TEN 18, BAL 24 — week 4, 2026

TEN

18 at 24

BAL

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

TEN season | BAL season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

TEN 28%

Win expectancy

from how they played

TEN 1%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
BAL	76	24	3845.1	+3.6+0.048	+6.3+0.083	+7.8+0.103	−1.5−0.020	+4.6+0.346
TEN	70	18	2974.3	−0.4−0.006	+2.5+0.035	+1.1+0.016	+1.4+0.019	−0.2−0.014
NET	6	6	870.7	+4.1+0.054	+3.8+0.048	+6.7+0.087	−2.8−0.039	+4.9+0.360
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is BAL minus TEN.

Game Timeline

TEN at BAL. BAL won by 6. Two panels. Top: BAL's win probability across 159 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 100%; BAL was favored on 99% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at BAL by 19.0 in the third quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: +10% at play 3, C.Ward pass short middle intended for… — INTERCEPTED; +8% at play 53, Direct snap to T.Pollard. T.Pollard right guard to BAL 2….

Excitement

0.4 bits

#15 of 16 this week

16th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.52

#15 of 16 this week

19th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

228 pts

#15 of 16 this week

20th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

36%

#13 of 16 this week

29th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#8 of 16 this week

53rd percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

48%

#14 of 16 this week

19th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 1:51	TEN	4th & 11	BAL 36	(1:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep left to 14-C.Tate to BAL 3 for 33 yards (24-M.Starks) [15-M.Green].	+4.16	+4.13	+0.02	+4.71	+1%	0.0×
2	Q1 14:18	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 43	(14:18) 1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Simpson [15-M.Green] at BAL 39. 32-T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (51-A.Schlottmann).	−3.94	−5.69	+1.75	−6.71	−10%	1.4×
3	Q1 12:13	BAL	4th & 1	TEN 5	(12:13) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.65	+3.34	+0.31	+2.90	+10%	1.4×
4	Q2 4:44	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 43	(4:44) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 5 for 52 yards (50-C.Barton).	+3.06	+3.06	−0.01	+3.60	+5%	1.0×
5	Q2 8:20	TEN	4th & 2	BAL 2	(8:20) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 20-T.Pollard. 20-T.Pollard right guard to BAL 2 for no gain (92-N.Madubuike).	−3.05	−3.00	−0.04	−3.07	−8%	1.3×
6	Q4 3:24	BAL	4th & 6	TEN 22	(3:24) 33-T.Loop 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	−2.73	−2.70	−0.03	−3.61	0%	0.0×
7	Q3 10:16	TEN	2nd & 10	TEN 26	(10:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete deep left to 5-E.Ayomanor (3-C.Awuzie). PENALTY on BAL-3-C.Awuzie, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at TEN 26 - No Play.	+2.58	+2.65	−0.06	+3.23	+5%	0.3×
8	Q2 0:05	BAL	3rd & 15	TEN 46	(:05) 33-T.Loop 64 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+2.42	+2.47	−0.05	+2.09	+3%	0.6×
9	Q1 6:01	TEN	3rd & 3	BAL 3	(6:01) 20-T.Pollard right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.38	+2.99	−0.61	+2.32	+6%	1.4×
10	Q2 12:22	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 19	(12:22) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.26	+2.80	−0.53	+2.29	+8%	1.3×
11	Q2 0:46	TEN	2nd & 10	TEN 30	(:46) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep right to 14-C.Tate to BAL 37 for 33 yards (14-K.Hamilton). FUMBLES (14-K.Hamilton), RECOVERED by BAL-24-M.Starks at BAL 35.	−2.24	−1.85	−0.39	−1.06	−2%	0.6×
12	Q4 5:10	BAL	3rd & 5	TEN 44	(5:10) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short middle to 7-R.Bateman to TEN 26 for 18 yards (26-M.Harris). TEN-26-M.Harris was injured during the play. ** Injury Update: BAL-4-Z.Flowers has returned to the game.	+1.95	+1.87	+0.08	+1.94	0%	0.0×
13	Q2 10:48	TEN	3rd & 10	BAL 35	(10:48) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-14-K.Hamilton, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 35 - No Play.	+1.91	+1.91	+0.01	+2.25	+6%	1.2×
14	Q1 3:17	BAL	3rd & 10	TEN 47	(3:17) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 45 for -8 yards (sack split by 57-J.Martin and 26-M.Harris).	−1.87	−1.85	−0.02	−2.29	−6%	1.4×
15	Q3 4:24	BAL	3rd & 4	TEN 42	(4:24) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short right to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 48 for -6 yards (11-J.Johnson).	−1.86	−1.86	−0.01	−2.43	−2%	0.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 14:18	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 43	(14:18) 1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Simpson [15-M.Green] at BAL 39. 32-T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (51-A.Schlottmann).	−3.94	−5.69	+1.75	−6.71	−10%	1.4×
2	Q1 12:13	BAL	4th & 1	TEN 5	(12:13) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.65	+3.34	+0.31	+2.90	+10%	1.4×
3	Q2 8:20	TEN	4th & 2	BAL 2	(8:20) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 20-T.Pollard. 20-T.Pollard right guard to BAL 2 for no gain (92-N.Madubuike).	−3.05	−3.00	−0.04	−3.07	−8%	1.3×
4	Q1 6:01	TEN	3rd & 3	BAL 3	(6:01) 20-T.Pollard right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.38	+2.99	−0.61	+2.32	+6%	1.4×
5	Q2 12:22	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 19	(12:22) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.26	+2.80	−0.53	+2.29	+8%	1.3×
6	Q2 4:44	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 43	(4:44) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 5 for 52 yards (50-C.Barton).	+3.06	+3.06	−0.01	+3.60	+5%	1.0×
7	Q1 3:17	BAL	3rd & 10	TEN 47	(3:17) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 45 for -8 yards (sack split by 57-J.Martin and 26-M.Harris).	−1.87	−1.85	−0.02	−2.29	−6%	1.4×
8	Q2 10:48	TEN	3rd & 10	BAL 35	(10:48) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-14-K.Hamilton, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 35 - No Play.	+1.91	+1.91	+0.01	+2.25	+6%	1.2×
9	Q1 5:17	BAL	2nd & 11	BAL 34	(5:17) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 81-D.Walker to TEN 47 for 19 yards (37-A.Hooker).	+1.50	+1.52	−0.02	+1.92	+5%	1.4×
10	Q1 14:08	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 37	(14:08) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 14 for 23 yards (18-C.Flott).	+1.45	+1.27	+0.18	+1.41	+4%	1.4×
11	Q2 5:34	BAL	2nd & 9	BAL 15	(5:34) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 7-R.Bateman to BAL 43 for 28 yards (24-A.Taylor).	+1.84	+1.92	−0.09	+2.21	+4%	1.1×
12	Q2 11:15	TEN	2nd & 9	TEN 43	(11:15) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep middle to 5-E.Ayomanor to BAL 35 for 22 yards (14-K.Hamilton; 0-R.Smith).	+1.64	+1.68	−0.04	+1.92	+6%	1.2×
13	Q2 13:37	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 45	(13:37) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 88-M.Hibner to TEN 30 for 25 yards (24-A.Taylor).	+1.38	+1.45	−0.07	+1.53	+4%	1.4×
14	Q1 10:06	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 46	(10:06) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep left to 14-C.Tate to BAL 24 for 22 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	+1.25	+1.28	−0.03	+1.55	+4%	1.3×
15	Q1 0:17	TEN	4th & 11	TEN 18	(:17) 3-T.Townsend punts 63 yards to BAL 19, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.	+1.12	+1.12	−0.01	+1.46	+4%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 14:18	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 43	(14:18) 1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Simpson [15-M.Green] at BAL 39. 32-T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (51-A.Schlottmann).	−3.94	−5.69	+1.75	−6.71	−10%	1.4×
2	Q1 12:13	BAL	4th & 1	TEN 5	(12:13) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.65	+3.34	+0.31	+2.90	+10%	1.4×
3	Q2 8:20	TEN	4th & 2	BAL 2	(8:20) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 20-T.Pollard. 20-T.Pollard right guard to BAL 2 for no gain (92-N.Madubuike).	−3.05	−3.00	−0.04	−3.07	−8%	1.3×
4	Q2 12:22	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 19	(12:22) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.26	+2.80	−0.53	+2.29	+8%	1.3×
5	Q1 3:17	BAL	3rd & 10	TEN 47	(3:17) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 45 for -8 yards (sack split by 57-J.Martin and 26-M.Harris).	−1.87	−1.85	−0.02	−2.29	−6%	1.4×
6	Q2 10:48	TEN	3rd & 10	BAL 35	(10:48) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-14-K.Hamilton, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 35 - No Play.	+1.91	+1.91	+0.01	+2.25	+6%	1.2×
7	Q1 6:01	TEN	3rd & 3	BAL 3	(6:01) 20-T.Pollard right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.38	+2.99	−0.61	+2.32	+6%	1.4×
8	Q2 11:15	TEN	2nd & 9	TEN 43	(11:15) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep middle to 5-E.Ayomanor to BAL 35 for 22 yards (14-K.Hamilton; 0-R.Smith).	+1.64	+1.68	−0.04	+1.92	+6%	1.2×
9	Q2 4:44	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 43	(4:44) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 5 for 52 yards (50-C.Barton).	+3.06	+3.06	−0.01	+3.60	+5%	1.0×
10	Q3 10:16	TEN	2nd & 10	TEN 26	(10:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete deep left to 5-E.Ayomanor (3-C.Awuzie). PENALTY on BAL-3-C.Awuzie, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at TEN 26 - No Play.	+2.58	+2.65	−0.06	+3.23	+5%	0.3×
11	Q1 5:17	BAL	2nd & 11	BAL 34	(5:17) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 81-D.Walker to TEN 47 for 19 yards (37-A.Hooker).	+1.50	+1.52	−0.02	+1.92	+5%	1.4×
12	Q1 0:17	TEN	4th & 11	TEN 18	(:17) 3-T.Townsend punts 63 yards to BAL 19, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.	+1.12	+1.12	−0.01	+1.46	+4%	1.4×
13	Q2 5:34	BAL	2nd & 9	BAL 15	(5:34) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 7-R.Bateman to BAL 43 for 28 yards (24-A.Taylor).	+1.84	+1.92	−0.09	+2.21	+4%	1.1×
14	Q2 13:37	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 45	(13:37) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 88-M.Hibner to TEN 30 for 25 yards (24-A.Taylor).	+1.38	+1.45	−0.07	+1.53	+4%	1.4×
15	Q1 10:06	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 46	(10:06) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep left to 14-C.Tate to BAL 24 for 22 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	+1.25	+1.28	−0.03	+1.55	+4%	1.3×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 159 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	TEN	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 63 yards from BAL 35 to TEN 2. 17-C.Dike to TEN 42 for 40 yards (29-C.Rivers).	+0.97	+1.00	−0.03	+1.10	+3%	1.4×
Q1 14:53	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 42	(14:53) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 17-C.Dike ran ob at BAL 43 for 15 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+0.98	+0.83	+0.15	+0.99	+3%	1.4×
Q1 14:18	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 43	(14:18) 1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Simpson [15-M.Green] at BAL 39. 32-T.Simpson pushed ob at TEN 37 for 24 yards (51-A.Schlottmann).	−3.94	−5.69	+1.75	−6.71	−10%	1.4×
Q1 14:08	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 37	(14:08) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 14 for 23 yards (18-C.Flott).	+1.45	+1.27	+0.18	+1.41	+4%	1.4×
Q1 13:37	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 14	(13:37) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 89-M.Andrews.	−0.33	−0.37	+0.03	−0.45	−1%	1.4×
Q1 13:30	BAL	2nd & 10	TEN 14	(13:30) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 8 for 6 yards (53-A.Hill).	+0.25	+0.04	+0.21	−0.20	+1%	1.4×
Q1 12:48	BAL	3rd & 4	TEN 8	(12:48) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry right guard to TEN 5 for 3 yards (91-J.Franklin-Myers; 11-J.Johnson). The ball spot was assisted by replay.	−0.43	−0.57	+0.13	−0.51	−1%	1.4×
Q1 12:13	BAL	4th & 1	TEN 5	(12:13) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.65	+3.34	+0.31	+2.90	+10%	1.4×
Q1 12:09	BAL	Try	TEN 15	33-T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	−0.10	−0.48	+0.38	+0.07	0%	1.3×
Q1 12:09	TEN	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 64 yards from BAL 35 to TEN 1. 17-C.Dike to TEN 30 for 29 yards (29-C.Rivers).	+0.11	+0.18	−0.07	+0.30	0%	1.3×
Q1 12:02	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 30	(12:02) 20-T.Pollard right guard to TEN 35 for 5 yards (94-J.Jenkins).	+0.07	+0.02	+0.04	−0.05	0%	1.3×
Q1 11:25	TEN	2nd & 5	TEN 35	(11:25) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left tackle to TEN 42 for 7 yards (9-Z.Young; 21-J.Hawkins).	+0.58	+0.57	+0.01	+0.80	+2%	1.3×
Q1 10:48	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 42	(10:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 4-W.Robinson to BAL 46 for 12 yards (24-M.Starks).	+0.62	+0.65	−0.02	+0.86	+1%	1.3×
Q1 10:06	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 46	(10:06) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep left to 14-C.Tate to BAL 24 for 22 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	+1.25	+1.28	−0.03	+1.55	+4%	1.3×
Q1 9:31	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 24	(9:31) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left guard to BAL 23 for 1 yard (32-T.Simpson; 44-M.Humphrey).	−0.29	−0.29	+0.01	−0.42	−1%	1.4×
Q1 9:00	TEN	2nd & 9	BAL 23	(9:00) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on BAL-2-N.Wiggins, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 23 - No Play.	+0.63	+0.61	+0.02	+0.78	+2%	1.4×
Q1 8:50	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 18	(8:50) (Shotgun) 2-T.Spears left end pushed ob at BAL 10 for 8 yards (24-M.Starks).	+0.64	+0.57	+0.07	+0.41	+2%	1.4×
Q1 8:10	TEN	2nd & 2	BAL 10	(8:10) 20-T.Pollard right guard to BAL 8 for 2 yards (96-B.Washington; 32-T.Simpson).	+0.08	+0.01	+0.07	+0.23	0%	1.4×
Q1 7:25	TEN	1st & 8	BAL 8	(7:25) 20-T.Pollard right tackle to BAL 6 for 2 yards (92-N.Madubuike).	−0.06	−0.14	+0.08	−0.29	0%	1.4×
Q1 6:44	TEN	2nd & 6	BAL 6	(6:44) 20-T.Pollard left tackle to BAL 3 for 3 yards (32-T.Simpson; 0-R.Smith).	−0.11	−0.20	+0.09	−0.38	0%	1.4×
Q1 6:01	TEN	3rd & 3	BAL 3	(6:01) 20-T.Pollard right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.38	+2.99	−0.61	+2.32	+6%	1.4×
Q1 5:56	TEN	Try	BAL 15	6-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-T.Townsend.	+0.18	−0.82	+0.99	+0.07	+1%	1.4×
Q1 5:56	BAL	Kickoff	TEN 35	6-J.Slye kicks 65 yards from TEN 35 to end zone, Touchback to the BAL 35.	+0.99	+0.61	+0.38	+0.57	+3%	1.4×
Q1 5:56	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 35	(5:56) 22-D.Henry right tackle to BAL 34 for -1 yards (91-J.Franklin-Myers, 50-C.Barton).	−0.53	−0.56	+0.03	−0.73	−2%	1.4×
Q1 5:17	BAL	2nd & 11	BAL 34	(5:17) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 81-D.Walker to TEN 47 for 19 yards (37-A.Hooker).	+1.50	+1.52	−0.02	+1.92	+5%	1.4×
Q1 4:38	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 47	(4:38) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 22-D.Henry to 50 for -3 yards (33-C.Gray, 50-C.Barton).	−0.78	−0.78	0.00	−1.04	−2%	1.4×
Q1 3:57	BAL	2nd & 13	50	(3:57) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to TEN 47 for 3 yards (15-K.Faulk; 90-S.Thomas).	−0.42	−0.38	−0.03	−0.33	−1%	1.4×
Q1 3:17	BAL	3rd & 10	TEN 47	(3:17) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 45 for -8 yards (sack split by 57-J.Martin and 26-M.Harris).	−1.87	−1.85	−0.02	−2.29	−6%	1.4×
Q1 2:35	BAL	4th & 18	BAL 45	(2:35) 30-R.Eckley punts 45 yards to TEN 10, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-C.Dike ran ob at TEN 30 for 20 yards (80-D.Smythe). PENALTY on TEN-41-E.Hallett, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, enforced at TEN 15.	+0.52	+0.69	−0.17	+0.76	+2%	1.4×
Q1 2:25	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 8	(2:25) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 14-C.Tate to TEN 19 for 11 yards (3-C.Awuzie).	+0.52	+0.56	−0.04	+0.67	+2%	1.4×
Q1 1:48	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 19	(1:48) 32-N.Singleton right guard to TEN 19 for no gain (93-C.Campbell).	−0.51	−0.48	−0.03	−0.57	−2%	1.4×
Q1 1:04	TEN	2nd & 10	TEN 19	(1:04) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right.	−0.63	−0.62	0.00	−0.74	−2%	1.4×
Q1 0:59	TEN	3rd & 10	TEN 19	(:59) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 2-T.Spears to TEN 18 for -1 yards (29-C.Rivers) [15-M.Green].	−1.02	−1.00	−0.02	−1.29	−4%	1.4×
Q1 0:17	TEN	4th & 11	TEN 18	(:17) 3-T.Townsend punts 63 yards to BAL 19, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.	+1.12	+1.12	−0.01	+1.46	+4%	1.4×
Q1 0:07	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 19	(:07) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 4-Z.Flowers to BAL 27 for 8 yards (37-A.Hooker).	+0.49	+0.50	−0.01	+0.70	+2%	1.4×
Q2 15:00	BAL	2nd & 2	BAL 27	(15:00) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry right end to BAL 31 for 4 yards (56-T.Jones; 33-C.Gray).	+0.13	+0.15	−0.02	+0.12	0%	1.4×
Q2 14:17	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 31	(14:17) 22-D.Henry left end to BAL 45 for 14 yards (23-K.Winston).	+0.72	+0.75	−0.03	+0.90	+2%	1.4×
Q2 13:37	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 45	(13:37) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 88-M.Hibner to TEN 30 for 25 yards (24-A.Taylor).	+1.38	+1.45	−0.07	+1.53	+4%	1.4×
Q2 12:56	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 30	(12:56) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry right guard to TEN 19 for 11 yards (18-C.Flott; 23-K.Winston).	+0.61	+0.61	0.00	+0.74	+2%	1.4×
Q2 12:22	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 19	(12:22) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.26	+2.80	−0.53	+2.29	+8%	1.3×
Q2 12:16	BAL	Try	TEN 15	33-T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+0.21	−0.45	+0.66	+0.07	+1%	1.2×
Q2 12:16	TEN	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 66 yards from BAL 35 to TEN -1. 17-C.Dike to TEN 35 for 36 yards (29-C.Rivers). PENALTY on TEN-33-C.Gray, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TEN 35.	+0.01	+0.09	−0.08	0.00	0%	1.2×
Q2 12:10	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 25	(12:10) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard right end pushed ob at TEN 27 for 2 yards (32-T.Simpson). PENALTY on BAL-32-T.Simpson, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 27.	+0.90	+0.92	−0.01	+1.00	+4%	1.2×
Q2 11:48	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 42	(11:48) 4-W.Robinson right end pushed ob at TEN 43 for 1 yard (32-T.Simpson).	−0.36	−0.36	+0.01	−0.39	−1%	1.2×
Q2 11:15	TEN	2nd & 9	TEN 43	(11:15) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep middle to 5-E.Ayomanor to BAL 35 for 22 yards (14-K.Hamilton; 0-R.Smith).	+1.64	+1.68	−0.04	+1.92	+6%	1.2×
Q2 10:55	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 35	(10:55) (No Huddle) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short middle to 20-T.Pollard.	−0.43	−0.43	0.00	−0.49	−1%	1.3×
Q2 10:51	TEN	2nd & 10	BAL 35	(10:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short left to 14-C.Tate (14-K.Hamilton).	−0.62	−0.62	0.00	−0.95	−3%	1.3×
Q2 10:48	TEN	3rd & 10	BAL 35	(10:48) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-14-K.Hamilton, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 35 - No Play.	+1.91	+1.91	+0.01	+2.25	+6%	1.2×
Q2 10:48	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 20	(10:48) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left tackle to BAL 13 for 7 yards (92-N.Madubuike; 32-T.Simpson). PENALTY on BAL-95-T.Robinson, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 13.	+0.73	+0.66	+0.07	+0.83	+2%	1.3×
Q2 10:20	TEN	1st & 8	BAL 8	(10:20) 20-T.Pollard up the middle to BAL 5 for 3 yards (9-Z.Young; 94-J.Jenkins).	+0.01	−0.04	+0.05	−0.06	0%	1.4×
Q2 9:40	TEN	2nd & 5	BAL 5	(9:40) 20-T.Pollard right guard to BAL 3 for 2 yards (32-T.Simpson; 0-R.Smith).	−0.28	−0.33	+0.05	−0.62	−1%	1.4×
Q2 9:01	TEN	3rd & 3	BAL 3	(9:01) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left guard to BAL 2 for 1 yard (3-C.Awuzie).	−0.95	−1.00	+0.05	−1.42	−3%	1.4×
Q2 8:20	TEN	4th & 2	BAL 2	(8:20) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 20-T.Pollard. 20-T.Pollard right guard to BAL 2 for no gain (92-N.Madubuike).	−3.05	−3.00	−0.04	−3.07	−8%	1.3×
Q2 8:16	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 2	(8:16) 22-D.Henry left guard to BAL 2 for no gain (53-A.Hill; 98-J.Simmons).	−0.47	−0.46	−0.01	−0.38	−1%	1.2×
Q2 7:40	BAL	2nd & 10	BAL 2	(7:40) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-70-R.Rosengarten, False Start, 1 yard, enforced at BAL 2 - No Play.	−0.09	−0.09	0.00	−0.58	0%	1.2×
Q2 7:37	BAL	2nd & 11	BAL 1	(7:37) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 8 for 7 yards (50-C.Barton; 53-A.Hill).	+0.03	+0.07	−0.04	+0.40	+1%	1.2×
Q2 6:56	BAL	3rd & 4	BAL 8	(6:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 14 for 6 yards (37-A.Hooker).	+1.05	+1.11	−0.06	+0.91	+3%	1.2×
Q2 6:11	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 14	(6:11) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry right tackle to BAL 15 for 1 yard (50-C.Barton).	−0.43	−0.38	−0.05	−0.50	−1%	1.1×
Q2 5:34	BAL	2nd & 9	BAL 15	(5:34) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 7-R.Bateman to BAL 43 for 28 yards (24-A.Taylor).	+1.84	+1.92	−0.09	+2.21	+4%	1.1×
Q2 4:44	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 43	(4:44) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 5 for 52 yards (50-C.Barton).	+3.06	+3.06	−0.01	+3.60	+5%	1.0×
Q2 4:17	BAL	1st & 5	TEN 5	(4:17) (No Huddle) 22-D.Henry left end to TEN 3 for 2 yards (98-J.Simmons).	−0.10	−0.08	−0.03	−0.04	0%	0.8×
Q2 3:36	BAL	2nd & 3	TEN 3	(3:36) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.24	+1.80	−0.56	+1.38	+3%	0.8×
Q2 3:32	BAL	Try	TEN 15	33-T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+0.10	−0.24	+0.34	+0.07	0%	0.7×
Q2 3:32	TEN	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 66 yards from BAL 35 to TEN -1. 17-C.Dike to TEN 20 for 21 yards (24-M.Starks).	−0.09	−0.29	+0.20	−0.20	0%	0.7×
Q2 3:27	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 20	(3:27) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 14-C.Tate to TEN 26 for 6 yards (24-M.Starks).	+0.20	+0.17	+0.04	+0.19	0%	0.7×
Q2 2:58	TEN	2nd & 4	TEN 26	(2:58) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 0-C.Ridley to TEN 39 for 13 yards (21-J.Hawkins; 0-R.Smith).	+0.90	+0.85	+0.05	+0.89	+2%	0.7×
Q2 2:20	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 39	(2:20) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete deep left to 14-C.Tate. PENALTY on BAL-14-K.Hamilton, Defensive Pass Interference, 11 yards, enforced at TEN 39 - No Play.	+0.59	+0.60	−0.01	+0.67	+1%	0.8×
Q2 2:14	TEN	1st & 10	50	(2:14) (Shotgun) 2-T.Spears right guard to TEN 49 for -1 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	−0.53	−0.56	+0.02	−0.62	−1%	0.8×
Q2 2:00	TEN	2nd & 11	TEN 49	(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right.	−0.65	−0.66	+0.01	−0.55	−1%	0.8×
Q2 1:52	TEN	3rd & 11	TEN 49	(1:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 14-C.Tate to BAL 49 for 2 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by TEN-2-T.Spears at BAL 49. 2-T.Spears pushed ob at BAL 47 for 2 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	−0.85	−0.85	0.00	−0.91	−1%	0.7×
Q2 1:46	TEN	4th & 7	BAL 47	(1:46) 3-T.Townsend punts 35 yards to BAL 12, Center-46-M.Cox, downed by TEN-56-T.Jones.	−0.46	−0.11	−0.35	−0.64	0%	0.6×
Q2 1:33	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 12	(1:33) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short right to 4-Z.Flowers (98-J.Simmons).	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.21	−1%	0.6×
Q2 1:29	BAL	2nd & 10	BAL 12	(1:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson scrambles right guard to BAL 41 for 29 yards (50-C.Barton). PENALTY on BAL-13-E.Sarratt, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 29.	+0.75	+0.77	−0.01	+0.26	+2%	0.7×
Q2 1:18	BAL	2nd & 3	BAL 19	(1:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 43-J.Hill [57-J.Martin].	−0.63	−0.63	0.00	−0.26	−1%	0.6×
Q2 1:11	BAL	3rd & 3	BAL 19	(1:11) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-4-Z.Flowers, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 19 - No Play.	−0.60	−0.61	+0.01	−0.36	−1%	0.6×
Q2 1:11	BAL	3rd & 8	BAL 14	(1:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 19 for 5 yards (53-A.Hill) [29-T.Adams].	−0.32	−0.31	−0.01	−0.33	0%	0.7×
Q2 1:05	BAL	4th & 3	BAL 19	(1:05) 30-R.Eckley punts 51 yards to TEN 30, Center-46-N.Moore, downed by BAL-38-K.Martin.	−0.28	+0.14	−0.42	−0.25	+1%	0.7×
Q2 0:53	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 30	(:53) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right.	−0.45	−0.45	+0.01	−0.28	−1%	0.6×
Q2 0:46	TEN	2nd & 10	TEN 30	(:46) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep right to 14-C.Tate to BAL 37 for 33 yards (14-K.Hamilton). FUMBLES (14-K.Hamilton), RECOVERED by BAL-24-M.Starks at BAL 35.	−2.24	−1.85	−0.39	−1.06	−2%	0.6×
Q2 0:35	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 35	(:35) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 81-D.Walker.	−0.46	−0.46	−0.01	−0.24	0%	0.5×
Q2 0:29	BAL	2nd & 10	BAL 35	(:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers to BAL 46 for 11 yards (53-A.Hill).	+1.03	+1.05	−0.02	+0.49	0%	0.5×
Q2 0:24	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 46	(:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 13-E.Sarratt to TEN 41 for 13 yards (24-A.Taylor).	+0.70	+0.74	−0.04	+0.54	0%	0.5×
Q2 0:18	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 41	(:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short left to 13-E.Sarratt.	−0.46	−0.45	−0.01	−0.26	0%	0.5×
Q2 0:12	BAL	2nd & 10	TEN 41	(:12) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at TEN 46 for -5 yards (11-J.Johnson). BAL-8-L.Jackson was injured during the play.	−1.21	−1.22	+0.01	−0.34	−1%	0.5×
Q2 0:05	BAL	3rd & 15	TEN 46	(:05) 33-T.Loop 64 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+2.42	+2.47	−0.05	+2.09	+3%	0.6×
Q3 15:00	BAL	Kickoff	TEN 35	6-J.Slye kicks 59 yards from TEN 35 to BAL 6. 10-L.Wester to BAL 34 for 28 yards (33-C.Gray).	+1.19	+0.78	+0.41	+0.58	+1%	0.4×
Q3 14:54	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 34	(14:54) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-89-M.Andrews, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 34 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.50	0.00	−0.55	0%	0.3×
Q3 14:54	BAL	1st & 15	BAL 29	(14:54) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short left to 4-Z.Flowers to BAL 34 for 5 yards (50-C.Barton; 24-A.Taylor).	0.00	+0.07	−0.06	+0.02	0%	0.3×
Q3 14:12	BAL	2nd & 10	BAL 34	(14:12) 22-D.Henry right tackle to BAL 34 for no gain (95-J.Elliott; 98-J.Simmons).	−0.64	−0.57	−0.07	−0.82	0%	0.3×
Q3 13:34	BAL	3rd & 10	BAL 34	(13:34) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short left to 43-J.Hill pushed ob at BAL 41 for 7 yards (37-A.Hooker).	−0.47	−0.37	−0.09	−0.71	−1%	0.4×
Q3 12:48	BAL	4th & 3	BAL 41	(12:48) 30-R.Eckley punts 50 yards to TEN 9, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 17-C.Dike.	−0.05	+0.44	−0.48	+0.25	0%	0.4×
Q3 12:42	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 9	(12:42) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left end to TEN 13 for 4 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	−0.08	−0.06	−0.02	−0.20	−1%	0.4×
Q3 12:14	TEN	2nd & 6	TEN 13	(12:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left tackle to TEN 14 for 1 yard (92-N.Madubuike).	−0.49	−0.47	−0.02	−0.66	−1%	0.4×
Q3 11:30	TEN	3rd & 5	TEN 14	(11:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 14-C.Tate to TEN 26 for 12 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	+1.54	+1.56	−0.02	+1.99	+1%	0.3×
Q3 10:47	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 26	(10:47) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete deep left to 14-C.Tate.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.58	−1%	0.4×
Q3 10:41	TEN	2nd & 10	TEN 26	(10:41) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 82-D.Bellinger to TEN 35 for 9 yards (21-J.Hawkins) [0-R.Smith]. Penalty on TEN-32-N.Singleton, Offensive Holding, offsetting, enforced at TEN 26 - No Play. Penalty on BAL-29-C.Rivers, Defensive Holding, offsetting.	+0.02	+0.02	0.00	−0.02	0%	0.4×
Q3 10:16	TEN	2nd & 10	TEN 26	(10:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete deep left to 5-E.Ayomanor (3-C.Awuzie). PENALTY on BAL-3-C.Awuzie, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at TEN 26 - No Play.	+2.58	+2.65	−0.06	+3.23	+5%	0.3×
Q3 10:09	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 35	(10:09) 32-N.Singleton left tackle to BAL 33 for 2 yards (15-M.Green; 32-T.Simpson).	−0.19	−0.20	+0.01	−0.33	−1%	0.6×
Q3 9:27	TEN	2nd & 8	BAL 33	(9:27) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short middle to 14-C.Tate to BAL 20 for 13 yards (3-C.Awuzie).	+1.11	+1.09	+0.02	+1.34	+2%	0.6×
Q3 9:01	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 20	(9:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 32-N.Singleton left tackle to BAL 20 for no gain (95-T.Robinson; 15-M.Green).	−0.36	−0.37	+0.02	−0.46	−1%	0.7×
Q3 8:16	TEN	2nd & 10	BAL 20	(8:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward scrambles up the middle to BAL 19 for 1 yard (0-R.Smith).	−0.37	−0.39	+0.02	−0.66	−1%	0.6×
Q3 7:31	TEN	3rd & 9	BAL 19	(7:31) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward scrambles right end ran ob at BAL 15 for 4 yards (21-J.Hawkins).	−0.34	−0.37	+0.03	−0.64	−1%	0.6×
Q3 6:55	TEN	4th & 5	BAL 15	(6:55) 6-J.Slye 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-T.Townsend.	0.00	−0.30	+0.30	+0.24	−2%	0.5×
Q3 6:52	BAL	Kickoff	TEN 35	6-J.Slye kicks 65 yards from TEN 35 to end zone, Touchback to the BAL 35.	+0.51	+0.31	+0.20	+0.57	0%	0.4×
Q3 6:52	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 35	(6:52) 22-D.Henry right end to BAL 37 for 2 yards (37-A.Hooker).	−0.34	−0.32	−0.01	−0.33	0%	0.4×
Q3 6:17	BAL	2nd & 8	BAL 37	(6:17) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short right to 43-J.Hill to TEN 48 for 15 yards (23-K.Winston; 26-M.Harris).	+1.09	+1.14	−0.04	+1.41	+1%	0.4×
Q3 5:33	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 48	(5:33) 22-D.Henry left end to TEN 48 for no gain (53-A.Hill; 7-O.Oladejo). BAL-80-D.Smythe was injured during the play.	−0.49	−0.48	−0.01	−0.50	0%	0.3×
Q3 5:08	BAL	2nd & 10	TEN 48	(5:08) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short left to 89-M.Andrews to TEN 42 for 6 yards (50-C.Barton).	−0.09	−0.05	−0.04	−0.11	0%	0.4×
Q3 4:24	BAL	3rd & 4	TEN 42	(4:24) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short right to 4-Z.Flowers to TEN 48 for -6 yards (11-J.Johnson).	−1.86	−1.86	−0.01	−2.43	−2%	0.4×
Q3 3:44	BAL	4th & 10	TEN 48	(3:44) 30-R.Eckley punts 44 yards to TEN 4, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-C.Dike ran ob at TEN 14 for 10 yards (85-J.Cuevas).	+0.04	+0.01	+0.03	−0.05	+1%	0.5×
Q3 3:34	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 14	(3:34) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short left to 0-C.Ridley (3-C.Awuzie).	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.59	−1%	0.4×
Q3 3:31	TEN	2nd & 10	TEN 14	(3:31) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 20-T.Pollard to TEN 14 for no gain (40-T.Buchanan).	−0.64	−0.65	+0.02	−0.72	−1%	0.4×
Q3 2:48	TEN	3rd & 10	TEN 14	(2:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward scrambles right end to TEN 15 for 1 yard. FUMBLES, touched at TEN 14, ball out of bounds at TEN 14.	−0.87	−0.88	+0.01	−1.10	−1%	0.3×
Q3 2:10	TEN	4th & 10	TEN 14	(2:10) 3-T.Townsend punts 54 yards to BAL 32, Center-46-M.Cox. 10-L.Wester to BAL 43 for 11 yards (36-J.Chestnut; 38-T.Burgess). PENALTY on TEN-21-M.Robinson, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 43.	−0.08	−0.15	+0.08	−0.47	+1%	0.2×
Q3 1:59	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 48	(1:59) 5-T.Huntley scrambles right end to TEN 43 for 9 yards (57-J.Martin).	+0.69	+0.76	−0.07	+0.58	+1%	0.3×
Q3 1:18	BAL	2nd & 1	TEN 43	(1:18) 22-D.Henry left guard to TEN 43 for no gain (91-J.Franklin-Myers).	−0.71	−0.66	−0.05	−0.64	0%	0.2×
Q3 0:38	BAL	3rd & 1	TEN 43	(:38) 22-D.Henry right guard to TEN 36 for 7 yards (37-A.Hooker; 33-C.Gray). PENALTY on BAL-81-D.Walker, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TEN 43 - No Play.	−1.22	−1.22	0.00	−1.73	−1%	0.3×
Q3 0:16	BAL	3rd & 11	BAL 47	(:16) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass incomplete short right to 4-Z.Flowers.	−1.18	−1.18	−0.01	−1.36	−2%	0.3×
Q3 0:11	BAL	4th & 11	BAL 47	(:11) 30-R.Eckley punts 38 yards to TEN 15, Center-46-N.Moore, out of bounds.	+0.39	+0.16	+0.24	+0.11	+2%	0.4×
Q3 0:04	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 15	(:04) 20-T.Pollard left guard to TEN 20 for 5 yards (95-T.Robinson).	+0.02	+0.03	−0.01	+0.03	0%	0.3×
Q4 15:00	TEN	2nd & 5	TEN 20	(15:00) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 82-D.Bellinger to TEN 22 for 2 yards (32-T.Simpson; 3-C.Awuzie).	−0.36	−0.33	−0.02	−0.54	−1%	0.3×
Q4 14:16	TEN	3rd & 3	TEN 22	(14:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right to 4-W.Robinson.	−1.00	−0.99	0.00	−1.47	−1%	0.3×
Q4 14:09	TEN	4th & 3	TEN 22	(14:09) 3-T.Townsend punts 56 yards to BAL 22, Center-46-M.Cox. 10-L.Wester pushed ob at BAL 22 for no gain (41-E.Hallett).	+0.78	+0.46	+0.32	+0.99	+1%	0.2×
Q4 14:01	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 22	(14:01) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short right to 88-M.Hibner to BAL 31 for 9 yards (18-C.Flott).	+0.66	+0.69	−0.03	+1.01	+1%	0.3×
Q4 13:24	BAL	2nd & 1	BAL 31	(13:24) 22-D.Henry left end to BAL 42 for 11 yards (53-A.Hill; 23-K.Winston).	+0.33	+0.35	−0.02	+0.41	0%	0.2×
Q4 12:38	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 42	(12:38) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill left guard to BAL 46 for 4 yards (53-A.Hill; 98-J.Simmons). PENALTY on BAL, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 42 - No Play.	−0.51	−0.52	+0.01	−0.53	0%	0.2×
Q4 12:17	BAL	1st & 15	BAL 37	(12:17) 5-T.Huntley pass short left to 22-D.Henry to BAL 46 for 9 yards (53-A.Hill; 24-A.Taylor).	+0.40	+0.39	+0.01	+0.48	0%	0.2×
Q4 11:34	BAL	2nd & 6	BAL 46	(11:34) 22-D.Henry right end to 50 for 4 yards (37-A.Hooker). TEN-37-A.Hooker was injured during the play.	−0.10	−0.11	+0.01	−0.08	0%	0.2×
Q4 11:12	BAL	3rd & 2	50	(11:12) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left end to BAL 49 for -1 yards (24-A.Taylor, 11-J.Johnson).	−1.35	−1.40	+0.05	−1.98	−1%	0.2×
Q4 10:25	BAL	4th & 3	BAL 49	(10:25) (Punt formation) PENALTY on BAL-39-K.Jackson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 49 - No Play.	−0.59	−0.60	+0.01	−0.53	−1%	0.2×
Q4 10:25	BAL	4th & 8	BAL 44	(10:25) 30-R.Eckley punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-46-N.Moore, Touchback.	+0.28	−0.05	+0.33	−0.28	0%	0.2×
Q4 10:16	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 20	(10:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 20-T.Pollard pushed ob at TEN 22 for 2 yards (3-C.Awuzie).	−0.26	−0.26	−0.01	−0.52	0%	0.2×
Q4 9:57	TEN	2nd & 8	TEN 22	(9:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete deep left to 4-W.Robinson [92-N.Madubuike].	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.68	−1%	0.2×
Q4 9:50	TEN	3rd & 8	TEN 22	(9:50) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TEN, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at TEN 22 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.50	0.00	−0.62	0%	0.1×
Q4 9:50	TEN	3rd & 13	TEN 17	(9:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right to 14-C.Tate.	−0.87	−0.87	0.00	−0.91	0%	0.1×
Q4 9:46	TEN	4th & 13	TEN 17	(9:46) 3-T.Townsend punts 54 yards to BAL 29, Center-46-M.Cox. 10-L.Wester MUFFS catch, ball out of bounds at BAL 25.	+1.32	+1.05	+0.27	+0.84	0%	0.1×
Q4 9:39	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 25	(9:39) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley Aborted. 71-O.Ioane FUMBLES at BAL 20, recovered by BAL-5-T.Huntley at BAL 22. 5-T.Huntley to BAL 22 for no gain (93-N.Stackhouse, 7-O.Oladejo). ** Injury Update: TEN-37-A.Hooker has returned to the game. PENALTY on TEN-7-O.Oladejo, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 25 - No Play.	+0.51	+0.50	0.00	+0.53	0%	0.1×
Q4 9:35	BAL	1st & 5	BAL 30	(9:35) 22-D.Henry right end to BAL 33 for 3 yards (93-N.Stackhouse; 33-C.Gray).	+0.03	−0.03	+0.06	−0.09	0%	0.1×
Q4 8:53	BAL	2nd & 2	BAL 33	(8:53) 22-D.Henry left tackle to BAL 39 for 6 yards (23-K.Winston).	+0.27	+0.21	+0.06	+0.35	0%	0.1×
Q4 8:12	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 39	(8:12) 5-T.Huntley right end to BAL 48 for 9 yards (23-K.Winston).	+0.73	+0.66	+0.07	+0.80	0%	0.1×
Q4 7:27	BAL	2nd & 1	BAL 48	(7:27) 22-D.Henry left tackle to TEN 49 for 3 yards (90-S.Thomas; 95-J.Elliott). BAL-4-Z.Flowers was injured during the play.	0.00	−0.09	+0.09	−0.11	0%	0.0×
Q4 6:39	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 49	(6:39) 22-D.Henry left guard to TEN 47 for 2 yards (91-J.Franklin-Myers; 90-S.Thomas).	−0.23	−0.32	+0.09	−0.37	0%	0.0×
Q4 5:57	BAL	2nd & 8	TEN 47	(5:57) 43-J.Hill right tackle to TEN 44 for 3 yards (95-J.Elliott; 26-M.Harris).	−0.35	−0.45	+0.10	−0.21	0%	0.0×
Q4 5:10	BAL	3rd & 5	TEN 44	(5:10) (Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short middle to 7-R.Bateman to TEN 26 for 18 yards (26-M.Harris). TEN-26-M.Harris was injured during the play. ** Injury Update: BAL-4-Z.Flowers has returned to the game.	+1.95	+1.87	+0.08	+1.94	0%	0.0×
Q4 4:29	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 26	(4:29) 22-D.Henry left end to TEN 26 for no gain (33-C.Gray).	−0.42	−0.54	+0.12	−0.55	0%	0.0×
Q4 3:44	BAL	2nd & 10	TEN 26	(3:44) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry right tackle to TEN 24 for 2 yards (98-J.Simmons).	−0.30	−0.34	+0.04	−0.40	0%	0.0×
Q4 3:30	BAL	3rd & 8	TEN 24	(3:30) 22-D.Henry left end to TEN 22 for 2 yards (23-K.Winston).	−0.51	−0.53	+0.02	−0.71	0%	0.0×
Q4 3:24	BAL	4th & 6	TEN 22	(3:24) 33-T.Loop 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	−2.73	−2.70	−0.03	−3.61	0%	0.0×
Q4 3:19	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 30	(3:19) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short middle to 14-C.Tate to TEN 43 for 13 yards (0-R.Smith; 3-C.Awuzie).	+0.55	+0.60	−0.05	+0.61	0%	0.0×
Q4 2:55	TEN	1st & 10	TEN 43	(2:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Ward scrambles right end ran ob at BAL 35 for 22 yards (21-J.Hawkins).	+1.15	+1.22	−0.07	+1.10	+1%	0.1×
Q4 2:45	TEN	1st & 10	BAL 35	(2:45) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 4-W.Robinson to BAL 31 for 4 yards (24-M.Starks).	−0.19	−0.14	−0.05	+0.01	0%	0.1×
Q4 2:16	TEN	2nd & 6	BAL 31	(2:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Ward sacked at BAL 41 for -10 yards (97-E.Burke).	−1.84	−1.83	−0.01	−1.47	−1%	0.1×
Q4 2:00	TEN	3rd & 16	BAL 41	(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left to 84-G.Helm to BAL 36 for 5 yards (29-C.Rivers) [92-N.Madubuike].	−0.56	−0.53	−0.03	−0.33	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:51	TEN	4th & 11	BAL 36	(1:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep left to 14-C.Tate to BAL 3 for 33 yards (24-M.Starks) [15-M.Green].	+4.16	+4.13	+0.02	+4.71	+1%	0.0×
Q4 1:16	TEN	1st & 3	BAL 3	(1:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 4-W.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.46	+1.85	−0.40	+1.13	−1%	0.1×
Q4 1:12	TEN	Try	BAL 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-C.Ward pass to 84-G.Helm is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+1.04	+0.96	+0.08	+1.05	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:12	BAL	Kickoff	TEN 35	6-J.Slye kicks onside 9 yards from TEN 35 to TEN 44. 24-M.Starks (didn't try to advance) to TEN 44 for no gain.	+0.48	+0.60	−0.11	+0.95	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:10	BAL	1st & 10	TEN 44	(1:10) 5-T.Huntley kneels to TEN 45 for -1 yards.	−0.65	−0.75	+0.10	−0.32	0%	0.0×
Q4 0:33	BAL	2nd & 11	TEN 45	(:33) 5-T.Huntley kneels to TEN 46 for -1 yards.	−0.97	−0.37	−0.60	−1.13	0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	L.Jackson	BAL	24	+9.7+0.44	+0.3+0.17	—	+10.1+0.42	+3.4+0.50	+11.7+0.49
	Z.Flowers	BAL	10	—	—	+5.0+0.50	+5.0+0.50	+2.3+0.95	+4.3+0.43
	C.Tate	TEN	12	—	—	+4.3+0.36	+4.3+0.36	+0.2+0.10	+6.7+0.56
	R.Bateman	BAL	2	—	—	+3.8+1.89	+3.8+1.89	+0.6+1.84	+4.1+2.07
	M.Hibner	BAL	2	—	—	+2.0+1.02	+2.0+1.02	+0.6+1.27	+2.5+1.27
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TEN
	C.Ward	20	31	1	1	1	2227.2	−3.9−0.12	−3.2−0.10	−1.4−0.23

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
BAL
	L.Jackson	15	20	2	0	2	22211.1	+11.8+0.53	+9.7+0.44	+3.4+0.55
	T.Huntley	8	9	0	0	0	637.0	+0.2+0.03	+0.5+0.06	−0.1−0.19

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TEN
	T.Pollard	16	1	483.0	−2.0−0.12	−0.5−0.03	−0.1−0.01
	C.Ward	4	0	276.8	−1.3−0.32	−0.4−0.11	−0.2−0.40
	N.Singleton	3	0	20.7	−1.4−0.46	−1.1−0.35	−0.3−0.40
	T.Spears	2	0	73.5	−0.2−0.10	+0.1+0.05	+0.1+0.20
	W.Robinson	1	0	11.0	−0.4−0.39	−0.4−0.36	−0.1−0.36

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
BAL
	D.Henry	23	1	733.2	−3.3−0.14	−1.3−0.06	+1.1+0.28
	T.Huntley	4	0	164.0	−0.1−0.02	−0.2−0.05	+0.1+0.70
	L.Jackson	2	0	2010.0	−0.1−0.04	+0.3+0.17	0.0−0.04
	J.Hill	1	0	33.0	−0.2−0.21	−0.3−0.35	0.0−0.35

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TEN
	C.Tate	12	9	0	14516.1	+6.7+0.56	+4.3+0.36	+0.2+0.10
	W.Robinson	5	3	1	196.3	−0.1−0.03	+0.3+0.06	+0.1+0.27
	T.Pollard	4	2	0	21.0	−8.4−2.11	−5.3−1.32	−1.8−1.97
	C.Ridley	2	1	0	1313.0	+0.3+0.15	+0.4+0.21	+0.1+0.39
	C.Dike	1	1	0	1515.0	+1.0+0.99	+1.0+0.98	+0.4+0.98
	T.Spears	1	1	0	−1−1.0	−1.3−1.29	−1.0−1.02	−0.4−1.02
	E.Ayomanor	1	1	0	2222.0	+1.9+1.92	+1.6+1.64	+0.6+1.64
	D.Bellinger	1	1	0	22.0	−0.5−0.54	−0.4−0.36	0.0−0.36
	G.Helm	1	1	0	55.0	−0.3−0.33	−0.6−0.56	0.0−0.56

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
BAL
	Z.Flowers	10	8	1	11814.8	+4.3+0.43	+5.0+0.50	+2.3+0.95
	M.Andrews	6	5	1	275.4	+1.8+0.30	+1.6+0.26	+0.4+0.28
	J.Hill	3	2	0	2211.0	+0.4+0.15	0.00.00	0.0−0.07
	D.Walker	2	1	0	1919.0	+1.7+0.84	+1.0+0.52	+0.5+0.98
	D.Henry	2	2	0	63.0	−0.6−0.28	−0.4−0.19	−0.3−0.64
	M.Hibner	2	2	0	3417.0	+2.5+1.27	+2.0+1.02	+0.6+1.27
	R.Bateman	2	2	0	4623.0	+4.1+2.07	+3.8+1.89	+0.6+1.84
	E.Sarratt	2	1	0	1313.0	+0.3+0.14	+0.2+0.12	0.0+0.13