PIT 24, CLE 27 — week 4, 2026

PIT

24 at 27

CLE

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

PIT season | CLE season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

PIT 45%

Win expectancy

from how they played

PIT 1%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
CLE	73	27	3725.1	+9.9+0.136	+10.8+0.148	+10.5+0.144	+0.3+0.005	+4.8+0.275
PIT	82	24	3614.4	+6.2+0.076	+5.7+0.069	+5.9+0.072	−0.2−0.003	+0.5+0.021
NET	−9	3	110.7	+3.7+0.060	+5.2+0.079	+4.6+0.072	+0.5+0.007	+4.3+0.254
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is CLE minus PIT.

Game Timeline

PIT at CLE. CLE won by 3. Two panels. Top: CLE's win probability across 172 plays, starting at 52% and finishing at 100%; CLE was favored on 80% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at CLE by 13.7 in the second quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: +10% at play 48, D.Watson pass deep left to D.Boston to PIT 14 for 60 yards; -9% at play 124, A.Rodgers pass deep right to D.Metcalf to CLE 32 for 43…; +27% at play 169, A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal — GOOD.

Excitement

1.6 bits

#4 of 16 this week

82nd percentile since 2006

Tension

0.70

#12 of 16 this week

46th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

469 pts

#8 of 16 this week

70th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

38%

#12 of 16 this week

31st percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#4 of 16 this week

79th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

28%

#7 of 16 this week

66th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 4:19	CLE	2nd & 7	PIT 38	(4:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson up the middle to PIT 43 for -5 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at 50.	−4.42	−4.81	+0.39	−5.74	−8%	0.5×
2	Q2 10:38	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 26	(10:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 12-D.Boston to PIT 14 for 60 yards (23-D.Everette).	+3.32	+3.34	−0.02	+3.59	+10%	1.4×
3	Q2 1:06	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 28	(1:06) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 14-R.Wilson to CLE 23 for 49 yards (7-T.Campbell).	+3.20	+3.24	−0.04	+3.04	+8%	0.6×
4	Q2 5:26	PIT	4th & 10	CLE 30	(5:26) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−3.13	−3.26	+0.13	−3.02	−9%	1.2×
5	Q2 12:22	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 28	(12:22) (Shotgun) 38-J.McLaughlin right end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.90	+3.30	−0.39	+2.89	+9%	1.4×
6	Q2 14:17	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 29	(14:17) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right intended for 11-M.Pittman INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Ward (54-S.Williams) at CLE 44. 21-D.Ward to CLE 44 for no gain (11-M.Pittman).	−2.81	−3.04	+0.23	−3.57	−8%	1.2×
7	Q1 5:49	PIT	3rd & 16	CLE 44	(5:49) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 11-M.Pittman to CLE 35 for 9 yards (21-D.Ward). PENALTY on CLE-96-M.Collins, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at CLE 35. Penalty on CLE-26-M.Harden, Illegal Contact, declined. Penalty on CLE-8-J.Verse, Unnecessary Roughness, declined.	+2.79	+2.78	+0.01	+3.55	+8%	1.4×
8	Q4 13:07	PIT	2nd & 8	PIT 25	(13:07) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 4-D.Metcalf to CLE 32 for 43 yards (26-M.Harden) [21-D.Ward].	+2.76	+2.83	−0.07	+3.30	+9%	0.5×
9	Q4 1:51	PIT	4th & 10	CLE 11	(1:51) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 80-D.Washington (28-E.McNeil-Warren). PENALTY on CLE-28-E.McNeil-Warren, Defensive Pass Interference, 8 yards, enforced at CLE 11 - No Play.	+2.53	+2.49	+0.04	+3.30	+12%	0.5×
10	Q4 0:15	CLE	4th & 8	PIT 38	(:15) 25-A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.	+2.51	+2.49	+0.02	+1.66	+27%	1.2×
11	Q1 3:03	PIT	2nd & 12	CLE 12	(3:03) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 14-R.Wilson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.38	+3.14	−0.76	+2.78	+8%	1.4×
12	Q4 8:45	CLE	3rd & 4	CLE 40	(8:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson scrambles left end to PIT 39 for 21 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings). PENALTY on PIT-22-A.Samuel, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 39.	+2.19	+2.23	−0.04	+2.41	+7%	0.9×
13	Q1 12:04	PIT	3rd & 11	PIT 21	(12:04) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 4-D.Metcalf to PIT 36 for 15 yards (33-R.Hickman).	+2.01	+1.94	+0.08	+2.73	+6%	1.4×
14	Q3 2:04	PIT	3rd & 15	CLE 35	(2:04) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CLE 45 for -10 yards (51-M.Hall).	−1.86	−1.89	+0.04	−1.97	−5%	0.8×
15	Q2 3:13	CLE	2nd & 10	PIT 49	(3:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 1-K.Concepcion to PIT 24 for 25 yards (23-D.Everette).	+1.82	+1.89	−0.06	+2.11	+4%	1.0×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q2 10:38	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 26	(10:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 12-D.Boston to PIT 14 for 60 yards (23-D.Everette).	+3.32	+3.34	−0.02	+3.59	+10%	1.4×
2	Q2 12:22	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 28	(12:22) (Shotgun) 38-J.McLaughlin right end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.90	+3.30	−0.39	+2.89	+9%	1.4×
3	Q1 5:49	PIT	3rd & 16	CLE 44	(5:49) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 11-M.Pittman to CLE 35 for 9 yards (21-D.Ward). PENALTY on CLE-96-M.Collins, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at CLE 35. Penalty on CLE-26-M.Harden, Illegal Contact, declined. Penalty on CLE-8-J.Verse, Unnecessary Roughness, declined.	+2.79	+2.78	+0.01	+3.55	+8%	1.4×
4	Q2 5:26	PIT	4th & 10	CLE 30	(5:26) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−3.13	−3.26	+0.13	−3.02	−9%	1.2×
5	Q2 14:17	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 29	(14:17) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right intended for 11-M.Pittman INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Ward (54-S.Williams) at CLE 44. 21-D.Ward to CLE 44 for no gain (11-M.Pittman).	−2.81	−3.04	+0.23	−3.57	−8%	1.2×
6	Q1 3:03	PIT	2nd & 12	CLE 12	(3:03) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 14-R.Wilson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.38	+3.14	−0.76	+2.78	+8%	1.4×
7	Q4 0:15	CLE	4th & 8	PIT 38	(:15) 25-A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.	+2.51	+2.49	+0.02	+1.66	+27%	1.2×
8	Q1 12:04	PIT	3rd & 11	PIT 21	(12:04) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 4-D.Metcalf to PIT 36 for 15 yards (33-R.Hickman).	+2.01	+1.94	+0.08	+2.73	+6%	1.4×
9	Q3 4:19	CLE	2nd & 7	PIT 38	(4:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson up the middle to PIT 43 for -5 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at 50.	−4.42	−4.81	+0.39	−5.74	−8%	0.5×
10	Q2 6:06	PIT	3rd & 4	CLE 24	(6:06) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CLE 30 for -6 yards (57-I.McGuire).	−1.55	−1.57	+0.02	−2.10	−5%	1.3×
11	Q1 6:31	PIT	2nd & 9	CLE 37	(6:31) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CLE 44 for -7 yards (96-M.Collins).	−1.36	−1.43	+0.07	−1.84	−4%	1.4×
12	Q2 1:06	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 28	(1:06) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 14-R.Wilson to CLE 23 for 49 yards (7-T.Campbell).	+3.20	+3.24	−0.04	+3.04	+8%	0.6×
13	Q4 8:45	CLE	3rd & 4	CLE 40	(8:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson scrambles left end to PIT 39 for 21 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings). PENALTY on PIT-22-A.Samuel, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 39.	+2.19	+2.23	−0.04	+2.41	+7%	0.9×
14	Q2 3:13	CLE	2nd & 10	PIT 49	(3:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 1-K.Concepcion to PIT 24 for 25 yards (23-D.Everette).	+1.82	+1.89	−0.06	+2.11	+4%	1.0×
15	Q2 7:19	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 46	(7:19) (No Huddle) 30-J.Warren left end to CLE 30 for 24 yards (7-T.Campbell; 54-S.Williams).	+1.36	+1.39	−0.03	+1.34	+5%	1.3×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 0:15	CLE	4th & 8	PIT 38	(:15) 25-A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.	+2.51	+2.49	+0.02	+1.66	+27%	1.2×
2	Q4 0:19	CLE	3rd & 8	PIT 38	(:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Concepcion.	−1.18	−1.18	+0.01	−0.30	−15%	0.9×
3	Q4 1:51	PIT	4th & 10	CLE 11	(1:51) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 80-D.Washington (28-E.McNeil-Warren). PENALTY on CLE-28-E.McNeil-Warren, Defensive Pass Interference, 8 yards, enforced at CLE 11 - No Play.	+2.53	+2.49	+0.04	+3.30	+12%	0.5×
4	Q4 1:42	PIT		CLE 2	(Pass formation) PENALTY on CLE-8-J.Verse, Defensive Offside, 1 yard, enforced at CLE 2 - No Play.	−1.00	−0.51	−0.49	0.00	−12%	1.0×
5	Q4 1:36	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 26	(1:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy to CLE 43 for 17 yards (22-A.Samuel).	+0.83	+0.81	+0.02	+0.59	+11%	1.0×
6	Q2 10:38	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 26	(10:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 12-D.Boston to PIT 14 for 60 yards (23-D.Everette).	+3.32	+3.34	−0.02	+3.59	+10%	1.4×
7	Q2 12:22	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 28	(12:22) (Shotgun) 38-J.McLaughlin right end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.90	+3.30	−0.39	+2.89	+9%	1.4×
8	Q4 1:46	PIT	1st & 3	CLE 3	(1:46) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 88-P.Freiermuth for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.81	+2.00	−0.20	+1.08	+9%	0.8×
9	Q2 5:26	PIT	4th & 10	CLE 30	(5:26) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−3.13	−3.26	+0.13	−3.02	−9%	1.2×
10	Q4 0:10	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 35	(:10) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right intended for 14-R.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 9-G.Delpit at CLE 18. 9-G.Delpit to CLE 18 for no gain (14-R.Wilson). ** Injury Update: PIT-14-R.Wilson has returned to the game.	+0.60	+0.37	+0.23	−0.12	−9%	0.6×
11	Q4 1:42	PIT	Try	CLE 1	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-A.Rodgers rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+1.00	+0.46	+0.54	+1.05	+9%	0.8×
12	Q4 13:07	PIT	2nd & 8	PIT 25	(13:07) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 4-D.Metcalf to CLE 32 for 43 yards (26-M.Harden) [21-D.Ward].	+2.76	+2.83	−0.07	+3.30	+9%	0.5×
13	Q1 5:49	PIT	3rd & 16	CLE 44	(5:49) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 11-M.Pittman to CLE 35 for 9 yards (21-D.Ward). PENALTY on CLE-96-M.Collins, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at CLE 35. Penalty on CLE-26-M.Harden, Illegal Contact, declined. Penalty on CLE-8-J.Verse, Unnecessary Roughness, declined.	+2.79	+2.78	+0.01	+3.55	+8%	1.4×
14	Q4 1:00	CLE	1st & 15	CLE 38	(1:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 44-H.Fannin pushed ob at 50 for 12 yards (3-J.Brisker).	+0.81	+0.82	−0.01	+0.81	+8%	1.0×
15	Q4 2:14	PIT	2nd & 4	CLE 39	(2:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 4-D.Metcalf pushed ob at CLE 11 for 28 yards (7-T.Campbell). CLE-7-T.Campbell was injured during the play.	+1.67	+1.64	+0.03	+2.05	+8%	0.5×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 172 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	CLE	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 55 yards from PIT 35 to CLE 10. 23-R.Sanders to CLE 31 for 21 yards (55-C.Holcomb; 33-J.Sawyer). PENALTY on CLE-59-W.Reid, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CLE 26.	−0.61	−0.53	−0.08	−0.67	−2%	1.4×
Q1 14:54	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 16	(14:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 12-D.Boston to CLE 21 for 5 yards (22-A.Samuel).	+0.19	+0.03	+0.17	−0.11	+1%	1.4×
Q1 14:21	CLE	2nd & 5	CLE 21	(14:21) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins right guard to CLE 23 for 2 yards (6-P.Queen).	−0.14	−0.33	+0.19	−0.47	0%	1.4×
Q1 13:44	CLE	3rd & 3	CLE 23	(13:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 0-I.Bond to CLE 25 for 2 yards (5-J.Ramsey) [90-T.Watt].	−0.49	−0.69	+0.20	−0.88	−1%	1.4×
Q1 12:59	CLE	4th & 1	CLE 25	(12:59) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 68 yards to PIT 7, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 10-K.Wetjen pushed ob at PIT 22 for 15 yards (86-B.Whiteheart).	+0.72	−0.18	+0.90	+0.16	+2%	1.4×
Q1 12:47	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 22	(12:47) 30-J.Warren left tackle to PIT 26 for 4 yards (7-T.Campbell).	+0.04	−0.08	+0.12	+0.04	0%	1.4×
Q1 12:09	PIT	2nd & 6	PIT 26	(12:09) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 4-D.Metcalf.	−0.59	−0.60	+0.01	−0.78	−2%	1.4×
Q1 12:04	PIT	3rd & 6	PIT 26	(12:04) (Shotgun) PENALTY on PIT-11-M.Pittman, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 26 - No Play.	−0.51	−0.51	0.00	−0.86	−2%	1.4×
Q1 12:04	PIT	3rd & 11	PIT 21	(12:04) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 4-D.Metcalf to PIT 36 for 15 yards (33-R.Hickman).	+2.01	+1.94	+0.08	+2.73	+6%	1.4×
Q1 11:23	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 36	(11:23) 30-J.Warren left guard to PIT 37 for 1 yard (49-C.Schwesinger).	−0.32	−0.36	+0.04	−0.54	−1%	1.4×
Q1 10:45	PIT	2nd & 9	PIT 37	(10:45) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 80-D.Washington to PIT 43 for 6 yards (33-R.Hickman; 9-G.Delpit).	+0.08	+0.06	+0.02	+0.07	0%	1.4×
Q1 10:02	PIT	3rd & 3	PIT 43	(10:02) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 4-D.Metcalf to 50 for 7 yards (9-G.Delpit; 49-C.Schwesinger). PENALTY on PIT-4-D.Metcalf, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at 50.	+0.27	+0.25	+0.02	+0.26	+1%	1.4×
Q1 9:33	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 35	(9:33) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 14-R.Wilson. PENALTY on CLE-21-D.Ward, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 35 - No Play.	+0.27	+0.27	0.00	+0.38	+1%	1.4×
Q1 9:26	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 40	(9:26) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren right guard to PIT 40 for no gain (5-Q.Williams; 49-C.Schwesinger).	−0.43	−0.45	+0.02	−0.50	−1%	1.4×
Q1 8:46	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 40	(8:46) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 30-J.Warren to CLE 49 for 11 yards (5-Q.Williams; 49-C.Schwesinger).	+1.08	+1.06	+0.02	+1.31	+3%	1.4×
Q1 8:02	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 49	(8:02) PENALTY on CLE-51-M.Hall, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 49 - No Play.	+0.53	+0.52	+0.01	+0.54	+2%	1.4×
Q1 7:41	PIT	1st & 5	CLE 44	(7:41) 30-J.Warren up the middle to CLE 38 for 6 yards (26-M.Harden; 33-R.Hickman). CLE-94-M.Graham was injured during the play.	+0.14	+0.12	+0.02	+0.21	0%	1.4×
Q1 7:14	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 38	(7:14) 30-J.Warren right guard to CLE 37 for 1 yard (42-E.Mascarenas-Arnold).	−0.29	−0.35	+0.06	−0.54	−1%	1.4×
Q1 6:31	PIT	2nd & 9	CLE 37	(6:31) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CLE 44 for -7 yards (96-M.Collins).	−1.36	−1.43	+0.07	−1.84	−4%	1.4×
Q1 5:49	PIT	3rd & 16	CLE 44	(5:49) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 11-M.Pittman to CLE 35 for 9 yards (21-D.Ward). PENALTY on CLE-96-M.Collins, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at CLE 35. Penalty on CLE-26-M.Harden, Illegal Contact, declined. Penalty on CLE-8-J.Verse, Unnecessary Roughness, declined.	+2.79	+2.78	+0.01	+3.55	+8%	1.4×
Q1 5:21	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 20	(5:21) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to 15-B.Skowronek.	−0.38	−0.38	0.00	−0.48	−1%	1.4×
Q1 5:16	PIT	2nd & 10	CLE 20	(5:16) 30-J.Warren left guard to CLE 11 for 9 yards (7-T.Campbell).	+0.63	+0.58	+0.04	+0.70	+2%	1.4×
Q1 4:32	PIT	3rd & 1	CLE 11	(4:32) 21-T.Homer right guard to CLE 9 for 2 yards (57-I.McGuire).	+0.34	+0.35	−0.01	+0.39	+1%	1.4×
Q1 3:47	PIT	1st & 9	CLE 9	(3:47) 21-T.Homer up the middle to CLE 12 for -3 yards (96-M.Collins, 5-Q.Williams).	−0.69	−0.64	−0.05	−0.91	−2%	1.4×
Q1 3:03	PIT	2nd & 12	CLE 12	(3:03) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 14-R.Wilson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.38	+3.14	−0.76	+2.78	+8%	1.4×
Q1 2:59	PIT	Try	CLE 15	9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−0.01	−0.84	+0.83	+0.07	0%	1.3×
Q1 2:59	CLE	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 65 yards from PIT 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CLE 35.	+0.54	+0.43	+0.11	+0.58	+2%	1.3×
Q1 2:59	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 35	(2:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 1-K.Concepcion to PIT 44 for 21 yards (3-J.Brisker) [97-C.Heyward].	+1.13	+1.17	−0.05	+1.31	+4%	1.3×
Q1 2:21	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 44	(2:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to 12-D.Boston (35-J.Dean).	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.51	−1%	1.4×
Q1 2:16	CLE	2nd & 10	PIT 44	(2:16) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins left end to PIT 43 for 1 yard (90-T.Watt).	−0.59	−0.58	−0.01	−0.89	−2%	1.4×
Q1 1:36	CLE	3rd & 9	PIT 43	(1:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep right to 12-D.Boston (22-A.Samuel).	−1.28	−1.27	0.00	−1.69	−4%	1.3×
Q1 1:29	CLE	4th & 9	PIT 43	(1:29) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 42 yards to PIT 1, impetus ends at PIT 1, Center-50-R.Sunahara, downed by CLE-24-D.Thomas.	+0.19	+0.06	+0.13	+0.59	+2%	1.3×
Q1 1:21	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 1	(1:21) PENALTY on CLE-8-J.Verse, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 1 - No Play.	+0.48	+0.49	−0.01	+0.87	+2%	1.3×
Q1 1:21	PIT	1st & 5	PIT 6	(1:21) 30-J.Warren right end to PIT 14 for 8 yards (28-E.McNeil-Warren).	+0.09	+0.15	−0.06	−0.02	+1%	1.3×
Q1 0:37	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 14	(:37) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 30-J.Warren pushed ob at PIT 23 for 9 yards (49-C.Schwesinger, 21-D.Ward).	+0.63	+0.66	−0.03	+0.78	+2%	1.3×
Q2 15:00	PIT	2nd & 1	PIT 23	(15:00) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren up the middle to PIT 29 for 6 yards (5-Q.Williams; 28-E.McNeil-Warren).	+0.09	+0.11	−0.02	+0.32	0%	1.2×
Q2 14:17	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 29	(14:17) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right intended for 11-M.Pittman INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Ward (54-S.Williams) at CLE 44. 21-D.Ward to CLE 44 for no gain (11-M.Pittman).	−2.81	−3.04	+0.23	−3.57	−8%	1.2×
Q2 14:11	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 44	(14:11) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins right tackle to CLE 47 for 3 yards (51-N.Herbig).	−0.18	−0.17	−0.01	−0.24	−1%	1.3×
Q2 13:36	CLE	2nd & 7	CLE 47	(13:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 44-H.Fannin pushed ob at PIT 40 for 13 yards (3-J.Brisker; 35-J.Dean).	+1.04	+1.08	−0.04	+1.18	+3%	1.3×
Q2 13:07	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 40	(13:07) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 10-Q.Judkins to PIT 28 for 12 yards (55-C.Holcomb; 22-A.Samuel).	+0.69	+0.71	−0.02	+0.79	+2%	1.4×
Q2 12:22	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 28	(12:22) (Shotgun) 38-J.McLaughlin right end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.90	+3.30	−0.39	+2.89	+9%	1.4×
Q2 12:14	CLE	Try	PIT 15	25-A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.	+0.10	−0.45	+0.55	+0.07	+1%	1.4×
Q2 12:14	PIT	Kickoff	CLE 35	25-A.Szmyt kicks 62 yards from CLE 35 to PIT 3. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 23 for 20 yards (31-D.McMillon).	−0.08	−0.02	−0.06	−0.28	0%	1.4×
Q2 12:09	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 23	(12:09) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Washington to PIT 23 for no gain (33-R.Hickman; 98-A.Huntington).	−0.47	−0.47	−0.01	−0.53	−2%	1.4×
Q2 11:34	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 23	(11:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 88-P.Freiermuth to PIT 28 for 5 yards (9-G.Delpit).	−0.07	−0.07	0.00	−0.10	0%	1.4×
Q2 10:50	PIT	3rd & 5	PIT 28	(10:50) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 4-D.Metcalf (28-E.McNeil-Warren).	−1.08	−1.08	0.00	−1.28	−4%	1.4×
Q2 10:46	PIT	4th & 5	PIT 28	(10:46) 19-C.Johnston punts 46 yards to CLE 26, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 1-K.Concepcion.	+0.18	+0.05	+0.13	−0.09	+1%	1.4×
Q2 10:38	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 26	(10:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 12-D.Boston to PIT 14 for 60 yards (23-D.Everette).	+3.32	+3.34	−0.02	+3.59	+10%	1.4×
Q2 9:50	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 14	(9:50) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 1-K.Concepcion pushed ob at PIT 9 for 5 yards (6-P.Queen).	+0.18	+0.13	+0.04	0.00	+1%	1.3×
Q2 9:12	CLE	2nd & 5	PIT 9	(9:12) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 10-Q.Judkins to PIT 2 for 7 yards (94-Y.Black).	+1.04	+0.99	+0.06	+1.32	+3%	1.3×
Q2 8:33	CLE	1st & 2	PIT 2	(8:33) 70-Z.Zinter reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.60	+1.42	−0.82	+0.81	+3%	1.2×
Q2 8:28	CLE	Try	PIT 15	25-A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.	+0.23	−0.42	+0.65	+0.07	0%	1.2×
Q2 8:28	PIT	Kickoff	CLE 35	25-A.Szmyt kicks 65 yards from CLE 35 to end zone, Touchback to the PIT 35.	+0.56	+0.66	−0.10	+0.41	+2%	1.2×
Q2 8:28	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 35	(8:28) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 88-P.Freiermuth to PIT 44 for 9 yards (9-G.Delpit).	+0.72	+0.70	+0.02	+0.99	+3%	1.2×
Q2 7:50	PIT	2nd & 1	PIT 44	(7:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-J.Warren right guard to PIT 46 for 2 yards (8-J.Verse; 96-M.Collins).	−0.08	−0.10	+0.02	−0.09	0%	1.3×
Q2 7:19	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 46	(7:19) (No Huddle) 30-J.Warren left end to CLE 30 for 24 yards (7-T.Campbell; 54-S.Williams).	+1.36	+1.39	−0.03	+1.34	+5%	1.3×
Q2 6:46	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 30	(6:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to 11-M.Pittman (7-T.Campbell).	−0.41	−0.41	0.00	−0.40	−1%	1.3×
Q2 6:43	PIT	2nd & 10	CLE 30	(6:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 11-M.Pittman pushed ob at CLE 24 for 6 yards (21-D.Ward).	+0.21	+0.19	+0.02	+0.16	+1%	1.3×
Q2 6:06	PIT	3rd & 4	CLE 24	(6:06) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CLE 30 for -6 yards (57-I.McGuire).	−1.55	−1.57	+0.02	−2.10	−5%	1.3×
Q2 5:26	PIT	4th & 10	CLE 30	(5:26) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−3.13	−3.26	+0.13	−3.02	−9%	1.2×
Q2 5:21	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 38	(5:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 1-K.Concepcion to CLE 45 for 7 yards (97-C.Heyward). PIT-35-J.Dean was injured during the play.	+0.28	+0.33	−0.05	+0.26	+1%	1.0×
Q2 4:53	CLE	2nd & 3	CLE 45	(4:53) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins left tackle to CLE 47 for 2 yards (51-N.Herbig; 97-C.Heyward).	−0.33	−0.29	−0.04	−0.02	−1%	1.0×
Q2 4:22	CLE	3rd & 1	CLE 47	(4:22) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CLE-56-L.Wypler, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 47 - No Play.	−0.77	−0.75	−0.01	−1.06	−2%	1.0×
Q2 4:00	CLE	3rd & 6	CLE 42	(4:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 12-D.Boston to PIT 49 for 9 yards (23-D.Everette).	+1.34	+1.39	−0.05	+1.55	+4%	1.1×
Q2 3:22	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 49	(3:22) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete short middle to 1-K.Concepcion (28-R.Spears-Jennings).	−0.47	−0.46	−0.01	−0.46	−1%	1.0×
Q2 3:13	CLE	2nd & 10	PIT 49	(3:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 1-K.Concepcion to PIT 24 for 25 yards (23-D.Everette).	+1.82	+1.89	−0.06	+2.11	+4%	1.0×
Q2 2:24	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 24	(2:24) 10-Q.Judkins left end to PIT 23 for 1 yard (97-C.Heyward; 6-P.Queen).	−0.32	−0.31	−0.01	−0.31	0%	0.9×
Q2 2:00	CLE	2nd & 9	PIT 23	(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 10-Q.Judkins pushed ob at PIT 14 for 9 yards (6-P.Queen).	+0.83	+0.80	+0.03	+1.15	+2%	0.9×
Q2 1:55	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 14	(1:55) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins right guard to PIT 10 for 4 yards (94-Y.Black).	+0.02	0.00	+0.01	−0.32	+1%	0.8×
Q2 1:47	CLE	2nd & 6	PIT 10	(1:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 12-D.Boston ran ob at PIT 4 for 6 yards. Penalty on PIT-6-P.Queen, Defensive Holding, declined. The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 12-D.Boston ran ob at PIT 5 for 5 yards. PENALTY on PIT-6-P.Queen, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 10 - No Play.	+0.67	+0.65	+0.02	+1.19	+1%	0.8×
Q2 1:39	CLE	1st & 5	PIT 5	(1:39) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 10-Q.Judkins to PIT 1 for 4 yards (3-J.Brisker).	+0.31	+0.30	+0.02	+0.22	+1%	0.8×
Q2 1:29	CLE	2nd & 1	PIT 1	(1:29) 10-Q.Judkins right tackle to PIT 2 for -1 yards (56-A.Highsmith, 97-C.Heyward).	−0.81	−0.80	−0.01	−1.71	−1%	0.7×
Q2 1:25	CLE	3rd & 2	PIT 2	(1:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 44-H.Fannin for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on PIT-90-T.Watt, Defensive Offside, declined.	+1.67	+2.32	−0.64	+2.94	+3%	0.8×
Q2 1:22	CLE	Try	PIT 15	25-A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.	+0.08	−0.25	+0.33	+0.07	0%	0.6×
Q2 1:22	PIT	Kickoff	CLE 35	25-A.Szmyt kicks 64 yards from CLE 35 to PIT 1. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 28 for 27 yards (98-A.Huntington; 28-E.McNeil-Warren).	+0.35	+0.13	+0.22	−0.05	0%	0.6×
Q2 1:14	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 28	(1:14) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep left to 88-P.Freiermuth. CLE-51-M.Hall was injured during the play.	−0.45	−0.46	+0.01	−0.21	0%	0.6×
Q2 1:06	PIT	2nd & 10	PIT 28	(1:06) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 14-R.Wilson to CLE 23 for 49 yards (7-T.Campbell).	+3.20	+3.24	−0.04	+3.04	+8%	0.6×
Q2 0:37	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 23	(:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 14-R.Wilson [8-J.Verse]. PENALTY on CLE-26-M.Harden, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 23 - No Play.	+0.28	+0.27	+0.02	+0.45	+1%	0.9×
Q2 0:32	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 18	(:32) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CLE 24 for -6 yards (98-A.Huntington). PENALTY on CLE-54-S.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 18 - No Play.	+0.27	+0.25	+0.02	+0.26	+1%	0.9×
Q2 0:26	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 13	(:26) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 14-R.Wilson [98-A.Huntington].	−0.36	−0.36	0.00	−0.45	−1%	1.0×
Q2 0:22	PIT	2nd & 10	CLE 13	(:22) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to 30-J.Warren (5-Q.Williams).	−0.51	−0.51	0.00	−0.65	−1%	0.9×
Q2 0:16	PIT	3rd & 10	CLE 13	(:16) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle [97-D.Barnett].	−0.78	−0.78	0.00	−0.21	−2%	0.9×
Q2 0:12	PIT	4th & 10	CLE 13	(:12) 9-C.Boswell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.	−0.33	+0.02	−0.35	+0.16	−3%	0.8×
Q2 0:08	CLE	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 63 yards from PIT 35 to CLE 2. 23-R.Sanders to CLE 31 for 29 yards (31-L.Nichols). PENALTY on CLE-59-W.Reid, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CLE 26.	+0.02	−0.17	+0.19	−0.04	0%	0.7×
Q2 0:03	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 16	(:03) 4-D.Watson kneels to CLE 15 for -1 yards.	−1.44	−1.14	−0.30	0.00	−2%	0.7×
Q3 15:00	PIT	Kickoff	CLE 35	25-A.Szmyt kicks 55 yards from CLE 35 to PIT 10. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 35 for 25 yards (11-M.Corley).	+0.46	+0.56	−0.10	+0.56	+1%	0.8×
Q3 14:55	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 35	(14:55) 30-J.Warren left end to PIT 34 for -1 yards (8-J.Verse).	−0.53	−0.52	−0.01	−0.73	−2%	0.8×
Q3 14:23	PIT	2nd & 11	PIT 34	(14:23) 30-J.Warren right end to PIT 35 for 1 yard (96-M.Collins; 49-C.Schwesinger).	−0.48	−0.46	−0.03	−0.60	−1%	0.8×
Q3 13:40	PIT	3rd & 10	PIT 35	(13:40) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to 30-J.Warren.	−1.06	−1.06	0.00	−1.39	−2%	0.7×
Q3 13:34	PIT	4th & 10	PIT 35	(13:34) 19-C.Johnston punts 57 yards to CLE 8, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 1-K.Concepcion to CLE 22 for 14 yards (41-P.Wilson). PENALTY on CLE-26-M.Harden, Offensive Holding, 4 yards, enforced at CLE 8.	+0.94	+0.95	−0.01	+1.34	+4%	0.6×
Q3 13:22	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 4	(13:22) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 10-Q.Judkins to CLE 9 for 5 yards (6-P.Queen; 28-R.Spears-Jennings). PENALTY on PIT-90-T.Watt, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 4 - No Play.	+0.44	+0.49	−0.06	+0.70	+2%	0.8×
Q3 12:57	CLE	1st & 5	CLE 9	(12:57) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins right tackle to CLE 10 for 1 yard (95-K.Benton; 41-P.Wilson).	−0.41	−0.33	−0.07	−0.62	0%	0.7×
Q3 12:20	CLE	2nd & 4	CLE 10	(12:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 23-R.Sanders to CLE 15 for 5 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings).	+0.33	+0.42	−0.08	+0.51	+1%	0.8×
Q3 11:35	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 15	(11:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete short left to 1-K.Concepcion (23-D.Everette).	−0.48	−0.47	−0.01	−0.61	−1%	0.7×
Q3 11:30	CLE	2nd & 10	CLE 15	(11:30) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 23-R.Sanders to CLE 17 for 2 yards (41-P.Wilson; 3-J.Brisker).	−0.52	−0.45	−0.07	−0.60	−1%	0.7×
Q3 10:41	CLE	3rd & 8	CLE 17	(10:41) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CLE-1-K.Concepcion, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 17 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.49	−0.01	−0.77	−1%	0.8×
Q3 10:24	CLE	3rd & 13	CLE 12	(10:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete short right to 10-Q.Judkins (90-T.Watt).	−0.88	−0.87	0.00	−0.97	−2%	0.8×
Q3 10:21	CLE	4th & 13	CLE 12	(10:21) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 60 yards to PIT 28, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 43 for 15 yards (24-D.Thomas; 31-D.McMillon).	+0.18	−0.18	+0.36	+0.27	+1%	0.9×
Q3 10:10	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 43	(10:10) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren up the middle to PIT 48 for 5 yards (49-C.Schwesinger; 33-R.Hickman).	+0.10	+0.09	+0.01	+0.14	0%	0.9×
Q3 9:33	PIT	2nd & 5	PIT 48	(9:33) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to 4-D.Metcalf (28-E.McNeil-Warren).	−0.65	−0.65	0.00	−0.91	−2%	0.9×
Q3 9:28	PIT	3rd & 5	PIT 48	(9:28) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at PIT 45 for -3 yards (98-A.Huntington).	−1.44	−1.47	+0.03	−2.05	−3%	0.8×
Q3 8:50	PIT	4th & 8	PIT 45	(8:50) 19-C.Johnston punts 49 yards to CLE 6, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 1-K.Concepcion pushed ob at CLE 16 for 10 yards (41-P.Wilson).	0.00	−0.40	+0.40	+0.02	0%	0.7×
Q3 8:38	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 16	(8:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson right end to CLE 23 for 7 yards (41-P.Wilson).	+0.25	+0.28	−0.03	+0.21	+1%	0.7×
Q3 8:03	CLE	2nd & 3	CLE 23	(8:03) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins right guard to CLE 32 for 9 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings).	+0.46	+0.49	−0.03	+0.96	+1%	0.6×
Q3 7:21	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 32	(7:21) (Shotgun) 23-R.Sanders left guard to CLE 38 for 6 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings).	+0.11	+0.14	−0.03	+0.16	0%	0.6×
Q3 6:46	CLE	2nd & 4	CLE 38	(6:46) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins up the middle to CLE 47 for 9 yards (41-P.Wilson).	+0.55	+0.58	−0.04	+0.77	+1%	0.6×
Q3 6:09	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 47	(6:09) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins up the middle to 50 for 3 yards (90-T.Watt).	−0.24	−0.21	−0.03	−0.29	0%	0.5×
Q3 5:30	CLE	2nd & 7	50	(5:30) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 3-J.Jeudy to PIT 41 for 9 yards (41-P.Wilson).	+0.78	+0.82	−0.04	+1.00	+1%	0.5×
Q3 4:56	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 41	(4:56) (Shotgun) 23-R.Sanders right guard to PIT 38 for 3 yards (33-J.Sawyer; 69-S.Joseph).	−0.18	−0.16	−0.02	−0.36	0%	0.5×
Q3 4:19	CLE	2nd & 7	PIT 38	(4:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson up the middle to PIT 43 for -5 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at 50.	−4.42	−4.81	+0.39	−5.74	−8%	0.5×
Q3 4:13	PIT	1st & 10	50	(4:13) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 15-B.Skowronek to CLE 43 for 7 yards (7-T.Campbell). ** Injury Update: CLE-51-M.Hall has returned to the game.	+0.38	+0.36	+0.02	+0.23	+1%	0.8×
Q3 3:29	PIT	2nd & 3	CLE 43	(3:29) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren left guard to CLE 30 for 13 yards (9-G.Delpit).	+0.83	+0.82	+0.02	+1.07	+3%	0.8×
Q3 2:36	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 30	(2:36) (Shotgun) PENALTY on PIT-71-M.Iheanachor, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 30 - No Play.	−0.51	−0.53	+0.02	−0.70	−2%	0.9×
Q3 2:16	PIT	1st & 15	CLE 35	(2:16) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 14-R.Wilson [54-S.Williams].	−0.43	−0.43	0.00	−0.54	−1%	0.9×
Q3 2:12	PIT	2nd & 15	CLE 35	(2:12) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep middle to 4-D.Metcalf [98-A.Huntington].	−0.61	−0.62	0.00	−0.87	−2%	0.8×
Q3 2:04	PIT	3rd & 15	CLE 35	(2:04) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CLE 45 for -10 yards (51-M.Hall).	−1.86	−1.89	+0.04	−1.97	−5%	0.8×
Q3 1:21	PIT	4th & 25	CLE 45	(1:21) 19-C.Johnston punts 45 yards to end zone, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Touchback.	−0.18	−0.53	+0.35	−0.67	−1%	0.5×
Q3 1:13	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 20	(1:13) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins right guard to CLE 25 for 5 yards (94-Y.Black; 69-S.Joseph).	+0.01	+0.04	−0.04	+0.06	0%	0.5×
Q3 0:38	CLE	2nd & 5	CLE 25	(:38) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins up the middle to CLE 28 for 3 yards (97-C.Heyward).	−0.17	−0.13	−0.04	−0.23	0%	0.5×
Q4 15:00	CLE	3rd & 2	CLE 28	(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins up the middle to CLE 35 for 7 yards (6-P.Queen; 28-R.Spears-Jennings).	+0.85	+0.89	−0.04	+1.01	+1%	0.5×
Q4 14:19	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 35	(14:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle intended for 12-D.Boston INTERCEPTED by 28-R.Spears-Jennings [33-J.Sawyer] at PIT 23. 28-R.Spears-Jennings to PIT 23 for no gain (12-D.Boston). PENALTY on PIT-23-D.Everette, Defensive Pass Interference, 42 yards, enforced at CLE 35 - No Play. The Replay Official reviewed the pass was not tipped ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle intended for 12-D.Boston INTERCEPTED by 28-R.Spears-Jennings (33-J.Sawyer) [33-J.Sawyer] at PIT 23. 28-R.Spears-Jennings to PIT 23 for no gain (12-D.Boston).	−1.79	−2.22	+0.43	−2.38	−2%	0.4×
Q4 14:11	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 23	(14:11) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren right guard to PIT 30 for 7 yards (57-I.McGuire; 28-E.McNeil-Warren).	+0.34	+0.35	−0.01	+0.50	0%	0.5×
Q4 13:36	PIT	2nd & 3	PIT 30	(13:36) 30-J.Warren left tackle to PIT 33 for 3 yards (7-T.Campbell). PENALTY on PIT-11-M.Pittman, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 30 - No Play.	−0.59	−0.59	0.00	−0.75	−2%	0.5×
Q4 13:07	PIT	2nd & 8	PIT 25	(13:07) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 4-D.Metcalf to CLE 32 for 43 yards (26-M.Harden) [21-D.Ward].	+2.76	+2.83	−0.07	+3.30	+9%	0.5×
Q4 12:27	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 32	(12:27) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at CLE 36 for -4 yards (54-S.Williams).	−0.81	−0.82	+0.01	−1.10	−3%	0.8×
Q4 11:42	PIT	2nd & 14	CLE 36	(11:42) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 30-J.Warren to CLE 23 for 13 yards (9-G.Delpit). CLE-9-G.Delpit was injured during the play.	+1.24	+1.24	0.00	+1.41	+4%	0.7×
Q4 10:57	PIT	3rd & 1	CLE 23	(10:57) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren left guard to CLE 21 for 2 yards (49-C.Schwesinger).	+0.37	+0.37	0.00	+0.46	+1%	0.8×
Q4 10:16	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 21	(10:16) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 80-D.Washington for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.43	+2.21	−0.78	+2.54	+2%	0.8×
Q4 10:10	PIT	Try	CLE 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-A.Rodgers pass to 30-J.Warren is complete. ATTEMPT FAILS. ** Injury Update: CLE-9-G.Delpit has returned to the game.	−1.23	−1.82	+0.59	−0.95	−4%	0.9×
Q4 10:10	CLE	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 64 yards from PIT 35 to CLE 1. 11-M.Corley to CLE 34 for 33 yards (55-C.Holcomb).	−0.56	−0.36	−0.20	+0.44	−2%	0.7×
Q4 10:04	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 34	(10:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson sacked at CLE 30 for -4 yards (90-T.Watt).	−0.87	−0.90	+0.03	−1.10	−3%	0.8×
Q4 9:26	CLE	2nd & 14	CLE 30	(9:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 10-Q.Judkins to CLE 40 for 10 yards (95-K.Benton).	+0.42	+0.40	+0.02	+0.58	+2%	0.9×
Q4 8:45	CLE	3rd & 4	CLE 40	(8:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson scrambles left end to PIT 39 for 21 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings). PENALTY on PIT-22-A.Samuel, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 39.	+2.19	+2.23	−0.04	+2.41	+7%	0.9×
Q4 8:19	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 34	(8:19) (Shotgun) 10-Q.Judkins right tackle to PIT 33 for 1 yard (95-K.Benton).	−0.32	−0.34	+0.03	−0.32	−1%	0.6×
Q4 7:43	CLE	2nd & 9	PIT 33	(7:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete short left to 44-H.Fannin.	−0.58	−0.59	0.00	−0.80	−1%	0.6×
Q4 7:39	CLE	3rd & 9	PIT 33	(7:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson scrambles right end to PIT 31 for 2 yards (97-C.Heyward). FUMBLES (97-C.Heyward), and recovers at PIT 26.	+0.27	+0.22	+0.05	−0.40	+1%	0.7×
Q4 6:42	CLE	4th & 2	PIT 26	(6:42) 25-A.Szmyt 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.	+0.36	−0.03	+0.39	+0.95	+2%	0.6×
Q4 6:37	PIT	Kickoff	CLE 35	25-A.Szmyt kicks 57 yards from CLE 35 to PIT 8. 10-K.Wetjen pushed ob at PIT 32 for 24 yards (24-D.Thomas).	+0.70	+0.78	−0.08	+0.50	+2%	0.5×
Q4 6:33	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 32	(6:33) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren up the middle to PIT 37 for 5 yards (49-C.Schwesinger; 98-A.Huntington).	+0.04	+0.06	−0.03	−0.04	0%	0.6×
Q4 5:51	PIT	2nd & 5	PIT 37	(5:51) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 30-J.Warren.	−0.61	−0.61	0.00	−0.66	−2%	0.6×
Q4 5:44	PIT	3rd & 5	PIT 37	(5:44) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short left to 88-P.Freiermuth.	−1.10	−1.10	0.00	−1.33	−3%	0.5×
Q4 5:40	PIT	4th & 5	PIT 37	(5:40) 19-C.Johnston punts 62 yards to CLE 1, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-26-B.Echols.	+1.12	+0.65	+0.47	+1.06	+1%	0.4×
Q4 5:31	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 1	(5:31) 4-D.Watson up the middle to CLE 2 for 1 yard (94-Y.Black; 97-C.Heyward). Penalty on CLE-1-K.Concepcion, Illegal Shift, declined.	−0.38	−0.40	+0.02	−0.29	−1%	0.5×
Q4 5:18	CLE	2nd & 9	CLE 2	(5:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 12-D.Boston to CLE 17 for 15 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings).	+1.17	+1.10	+0.06	+1.08	+5%	0.5×
Q4 4:38	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 17	(4:38) 10-Q.Judkins up the middle to CLE 18 for 1 yard (3-J.Brisker; 94-Y.Black).	−0.41	−0.51	+0.10	−0.28	+1%	0.2×
Q4 3:54	CLE	2nd & 9	CLE 18	(3:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 10-Q.Judkins to CLE 19 for 1 yard (3-J.Brisker).	−0.54	−0.55	+0.02	−0.29	0%	0.2×
Q4 3:47	CLE	3rd & 8	CLE 19	(3:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to 44-H.Fannin.	−0.92	−0.94	+0.02	−0.84	−2%	0.2×
Q4 3:41	CLE	4th & 8	CLE 19	(3:41) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 81 yards to end zone, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Touchback.	+1.51	+1.19	+0.32	+0.71	0%	0.3×
Q4 3:32	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 20	(3:32) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 14-R.Wilson to PIT 33 for 13 yards (26-M.Harden). PIT-14-R.Wilson was injured during the play.	+0.49	+0.52	−0.03	+0.76	+1%	0.3×
Q4 2:46	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 33	(2:46) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 4-D.Metcalf pushed ob at CLE 45 for 22 yards (7-T.Campbell).	+1.13	+1.17	−0.04	+1.13	+4%	0.4×
Q4 2:39	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 45	(2:39) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-G.Bernard to CLE 39 for 6 yards (21-D.Ward).	+0.08	+0.10	−0.03	+0.28	0%	0.5×
Q4 2:14	PIT	2nd & 4	CLE 39	(2:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 4-D.Metcalf pushed ob at CLE 11 for 28 yards (7-T.Campbell). CLE-7-T.Campbell was injured during the play.	+1.67	+1.64	+0.03	+2.05	+8%	0.5×
Q4 2:09	PIT	1st & 10	CLE 11	(2:09) (Shotgun) PENALTY on PIT, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 11 - No Play.	−0.49	−0.47	−0.02	−0.60	−3%	0.7×
Q4 2:09	PIT	1st & 15	CLE 16	(2:09) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-G.Bernard to CLE 11 for 5 yards (29-M.Blackmon).	+0.09	+0.07	+0.02	+0.17	0%	0.7×
Q4 2:00	PIT	2nd & 10	CLE 11	(2:00) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 80-D.Washington (33-R.Hickman). ** Injury Update: CLE-7-T.Campbell has returned to the game.	−0.57	−0.56	0.00	−0.69	−3%	0.7×
Q4 1:55	PIT	3rd & 10	CLE 11	(1:55) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 80-D.Washington.	−0.86	−0.86	0.00	−1.04	−3%	0.6×
Q4 1:51	PIT	4th & 10	CLE 11	(1:51) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short middle to 80-D.Washington (28-E.McNeil-Warren). PENALTY on CLE-28-E.McNeil-Warren, Defensive Pass Interference, 8 yards, enforced at CLE 11 - No Play.	+2.53	+2.49	+0.04	+3.30	+12%	0.5×
Q4 1:46	PIT	1st & 3	CLE 3	(1:46) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 88-P.Freiermuth for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.81	+2.00	−0.20	+1.08	+9%	0.8×
Q4 1:42	PIT		CLE 2	(Pass formation) PENALTY on CLE-8-J.Verse, Defensive Offside, 1 yard, enforced at CLE 2 - No Play.	−1.00	−0.51	−0.49	0.00	−12%	1.0×
Q4 1:42	PIT	Try	CLE 1	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-A.Rodgers rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+1.00	+0.46	+0.54	+1.05	+9%	0.8×
Q4 1:42	CLE	Kickoff	PIT 35	9-C.Boswell kicks 65 yards from PIT 35 to CLE 0. 23-R.Sanders to CLE 26 for 26 yards (31-L.Nichols).	−0.65	−0.46	−0.19	+0.06	−6%	0.9×
Q4 1:36	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 26	(1:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy to CLE 43 for 17 yards (22-A.Samuel).	+0.83	+0.81	+0.02	+0.59	+11%	1.0×
Q4 1:12	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 43	(1:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on CLE-77-Z.Johnson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CLE 43 - No Play. 10-second runoff.	−0.53	−0.56	+0.02	−0.43	−3%	0.9×
Q4 1:00	CLE	1st & 15	CLE 38	(1:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 44-H.Fannin pushed ob at 50 for 12 yards (3-J.Brisker).	+0.81	+0.82	−0.01	+0.81	+8%	1.0×
Q4 0:55	CLE	2nd & 3	50	(:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 3-J.Jeudy ran ob at PIT 40 for 10 yards (41-P.Wilson).	+0.58	+0.59	−0.02	+0.48	+5%	0.8×
Q4 0:49	CLE	1st & 10	PIT 40	(:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 1-K.Concepcion to PIT 34 for 6 yards (28-R.Spears-Jennings).	+0.20	+0.19	0.00	+0.17	+3%	0.7×
Q4 0:38	CLE	2nd & 4	PIT 34	(:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson sacked at PIT 38 for -4 yards (41-P.Wilson).	−1.20	−1.24	+0.04	−0.91	−7%	0.6×
Q4 0:19	CLE	3rd & 8	PIT 38	(:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Concepcion.	−1.18	−1.18	+0.01	−0.30	−15%	0.9×
Q4 0:15	CLE	4th & 8	PIT 38	(:15) 25-A.Szmyt 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.	+2.51	+2.49	+0.02	+1.66	+27%	1.2×
Q4 0:10	PIT	Kickoff	CLE 35	25-A.Szmyt kicks 65 yards from CLE 35 to end zone, Touchback to the PIT 35.	+0.37	+0.57	−0.19	+0.07	+2%	0.4×
Q4 0:10	PIT	1st & 10	PIT 35	(:10) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right intended for 14-R.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 9-G.Delpit at CLE 18. 9-G.Delpit to CLE 18 for no gain (14-R.Wilson). ** Injury Update: PIT-14-R.Wilson has returned to the game.	+0.60	+0.37	+0.23	−0.12	−9%	0.6×
Q4 0:01	CLE	1st & 10	CLE 18	(:01) 4-D.Watson kneels to CLE 17 for -1 yards.	+0.87	+1.42	−0.55	0.00	0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	R.Wilson	PIT	6	—	—	+5.9+0.98	+5.9+0.98	+1.4+1.07	+5.5+0.91
	D.Metcalf	PIT	9	—	—	+4.9+0.55	+4.9+0.55	+0.6+0.27	+5.6+0.62
	D.Watson	CLE	42	+7.3+0.21	−2.7−0.38	—	+4.7+0.11	+2.8+0.28	+5.4+0.13
	A.Rodgers	PIT	45	+4.3+0.09	—	—	+4.3+0.09	+0.7+0.06	+3.4+0.07
	J.McLaughlin	CLE	1	—	+2.9+2.90	—	+2.9+2.90	+1.1+2.90	+2.9+2.89
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PIT
	A.Rodgers	22	40	3	2	5	2997.5	+3.4+0.07	+4.3+0.09	+0.7+0.06

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CLE
	D.Watson	24	33	1	1	2	2688.1	+9.2+0.26	+7.3+0.21	+3.1+0.35

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PIT
	J.Warren	17	0	935.5	+1.7+0.10	+1.9+0.11	+0.5+0.10
	T.Homer	2	0	−1−0.5	−0.5−0.26	−0.4−0.18	−0.1−0.17

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CLE
	Q.Judkins	17	1	533.1	−2.1−0.12	−1.4−0.08	−0.4−0.11
	D.Watson	7	0	223.1	−3.8−0.54	−2.7−0.38	−0.3−0.29
	R.Sanders	2	0	94.5	−0.2−0.10	−0.1−0.04	0.0−0.02
	J.McLaughlin	1	1	2828.0	+2.9+2.89	+2.9+2.90	+1.1+2.90

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PIT
	D.Metcalf	9	5	0	11523.0	+5.6+0.62	+4.9+0.55	+0.6+0.27
	J.Warren	6	3	0	3311.0	+0.8+0.13	+0.8+0.13	+0.4+0.28
	R.Wilson	6	3	1	7424.7	+5.5+0.91	+5.9+0.98	+1.4+1.07
	D.Washington	5	3	1	279.0	+0.4+0.07	−0.4−0.08	−0.1−0.05
	P.Freiermuth	5	3	1	175.7	+0.4+0.09	+0.9+0.18	+0.4+0.30
	M.Pittman	4	2	0	157.5	−0.3−0.06	−0.2−0.05	+0.1+0.07
	B.Skowronek	2	1	0	77.0	−0.2−0.12	0.00.00	−0.1−0.10
	G.Bernard	2	2	0	115.5	+0.4+0.22	+0.2+0.08	0.0+0.08

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CLE
	K.Concepcion	8	5	0	6412.8	+2.5+0.31	+1.5+0.19	+0.6+0.27
	D.Boston	7	4	0	8922.2	+1.5+0.22	+2.5+0.36	+1.1+0.52
	Q.Judkins	7	6	0	437.2	+2.8+0.40	+1.9+0.27	+0.8+0.45
	H.Fannin	5	3	1	279.0	+3.3+0.66	+2.0+0.40	+0.8+0.73
	J.Jeudy	3	3	0	3612.0	+2.1+0.69	+2.2+0.73	+0.5+0.73
	R.Sanders	2	2	0	73.5	−0.1−0.05	−0.2−0.09	0.0−0.09
	I.Bond	1	1	0	22.0	−0.9−0.88	−0.5−0.49	−0.2−0.49