.83	+0.81	+0.02	+1.01	+3%	1.4×
Q1 5:11	DEN	1st & 10	SF 45	(5:11) 12-R.Harvey up the middle to SF 43 for 2 yards (50-N.Jones; 54-F.Warner).	−0.27	−0.27	0.00	−0.57	−1%	1.4×
Q1 4:30	DEN	2nd & 8	SF 43	(4:30) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep left to 17-J.Waddle.	−0.70	−0.70	0.00	−0.82	−2%	1.4×
Q1 4:23	DEN	3rd & 8	SF 43	(4:23) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 19-M.Mims to SF 33 for 10 yards (36-M.Sigle; 92-O.Odighizuwa).	+1.61	+1.65	−0.04	+2.07	+5%	1.4×
Q1 3:41	DEN	1st & 10	SF 33	(3:41) 27-J.Dobbins right guard to SF 30 for 3 yards (92-O.Odighizuwa; 55-S.Valdez). PENALTY on DEN-69-M.McGlinchey, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at SF 33 - No Play.	−0.81	−0.81	0.00	−1.09	−2%	1.4×
Q1 3:18	DEN	1st & 20	SF 43	(3:18) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short middle to 1-E.Engram (54-F.Warner).	−0.46	−0.45	−0.01	−0.64	−2%	1.4×
Q1 3:11	DEN	2nd & 20	SF 43	(3:11) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to SF 40 for 3 yards (57-D.Greenlaw; 20-U.Stout).	−0.61	−0.56	−0.04	−0.72	−2%	1.4×
Q1 2:27	DEN	3rd & 17	SF 40	(2:27) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 12-R.Harvey to SF 34 for 6 yards (20-U.Stout).	−0.34	−0.30	−0.04	−0.45	−1%	1.4×
Q1 1:48	DEN	4th & 11	SF 34	(1:48) 3-W.Lutz 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	+1.15	+1.06	+0.09	+2.05	+6%	1.4×
Q1 1:43	SF	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 65 yards from DEN 35 to end zone, Touchback to the SF 35.	+0.83	+0.41	+0.42	+0.58	+3%	1.4×
Q1 1:43	SF	1st & 10	SF 35	(1:43) 19-D.Samuel up the middle pushed ob at DEN 43 for 22 yards (2-P.Surtain).	+1.14	+1.22	−0.08	+1.41	+4%	1.4×
Q1 1:13	SF	1st & 10	DEN 43	(1:13) 23-C.McCaffrey right guard to DEN 41 for 2 yards (99-Z.Allen; 49-A.Singleton).	−0.30	−0.25	−0.05	−0.38	−1%	1.4×
Q1 0:40	SF	2nd & 8	DEN 41	(:40) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 19-D.Samuel to DEN 37 for 4 yards (22-B.Jones).	−0.22	−0.16	−0.06	−0.20	−1%	1.4×
Q2 15:00	SF	3rd & 4	DEN 37	(15:00) (Shotgun) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DEN 34 for 3 yards (97-M.Roach).	−0.41	−0.37	−0.04	−0.59	−1%	1.4×
Q2 14:30	SF	4th & 1	DEN 34	(14:30) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to DEN 34 for no gain (49-A.Singleton).	−2.65	−3.14	+0.49	−3.54	−9%	1.4×
Q2 14:21	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 34	(14:21) 12-R.Harvey left tackle to DEN 36 for 2 yards (43-M.Judon).	−0.23	−0.27	+0.04	−0.32	−1%	1.4×
Q2 13:45	DEN	2nd & 8	DEN 36	(13:45) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 17-J.Waddle to DEN 42 for 6 yards (57-D.Greenlaw; 36-M.Sigle).	+0.19	+0.14	+0.05	+0.24	0%	1.4×
Q2 13:02	DEN	3rd & 2	DEN 42	(13:02) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DEN-72-G.Bolles, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 42 - No Play.	−0.63	−0.66	+0.02	−0.86	−2%	1.4×
Q2 12:48	DEN	3rd & 7	DEN 37	(12:48) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right to 1-E.Engram.	−1.09	−1.10	+0.01	−1.31	−4%	1.4×
Q2 12:43	DEN	4th & 7	DEN 37	(12:43) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 51 yards to SF 12, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.	+0.82	+0.38	+0.45	+0.50	+3%	1.4×
Q2 12:36	SF	1st & 10	SF 12	(12:36) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 85-G.Kittle to SF 16 for 4 yards (49-A.Singleton).	−0.15	−0.09	−0.06	−0.11	−1%	1.4×
Q2 11:53	SF	2nd & 6	SF 16	(11:53) 26-K.Black up the middle to SF 21 for 5 yards (51-Q.Robinson; 49-A.Singleton).	+0.10	+0.15	−0.04	+0.29	0%	1.4×
Q2 11:18	SF	3rd & 1	SF 21	(11:18) 23-C.McCaffrey left guard to SF 21 for no gain (93-D.Jones).	−0.99	−0.96	−0.04	−1.42	−4%	1.4×
Q2 10:36	SF	4th & 1	SF 21	(10:36) 15-C.Waitman punts 49 yards to DEN 30, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.	0.00	−0.40	+0.39	−0.35	0%	1.4×
Q2 10:28	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 30	(10:28) 27-J.Dobbins left guard to DEN 30 for no gain (54-F.Warner).	−0.39	−0.45	+0.06	−0.49	−1%	1.4×
Q2 9:50	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 30	(9:50) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 17-J.Waddle to DEN 39 for 9 yards (6-M.Mustapha).	+0.61	+0.55	+0.06	+0.75	+2%	1.4×
Q2 9:06	DEN	3rd & 1	DEN 39	(9:06) PENALTY on DEN-72-G.Bolles, False Start, 4 yards, enforced at DEN 39 - No Play.	−0.59	−0.63	+0.04	−1.09	−2%	1.4×
Q2 8:43	DEN	3rd & 5	DEN 35	(8:43) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix scrambles left end to DEN 42 for 7 yards (59-O.Okoronkwo).	+1.25	+1.20	+0.04	+1.57	+4%	1.4×
Q2 7:57	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 42	(7:57) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to DEN 46 for 4 yards (54-F.Warner; 57-D.Greenlaw).	−0.04	−0.06	+0.02	−0.02	0%	1.3×
Q2 7:18	DEN	2nd & 6	DEN 46	(7:18) 27-J.Dobbins right end to 50 for 4 yards (93-G.Halton; 54-F.Warner).	−0.08	−0.08	0.00	−0.01	0%	1.3×
Q2 6:40	DEN	3rd & 2	50	(6:40) 28-T.Badie right guard to SF 47 for 3 yards (54-F.Warner).	+0.74	+0.76	−0.02	+0.74	+3%	1.3×
Q2 6:01	DEN	1st & 10	SF 47	(6:01) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.46	−2%	1.3×
Q2 5:53	DEN	2nd & 10	SF 47	(5:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 27-J.Dobbins pushed ob at SF 42 for 5 yards (20-U.Stout).	−0.20	−0.17	−0.03	−0.19	−1%	1.3×
Q2 5:18	DEN	3rd & 5	SF 42	(5:18) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 1-E.Engram (6-M.Mustapha).	−1.28	−1.28	0.00	−1.57	−5%	1.3×
Q2 5:13	DEN	4th & 5	SF 42	(5:13) (Punt formation) PENALTY on DEN, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at SF 42 - No Play.	−0.45	−0.47	+0.01	−0.40	−2%	1.4×
Q2 5:13	DEN	4th & 10	SF 47	(5:13) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 47 yards to end zone, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Touchback.	−0.36	−0.71	+0.35	−0.67	−1%	1.4×
Q2 5:01	SF	1st & 10	SF 20	(5:01) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 5-M.Evans to SF 38 for 18 yards (9-T.Hufanga) [99-Z.Allen].	+0.95	+0.95	0.00	+1.11	+4%	1.4×
Q2 4:18	SF	1st & 10	SF 38	(4:18) 23-C.McCaffrey left end to SF 40 for 2 yards (99-Z.Allen; 2-P.Surtain).	−0.26	−0.29	+0.03	−0.62	−1%	1.4×
Q2 3:41	SF	2nd & 8	SF 40	(3:41) 13-B.Purdy scrambles right end pushed ob at SF 47 for 7 yards (99-Z.Allen).	+0.33	+0.29	+0.03	+0.79	+1%	1.4×
Q2 3:04	SF	3rd & 1	SF 47	(3:04) (Shotgun) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DEN 43 for 10 yards (2-P.Surtain; 9-T.Hufanga).	+1.01	+0.97	+0.04	+0.88	+4%	1.4×
Q2 2:21	SF	1st & 10	DEN 43	(2:21) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete deep left to 5-M.Evans.	−0.45	−0.46	+0.01	−0.39	−2%	1.4×
Q2 2:15	SF	2nd & 10	DEN 43	(2:15) 19-D.Samuel left end to DEN 23 for 20 yards (22-B.Jones).	+1.62	+1.61	+0.01	+1.91	+6%	1.4×
Q2 2:00	SF	1st & 10	DEN 23	(2:00) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete short left to 19-D.Samuel (93-D.Jones) [93-D.Jones].	−0.38	−0.39	+0.01	−0.41	−1%	1.4×
Q2 1:55	SF	2nd & 10	DEN 23	(1:55) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 44-K.Juszczyk to DEN 11 for 12 yards (49-A.Singleton).	+1.03	+0.98	+0.05	+1.04	+5%	1.4×
Q2 1:50	SF	1st & 10	DEN 11	(1:50) (Shotgun) 26-K.Black up the middle to DEN 9 for 2 yards (49-A.Singleton).	−0.16	−0.18	+0.02	−0.72	0%	1.4×
Q2 1:47	SF	2nd & 8	DEN 9	(1:47) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy right guard to DEN 6 for 3 yards (97-M.Roach).	−0.26	−0.29	+0.02	−0.62	0%	1.4×
Q2 1:43	SF	3rd & 5	DEN 6	(1:43) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete short middle to 5-M.Evans.	−1.00	−1.01	+0.01	−0.38	−4%	1.4×
Q2 1:38	SF	4th & 5	DEN 6	(1:38) 18-E.Pineiro 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman.	−0.42	−0.45	+0.03	+0.06	−4%	1.4×
Q2 1:36	DEN	Kickoff	SF 35	18-E.Pineiro kicks 65 yards from SF 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the DEN 20.	−0.32	−0.20	−0.12	−0.25	−1%	1.4×
Q2 1:36	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 20	(1:36) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to DEN 25 for 5 yards (54-F.Warner).	+0.02	+0.03	−0.01	−0.25	0%	1.4×
Q2 1:17	DEN	2nd & 5	DEN 25	(1:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 12-R.Harvey pushed ob at DEN 29 for 4 yards (0-R.Green).	+0.05	+0.06	0.00	+0.01	0%	1.4×
Q2 1:10	DEN	3rd & 1	DEN 29	(1:10) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 14-C.Sutton to DEN 33 for 4 yards (2-D.Lenoir). PENALTY on SF-2-D.Lenoir, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 33.	+0.85	+0.86	−0.01	+0.54	+4%	1.4×
Q2 1:00	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 38	(1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 14-C.Sutton.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.23	−2%	1.4×
Q2 0:56	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 38	(:56) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right.	−0.62	−0.61	0.00	−0.27	−3%	1.4×
Q2 0:52	DEN	3rd & 10	DEN 38	(:52) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 14-C.Sutton.	−1.12	−1.12	0.00	−0.54	−5%	1.4×
Q2 0:47	DEN	4th & 10	DEN 38	(:47) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 44 yards to SF 18, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.	+0.77	+0.45	+0.32	−0.15	+3%	1.4×
Q2 0:41	SF	1st & 10	SF 18	(:41) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete deep left to 85-G.Kittle.	−0.48	−0.47	0.00	−0.02	−2%	1.4×
Q2 0:38	SF	2nd & 10	SF 18	(:38) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 5-M.Evans to SF 42 for 24 yards (22-B.Jones). DEN-2-P.Surtain was injured during the play.	+1.74	+1.76	−0.02	+0.64	+7%	1.4×
Q2 0:30	SF	1st & 10	SF 42	(:30) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 23-C.McCaffrey to SF 46 for 4 yards (21-R.Moss; 29-J.McMillian).	−0.08	−0.07	−0.01	−0.08	0%	1.4×
Q2 0:25	SF	2nd & 6	SF 46	(:25) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy scrambles right end pushed ob at DEN 49 for 5 yards (40-J.Strnad).	+0.08	+0.10	−0.02	+0.01	0%	1.4×
Q2 0:18	SF	3rd & 1	DEN 49	(:18) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 5-M.Evans to DEN 41 for 8 yards (21-R.Moss) [99-Z.Allen].	+0.89	+0.92	−0.03	+0.37	+4%	1.4×
Q2 0:13	SF	1st & 10	DEN 41	(:13) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 23-C.McCaffrey to DEN 36 for 5 yards (49-A.Singleton).	+0.08	+0.10	−0.02	+0.26	0%	1.3×
Q2 0:05	SF	2nd & 5	DEN 36	(:05) (No Huddle) 13-B.Purdy spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.64	−0.63	0.00	+0.40	−3%	1.3×
Q2 0:04	SF	3rd & 5	DEN 36	(:04) 18-E.Pineiro 54 yard field goal is BLOCKED (99-Z.Allen), Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman, RECOVERED by DEN-9-T.Hufanga at DEN 37. 9-T.Hufanga to DEN 42 for 5 yards (89-L.Farrell). FUMBLES (89-L.Farrell), recovered by DEN-26-D.Key at DEN 42. 26-D.Key to DEN 46 for 4 yards (89-L.Farrell; 68-C.McKivitz).	−0.92	−1.20	+0.28	−1.69	−3%	1.4×
Q3 15:00	SF	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 61 yards from DEN 35 to SF 4. 19-D.Samuel to SF 30 for 26 yards (55-J.Turner). FUMBLES (55-J.Turner), recovered by SF-9-B.Willis at SF 29. 9-B.Willis to SF 31 for 2 yards.	−0.04	+0.19	−0.23	+0.37	0%	1.4×
Q3 14:55	SF	1st & 10	SF 31	(14:55) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy scrambles up the middle to SF 32 for 1 yard (15-N.Bonitto).	−0.43	−0.37	−0.06	−0.40	−2%	1.4×
Q3 14:15	SF	2nd & 9	SF 32	(14:15) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete short left to 85-G.Kittle. Penalty on SF, Illegal Shift, declined.	−0.60	−0.59	−0.01	−0.80	−3%	1.4×
Q3 14:09	SF	3rd & 9	SF 32	(14:09) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete short right to 84-B.Cooks (23-J.Barron).	−1.06	−1.06	−0.01	−1.48	−5%	1.4×
Q3 14:05	SF	4th & 9	SF 32	(14:05) 15-C.Waitman punts 45 yards to DEN 23, Center-46-J.Weeks, out of bounds.	+1.02	+0.45	+0.58	+0.29	+4%	1.4×
Q3 13:56	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 23	(13:56) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to DEN 25 for 2 yards (36-M.Sigle). SF-36-M.Sigle was injured during the play.	−0.33	−0.27	−0.06	−0.29	−2%	1.4×
Q3 13:23	DEN	2nd & 8	DEN 25	(13:23) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to DEN 26 for 1 yard (93-G.Halton; 57-D.Greenlaw).	−0.55	−0.49	−0.07	−0.61	−3%	1.4×
Q3 12:43	DEN	3rd & 7	DEN 26	(12:43) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 13-P.Bryant ran ob at DEN 37 for 11 yards (20-U.Stout).	+1.50	+1.55	−0.05	+2.02	+7%	1.4×
Q3 12:17	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 37	(12:17) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short middle to 82-A.Trautman (54-F.Warner).	−0.46	−0.45	−0.01	−0.53	−2%	1.4×
Q3 12:10	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 37	(12:10) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to DEN 42 for 5 yards (92-O.Odighizuwa; 56-K.White).	−0.16	−0.10	−0.06	−0.32	−1%	1.4×
Q3 11:28	DEN	3rd & 5	DEN 42	(11:28) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix scrambles left tackle pushed ob at DEN 45 for 3 yards (57-D.Greenlaw).	−0.76	−0.72	−0.04	−1.22	−3%	1.4×
Q3 10:52	DEN	4th & 2	DEN 45	(10:52) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 47 yards to SF 8, Center-48-M.Fraboni, fair catch by 4-J.Cowing.	+1.15	+0.03	+1.11	+0.23	+5%	1.4×
Q3 10:44	SF	1st & 10	SF 8	(10:44) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete short left to 23-C.McCaffrey (97-M.Roach).	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.57	−2%	1.4×
Q3 10:40	SF	2nd & 10	SF 8	(10:40) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle to SF 11 for 3 yards (49-A.Singleton).	−0.36	−0.34	−0.02	−0.43	−2%	1.4×
Q3 9:59	SF	3rd & 7	SF 11	(9:59) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete deep left to 5-M.Evans.	−0.88	−0.88	0.00	−1.31	−4%	1.4×
Q3 9:52	SF	4th & 7	SF 11	(9:52) 15-C.Waitman punts 61 yards to DEN 28, Center-46-J.Weeks. 19-M.Mims to DEN 29 for 1 yard (33-S.Neal). FUMBLES (33-S.Neal), RECOVERED by SF-33-S.Neal at DEN 28. 33-S.Neal to DEN 28 for no gain (19-M.Mims).	+5.17	+5.26	−0.09	+6.48	+23%	1.4×
Q3 9:40	SF	1st & 10	DEN 28	(9:40) 19-D.Samuel right end to DEN 26 for 2 yards (94-J.Jackson).	−0.19	−0.19	0.00	−0.35	−1%	1.3×
Q3 8:56	SF	2nd & 8	DEN 26	(8:56) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 85-G.Kittle to DEN 19 for 7 yards (49-A.Singleton; 23-J.Barron).	+0.53	+0.51	+0.02	+0.50	+2%	1.3×
Q3 8:10	SF	3rd & 1	DEN 19	(8:10) 26-K.Black right end to DEN 19 for no gain (22-B.Jones; 23-J.Barron).	−0.71	−0.72	+0.01	−0.98	−3%	1.2×
Q3 7:24	SF	4th & 1	DEN 19	(7:24) (Shotgun) 26-K.Black up the middle to DEN 17 for 2 yards (22-B.Jones).	+1.00	+0.99	+0.02	+1.52	+4%	1.3×
Q3 6:50	SF	1st & 10	DEN 17	(6:50) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DEN 18 for -1 yards (49-A.Singleton, 40-J.Strnad).	−0.47	−0.48	+0.01	−0.82	−2%	1.2×
Q3 6:12	SF	2nd & 11	DEN 18	(6:12) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy scrambles left end pushed ob at DEN 7 for 11 yards (15-N.Bonitto).	+1.13	+1.06	+0.07	+1.41	+5%	1.2×
Q3 5:40	SF	1st & 7	DEN 7	(5:40) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 19-D.Samuel to DEN 1 for 6 yards (22-B.Jones; 15-N.Bonitto).	+0.56	+0.50	+0.06	+0.64	+3%	1.2×
Q3 5:01	SF	2nd & 1	DEN 1	(5:01) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DEN 1 for no gain (99-Z.Allen).	−0.60	−0.63	+0.03	−0.39	−2%	1.1×
Q3 4:22	SF	3rd & 1	DEN 1	(4:22) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 19-D.Samuel for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.30	+2.23	−0.93	+1.11	+6%	1.1×
Q3 4:15	SF	Try	DEN 15	18-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman.	+0.23	−0.58	+0.81	+0.07	+1%	1.0×
Q3 4:15	DEN	Kickoff	SF 35	18-E.Pineiro kicks 61 yards from SF 35 to DEN 4. 28-T.Badie pushed ob at DEN 34 for 30 yards (51-L.Gifford). ** Injury Update: SF-36-M.Sigle has returned to the game. PENALTY on DEN-55-J.Turner, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 25.	−0.43	−0.73	+0.30	−0.75	−1%	1.0×
Q3 4:08	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 15	(4:08) 12-R.Harvey right guard to DEN 15 for no gain (57-D.Greenlaw).	−0.48	−0.46	−0.01	−0.60	−2%	0.9×
Q3 3:29	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 15	(3:29) (Shotgun) 12-R.Harvey left guard to DEN 19 for 4 yards (57-D.Greenlaw).	−0.25	−0.22	−0.03	−0.34	−1%	0.9×
Q3 2:48	DEN	3rd & 6	DEN 19	(2:48) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 13-P.Bryant to DEN 49 for 30 yards (27-J.Brown; 2-D.Lenoir). DEN-13-P.Bryant was injured during the play.	+2.50	+2.57	−0.06	+3.27	+10%	0.8×
Q3 2:07	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 49	(2:07) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to SF 42 for 9 yards (27-J.Brown).	+0.69	+0.76	−0.07	+0.69	+3%	1.1×
Q3 1:23	DEN	2nd & 1	SF 42	(1:23) 12-R.Harvey up the middle to SF 40 for 2 yards (55-S.Valdez; 57-D.Greenlaw).	−0.13	−0.07	−0.06	+0.04	−1%	1.1×
Q3 0:42	DEN	1st & 10	SF 40	(:42) 27-J.Dobbins right tackle to SF 37 for 3 yards (93-G.Halton; 47-K.Kareem).	−0.17	−0.11	−0.06	−0.31	−1%	1.1×
Q3 0:02	DEN	2nd & 7	SF 37	(:02) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 27-J.Dobbins to SF 30 for 7 yards (20-U.Stout).	+0.72	+0.74	−0.01	+0.95	+4%	1.1×
Q4 15:00	DEN	1st & 10	SF 30	(15:00) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right [55-S.Valdez].	−0.41	−0.41	−0.01	−0.45	−2%	1.2×
Q4 14:56	DEN	2nd & 10	SF 30	(14:56) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right to 19-M.Mims.	−0.54	−0.54	0.00	−0.70	−2%	1.1×
Q4 14:53	DEN	3rd & 10	SF 30	(14:53) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to SF 22 for 8 yards (57-D.Greenlaw).	+0.33	+0.38	−0.05	−0.32	+1%	1.1×
Q4 14:12	DEN	4th & 2	SF 22	(14:12) 3-W.Lutz 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	−0.70	−0.87	+0.17	+0.63	−5%	1.1×
Q4 14:08	SF	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 64 yards from DEN 35 to SF 1. 4-J.Cowing to SF 26 for 25 yards (46-A.Prentice; 47-K.Reid).	−0.53	−0.47	−0.06	+0.01	−2%	1.0×
Q4 14:03	SF	1st & 10	SF 26	(14:03) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 44-K.Juszczyk to SF 42 for 16 yards (23-J.Barron) [99-Z.Allen]. SF-44-K.Juszczyk was injured during the play.	+0.83	+0.84	−0.01	+1.00	+3%	1.0×
Q4 13:43	SF	1st & 10	SF 42	(13:43) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 5-M.Evans to DEN 49 for 9 yards (31-K.Abrams-Draine).	+0.66	+0.67	−0.01	+0.78	+3%	1.0×
Q4 13:07	SF	2nd & 1	DEN 49	(13:07) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DEN 35 for 14 yards (31-K.Abrams-Draine).	+0.54	+0.57	−0.03	+0.63	+2%	0.9×
Q4 12:30	SF	1st & 10	DEN 35	(12:30) (Shotgun) 23-C.McCaffrey right guard to DEN 34 for 1 yard (93-D.Jones; 99-Z.Allen).	−0.36	−0.37	+0.01	−0.53	−1%	0.8×
Q4 11:54	SF	2nd & 9	DEN 34	(11:54) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 19-D.Samuel to DEN 26 for 8 yards (31-K.Abrams-Draine).	+0.60	+0.59	+0.01	+0.68	+2%	0.9×
Q4 11:16	SF	3rd & 1	DEN 26	(11:16) 26-K.Black up the middle to DEN 23 for 3 yards (22-B.Jones).	+0.37	+0.35	+0.02	+0.71	+2%	0.8×
Q4 10:39	SF	1st & 10	DEN 23	(10:39) 26-K.Black right tackle to DEN 23 for no gain (15-N.Bonitto; 22-B.Jones). PENALTY on DEN-99-Z.Allen, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 23 - No Play.	+0.27	+0.24	+0.02	+0.28	+1%	0.7×
Q4 10:18	SF	1st & 10	DEN 18	(10:18) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 5-M.Evans to DEN 1 for 17 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	+1.55	+1.44	+0.11	+1.61	+4%	0.7×
Q4 9:34	SF	1st & 1	DEN 1	(9:34) (Shotgun) 23-C.McCaffrey left guard to DEN 1 for no gain (9-T.Hufanga; 49-A.Singleton).	−0.32	−0.34	+0.02	−0.26	0%	0.5×
Q4 8:55	SF	2nd & 1	DEN 1	(8:55) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.93	+2.11	−1.18	+0.87	+2%	0.5×
Q4 8:52	SF	Try	DEN 15	18-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman.	+0.34	−0.83	+1.16	+0.07	+1%	0.4×
Q4 8:52	DEN	Kickoff	SF 35	18-E.Pineiro kicks 62 yards from SF 35 to DEN 3. 12-R.Harvey to DEN 30 for 27 yards (89-L.Farrell).	+0.96	+0.68	+0.28	+0.19	+2%	0.3×
Q4 8:48	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 30	(8:48) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 12-R.Harvey to DEN 48 for 18 yards (36-M.Sigle).	+1.00	+1.04	−0.04	+1.17	+3%	0.4×
Q4 8:11	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 48	(8:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to SF 44 for 8 yards (2-D.Lenoir).	+0.54	+0.58	−0.04	+0.62	+1%	0.6×
Q4 7:40	DEN	2nd & 2	SF 44	(7:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins left guard to SF 42 for 2 yards (94-R.Height).	+0.05	+0.08	−0.04	+0.02	0%	0.6×
Q4 7:02	DEN	1st & 10	SF 42	(7:02) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to SF 40 for 2 yards (55-S.Valdez).	−0.27	−0.23	−0.05	−0.28	−1%	0.6×
Q4 6:24	DEN	2nd & 8	SF 40	(6:24) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to SF 33 for 7 yards (57-D.Greenlaw). FUMBLES (57-D.Greenlaw), recovered by DEN-77-Q.Meinerz at SF 31.	+0.79	+0.88	−0.09	+0.98	+3%	0.6×
Q4 5:26	DEN	1st & 10	SF 31	(5:26) 12-R.Harvey left guard to SF 22 for 9 yards (25-J.Jones).	+0.69	+0.74	−0.05	+0.72	+2%	0.6×
Q4 4:50	DEN	2nd & 1	SF 22	(4:50) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins right guard to SF 13 for 9 yards (36-M.Sigle).	+0.04	+0.07	−0.03	+0.39	0%	0.7×
Q4 4:10	DEN	1st & 10	SF 13	(4:10) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 17-J.Waddle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.99	+1.68	−0.69	+2.13	−5%	0.6×
Q4 4:05	DEN	Try	SF 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 28-T.Badie rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+0.65	+0.28	+0.37	+1.05	+6%	0.5×
Q4 4:05	SF	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 58 yards from DEN 35 to SF 7. 19-D.Samuel to SF 31 for 24 yards (55-J.Turner).	−1.17	−0.85	−0.32	+0.46	−7%	0.7×
Q4 4:00	SF	1st & 10	SF 31	(4:00) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass incomplete short left to 23-C.McCaffrey.	−0.46	−0.47	0.00	−0.41	−3%	0.8×
Q4 3:57	SF	2nd & 10	SF 31	(3:57) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 23-C.McCaffrey to SF 40 for 9 yards (51-Q.Robinson).	+0.43	+0.37	+0.06	+0.47	+5%	0.9×
Q4 3:12	SF	3rd & 1	SF 40	(3:12) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to SF 42 for 2 yards (49-A.Singleton; 97-M.Roach).	+0.40	+0.33	+0.07	+0.51	+6%	0.8×
Q4 2:29	SF	1st & 10	SF 42	(2:29) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle to SF 44 for 2 yards (49-A.Singleton; 40-J.Strnad).	−0.28	−0.29	0.00	−0.37	0%	0.6×
Q4 2:25	SF	2nd & 8	SF 44	(2:25) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 85-G.Kittle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+5.34	+6.60	−1.26	+5.50	+13%	0.6×
Q4 2:15	SF	Try	DEN 15	18-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman.	+0.86	−0.55	+1.41	+0.07	+1%	0.2×
Q4 2:15	DEN	Kickoff	SF 35	18-E.Pineiro kicks 60 yards from SF 35 to DEN 5. 12-R.Harvey MUFFS catch, and recovers at DEN 5. 12-R.Harvey to DEN 42 for 37 yards (51-L.Gifford). SF-36-M.Sigle was injured during the play.	+1.28	+1.11	+0.16	+0.89	+2%	0.1×
Q4 2:07	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 42	(2:07) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 28-T.Badie to DEN 49 for 7 yards (0-R.Green). ** Injury Update: SF-20-U.Stout has returned to the game.	+0.28	+0.30	−0.02	+0.28	0%	0.2×
Q4 2:00	DEN	2nd & 3	DEN 49	(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right to 1-E.Engram.	−0.69	−0.68	−0.01	−0.48	−1%	0.3×
Q4 1:56	DEN	3rd & 3	DEN 49	(1:56) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 19-M.Mims to SF 26 for 25 yards (6-M.Mustapha) [56-K.White]. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep right to 19-M.Mims [56-K.White].	−1.20	−1.20	−0.01	−1.47	−2%	0.2×
Q4 1:52	DEN	4th & 3	DEN 49	(1:52) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 1-E.Engram to SF 45 for 6 yards (57-D.Greenlaw).	+2.08	+2.12	−0.04	+2.39	+3%	0.1×
Q4 1:36	DEN	1st & 10	SF 45	(1:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep left to 14-C.Sutton.	−0.51	−0.50	−0.01	−0.28	−1%	0.3×
Q4 1:29	DEN	2nd & 10	SF 45	(1:29) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep right to 14-C.Sutton.	−0.73	−0.72	−0.01	−0.45	−1%	0.2×
Q4 1:24	DEN	3rd & 10	SF 45	(1:24) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 17-J.Waddle to SF 40 for 5 yards (2-D.Lenoir).	−0.75	−0.73	−0.02	−1.34	−1%	0.1×
Q4 1:18	DEN	4th & 5	SF 40	(1:18) 3-W.Lutz 58 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	−0.97	−0.86	−0.11	−0.35	−1%	0.1×
Q4 1:14	SF	1st & 10	SF 48	(1:14) 13-B.Purdy kneels to SF 47 for -1 yards.	−0.63	−0.75	+0.13	0.00	0%	0.0×
Q4 0:36	SF	2nd & 11	SF 47	(:36) 13-B.Purdy kneels to SF 46 for -1 yards.	−0.39	+0.22	−0.60	0.00	0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	B.Purdy	SF	40	+8.7+0.29	−1.9−0.19	—	+6.8+0.17	+1.1+0.08	+7.2+0.18
	D.Samuel	SF	9	—	+2.6+0.85	+2.3+0.39	+4.9+0.54	+1.7+0.53	+5.2+0.57
	G.Kittle	SF	6	—	—	+4.4+0.73	+4.4+0.73	+0.6+0.26	+4.6+0.76
	P.Bryant	DEN	3	—	—	+4.1+1.37	+4.1+1.37	+1.2+1.17	+5.3+1.77
	T.Badie	DEN	4	—	+1.6+0.79	+2.3+1.16	+3.9+0.98	+1.5+1.17	+4.8+1.19
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DEN
	B.Nix	25	42	1	0	0	2145.1	+4.7+0.11	+1.8+0.04	0.00.00

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SF
	B.Purdy	19	30	2	0	0	2187.3	+8.5+0.28	+8.7+0.29	+1.6+0.15

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DEN
	J.Dobbins	11	0	403.6	−1.3−0.12	−1.4−0.12	−0.6−0.18
	R.Harvey	7	0	253.6	−0.8−0.12	−0.4−0.06	−0.2−0.10
	T.Badie	2	0	73.5	+1.7+0.87	+1.6+0.79	+0.6+0.79
	B.Nix	2	0	105.0	+0.3+0.17	+0.5+0.25	+0.2+0.24

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SF
	C.McCaffrey	15	1	523.5	−2.6−0.17	−0.8−0.05	−0.3−0.07
	B.Purdy	10	0	292.9	−1.3−0.13	−1.9−0.19	−0.5−0.16
	K.Black	6	0	132.2	+0.3+0.04	+0.3+0.05	0.0+0.02
	D.Samuel	3	0	4414.7	+3.0+0.99	+2.6+0.85	+1.0+0.89
	J.Cowing	1	0	22.0	0.0+0.02	−0.1−0.14	−0.1−0.14

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DEN
	R.Harvey	10	10	0	686.8	+0.9+0.09	+1.8+0.18	+0.1+0.04
	J.Waddle	6	5	1	357.0	+0.7+0.12	+0.2+0.04	+0.1+0.08
	C.Sutton	6	1	0	44.0	−2.5−0.41	−3.0−0.51	−0.8−0.47
	E.Engram	5	1	0	66.0	−1.6−0.32	−1.4−0.29	−1.1−0.83
	P.Bryant	3	3	0	4715.7	+5.3+1.77	+4.1+1.37	+1.2+1.17
	M.Mims	3	1	0	1010.0	−0.1−0.03	−0.1−0.04	+0.4+0.52
	T.Badie	2	2	0	3216.0	+3.0+1.51	+2.3+1.16	+0.8+1.79
	J.Dobbins	2	2	0	126.0	+0.8+0.38	+0.5+0.26	+0.2+0.22
	A.Trautman	1	0	0	0—	−0.5−0.53	−0.5−0.46	−0.2−0.46

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SF
	M.Evans	8	5	0	7615.2	+2.4+0.30	+3.5+0.43	+1.0+0.34
	D.Samuel	6	5	1	265.2	+2.2+0.37	+2.3+0.39	+0.7+0.33
	G.Kittle	6	4	1	7017.5	+4.6+0.76	+4.4+0.73	+0.6+0.26
	C.McCaffrey	5	3	0	186.0	−0.3−0.07	−0.5−0.10	−0.2−0.12
	K.Juszczyk	2	2	0	2814.0	+2.0+1.02	+1.9+0.93	+0.7+0.95
	J.Cowing	1	0	0	0—	−1.3−1.34	−1.1−1.08	−0.4−1.08
	B.Cooks	1	0	0	0—	−1.5−1.48	−1.1−1.06	−0.4−1.06