CIN 27, PIT 30 — week 3, 2026

27 at 30

Week 3 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
PIT	68	30	4116.1	+19.7+0.289	+16.1+0.236	+17.3+0.254	−1.2−0.018	+6.8+0.302
CIN	64	27	3525.5	+14.7+0.230	+12.6+0.197	+14.2+0.222	−1.6−0.025	+4.6+0.201
NET	4	3	590.6	+5.0+0.060	+3.5+0.040	+3.1+0.033	+0.4+0.007	+2.2+0.100
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is PIT minus CIN.

Game Timeline

CIN at PIT. PIT won by 3. Two panels. Top: PIT's win probability across 151 plays, starting at 52% and finishing at 100%; PIT was favored on 81% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at PIT by 9.8 in the second quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: +12% at play 5, A.Rodgers pass deep left to R.Wilson for 38… — TOUCHDOWN; +14% at play 99, C.Johnston punts 53 yards to CIN 6, downed by PIT-B.Echols…; +30% at play 125, C.Johnston punts 51 yards to CIN 13. K.Williams MUFFS…; +34% at play 149, J.Burrow sacked at PIT 46 for -8 yards — FUMBLES.

Excitement

1.9 bits

#3 of 16 this week

89th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.91

#1 of 16 this week

92nd percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

529 pts

#5 of 16 this week

82nd percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

86%

#2 of 16 this week

91st percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#1 of 16 this week

98th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

30%

#7 of 16 this week

61st percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 13:17	PIT	3rd & 5	CIN 38	(13:17) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 14-R.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+5.30	+4.65	+0.65	+4.53	+11.9%	1.4×
2	Q4 11:04	PIT	4th & 10	PIT 36	(11:04) 19-C.Johnston punts 51 yards to CIN 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 12-K.Williams MUFFS catch, touched at CIN 16, RECOVERED by PIT-15-B.Skowronek at CIN 14. PIT-26-B.Echols was injured during the play.	+4.92	+4.95	−0.03	+5.45	+29.6%	1.1×
3	Q2 1:46	PIT	2nd & 10	CIN 48	(1:46) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 14-R.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Battle at CIN 36. 27-J.Battle to CIN 47 for 11 yards (67-B.Hoffman).	−3.82	−3.75	−0.07	−3.14	−10.7%	1.0×
4	Q3 10:11	CIN	4th & 2	PIT 42	(10:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at PIT 21 for 21 yards (22-A.Samuel).	+3.10	+3.12	−0.02	+4.23	+13.9%	1.4×
5	Q4 0:53	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 38	(:53) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at PIT 46 for -8 yards (99-D.Harmon). FUMBLES (99-D.Harmon) [99-D.Harmon], RECOVERED by PIT-69-S.Joseph at CIN 49.	−2.96	−3.36	+0.40	−4.09	−34.3%	1.1×
6	Q3 6:48	PIT	4th & 6	PIT 41	(6:48) 19-C.Johnston punts 53 yards to CIN 6, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-26-B.Echols. PENALTY on CIN-52-C.Johnson, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 41 - No Play.	+2.87	+2.91	−0.04	+3.61	+14.1%	1.3×
7	Q4 13:33	CIN	4th & 2	PIT 25	(13:33) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.73	+4.06	−1.33	+4.89	+17.4%	1.3×
8	Q4 6:16	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 21	(6:16) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Washington to CIN 32 for 47 yards (29-K.Dugger).	+2.58	+2.62	−0.04	+2.93	+16.0%	1.2×
9	Q1 0:57	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 23	(:57) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 15-B.Skowronek for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.55	+3.00	−0.45	+2.45	+8.8%	1.3×
10	Q2 0:39	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 28	(:39) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 5-T.Higgins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [69-S.Joseph].	+2.46	+3.81	−1.35	+4.75	+7.3%	1.3×
11	Q3 1:11	CIN	3rd & 10	50	(1:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 5-T.Higgins to PIT 33 for 17 yards (35-J.Dean).	+2.07	+2.15	−0.08	+2.46	+11.0%	1.2×
12	Q1 4:42	PIT	3rd & 11	PIT 24	(4:42) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 14-R.Wilson to PIT 41 for 17 yards (23-D.Hill) [55-C.Howell].	+2.01	+2.02	−0.02	+2.84	+6.5%	1.4×
13	Q2 10:16	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 35	(10:16) 30-J.Warren left end to CIN 30 for 35 yards (53-B.Mafe; 23-D.Hill). ** Injury Update: CIN-44-D.Knight has returned to the game.	+1.95	+1.99	−0.04	+2.23	+3.2%	1.2×
14	Q1 10:21	CIN	3rd & 2	CIN 49	(10:21) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 81-D.Meyers pushed ob at PIT 28 for 23 yards (5-J.Ramsey; 20-R.Jenkins) [90-T.Watt].	+1.88	+1.92	−0.05	+2.35	+5.5%	1.3×
15	Q1 14:55	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 27	(14:55) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 30-J.Warren to CIN 43 for 30 yards (27-J.Battle).	+1.84	+1.64	+0.20	+1.75	+5.0%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 13:17	PIT	3rd & 5	CIN 38	(13:17) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 14-R.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+5.30	+4.65	+0.65	+4.53	+11.9%	1.4×
2	Q4 11:04	PIT	4th & 10	PIT 36	(11:04) 19-C.Johnston punts 51 yards to CIN 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 12-K.Williams MUFFS catch, touched at CIN 16, RECOVERED by PIT-15-B.Skowronek at CIN 14. PIT-26-B.Echols was injured during the play.	+4.92	+4.95	−0.03	+5.45	+29.6%	1.1×
3	Q3 10:11	CIN	4th & 2	PIT 42	(10:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at PIT 21 for 21 yards (22-A.Samuel).	+3.10	+3.12	−0.02	+4.23	+13.9%	1.4×
4	Q2 1:46	PIT	2nd & 10	CIN 48	(1:46) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 14-R.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Battle at CIN 36. 27-J.Battle to CIN 47 for 11 yards (67-B.Hoffman).	−3.82	−3.75	−0.07	−3.14	−10.7%	1.0×
5	Q3 6:48	PIT	4th & 6	PIT 41	(6:48) 19-C.Johnston punts 53 yards to CIN 6, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-26-B.Echols. PENALTY on CIN-52-C.Johnson, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 41 - No Play.	+2.87	+2.91	−0.04	+3.61	+14.1%	1.3×
6	Q4 13:33	CIN	4th & 2	PIT 25	(13:33) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.73	+4.06	−1.33	+4.89	+17.4%	1.3×
7	Q1 0:57	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 23	(:57) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 15-B.Skowronek for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.55	+3.00	−0.45	+2.45	+8.8%	1.3×
8	Q2 0:39	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 28	(:39) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 5-T.Higgins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [69-S.Joseph].	+2.46	+3.81	−1.35	+4.75	+7.3%	1.3×
9	Q4 0:53	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 38	(:53) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at PIT 46 for -8 yards (99-D.Harmon). FUMBLES (99-D.Harmon) [99-D.Harmon], RECOVERED by PIT-69-S.Joseph at CIN 49.	−2.96	−3.36	+0.40	−4.09	−34.3%	1.1×
10	Q4 6:16	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 21	(6:16) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Washington to CIN 32 for 47 yards (29-K.Dugger).	+2.58	+2.62	−0.04	+2.93	+16.0%	1.2×
11	Q1 4:42	PIT	3rd & 11	PIT 24	(4:42) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 14-R.Wilson to PIT 41 for 17 yards (23-D.Hill) [55-C.Howell].	+2.01	+2.02	−0.02	+2.84	+6.5%	1.4×
12	Q1 14:55	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 27	(14:55) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 30-J.Warren to CIN 43 for 30 yards (27-J.Battle).	+1.84	+1.64	+0.20	+1.75	+5.0%	1.4×
13	Q3 1:11	CIN	3rd & 10	50	(1:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 5-T.Higgins to PIT 33 for 17 yards (35-J.Dean).	+2.07	+2.15	−0.08	+2.46	+11.0%	1.2×
14	Q1 10:21	CIN	3rd & 2	CIN 49	(10:21) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 81-D.Meyers pushed ob at PIT 28 for 23 yards (5-J.Ramsey; 20-R.Jenkins) [90-T.Watt].	+1.88	+1.92	−0.05	+2.35	+5.5%	1.3×
15	Q2 0:11	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 45	(:11) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right (29-K.Dugger).	−1.74	−2.00	+0.25	−0.29	−7.8%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 0:53	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 38	(:53) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at PIT 46 for -8 yards (99-D.Harmon). FUMBLES (99-D.Harmon) [99-D.Harmon], RECOVERED by PIT-69-S.Joseph at CIN 49.	−2.96	−3.36	+0.40	−4.09	−34.3%	1.1×
2	Q4 11:04	PIT	4th & 10	PIT 36	(11:04) 19-C.Johnston punts 51 yards to CIN 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 12-K.Williams MUFFS catch, touched at CIN 16, RECOVERED by PIT-15-B.Skowronek at CIN 14. PIT-26-B.Echols was injured during the play.	+4.92	+4.95	−0.03	+5.45	+29.6%	1.1×
3	Q4 13:33	CIN	4th & 2	PIT 25	(13:33) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.73	+4.06	−1.33	+4.89	+17.4%	1.3×
4	Q4 6:16	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 21	(6:16) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Washington to CIN 32 for 47 yards (29-K.Dugger).	+2.58	+2.62	−0.04	+2.93	+16.0%	1.2×
5	Q4 0:58	CIN	3rd & 8	CIN 49	(:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase ran ob at PIT 38 for 13 yards (23-D.Everette).	+1.73	+1.77	−0.03	+1.36	+15.8%	0.8×
6	Q3 6:48	PIT	4th & 6	PIT 41	(6:48) 19-C.Johnston punts 53 yards to CIN 6, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-26-B.Echols. PENALTY on CIN-52-C.Johnson, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 41 - No Play.	+2.87	+2.91	−0.04	+3.61	+14.1%	1.3×
7	Q3 10:11	CIN	4th & 2	PIT 42	(10:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at PIT 21 for 21 yards (22-A.Samuel).	+3.10	+3.12	−0.02	+4.23	+13.9%	1.4×
8	Q1 13:17	PIT	3rd & 5	CIN 38	(13:17) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 14-R.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+5.30	+4.65	+0.65	+4.53	+11.9%	1.4×
9	Q3 1:11	CIN	3rd & 10	50	(1:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 5-T.Higgins to PIT 33 for 17 yards (35-J.Dean).	+2.07	+2.15	−0.08	+2.46	+11.0%	1.2×
10	Q2 1:46	PIT	2nd & 10	CIN 48	(1:46) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 14-R.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Battle at CIN 36. 27-J.Battle to CIN 47 for 11 yards (67-B.Hoffman).	−3.82	−3.75	−0.07	−3.14	−10.7%	1.0×
11	Q4 9:28	PIT	3rd & 5	CIN 9	(9:28) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CIN 18 for -9 yards (97-D.Lawrence).	−1.46	−1.43	−0.03	−1.49	−9.2%	1.2×
12	Q4 5:23	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 32	(5:23) 30-J.Warren left guard to CIN 6 for 26 yards (20-T.Davis).	+1.58	+1.47	+0.11	+1.80	+8.8%	1.0×
13	Q1 0:57	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 23	(:57) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 15-B.Skowronek for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.55	+3.00	−0.45	+2.45	+8.8%	1.3×
14	Q3 2:48	PIT	3rd & 2	CIN 6	(2:48) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 4-D.Metcalf for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.45	+2.63	−1.18	+1.99	+8.5%	1.3×
15	Q4 2:00	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 47	(2:00) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 30-C.Brown to CIN 43 for -4 yards (6-P.Queen) [95-K.Benton].	−1.01	−1.02	0.00	−0.76	−8.3%	0.9×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 151 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	PIT	Kickoff	CIN 35	2-E.McPherson kicks 59 yards from CIN 35 to PIT 6. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 27 for 21 yards (42-O.Burks).	−0.03	+0.06	−0.09	+0.13	−0.1%	1.4×
Q1 14:55	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 27	(14:55) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 30-J.Warren to CIN 43 for 30 yards (27-J.Battle).	+1.84	+1.64	+0.20	+1.75	+5.0%	1.4×
Q1 14:08	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 43	(14:08) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 14-R.Wilson to CIN 38 for 5 yards (35-J.Davis).	+0.30	+0.08	+0.21	+0.15	+0.9%	1.4×
Q1 13:22	PIT	2nd & 5	CIN 38	(13:22) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right.	−0.64	−0.66	+0.02	−1.03	−1.7%	1.4×
Q1 13:17	PIT	3rd & 5	CIN 38	(13:17) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 14-R.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+5.30	+4.65	+0.65	+4.53	+11.9%	1.4×
Q1 13:10	PIT	Try	CIN 15	9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−0.16	−0.51	+0.35	+0.07	−2.7%	1.3×
Q1 13:10	CIN	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 64 yards from PIT 35 to CIN 1. 34-S.Perine to CIN 27 for 26 yards (33-J.Sawyer).	−0.15	+0.05	−0.20	+0.11	−0.6%	1.3×
Q1 13:02	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 27	(13:02) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 86-C.Young to CIN 29 for 2 yards (3-J.Brisker).	−0.21	−0.31	+0.10	−0.54	−1.0%	1.3×
Q1 12:25	CIN	2nd & 8	CIN 29	(12:25) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brown up the middle to CIN 41 for 12 yards (6-P.Queen; 3-J.Brisker).	+1.06	+0.99	+0.06	+1.29	+3.0%	1.3×
Q1 11:41	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 41	(11:41) 30-C.Brown up the middle to CIN 40 for -1 yards (5-J.Ramsey, 41-P.Wilson).	−0.55	−0.58	+0.03	−0.82	−1.9%	1.4×
Q1 11:02	CIN	2nd & 11	CIN 40	(11:02) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase to CIN 49 for 9 yards (20-R.Jenkins).	+0.38	+0.39	−0.01	+0.29	−0.2%	1.3×
Q1 10:21	CIN	3rd & 2	CIN 49	(10:21) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 81-D.Meyers pushed ob at PIT 28 for 23 yards (5-J.Ramsey; 20-R.Jenkins) [90-T.Watt].	+1.88	+1.92	−0.05	+2.35	+5.5%	1.3×
Q1 9:48	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 28	(9:48) 30-C.Brown left tackle to PIT 26 for 2 yards (94-Y.Black; 6-P.Queen).	−0.20	−0.21	+0.01	−0.37	−0.8%	1.4×
Q1 9:07	CIN	2nd & 8	PIT 26	(9:07) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 5-T.Higgins to PIT 16 for 10 yards (35-J.Dean) [97-C.Heyward].	+0.89	+0.85	+0.05	+1.03	+2.3%	1.4×
Q1 8:23	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 16	(8:23) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CIN-81-D.Meyers, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 16 - No Play.	−0.48	−0.48	+0.01	−0.71	−1.4%	1.4×
Q1 8:02	CIN	1st & 15	PIT 21	(8:02) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 87-T.Hudson to PIT 15 for 6 yards (35-J.Dean).	+0.30	+0.22	+0.08	+0.31	+0.7%	1.4×
Q1 7:20	CIN	2nd & 9	PIT 15	(7:20) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 1-J.Chase to PIT 8 for 7 yards (5-J.Ramsey; 6-P.Queen).	+0.40	+0.29	+0.11	+0.35	+0.9%	1.4×
Q1 6:38	CIN	3rd & 2	PIT 8	(6:38) (Shotgun) 34-S.Perine left guard to PIT 3 for 5 yards (6-P.Queen; 20-R.Jenkins).	+1.15	+1.05	+0.10	+1.33	+3.1%	1.4×
Q1 5:54	CIN	1st & 3	PIT 3	(5:54) 69-J.Bayer reported in as eligible. 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.43	+2.05	−0.62	+0.91	+3.2%	1.4×
Q1 5:50	CIN	Try	PIT 15	2-E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.	+0.17	−0.82	+0.99	+0.07	−1.6%	1.4×
Q1 5:50	PIT	Kickoff	CIN 35	2-E.McPherson kicks 63 yards from CIN 35 to PIT 2. 10-K.Wetjen pushed ob at PIT 29 for 27 yards (20-T.Davis). PENALTY on PIT-28-R.Spears-Jennings, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at PIT 24.	−0.11	−0.52	+0.40	−0.80	−0.4%	1.4×
Q1 5:42	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 14	(5:42) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 4-D.Metcalf to PIT 25 for 11 yards (44-D.Knight; 27-J.Battle).	+0.59	+0.58	+0.01	+0.82	+2.1%	1.4×
Q1 5:16	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 25	(5:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-J.Warren right tackle to PIT 24 for -1 yards (97-D.Lawrence).	−0.56	−0.57	+0.01	−1.00	−1.9%	1.4×
Q1 4:46	PIT	2nd & 11	PIT 24	(4:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep left to 4-D.Metcalf (0-D.Turner).	−0.61	−0.61	0.00	−0.84	−2.1%	1.4×
Q1 4:42	PIT	3rd & 11	PIT 24	(4:42) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 14-R.Wilson to PIT 41 for 17 yards (23-D.Hill) [55-C.Howell].	+2.01	+2.02	−0.02	+2.84	+6.5%	1.4×
Q1 4:12	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 41	(4:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-J.Warren left end pushed ob at CIN 46 for 13 yards (6-B.Cook).	+0.67	+0.71	−0.04	+0.83	+2.1%	1.4×
Q1 3:44	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 46	(3:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 14-R.Wilson [49-B.Carter].	−0.46	−0.46	−0.01	−0.52	−1.5%	1.4×
Q1 3:36	PIT	2nd & 10	CIN 46	(3:36) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 80-D.Washington to CIN 35 for 11 yards (29-K.Dugger; 49-B.Carter).	+1.04	+1.09	−0.06	+1.09	+3.0%	1.4×
Q1 2:55	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 35	(2:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-J.Warren up the middle to CIN 31 for 4 yards (93-J.Allen; 44-D.Knight). CIN-44-D.Knight was injured during the play.	−0.04	−0.01	−0.03	−0.12	−0.2%	1.4×
Q1 2:23	PIT	2nd & 6	CIN 31	(2:23) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren left end to CIN 31 for no gain (55-C.Howell; 29-K.Dugger).	−0.60	−0.56	−0.03	−0.70	−1.7%	1.4×
Q1 1:39	PIT	3rd & 6	CIN 31	(1:39) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 11-M.Pittman to CIN 23 for 8 yards (20-T.Davis).	+1.22	+1.24	−0.02	+1.54	+3.8%	1.4×
Q1 0:57	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 23	(:57) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 15-B.Skowronek for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.55	+3.00	−0.45	+2.45	+8.8%	1.3×
Q1 0:52	PIT	Try	CIN 15	9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	+0.19	−0.45	+0.65	+0.07	−1.1%	1.2×
Q1 0:52	CIN	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 59 yards from PIT 35 to CIN 6. 12-K.Williams to CIN 36 for 30 yards (44-C.Bruener).	+0.73	+0.65	+0.08	+0.76	+2.5%	1.2×
Q1 0:46	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 36	(:46) 30-C.Brown left guard to CIN 36 for no gain (5-J.Ramsey).	−0.45	−0.44	0.00	−0.54	−1.7%	1.3×
Q1 0:04	CIN	2nd & 10	CIN 36	(:04) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 1-J.Chase to CIN 48 for 12 yards (6-P.Queen).	+1.09	+1.11	−0.02	+1.39	+3.7%	1.2×
Q2 15:00	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 48	(15:00) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 81-D.Meyers to PIT 49 for 3 yards (5-J.Ramsey).	−0.17	−0.16	−0.01	−0.37	−0.8%	1.3×
Q2 14:17	CIN	2nd & 7	PIT 49	(14:17) (Shotgun) 34-S.Perine up the middle to PIT 45 for 4 yards (90-T.Watt; 41-P.Wilson).	−0.18	−0.17	−0.02	−0.14	−0.8%	1.3×
Q2 13:34	CIN	3rd & 3	PIT 45	(13:34) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase to PIT 38 for 7 yards (26-B.Echols).	+1.12	+1.15	−0.02	+1.35	+3.7%	1.3×
Q2 12:56	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 38	(12:56) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 89-D.Sample to PIT 38 for no gain (6-P.Queen; 5-J.Ramsey).	−0.45	−0.44	0.00	−0.55	−1.6%	1.3×
Q2 12:13	CIN	2nd & 10	PIT 38	(12:13) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 88-M.Gesicki to PIT 32 for 6 yards (35-J.Dean; 6-P.Queen). CIN-88-M.Gesicki was injured during the play.	+0.12	+0.13	−0.01	+0.14	+0.5%	1.3×
Q2 11:36	CIN	3rd & 4	PIT 32	(11:36) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 5-T.Higgins to PIT 19 for 13 yards (22-A.Samuel). PENALTY on CIN-71-A.Mims, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 32 - No Play.	−0.66	−0.68	+0.02	−0.89	−2.4%	1.3×
Q2 11:08	CIN	3rd & 9	PIT 37	(11:08) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 34-S.Perine to PIT 32 for 5 yards (5-J.Ramsey; 3-J.Brisker).	−0.19	−0.21	+0.02	−0.67	−0.4%	1.3×
Q2 10:20	CIN	4th & 4	PIT 32	(10:20) 2-E.McPherson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.	+0.64	+0.57	+0.07	+1.66	−0.4%	1.3×
Q2 10:16	PIT	Kickoff	CIN 35	2-E.McPherson kicks 65 yards from CIN 35 to end zone, Touchback to the PIT 35.	+1.01	+0.61	+0.40	+0.44	+2.8%	1.3×
Q2 10:16	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 35	(10:16) 30-J.Warren left end to CIN 30 for 35 yards (53-B.Mafe; 23-D.Hill). ** Injury Update: CIN-44-D.Knight has returned to the game.	+1.95	+1.99	−0.04	+2.23	+3.2%	1.2×
Q2 9:25	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 30	(9:25) 30-J.Warren left end pushed ob at CIN 19 for 11 yards (6-B.Cook). PENALTY on PIT-4-D.Metcalf, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CIN 27.	−0.65	−0.68	+0.02	−0.76	−1.2%	1.1×
Q2 8:57	PIT	1st & 17	CIN 37	(8:57) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 80-D.Washington to CIN 28 for 9 yards (35-J.Davis; 49-B.Carter).	+0.47	+0.47	0.00	+0.44	+1.0%	1.2×
Q2 8:17	PIT	2nd & 8	CIN 28	(8:17) (Shotgun) PENALTY on PIT-11-M.Pittman, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CIN 28 - No Play.	−0.53	−0.54	0.00	−0.61	−1.1%	1.1×
Q2 7:58	PIT	2nd & 13	CIN 33	(7:58) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 4-D.Metcalf.	−0.59	−0.58	0.00	−0.53	−2.4%	1.2×
Q2 7:51	PIT	3rd & 13	CIN 33	(7:51) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 11-M.Pittman to CIN 25 for 8 yards (38-D.Ivey) [55-C.Howell].	+0.20	+0.22	−0.02	−0.32	+0.5%	1.2×
Q2 7:10	PIT	4th & 5	CIN 25	(7:10) 9-C.Boswell 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−0.57	+0.06	−0.63	+0.96	−1.2%	1.2×
Q2 7:05	CIN	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 61 yards from PIT 35 to CIN 4. 12-K.Williams to CIN 31 for 27 yards (26-B.Echols).	+0.37	+0.46	−0.09	+0.31	+1.2%	1.2×
Q2 6:59	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 31	(6:59) 30-C.Brown right guard to CIN 39 for 8 yards (55-C.Holcomb).	+0.52	+0.50	+0.02	+0.19	+1.9%	1.2×
Q2 6:18	CIN	2nd & 2	CIN 39	(6:18) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 81-D.Meyers to CIN 42 for 3 yards (5-J.Ramsey).	+0.09	+0.07	+0.02	+0.04	+0.1%	1.3×
Q2 5:38	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 42	(5:38) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete deep right to 1-J.Chase (22-A.Samuel). ** Injury Update: CIN-88-M.Gesicki has returned to the game.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.52	−1.6%	1.3×
Q2 5:31	CIN	2nd & 10	CIN 42	(5:31) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 87-T.Hudson to CIN 49 for 7 yards (6-P.Queen).	+0.14	+0.12	+0.02	−0.25	+0.0%	1.2×
Q2 4:46	CIN	3rd & 3	CIN 49	(4:46) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short middle to 81-D.Meyers (23-D.Everette).	−1.17	−1.18	+0.01	−1.13	−3.7%	1.2×
Q2 4:40	CIN	4th & 3	CIN 49	(4:40) 8-R.Rehkow punts 41 yards to PIT 10, Center-46-W.Wagner. 10-K.Wetjen pushed ob at PIT 15 for 5 yards (42-O.Burks).	−0.56	−0.65	+0.09	−0.01	−2.0%	1.2×
Q2 4:30	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 15	(4:30) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 88-P.Freiermuth pushed ob at PIT 23 for 8 yards (29-K.Dugger).	+0.43	+0.47	−0.04	+0.51	+1.9%	1.1×
Q2 3:55	PIT	2nd & 2	PIT 23	(3:55) 30-J.Warren left end to PIT 24 for 1 yard (49-B.Carter; 98-T.Slaton).	−0.47	−0.44	−0.03	−0.20	−0.8%	1.1×
Q2 3:13	PIT	3rd & 1	PIT 24	(3:13) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 11-M.Pittman (23-D.Hill). Penalty on PIT-54-Z.Frazier, Offensive Holding, offsetting, enforced at PIT 24 - No Play. Penalty on CIN-27-J.Battle, Illegal Contact, offsetting. Penalty on CIN-23-D.Hill, Defensive Pass Interference, offsetting.	−0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.16	+0.1%	1.1×
Q2 3:05	PIT	3rd & 1	PIT 24	(3:05) Direct snap to 88-P.Freiermuth. 88-P.Freiermuth up the middle to PIT 25 for 1 yard (97-D.Lawrence; 44-D.Knight).	+0.41	+0.44	−0.02	+0.39	+1.5%	1.1×
Q2 2:23	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 25	(2:23) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 88-P.Freiermuth to PIT 47 for 22 yards (55-C.Howell).	+1.14	+1.18	−0.03	+0.93	+2.1%	1.1×
Q2 2:00	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 47	(2:00) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 11-M.Pittman.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.47	−1.1%	1.0×
Q2 1:57	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 47	(1:57) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at PIT 40 for -7 yards (99-M.Murphy). PENALTY on CIN-20-T.Davis, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 47 - No Play.	+0.72	+0.73	−0.02	+0.65	+1.9%	1.0×
Q2 1:50	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 48	(1:50) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 80-D.Washington (49-B.Carter).	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.42	−1.1%	1.0×
Q2 1:46	PIT	2nd & 10	CIN 48	(1:46) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 14-R.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Battle at CIN 36. 27-J.Battle to CIN 47 for 11 yards (67-B.Hoffman).	−3.82	−3.75	−0.07	−3.14	−10.7%	1.0×
Q2 1:40	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 47	(1:40) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 30-C.Brown to PIT 41 for 12 yards (20-R.Jenkins).	+0.68	+0.67	+0.02	+0.33	+2.3%	1.2×
Q2 1:15	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 41	(1:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 1-J.Chase to PIT 32 for 9 yards (3-J.Brisker; 6-P.Queen).	+0.80	+0.77	+0.03	+0.57	+3.0%	1.3×
Q2 0:47	CIN	2nd & 1	PIT 32	(:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short right to 81-D.Meyers.	−0.56	−0.57	+0.01	−0.28	−2.2%	1.3×
Q2 0:43	CIN	3rd & 1	PIT 32	(:43) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brown left tackle to PIT 28 for 4 yards (41-P.Wilson; 6-P.Queen).	+0.56	+0.55	0.00	+0.54	+1.1%	1.3×
Q2 0:39	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 28	(:39) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 5-T.Higgins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [69-S.Joseph].	+2.46	+3.81	−1.35	+4.75	+7.3%	1.3×
Q2 0:34	CIN	Try	PIT 15	2-E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.	−0.09	−0.84	+0.75	+0.07	+0.2%	1.4×
Q2 0:34	PIT	Kickoff	CIN 35	2-E.McPherson kicks 49 yards from CIN 35 to PIT 16. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 33 for 17 yards (37-P.Jules).	+0.11	+0.32	−0.21	+0.02	+0.4%	1.4×
Q2 0:28	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 33	(:28) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers scrambles right tackle to PIT 45 for 12 yards (23-D.Hill).	+0.61	+0.64	−0.03	+0.01	+2.4%	1.4×
Q2 0:12	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 45	(:12) (No Huddle) 8-A.Rodgers spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.03	−1.9%	1.4×
Q2 0:11	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 45	(:11) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right (29-K.Dugger).	−1.74	−2.00	+0.25	−0.29	−7.8%	1.4×
Q3 15:00	CIN	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 63 yards from PIT 35 to CIN 2. 12-K.Williams to CIN 15 for 13 yards (33-J.Sawyer).	−0.70	−0.54	−0.16	−0.74	−3.1%	1.4×
Q3 14:53	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 15	(14:53) 30-C.Brown left guard to CIN 21 for 6 yards (6-P.Queen).	+0.10	+0.15	−0.06	+0.24	+0.3%	1.4×
Q3 14:17	CIN	2nd & 4	CIN 21	(14:17) 30-C.Brown left end to CIN 34 for 13 yards (22-A.Samuel; 41-P.Wilson).	+0.78	+0.86	−0.08	+1.16	+3.6%	1.4×
Q3 13:33	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 34	(13:33) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CIN-64-T.Karras, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CIN 34 - No Play.	−0.53	−0.49	−0.04	−0.55	−2.5%	1.4×
Q3 13:11	CIN	1st & 15	CIN 29	(13:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 5-T.Higgins to CIN 42 for 13 yards (3-J.Brisker; 20-R.Jenkins).	+0.94	+1.02	−0.08	+1.16	+4.4%	1.4×
Q3 12:29	CIN	2nd & 2	CIN 42	(12:29) 9-J.Burrow scrambles up the middle to 50 for 8 yards (97-C.Heyward).	+0.31	+0.39	−0.08	+0.54	+1.4%	1.4×
Q3 11:43	CIN	1st & 10	50	(11:43) 30-C.Brown up the middle to PIT 47 for 3 yards (6-P.Queen; 41-P.Wilson).	−0.18	−0.14	−0.05	−0.28	−0.8%	1.4×
Q3 11:01	CIN	2nd & 7	PIT 47	(11:01) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow scrambles up the middle to PIT 42 for 5 yards (94-Y.Black).	0.00	+0.04	−0.04	−0.06	−0.0%	1.4×
Q3 10:17	CIN	3rd & 2	PIT 42	(10:17) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short middle to 34-S.Perine.	−1.27	−1.27	0.00	−1.96	−5.9%	1.4×
Q3 10:11	CIN	4th & 2	PIT 42	(10:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at PIT 21 for 21 yards (22-A.Samuel).	+3.10	+3.12	−0.02	+4.23	+13.9%	1.4×
Q3 9:40	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 21	(9:40) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short middle to 89-D.Sample (6-P.Queen).	−0.38	−0.38	0.00	−0.47	−1.6%	1.3×
Q3 9:36	CIN	2nd & 10	PIT 21	(9:36) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brown left tackle to PIT 15 for 6 yards (3-J.Brisker).	+0.17	+0.15	+0.02	+0.02	+0.8%	1.4×
Q3 8:53	CIN	3rd & 4	PIT 15	(8:53) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CIN-71-A.Mims, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 15 - No Play.	−0.53	−0.51	−0.02	−0.67	−2.3%	1.4×
Q3 8:31	CIN	3rd & 9	PIT 20	(8:31) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short left to 5-T.Higgins (35-J.Dean).	−0.71	−0.71	0.00	−0.87	−3.3%	1.4×
Q3 8:26	CIN	4th & 9	PIT 20	(8:26) 2-E.McPherson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.	+0.10	−0.33	+0.42	+0.49	+0.7%	1.4×
Q3 8:22	PIT	Kickoff	CIN 35	2-E.McPherson kicks 60 yards from CIN 35 to PIT 5. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 26 for 21 yards (43-J.Giles-Harris; 47-S.Bozeman).	−0.15	−0.16	+0.01	+0.04	−0.8%	1.4×
Q3 8:17	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 26	(8:17) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 30-J.Warren pushed ob at PIT 37 for 11 yards (44-D.Knight; 29-K.Dugger).	+0.58	+0.59	−0.01	+0.72	+2.9%	1.4×
Q3 7:42	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 37	(7:42) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 11-M.Pittman.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.51	−2.3%	1.4×
Q3 7:39	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 37	(7:39) 30-J.Warren left guard to PIT 41 for 4 yards (49-B.Carter).	−0.26	−0.25	−0.01	−0.47	−1.4%	1.4×
Q3 6:53	PIT	3rd & 6	PIT 41	(6:53) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep left to 88-P.Freiermuth.	−1.18	−1.17	0.00	−1.53	−5.7%	1.4×
Q3 6:48	PIT	4th & 6	PIT 41	(6:48) 19-C.Johnston punts 53 yards to CIN 6, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-26-B.Echols. PENALTY on CIN-52-C.Johnson, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 41 - No Play.	+2.87	+2.91	−0.04	+3.61	+14.1%	1.3×
Q3 6:36	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 44	(6:36) 30-J.Warren up the middle to CIN 35 for 9 yards (29-K.Dugger; 23-D.Hill).	+0.72	+0.76	−0.03	+0.67	+3.5%	1.4×
Q3 5:52	PIT	2nd & 1	CIN 35	(5:52) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 30-J.Warren.	−0.62	−0.62	0.00	−0.57	−3.0%	1.4×
Q3 5:47	PIT	3rd & 1	CIN 35	(5:47) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren up the middle to CIN 28 for 7 yards (44-D.Knight; 52-C.Johnson).	+0.77	+0.79	−0.02	+0.94	+3.7%	1.4×
Q3 4:59	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 28	(4:59) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-G.Bernard to CIN 14 for 14 yards (20-T.Davis) [99-M.Murphy].	+0.76	+0.74	+0.02	+0.85	+3.6%	1.4×
Q3 4:15	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 14	(4:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 21-T.Homer right end to CIN 14 for no gain (20-T.Davis).	−0.37	−0.36	−0.02	−0.48	−1.7%	1.3×
Q3 3:30	PIT	2nd & 10	CIN 14	(3:30) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 30-J.Warren to CIN 6 for 8 yards (29-K.Dugger).	+0.39	+0.37	+0.02	+0.31	+2.0%	1.3×
Q3 2:48	PIT	3rd & 2	CIN 6	(2:48) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 4-D.Metcalf for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.45	+2.63	−1.18	+1.99	+8.5%	1.3×
Q3 2:43	PIT	Try	CIN 15	9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	+0.22	−0.62	+0.84	+0.07	+1.4%	1.2×
Q3 2:43	CIN	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 56 yards from PIT 35 to CIN 9. 12-K.Williams to CIN 36 for 27 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings; 44-C.Bruener). CIN-34-S.Perine was injured during the play.	+0.91	+0.73	+0.19	+0.74	+4.8%	1.2×
Q3 2:37	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 36	(2:37) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 5-T.Higgins to 50 for 14 yards (3-J.Brisker).	+0.74	+0.79	−0.05	+0.94	+3.9%	1.3×
Q3 1:54	CIN	1st & 10	50	(1:54) 30-C.Brown right tackle to 50 for no gain (51-N.Herbig).	−0.46	−0.43	−0.03	−0.50	−2.6%	1.3×
Q3 1:15	CIN	2nd & 10	50	(1:15) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short right to 1-J.Chase.	−0.67	−0.66	0.00	−0.87	−3.4%	1.3×
Q3 1:11	CIN	3rd & 10	50	(1:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 5-T.Higgins to PIT 33 for 17 yards (35-J.Dean).	+2.07	+2.15	−0.08	+2.46	+11.0%	1.2×
Q3 0:26	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 33	(:26) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brown up the middle to PIT 28 for 5 yards (41-P.Wilson; 20-R.Jenkins).	+0.11	+0.14	−0.03	+0.20	+0.6%	1.3×
Q4 15:00	CIN	2nd & 5	PIT 28	(15:00) 30-C.Brown left guard to PIT 25 for 3 yards (35-J.Dean; 94-Y.Black).	−0.03	+0.01	−0.04	−0.27	−0.3%	1.3×
Q4 14:18	CIN	3rd & 2	PIT 25	(14:18) (Shotgun) 34-S.Perine left tackle to PIT 25 for no gain (94-Y.Black; 3-J.Brisker). ** Injury Update: CIN-34-S.Perine has returned to the game.	−0.77	−0.73	−0.04	−1.46	−5.6%	1.3×
Q4 13:33	CIN	4th & 2	PIT 25	(13:33) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.73	+4.06	−1.33	+4.89	+17.4%	1.3×
Q4 13:29	CIN	Try	PIT 15	2-E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.	−0.04	−1.17	+1.13	+0.07	+0.7%	1.3×
Q4 13:29	PIT	Kickoff	CIN 35	2-E.McPherson kicks 61 yards from CIN 35 to PIT 4. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 25 for 21 yards (52-C.Johnson).	−0.41	−0.24	−0.17	+0.01	−2.5%	1.3×
Q4 13:23	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 25	(13:23) 30-J.Warren up the middle to PIT 29 for 4 yards (90-K.Jenkins; 44-D.Knight).	−0.05	−0.03	−0.02	−0.09	−0.5%	1.3×
Q4 12:44	PIT	2nd & 6	PIT 29	(12:44) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren left tackle to PIT 34 for 5 yards (44-D.Knight).	+0.21	+0.22	−0.01	+0.35	+1.1%	1.3×
Q4 12:00	PIT	3rd & 1	PIT 34	(12:00) 30-J.Warren right tackle to PIT 36 for 2 yards (44-D.Knight; 98-T.Slaton).	+0.54	+0.54	0.00	+0.46	+3.2%	1.3×
Q4 11:21	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 36	(11:21) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 88-P.Freiermuth (20-T.Davis).	−0.44	−0.44	0.00	−0.47	−2.9%	1.3×
Q4 11:14	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 36	(11:14) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to 11-M.Pittman.	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−1.06	−5.2%	1.3×
Q4 11:09	PIT	3rd & 10	PIT 36	(11:09) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep left to 14-R.Wilson (23-D.Hill) [93-J.Allen].	−1.07	−1.07	0.00	−1.21	−6.3%	1.2×
Q4 11:04	PIT	4th & 10	PIT 36	(11:04) 19-C.Johnston punts 51 yards to CIN 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 12-K.Williams MUFFS catch, touched at CIN 16, RECOVERED by PIT-15-B.Skowronek at CIN 14. PIT-26-B.Echols was injured during the play.	+4.92	+4.95	−0.03	+5.45	+29.6%	1.1×
Q4 10:52	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 14	(10:52) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 85-R.Tonyan to CIN 12 for 2 yards (27-J.Battle).	−0.11	−0.12	+0.02	−0.44	−0.6%	1.3×
Q4 10:13	PIT	2nd & 8	CIN 12	(10:13) 30-J.Warren up the middle to CIN 9 for 3 yards (49-B.Carter).	−0.15	−0.17	+0.02	−0.35	−0.9%	1.2×
Q4 9:28	PIT	3rd & 5	CIN 9	(9:28) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CIN 18 for -9 yards (97-D.Lawrence).	−1.46	−1.43	−0.03	−1.49	−9.2%	1.2×
Q4 8:48	PIT	4th & 14	CIN 18	(8:48) 9-C.Boswell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−0.60	−0.96	+0.36	+0.40	+1.1%	1.3×
Q4 8:45	CIN	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 58 yards from PIT 35 to CIN 7. 12-K.Williams to CIN 41 for 34 yards (21-T.Homer; 40-D.Slaughter).	+0.32	+0.57	−0.24	+0.92	+2.1%	1.3×
Q4 8:39	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 41	(8:39) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short left to 1-J.Chase (41-P.Wilson).	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.43	−3.1%	1.3×
Q4 8:35	CIN	2nd & 10	CIN 41	(8:35) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 5-T.Higgins to CIN 49 for 8 yards (20-R.Jenkins).	+0.34	+0.35	−0.01	+0.41	+2.1%	1.3×
Q4 7:51	CIN	3rd & 2	CIN 49	(7:51) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short middle to 34-S.Perine [97-C.Heyward].	−1.17	−1.17	0.00	−1.56	−7.9%	1.2×
Q4 7:46	CIN	4th & 2	CIN 49	(7:46) 8-R.Rehkow punts 43 yards to PIT 8, Center-46-W.Wagner, fair catch by 10-K.Wetjen.	+0.42	−0.54	+0.96	−0.33	+5.7%	1.2×
Q4 7:39	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 8	(7:39) 30-J.Warren up the middle to CIN 5 for 87 yards (27-J.Battle). PENALTY on PIT-4-D.Metcalf, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, enforced at PIT 14.	−0.05	−0.06	+0.01	−0.44	−0.5%	1.2×
Q4 7:02	PIT	1st & 11	PIT 7	(7:02) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 4-D.Metcalf to PIT 21 for 14 yards (29-K.Dugger) [93-J.Allen].	+0.79	+0.79	0.00	+1.03	+5.7%	1.2×
Q4 6:16	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 21	(6:16) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Washington to CIN 32 for 47 yards (29-K.Dugger).	+2.58	+2.62	−0.04	+2.93	+16.0%	1.2×
Q4 5:23	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 32	(5:23) 30-J.Warren left guard to CIN 6 for 26 yards (20-T.Davis).	+1.58	+1.47	+0.11	+1.80	+8.8%	1.0×
Q4 4:35	PIT	1st & 6	CIN 6	(4:35) (Shotgun) 31-L.Nichols left guard to CIN 6 for no gain (44-D.Knight). ** Injury Update: CIN-6-B.Cook has returned to the game.	−0.38	−0.42	+0.04	−0.51	−0.6%	0.7×
Q4 3:52	PIT	2nd & 6	CIN 6	(3:52) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on PIT-76-T.Fautanu, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at CIN 6 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.48	−0.02	−0.77	−2.5%	0.7×
Q4 3:48	PIT	2nd & 11	CIN 11	(3:48) 30-J.Warren left guard to CIN 5 for 6 yards (93-J.Allen; 49-B.Carter).	−0.06	−0.15	+0.08	+0.13	+1.9%	0.8×
Q4 3:03	PIT	3rd & 5	CIN 5	(3:03) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CIN 15 for -10 yards (97-D.Lawrence).	−1.76	−1.77	+0.01	−1.49	−7.9%	0.7×
Q4 2:18	PIT	4th & 15	CIN 15	(2:18) 9-C.Boswell 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	+0.30	+0.09	+0.21	+0.28	+6.2%	0.9×
Q4 2:15	CIN	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 62 yards from PIT 35 to CIN 3. 25-T.Brooks to CIN 30 for 27 yards (40-D.Slaughter).	+0.45	+0.61	−0.16	+0.44	+1.2%	0.8×
Q4 2:08	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 30	(2:08) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 1-J.Chase to CIN 47 for 17 yards (20-R.Jenkins).	+0.87	+0.89	−0.02	+0.67	+7.1%	0.8×
Q4 2:00	CIN	1st & 10	CIN 47	(2:00) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 30-C.Brown to CIN 43 for -4 yards (6-P.Queen) [95-K.Benton].	−1.01	−1.02	0.00	−0.76	−8.3%	0.9×
Q4 1:25	CIN	2nd & 14	CIN 43	(1:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 88-M.Gesicki to CIN 49 for 6 yards (20-R.Jenkins).	−0.20	−0.18	−0.01	+0.06	−3.1%	0.8×
Q4 0:58	CIN	3rd & 8	CIN 49	(:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase ran ob at PIT 38 for 13 yards (23-D.Everette).	+1.73	+1.77	−0.03	+1.36	+15.8%	0.8×
Q4 0:53	CIN	1st & 10	PIT 38	(:53) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow sacked at PIT 46 for -8 yards (99-D.Harmon). FUMBLES (99-D.Harmon) [99-D.Harmon], RECOVERED by PIT-69-S.Joseph at CIN 49.	−2.96	−3.36	+0.40	−4.09	−34.3%	1.1×
Q4 0:44	PIT	1st & 10	CIN 49	(:44) 8-A.Rodgers kneels to 50 for -1 yards.	−0.65	−0.70	+0.05	−0.75	+0.0%	0.0×
Q4 0:17	PIT	2nd & 11	50	(:17) 8-A.Rodgers kneels to PIT 49 for -1 yards.	−0.38	+0.11	−0.49	−0.89	+0.0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	J.Burrow	CIN	40	+12.3+0.32	+0.3+0.16	—	+12.6+0.31	+4.6+0.33	+15.1+0.38
	J.Chase	CIN	12	—	—	+9.3+0.78	+9.3+0.78	+3.1+0.76	+9.3+0.78
	T.Higgins	CIN	7	—	—	+6.7+0.96	+6.7+0.96	+2.4+0.95	+9.9+1.41
	A.Rodgers	PIT	39	+6.7+0.19	−0.4−0.14	—	+6.3+0.16	+3.6+0.27	+6.9+0.18
	J.Warren	PIT	21	—	+3.5+0.21	+2.2+0.55	+5.7+0.27	+2.0+0.27	+5.5+0.26
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CIN
	J.Burrow	28	37	3	0	1	2827.6	+14.7+0.39	+12.3+0.32	+4.5+0.34

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PIT
	A.Rodgers	19	34	3	1	2	2928.6	+8.5+0.24	+6.7+0.19	+3.3+0.26

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CIN
	C.Brown	13	0	614.7	+0.9+0.07	+1.4+0.11	+0.5+0.11
	S.Perine	3	0	93.0	−0.3−0.09	+0.2+0.07	+0.1+0.09
	J.Burrow	2	0	136.5	+0.5+0.24	+0.3+0.16	+0.1+0.16

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PIT
	J.Warren	17	0	1277.5	+3.3+0.19	+3.5+0.21	+1.2+0.20
	A.Rodgers	3	0	103.3	−1.6−0.55	−0.4−0.14	+0.2+0.61
	P.Freiermuth	1	0	11.0	+0.4+0.39	+0.4+0.41	+0.1+0.41
	T.Homer	1	0	00.0	−0.5−0.48	−0.4−0.37	−0.1−0.37
	L.Nichols	1	0	00.0	−0.5−0.51	−0.4−0.38	−0.1−0.38

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CIN
	J.Chase	12	9	1	9810.9	+9.3+0.78	+9.3+0.78	+3.1+0.76
	T.Higgins	7	6	1	9015.0	+9.9+1.41	+6.7+0.96	+2.4+0.95
	D.Meyers	5	3	0	299.7	+0.6+0.12	+0.1+0.01	0.0+0.03
	M.Gesicki	3	3	1	3712.3	+5.1+1.69	+2.7+0.89	+1.0+1.03
	S.Perine	3	1	0	55.0	−4.2−1.40	−2.6−0.88	−1.0−0.89
	T.Hudson	2	2	0	136.5	+0.1+0.03	+0.4+0.22	+0.2+0.22
	D.Sample	2	1	0	00.0	−1.0−0.51	−0.8−0.41	−0.3−0.41
	C.Brown	2	2	0	84.0	−0.4−0.22	−0.3−0.16	0.0−0.03
	C.Young	1	1	0	22.0	−0.5−0.54	−0.2−0.21	−0.1−0.21

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PIT
	R.Wilson	6	3	1	6020.0	+2.6+0.44	+2.3+0.38	+1.4+0.65
	D.Metcalf	5	3	1	3110.3	+2.5+0.49	+1.6+0.33	+0.6+0.33
	M.Pittman	5	2	0	168.0	−0.8−0.16	−0.1−0.02	0.0+0.02
	J.Warren	4	3	0	4916.3	+2.2+0.55	+2.2+0.55	+0.9+0.56
	D.Washington	4	3	0	6722.3	+4.0+1.01	+3.6+0.91	+1.3+0.97
	P.Freiermuth	4	2	0	3015.0	−0.6−0.14	0.0−0.01	−0.1−0.10
	B.Skowronek	1	1	1	2323.0	+2.5+2.45	+2.6+2.55	+1.0+2.55
	G.Bernard	1	1	0	1414.0	+0.8+0.85	+0.8+0.76	+0.3+0.76
	R.Tonyan	1	1	0	22.0	−0.4−0.44	−0.1−0.11	0.0−0.11