LAC 23, SEA 30 — week 4, 2026

LAC

23 at 30

SEA

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

LAC season | SEA season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

LAC 27%

Win expectancy

from how they played

LAC 1%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
SEA	71	30	2864.0	−0.8−0.011	+1.1+0.015	+4.3+0.060	−3.2−0.045	+0.5+0.037
LAC	84	23	3013.6	−5.7−0.068	−2.7−0.033	−4.1−0.049	+1.4+0.016	−4.0−0.245
NET	−13	7	−150.4	+4.9+0.057	+3.8+0.047	+8.4+0.109	−4.6−0.061	+4.6+0.282
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is SEA minus LAC.

Game Timeline

LAC at SEA. SEA won by 7. Two panels. Top: SEA's win probability across 173 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 100%; SEA was favored on 94% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at SEA by 20.8 in the third quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: +14% at play 18, M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23. D.Davis MUFFS catch…; +12% at play 161, C.Dicker 36 yard field goal — GOOD.

Excitement

0.8 bits

#11 of 16 this week

46th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.52

#14 of 16 this week

19th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

278 pts

#13 of 16 this week

30th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

34%

#15 of 16 this week

26th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#13 of 16 this week

39th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

42%

#11 of 16 this week

36th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 10:13	SEA	4th & 13	SEA 32	(10:13) 4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-41-C.Stoll. 12-D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-57-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.	+4.69	+4.80	−0.11	+5.51	+14%	1.4×
2	Q2 1:29	LAC	2nd & 8	LAC 28	(1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones at LAC 40. 13-E.Jones to LAC 20 for 20 yards (28-K.Vidal; 10-J.Herbert).	−4.68	−4.50	−0.17	−4.78	−5%	0.9×
3	Q4 3:28	LAC	4th & 7	LAC 10	(3:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston to SEA 46 for 44 yards (24-R.Thomas).	+3.99	+4.10	−0.11	+4.30	+6%	0.1×
4	Q4 1:03	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 29	(1:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 20 for -9 yards (7-U.Nwosu). FUMBLES (7-U.Nwosu) [7-U.Nwosu], RECOVERED by SEA-58-D.Hall at LAC 20. PENALTY on LAC-69-C.Strange, Unnecessary Roughness, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 20.	−3.64	−3.56	−0.08	−4.36	−3%	0.2×
5	Q3 4:58	LAC	2nd & 9	SEA 9	(4:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 28-K.Vidal for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The touchdown was assisted by replay.	+3.33	+3.51	−0.19	+2.31	+2%	0.3×
6	Q4 0:32	SEA	2nd & 11	LAC 11	(:32) 14-S.Darnold kneels to LAC 12 for -1 yards.	−3.03	−2.39	−0.65	−3.03	0%	0.0×
7	Q3 2:53	SEA	4th & 8	LAC 35	(2:53) 5-J.Myers 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson. PENALTY on LAC-45-T.Tuipulotu, Leverage, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 35 - No Play.	+2.85	+2.85	0.00	+3.52	+3%	0.4×
8	Q2 8:55	SEA	3rd & 16	SEA 29	(8:55) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to LAC 43 for 28 yards (22-G.Smith) [93-T.Tart].	+2.81	+2.85	−0.04	+3.14	+8%	1.3×
9	Q1 14:46	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 45	(14:46) 14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 23-E.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 45-T.Tuipulotu at LAC 44. 45-T.Tuipulotu to LAC 48 for 4 yards (23-E.Wilson).	−2.70	−4.71	+2.01	−5.74	−7%	1.4×
10	Q1 11:54	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 35	11-C.Dicker kicks 65 yards from LAC 35 to end zone, Touchback to the SEA 35.	+2.62	+0.38	+2.23	+0.58	+8%	1.4×
11	Q4 11:26	LAC	3rd & 24	SEA 48	(11:26) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 8-O.Hampton to SEA 45 for 3 yards (21-D.Witherspoon). PENALTY on SEA-58-D.Hall, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at SEA 45.	+2.39	+2.44	−0.04	+2.97	+3%	0.1×
12	Q2 0:27	LAC	3rd & 8	LAC 36	(:27) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert scrambles up the middle to SEA 38 for 26 yards (24-R.Thomas).	+2.39	+2.44	−0.05	+1.30	+4%	0.5×
13	Q4 1:49	SEA	4th & 17	SEA 40	(1:49) 4-M.Dickson punts 49 yards to LAC 11, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.	+2.19	+2.15	+0.04	+0.29	−2%	0.1×
14	Q4 2:17	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 19	(2:17) 11-C.Dicker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	−2.16	−2.04	−0.12	+0.45	−12%	0.5×
15	Q1 10:23	SEA	3rd & 3	SEA 42	(10:23) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left [45-T.Tuipulotu]. PENALTY on SEA-14-S.Darnold, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at SEA 42.	−2.15	−2.12	−0.03	−2.58	−7%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 10:13	SEA	4th & 13	SEA 32	(10:13) 4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-41-C.Stoll. 12-D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-57-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.	+4.69	+4.80	−0.11	+5.51	+14%	1.4×
2	Q2 1:29	LAC	2nd & 8	LAC 28	(1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones at LAC 40. 13-E.Jones to LAC 20 for 20 yards (28-K.Vidal; 10-J.Herbert).	−4.68	−4.50	−0.17	−4.78	−5%	0.9×
3	Q1 14:46	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 45	(14:46) 14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 23-E.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 45-T.Tuipulotu at LAC 44. 45-T.Tuipulotu to LAC 48 for 4 yards (23-E.Wilson).	−2.70	−4.71	+2.01	−5.74	−7%	1.4×
4	Q1 11:54	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 35	11-C.Dicker kicks 65 yards from LAC 35 to end zone, Touchback to the SEA 35.	+2.62	+0.38	+2.23	+0.58	+8%	1.4×
5	Q2 8:55	SEA	3rd & 16	SEA 29	(8:55) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to LAC 43 for 28 yards (22-G.Smith) [93-T.Tart].	+2.81	+2.85	−0.04	+3.14	+8%	1.3×
6	Q1 10:23	SEA	3rd & 3	SEA 42	(10:23) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left [45-T.Tuipulotu]. PENALTY on SEA-14-S.Darnold, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at SEA 42.	−2.15	−2.12	−0.03	−2.58	−7%	1.4×
7	Q1 14:53	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 31	(14:53) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle intended for 86-O.Gadsden INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Thomas at LAC 45. 32-D.Thomas to LAC 45 for no gain (86-O.Gadsden).	−1.73	−3.80	+2.07	−4.46	−4%	1.4×
8	Q1 10:03	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 23	(10:03) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 23-E.Wilson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.63	+3.09	−1.47	+2.20	+4%	1.4×
9	Q2 15:00	LAC	3rd & 4	LAC 27	(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 20 for -7 yards (91-B.Murphy).	−1.69	−1.70	+0.01	−1.93	−5%	1.3×
10	Q2 6:19	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 28	(6:19) 22-R.Shaheed left end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.05	+3.26	−1.22	+3.17	+6%	1.1×
11	Q1 13:26	LAC	2nd & 10	SEA 41	(13:26) (Shotgun) 77-T.Burke reported in as eligible. 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 9-T.Harris to SEA 28 for 13 yards (3-N.Emmanwori).	+1.36	+1.22	+0.14	+1.60	+4%	1.4×
12	Q1 2:44	LAC	3rd & 12	SEA 45	(2:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short middle to 15-L.McConkey.	−1.26	−1.26	0.00	−1.45	−4%	1.4×
13	Q2 13:36	SEA	2nd & 7	SEA 33	(13:36) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 22-R.Shaheed ran ob at LAC 47 for 20 yards (24-R.Shelley).	+1.38	+1.41	−0.03	+1.72	+3%	1.2×
14	Q2 11:57	SEA	3rd & 9	LAC 46	(11:57) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep left to 22-R.Shaheed [0-D.Henley].	−1.24	−1.24	0.00	−1.56	−4%	1.2×
15	Q2 4:21	LAC	3rd & 11	LAC 39	(4:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 31 for -8 yards (13-E.Jones).	−1.64	−1.67	+0.03	−1.21	−5%	0.9×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 10:13	SEA	4th & 13	SEA 32	(10:13) 4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-41-C.Stoll. 12-D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-57-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.	+4.69	+4.80	−0.11	+5.51	+14%	1.4×
2	Q4 2:17	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 19	(2:17) 11-C.Dicker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	−2.16	−2.04	−0.12	+0.45	−12%	0.5×
3	Q1 11:54	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 35	11-C.Dicker kicks 65 yards from LAC 35 to end zone, Touchback to the SEA 35.	+2.62	+0.38	+2.23	+0.58	+8%	1.4×
4	Q2 8:55	SEA	3rd & 16	SEA 29	(8:55) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to LAC 43 for 28 yards (22-G.Smith) [93-T.Tart].	+2.81	+2.85	−0.04	+3.14	+8%	1.3×
5	Q1 14:46	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 45	(14:46) 14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 23-E.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 45-T.Tuipulotu at LAC 44. 45-T.Tuipulotu to LAC 48 for 4 yards (23-E.Wilson).	−2.70	−4.71	+2.01	−5.74	−7%	1.4×
6	Q1 10:23	SEA	3rd & 3	SEA 42	(10:23) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left [45-T.Tuipulotu]. PENALTY on SEA-14-S.Darnold, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at SEA 42.	−2.15	−2.12	−0.03	−2.58	−7%	1.4×
7	Q4 2:23	LAC	3rd & 4	SEA 40	(2:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 9-T.Harris ran ob at SEA 19 for 21 yards (24-R.Thomas) [3-N.Emmanwori].	+1.98	+1.99	−0.01	+0.25	+6%	0.3×
8	Q4 3:28	LAC	4th & 7	LAC 10	(3:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston to SEA 46 for 44 yards (24-R.Thomas).	+3.99	+4.10	−0.11	+4.30	+6%	0.1×
9	Q2 6:19	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 28	(6:19) 22-R.Shaheed left end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.05	+3.26	−1.22	+3.17	+6%	1.1×
10	Q2 15:00	LAC	3rd & 4	LAC 27	(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 20 for -7 yards (91-B.Murphy).	−1.69	−1.70	+0.01	−1.93	−5%	1.3×
11	Q2 1:29	LAC	2nd & 8	LAC 28	(1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones at LAC 40. 13-E.Jones to LAC 20 for 20 yards (28-K.Vidal; 10-J.Herbert).	−4.68	−4.50	−0.17	−4.78	−5%	0.9×
12	Q2 4:21	LAC	3rd & 11	LAC 39	(4:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 31 for -8 yards (13-E.Jones).	−1.64	−1.67	+0.03	−1.21	−5%	0.9×
13	Q1 14:53	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 31	(14:53) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle intended for 86-O.Gadsden INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Thomas at LAC 45. 32-D.Thomas to LAC 45 for no gain (86-O.Gadsden).	−1.73	−3.80	+2.07	−4.46	−4%	1.4×
14	Q1 2:40	LAC	4th & 12	SEA 45	(2:40) 16-J.Scott punts 45 yards to end zone, Center-47-J.Harris, Touchback.	−0.64	−0.66	+0.02	−0.69	−4%	1.3×
15	Q2 0:05	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 21	(:05) 11-C.Dicker 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	−1.20	−0.91	−0.29	+0.41	−4%	0.7×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 173 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	LAC	Kickoff	SEA 35	5-J.Myers kicks 62 yards from SEA 35 to LAC 3. 34-K.Mitchell to LAC 31 for 28 yards (30-A.Finley; 28-N.Pritchett).	+0.39	+0.41	−0.02	+0.36	+1%	1.4×
Q1 14:53	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 31	(14:53) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle intended for 86-O.Gadsden INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Thomas at LAC 45. 32-D.Thomas to LAC 45 for no gain (86-O.Gadsden).	−1.73	−3.80	+2.07	−4.46	−4%	1.4×
Q1 14:46	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 45	(14:46) 14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 23-E.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 45-T.Tuipulotu at LAC 44. 45-T.Tuipulotu to LAC 48 for 4 yards (23-E.Wilson).	−2.70	−4.71	+2.01	−5.74	−7%	1.4×
Q1 14:38	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 48	(14:38) (Shotgun) 77-T.Burke reported in as eligible. 8-O.Hampton up the middle to SEA 49 for 3 yards (3-N.Emmanwori).	0.00	−0.17	+0.17	−0.32	0%	1.4×
Q1 14:03	LAC	2nd & 7	SEA 49	(14:03) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 34-K.Mitchell to SEA 41 for 8 yards (3-N.Emmanwori).	+0.93	+0.79	+0.14	+1.12	+3%	1.4×
Q1 13:30	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 41	(13:30) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to 28-K.Vidal.	−0.43	−0.45	+0.02	−0.89	−1%	1.4×
Q1 13:26	LAC	2nd & 10	SEA 41	(13:26) (Shotgun) 77-T.Burke reported in as eligible. 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 9-T.Harris to SEA 28 for 13 yards (3-N.Emmanwori).	+1.36	+1.22	+0.14	+1.60	+4%	1.4×
Q1 12:48	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 28	(12:48) 8-O.Hampton right tackle to SEA 23 for 5 yards (3-N.Emmanwori; 58-D.Hall). PENALTY on SEA-7-U.Nwosu, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 28 - No Play.	+0.58	+0.52	+0.06	+0.56	+2%	1.4×
Q1 12:32	LAC	1st & 5	SEA 23	(12:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to 34-K.Mitchell.	−0.38	−0.39	+0.01	−0.35	−1%	1.4×
Q1 12:30	LAC	2nd & 5	SEA 23	(12:30) 28-K.Vidal left guard to SEA 22 for 1 yard (13-E.Jones). Penalty on SEA-29-J.Jobe, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, offsetting. Penalty on LAC-9-T.Harris, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, offsetting.	−0.26	−0.34	+0.08	−0.46	−1%	1.4×
Q1 12:03	LAC	3rd & 4	SEA 22	(12:03) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete deep left to 1-Q.Johnston.	−0.71	−0.72	+0.01	−1.23	−2%	1.4×
Q1 11:58	LAC	4th & 4	SEA 22	(11:58) 11-C.Dicker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	+0.36	−0.50	+0.86	+0.57	−3%	1.4×
Q1 11:54	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 35	11-C.Dicker kicks 65 yards from LAC 35 to end zone, Touchback to the SEA 35.	+2.62	+0.38	+2.23	+0.58	+8%	1.4×
Q1 11:54	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 35	(11:54) 74-J.Jones reported in as eligible. 23-E.Wilson left end to SEA 44 for 9 yards (20-C.Hart). PENALTY on SEA-74-J.Jones, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at SEA 35 - No Play.	−0.82	−0.75	−0.06	−0.90	−2%	1.4×
Q1 11:34	SEA	1st & 20	SEA 25	(11:34) (Shotgun) 23-E.Wilson left tackle to SEA 40 for 15 yards (20-C.Hart).	+0.65	+0.79	−0.14	+0.96	+2%	1.4×
Q1 11:00	SEA	2nd & 5	SEA 40	(11:00) (Shotgun) 23-E.Wilson right guard to SEA 42 for 2 yards (0-D.Henley; 52-K.Mack).	−0.51	−0.35	−0.16	−0.52	−2%	1.4×
Q1 10:23	SEA	3rd & 3	SEA 42	(10:23) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left [45-T.Tuipulotu]. PENALTY on SEA-14-S.Darnold, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at SEA 42.	−2.15	−2.12	−0.03	−2.58	−7%	1.4×
Q1 10:13	SEA	4th & 13	SEA 32	(10:13) 4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-41-C.Stoll. 12-D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-57-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.	+4.69	+4.80	−0.11	+5.51	+14%	1.4×
Q1 10:03	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 23	(10:03) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 23-E.Wilson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.63	+3.09	−1.47	+2.20	+4%	1.4×
Q1 9:55	SEA	Try	LAC 15	5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.	+0.26	−0.45	+0.71	+0.07	0%	1.3×
Q1 9:55	LAC	Kickoff	SEA 35	5-J.Myers kicks 64 yards from SEA 35 to LAC 1. 12-D.Davis to LAC 31 for 30 yards (94-M.Morris).	−0.56	+0.22	−0.78	+0.34	−2%	1.3×
Q1 9:48	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 31	(9:48) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right [7-U.Nwosu].	−0.45	−0.46	0.00	−0.53	−1%	1.3×
Q1 9:44	LAC	2nd & 10	LAC 31	(9:44) (Shotgun) 28-K.Vidal up the middle to LAC 30 for -1 yards (3-N.Emmanwori).	−0.64	−0.69	+0.04	−1.06	−2%	1.3×
Q1 9:03	LAC	3rd & 11	LAC 30	(9:03) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 86-O.Gadsden to LAC 38 for 8 yards (21-D.Witherspoon).	−0.18	−0.24	+0.06	−0.37	0%	1.2×
Q1 8:20	LAC	4th & 3	LAC 38	(8:20) 16-J.Scott punts 44 yards to SEA 18, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.	−0.43	−0.47	+0.04	+0.05	−2%	1.2×
Q1 8:14	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 18	(8:14) (Shotgun) 23-E.Wilson left end to SEA 20 for 2 yards (92-J.Eboigbe). PENALTY on LAC-93-T.Tart, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 18 - No Play.	+0.49	+0.51	−0.02	+0.62	+1%	1.2×
Q1 8:05	SEA	1st & 5	SEA 23	(8:05) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to SEA 32 for 9 yards (26-D.Jackson).	+0.21	+0.25	−0.04	+0.47	0%	1.2×
Q1 7:33	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 32	(7:33) 36-G.Holani left end to SEA 41 for 9 yards (23-T.Jefferson). PENALTY on LAC-93-T.Tart, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 41.	+0.72	+0.75	−0.04	+0.84	+1%	1.2×
Q1 7:10	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 46	(7:10) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 23-E.Wilson to SEA 49 for 3 yards (90-A.Mesidor) [93-T.Tart]. PENALTY on SEA-38-B.Russell, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at SEA 49.	−1.32	−1.31	−0.01	−1.63	−3%	1.1×
Q1 6:35	SEA	2nd & 22	SEA 34	(6:35) (Shotgun) 36-G.Holani right end to SEA 33 for -1 yards (23-T.Jefferson).	−0.71	−0.67	−0.04	−0.93	−2%	1.2×
Q1 5:54	SEA	3rd & 23	SEA 33	(5:54) (Shotgun) 36-G.Holani left guard to SEA 37 for 4 yards (23-T.Jefferson; 27-R.Mickens).	−1.01	−0.95	−0.06	−0.91	−3%	1.2×
Q1 5:11	SEA	4th & 19	SEA 37	(5:11) 4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 18, Center-41-C.Stoll. 12-D.Davis to LAC 18 for no gain (57-C.O'Toole). PENALTY on SEA-57-C.O'Toole, Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 18.	−0.80	−0.60	−0.20	−0.52	−2%	1.3×
Q1 5:02	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 33	(5:02) 77-T.Burke reported in as eligible. 28-K.Vidal right tackle to LAC 42 for 9 yards (3-N.Emmanwori).	+0.74	+0.70	+0.04	+0.90	+3%	1.3×
Q1 4:26	LAC	2nd & 1	LAC 42	(4:26) (Shotgun) 8-O.Hampton right guard to SEA 43 for 15 yards (13-E.Jones; 20-J.Love).	+0.63	+0.63	−0.01	+0.77	+2%	1.4×
Q1 3:55	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 43	(3:55) (Shotgun) 8-O.Hampton up the middle to SEA 41 for 2 yards (56-D.Fowler).	−0.23	−0.24	+0.01	−0.31	−1%	1.4×
Q1 3:16	LAC	2nd & 8	SEA 41	(3:16) (Shotgun) 1-Q.Johnston left end pushed ob at SEA 45 for -4 yards (0-D.Lawrence).	−1.07	−1.09	+0.02	−1.20	−1%	1.4×
Q1 2:44	LAC	3rd & 12	SEA 45	(2:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short middle to 15-L.McConkey.	−1.26	−1.26	0.00	−1.45	−4%	1.4×
Q1 2:40	LAC	4th & 12	SEA 45	(2:40) 16-J.Scott punts 45 yards to end zone, Center-47-J.Harris, Touchback.	−0.64	−0.66	+0.02	−0.69	−4%	1.3×
Q1 2:32	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 20	(2:32) 23-E.Wilson right end to SEA 19 for -1 yards (52-K.Mack).	−0.66	−0.60	−0.06	−0.92	−2%	1.2×
Q1 1:54	SEA	2nd & 11	SEA 19	(1:54) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to SEA 25 for 6 yards (27-R.Mickens).	−0.08	−0.03	−0.05	+0.04	0%	1.3×
Q1 1:15	SEA	3rd & 5	SEA 25	(1:15) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 88-A.Barner.	−1.07	−1.06	0.00	−1.37	−3%	1.3×
Q1 1:12	SEA	4th & 5	SEA 25	(1:12) 4-M.Dickson punts 54 yards to LAC 21, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.	+0.45	+0.38	+0.08	+0.60	0%	1.3×
Q1 1:05	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 21	(1:05) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 8-O.Hampton to LAC 26 for 5 yards (21-D.Witherspoon; 13-E.Jones).	+0.05	+0.05	0.00	+0.02	0%	1.3×
Q1 0:27	LAC	2nd & 5	LAC 26	(:27) 34-K.Mitchell right end pushed ob at LAC 27 for 1 yard (21-D.Witherspoon).	−0.45	−0.46	0.00	−0.65	−2%	1.3×
Q2 15:00	LAC	3rd & 4	LAC 27	(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 20 for -7 yards (91-B.Murphy).	−1.69	−1.70	+0.01	−1.93	−5%	1.3×
Q2 14:20	LAC	4th & 11	LAC 20	(14:20) 16-J.Scott punts 40 yards to SEA 40, Center-47-J.Harris. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 41 for 1 yard (33-D.Leonard). PENALTY on SEA-1-J.Neal, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at SEA 40.	+0.53	+0.40	+0.12	+0.51	+1%	1.2×
Q2 14:11	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 30	(14:11) 23-E.Wilson right end to SEA 33 for 3 yards (90-A.Mesidor; 92-J.Eboigbe).	−0.19	−0.19	−0.01	−0.26	−1%	1.2×
Q2 13:36	SEA	2nd & 7	SEA 33	(13:36) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 22-R.Shaheed ran ob at LAC 47 for 20 yards (24-R.Shelley).	+1.38	+1.41	−0.03	+1.72	+3%	1.2×
Q2 13:15	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 47	(13:15) (No Huddle) 23-E.Wilson right end to LAC 44 for 3 yards (90-A.Mesidor; 93-T.Tart).	−0.18	−0.17	−0.01	−0.36	0%	1.2×
Q2 12:37	SEA	2nd & 7	LAC 44	(12:37) (Shotgun) 36-G.Holani right end to LAC 46 for -2 yards (0-D.Henley, 99-J.Caldwell).	−0.89	−0.90	+0.01	−0.97	−2%	1.2×
Q2 11:57	SEA	3rd & 9	LAC 46	(11:57) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep left to 22-R.Shaheed [0-D.Henley].	−1.24	−1.24	0.00	−1.56	−4%	1.2×
Q2 11:51	SEA	4th & 9	LAC 46	(11:51) 4-M.Dickson punts 34 yards to LAC 12, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.	−0.03	−0.19	+0.16	−0.10	0%	1.3×
Q2 11:44	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 12	(11:44) (Shotgun) 8-O.Hampton left guard to LAC 18 for 6 yards (32-D.Thomas).	+0.16	+0.16	0.00	+0.28	0%	1.3×
Q2 11:11	LAC	2nd & 4	LAC 18	(11:11) 34-K.Mitchell right end to LAC 18 for no gain (21-D.Witherspoon).	−0.59	−0.62	+0.02	−0.72	−2%	1.3×
Q2 10:32	LAC	3rd & 4	LAC 18	(10:32) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short left to 86-O.Gadsden (20-J.Love) [32-D.Thomas].	−0.89	−0.89	0.00	−1.20	−3%	1.3×
Q2 10:30	LAC	4th & 4	LAC 18	(10:30) 16-J.Scott punts 47 yards to SEA 35, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.	−0.06	−0.13	+0.07	−0.04	0%	1.2×
Q2 10:23	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 35	(10:23) 14-S.Darnold sacked at SEA 27 for -8 yards (52-K.Mack).	−1.11	−1.14	+0.03	−1.26	−3%	1.2×
Q2 9:38	SEA	2nd & 18	SEA 27	(9:38) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 36-G.Holani to SEA 29 for 2 yards (53-D.Phillips).	−0.47	−0.49	+0.02	−0.62	−1%	1.3×
Q2 8:55	SEA	3rd & 16	SEA 29	(8:55) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to LAC 43 for 28 yards (22-G.Smith) [93-T.Tart].	+2.81	+2.85	−0.04	+3.14	+8%	1.3×
Q2 8:16	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 43	(8:16) 23-E.Wilson right tackle to LAC 40 for 3 yards (93-T.Tart).	−0.16	−0.14	−0.01	−0.10	0%	1.1×
Q2 7:40	SEA	2nd & 7	LAC 40	(7:40) 23-E.Wilson right guard to LAC 34 for 6 yards (90-A.Mesidor).	+0.29	+0.32	−0.04	+0.35	+1%	1.1×
Q2 7:00	SEA	3rd & 1	LAC 34	(7:00) 74-J.Jones reported in as eligible. 23-E.Wilson right guard to LAC 28 for 6 yards (20-C.Hart; 2-E.Molden).	+0.67	+0.72	−0.05	+0.73	+2%	1.1×
Q2 6:19	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 28	(6:19) 22-R.Shaheed left end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.05	+3.26	−1.22	+3.17	+6%	1.1×
Q2 6:12	SEA	Try	LAC 15	5-J.Myers extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.	−0.82	−1.36	+0.55	−0.93	−2%	0.9×
Q2 6:12	LAC	Kickoff	SEA 35	5-J.Myers kicks 43 yards from SEA 35 to LAC 22, short of landing zone. PENALTY on SEA-5-J.Myers, Kickoff Short of Landing Zone, placed at LAC 40.	+0.86	+0.82	+0.05	+0.97	+3%	1.0×
Q2 6:12	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 40	(6:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert scrambles right end to LAC 41 for 1 yard (29-J.Jobe).	−0.37	−0.37	0.00	−0.56	−1%	1.0×
Q2 5:25	LAC	2nd & 9	LAC 41	(5:25) (Shotgun) PENALTY on LAC-70-R.Slater, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at LAC 41 - No Play.	−0.49	−0.50	+0.01	−0.47	−2%	1.0×
Q2 5:05	LAC	2nd & 14	LAC 36	(5:05) 77-T.Burke reported in as eligible. 34-K.Mitchell left tackle to LAC 39 for 3 yards (13-E.Jones; 3-N.Emmanwori).	−0.31	−0.32	+0.01	−0.46	−1%	1.0×
Q2 4:21	LAC	3rd & 11	LAC 39	(4:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 31 for -8 yards (13-E.Jones).	−1.64	−1.67	+0.03	−1.21	−5%	0.9×
Q2 3:37	LAC	4th & 19	LAC 31	(3:37) 16-J.Scott punts 44 yards to SEA 25, Center-47-J.Harris. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 37 for 12 yards (32-K.Williamson).	−0.54	−0.38	−0.16	−0.52	+1%	0.8×
Q2 3:26	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 37	(3:26) 23-E.Wilson right tackle to SEA 36 for -1 yards (45-T.Tuipulotu, 92-J.Eboigbe).	−0.60	−0.58	−0.02	−0.45	−1%	0.8×
Q2 2:46	SEA	2nd & 11	SEA 36	(2:46) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 10-C.Kupp (4-T.Still).	−0.61	−0.61	0.00	−0.50	−1%	0.8×
Q2 2:39	SEA	3rd & 11	SEA 36	(2:39) (Shotgun) PENALTY on SEA-61-J.Sundell, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 36 - No Play.	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.32	−1%	0.9×
Q2 2:39	SEA	3rd & 16	SEA 31	(2:39) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to SEA 44 for 13 yards (0-D.Henley). The ball spot was assisted by replay.	+0.08	+0.10	−0.02	−0.04	−1%	0.9×
Q2 2:00	SEA	4th & 3	SEA 44	(2:00) 4-M.Dickson punts 30 yards to LAC 26, Center-41-C.Stoll, downed by SEA-30-A.Finley.	−1.09	−0.87	−0.22	−0.76	+1%	0.9×
Q2 1:50	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 26	(1:50) (Shotgun) 86-O.Gadsden left end to LAC 28 for 2 yards (3-N.Emmanwori).	−0.26	−0.27	+0.02	−0.05	−1%	0.9×
Q2 1:29	LAC	2nd & 8	LAC 28	(1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones at LAC 40. 13-E.Jones to LAC 20 for 20 yards (28-K.Vidal; 10-J.Herbert).	−4.68	−4.50	−0.17	−4.78	−5%	0.9×
Q2 1:20	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 20	(1:20) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 88-A.Barner to LAC 8 for 12 yards (2-E.Molden).	+0.67	+0.64	+0.03	+0.80	+1%	0.7×
Q2 0:47	SEA	1st & 8	LAC 8	(:47) (Shotgun) 23-E.Wilson left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.35	+1.97	−0.63	+2.04	+2%	0.6×
Q2 0:43	SEA	Try	LAC 15	5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.	−0.04	−0.15	+0.11	+0.07	0%	0.5×
Q2 0:43	LAC	Kickoff	SEA 35	5-J.Myers kicks 65 yards from SEA 35 to LAC 0. 12-D.Davis to LAC 34 for 34 yards (52-P.O'Connell).	+0.43	+0.27	+0.16	+0.23	+1%	0.5×
Q2 0:38	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 34	(:38) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 28-K.Vidal to LAC 36 for 2 yards (13-E.Jones).	−0.26	−0.26	0.00	−0.13	−1%	0.5×
Q2 0:31	LAC	2nd & 8	LAC 36	(:31) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Valdes-Scantling (28-N.Pritchett).	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.20	−1%	0.5×
Q2 0:27	LAC	3rd & 8	LAC 36	(:27) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert scrambles up the middle to SEA 38 for 26 yards (24-R.Thomas).	+2.39	+2.44	−0.05	+1.30	+4%	0.5×
Q2 0:18	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 38	(:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on LAC-75-T.Penning, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 38 - No Play.	−0.52	−0.53	+0.01	−0.60	−1%	0.6×
Q2 0:18	LAC	1st & 15	SEA 43	(:18) (Shotgun) 28-K.Vidal left tackle to SEA 36 for 7 yards (13-E.Jones). PENALTY on SEA-3-N.Emmanwori, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at SEA 36.	+1.51	+1.52	−0.01	+1.55	+3%	0.6×
Q2 0:05	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 21	(:05) 11-C.Dicker 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	−1.20	−0.91	−0.29	+0.41	−4%	0.7×
Q3 15:00	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 35	11-C.Dicker kicks 64 yards from LAC 35 to SEA 1. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 32 for 31 yards (43-T.Dye).	+0.74	+0.69	+0.06	+0.53	+1%	0.6×
Q3 14:55	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 32	(14:55) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba pushed ob at LAC 48 for 20 yards (0-D.Henley).	+1.00	+1.08	−0.08	+1.12	+1%	0.5×
Q3 14:20	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 48	(14:20) 23-E.Wilson right guard to LAC 44 for 4 yards (93-T.Tart; 53-D.Phillips). PENALTY on LAC-99-J.Caldwell, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at LAC 44.	+0.46	+0.52	−0.06	+0.62	0%	0.5×
Q3 13:55	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 39	(13:55) 23-E.Wilson up the middle to LAC 36 for 3 yards (45-T.Tuipulotu; 52-K.Mack).	−0.22	−0.14	−0.08	−0.23	0%	0.5×
Q3 13:11	SEA	2nd & 7	LAC 36	(13:11) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold scrambles left end ran ob at LAC 28 for 8 yards (45-T.Tuipulotu).	+0.72	+0.78	−0.07	+0.92	+1%	0.5×
Q3 12:33	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 28	(12:33) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 10-C.Kupp to LAC 15 for 13 yards (2-E.Molden).	+0.65	+0.68	−0.03	+0.79	+1%	0.4×
Q3 11:51	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 15	(11:51) 22-R.Shaheed left end to LAC 10 for 5 yards (20-C.Hart; 90-A.Mesidor).	+0.08	+0.10	−0.02	−0.05	0%	0.4×
Q3 11:10	SEA	2nd & 5	LAC 10	(11:10) (Shotgun) 23-E.Wilson up the middle to LAC 6 for 4 yards (90-A.Mesidor; 53-D.Phillips).	0.00	+0.01	−0.01	+0.21	0%	0.4×
Q3 10:26	SEA	3rd & 1	LAC 6	(10:26) 74-J.Jones reported in as eligible. 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 15-T.Horton for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.05	+2.34	−0.29	+1.62	+2%	0.4×
Q3 10:23	SEA	Try	LAC 15	5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.	−0.13	−0.08	−0.05	+0.07	0%	0.2×
Q3 10:23	LAC	Kickoff	SEA 35	5-J.Myers kicks 62 yards from SEA 35 to LAC 3. 28-K.Vidal to LAC 41 for 38 yards (81-E.Saubert). PENALTY on LAC-81-P.Herbert, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 29.	−0.55	−0.47	−0.08	−0.52	0%	0.2×
Q3 10:15	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 19	(10:15) 34-K.Mitchell right end to LAC 16 for -3 yards (21-D.Witherspoon). PENALTY on SEA-21-D.Witherspoon, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 16.	+0.66	+0.66	0.00	+0.86	0%	0.2×
Q3 9:54	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 31	(9:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert scrambles right end pushed ob at LAC 32 for 1 yard (0-D.Lawrence).	−0.33	−0.35	+0.02	−0.40	0%	0.2×
Q3 9:23	LAC	2nd & 9	LAC 32	(9:23) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 86-O.Gadsden to LAC 37 for 5 yards (32-D.Thomas; 13-E.Jones).	−0.04	−0.05	+0.02	−0.14	0%	0.2×
Q3 8:48	LAC	3rd & 4	LAC 37	(8:48) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 34-K.Mitchell to LAC 39 for 2 yards (3-N.Emmanwori). PENALTY on SEA-3-N.Emmanwori, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 39.	+1.66	+1.68	−0.02	+2.03	+1%	0.2×
Q3 8:35	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 46	(8:35) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 9-T.Harris pushed ob at SEA 20 for 26 yards (20-J.Love).	+1.51	+1.50	0.00	+1.59	+2%	0.3×
Q3 7:58	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 20	(7:58) PENALTY on LAC-9-T.Harris, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 20 - No Play.	−0.51	−0.50	0.00	−0.69	−1%	0.4×
Q3 7:46	LAC	1st & 15	SEA 25	(7:46) (Shotgun) 8-O.Hampton up the middle to SEA 26 for -1 yards (0-D.Lawrence).	−0.46	−0.49	+0.02	−0.53	−1%	0.4×
Q3 7:07	LAC	2nd & 16	SEA 26	(7:07) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 34-K.Mitchell ran ob at SEA 23 for 3 yards (21-D.Witherspoon).	−0.18	−0.20	+0.02	−0.37	0%	0.3×
Q3 6:34	LAC	3rd & 13	SEA 23	(6:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 86-O.Gadsden to SEA 14 for 9 yards (21-D.Witherspoon).	+0.18	+0.13	+0.05	−0.30	0%	0.3×
Q3 5:54	LAC	4th & 4	SEA 14	(5:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 86-O.Gadsden to SEA 9 for 5 yards (21-D.Witherspoon) [99-L.Williams].	+1.62	+1.57	+0.05	+2.47	+1%	0.3×
Q3 5:05	LAC	1st & 9	SEA 9	(5:05) (Shotgun) 9-T.Harris pass incomplete short left to 10-J.Herbert (3-N.Emmanwori) [7-U.Nwosu].	−0.35	−0.35	0.00	−0.57	0%	0.4×
Q3 4:58	LAC	2nd & 9	SEA 9	(4:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 28-K.Vidal for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The touchdown was assisted by replay.	+3.33	+3.51	−0.19	+2.31	+2%	0.3×
Q3 4:53	LAC		SEA 15	(Kick formation) PENALTY on LAC-77-T.Burke, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 15 - No Play.	−0.56	+0.12	−0.68	0.00	−2%	0.5×
Q3 4:53	LAC	Try	SEA 20	11-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	−0.16	−0.95	+0.80	+0.12	0%	0.4×
Q3 4:53	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 35	11-C.Dicker kicks 59 yards from LAC 35 to SEA 6. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 31 for 25 yards (58-M.Wax).	+0.13	−0.09	+0.21	+0.37	0%	0.4×
Q3 4:48	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 31	(4:48) 23-E.Wilson up the middle to SEA 33 for 2 yards (45-T.Tuipulotu). FUMBLES (45-T.Tuipulotu), and recovers at SEA 35.	−0.10	−0.08	−0.02	−0.18	0%	0.4×
Q3 4:05	SEA	2nd & 6	SEA 35	(4:05) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 23-E.Wilson to SEA 48 for 13 yards (93-T.Tart). PENALTY on LAC-27-R.Mickens, Low Block, 15 yards, enforced at SEA 48.	+1.78	+1.85	−0.07	+2.30	+1%	0.4×
Q3 3:42	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 37	(3:42) 36-G.Holani up the middle to LAC 35 for 2 yards (91-N.Barrett).	−0.25	−0.22	−0.03	−0.44	0%	0.3×
Q3 3:05	SEA	2nd & 8	LAC 35	(3:05) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left.	−0.62	−0.61	−0.01	−0.75	−1%	0.3×
Q3 2:58	SEA	3rd & 8	LAC 35	(2:58) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep right to 22-R.Shaheed [27-R.Mickens].	−1.02	−1.01	0.00	−1.20	−1%	0.3×
Q3 2:53	SEA	4th & 8	LAC 35	(2:53) 5-J.Myers 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson. PENALTY on LAC-45-T.Tuipulotu, Leverage, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 35 - No Play.	+2.85	+2.85	0.00	+3.52	+3%	0.4×
Q3 2:49	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 20	(2:49) 23-E.Wilson left tackle to LAC 21 for -1 yards (99-J.Caldwell).	−0.49	−0.45	−0.04	−0.81	0%	0.2×
Q3 2:08	SEA	2nd & 11	LAC 21	(2:08) 23-E.Wilson up the middle to LAC 17 for 4 yards (91-N.Barrett).	−0.10	−0.07	−0.03	−0.07	0%	0.3×
Q3 1:26	SEA	3rd & 7	LAC 17	(1:26) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba (4-T.Still).	−0.72	−0.71	0.00	−1.21	−1%	0.2×
Q3 1:22	SEA	4th & 7	LAC 17	(1:22) 5-J.Myers 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.	+0.13	+0.06	+0.07	+0.35	+1%	0.3×
Q3 1:19	LAC	Kickoff	SEA 35	5-J.Myers kicks 62 yards from SEA 35 to LAC 3. 28-K.Vidal to LAC 25 for 22 yards (94-M.Morris). PENALTY on LAC-58-M.Wax, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 25.	−0.80	−0.58	−0.21	−0.71	0%	0.2×
Q3 1:13	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 15	(1:13) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete deep right to 9-T.Harris.	−0.47	−0.46	0.00	−0.66	0%	0.2×
Q3 1:06	LAC	2nd & 10	LAC 15	(1:06) (Shotgun) 34-K.Mitchell left end pushed ob at LAC 16 for 1 yard (24-R.Thomas).	−0.52	−0.49	−0.03	−0.65	0%	0.2×
Q3 0:31	LAC	3rd & 9	LAC 16	(:31) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 34-K.Mitchell ran ob at LAC 30 for 14 yards (58-D.Hall).	+1.82	+1.86	−0.04	+2.20	+1%	0.1×
Q4 15:00	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 30	(15:00) 10-J.Herbert scrambles left guard to LAC 33 for 3 yards (13-E.Jones).	−0.14	−0.11	−0.04	−0.29	0%	0.2×
Q4 14:18	LAC	2nd & 7	LAC 33	(14:18) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete deep right to 1-Q.Johnston. PENALTY on LAC-77-T.Burke, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 33 - No Play.	−0.93	−0.93	0.00	−1.17	−1%	0.2×
Q4 14:11	LAC	2nd & 17	LAC 23	(14:11) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 16 for -7 yards (0-D.Lawrence). PENALTY on SEA-0-D.Lawrence, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 23 - No Play.	+1.54	+1.55	−0.02	+1.94	+1%	0.1×
Q4 14:02	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 38	(14:02) 34-K.Mitchell left tackle to LAC 46 for 8 yards (20-J.Love).	+0.53	+0.57	−0.04	+0.70	0%	0.2×
Q4 13:28	LAC	2nd & 2	LAC 46	(13:28) 34-K.Mitchell right end pushed ob at SEA 34 for 20 yards (24-R.Thomas).	+1.08	+1.15	−0.07	+1.03	+1%	0.2×
Q4 12:55	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 34	(12:55) 34-K.Mitchell up the middle to SEA 32 for 2 yards (32-D.Thomas).	−0.15	−0.13	−0.02	−0.26	0%	0.3×
Q4 12:13	LAC	2nd & 8	SEA 32	(12:13) 10-J.Herbert sacked at SEA 43 for -11 yards (3-N.Emmanwori).	−1.57	−1.58	0.00	−2.19	−2%	0.3×
Q4 11:26	LAC	3rd & 19	SEA 43	(11:26) (Shotgun) PENALTY on LAC, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at SEA 43 - No Play.	−0.23	−0.24	+0.01	−0.23	0%	0.2×
Q4 11:26	LAC	3rd & 24	SEA 48	(11:26) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 8-O.Hampton to SEA 45 for 3 yards (21-D.Witherspoon). PENALTY on SEA-58-D.Hall, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at SEA 45.	+2.39	+2.44	−0.04	+2.97	+3%	0.1×
Q4 11:08	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 30	(11:08) 10-J.Herbert scrambles right end to SEA 24 for 6 yards (32-D.Thomas).	+0.36	+0.37	−0.01	+0.42	0%	0.3×
Q4 10:28	LAC	2nd & 4	SEA 24	(10:28) 34-K.Mitchell right guard to SEA 23 for 1 yard (29-J.Jobe).	−0.23	−0.22	−0.01	−0.54	−1%	0.3×
Q4 9:49	LAC	3rd & 3	SEA 23	(9:49) 8-O.Hampton right guard to SEA 17 for 6 yards (29-J.Jobe; 13-E.Jones).	+0.86	+0.86	0.00	+0.95	+1%	0.3×
Q4 9:12	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 17	(9:12) 8-O.Hampton right end pushed ob at SEA 6 for 11 yards (20-J.Love).	+0.82	+0.78	+0.03	+0.80	+1%	0.3×
Q4 8:38	LAC	1st & 6	SEA 6	(8:38) (Shotgun) 8-O.Hampton left end pushed ob at SEA 5 for 1 yard (24-R.Thomas).	−0.17	−0.15	−0.02	−0.27	−1%	0.4×
Q4 8:06	LAC	2nd & 5	SEA 5	(8:06) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert left guard to SEA 2 for 3 yards (58-D.Hall; 7-U.Nwosu). LAC-70-R.Slater was injured during the play. SEA-99-L.Williams was injured during the play.	−0.13	−0.14	+0.01	−0.27	0%	0.3×
Q4 7:52	LAC	3rd & 2	SEA 2	(7:52) 8-O.Hampton left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.32	+1.89	−0.57	+1.99	−2%	0.3×
Q4 7:48	LAC	Try	SEA 15	11-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	−0.62	−1.28	+0.66	+0.07	0%	0.2×
Q4 7:48	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 35	11-C.Dicker kicks 65 yards from LAC 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the SEA 20. PENALTY on LAC-53-D.Phillips, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at LAC 35 - No Play.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0%	0.2×
Q4 7:48	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 30	11-C.Dicker kicks 63 yards from LAC 30 to SEA 7. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 34 for 27 yards (43-T.Dye; 33-D.Leonard). FUMBLES (43-T.Dye), and recovers at SEA 34.	−0.81	−0.49	−0.33	+0.48	−1%	0.2×
Q4 7:42	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 34	(7:42) 23-E.Wilson left end to SEA 35 for 1 yard (53-D.Phillips).	−0.34	−0.39	+0.06	−0.57	0%	0.2×
Q4 7:05	SEA	2nd & 9	SEA 35	(7:05) 23-E.Wilson left end to 50 for 15 yards (0-D.Henley).	+1.24	+1.18	+0.05	+1.55	+2%	0.2×
Q4 6:21	SEA	1st & 10	50	(6:21) (Shotgun) 23-E.Wilson left guard to LAC 49 for 1 yard (93-T.Tart).	−0.34	−0.42	+0.08	−0.50	0%	0.1×
Q4 5:38	SEA	2nd & 9	LAC 49	(5:38) (Shotgun) 36-G.Holani right guard to LAC 41 for 8 yards (53-D.Phillips; 2-E.Molden).	+0.40	+0.33	+0.07	+0.72	+1%	0.1×
Q4 4:55	SEA	3rd & 1	LAC 41	(4:55) (Shotgun) 36-G.Holani right guard to LAC 43 for -2 yards (2-E.Molden, 45-T.Tuipulotu).	−1.66	−1.78	+0.12	−2.33	−1%	0.1×
Q4 4:09	SEA	4th & 3	LAC 43	(4:09) (Shotgun) PENALTY on SEA, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at LAC 43 - No Play.	−0.52	−0.53	+0.01	−0.62	0%	0.1×
Q4 4:09	SEA	4th & 8	LAC 48	(4:09) 4-M.Dickson punts 41 yards to LAC 7, Center-41-C.Stoll, downed by SEA-1-J.Neal.	+0.44	+0.35	+0.09	+0.26	−3%	0.1×
Q4 4:01	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 7	(4:01) (Shotgun) 34-K.Mitchell left end pushed ob at LAC 13 for 6 yards (28-N.Pritchett).	+0.12	+0.13	−0.01	+0.23	0%	0.3×
Q4 3:57	LAC	2nd & 4	LAC 13	(3:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 34-K.Mitchell to LAC 10 for -3 yards (32-D.Thomas).	−1.11	−1.08	−0.03	−0.98	−2%	0.2×
Q4 3:33	LAC	3rd & 7	LAC 10	(3:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to 86-O.Gadsden [90-J.Reed].	−0.92	−0.91	−0.01	−0.98	−1%	0.2×
Q4 3:28	LAC	4th & 7	LAC 10	(3:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston to SEA 46 for 44 yards (24-R.Thomas).	+3.99	+4.10	−0.11	+4.30	+6%	0.1×
Q4 2:54	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 46	(2:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to 9-T.Harris.	−0.48	−0.47	−0.01	−0.42	−1%	0.4×
Q4 2:50	LAC	2nd & 10	SEA 46	(2:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 12-D.Davis to SEA 40 for 6 yards (7-U.Nwosu).	−0.21	−0.15	−0.06	+0.13	−1%	0.3×
Q4 2:23	LAC	3rd & 4	SEA 40	(2:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 9-T.Harris ran ob at SEA 19 for 21 yards (24-R.Thomas) [3-N.Emmanwori].	+1.98	+1.99	−0.01	+0.25	+6%	0.3×
Q4 2:17	LAC	1st & 10	SEA 19	(2:17) 11-C.Dicker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	−2.16	−2.04	−0.12	+0.45	−12%	0.5×
Q4 2:14	SEA	Kickoff	LAC 35	11-C.Dicker kicks 65 yards from LAC 35 to end zone, Touchback to the SEA 35.	−0.73	−0.71	−0.02	+0.55	0%	0.0×
Q4 2:14	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 35	(2:14) 23-E.Wilson up the middle to SEA 35 for no gain (52-K.Mack).	−0.46	−0.47	+0.01	−0.42	0%	0.1×
Q4 2:10	SEA	2nd & 10	SEA 35	(2:10) 14-S.Darnold sacked at SEA 32 for -3 yards (sack split by 92-J.Eboigbe and 45-T.Tuipulotu). PENALTY on LAC-92-J.Eboigbe, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at SEA 32.	+1.07	+1.06	+0.01	+1.05	+1%	0.1×
Q4 2:02	SEA	1st & 10	SEA 47	(2:02) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left to 88-A.Barner (20-C.Hart).	−0.47	−0.49	+0.02	−0.43	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:56	SEA	2nd & 10	SEA 47	(1:56) 23-E.Wilson up the middle to SEA 49 for 2 yards (52-K.Mack).	−0.48	−0.48	0.00	−0.82	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:53	SEA	3rd & 8	SEA 49	(1:53) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at SEA 40 for -9 yards (43-T.Dye).	−1.94	−1.96	+0.03	−1.56	−1%	0.0×
Q4 1:49	SEA	4th & 17	SEA 40	(1:49) 4-M.Dickson punts 49 yards to LAC 11, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.	+2.19	+2.15	+0.04	+0.29	−2%	0.1×
Q4 1:42	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 11	(1:42) (Shotgun) 28-K.Vidal up the middle to LAC 20 for 9 yards (13-E.Jones; 20-J.Love).	+0.54	+0.56	−0.01	+0.04	0%	0.2×
Q4 1:22	LAC	2nd & 1	LAC 20	(1:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 86-O.Gadsden to LAC 29 for 9 yards (13-E.Jones).	+0.17	+0.18	−0.01	+0.09	0%	0.2×
Q4 1:03	LAC	1st & 10	LAC 29	(1:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 20 for -9 yards (7-U.Nwosu). FUMBLES (7-U.Nwosu) [7-U.Nwosu], RECOVERED by SEA-58-D.Hall at LAC 20. PENALTY on LAC-69-C.Strange, Unnecessary Roughness, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 20.	−3.64	−3.56	−0.08	−4.36	−3%	0.2×
Q4 0:54	SEA	1st & 10	LAC 10	(:54) 14-S.Darnold kneels to LAC 11 for -1 yards.	−0.51	−0.56	+0.06	−0.74	0%	0.0×
Q4 0:32	SEA	2nd & 11	LAC 11	(:32) 14-S.Darnold kneels to LAC 12 for -1 yards.	−3.03	−2.39	−0.65	−3.03	0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	O.Hampton	LAC	11	—	+2.9+0.33	+2.4+1.22	+5.4+0.49	+0.5+0.21	+6.4+0.58
	K.Vidal	LAC	8	—	+1.9+0.38	+2.6+0.88	+4.5+0.57	+0.3+0.16	+2.2+0.28
	T.Harris	LAC	6	−0.4−0.35	—	+3.9+0.78	+3.5+0.59	+0.7+0.88	+1.8+0.30
	J.Smith-Njigba	SEA	6	—	—	+3.3+0.55	+3.3+0.55	+1.2+0.77	+3.5+0.59
	K.Mitchell	LAC	16	—	+0.1+0.01	+2.7+0.46	+2.9+0.18	−0.1−0.03	+3.2+0.20
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LAC
	J.Herbert	19	31	1	2	4	1896.1	−8.0−0.23	−2.5−0.07	−3.1−0.46
	T.Harris	0	1	0	0	0	00.0	−0.6−0.57	−0.4−0.35	0.0−0.35

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SEA
	S.Darnold	13	22	2	1	3	1687.6	−5.2−0.21	−2.2−0.09	−1.1−0.20

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LAC
	K.Mitchell	10	0	393.9	−0.5−0.05	+0.1+0.01	−0.4−0.25
	O.Hampton	9	1	455.0	+3.4+0.37	+2.9+0.33	+0.4+0.20
	J.Herbert	6	0	406.7	+0.2+0.03	+1.8+0.30	+0.2+0.27
	K.Vidal	5	0	255.0	+1.0+0.19	+1.9+0.38	+0.2+0.16
	Q.Johnston	1	0	−4−4.0	−1.2−1.20	−1.1−1.07	−0.4−1.07
	O.Gadsden	1	0	22.0	−0.1−0.05	−0.3−0.26	−0.1−0.26

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SEA
	E.Wilson	21	1	813.9	+0.2+0.01	−0.2−0.01	+0.1+0.01
	G.Holani	7	0	182.6	−4.0−0.58	−3.4−0.49	−0.7−0.47
	S.Darnold	3	0	62.0	−2.9−0.95	−2.8−0.94	+0.1+0.72
	R.Shaheed	2	1	3316.5	+3.1+1.56	+2.1+1.07	+0.6+1.53

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LAC
	O.Gadsden	8	5	0	367.2	−4.9−0.61	−1.8−0.22	−1.0−0.68
	K.Mitchell	6	5	0	244.8	+3.7+0.61	+2.7+0.46	+0.3+0.28
	T.Harris	5	3	0	6020.0	+2.4+0.47	+3.9+0.78	+0.8+1.05
	K.Vidal	3	2	1	115.5	+1.3+0.43	+2.6+0.88	+0.1+0.15
	Q.Johnston	2	1	0	4444.0	+3.1+1.53	+3.3+1.64	−0.1−0.35
	L.McConkey	2	0	0	0—	−6.2−3.12	−5.9−2.97	−1.6−2.57
	O.Hampton	2	2	0	84.0	+3.0+1.50	+2.4+1.22	+0.1+0.28
	M.Valdes-Scantling	1	0	0	0—	−0.2−0.20	−0.6−0.60	−0.1−0.60
	J.Herbert	1	0	0	0—	−0.6−0.57	−0.4−0.35	0.0−0.35
	D.Davis	1	1	0	66.0	+0.1+0.13	−0.2−0.21	0.0−0.21

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SEA
	J.Smith-Njigba	6	5	0	7615.2	+3.5+0.59	+3.3+0.55	+1.2+0.77
	E.Wilson	4	3	1	3913.0	−2.9−0.72	−0.6−0.15	−0.7−0.58
	A.Barner	3	1	0	1212.0	−1.0−0.33	−0.9−0.29	−0.3−0.48
	R.Shaheed	3	1	0	2020.0	−1.0−0.35	−0.9−0.29	0.0−0.05
	C.Kupp	2	1	0	1313.0	+0.3+0.15	0.0+0.02	−0.1−0.18
	G.Holani	1	1	0	22.0	−0.6−0.62	−0.5−0.47	−0.2−0.47
	T.Horton	1	1	1	66.0	+1.6+1.62	+2.0+2.05	+0.2+2.05