KC 30, LV 27 — week 4, 2026

30 at 27

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

KC season | LV season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

KC 45%

Win expectancy

from how they played

KC 82%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
LV	94	27	4374.6	+6.2+0.066	+11.6+0.123	+9.9+0.106	+1.7+0.018	+3.1+0.101
KC	67	30	3996.0	+7.8+0.117	+16.2+0.243	+16.1+0.241	+0.1+0.002	+4.2+0.178
NET	27	−3	38−1.3	−1.6−0.051	−4.6−0.119	−6.2−0.135	+1.5+0.016	−1.1−0.077
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is LV minus KC.

Game Timeline

KC at LV. KC won by 3. Two panels. Top: LV's win probability across 179 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 0%; LV was favored on 69% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at KC by 8.9 in the fourth quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -11% at play 24, P.Mahomes pass deep middle to X.Worthy to LV 7 for 41 yards; -23% at play 118, K.Walker right guard pushed ob at LV 8 for 76 yards; -33% at play 147, P.Mahomes pass deep left to T.Thornton to LV 5 for 55…; -33% at play 178, K.Cousins pass short left intended for M.Mayer — INTERCEPTED.

Excitement

2.7 bits

#1 of 16 this week

96th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.90

#2 of 16 this week

88th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

713 pts

#1 of 16 this week

98th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

86%

#2 of 16 this week

91st percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#1 of 16 this week

96th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

23%

#5 of 16 this week

74th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 3:35	KC	3rd & 5	KC 40	(3:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 2-T.Thornton to LV 5 for 55 yards (31-T.Stukes). KC-2-T.Thornton was injured during the play. PENALTY on LV-7-Q.Walker, Unnecessary Roughness, 3 yards, enforced at LV 5.	+4.52	+4.48	+0.04	+5.24	+33%	1.0×
2	Q3 0:30	KC	1st & 10	KC 16	(:30) 9-K.Walker right guard pushed ob at LV 8 for 76 yards (3-T.Johnson).	+4.21	+4.26	−0.04	+4.90	+23%	1.2×
3	Q4 3:21	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 59 yards from KC 35 to LV 6. 81-D.Young to LV 22 for 16 yards (29-X.Nwankpa, 31-J.Bassa). FUMBLES (31-J.Bassa), RECOVERED by KC-43-J.Cochrane at LV 22.	−3.66	−3.83	+0.17	−5.45	−21%	0.9×
4	Q1 4:33	KC	3rd & 10	LV 48	(4:33) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 1-X.Worthy to LV 7 for 41 yards (5-E.Stokes).	+3.57	+3.53	+0.04	+4.28	+11%	1.2×
5	Q1 8:18	LV	1st & 10	KC 27	(8:18) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 80-I.Thomas for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.09	+3.13	−0.04	+2.42	+9%	1.4×
6	Q1 13:21	KC	4th & 9	KC 30	(13:21) (Punt formation) 14-M.Araiza right end to KC 42 for 12 yards (34-C.Heyward).	+2.88	+2.72	+0.16	+3.63	+9%	1.4×
7	Q3 11:37	LV	4th & 2	KC 18	(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 2-A.Jeanty (23-D.Tranquill) [56-G.Karlaftis].	−2.85	−3.35	+0.50	−3.62	−9%	1.1×
8	Q4 3:10	KC	1st & 10	LV 22	(3:10) 9-K.Walker right end for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.68	+4.32	−1.64	+2.56	+4%	0.5×
9	Q4 0:37	LV	4th & 10	LV 16	(:37) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 2-A.Jeanty ran ob at LV 28 for 12 yards (20-N.Williams; 38-L.Sneed).	+2.58	+2.59	−0.01	+0.64	+20%	0.5×
10	Q2 1:50	KC	1st & 10	LV 47	(1:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 2-T.Thornton pushed ob at LV 5 for 42 yards (35-H.Masses).	+2.57	+2.51	+0.06	+3.04	+10%	1.4×
11	Q4 1:54	LV	2nd & 10	KC 20	(1:54) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 89-B.Bowers for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.50	+2.76	−0.26	+3.05	+1%	0.5×
12	Q4 1:26	KC	4th & 8	KC 47	(1:26) 14-M.Araiza punts 52 yards to LV 1, impetus ends at LV 1, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-29-X.Nwankpa.	+2.42	+2.04	+0.38	+0.11	+9%	1.0×
13	Q4 13:25	LV	3rd & 11	KC 46	(13:25) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 89-B.Bowers to KC 25 for 21 yards (5-M.Delane).	+2.38	+2.45	−0.06	+3.24	+14%	1.3×
14	Q1 10:48	KC	4th & 2	50	(10:48) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle to LV 49 for 1 yard (17-N.Dean).	−2.37	−2.73	+0.36	−3.11	−7%	1.4×
15	Q1 2:26	KC	3rd & 2	LV 2	(2:26) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 2-T.Thornton for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.96	+2.72	−0.76	+1.89	+5%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 0:30	KC	1st & 10	KC 16	(:30) 9-K.Walker right guard pushed ob at LV 8 for 76 yards (3-T.Johnson).	+4.21	+4.26	−0.04	+4.90	+23%	1.2×
2	Q1 4:33	KC	3rd & 10	LV 48	(4:33) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 1-X.Worthy to LV 7 for 41 yards (5-E.Stokes).	+3.57	+3.53	+0.04	+4.28	+11%	1.2×
3	Q4 3:35	KC	3rd & 5	KC 40	(3:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 2-T.Thornton to LV 5 for 55 yards (31-T.Stukes). KC-2-T.Thornton was injured during the play. PENALTY on LV-7-Q.Walker, Unnecessary Roughness, 3 yards, enforced at LV 5.	+4.52	+4.48	+0.04	+5.24	+33%	1.0×
4	Q1 8:18	LV	1st & 10	KC 27	(8:18) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 80-I.Thomas for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.09	+3.13	−0.04	+2.42	+9%	1.4×
5	Q1 13:21	KC	4th & 9	KC 30	(13:21) (Punt formation) 14-M.Araiza right end to KC 42 for 12 yards (34-C.Heyward).	+2.88	+2.72	+0.16	+3.63	+9%	1.4×
6	Q2 1:50	KC	1st & 10	LV 47	(1:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 2-T.Thornton pushed ob at LV 5 for 42 yards (35-H.Masses).	+2.57	+2.51	+0.06	+3.04	+10%	1.4×
7	Q1 10:48	KC	4th & 2	50	(10:48) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle to LV 49 for 1 yard (17-N.Dean).	−2.37	−2.73	+0.36	−3.11	−7%	1.4×
8	Q4 3:21	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 59 yards from KC 35 to LV 6. 81-D.Young to LV 22 for 16 yards (29-X.Nwankpa, 31-J.Bassa). FUMBLES (31-J.Bassa), RECOVERED by KC-43-J.Cochrane at LV 22.	−3.66	−3.83	+0.17	−5.45	−21%	0.9×
9	Q3 11:37	LV	4th & 2	KC 18	(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 2-A.Jeanty (23-D.Tranquill) [56-G.Karlaftis].	−2.85	−3.35	+0.50	−3.62	−9%	1.1×
10	Q4 13:25	LV	3rd & 11	KC 46	(13:25) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 89-B.Bowers to KC 25 for 21 yards (5-M.Delane).	+2.38	+2.45	−0.06	+3.24	+14%	1.3×
11	Q1 2:26	KC	3rd & 2	LV 2	(2:26) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 2-T.Thornton for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.96	+2.72	−0.76	+1.89	+5%	1.4×
12	Q2 0:53	LV	3rd & 9	LV 30	(:53) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers to LV 46 for 16 yards (38-L.Sneed).	+1.83	+1.86	−0.03	+1.12	+8%	1.4×
13	Q4 9:00	LV	2nd & 10	LV 10	(9:00) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 82-C.White to LV 37 for 27 yards (5-M.Delane) [23-D.Tranquill].	+1.96	+1.96	0.00	+2.21	+13%	1.2×
14	Q4 1:26	KC	4th & 8	KC 47	(1:26) 14-M.Araiza punts 52 yards to LV 1, impetus ends at LV 1, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-29-X.Nwankpa.	+2.42	+2.04	+0.38	+0.11	+9%	1.0×
15	Q2 9:21	LV	4th & 1	LV 39	(9:21) Direct snap to 34-C.Heyward. 34-C.Heyward up the middle to LV 40 for 1 yard (8-K.Fulton; 43-J.Cochrane).	+1.62	+1.60	+0.02	+2.00	+6%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 0:10	LV	2nd & 10	KC 49	(:10) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 87-M.Mayer INTERCEPTED by 29-X.Nwankpa (56-G.Karlaftis) [56-G.Karlaftis] at KC 36. 29-X.Nwankpa to KC 39 for 3 yards (82-C.White). Penalty on LV-2-A.Jeanty, Illegal Shift, declined.	−0.91	−1.17	+0.27	−0.66	−33%	1.3×
2	Q4 3:35	KC	3rd & 5	KC 40	(3:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 2-T.Thornton to LV 5 for 55 yards (31-T.Stukes). KC-2-T.Thornton was injured during the play. PENALTY on LV-7-Q.Walker, Unnecessary Roughness, 3 yards, enforced at LV 5.	+4.52	+4.48	+0.04	+5.24	+33%	1.0×
3	Q3 0:30	KC	1st & 10	KC 16	(:30) 9-K.Walker right guard pushed ob at LV 8 for 76 yards (3-T.Johnson).	+4.21	+4.26	−0.04	+4.90	+23%	1.2×
4	Q4 3:21	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 59 yards from KC 35 to LV 6. 81-D.Young to LV 22 for 16 yards (29-X.Nwankpa, 31-J.Bassa). FUMBLES (31-J.Bassa), RECOVERED by KC-43-J.Cochrane at LV 22.	−3.66	−3.83	+0.17	−5.45	−21%	0.9×
5	Q4 0:37	LV	4th & 10	LV 16	(:37) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 2-A.Jeanty ran ob at LV 28 for 12 yards (20-N.Williams; 38-L.Sneed).	+2.58	+2.59	−0.01	+0.64	+20%	0.5×
6	Q4 0:25	LV	2nd & 10	LV 28	(:25) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 1-T.Tucker to KC 49 for 23 yards (27-C.Conner).	+1.61	+1.64	−0.03	+0.50	+17%	1.0×
7	Q4 13:25	LV	3rd & 11	KC 46	(13:25) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 89-B.Bowers to KC 25 for 21 yards (5-M.Delane).	+2.38	+2.45	−0.06	+3.24	+14%	1.3×
8	Q4 9:00	LV	2nd & 10	LV 10	(9:00) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 82-C.White to LV 37 for 27 yards (5-M.Delane) [23-D.Tranquill].	+1.96	+1.96	0.00	+2.21	+13%	1.2×
9	Q1 4:33	KC	3rd & 10	LV 48	(4:33) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 1-X.Worthy to LV 7 for 41 yards (5-E.Stokes).	+3.57	+3.53	+0.04	+4.28	+11%	1.2×
10	Q2 1:50	KC	1st & 10	LV 47	(1:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 2-T.Thornton pushed ob at LV 5 for 42 yards (35-H.Masses).	+2.57	+2.51	+0.06	+3.04	+10%	1.4×
11	Q4 1:35	KC	3rd & 8	KC 47	(1:35) (Shotgun) 52-C.Humphrey to KC 43 for -4 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-15-P.Mahomes at KC 38. 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 1-X.Worthy (3-T.Johnson).	−1.21	−1.23	+0.02	−0.48	−10%	0.8×
12	Q4 14:50	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 63 yards from KC 35 to LV 2. 23-D.Laube pushed ob at KC 45 for 53 yards (48-C.Christiansen).	+1.64	+1.67	−0.03	+1.72	+10%	1.3×
13	Q4 1:05	LV	3rd & 6	LV 5	(1:05) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-M.Mayer to LV 16 for 11 yards (32-N.Bolton).	+1.41	+1.43	−0.02	+0.11	+9%	0.7×
14	Q3 11:37	LV	4th & 2	KC 18	(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 2-A.Jeanty (23-D.Tranquill) [56-G.Karlaftis].	−2.85	−3.35	+0.50	−3.62	−9%	1.1×
15	Q4 1:26	KC	4th & 8	KC 47	(1:26) 14-M.Araiza punts 52 yards to LV 1, impetus ends at LV 1, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-29-X.Nwankpa.	+2.42	+2.04	+0.38	+0.11	+9%	1.0×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 179 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	KC	Kickoff	LV 35	14-M.Gay kicks 61 yards from LV 35 to KC 4. 10-E.Johnson to KC 29 for 25 yards (50-S.Olubi).	+0.29	+0.30	−0.01	+0.29	+1%	1.4×
Q1 14:52	KC	1st & 10	KC 29	(14:52) 9-K.Walker right tackle to KC 33 for 4 yards (97-T.Hemingway; 5-E.Stokes).	+0.11	−0.07	+0.18	−0.14	0%	1.4×
Q1 14:17	KC	2nd & 6	KC 33	(14:17) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker left guard to KC 35 for 2 yards (97-T.Hemingway).	−0.17	−0.36	+0.19	−0.62	−1%	1.4×
Q1 13:39	KC	3rd & 4	KC 35	(13:39) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 1-X.Worthy.	−1.04	−1.07	+0.02	−1.64	−3%	1.4×
Q1 13:34	KC	4th & 4	KC 35	(13:34) 14-M.Araiza punts 64 yards to LV 1, Center-41-J.Winchester. 19-M.Benson pushed ob at LV 16 for 15 yards (47-B.VanSumeren). PENALTY on KC, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at KC 35 - No Play.	−0.48	−0.55	+0.06	−0.42	−2%	1.4×
Q1 13:21	KC	4th & 9	KC 30	(13:21) (Punt formation) 14-M.Araiza right end to KC 42 for 12 yards (34-C.Heyward).	+2.88	+2.72	+0.16	+3.63	+9%	1.4×
Q1 12:39	KC	1st & 10	KC 42	(12:39) 9-K.Walker right guard to KC 45 for 3 yards (99-T.Booker).	−0.08	−0.17	+0.09	−0.26	0%	1.4×
Q1 12:09	KC	2nd & 7	KC 45	(12:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to 50 for 5 yards (35-H.Masses; 98-M.Crosby).	+0.10	+0.02	+0.08	+0.06	0%	1.4×
Q1 11:29	KC	3rd & 2	50	(11:29) (Shotgun) 64-H.Nourzad and 92-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 92-K.Tonga up the middle to 50 for no gain (94-F.Fatukasi; 17-N.Dean).	−1.13	−1.18	+0.05	−2.00	−3%	1.4×
Q1 10:48	KC	4th & 2	50	(10:48) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle to LV 49 for 1 yard (17-N.Dean).	−2.37	−2.73	+0.36	−3.11	−7%	1.4×
Q1 10:26	LV	1st & 10	50	(10:26) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 87-M.Mayer to KC 40 for 10 yards (56-G.Karlaftis).	+0.57	+0.58	0.00	+0.55	+2%	1.4×
Q1 9:43	LV	1st & 10	KC 40	(9:43) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 81-D.Young to KC 31 for 9 yards (5-M.Delane).	+0.80	+0.79	+0.01	+0.64	+2%	1.4×
Q1 8:58	LV	2nd & 1	KC 31	(8:58) (Shotgun) 66-T.Zuhn reported in as eligible. 2-A.Jeanty up the middle to KC 27 for 4 yards (5-M.Delane; 32-N.Bolton).	+0.01	−0.02	+0.03	+0.20	0%	1.4×
Q1 8:18	LV	1st & 10	KC 27	(8:18) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 80-I.Thomas for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.09	+3.13	−0.04	+2.42	+9%	1.4×
Q1 8:10	LV	Try	KC 15	14-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	+0.08	−0.41	+0.49	+0.05	+1%	1.2×
Q1 8:10	KC	Kickoff	LV 35	14-M.Gay kicks 58 yards from LV 35 to KC 7. 10-E.Johnson to KC 31 for 24 yards (93-P.Johnson; 55-C.Lindenberg).	+0.22	+0.24	−0.02	+0.35	+1%	1.2×
Q1 8:04	KC	1st & 10	KC 31	(8:04) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 4-R.Rice ran ob at KC 38 for 7 yards (31-T.Stukes). PENALTY on LV-94-F.Fatukasi, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at KC 31 - No Play.	+0.55	+0.51	+0.04	+0.67	+2%	1.2×
Q1 7:34	KC	1st & 5	KC 36	(7:34) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 2-T.Thornton to KC 40 for 4 yards (5-E.Stokes; 11-J.Chinn). The ball spot was assisted by replay.	+0.29	+0.21	+0.08	+0.13	+1%	1.3×
Q1 6:45	KC	2nd & 1	KC 40	(6:45) 9-K.Walker right guard to KC 40 for no gain (17-N.Dean).	−0.53	−0.60	+0.07	−0.67	−2%	1.3×
Q1 6:01	KC	3rd & 1	KC 40	(6:01) 92-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end to KC 41 for 1 yard (7-Q.Walker).	+0.53	+0.48	+0.05	+0.48	+1%	1.2×
Q1 5:23	KC	1st & 10	KC 41	(5:23) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 83-N.Gray to LV 48 for 11 yards (7-Q.Walker) [98-M.Crosby].	+0.64	+0.62	+0.01	+0.76	+2%	1.3×
Q1 4:46	KC	1st & 10	LV 48	(4:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to 11-J.Royals (5-E.Stokes).	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.54	−1%	1.3×
Q1 4:40	KC	2nd & 10	LV 48	(4:40) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 13-C.Allen.	−0.67	−0.67	0.00	−0.92	−2%	1.3×
Q1 4:33	KC	3rd & 10	LV 48	(4:33) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 1-X.Worthy to LV 7 for 41 yards (5-E.Stokes).	+3.57	+3.53	+0.04	+4.28	+11%	1.2×
Q1 3:49	KC	1st & 7	LV 7	(3:49) 9-K.Walker up the middle to LV 2 for 5 yards (99-T.Booker).	+0.36	+0.34	+0.02	+0.37	+1%	1.4×
Q1 3:10	KC	2nd & 2	LV 2	(3:10) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker left guard to LV 2 for no gain (7-Q.Walker; 11-J.Chinn).	−0.61	−0.60	−0.01	−0.84	−2%	1.4×
Q1 2:26	KC	3rd & 2	LV 2	(2:26) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 2-T.Thornton for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.96	+2.72	−0.76	+1.89	+5%	1.4×
Q1 2:23	KC	Try	LV 15	7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	+0.02	−0.85	+0.87	+0.05	0%	1.4×
Q1 2:23	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 57 yards from KC 35 to LV 8. 23-D.Laube to LV 31 for 23 yards (88-J.Briningstool).	+0.46	+0.30	+0.16	+0.32	+2%	1.4×
Q1 2:17	LV	1st & 10	LV 31	(2:17) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 87-M.Mayer to LV 46 for 15 yards (27-C.Conner; 32-N.Bolton).	+0.75	+0.80	−0.05	+0.92	+2%	1.4×
Q1 1:35	LV	1st & 10	LV 46	(1:35) 4-M.Washington left tackle to LV 47 for 1 yard (97-A.Gillotte).	−0.40	−0.37	−0.03	−0.61	−1%	1.4×
Q1 0:52	LV	2nd & 9	LV 47	(:52) (Shotgun) 2-A.Jeanty left end to LV 47 for no gain (5-M.Delane).	−0.67	−0.65	−0.02	−0.91	−2%	1.4×
Q1 0:12	LV	3rd & 9	LV 47	(:12) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 89-B.Bowers.	−1.18	−1.18	0.00	−1.65	−4%	1.4×
Q1 0:08	LV	4th & 9	LV 47	(:08) (Punt formation) PENALTY on LV, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at LV 47 - No Play.	−0.48	−0.48	+0.01	−0.39	−2%	1.4×
Q1 0:08	LV	4th & 14	LV 42	(:08) 6-A.Cole punts 44 yards to KC 14, Center-47-A.Ward, out of bounds.	+0.53	+0.52	+0.01	+0.27	+2%	1.4×
Q2 15:00	KC	1st & 10	KC 14	(15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left [98-M.Crosby].	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.65	−2%	1.4×
Q2 14:54	KC	2nd & 10	KC 14	(14:54) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker left end pushed ob at KC 25 for 11 yards (11-J.Chinn).	+1.03	+1.05	−0.02	+1.45	+4%	1.4×
Q2 14:23	KC	1st & 10	KC 25	(14:23) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 9-K.Walker to KC 27 for 2 yards (7-Q.Walker).	−0.29	−0.28	−0.02	−0.52	−1%	1.4×
Q2 13:40	KC	2nd & 8	KC 27	(13:40) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker left tackle to KC 48 for 21 yards (97-T.Hemingway; 35-H.Masses).	+1.48	+1.52	−0.04	+1.94	+5%	1.4×
Q2 12:51	KC	1st & 10	KC 48	(12:51) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 10-E.Johnson to LV 49 for 3 yards (7-Q.Walker) [99-T.Booker]. PENALTY on KC, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at KC 48 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.50	0.00	−0.63	−2%	1.4×
Q2 12:21	KC	1st & 15	KC 43	(12:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to 2-T.Thornton (35-H.Masses).	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.59	−2%	1.4×
Q2 12:17	KC	2nd & 15	KC 43	(12:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-X.Worthy to LV 45 for 12 yards (5-E.Stokes).	+0.60	+0.63	−0.03	+0.80	+2%	1.4×
Q2 11:34	KC	3rd & 3	LV 45	(11:34) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 11-J.Royals [97-T.Hemingway].	−1.26	−1.26	0.00	−1.92	−4%	1.4×
Q2 11:28	KC	4th & 3	LV 45	(11:28) 14-M.Araiza punts 33 yards to LV 12, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-10-E.Johnson.	−0.41	−0.58	+0.17	−0.92	−1%	1.4×
Q2 11:19	LV	1st & 10	LV 12	(11:19) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers to LV 30 for 18 yards (23-D.Tranquill).	+0.96	+0.97	−0.01	+1.06	+4%	1.4×
Q2 10:40	LV	1st & 10	LV 30	(10:40) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 89-B.Bowers.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.56	−2%	1.4×
Q2 10:37	LV	2nd & 10	LV 30	(10:37) 4-M.Washington right guard to LV 32 for 2 yards (21-J.Hicks).	−0.38	−0.39	+0.02	−0.64	−1%	1.4×
Q2 9:54	LV	3rd & 8	LV 32	(9:54) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 87-M.Mayer to LV 39 for 7 yards (38-L.Sneed).	−0.17	−0.18	+0.01	−0.34	−1%	1.4×
Q2 9:21	LV	4th & 1	LV 39	(9:21) Direct snap to 34-C.Heyward. 34-C.Heyward up the middle to LV 40 for 1 yard (8-K.Fulton; 43-J.Cochrane).	+1.62	+1.60	+0.02	+2.00	+6%	1.4×
Q2 8:46	LV	1st & 10	LV 40	(8:46) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 4-M.Washington.	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.54	−2%	1.4×
Q2 8:41	LV	2nd & 10	LV 40	(8:41) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-T.Tucker pushed ob at KC 46 for 14 yards (17-A.Gilman; 23-D.Tranquill).	+1.22	+1.24	−0.02	+1.33	+4%	1.4×
Q2 8:07	LV	1st & 10	KC 46	(8:07) 2-A.Jeanty left tackle to KC 38 for 8 yards (8-K.Fulton; 17-A.Gilman).	+0.55	+0.57	−0.02	+0.62	+2%	1.4×
Q2 7:24	LV	2nd & 2	KC 38	(7:24) 4-M.Washington left end pushed ob at KC 30 for 8 yards (17-A.Gilman).	+0.37	+0.39	−0.02	+0.38	+1%	1.3×
Q2 6:56	LV	1st & 10	KC 30	(6:56) (No Huddle) 34-C.Heyward left end to KC 35 for -5 yards (23-D.Tranquill).	−0.98	−0.96	−0.02	−1.17	−3%	1.3×
Q2 6:12	LV	2nd & 15	KC 35	(6:12) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 89-B.Bowers to KC 28 for 7 yards (38-L.Sneed).	+0.20	+0.24	−0.04	+0.24	+1%	1.4×
Q2 5:30	LV	3rd & 8	KC 28	(5:30) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 9-J.Nailor. LV-9-J.Nailor was injured during the play. PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Unnecessary Roughness, 14 yards, enforced at KC 28 - No Play.	+1.60	+1.58	+0.03	+1.98	+5%	1.4×
Q2 5:26	LV	1st & 10	KC 14	(5:26) 4-M.Washington right end to KC 19 for -5 yards (56-G.Karlaftis).	−0.91	−0.87	−0.05	−1.33	−3%	1.3×
Q2 4:49	LV	2nd & 15	KC 19	(4:49) (Shotgun) 4-M.Washington up the middle to KC 17 for 2 yards (56-G.Karlaftis; 99-P.Woods).	−0.32	−0.30	−0.01	−0.54	−1%	1.3×
Q2 4:09	LV	3rd & 13	KC 17	(4:09) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 2-A.Jeanty to KC 13 for 4 yards (32-N.Bolton).	−0.45	−0.46	+0.01	−0.29	−2%	1.3×
Q2 3:23	LV	4th & 9	KC 13	(3:23) 14-M.Gay 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	−0.32	−0.32	0.00	+0.14	0%	1.3×
Q2 3:19	KC	Kickoff	LV 35	14-M.Gay kicks 56 yards from LV 35 to KC 9. 81-N.Remigio to KC 20 for 11 yards (44-T.Eichenberg).	−0.50	−0.16	−0.35	−0.27	−2%	1.4×
Q2 3:15	KC	1st & 10	KC 20	(3:15) 9-K.Walker left end to KC 26 for 6 yards (31-T.Stukes; 35-H.Masses).	+0.20	+0.15	+0.05	+0.14	+1%	1.3×
Q2 2:39	KC	2nd & 4	KC 26	(2:39) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to KC 36 for 10 yards (35-H.Masses; 17-N.Dean).	+0.71	+0.66	+0.05	+0.84	+3%	1.3×
Q2 2:04	KC	1st & 10	KC 36	(2:04) 9-K.Walker right guard to KC 43 for 7 yards (69-A.Butler; 7-Q.Walker).	+0.33	+0.33	0.00	+0.17	+2%	1.4×
Q2 1:58	KC	2nd & 3	KC 43	(1:58) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to 87-T.Kelce.	−0.63	−0.63	+0.01	−0.58	−3%	1.4×
Q2 1:55	KC	3rd & 3	KC 43	(1:55) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-X.Worthy pushed ob at LV 47 for 10 yards (5-E.Stokes).	+1.21	+1.22	−0.01	+1.26	+5%	1.4×
Q2 1:50	KC	1st & 10	LV 47	(1:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 2-T.Thornton pushed ob at LV 5 for 42 yards (35-H.Masses).	+2.57	+2.51	+0.06	+3.04	+10%	1.4×
Q2 1:42	KC	1st & 5	LV 5	(1:42) 9-K.Walker up the middle to LV 3 for 2 yards (99-T.Booker).	−0.04	−0.06	+0.02	+0.03	+1%	1.4×
Q2 1:36	KC	2nd & 3	LV 3	(1:36) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at LV 10 for -7 yards (7-Q.Walker).	−1.35	−1.32	−0.03	−1.96	−6%	1.4×
Q2 1:30	KC	3rd & 10	LV 10	(1:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to 83-N.Gray [98-M.Crosby].	−0.86	−0.87	+0.01	−0.81	−3%	1.4×
Q2 1:26	KC	4th & 10	LV 10	(1:26) 7-H.Butker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	−0.34	−0.31	−0.03	+0.07	−3%	1.4×
Q2 1:22	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 62 yards from KC 35 to LV 3. 81-D.Young to LV 29 for 26 yards (29-X.Nwankpa).	−0.06	+0.14	−0.19	+0.05	0%	1.4×
Q2 1:17	LV	1st & 10	LV 29	(1:17) (Shotgun) 2-A.Jeanty up the middle to LV 30 for 1 yard (32-N.Bolton; 56-G.Karlaftis). ** Injury Update: LV-9-J.Nailor has returned to the game.	−0.39	−0.38	−0.01	−0.32	−2%	1.4×
Q2 0:57	LV	2nd & 9	LV 30	(:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 2-A.Jeanty [95-C.Jones].	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.31	−3%	1.4×
Q2 0:53	LV	3rd & 9	LV 30	(:53) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers to LV 46 for 16 yards (38-L.Sneed).	+1.83	+1.86	−0.03	+1.12	+8%	1.4×
Q2 0:34	LV	1st & 10	LV 46	(:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-M.Mayer to LV 48 for 2 yards (27-C.Conner).	−0.28	−0.27	−0.01	−0.52	−1%	1.4×
Q2 0:28	LV	2nd & 8	LV 48	(:28) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right to 89-B.Bowers (27-C.Conner).	−0.66	−0.66	−0.01	−0.30	−3%	1.4×
Q2 0:22	LV	3rd & 8	LV 48	(:22) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left [95-C.Jones]. PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at LV 48 - No Play.	+1.29	+1.31	−0.02	+0.42	+5%	1.4×
Q2 0:17	LV	1st & 10	KC 47	(:17) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 87-M.Mayer to KC 30 for 17 yards (30-C.Roland-Wallace).	+0.95	+1.00	−0.05	+0.80	+3%	1.3×
Q2 0:04	LV	1st & 10	KC 30	(:04) (No Huddle) 8-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.41	−0.41	0.00	+0.21	−2%	1.3×
Q2 0:03	LV	2nd & 10	KC 30	(:03) 14-M.Gay 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	+1.05	+0.99	+0.06	+0.77	+5%	1.3×
Q3 15:00	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 62 yards from KC 35 to LV 3. 81-D.Young to LV 33 for 30 yards (88-J.Briningstool; 31-J.Bassa).	+0.40	+0.42	−0.01	+0.48	+1%	1.2×
Q3 14:51	LV	1st & 10	LV 33	(14:51) 2-A.Jeanty up the middle to LV 40 for 7 yards (5-M.Delane; 97-A.Gillotte).	+0.26	+0.33	−0.07	+0.25	+1%	1.2×
Q3 14:16	LV	2nd & 3	LV 40	(14:16) 2-A.Jeanty left tackle to LV 46 for 6 yards (27-C.Conner).	+0.28	+0.37	−0.10	+0.55	+1%	1.2×
Q3 13:36	LV	1st & 10	LV 46	(13:36) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 2-A.Jeanty pushed ob at KC 26 for 28 yards (43-J.Cochrane).	+1.46	+1.66	−0.20	+1.65	+4%	1.2×
Q3 12:31	LV	1st & 10	KC 26	(12:31) (Shotgun) 4-M.Washington left end to KC 23 for 3 yards (32-N.Bolton).	−0.15	−0.07	−0.08	−0.14	0%	1.1×
Q3 11:52	LV	2nd & 7	KC 23	(11:52) 66-T.Zuhn reported in as eligible. 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to 1-T.Tucker. ** Injury Update: LV-66-T.Zuhn has returned to the game.	−0.49	−0.48	−0.01	−0.64	−2%	1.1×
Q3 11:46	LV	3rd & 7	KC 23	(11:46) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 89-B.Bowers (38-L.Sneed) [56-G.Karlaftis].	−0.74	−0.73	−0.01	−1.31	−3%	1.1×
Q3 11:41	LV	4th & 7	KC 23	(11:41) 14-M.Gay 41 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole. PENALTY on KC-99-P.Woods, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at KC 23 - No Play.	+0.71	+0.71	+0.01	+0.34	+2%	1.2×
Q3 11:37	LV	4th & 2	KC 18	(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 2-A.Jeanty (23-D.Tranquill) [56-G.Karlaftis].	−2.85	−3.35	+0.50	−3.62	−9%	1.1×
Q3 11:32	KC	1st & 10	KC 19	(11:32) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-X.Worthy pushed ob at KC 26 for 7 yards (35-H.Masses).	+0.35	+0.34	0.00	+0.37	+1%	1.3×
Q3 11:00	KC	2nd & 3	KC 26	(11:00) 9-K.Walker left guard to KC 32 for 6 yards (11-J.Chinn).	+0.40	+0.39	+0.01	+0.57	+2%	1.3×
Q3 10:25	KC	1st & 10	KC 32	(10:25) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 10-E.Johnson to KC 42 for 10 yards (17-N.Dean).	+0.56	+0.55	+0.01	+0.51	+3%	1.3×
Q3 9:42	KC	1st & 10	KC 42	(9:42) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 87-T.Kelce (97-T.Hemingway).	−0.45	−0.46	0.00	−0.55	−2%	1.4×
Q3 9:36	KC	2nd & 10	KC 42	(9:36) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 34 for -8 yards (sack split by 69-A.Butler and 98-M.Crosby).	−1.25	−1.27	+0.02	−1.74	−6%	1.3×
Q3 8:53	KC	3rd & 18	KC 34	(8:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 2-T.Thornton [98-M.Crosby].	−1.06	−1.06	0.00	−1.09	−4%	1.3×
Q3 8:45	KC	4th & 18	KC 34	(8:45) 14-M.Araiza punts 54 yards to LV 12, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 19-M.Benson.	+1.49	+0.88	+0.61	+0.49	+7%	1.2×
Q3 8:38	LV	1st & 10	LV 12	(8:38) 2-A.Jeanty left tackle to LV 17 for 5 yards (91-F.Anudike-Uzomah).	−0.01	+0.02	−0.04	−0.09	0%	1.3×
Q3 7:56	LV	2nd & 5	LV 17	(7:56) 4-M.Washington left tackle to LV 21 for 4 yards (5-M.Delane; 92-K.Tonga). PENALTY on LV-70-S.Burford, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at LV 17 - No Play.	−0.79	−0.79	0.00	−1.21	−4%	1.3×
Q3 7:34	LV	2nd & 13	LV 9	(7:34) 4-M.Washington right end pushed ob at LV 20 for 11 yards (21-J.Hicks; 27-C.Conner).	+0.58	+0.61	−0.03	+1.00	+3%	1.3×
Q3 6:59	LV	3rd & 2	LV 20	(6:59) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 80-I.Thomas to LV 25 for 5 yards (31-J.Bassa).	+0.80	+0.81	−0.02	+1.15	+4%	1.3×
Q3 6:20	LV	1st & 10	LV 25	(6:20) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-M.Mayer to LV 36 for 11 yards (20-N.Williams; 95-C.Jones).	+0.56	+0.57	−0.01	+0.68	+2%	1.2×
Q3 5:37	LV	1st & 10	LV 36	(5:37) 2-A.Jeanty left tackle to LV 35 for -1 yards (23-D.Tranquill).	−0.56	−0.57	0.00	−0.93	−2%	1.2×
Q3 4:58	LV	2nd & 11	LV 35	(4:58) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right to 81-D.Young [56-G.Karlaftis].	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.85	−3%	1.2×
Q3 4:53	LV	3rd & 11	LV 35	(4:53) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 89-B.Bowers [51-R.Thomas].	−1.07	−1.07	0.00	−1.25	−5%	1.3×
Q3 4:49	LV	4th & 11	LV 35	(4:49) 6-A.Cole punts 50 yards to KC 15, Center-47-A.Ward. 81-N.Remigio pushed ob at KC 42 for 27 yards (50-S.Olubi).	−0.09	−0.86	+0.76	−1.40	0%	1.3×
Q3 4:33	KC	1st & 10	KC 42	(4:33) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle to KC 45 for 3 yards (92-J.Pegues).	−0.19	−0.17	−0.02	−0.26	−1%	1.3×
Q3 3:54	KC	2nd & 7	KC 45	(3:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to 1-X.Worthy.	−0.64	−0.64	0.00	−0.91	−3%	1.3×
Q3 3:49	KC	3rd & 7	KC 45	(3:49) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 2-T.Thornton (35-H.Masses).	−1.19	−1.19	0.00	−1.62	−6%	1.3×
Q3 3:43	KC	4th & 7	KC 45	(3:43) 14-M.Araiza punts 40 yards to LV 15, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 23-D.Laube.	+0.83	+0.08	+0.75	−0.23	+4%	1.2×
Q3 3:35	LV	1st & 10	LV 15	(3:35) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 2-A.Jeanty to LV 23 for 8 yards (8-K.Fulton; 38-L.Sneed).	+0.48	+0.48	0.00	+0.43	+3%	1.2×
Q3 3:08	LV	2nd & 2	LV 23	(3:08) (No Huddle) 2-A.Jeanty right tackle to LV 22 for -1 yards (91-F.Anudike-Uzomah, 32-N.Bolton). LV-2-A.Jeanty was injured during the play.	−0.79	−0.79	+0.01	−1.11	−4%	1.2×
Q3 2:50	LV	3rd & 3	LV 22	(2:50) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers to LV 26 for 4 yards (32-N.Bolton).	+0.88	+0.87	+0.01	+1.42	+5%	1.3×
Q3 2:11	LV	1st & 10	LV 26	(2:11) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 34-C.Heyward to LV 35 for 9 yards (23-D.Tranquill).	+0.68	+0.68	0.00	+0.69	+3%	1.2×
Q3 1:29	LV	2nd & 1	LV 35	(1:29) 4-M.Washington up the middle to LV 31 for -4 yards (8-K.Fulton).	−1.26	−1.27	0.00	−1.65	−6%	1.1×
Q3 0:47	LV	3rd & 5	LV 31	(:47) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-T.Tucker [91-F.Anudike-Uzomah].	−1.07	−1.07	0.00	−1.54	−6%	1.2×
Q3 0:40	LV	4th & 5	LV 31	(:40) 6-A.Cole punts 48 yards to KC 21, Center-47-A.Ward. 81-N.Remigio to KC 21 for no gain. PENALTY on KC-81-N.Remigio, Invalid Fair Catch Signal, 5 yards, enforced at KC 21.	+1.26	+0.43	+0.83	+0.22	+7%	1.3×
Q3 0:30	KC	1st & 10	KC 16	(:30) 9-K.Walker right guard pushed ob at LV 8 for 76 yards (3-T.Johnson).	+4.21	+4.26	−0.04	+4.90	+23%	1.2×
Q4 15:00	KC	1st & 8	LV 8	(15:00) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left.	−0.35	−0.34	−0.01	−0.60	−2%	1.3×
Q4 14:54	KC	2nd & 8	LV 8	(14:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 2-T.Thornton for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.38	+2.72	−1.34	+2.12	+8%	1.3×
Q4 14:50	KC	Try	LV 15	7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	+0.01	−1.11	+1.12	+0.05	+1%	1.3×
Q4 14:50	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 63 yards from KC 35 to LV 2. 23-D.Laube pushed ob at KC 45 for 53 yards (48-C.Christiansen).	+1.64	+1.67	−0.03	+1.72	+10%	1.3×
Q4 14:41	LV	1st & 10	KC 45	(14:41) 2-A.Jeanty left guard to KC 45 for no gain (43-J.Cochrane; 5-M.Delane). ** Injury Update: LV-2-A.Jeanty has returned to the game.	−0.47	−0.43	−0.04	−0.52	−3%	1.3×
Q4 14:05	LV	2nd & 10	KC 45	(14:05) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 4-M.Washington pushed ob at KC 46 for -1 yards (95-C.Jones).	−0.80	−0.77	−0.03	−1.46	−6%	1.3×
Q4 13:25	LV	3rd & 11	KC 46	(13:25) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 89-B.Bowers to KC 25 for 21 yards (5-M.Delane).	+2.38	+2.45	−0.06	+3.24	+14%	1.3×
Q4 12:40	LV	1st & 10	KC 25	(12:40) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right to 87-M.Mayer.	−0.39	−0.39	0.00	−0.47	−2%	1.3×
Q4 12:35	LV	2nd & 10	KC 25	(12:35) (Shotgun) 2-A.Jeanty up the middle to KC 25 for no gain (91-F.Anudike-Uzomah; 56-G.Karlaftis).	−0.48	−0.46	−0.02	−0.68	−3%	1.3×
Q4 11:55	LV	3rd & 10	KC 25	(11:55) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 1-T.Tucker to KC 26 for -1 yards (5-M.Delane).	−0.85	−0.84	−0.01	−1.35	−5%	1.3×
Q4 11:17	LV	4th & 11	KC 26	(11:17) 14-M.Gay 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	−0.12	−0.48	+0.35	+1.07	−1%	1.3×
Q4 11:12	KC	Kickoff	LV 35	14-M.Gay kicks 62 yards from LV 35 to KC 3. 81-N.Remigio to KC 30 for 27 yards (55-C.Lindenberg).	−0.26	−0.31	+0.05	+0.24	−2%	1.3×
Q4 11:06	KC	1st & 10	KC 30	(11:06) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker right guard to KC 29 for -1 yards (69-A.Butler, 98-M.Crosby).	−0.58	−0.58	0.00	−0.80	−4%	1.3×
Q4 10:34	KC	2nd & 11	KC 29	(10:34) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left.	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.81	−4%	1.3×
Q4 10:29	KC	3rd & 11	KC 29	(10:29) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 83-N.Gray to KC 35 for 6 yards (11-J.Chinn).	−0.49	−0.49	0.00	−0.69	−3%	1.3×
Q4 9:50	KC	4th & 5	KC 35	(9:50) 14-M.Araiza punts 59 yards to LV 6, Center-41-J.Winchester. 19-M.Benson to LV 10 for 4 yards (29-X.Nwankpa).	+1.10	+0.40	+0.70	+0.19	+8%	1.3×
Q4 9:36	LV	1st & 10	LV 10	(9:36) 66-T.Zuhn reported in as eligible. 4-M.Washington left guard to LV 10 for no gain (5-M.Delane).	−0.40	−0.42	+0.02	−0.59	−3%	1.3×
Q4 9:00	LV	2nd & 10	LV 10	(9:00) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 82-C.White to LV 37 for 27 yards (5-M.Delane) [23-D.Tranquill].	+1.96	+1.96	0.00	+2.21	+13%	1.2×
Q4 8:24	LV	1st & 10	LV 37	(8:24) 2-A.Jeanty up the middle to LV 43 for 6 yards (23-D.Tranquill).	+0.25	+0.24	+0.01	+0.28	+1%	1.2×
Q4 7:47	LV	2nd & 4	LV 43	(7:47) 2-A.Jeanty up the middle pushed ob at KC 38 for 19 yards (20-N.Williams).	+1.25	+1.27	−0.03	+1.26	+8%	1.2×
Q4 7:11	LV	1st & 10	KC 38	(7:11) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 87-M.Mayer to KC 29 for 9 yards (43-J.Cochrane) [56-G.Karlaftis].	+0.85	+0.84	+0.01	+0.64	+5%	1.1×
Q4 6:28	LV	2nd & 1	KC 29	(6:28) PENALTY on LV-34-C.Heyward, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at KC 29 - No Play.	−0.81	−0.81	0.00	−0.88	−5%	1.0×
Q4 6:28	LV	2nd & 6	KC 34	(6:28) 2-A.Jeanty left guard to KC 30 for 4 yards (32-N.Bolton; 27-C.Conner).	+0.11	+0.10	+0.02	+0.09	+1%	1.1×
Q4 5:46	LV	3rd & 2	KC 30	(5:46) 2-A.Jeanty right guard to KC 30 for no gain (23-D.Tranquill; 97-A.Gillotte).	−0.82	−0.84	+0.03	−1.55	−5%	1.1×
Q4 4:58	LV	4th & 2	KC 30	(4:58) 14-M.Gay 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	−0.55	−0.87	+0.32	+1.21	+5%	1.1×
Q4 4:53	KC	Kickoff	LV 35	14-M.Gay kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback to the KC 35.	+0.93	+1.06	−0.13	+0.61	+7%	1.0×
Q4 4:53	KC	1st & 10	KC 35	(4:53) 9-K.Walker left guard to KC 38 for 3 yards (94-F.Fatukasi; 3-T.Johnson).	−0.21	−0.21	0.00	−0.25	−2%	1.1×
Q4 4:19	KC	2nd & 7	KC 38	(4:19) 9-K.Walker left end to KC 40 for 2 yards (35-H.Masses).	−0.48	−0.49	+0.01	−0.50	−4%	1.0×
Q4 3:35	KC	3rd & 5	KC 40	(3:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 2-T.Thornton to LV 5 for 55 yards (31-T.Stukes). KC-2-T.Thornton was injured during the play. PENALTY on LV-7-Q.Walker, Unnecessary Roughness, 3 yards, enforced at LV 5.	+4.52	+4.48	+0.04	+5.24	+33%	1.0×
Q4 3:25	KC	1st & 2	LV 2	(3:25) 9-K.Walker up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	−0.42	+0.70	−1.12	+0.71	+1%	0.9×
Q4 3:21	KC	Try	LV 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 15-P.Mahomes pass to 9-K.Walker is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.	−0.65	−1.70	+1.05	−0.95	0%	0.9×
Q4 3:21	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 59 yards from KC 35 to LV 6. 81-D.Young to LV 22 for 16 yards (29-X.Nwankpa, 31-J.Bassa). FUMBLES (31-J.Bassa), RECOVERED by KC-43-J.Cochrane at LV 22.	−3.66	−3.83	+0.17	−5.45	−21%	0.9×
Q4 3:10	KC	1st & 10	LV 22	(3:10) 9-K.Walker right end for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.68	+4.32	−1.64	+2.56	+4%	0.5×
Q4 3:02	KC	Try	LV 15	7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	+0.60	−1.00	+1.60	+0.05	+2%	0.3×
Q4 3:02	LV	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to end zone, Touchback to the LV 35.	+0.94	+0.85	+0.08	+0.61	+2%	0.2×
Q4 3:02	LV	1st & 10	LV 35	(3:02) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 2-A.Jeanty to LV 41 for 6 yards (38-L.Sneed).	+0.06	+0.10	−0.04	+0.08	0%	0.3×
Q4 2:44	LV	2nd & 4	LV 41	(2:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 82-C.White pushed ob at 50 for 9 yards (5-M.Delane).	+0.58	+0.61	−0.03	+0.74	+2%	0.3×
Q4 2:38	LV	1st & 10	50	(2:38) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-T.Tucker. PENALTY on KC-91-F.Anudike-Uzomah, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.	+0.80	+0.85	−0.05	+0.81	+3%	0.4×
Q4 2:32	LV	1st & 10	KC 35	(2:32) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 2-A.Jeanty to KC 25 for 10 yards (38-L.Sneed; 30-C.Roland-Wallace).	+0.43	+0.47	−0.04	+0.75	+1%	0.5×
Q4 2:10	LV	1st & 10	KC 25	(2:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at KC 35 for -10 yards (56-G.Karlaftis). PENALTY on KC-38-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 25 - No Play.	+0.23	+0.23	0.00	+0.42	+1%	0.5×
Q4 2:03	LV	1st & 10	KC 20	(2:03) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right.	−0.44	−0.43	−0.01	−0.51	−2%	0.6×
Q4 1:54	LV	2nd & 10	KC 20	(1:54) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 89-B.Bowers for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.50	+2.76	−0.26	+3.05	+1%	0.5×
Q4 1:46	LV	Try	KC 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-K.Cousins pass to 82-C.White is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+1.32	+1.29	+0.03	+1.05	+7%	0.5×
Q4 1:46	KC	Kickoff	LV 35	14-M.Gay kicks onside 20 yards from LV 35 to KC 45. 1-X.Worthy (didn't try to advance) to KC 45 for no gain.	−0.18	+0.09	−0.27	+1.16	−2%	0.7×
Q4 1:44	KC	1st & 10	KC 45	(1:44) 9-K.Walker right guard to KC 46 for 1 yard (69-A.Butler; 44-T.Eichenberg).	−0.38	−0.38	+0.01	−0.52	0%	0.8×
Q4 1:40	KC	2nd & 9	KC 46	(1:40) 9-K.Walker up the middle to KC 47 for 1 yard (94-F.Fatukasi).	−0.57	−0.58	+0.01	−1.17	−1%	0.8×
Q4 1:35	KC	3rd & 8	KC 47	(1:35) (Shotgun) 52-C.Humphrey to KC 43 for -4 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-15-P.Mahomes at KC 38. 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 1-X.Worthy (3-T.Johnson).	−1.21	−1.23	+0.02	−0.48	−10%	0.8×
Q4 1:26	KC	4th & 8	KC 47	(1:26) 14-M.Araiza punts 52 yards to LV 1, impetus ends at LV 1, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-29-X.Nwankpa.	+2.42	+2.04	+0.38	+0.11	+9%	1.0×
Q4 1:16	LV	1st & 10	LV 1	(1:16) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-T.Tucker pushed ob at LV 9 for 8 yards (20-N.Williams).	+0.43	+0.45	−0.01	+0.49	+2%	0.8×
Q4 1:11	LV	2nd & 2	LV 9	(1:11) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to 1-T.Tucker (20-N.Williams).	−0.67	−0.67	0.00	−0.20	−6%	0.9×
Q4 1:05	LV	3rd & 2	LV 9	(1:05) (Shotgun) PENALTY on LV-76-C.Rogers, False Start, 4 yards, enforced at LV 9 - No Play.	−0.56	−0.57	+0.01	−0.15	−4%	0.8×
Q4 1:05	LV	3rd & 6	LV 5	(1:05) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-M.Mayer to LV 16 for 11 yards (32-N.Bolton).	+1.41	+1.43	−0.02	+0.11	+9%	0.7×
Q4 0:48	LV	1st & 10	LV 16	(:48) (No Huddle) 8-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.48	−0.48	0.00	−0.06	−5%	0.9×
Q4 0:47	LV	2nd & 10	LV 16	(:47) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 82-C.White [56-G.Karlaftis].	−0.65	−0.65	0.00	−0.07	−6%	0.8×
Q4 0:43	LV	3rd & 10	LV 16	(:43) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 82-C.White to LV 23 for 7 yards (5-M.Delane). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 82-C.White (5-M.Delane, 95-C.Jones).	−0.90	−0.90	0.00	−0.22	−6%	0.7×
Q4 0:37	LV	4th & 10	LV 16	(:37) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 2-A.Jeanty ran ob at LV 28 for 12 yards (20-N.Williams; 38-L.Sneed).	+2.58	+2.59	−0.01	+0.64	+20%	0.5×
Q4 0:31	LV	1st & 10	LV 28	(:31) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-T.Tucker.	−0.49	−0.49	0.00	−0.15	−6%	1.1×
Q4 0:25	LV	2nd & 10	LV 28	(:25) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 1-T.Tucker to KC 49 for 23 yards (27-C.Conner).	+1.61	+1.64	−0.03	+0.50	+17%	1.0×
Q4 0:11	LV	1st & 10	KC 49	(:11) (No Huddle) 8-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.14	−7%	1.3×
Q4 0:10	LV	2nd & 10	KC 49	(:10) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 87-M.Mayer INTERCEPTED by 29-X.Nwankpa (56-G.Karlaftis) [56-G.Karlaftis] at KC 36. 29-X.Nwankpa to KC 39 for 3 yards (82-C.White). Penalty on LV-2-A.Jeanty, Illegal Shift, declined.	−0.91	−1.17	+0.27	−0.66	−33%	1.3×
Q4 0:01	KC	1st & 10	KC 39	(:01) 15-P.Mahomes kneels to KC 38 for -1 yards.	+1.38	+0.58	+0.80	0.00	0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	K.Cousins	LV	52	+11.5+0.22	—	—	+11.5+0.22	+3.0+0.18	+8.7+0.17
	T.Thornton	KC	8	—	—	+8.0+1.00	+8.0+1.00	+2.6+0.91	+9.1+1.14
	P.Mahomes	KC	34	+3.7+0.12	+1.9+0.95	—	+5.7+0.17	+1.2+0.10	+3.2+0.09
	B.Bowers	LV	11	—	—	+4.7+0.42	+4.7+0.42	+1.2+0.31	+5.0+0.46
	K.Walker	KC	23	—	+4.2+0.19	−0.3−0.29	+3.9+0.17	+0.9+0.11	+3.2+0.14
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
KC
	P.Mahomes	15	30	2	0	2	2257.5	+2.7+0.08	+3.7+0.12	+1.0+0.09

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LV
	K.Cousins	31	52	2	1	0	3657.0	+8.7+0.17	+11.5+0.22	+3.0+0.18

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
KC
	K.Walker	22	2	1778.0	+3.7+0.17	+4.2+0.19	+1.0+0.13
	P.Mahomes	2	0	00.0	+0.5+0.24	+1.9+0.95	+0.2+0.53
	M.Araiza	1	0	1212.0	+3.6+3.63	+2.9+2.88	+1.1+2.88
	K.Tonga	1	0	00.0	−2.0−2.00	−1.1−1.13	−0.5−1.13

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LV
	A.Jeanty	15	0	583.9	−2.9−0.19	−1.5−0.10	−0.5−0.10
	M.Washington	9	0	182.0	−4.1−0.46	−2.9−0.32	−1.0−0.30
	C.Heyward	2	0	−4−2.0	+0.8+0.42	+0.6+0.32	+0.3+0.36

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
KC
	T.Thornton	8	5	2	11122.2	+9.1+1.14	+8.0+1.00	+2.6+0.91
	X.Worthy	7	4	0	7017.5	+3.7+0.53	+2.8+0.40	+1.1+0.46
	T.Kelce	4	2	0	157.5	−0.2−0.06	−0.3−0.07	−0.1−0.07
	N.Gray	3	2	0	178.5	−0.7−0.25	−0.7−0.24	−0.3−0.26
	J.Royals	2	0	0	0—	−2.5−1.23	−1.7−0.85	−0.7−0.87
	C.Allen	1	0	0	0—	−0.9−0.92	−0.7−0.67	−0.2−0.67
	K.Walker	1	1	0	22.0	−0.5−0.52	−0.3−0.29	−0.1−0.29
	E.Johnson	1	1	0	1010.0	+0.5+0.51	+0.6+0.56	+0.2+0.56

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LV
	B.Bowers	11	6	1	8614.3	+5.0+0.46	+4.7+0.42	+1.2+0.31
	M.Mayer	10	8	0	8210.2	+1.7+0.17	+3.4+0.34	+1.0+0.28
	T.Tucker	8	4	0	4411.0	−1.6−0.20	−0.3−0.04	−0.1−0.05
	A.Jeanty	8	6	0	6811.3	−0.7−0.08	+1.1+0.14	−0.2−0.11
	C.White	4	2	0	3618.0	+2.7+0.66	+1.0+0.25	+0.4+0.46
	D.Young	2	1	0	99.0	−0.2−0.11	+0.2+0.10	+0.1+0.15
	I.Thomas	2	2	1	3216.0	+3.6+1.78	+3.9+1.94	+1.5+1.98
	M.Washington	2	1	0	−1−1.0	−2.0−1.00	−1.3−0.63	−0.5−0.62
	C.Heyward	1	1	0	99.0	+0.7+0.69	+0.7+0.68	+0.2+0.68