NE 6, JAX 35 — week 3, 2026

6 at 35

Week 3 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
JAX	70	35	3154.5	+10.3+0.147	+10.7+0.152	+13.5+0.194	−2.9−0.041	+1.6+0.106
NE	70	6	3174.5	−19.0−0.271	−14.1−0.202	−15.2−0.216	+1.0+0.014	−4.1−0.253
NET	0	29	−20.0	+29.2+0.417	+24.8+0.354	+28.7+0.410	−3.9−0.056	+5.7+0.359
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is JAX minus NE.

Game Timeline

NE at JAX. JAX won by 29. Two panels. Top: JAX's win probability across 154 plays, starting at 52% and finishing at 100%; JAX was favored on 90% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at JAX by 29.3 in the fourth quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: +16% at play 26, D.Maye sacked at JAX 42 for -7 yards — FUMBLES; -13% at play 43, T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for… — INTERCEPTED; +14% at play 73, D.Maye pass short right intended for E.Chism — INTERCEPTED; +9% at play 94, A.Borregales 38 yard field goal — NO GOOD.

Excitement

0.5 bits

#14 of 16 this week

26th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.56

#16 of 16 this week

23rd percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

227 pts

#16 of 16 this week

20th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

32%

#15 of 16 this week

25th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#13 of 16 this week

17th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

43%

#10 of 16 this week

36th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 1:03	NE	1st & 10	NE 27	(1:03) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left intended for 18-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 4-J.Jones at NE 36. 4-J.Jones pushed ob at NE 5 for 31 yards (10-D.Maye).	−5.50	−5.54	+0.03	−7.13	−1.4%	0.2×
2	Q2 1:02	NE	3rd & 2	JAX 2	(1:02) 10-D.Maye pass short right intended for 86-E.Chism INTERCEPTED by 12-T.Hunter [23-F.Oluokun] at JAX -9. Touchback.	−5.17	−4.91	−0.27	−4.47	−14.2%	1.2×
3	Q1 3:58	NE	1st & 10	JAX 35	(3:58) 10-D.Maye sacked at JAX 42 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at JAX 38.	−4.86	−4.63	−0.23	−5.80	−15.5%	1.4×
4	Q2 11:13	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 20	(11:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 85-B.Strange INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones (23-J.Reed) at JAX 33. 25-M.Jones to JAX 21 for 12 yards (76-E.Cleveland; 3-J.Meyers).	−4.27	−4.55	+0.28	−5.40	−12.6%	1.1×
5	Q3 9:54	NE	4th & 6	JAX 20	(9:54) 8-A.Borregales 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.	−3.44	−3.88	+0.44	−4.05	−9.3%	1.0×
6	Q3 1:13	JAX	3rd & 17	NE 17	(1:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.	+3.40	+3.91	−0.51	+3.90	+3.8%	0.4×
7	Q3 13:23	NE	4th & 1	NE 47	(13:23) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to 50 for 3 yards (47-D.Gardeck). PENALTY on JAX-6-A.Johnson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.	+2.63	+2.69	−0.06	+3.60	+7.2%	0.8×
8	Q2 3:33	NE	2nd & 9	NE 29	(3:33) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 3-D.Douglas to JAX 33 for 38 yards (12-T.Hunter).	+2.51	+2.54	−0.03	+2.85	+7.8%	0.8×
9	Q2 13:30	JAX	2nd & 10	NE 12	(13:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 19-J.Cameron for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.28	+2.82	−0.53	+2.37	+9.3%	1.3×
10	Q3 2:16	JAX	3rd & 11	NE 18	(2:16) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 3-J.Meyers to NE 5 for 13 yards (7-C.Davis). PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Face Mask, 3 yards, enforced at NE 5.	+2.25	+2.19	+0.06	+2.93	+2.4%	0.4×
11	Q4 8:56	JAX	3rd & 4	NE 16	(8:56) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to NE 1 for 15 yards.	+1.99	+1.82	+0.16	+2.42	+0.0%	0.0×
12	Q1 11:44	NE	3rd & 5	NE 33	(11:44) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 46 for 21 yards (12-T.Hunter; 27-C.Ransaw).	+1.98	+1.96	+0.02	+2.70	+6.1%	1.4×
13	Q4 15:00	NE	3rd & 8	NE 11	(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 13-M.Hollins ran ob at NE 29 for 18 yards. Penalty on JAX-4-J.Jones, Defensive Holding, declined.	+1.97	+2.01	−0.04	+2.47	+0.1%	0.0×
14	Q4 5:25	NE	3rd & 8	NE 41	(5:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass deep middle to 87-R.Doubs to JAX 39 for 20 yards (27-C.Ransaw).	+1.97	+2.04	−0.08	+2.47	+0.0%	0.0×
15	Q4 14:22	NE	1st & 10	50	(14:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 18-K.Williams ran ob at JAX 16 for 34 yards (4-J.Jones).	+1.92	+2.00	−0.08	+2.09	+0.5%	0.0×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 3:58	NE	1st & 10	JAX 35	(3:58) 10-D.Maye sacked at JAX 42 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at JAX 38.	−4.86	−4.63	−0.23	−5.80	−15.5%	1.4×
2	Q2 1:02	NE	3rd & 2	JAX 2	(1:02) 10-D.Maye pass short right intended for 86-E.Chism INTERCEPTED by 12-T.Hunter [23-F.Oluokun] at JAX -9. Touchback.	−5.17	−4.91	−0.27	−4.47	−14.2%	1.2×
3	Q2 11:13	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 20	(11:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 85-B.Strange INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones (23-J.Reed) at JAX 33. 25-M.Jones to JAX 21 for 12 yards (76-E.Cleveland; 3-J.Meyers).	−4.27	−4.55	+0.28	−5.40	−12.6%	1.1×
4	Q3 9:54	NE	4th & 6	JAX 20	(9:54) 8-A.Borregales 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.	−3.44	−3.88	+0.44	−4.05	−9.3%	1.0×
5	Q2 13:30	JAX	2nd & 10	NE 12	(13:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 19-J.Cameron for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.28	+2.82	−0.53	+2.37	+9.3%	1.3×
6	Q1 11:44	NE	3rd & 5	NE 33	(11:44) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 46 for 21 yards (12-T.Hunter; 27-C.Ransaw).	+1.98	+1.96	+0.02	+2.70	+6.1%	1.4×
7	Q1 2:24	JAX	3rd & 5	JAX 43	(2:24) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington to NE 39 for 18 yards (31-K.Byard).	+1.79	+1.86	−0.08	+2.03	+5.7%	1.4×
8	Q2 3:33	NE	2nd & 9	NE 29	(3:33) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 3-D.Douglas to JAX 33 for 38 yards (12-T.Hunter).	+2.51	+2.54	−0.03	+2.85	+7.8%	0.8×
9	Q3 13:23	NE	4th & 1	NE 47	(13:23) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to 50 for 3 yards (47-D.Gardeck). PENALTY on JAX-6-A.Johnson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.	+2.63	+2.69	−0.06	+3.60	+7.2%	0.8×
10	Q1 10:25	NE	3rd & 9	JAX 45	(10:25) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 85-H.Henry.	−1.25	−1.26	0.00	−1.76	−3.9%	1.4×
11	Q1 6:30	NE	2nd & 10	NE 42	(6:30) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 45 for 13 yards (4-J.Jones).	+1.18	+1.17	+0.01	+1.56	+3.8%	1.4×
12	Q2 4:28	JAX	2nd & 10	NE 10	(4:28) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 3-J.Meyers for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.49	+2.72	−1.23	+2.49	+4.4%	1.0×
13	Q3 1:13	JAX	3rd & 17	NE 17	(1:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.	+3.40	+3.91	−0.51	+3.90	+3.8%	0.4×
14	Q2 9:09	JAX	Kickoff	NE 35	8-A.Borregales kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 35.	+1.07	+0.62	+0.45	+0.44	+3.0%	1.2×
15	Q2 2:47	NE	3rd & 10	JAX 33	(2:47) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 86-E.Chism (91-A.Armstead, 4-J.Jones) [91-A.Armstead]. PENALTY on JAX-4-J.Jones, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 33 - No Play.	+1.31	+1.30	0.00	+1.10	+3.6%	1.0×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 3:58	NE	1st & 10	JAX 35	(3:58) 10-D.Maye sacked at JAX 42 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at JAX 38.	−4.86	−4.63	−0.23	−5.80	−15.5%	1.4×
2	Q2 1:02	NE	3rd & 2	JAX 2	(1:02) 10-D.Maye pass short right intended for 86-E.Chism INTERCEPTED by 12-T.Hunter [23-F.Oluokun] at JAX -9. Touchback.	−5.17	−4.91	−0.27	−4.47	−14.2%	1.2×
3	Q2 11:13	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 20	(11:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 85-B.Strange INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones (23-J.Reed) at JAX 33. 25-M.Jones to JAX 21 for 12 yards (76-E.Cleveland; 3-J.Meyers).	−4.27	−4.55	+0.28	−5.40	−12.6%	1.1×
4	Q2 13:30	JAX	2nd & 10	NE 12	(13:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 19-J.Cameron for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.28	+2.82	−0.53	+2.37	+9.3%	1.3×
5	Q3 9:54	NE	4th & 6	JAX 20	(9:54) 8-A.Borregales 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.	−3.44	−3.88	+0.44	−4.05	−9.3%	1.0×
6	Q2 3:33	NE	2nd & 9	NE 29	(3:33) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 3-D.Douglas to JAX 33 for 38 yards (12-T.Hunter).	+2.51	+2.54	−0.03	+2.85	+7.8%	0.8×
7	Q3 13:23	NE	4th & 1	NE 47	(13:23) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to 50 for 3 yards (47-D.Gardeck). PENALTY on JAX-6-A.Johnson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.	+2.63	+2.69	−0.06	+3.60	+7.2%	0.8×
8	Q1 11:44	NE	3rd & 5	NE 33	(11:44) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 46 for 21 yards (12-T.Hunter; 27-C.Ransaw).	+1.98	+1.96	+0.02	+2.70	+6.1%	1.4×
9	Q1 2:24	JAX	3rd & 5	JAX 43	(2:24) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington to NE 39 for 18 yards (31-K.Byard).	+1.79	+1.86	−0.08	+2.03	+5.7%	1.4×
10	Q2 4:28	JAX	2nd & 10	NE 10	(4:28) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 3-J.Meyers for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.49	+2.72	−1.23	+2.49	+4.4%	1.0×
11	Q1 10:25	NE	3rd & 9	JAX 45	(10:25) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 85-H.Henry.	−1.25	−1.26	0.00	−1.76	−3.9%	1.4×
12	Q1 6:30	NE	2nd & 10	NE 42	(6:30) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 45 for 13 yards (4-J.Jones).	+1.18	+1.17	+0.01	+1.56	+3.8%	1.4×
13	Q3 1:13	JAX	3rd & 17	NE 17	(1:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.	+3.40	+3.91	−0.51	+3.90	+3.8%	0.4×
14	Q2 2:47	NE	3rd & 10	JAX 33	(2:47) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 86-E.Chism (91-A.Armstead, 4-J.Jones) [91-A.Armstead]. PENALTY on JAX-4-J.Jones, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 33 - No Play.	+1.31	+1.30	0.00	+1.10	+3.6%	1.0×
15	Q2 1:19	NE	2nd & 6	JAX 14	(1:19) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles up the middle to JAX 6 for 8 yards (52-D.Hamilton). FUMBLES (52-D.Hamilton), and recovers at JAX 5. The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.	+0.90	+0.85	+0.05	+1.30	+3.5%	1.1×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 154 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	JAX	Kickoff	NE 35	8-A.Borregales kicks 64 yards from NE 35 to JAX 1. 19-J.Cameron to JAX 29 for 28 yards (43-J.Ramirez). PENALTY on JAX-31-J.Tavai, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 22.	−0.82	−0.74	−0.08	−0.94	−2.3%	1.4×
Q1 14:55	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 12	(14:55) 33-B.Tuten up the middle to JAX 18 for 6 yards (23-J.Reed). PENALTY on JAX-87-N.Boerkircher, Chop Block, 6 yards, enforced at JAX 12 - No Play.	−0.53	−0.56	+0.03	−0.82	−1.4%	1.4×
Q1 14:51	JAX	1st & 16	JAX 6	(14:51) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 85-B.Strange to JAX 14 for 8 yards (7-C.Davis).	+0.49	+0.26	+0.22	+0.25	+1.3%	1.4×
Q1 14:06	JAX	2nd & 8	JAX 14	(14:06) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 19-J.Cameron.	−0.62	−0.64	+0.02	−0.76	−1.8%	1.4×
Q1 14:02	JAX	3rd & 8	JAX 14	(14:02) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end to JAX 21 for 7 yards (97-M.Williams).	+0.23	0.00	+0.22	−0.34	+0.6%	1.4×
Q1 13:14	JAX	4th & 1	JAX 21	(13:14) 9-L.Cooke punts 51 yards to NE 28, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.	+0.67	−0.37	+1.04	+0.13	+2.3%	1.4×
Q1 13:06	NE	1st & 10	NE 28	(13:06) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 30 for 2 yards (51-V.Miller).	−0.14	−0.27	+0.14	−0.40	−0.4%	1.4×
Q1 12:29	NE	2nd & 8	NE 30	(12:29) 32-T.Henderson right tackle to NE 33 for 3 yards (51-V.Miller; 52-D.Hamilton).	−0.16	−0.28	+0.12	−0.80	−0.5%	1.4×
Q1 11:44	NE	3rd & 5	NE 33	(11:44) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 46 for 21 yards (12-T.Hunter; 27-C.Ransaw).	+1.98	+1.96	+0.02	+2.70	+6.1%	1.4×
Q1 11:13	NE	1st & 10	JAX 46	(11:13) 32-T.Henderson left tackle to JAX 45 for 1 yard (51-V.Miller; 47-D.Gardeck).	−0.32	−0.36	+0.04	−0.52	−0.9%	1.4×
Q1 10:33	NE	2nd & 9	JAX 45	(10:33) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right.	−0.69	−0.69	+0.01	−0.89	−2.1%	1.4×
Q1 10:25	NE	3rd & 9	JAX 45	(10:25) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 85-H.Henry.	−1.25	−1.26	0.00	−1.76	−3.9%	1.4×
Q1 10:20	NE	4th & 9	JAX 45	(10:20) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 33 yards to JAX 12, Center-47-J.Ashby, downed by NE-36-C.Latu.	−0.08	−0.38	+0.31	−0.17	+0.0%	1.4×
Q1 10:10	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 12	(10:10) 33-B.Tuten left end to JAX 24 for 12 yards (7-C.Davis).	+0.64	+0.64	0.00	+0.64	+2.2%	1.4×
Q1 9:43	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 24	(9:43) (No Huddle) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 85-B.Strange to JAX 25 for 1 yard (25-M.Jones).	−0.35	−0.37	+0.02	−0.37	−1.1%	1.4×
Q1 9:08	JAX	2nd & 9	JAX 25	(9:08) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 3-J.Meyers to JAX 30 for 5 yards (14-R.Spillane).	−0.01	−0.04	+0.03	+0.01	−0.0%	1.4×
Q1 8:30	JAX	3rd & 4	JAX 30	(8:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 5-L.Allen to JAX 32 for 2 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).	−0.69	−0.73	+0.04	−1.27	−2.3%	1.4×
Q1 7:52	JAX	4th & 2	JAX 32	(7:52) 9-L.Cooke punts 40 yards to NE 28, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 25-M.Jones pushed ob at NE 29 for 1 yard (27-C.Ransaw; 19-J.Cameron).	−0.76	−0.82	+0.06	−0.56	−2.2%	1.4×
Q1 7:40	NE	1st & 10	NE 29	(7:40) 38-R.Stevenson left end to NE 34 for 5 yards (91-A.Armstead).	+0.09	+0.05	+0.04	0.00	+0.3%	1.4×
Q1 7:08	NE	2nd & 5	NE 34	(7:08) 10-D.Maye scrambles right end pushed ob at NE 42 for 8 yards (44-T.Walker; 6-A.Johnson).	+0.68	+0.64	+0.04	+0.82	+2.2%	1.4×
Q1 6:36	NE	1st & 10	NE 42	(6:36) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Hollins.	−0.45	−0.46	+0.01	−0.53	−1.5%	1.4×
Q1 6:30	NE	2nd & 10	NE 42	(6:30) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 45 for 13 yards (4-J.Jones).	+1.18	+1.17	+0.01	+1.56	+3.8%	1.4×
Q1 5:59	NE	1st & 10	JAX 45	(5:59) 32-T.Henderson up the middle to JAX 41 for 4 yards (41-J.Hines-Allen; 29-E.Murray).	−0.03	−0.05	+0.02	−0.11	−0.1%	1.4×
Q1 5:23	NE	2nd & 6	JAX 41	(5:23) 32-T.Henderson up the middle to JAX 37 for 4 yards (12-T.Hunter; 6-A.Johnson).	−0.05	−0.05	0.00	−0.18	−0.2%	1.4×
Q1 4:43	NE	3rd & 2	JAX 37	(4:43) 38-R.Stevenson right tackle to JAX 35 for 2 yards (23-F.Oluokun; 44-T.Walker).	+0.65	+0.66	−0.01	+1.02	+2.0%	1.4×
Q1 3:58	NE	1st & 10	JAX 35	(3:58) 10-D.Maye sacked at JAX 42 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at JAX 38.	−4.86	−4.63	−0.23	−5.80	−15.5%	1.4×
Q1 3:52	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 38	(3:52) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 33-B.Tuten to JAX 40 for 2 yards (53-C.Elliss).	−0.31	−0.28	−0.03	−0.42	−1.0%	1.4×
Q1 3:10	JAX	2nd & 8	JAX 40	(3:10) 24-C.Rodriguez left end to JAX 43 for 3 yards (50-G.Jacas; 90-C.Barmore).	−0.37	−0.33	−0.04	−0.38	−1.2%	1.4×
Q1 2:24	JAX	3rd & 5	JAX 43	(2:24) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington to NE 39 for 18 yards (31-K.Byard).	+1.79	+1.86	−0.08	+2.03	+5.7%	1.4×
Q1 1:41	JAX	1st & 10	NE 39	(1:41) (Shotgun) 33-B.Tuten left guard to NE 38 for 1 yard (50-G.Jacas).	−0.38	−0.35	−0.03	−0.61	−1.1%	1.4×
Q1 0:56	JAX	2nd & 9	NE 38	(:56) 33-B.Tuten right guard to NE 30 for 8 yards (90-C.Barmore).	+0.57	+0.60	−0.03	+0.51	+1.7%	1.4×
Q1 0:13	JAX	3rd & 1	NE 30	(:13) 64-W.Milum reported in as eligible. 24-C.Rodriguez right end to NE 23 for 7 yards (23-J.Reed; 31-K.Byard).	+0.68	+0.68	0.00	+0.96	+2.0%	1.4×
Q2 15:00	JAX	1st & 10	NE 23	(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 7-Bri.Thomas to NE 15 for 8 yards (7-C.Davis; 25-M.Jones).	+0.58	+0.57	+0.01	+0.50	+1.8%	1.3×
Q2 14:16	JAX	2nd & 2	NE 15	(14:16) 33-B.Tuten right guard to NE 12 for 3 yards (25-M.Jones).	−0.02	−0.02	0.00	−0.01	−0.1%	1.3×
Q2 13:33	JAX	1st & 10	NE 12	(13:33) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 20-A.Abdullah (7-C.Davis).	−0.36	−0.36	0.00	−0.45	−1.1%	1.3×
Q2 13:30	JAX	2nd & 10	NE 12	(13:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 19-J.Cameron for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.28	+2.82	−0.53	+2.37	+9.3%	1.3×
Q2 13:25	JAX	Try	NE 15	39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.	+0.21	−0.45	+0.66	+0.07	+0.5%	1.2×
Q2 13:25	NE	Kickoff	JAX 35	39-C.Little kicks 63 yards from JAX 35 to NE 2. 9-C.Kiner to NE 33 for 31 yards (19-J.Cameron). PENALTY on NE-36-C.Latu, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at NE 30.	−0.21	−0.19	−0.02	−0.33	−0.6%	1.2×
Q2 13:17	NE	1st & 10	NE 20	(13:17) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 32-T.Henderson to NE 26 for 6 yards (51-V.Miller; 23-F.Oluokun).	+0.17	+0.17	−0.01	+0.26	+0.2%	1.1×
Q2 12:45	NE	2nd & 4	NE 26	(12:45) 32-T.Henderson right guard to NE 27 for 1 yard (52-D.Hamilton).	−0.45	−0.44	0.00	−0.61	−1.5%	1.1×
Q2 12:03	NE	3rd & 3	NE 27	(12:03) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 27 for 0 yards (99-R.Orhorhoro).	−1.08	−1.08	+0.01	−1.32	−2.9%	1.1×
Q2 11:23	NE	4th & 3	NE 27	(11:23) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 73 yards to end zone, Center-47-J.Ashby, Touchback.	+0.32	+0.10	+0.22	+0.29	+2.4%	1.0×
Q2 11:13	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 20	(11:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 85-B.Strange INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones (23-J.Reed) at JAX 33. 25-M.Jones to JAX 21 for 12 yards (76-E.Cleveland; 3-J.Meyers).	−4.27	−4.55	+0.28	−5.40	−12.6%	1.1×
Q2 11:04	NE	1st & 10	JAX 21	(11:04) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles right end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on NE-76-M.Moses, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 21 - No Play.	−0.78	−0.77	0.00	−1.12	−2.5%	1.3×
Q2 10:57	NE	1st & 20	JAX 31	(10:57) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 87-R.Doubs to JAX 18 for 13 yards (1-M.Brown). PENALTY on NE-87-R.Doubs, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 31 - No Play.	−0.58	−0.61	+0.03	−0.75	−2.4%	1.3×
Q2 10:34	NE	1st & 30	JAX 41	(10:34) (Shotgun) 86-E.Chism pass short right to 13-M.Hollins to JAX 25 for 16 yards (6-A.Johnson; 29-E.Murray) [23-F.Oluokun].	+0.60	+0.59	+0.01	+0.79	+2.3%	1.3×
Q2 9:58	NE	2nd & 14	JAX 25	(9:58) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 87-R.Doubs pushed ob at JAX 17 for 8 yards (12-T.Hunter; 41-J.Hines-Allen).	+0.38	+0.32	+0.06	+0.32	+1.1%	1.3×
Q2 9:20	NE	3rd & 6	JAX 17	(9:20) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Hollins. NE-70-G.Van Roten was injured during the play.	−0.71	−0.72	+0.01	−0.87	−2.1%	1.3×
Q2 9:12	NE	4th & 6	JAX 17	(9:12) 8-A.Borregales 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.	−0.41	−0.41	0.00	+0.32	−2.6%	1.3×
Q2 9:09	JAX	Kickoff	NE 35	8-A.Borregales kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 35.	+1.07	+0.62	+0.45	+0.44	+3.0%	1.2×
Q2 9:09	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 35	(9:09) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-P.Washington pushed ob at JAX 40 for 5 yards (7-C.Davis).	+0.06	+0.05	+0.01	+0.09	−0.1%	1.2×
Q2 8:40	JAX	2nd & 5	JAX 40	(8:40) 33-B.Tuten right tackle to JAX 47 for 7 yards (99-Da.Jones).	+0.59	+0.60	−0.01	+0.65	+1.6%	1.2×
Q2 7:59	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 47	(7:59) 33-B.Tuten left tackle to NE 44 for 9 yards (31-K.Byard).	+0.69	+0.73	−0.04	+0.71	+2.1%	1.1×
Q2 7:16	JAX	2nd & 1	NE 44	(7:16) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 85-B.Strange pushed ob at NE 21 for 23 yards (7-C.Davis). NE-7-C.Davis was injured during the play.	+1.07	+1.12	−0.05	+1.19	+1.9%	1.1×
Q2 6:38	JAX	1st & 10	NE 21	(6:38) (Shotgun) 33-B.Tuten right end to NE 15 for 6 yards (22-C.Woods).	+0.21	+0.24	−0.03	+0.29	+0.7%	1.0×
Q2 5:55	JAX	2nd & 4	NE 15	(5:55) (Shotgun) 33-B.Tuten up the middle to NE 13 for 2 yards (14-R.Spillane).	−0.25	−0.20	−0.04	−0.26	−0.4%	1.0×
Q2 5:15	JAX	3rd & 2	NE 13	(5:15) (Shotgun) 24-C.Rodriguez up the middle to NE 10 for 3 yards (97-M.Williams; 50-G.Jacas).	+0.43	+0.47	−0.04	+0.47	+1.1%	1.0×
Q2 4:34	JAX	1st & 10	NE 10	(4:34) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 87-N.Boerkircher (25-M.Jones). ** Injury Update: NE-90-C.Barmore has returned to the game.	−0.36	−0.36	−0.01	−0.44	−0.8%	1.0×
Q2 4:28	JAX	2nd & 10	NE 10	(4:28) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 3-J.Meyers for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.49	+2.72	−1.23	+2.49	+4.4%	1.0×
Q2 4:23	JAX	Try	NE 15	39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.	+0.19	−0.33	+0.52	+0.07	+0.5%	0.9×
Q2 4:23	NE	Kickoff	JAX 35	39-C.Little kicks 64 yards from JAX 35 to NE 1. 18-K.Williams to NE 28 for 27 yards (35-J.Mcleod).	+0.18	+0.21	−0.02	+0.12	+0.3%	0.8×
Q2 4:17	NE	1st & 10	NE 28	(4:17) 74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson right end to NE 29 for 1 yard (93-M.Dickerson).	−0.35	−0.38	+0.03	−0.41	−1.1%	0.9×
Q2 3:33	NE	2nd & 9	NE 29	(3:33) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 3-D.Douglas to JAX 33 for 38 yards (12-T.Hunter).	+2.51	+2.54	−0.03	+2.85	+7.8%	0.8×
Q2 3:00	NE	1st & 10	JAX 33	(3:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 3-D.Douglas (51-V.Miller).	−0.42	−0.43	+0.01	−0.45	−1.2%	1.1×
Q2 2:53	NE	2nd & 10	JAX 33	(2:53) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 3-D.Douglas.	−0.58	−0.59	+0.01	−0.49	−1.6%	1.0×
Q2 2:47	NE	3rd & 10	JAX 33	(2:47) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 86-E.Chism (91-A.Armstead, 4-J.Jones) [91-A.Armstead]. PENALTY on JAX-4-J.Jones, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 33 - No Play.	+1.31	+1.30	0.00	+1.10	+3.6%	1.0×
Q2 2:41	NE	1st & 10	JAX 28	(2:41) 32-T.Henderson up the middle to JAX 23 for 5 yards (23-F.Oluokun).	+0.17	+0.13	+0.05	+0.41	+0.1%	1.1×
Q2 2:01	NE	2nd & 5	JAX 23	(2:01) PENALTY on JAX-93-M.Dickerson, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 23 - No Play.	+0.43	+0.41	+0.01	+0.60	+1.2%	1.1×
Q2 2:00	NE	1st & 10	JAX 18	(2:00) (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson left guard to JAX 14 for 4 yards (91-A.Armstead; 23-F.Oluokun).	+0.06	+0.01	+0.05	−0.15	−0.2%	1.1×
Q2 1:19	NE	2nd & 6	JAX 14	(1:19) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles up the middle to JAX 6 for 8 yards (52-D.Hamilton). FUMBLES (52-D.Hamilton), and recovers at JAX 5. The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.	+0.90	+0.85	+0.05	+1.30	+3.5%	1.1×
Q2 1:12	NE	1st & 5	JAX 5	(1:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye left end to JAX 4 for 1 yard (41-J.Hines-Allen; 4-J.Jones).	−0.20	−0.20	+0.01	−0.55	+0.1%	1.2×
Q2 1:07	NE	2nd & 4	JAX 4	(1:07) 74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to JAX 2 for 2 yards (52-D.Hamilton).	−0.28	−0.29	+0.01	−0.96	−0.2%	1.2×
Q2 1:02	NE	3rd & 2	JAX 2	(1:02) 10-D.Maye pass short right intended for 86-E.Chism INTERCEPTED by 12-T.Hunter [23-F.Oluokun] at JAX -9. Touchback.	−5.17	−4.91	−0.27	−4.47	−14.2%	1.2×
Q2 0:56	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 20	(:56) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles up the middle to JAX 21 for 1 yard (50-G.Jacas). ** Injury Update: NE-7-C.Davis has returned to the game.	−0.39	−0.38	−0.01	−0.24	−0.2%	0.8×
Q2 0:49	JAX	2nd & 9	JAX 21	(:49) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NE-50-G.Jacas, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 21 - No Play.	+0.55	+0.55	0.00	+0.12	+1.2%	0.8×
Q2 0:49	JAX	2nd & 4	JAX 26	(:49) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NE-91-E.Ponder, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 26 - No Play.	+0.42	+0.42	0.00	+0.16	+0.6%	0.7×
Q2 0:49	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 31	(:49) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Meyers (25-M.Jones).	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.10	−0.8%	0.7×
Q2 0:46	JAX	2nd & 10	JAX 31	(:46) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 3-J.Meyers to JAX 41 for 10 yards (25-M.Jones) [90-C.Barmore].	+0.96	+0.99	−0.03	+0.26	+1.1%	0.7×
Q2 0:26	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 41	(:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 5-L.Allen to JAX 48 for 7 yards (7-C.Davis) [91-E.Ponder].	+0.30	+0.33	−0.03	−0.24	+0.6%	0.7×
Q2 0:08	JAX	2nd & 3	JAX 48	(:08) (No Huddle) 16-T.Lawrence spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.66	−0.65	0.00	−0.08	−0.7%	0.7×
Q2 0:07	JAX	3rd & 3	JAX 48	(:07) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right.	−1.18	−1.18	−0.01	+0.25	−2.4%	0.7×
Q2 0:03	JAX	4th & 3	JAX 48	(:03) 39-C.Little 70 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.	−1.27	−0.99	−0.27	−0.54	−0.1%	0.8×
Q3 15:00	NE	Kickoff	JAX 35	39-C.Little kicks 58 yards from JAX 35 to NE 7. 18-K.Williams to NE 38 for 31 yards (50-B.Combs; 27-C.Ransaw).	+0.62	+0.72	−0.11	+0.81	+2.1%	0.8×
Q3 14:54	NE	1st & 10	NE 38	(14:54) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 42 for 4 yards (44-T.Walker).	−0.05	−0.04	−0.02	−0.03	−0.2%	0.9×
Q3 14:19	NE	2nd & 6	NE 42	(14:19) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 85-H.Henry pushed ob at NE 47 for 5 yards (51-V.Miller).	+0.12	+0.15	−0.02	+0.37	+0.1%	0.9×
Q3 13:52	NE	3rd & 1	NE 47	(13:52) 10-D.Maye up the middle to NE 47 for no gain (41-J.Hines-Allen). (Virtual Measurement).	−1.16	−1.14	−0.02	−1.94	−2.8%	0.9×
Q3 13:23	NE	4th & 1	NE 47	(13:23) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to 50 for 3 yards (47-D.Gardeck). PENALTY on JAX-6-A.Johnson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.	+2.63	+2.69	−0.06	+3.60	+7.2%	0.8×
Q3 13:02	NE	1st & 10	JAX 35	(13:02) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NE-36-C.Latu, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 35 - No Play.	−0.51	−0.50	0.00	−0.68	−1.9%	1.0×
Q3 12:42	NE	1st & 15	JAX 40	(12:42) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson pushed ob at JAX 28 for 12 yards (51-V.Miller).	+0.98	+1.02	−0.04	+1.13	+3.3%	0.9×
Q3 12:01	NE	2nd & 3	JAX 28	(12:01) 74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to JAX 24 for 4 yards (23-F.Oluokun).	+0.27	+0.27	−0.01	+0.35	+0.7%	1.0×
Q3 11:22	NE	1st & 10	JAX 24	(11:22) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to JAX 22 for 2 yards (51-V.Miller).	−0.13	−0.14	+0.01	−0.40	−0.6%	1.1×
Q3 10:42	NE	2nd & 8	JAX 22	(10:42) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson to JAX 20 for 2 yards (99-R.Orhorhoro; 41-J.Hines-Allen).	−0.20	−0.22	+0.02	−0.46	−0.9%	1.0×
Q3 9:59	NE	3rd & 6	JAX 20	(9:59) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 87-R.Doubs (1-M.Brown).	−0.70	−0.71	0.00	−1.00	−1.9%	1.0×
Q3 9:54	NE	4th & 6	JAX 20	(9:54) 8-A.Borregales 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.	−3.44	−3.88	+0.44	−4.05	−9.3%	1.0×
Q3 9:50	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 28	(9:50) 33-B.Tuten right tackle to JAX 32 for 4 yards (14-R.Spillane; 97-M.Williams).	−0.13	−0.09	−0.04	0.00	−0.1%	0.6×
Q3 9:08	JAX	2nd & 6	JAX 32	(9:08) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 33-B.Tuten pushed ob at JAX 47 for 15 yards (14-R.Spillane; 53-C.Elliss) [50-G.Jacas].	+1.01	+1.06	−0.05	+1.34	+1.1%	0.6×
Q3 8:30	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 47	(8:30) (Shotgun) 24-C.Rodriguez left end to NE 48 for 5 yards (31-K.Byard; 14-R.Spillane).	−0.03	+0.01	−0.04	−0.09	+0.4%	0.6×
Q3 7:50	JAX	2nd & 5	NE 48	(7:50) PENALTY on NE-97-M.Williams, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at NE 48 - No Play.	+0.46	+0.49	−0.03	+0.53	+0.7%	0.5×
Q3 7:32	JAX	1st & 10	NE 43	(7:32) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 85-B.Strange (0-C.Gonzalez).	−0.47	−0.46	0.00	−0.50	−0.6%	0.5×
Q3 7:25	JAX	2nd & 10	NE 43	(7:25) 24-C.Rodriguez up the middle to NE 34 for 9 yards (23-J.Reed).	+0.52	+0.57	−0.05	+0.59	+0.6%	0.5×
Q3 6:40	JAX	3rd & 1	NE 34	(6:40) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle to NE 32 for 2 yards (97-M.Williams).	+0.40	+0.43	−0.03	+0.65	+0.7%	0.5×
Q3 5:58	JAX	1st & 10	NE 32	(5:58) 24-C.Rodriguez left guard to NE 30 for 2 yards (97-M.Williams).	−0.28	−0.26	−0.03	−0.38	−0.1%	0.5×
Q3 5:13	JAX	2nd & 8	NE 30	(5:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 3-J.Meyers to NE 31 for -1 yards (7-C.Davis).	−0.71	−0.69	−0.02	−0.74	−0.7%	0.5×
Q3 4:28	JAX	3rd & 9	NE 31	(4:28) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 3-J.Meyers to NE 17 for 14 yards (0-C.Gonzalez) [53-C.Elliss].	+1.68	+1.68	0.00	+2.11	+2.4%	0.5×
Q3 3:44	JAX	1st & 10	NE 17	(3:44) 24-C.Rodriguez left guard to NE 14 for 3 yards (91-E.Ponder).	−0.11	−0.10	−0.01	−0.24	+0.1%	0.4×
Q3 3:02	JAX	2nd & 7	NE 14	(3:02) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at NE 18 for -4 yards (sack split by 91-E.Ponder and 50-G.Jacas).	−0.89	−0.84	−0.05	−1.39	−0.7%	0.4×
Q3 2:16	JAX	3rd & 11	NE 18	(2:16) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 3-J.Meyers to NE 5 for 13 yards (7-C.Davis). PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Face Mask, 3 yards, enforced at NE 5.	+2.25	+2.19	+0.06	+2.93	+2.4%	0.4×
Q3 1:47	JAX	1st & 2	NE 2	(1:47) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-75-E.Pregnon, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 2 - No Play.	−0.68	−0.64	−0.04	−0.77	−0.6%	0.3×
Q3 1:29	JAX	1st & 7	NE 7	(1:29) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 11-P.Washington.	−0.35	−0.34	−0.01	−0.50	−0.3%	0.3×
Q3 1:22	JAX	2nd & 7	NE 7	(1:22) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 11-P.Washington.	−0.58	−0.58	0.00	−0.87	−0.6%	0.3×
Q3 1:19	JAX	3rd & 7	NE 7	(1:19) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-P.Washington for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on JAX-70-C.Van Lanen, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at NE 7 - No Play.	−0.84	−0.79	−0.05	−1.10	−0.9%	0.4×
Q3 1:13	JAX	3rd & 17	NE 17	(1:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.	+3.40	+3.91	−0.51	+3.90	+3.8%	0.4×
Q3 1:08	JAX	Try	NE 15	39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.	+0.23	−0.32	+0.55	+0.07	+0.3%	0.2×
Q3 1:08	NE	Kickoff	JAX 35	39-C.Little kicks 58 yards from JAX 35 to NE 7. 18-K.Williams to NE 27 for 20 yards (31-J.Tavai).	−0.11	+0.02	−0.13	+0.08	−0.1%	0.2×
Q3 1:03	NE	1st & 10	NE 27	(1:03) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left intended for 18-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 4-J.Jones at NE 36. 4-J.Jones pushed ob at NE 5 for 31 yards (10-D.Maye).	−5.50	−5.54	+0.03	−7.13	−1.4%	0.2×
Q3 0:54	JAX	1st & 5	NE 5	(:54) 24-C.Rodriguez up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.13	+1.81	−0.67	+1.15	+0.4%	0.1×
Q3 0:50	JAX	Try	NE 15	39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.	+0.26	−0.17	+0.43	+0.07	+0.0%	0.0×
Q3 0:50	NE	Kickoff	JAX 35	39-C.Little kicks 57 yards from JAX 35 to NE 8. 18-K.Williams ran ob at NE 9 for 1 yard.	−1.04	−0.89	−0.15	−1.06	−0.0%	0.0×
Q3 0:49	NE	1st & 10	NE 9	(:49) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 1 for -8 yards (sack split by 52-D.Hamilton and 57-Bry.Thomas). JAX-52-D.Hamilton was injured during the play.	−1.11	−1.09	−0.02	−1.85	−0.0%	0.0×
Q3 0:29	NE	2nd & 18	NE 1	(:29) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at NE 11 for 10 yards (1-M.Brown).	+0.17	+0.24	−0.06	+0.66	−0.1%	0.0×
Q4 15:00	NE	3rd & 8	NE 11	(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 13-M.Hollins ran ob at NE 29 for 18 yards. Penalty on JAX-4-J.Jones, Defensive Holding, declined.	+1.97	+2.01	−0.04	+2.47	+0.1%	0.0×
Q4 14:48	NE	1st & 10	NE 29	(14:48) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 87-R.Doubs to 50 for 21 yards (6-A.Johnson).	+1.11	+1.18	−0.07	+1.35	+0.2%	0.0×
Q4 14:22	NE	1st & 10	50	(14:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 18-K.Williams ran ob at JAX 16 for 34 yards (4-J.Jones).	+1.92	+2.00	−0.08	+2.09	+0.5%	0.0×
Q4 13:42	NE	1st & 10	JAX 16	(13:42) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Hollins. ** Injury Update: JAX-52-D.Hamilton has returned to the game.	−0.37	−0.36	−0.01	−0.47	−0.1%	0.1×
Q4 13:37	NE	2nd & 10	JAX 16	(13:37) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 3-D.Douglas.	−0.49	−0.48	−0.01	−0.73	−0.1%	0.1×
Q4 13:32	NE	3rd & 10	JAX 16	(13:32) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 13-M.Hollins to JAX 7 for 9 yards (29-E.Murray). PENALTY on NE-13-M.Hollins, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 7.	−1.30	−1.27	−0.03	−1.30	−0.2%	0.1×
Q4 13:21	NE	4th & 16	JAX 22	(13:21) 8-A.Borregales 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.	+0.56	+0.21	+0.35	+0.67	−0.3%	0.0×
Q4 13:17	JAX	Kickoff	NE 35	8-A.Borregales kicks 62 yards from NE 35 to JAX 3. 19-J.Cameron MUFFS catch, and recovers at JAX 9. 19-J.Cameron pushed ob at NE 49 for 42 yards (22-C.Woods).	+1.43	+1.50	−0.07	+1.60	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 13:09	JAX	1st & 10	NE 49	(13:09) 33-B.Tuten right end pushed ob at NE 43 for 6 yards (22-C.Woods).	+0.13	+0.12	+0.01	+0.14	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 12:34	JAX	2nd & 4	NE 43	(12:34) 33-B.Tuten right end to NE 38 for 5 yards (53-C.Elliss; 22-C.Woods).	+0.34	+0.30	+0.04	+0.60	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 11:46	JAX	1st & 10	NE 38	(11:46) 33-B.Tuten up the middle to NE 35 for 3 yards (33-M.Brown; 14-R.Spillane).	−0.20	−0.25	+0.05	−0.23	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 11:04	JAX	2nd & 7	NE 35	(11:04) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 3-J.Meyers pushed ob at NE 22 for 13 yards (22-C.Woods).	+1.01	+0.95	+0.06	+1.38	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 10:26	JAX	1st & 10	NE 22	(10:26) 33-B.Tuten left end to NE 19 for 3 yards (98-J.Pharms; 14-R.Spillane).	−0.13	−0.22	+0.08	−0.29	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 9:40	JAX	2nd & 7	NE 19	(9:40) 33-B.Tuten up the middle to NE 16 for 3 yards (31-K.Byard).	−0.16	−0.24	+0.09	−0.25	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 8:56	JAX	3rd & 4	NE 16	(8:56) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to NE 1 for 15 yards.	+1.99	+1.82	+0.16	+2.42	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 8:06	JAX	1st & 1	NE 1	(8:06) 33-B.Tuten up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.71	+1.75	−1.04	+0.65	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 8:02	JAX	Try	NE 15	39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.	+0.54	−0.45	+0.99	+0.07	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 8:02	NE	Kickoff	JAX 35	39-C.Little kicks 64 yards from JAX 35 to NE 1. 18-K.Williams to NE 27 for 26 yards (50-B.Combs; 35-J.Mcleod).	+0.30	+0.60	−0.29	+0.05	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 7:57	NE	1st & 10	NE 27	(7:57) 9-C.Kiner up the middle to NE 34 for 7 yards (6-A.Johnson; 99-R.Orhorhoro).	+0.33	+0.37	−0.04	+0.35	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 7:18	NE	2nd & 3	NE 34	(7:18) (Shotgun) 9-C.Kiner up the middle to NE 39 for 5 yards (99-R.Orhorhoro; 23-F.Oluokun).	+0.28	+0.32	−0.05	+0.36	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 6:38	NE	1st & 10	NE 39	(6:38) (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito scrambles right end to NE 41 for 2 yards (29-E.Murray).	−0.32	−0.28	−0.04	−0.41	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 6:01	NE	2nd & 8	NE 41	(6:01) 9-C.Kiner up the middle to NE 41 for no gain (99-R.Orhorhoro).	−0.70	−0.67	−0.03	−0.67	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 5:25	NE	3rd & 8	NE 41	(5:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass deep middle to 87-R.Doubs to JAX 39 for 20 yards (27-C.Ransaw).	+1.97	+2.04	−0.08	+2.47	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 4:45	NE	1st & 10	JAX 39	(4:45) 9-C.Kiner up the middle to JAX 37 for 2 yards (93-M.Dickerson).	−0.41	−0.37	−0.03	−0.56	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 4:03	NE	2nd & 8	JAX 37	(4:03) (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass short left to 9-C.Kiner to JAX 28 for 9 yards (99-R.Orhorhoro; 25-R.Lane).	+0.71	+0.75	−0.03	+1.04	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 3:27	NE	1st & 10	JAX 28	(3:27) 9-C.Kiner up the middle to JAX 26 for 2 yards (31-J.Tavai; 93-M.Dickerson).	−0.41	−0.39	−0.02	−0.46	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 2:49	NE	2nd & 8	JAX 26	(2:49) 16-T.DeVito pass short right to 86-E.Chism pushed ob at JAX 25 for 1 yard (4-J.Jones).	−0.42	−0.42	0.00	−0.22	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 2:43	NE	3rd & 7	JAX 25	(2:43) (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass incomplete deep left to 18-K.Williams.	−0.77	−0.77	0.00	−0.99	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 2:39	NE	4th & 7	JAX 25	(2:39) (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass incomplete deep left to 3-D.Douglas.	−1.60	−1.42	−0.17	−2.84	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 2:33	JAX	1st & 10	JAX 25	(2:33) 20-A.Abdullah right guard to JAX 28 for 3 yards (29-C.Canada).	−0.17	−0.22	+0.05	−0.31	+0.1%	0.0×
Q4 2:00	JAX	2nd & 7	JAX 28	(2:00) 20-A.Abdullah right end to JAX 25 for -3 yards (49-E.Hunter).	−0.89	−0.96	+0.07	−0.34	+0.1%	0.0×
Q4 1:18	JAX	3rd & 10	JAX 25	(1:18) 20-A.Abdullah right guard to JAX 27 for 2 yards (92-J.Farmer; 49-E.Hunter).	−0.88	−0.96	+0.07	−0.37	+0.1%	0.0×
Q4 0:34	JAX	4th & 8	JAX 27	(:34) 9-L.Cooke punts 51 yards to NE 22, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 86-E.Chism pushed ob at NE 40 for 18 yards (19-J.Cameron).	+1.69	+2.06	−0.38	−0.55	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 0:23	NE	1st & 10	NE 40	(:23) 9-C.Kiner up the middle to NE 42 for 2 yards (92-D.Striggow).	+0.01	−0.38	+0.38	−0.69	−0.0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	T.Lawrence	JAX	34	+6.1+0.20	+2.2+0.56	—	+8.3+0.24	+1.0+0.12	+10.0+0.30
	J.Meyers	JAX	8	—	—	+6.2+0.78	+6.2+0.78	+0.9+0.63	+8.3+1.04
	P.Washington	JAX	5	—	—	+4.3+0.86	+4.3+0.86	+1.0+1.02	+4.6+0.93
	R.Stevenson	NE	10	—	+3.2+0.45	+0.6+0.21	+3.8+0.38	+0.9+0.30	+3.8+0.38
	B.Tuten	JAX	17	—	+2.6+0.17	+0.7+0.35	+3.3+0.19	+0.8+0.22	+3.5+0.20
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
NE
	D.Maye	14	25	0	2	3	1998.0	−14.2−0.51	−12.5−0.45	−3.7−0.57
	T.DeVito	3	5	0	0	0	306.0	−0.5−0.11	−0.1−0.02	0.0−0.35
	E.Chism	1	1	0	0	0	1616.0	+0.8+0.79	+0.6+0.60	+0.2+0.60

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
JAX
	T.Lawrence	19	29	3	1	1	1826.3	+7.6+0.25	+6.1+0.20	+0.9+0.13

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
NE
	T.Henderson	8	0	232.9	−2.4−0.30	−1.1−0.14	−0.4−0.14
	R.Stevenson	7	0	223.1	+3.6+0.51	+3.2+0.45	+0.8+0.36
	C.Kiner	6	0	183.0	−1.7−0.28	−0.9−0.15	0.0−0.27
	D.Maye	4	0	184.5	−0.4−0.09	+0.2+0.06	+0.2+0.16
	T.DeVito	1	0	22.0	−0.4−0.41	−0.3−0.32	0.0−0.32

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
JAX
	B.Tuten	15	1	734.9	+2.6+0.17	+2.6+0.17	+0.7+0.24
	C.Rodriguez	8	1	374.6	+2.1+0.26	+2.0+0.25	+0.3+0.17
	T.Lawrence	4	0	256.2	+2.5+0.62	+2.2+0.56	+0.1+0.09
	A.Abdullah	3	0	20.7	−1.0−0.34	−1.9−0.65	0.0−0.53

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
NE
	M.Hollins	9	6	0	8714.5	+5.0+0.56	+3.1+0.34	+1.0+0.52
	D.Douglas	5	1	0	3838.0	−1.7−0.33	−0.6−0.11	+0.3+0.31
	R.Doubs	4	3	0	4916.3	+3.1+0.78	+2.8+0.69	−0.1−0.08
	R.Stevenson	3	3	0	165.3	+0.3+0.09	+0.6+0.21	+0.1+0.15
	K.Williams	3	1	0	3434.0	−6.0−2.01	−4.4−1.45	−0.2−3.89
	H.Henry	2	1	0	55.0	−1.4−0.69	−1.1−0.57	−0.5−0.74
	E.Chism	2	1	0	11.0	−4.7−2.34	−5.6−2.80	−1.7−5.09
	T.Henderson	1	1	0	66.0	+0.3+0.26	+0.2+0.17	+0.1+0.17
	C.Kiner	1	1	0	99.0	+1.0+1.04	+0.7+0.71	0.0+0.71

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
JAX
	J.Meyers	8	7	1	649.1	+8.3+1.04	+6.2+0.78	+0.9+0.63
	B.Strange	5	3	0	3210.7	−4.8−0.97	−3.5−0.71	−1.0−0.64
	P.Washington	5	3	1	4013.3	+4.6+0.93	+4.3+0.86	+1.0+1.02
	J.Cameron	2	1	1	1212.0	+1.6+0.80	+1.7+0.83	+0.6+0.77
	L.Allen	2	2	0	94.5	−1.5−0.75	−0.4−0.20	−0.2−0.37
	B.Tuten	2	2	0	178.5	+0.9+0.46	+0.7+0.35	+0.1+0.09
	Bri.Thomas	1	1	0	88.0	+0.5+0.50	+0.6+0.58	+0.2+0.58
	A.Abdullah	1	0	0	0—	−0.4−0.45	−0.4−0.36	−0.1−0.36
	N.Boerkircher	1	0	0	0—	−0.4−0.44	−0.4−0.36	−0.1−0.36