IND 30, WAS 13 — week 4, 2026

IND

30 at 13

WAS

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

IND season | WAS season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

IND 48%

Win expectancy

from how they played

IND 93%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
WAS	74	13	3174.3	−16.6−0.224	−12.8−0.173	−15.6−0.211	+2.8+0.037	−3.2−0.160
IND	73	30	2573.5	+2.0+0.028	+2.1+0.029	+3.1+0.042	−1.0−0.014	−0.8−0.036
NET	1	−17	600.8	−18.6−0.252	−14.9−0.202	−18.7−0.253	+3.7+0.051	−2.4−0.124
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is WAS minus IND.

Game Timeline

IND at WAS. IND won by 17. Two panels. Top: WAS's win probability across 161 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 0%; WAS was favored on 44% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at IND by 17.0 in the fourth quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -8% at play 56, C.Reynolds up the middle to WAS 46 for no gain; -10% at play 86, A.Kaliakmanis pass short right intended for… — INTERCEPTED; +12% at play 108, A.Kaliakmanis pass deep right to D.Brown to IND 36 for 48….

Excitement

0.6 bits

#12 of 16 this week

30th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.73

#10 of 16 this week

52nd percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

333 pts

#11 of 16 this week

41st percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

62%

#8 of 16 this week

62nd percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#8 of 16 this week

53rd percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

24%

#6 of 16 this week

73rd percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 10:47	WAS	1st & 10	IND 47	(10:47) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep left to 13-T.Burks for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.80	+4.29	−0.50	+4.24	+12%	1.1×
2	Q3 14:17	WAS	3rd & 17	WAS 24	(14:17) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right intended for 14-A.Williams INTERCEPTED by 57-J.Carlies [95-A.Adebawore] at WAS 27. 57-J.Carlies pushed ob at WAS 20 for 7 yards (72-J.Conerly).	−3.25	−3.12	−0.12	−3.40	−10%	1.3×
3	Q1 8:28	WAS	3rd & 6	IND 42	(8:28) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt pushed ob at IND 7 for 35 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	+3.05	+2.99	+0.06	+3.68	+7%	1.3×
4	Q2 8:34	WAS	4th & 1	WAS 46	(8:34) 32-C.Reynolds up the middle to WAS 46 for no gain (94-J.Tillery; 57-J.Carlies).	−2.76	−2.82	+0.06	−2.90	−8%	1.2×
5	Q1 14:50	IND	2nd & 10	IND 32	(14:50) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (98-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (98-O.Oweh) [98-O.Oweh], touched at IND 24, RECOVERED by WAS-98-O.Oweh at IND 21.	−2.75	−4.79	+2.03	−5.35	−7%	1.4×
6	Q2 9:59	IND	3rd & 10	WAS 44	(9:59) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right intended for 16-A.Dulin INTERCEPTED by 29-R.Douglas at WAS 34. 29-R.Douglas to WAS 37 for 3 yards (16-A.Dulin).	−2.72	−2.90	+0.18	−3.23	−8%	1.3×
7	Q1 12:57	IND	Kickoff	WAS 35	19-D.Stevens kicks 65 yards from WAS 35 to IND 0. 20-S.McGowan to IND 29 for 29 yards (6-D.Brown; 18-T.Owens).	+2.70	+0.18	+2.51	+0.29	+8%	1.4×
8	Q3 6:56	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 16	(6:56) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep right to 6-D.Brown to IND 36 for 48 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+2.57	+2.64	−0.07	+3.24	+12%	1.1×
9	Q4 0:34	IND	3rd & 10	IND 36	(:34) 17-D.Jones kneels to IND 35 for -1 yards.	+2.53	+1.96	+0.57	0.00	0%	0.0×
10	Q4 8:19	WAS	4th & 1	WAS 46	(8:19) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt [97-L.Latu].	−2.44	−2.67	+0.23	−2.98	−3%	0.3×
11	Q3 5:35	WAS	3rd & 9	IND 35	(5:35) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis sacked at IND 44 for -9 yards (27-J.Walley).	−2.18	−2.20	+0.02	−2.74	−10%	1.3×
12	Q2 5:13	IND	3rd & 14	WAS 30	(5:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to WAS 25 for 5 yards (94-D.Payne). PENALTY on WAS-2-A.Robertson, Unnecessary Roughness, 12 yards, enforced at WAS 25.	+2.09	+2.04	+0.05	+2.50	+7%	1.3×
13	Q2 10:35	IND	4th & 1	IND 48	(10:35) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 20-S.McGowan left guard to WAS 44 for 8 yards (2-A.Robertson; 45-K.Chaisson). WAS-2-A.Robertson was injured during the play.	+2.07	+2.07	0.00	+2.33	+7%	1.2×
14	Q4 3:25	WAS	4th & 2	IND 40	(3:25) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 6-D.Brown to IND 32 for 8 yards (7-C.Ward).	+2.05	+2.12	−0.08	+2.65	0%	0.0×
15	Q4 9:48	WAS	4th & 3	WAS 32	(9:48) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to 30-A.Ekeler (51-A.Davis-Gaither). PENALTY on IND-1-A.Gardner, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 32 - No Play.	+1.97	+1.97	−0.01	+2.49	+3%	0.2×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 14:17	WAS	3rd & 17	WAS 24	(14:17) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right intended for 14-A.Williams INTERCEPTED by 57-J.Carlies [95-A.Adebawore] at WAS 27. 57-J.Carlies pushed ob at WAS 20 for 7 yards (72-J.Conerly).	−3.25	−3.12	−0.12	−3.40	−10%	1.3×
2	Q1 8:28	WAS	3rd & 6	IND 42	(8:28) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt pushed ob at IND 7 for 35 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	+3.05	+2.99	+0.06	+3.68	+7%	1.3×
3	Q3 10:47	WAS	1st & 10	IND 47	(10:47) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep left to 13-T.Burks for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.80	+4.29	−0.50	+4.24	+12%	1.1×
4	Q1 14:50	IND	2nd & 10	IND 32	(14:50) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (98-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (98-O.Oweh) [98-O.Oweh], touched at IND 24, RECOVERED by WAS-98-O.Oweh at IND 21.	−2.75	−4.79	+2.03	−5.35	−7%	1.4×
5	Q1 12:57	IND	Kickoff	WAS 35	19-D.Stevens kicks 65 yards from WAS 35 to IND 0. 20-S.McGowan to IND 29 for 29 yards (6-D.Brown; 18-T.Owens).	+2.70	+0.18	+2.51	+0.29	+8%	1.4×
6	Q2 9:59	IND	3rd & 10	WAS 44	(9:59) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right intended for 16-A.Dulin INTERCEPTED by 29-R.Douglas at WAS 34. 29-R.Douglas to WAS 37 for 3 yards (16-A.Dulin).	−2.72	−2.90	+0.18	−3.23	−8%	1.3×
7	Q2 8:34	WAS	4th & 1	WAS 46	(8:34) 32-C.Reynolds up the middle to WAS 46 for no gain (94-J.Tillery; 57-J.Carlies).	−2.76	−2.82	+0.06	−2.90	−8%	1.2×
8	Q3 6:56	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 16	(6:56) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep right to 6-D.Brown to IND 36 for 48 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+2.57	+2.64	−0.07	+3.24	+12%	1.1×
9	Q2 5:13	IND	3rd & 14	WAS 30	(5:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to WAS 25 for 5 yards (94-D.Payne). PENALTY on WAS-2-A.Robertson, Unnecessary Roughness, 12 yards, enforced at WAS 25.	+2.09	+2.04	+0.05	+2.50	+7%	1.3×
10	Q3 5:35	WAS	3rd & 9	IND 35	(5:35) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis sacked at IND 44 for -9 yards (27-J.Walley).	−2.18	−2.20	+0.02	−2.74	−10%	1.3×
11	Q2 10:35	IND	4th & 1	IND 48	(10:35) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 20-S.McGowan left guard to WAS 44 for 8 yards (2-A.Robertson; 45-K.Chaisson). WAS-2-A.Robertson was injured during the play.	+2.07	+2.07	0.00	+2.33	+7%	1.2×
12	Q1 10:39	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 19	(10:39) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota left end to IND 46 for 35 yards (99-D.Buckner).	+1.85	+1.91	−0.06	+2.43	+5%	1.4×
13	Q2 3:29	IND	3rd & 2	WAS 5	(3:29) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 28-J.Taylor left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.83	+2.92	−1.09	+2.24	+5%	1.4×
14	Q2 7:08	IND	3rd & 2	WAS 38	(7:08) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 84-T.Warren to WAS 26 for 12 yards (20-Q.Martin).	+1.29	+1.28	+0.01	+1.33	+5%	1.3×
15	Q1 7:05	WAS	3rd & 5	IND 5	(7:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at IND 11 for -6 yards (sack split by 95-A.Adebawore and 97-L.Latu). WAS-8-M.Mariota was injured during the play.	−1.37	−1.38	+0.01	−1.44	−4%	1.2×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 6:56	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 16	(6:56) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep right to 6-D.Brown to IND 36 for 48 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+2.57	+2.64	−0.07	+3.24	+12%	1.1×
2	Q3 10:47	WAS	1st & 10	IND 47	(10:47) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep left to 13-T.Burks for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.80	+4.29	−0.50	+4.24	+12%	1.1×
3	Q3 14:17	WAS	3rd & 17	WAS 24	(14:17) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right intended for 14-A.Williams INTERCEPTED by 57-J.Carlies [95-A.Adebawore] at WAS 27. 57-J.Carlies pushed ob at WAS 20 for 7 yards (72-J.Conerly).	−3.25	−3.12	−0.12	−3.40	−10%	1.3×
4	Q3 5:35	WAS	3rd & 9	IND 35	(5:35) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis sacked at IND 44 for -9 yards (27-J.Walley).	−2.18	−2.20	+0.02	−2.74	−10%	1.3×
5	Q2 8:34	WAS	4th & 1	WAS 46	(8:34) 32-C.Reynolds up the middle to WAS 46 for no gain (94-J.Tillery; 57-J.Carlies).	−2.76	−2.82	+0.06	−2.90	−8%	1.2×
6	Q2 9:59	IND	3rd & 10	WAS 44	(9:59) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right intended for 16-A.Dulin INTERCEPTED by 29-R.Douglas at WAS 34. 29-R.Douglas to WAS 37 for 3 yards (16-A.Dulin).	−2.72	−2.90	+0.18	−3.23	−8%	1.3×
7	Q1 12:57	IND	Kickoff	WAS 35	19-D.Stevens kicks 65 yards from WAS 35 to IND 0. 20-S.McGowan to IND 29 for 29 yards (6-D.Brown; 18-T.Owens).	+2.70	+0.18	+2.51	+0.29	+8%	1.4×
8	Q2 5:13	IND	3rd & 14	WAS 30	(5:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to WAS 25 for 5 yards (94-D.Payne). PENALTY on WAS-2-A.Robertson, Unnecessary Roughness, 12 yards, enforced at WAS 25.	+2.09	+2.04	+0.05	+2.50	+7%	1.3×
9	Q1 8:28	WAS	3rd & 6	IND 42	(8:28) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt pushed ob at IND 7 for 35 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	+3.05	+2.99	+0.06	+3.68	+7%	1.3×
10	Q1 14:50	IND	2nd & 10	IND 32	(14:50) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (98-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (98-O.Oweh) [98-O.Oweh], touched at IND 24, RECOVERED by WAS-98-O.Oweh at IND 21.	−2.75	−4.79	+2.03	−5.35	−7%	1.4×
11	Q2 10:35	IND	4th & 1	IND 48	(10:35) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 20-S.McGowan left guard to WAS 44 for 8 yards (2-A.Robertson; 45-K.Chaisson). WAS-2-A.Robertson was injured during the play.	+2.07	+2.07	0.00	+2.33	+7%	1.2×
12	Q3 3:19	IND	4th & 11	IND 33	(3:19) 8-R.Sanchez punts 53 yards to WAS 14, Center-46-L.Rhodes, fair catch by 14-A.Williams.	+1.14	+0.73	+0.42	+1.23	+6%	1.2×
13	Q2 3:29	IND	3rd & 2	WAS 5	(3:29) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 28-J.Taylor left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.83	+2.92	−1.09	+2.24	+5%	1.4×
14	Q2 1:23	WAS	3rd & 6	WAS 44	(1:23) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep right to 14-A.Williams (7-C.Ward).	−1.18	−1.20	+0.01	−0.86	−5%	1.4×
15	Q1 10:39	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 19	(10:39) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota left end to IND 46 for 35 yards (99-D.Buckner).	+1.85	+1.91	−0.06	+2.43	+5%	1.4×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 161 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	IND	Kickoff	WAS 35	19-D.Stevens kicks 61 yards from WAS 35 to IND 4. 20-S.McGowan to IND 32 for 28 yards (6-D.Brown; 35-P.Butler).	+0.44	+0.46	−0.02	+0.52	+1%	1.4×
Q1 14:54	IND	1st & 10	IND 32	(14:54) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short left to 28-J.Taylor (99-J.Kinlaw).	−0.44	−0.46	+0.02	−0.55	−1%	1.4×
Q1 14:50	IND	2nd & 10	IND 32	(14:50) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 24 for -8 yards (98-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (98-O.Oweh) [98-O.Oweh], touched at IND 24, RECOVERED by WAS-98-O.Oweh at IND 21.	−2.75	−4.79	+2.03	−5.35	−7%	1.4×
Q1 14:38	WAS	1st & 10	IND 21	(14:38) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right tackle to IND 18 for 3 yards (98-A.Key; 99-D.Buckner).	+0.02	−0.10	+0.12	−0.20	0%	1.4×
Q1 14:17	WAS	2nd & 7	IND 18	(14:17) (No Huddle) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right tackle to IND 22 for -4 yards (99-D.Buckner).	−0.67	−0.86	+0.19	−1.18	−1%	1.4×
Q1 13:36	WAS	3rd & 11	IND 22	(13:36) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 3-S.Diggs ran ob at IND 13 for 9 yards.	+0.41	+0.22	+0.19	−0.41	+1%	1.4×
Q1 13:01	WAS	4th & 2	IND 13	(13:01) 19-D.Stevens 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.	+0.16	−1.00	+1.16	+0.18	+2%	1.4×
Q1 12:57	IND	Kickoff	WAS 35	19-D.Stevens kicks 65 yards from WAS 35 to IND 0. 20-S.McGowan to IND 29 for 29 yards (6-D.Brown; 18-T.Owens).	+2.70	+0.18	+2.51	+0.29	+8%	1.4×
Q1 12:53	IND	1st & 10	IND 29	(12:53) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to IND 32 for 3 yards (39-J.Reaves).	−0.28	−0.19	−0.09	−0.28	−1%	1.4×
Q1 12:14	IND	2nd & 7	IND 32	(12:14) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 28-J.Taylor to IND 34 for 2 yards (4-F.Luvu; 52-S.Styles).	−0.54	−0.39	−0.15	−0.61	−2%	1.4×
Q1 11:28	IND	3rd & 5	IND 34	(11:28) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 2-J.Downs to IND 36 for 2 yards (2-A.Robertson).	−0.96	−0.81	−0.15	−1.16	−3%	1.4×
Q1 10:50	IND	4th & 3	IND 36	(10:50) 8-R.Sanchez punts 53 yards to WAS 11, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 83-J.Lane to WAS 19 for 8 yards (58-A.Ajiake).	−1.14	−0.51	−0.63	+0.51	−3%	1.4×
Q1 10:39	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 19	(10:39) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota left end to IND 46 for 35 yards (99-D.Buckner).	+1.85	+1.91	−0.06	+2.43	+5%	1.4×
Q1 9:52	WAS	1st & 10	IND 46	(9:52) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right tackle to IND 44 for 2 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither; 90-G.Stewart).	−0.28	−0.26	−0.02	−0.48	−1%	1.3×
Q1 9:12	WAS	2nd & 8	IND 44	(9:12) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 85-C.Okonkwo to IND 42 for 2 yards (57-J.Carlies).	−0.49	−0.48	0.00	−0.56	−1%	1.3×
Q1 8:28	WAS	3rd & 6	IND 42	(8:28) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt pushed ob at IND 7 for 35 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	+3.05	+2.99	+0.06	+3.68	+7%	1.3×
Q1 7:57	WAS	1st & 7	IND 7	(7:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete short middle to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt [99-D.Buckner].	−0.34	−0.35	+0.01	−0.52	−1%	1.2×
Q1 7:49	WAS	2nd & 7	IND 7	(7:49) 31-K.Allen right guard to IND 5 for 2 yards (25-A.Haulcy).	−0.35	−0.40	+0.05	−0.60	−1%	1.2×
Q1 7:05	WAS	3rd & 5	IND 5	(7:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at IND 11 for -6 yards (sack split by 95-A.Adebawore and 97-L.Latu). WAS-8-M.Mariota was injured during the play.	−1.37	−1.38	+0.01	−1.44	−4%	1.2×
Q1 6:24	WAS	4th & 11	IND 11	(6:24) 19-D.Stevens 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.	+0.46	−0.64	+1.10	+0.13	+3%	1.3×
Q1 6:21	IND	Kickoff	WAS 35	19-D.Stevens kicks 63 yards from WAS 35 to IND 2. 20-S.McGowan to IND 22 for 20 yards (18-T.Owens).	−0.25	−0.23	−0.03	−0.39	−1%	1.3×
Q1 6:16	IND	1st & 10	IND 22	(6:16) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep middle to 13-L.Treadwell [94-D.Payne].	−0.46	−0.47	+0.01	−0.59	−1%	1.2×
Q1 6:10	IND	2nd & 10	IND 22	(6:10) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 28-J.Taylor [92-D.Armstrong].	−0.60	−0.61	+0.01	−0.77	−2%	1.2×
Q1 6:06	IND	3rd & 10	IND 22	(6:06) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 13-L.Treadwell to IND 24 for 2 yards (29-R.Douglas).	−0.77	−0.83	+0.06	−1.10	−2%	1.2×
Q1 5:31	IND	4th & 8	IND 24	(5:31) 8-R.Sanchez punts 59 yards to WAS 17, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 83-J.Lane to WAS 31 for 14 yards (38-J.Owens). ** Injury Update: WAS-83-J.Lane has returned to the game. PENALTY on WAS-35-P.Butler, Illegal Blindside Block, 13 yards, enforced at WAS 26.	+0.61	+0.88	−0.26	+1.97	+3%	1.1×
Q1 5:20	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 13	(5:20) (Shotgun) 30-A.Ekeler right guard to WAS 16 for 3 yards (50-B.Boettcher; 91-J.Tuimoloau).	−0.30	−0.22	−0.08	−0.27	0%	1.2×
Q1 4:40	WAS	2nd & 7	WAS 16	(4:40) 30-A.Ekeler left end pushed ob at WAS 25 for 9 yards (27-J.Walley; 50-B.Boettcher).	+0.73	+0.80	−0.08	+1.15	+2%	1.2×
Q1 4:07	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 25	(4:07) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 85-C.Okonkwo to WAS 28 for 3 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	−0.30	−0.21	−0.09	−0.40	−1%	1.2×
Q1 3:28	WAS	2nd & 7	WAS 28	(3:28) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to 85-C.Okonkwo (91-J.Tuimoloau).	−0.61	−0.60	−0.01	−0.73	−2%	1.2×
Q1 3:24	WAS	3rd & 7	WAS 28	(3:24) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short middle to 3-S.Diggs to WAS 33 for 5 yards (27-J.Walley).	−0.50	−0.41	−0.09	−0.70	−2%	1.2×
Q1 2:43	WAS	4th & 2	WAS 33	(2:43) 10-T.Way punts 49 yards to IND 18, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 6-A.Gould.	−0.29	−0.27	−0.02	+0.65	+1%	1.2×
Q1 2:36	IND	1st & 10	IND 18	(2:36) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right end to IND 24 for 6 yards (20-Q.Martin).	+0.17	+0.18	−0.01	+0.25	0%	1.2×
Q1 1:57	IND	2nd & 4	IND 24	(1:57) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left tackle to IND 28 for 4 yards (2-A.Robertson).	+0.38	+0.38	−0.01	+0.50	+1%	1.2×
Q1 1:18	IND	1st & 10	IND 28	(1:18) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.56	−1%	1.2×
Q1 1:14	IND	2nd & 10	IND 28	(1:14) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short left to 16-A.Dulin.	−0.59	−0.59	0.00	−0.75	−2%	1.2×
Q1 1:11	IND	3rd & 10	IND 28	(1:11) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to IND 37 for 9 yards (39-J.Reaves).	+0.05	+0.06	−0.01	−0.02	+1%	1.2×
Q1 0:27	IND	4th & 1	IND 37	(:27) 8-R.Sanchez punts 48 yards to WAS 15, Center-46-L.Rhodes, fair catch by 83-J.Lane.	−0.17	−0.35	+0.18	+0.08	+1%	1.2×
Q1 0:20	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 15	(:20) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left tackle to WAS 21 for 6 yards (94-J.Tillery; 55-C.Curry).	+0.14	+0.15	−0.01	+0.18	+1%	1.2×
Q2 15:00	WAS	2nd & 4	WAS 21	(15:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS-13-T.Burks, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 21 - No Play.	−0.54	−0.54	0.00	−0.68	−2%	1.2×
Q2 15:00	WAS	2nd & 9	WAS 16	(15:00) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right tackle to WAS 18 for 2 yards (55-C.Curry; 94-J.Tillery).	−0.47	−0.45	−0.01	−0.58	−1%	1.2×
Q2 14:19	WAS	3rd & 7	WAS 18	(14:19) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 3-S.Diggs to WAS 25 for 7 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	+1.33	+1.34	−0.01	+1.83	+4%	1.2×
Q2 13:36	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 25	(13:36) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left tackle to WAS 27 for 2 yards (94-J.Tillery; 98-A.Key).	−0.28	−0.28	0.00	−0.44	−1%	1.2×
Q2 12:54	WAS	2nd & 8	WAS 27	(12:54) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to 85-C.Okonkwo (25-A.Haulcy) [99-D.Buckner].	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.70	−2%	1.2×
Q2 12:48	WAS	3rd & 8	WAS 27	(12:48) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to 14-A.Williams [0-C.Bynum].	−1.08	−1.08	0.00	−1.23	−3%	1.2×
Q2 12:45	WAS	4th & 8	WAS 27	(12:45) 10-T.Way punts 34 yards to IND 39, Center-69-T.Ott, downed by WAS-32-C.Reynolds.	−0.25	−0.50	+0.24	−0.37	0%	1.3×
Q2 12:36	IND	1st & 10	IND 39	(12:36) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 20-S.McGowan to IND 46 for 7 yards (45-K.Chaisson; 52-S.Styles).	+0.32	+0.33	−0.02	+0.49	+1%	1.3×
Q2 11:55	IND	2nd & 3	IND 46	(11:55) (Shotgun) 20-S.McGowan right guard to IND 48 for 2 yards (52-S.Styles; 45-K.Chaisson).	−0.29	−0.29	0.00	−0.19	−1%	1.3×
Q2 11:11	IND	3rd & 1	IND 48	(11:11) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 16-A.Dulin to IND 48 for no gain (29-R.Douglas).	−1.16	−1.17	+0.01	−1.36	−2%	1.3×
Q2 10:35	IND	4th & 1	IND 48	(10:35) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 20-S.McGowan left guard to WAS 44 for 8 yards (2-A.Robertson; 45-K.Chaisson). WAS-2-A.Robertson was injured during the play.	+2.07	+2.07	0.00	+2.33	+7%	1.2×
Q2 10:08	IND	1st & 10	WAS 44	(10:08) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short left to 20-S.McGowan.	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.47	−2%	1.3×
Q2 10:03	IND	2nd & 10	WAS 44	(10:03) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 16-A.Dulin. ** Injury Update: WAS-2-A.Robertson has returned to the game.	−0.69	−0.69	0.00	−0.79	−2%	1.3×
Q2 9:59	IND	3rd & 10	WAS 44	(9:59) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right intended for 16-A.Dulin INTERCEPTED by 29-R.Douglas at WAS 34. 29-R.Douglas to WAS 37 for 3 yards (16-A.Dulin).	−2.72	−2.90	+0.18	−3.23	−8%	1.3×
Q2 9:53	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 37	(9:53) 32-C.Reynolds left tackle to WAS 41 for 4 yards (27-J.Walley; 97-L.Latu).	−0.04	−0.06	+0.02	−0.13	0%	1.1×
Q2 9:13	WAS	2nd & 6	WAS 41	(9:13) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right [97-L.Latu].	−0.62	−0.62	0.00	−0.73	−2%	1.1×
Q2 9:09	WAS	3rd & 6	WAS 41	(9:09) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 14-A.Williams pushed ob at WAS 46 for 5 yards (0-C.Bynum).	−0.43	−0.44	+0.01	−0.59	−1%	1.2×
Q2 8:34	WAS	4th & 1	WAS 46	(8:34) 32-C.Reynolds up the middle to WAS 46 for no gain (94-J.Tillery; 57-J.Carlies).	−2.76	−2.82	+0.06	−2.90	−8%	1.2×
Q2 8:30	IND	1st & 10	WAS 46	(8:30) 28-J.Taylor right end pushed ob at WAS 39 for 7 yards (29-R.Douglas).	+0.40	+0.38	+0.01	+0.37	+1%	1.3×
Q2 7:54	IND	2nd & 3	WAS 39	(7:54) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left tackle to WAS 38 for 1 yard (52-S.Styles).	−0.45	−0.48	+0.03	−0.43	−2%	1.3×
Q2 7:08	IND	3rd & 2	WAS 38	(7:08) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 84-T.Warren to WAS 26 for 12 yards (20-Q.Martin).	+1.29	+1.28	+0.01	+1.33	+5%	1.3×
Q2 6:34	IND	1st & 10	WAS 26	(6:34) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to WAS 24 for 2 yards (52-S.Styles).	−0.18	−0.20	+0.02	−0.33	−1%	1.4×
Q2 5:55	IND	2nd & 8	WAS 24	(5:55) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at WAS 30 for -6 yards (sack split by 97-T.Settle and 45-K.Chaisson).	−1.16	−1.18	+0.02	−1.40	−4%	1.4×
Q2 5:13	IND	3rd & 14	WAS 30	(5:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to WAS 25 for 5 yards (94-D.Payne). PENALTY on WAS-2-A.Robertson, Unnecessary Roughness, 12 yards, enforced at WAS 25.	+2.09	+2.04	+0.05	+2.50	+7%	1.3×
Q2 4:52	IND	1st & 10	WAS 13	(4:52) (Shotgun) 20-S.McGowan left guard to WAS 7 for 6 yards (20-Q.Martin; 39-J.Reaves).	+0.31	+0.23	+0.07	+0.25	+1%	1.4×
Q2 4:13	IND	2nd & 4	WAS 7	(4:13) 20-S.McGowan right end to WAS 5 for 2 yards (39-J.Reaves; 4-F.Luvu).	−0.23	−0.31	+0.08	−0.43	−1%	1.4×
Q2 3:29	IND	3rd & 2	WAS 5	(3:29) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 28-J.Taylor left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.83	+2.92	−1.09	+2.24	+5%	1.4×
Q2 3:23	IND	Try	WAS 15	3-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	−0.08	−0.83	+0.75	+0.07	+1%	1.4×
Q2 3:23	WAS	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 60 yards from IND 35 to WAS 5. 83-J.Lane to WAS 40 for 35 yards (50-B.Boettcher). PENALTY on WAS-56-K.Medrano, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at WAS 31.	−0.94	−0.23	−0.72	−0.16	−4%	1.4×
Q2 3:17	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 21	(3:17) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 6-D.Brown to WAS 30 for 9 yards (25-A.Haulcy).	+0.74	+0.68	+0.06	+0.64	+3%	1.4×
Q2 2:39	WAS	2nd & 1	WAS 30	(2:39) 30-A.Ekeler left tackle to WAS 40 for 10 yards (57-J.Carlies).	+0.37	+0.30	+0.07	+0.35	+2%	1.4×
Q2 2:00	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 40	(2:00) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short left to 3-S.Diggs to WAS 44 for 4 yards (27-J.Walley).	−0.03	−0.09	+0.05	+0.01	0%	1.4×
Q2 1:28	WAS	2nd & 6	WAS 44	(1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to 30-A.Ekeler.	−0.63	−0.64	+0.01	−0.52	−3%	1.4×
Q2 1:23	WAS	3rd & 6	WAS 44	(1:23) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep right to 14-A.Williams (7-C.Ward).	−1.18	−1.20	+0.01	−0.86	−5%	1.4×
Q2 1:16	WAS	4th & 6	WAS 44	(1:16) 10-T.Way punts 37 yards to IND 19, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 6-A.Gould.	−0.28	−0.23	−0.05	−0.71	−1%	1.4×
Q2 1:09	IND	1st & 10	IND 19	(1:09) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 84-T.Warren to IND 28 for 9 yards (2-A.Robertson).	+0.63	+0.67	−0.04	−0.09	+3%	1.4×
Q2 0:38	IND	2nd & 1	IND 28	(:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 16-A.Dulin pushed ob at WAS 49 for 23 yards (2-A.Robertson).	+1.00	+1.03	−0.04	+1.08	+4%	1.4×
Q2 0:30	IND	1st & 10	WAS 49	(:30) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 16-A.Dulin to WAS 43 for 6 yards (2-A.Robertson).	+0.18	+0.20	−0.02	+0.07	0%	1.3×
Q2 0:24	IND	2nd & 4	WAS 43	(:24) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 13-L.Treadwell to WAS 34 for 9 yards (39-J.Reaves).	+0.64	+0.67	−0.03	+0.67	+2%	1.3×
Q2 0:19	IND	1st & 10	WAS 34	(:19) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short left to 28-J.Taylor.	−0.44	−0.43	−0.01	−0.17	−2%	1.3×
Q2 0:15	IND	2nd & 10	WAS 34	(:15) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short left.	−0.61	−0.60	−0.01	−0.24	−2%	1.3×
Q2 0:11	IND	3rd & 10	WAS 34	(:11) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right guard to WAS 30 for 4 yards (2-A.Robertson).	−0.35	−0.34	−0.02	+0.20	−2%	1.4×
Q2 0:03	IND	4th & 6	WAS 30	(:03) 3-S.Shrader 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	−0.25	+0.36	−0.62	+0.89	+1%	1.4×
Q3 15:00	WAS	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 61 yards from IND 35 to WAS 4. 83-J.Lane to WAS 31 for 27 yards (85-A.Ogletree; 58-A.Ajiake).	+0.18	+0.26	−0.08	+0.35	+1%	1.4×
Q3 14:56	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 31	(14:56) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right tackle to WAS 29 for -2 yards (90-G.Stewart, 99-D.Buckner).	−0.63	−0.65	+0.02	−0.87	−3%	1.4×
Q3 14:19	WAS	2nd & 12	WAS 29	(14:19) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to 14-A.Williams. IND-27-J.Walley was injured during the play.	−0.59	−0.59	0.00	−0.86	−3%	1.4×
Q3 14:17	WAS	3rd & 12	WAS 29	(14:17) (Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS-75-C.Paul, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 29 - No Play.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.62	−2%	1.3×
Q3 14:17	WAS	3rd & 17	WAS 24	(14:17) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right intended for 14-A.Williams INTERCEPTED by 57-J.Carlies [95-A.Adebawore] at WAS 27. 57-J.Carlies pushed ob at WAS 20 for 7 yards (72-J.Conerly).	−3.25	−3.12	−0.12	−3.40	−10%	1.3×
Q3 14:09	IND	1st & 10	WAS 20	(14:09) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to WAS 16 for 4 yards (99-J.Kinlaw).	−0.08	+0.01	−0.09	−0.11	0%	1.1×
Q3 13:30	IND	2nd & 6	WAS 16	(13:30) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right.	−0.49	−0.49	−0.01	−0.72	−2%	1.1×
Q3 13:28	IND	3rd & 6	WAS 16	(13:28) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 13-L.Treadwell to WAS 5 for 11 yards (2-A.Robertson; 56-K.Medrano).	+1.40	+1.45	−0.05	+1.97	+4%	1.1×
Q3 12:48	IND	1st & 5	WAS 5	(12:48) 28-J.Taylor right tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.04	+2.33	−1.28	+1.25	+4%	1.0×
Q3 12:45	IND	Try	WAS 15	3-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	−0.07	−0.79	+0.72	+0.07	0%	0.9×
Q3 12:45	WAS	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 62 yards from IND 35 to WAS 3. 83-J.Lane to WAS 30 for 27 yards (55-C.Curry). WAS-83-J.Lane was injured during the play.	−0.07	+0.29	−0.35	+0.29	0%	0.9×
Q3 12:41	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 30	(12:41) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to 14-A.Williams. ** Injury Update: IND-27-J.Walley has returned to the game.	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.56	−1%	0.9×
Q3 12:36	WAS	2nd & 10	WAS 30	(12:36) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short left to 30-A.Ekeler pushed ob at WAS 41 for 11 yards (57-J.Carlies; 25-A.Haulcy).	+1.07	+1.10	−0.03	+1.27	+4%	0.9×
Q3 12:01	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 41	(12:01) 30-A.Ekeler up the middle to WAS 48 for 7 yards (57-J.Carlies).	+0.37	+0.39	−0.02	+0.47	+1%	1.0×
Q3 11:27	WAS	2nd & 3	WAS 48	(11:27) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left tackle to IND 47 for 5 yards (90-G.Stewart; 51-A.Davis-Gaither).	+0.37	+0.38	−0.01	+0.40	+1%	1.0×
Q3 10:47	WAS	1st & 10	IND 47	(10:47) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep left to 13-T.Burks for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.80	+4.29	−0.50	+4.24	+12%	1.1×
Q3 10:39	WAS	Try	IND 15	19-D.Stevens extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.	+0.10	−0.47	+0.58	+0.07	0%	1.3×
Q3 10:39	IND	Kickoff	WAS 35	19-D.Stevens kicks 56 yards from WAS 35 to IND 9. 20-S.McGowan to IND 34 for 25 yards (35-P.Butler; 39-J.Reaves). WAS-39-J.Reaves was injured during the play.	+0.43	+0.51	−0.08	+0.54	+2%	1.3×
Q3 10:35	IND	1st & 10	IND 34	(10:35) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left tackle to IND 44 for 10 yards (20-Q.Martin; 97-T.Settle).	+0.49	+0.56	−0.07	+0.67	+2%	1.3×
Q3 9:58	IND	1st & 10	IND 44	(9:58) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right end to IND 45 for 1 yard (94-D.Payne; 56-K.Medrano). IND-79-B.Raimann was injured during the play.	−0.40	−0.35	−0.04	−0.46	−1%	1.2×
Q3 9:22	IND	2nd & 9	IND 45	(9:22) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 84-T.Warren to WAS 42 for 13 yards (99-J.Kinlaw).	+1.08	+1.16	−0.07	+1.43	+4%	1.3×
Q3 8:38	IND	1st & 10	WAS 42	(8:38) 28-J.Taylor left tackle to WAS 40 for 2 yards (35-P.Butler).	−0.29	−0.26	−0.04	−0.39	−1%	1.2×
Q3 7:58	IND	2nd & 8	WAS 40	(7:58) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right.	−0.69	−0.68	−0.01	−0.84	−3%	1.2×
Q3 7:50	IND	3rd & 8	WAS 40	(7:50) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 80-D.Burks to WAS 34 for 6 yards (24-F.Moreau) [94-D.Payne].	−0.11	−0.07	−0.04	−0.72	−1%	1.2×
Q3 7:07	IND	4th & 2	WAS 34	(7:07) 3-S.Shrader 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+0.71	+0.48	+0.23	+1.92	+4%	1.2×
Q3 7:03	WAS	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 63 yards from IND 35 to WAS 2. 6-D.Brown to WAS 35 for 33 yards (58-A.Ajiake; 12-N.Westbrook-Ikhine). PENALTY on WAS-18-T.Owens, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at WAS 26.	−0.51	−0.73	+0.22	−0.63	−2%	1.2×
Q3 6:56	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 16	(6:56) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep right to 6-D.Brown to IND 36 for 48 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+2.57	+2.64	−0.07	+3.24	+12%	1.1×
Q3 6:18	WAS	1st & 10	IND 36	(6:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right tackle to IND 35 for 1 yard (97-L.Latu).	−0.35	−0.35	0.00	−0.51	−2%	1.3×
Q3 5:39	WAS	2nd & 9	IND 35	(5:39) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to 3-S.Diggs (0-C.Bynum).	−0.62	−0.62	0.00	−0.75	−3%	1.3×
Q3 5:35	WAS	3rd & 9	IND 35	(5:35) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis sacked at IND 44 for -9 yards (27-J.Walley).	−2.18	−2.20	+0.02	−2.74	−10%	1.3×
Q3 4:57	WAS	4th & 18	IND 44	(4:57) 10-T.Way punts 33 yards to IND 11, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 6-A.Gould. PENALTY on WAS-56-K.Medrano, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at IND 11.	+0.06	−0.40	+0.46	+0.07	0%	1.1×
Q3 4:50	IND	1st & 10	IND 21	(4:50) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 13-L.Treadwell to IND 34 for 13 yards (29-R.Douglas). ** Injury Update: IND-79-B.Raimann has returned to the game.	+0.69	+0.69	0.00	+0.95	+3%	1.1×
Q3 4:13	IND	1st & 10	IND 34	(4:13) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 84-T.Warren to IND 33 for -1 yards (4-F.Luvu).	−0.54	−0.56	+0.02	−0.76	−2%	1.0×
Q3 3:29	IND	2nd & 11	IND 33	(3:29) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short left to 2-J.Downs (99-J.Kinlaw).	−0.59	−0.60	0.00	−0.79	−2%	1.0×
Q3 3:25	IND	3rd & 11	IND 33	(3:25) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep left to 80-D.Burks (2-A.Robertson).	−1.05	−1.06	0.00	−1.13	−5%	1.1×
Q3 3:19	IND	4th & 11	IND 33	(3:19) 8-R.Sanchez punts 53 yards to WAS 14, Center-46-L.Rhodes, fair catch by 14-A.Williams.	+1.14	+0.73	+0.42	+1.23	+6%	1.2×
Q3 3:11	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 14	(3:11) 16-A.Kaliakmanis right guard to WAS 13 for -1 yards (94-J.Tillery, 90-G.Stewart).	−0.57	−0.54	−0.03	−0.86	−3%	1.1×
Q3 2:31	WAS	2nd & 11	WAS 13	(2:31) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep right to 3-S.Diggs.	−0.64	−0.63	0.00	−0.66	−3%	1.0×
Q3 2:25	WAS	3rd & 11	WAS 13	(2:25) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 14-A.Williams for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on WAS, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 13 - No Play. Penalty on WAS-6-D.Brown, Offensive Holding, declined.	−0.47	−0.47	−0.01	−0.55	−1%	0.9×
Q3 2:11	WAS	3rd & 16	WAS 8	(2:11) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis scrambles right end ran ob at WAS 16 for 8 yards (27-J.Walley).	−0.13	−0.09	−0.04	−0.21	−1%	0.9×
Q3 1:43	WAS	4th & 8	WAS 16	(1:43) 10-T.Way punts 36 yards to IND 48, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 6-A.Gould.	−0.02	−0.50	+0.48	−0.18	+2%	0.8×
Q3 1:35	IND	1st & 10	IND 48	(1:35) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to WAS 48 for 4 yards (94-D.Payne).	−0.07	−0.06	−0.01	−0.18	0%	0.9×
Q3 0:59	IND	2nd & 6	WAS 48	(:59) 28-J.Taylor left end to WAS 43 for 5 yards (20-Q.Martin). The ball spot was assisted by replay.	+0.07	+0.09	−0.01	+0.23	0%	0.9×
Q3 0:24	IND	3rd & 1	WAS 43	(:24) 17-D.Jones up the middle to WAS 42 for 1 yard (99-J.Kinlaw).	+0.52	+0.53	0.00	+0.52	+2%	0.9×
Q4 15:00	IND	1st & 10	WAS 42	(15:00) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to WAS 36 for 6 yards (52-S.Styles). ** Injury Update: WAS-39-J.Reaves has returned to the game.	+0.20	+0.21	−0.01	+0.30	0%	0.8×
Q4 14:21	IND	2nd & 4	WAS 36	(14:21) 28-J.Taylor left guard to WAS 24 for 12 yards (48-J.Josephs; 39-J.Reaves).	+0.79	+0.79	0.00	+1.03	+2%	0.8×
Q4 13:38	IND	1st & 10	WAS 24	(13:38) 28-J.Taylor right tackle ran ob at WAS 12 for 12 yards (29-R.Douglas).	+0.62	+0.57	+0.05	+0.64	+2%	0.7×
Q4 13:05	IND	1st & 10	WAS 12	(13:05) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to WAS 11 for 1 yard (52-S.Styles).	−0.30	−0.32	+0.02	−0.50	0%	0.6×
Q4 12:26	IND	2nd & 9	WAS 11	(12:26) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 13-L.Treadwell to WAS 4 for 7 yards (2-A.Robertson). ** Injury Update: IND-20-S.McGowan has returned to the game.	+0.25	+0.18	+0.06	+0.37	+1%	0.7×
Q4 11:44	IND	3rd & 2	WAS 4	(11:44) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.91	+2.88	−0.96	+2.17	+4%	0.6×
Q4 11:38	IND	Try	WAS 15	3-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+0.12	−1.05	+1.17	+0.07	+1%	0.4×
Q4 11:38	WAS	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 61 yards from IND 35 to WAS 4. 6-D.Brown pushed ob at WAS 25 for 21 yards (50-B.Boettcher).	0.00	−0.06	+0.07	+0.01	0%	0.4×
Q4 11:31	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 25	(11:31) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short left to 14-A.Williams to WAS 34 for 9 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+0.72	+0.73	−0.01	+0.73	+1%	0.4×
Q4 10:59	WAS	2nd & 1	WAS 34	(10:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass deep left to 3-S.Diggs to IND 45 for 21 yards (27-J.Walley). PENALTY on WAS-3-S.Diggs, Offensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 34 - No Play.	−1.13	−1.13	0.00	−1.19	−2%	0.4×
Q4 10:31	WAS	2nd & 10	WAS 25	(10:31) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 14-A.Williams to WAS 32 for 7 yards (27-J.Walley).	+0.25	+0.26	−0.01	+0.11	0%	0.3×
Q4 9:53	WAS	3rd & 3	WAS 32	(9:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to 3-S.Diggs (99-D.Buckner) [97-L.Latu].	−1.05	−1.05	0.00	−1.43	−1%	0.3×
Q4 9:48	WAS	4th & 3	WAS 32	(9:48) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to 30-A.Ekeler (51-A.Davis-Gaither). PENALTY on IND-1-A.Gardner, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 32 - No Play.	+1.97	+1.97	−0.01	+2.49	+3%	0.2×
Q4 9:42	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 37	(9:42) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep right to 6-D.Brown (7-C.Ward).	−0.45	−0.44	0.00	−0.54	−1%	0.4×
Q4 9:36	WAS	2nd & 10	WAS 37	(9:36) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short left to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt to WAS 37 for no gain (27-J.Walley; 51-A.Davis-Gaither).	−0.56	−0.55	−0.01	−0.71	−1%	0.4×
Q4 9:04	WAS	3rd & 10	WAS 37	(9:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis scrambles up the middle to WAS 46 for 9 yards (58-A.Ajiake).	−0.03	+0.01	−0.04	−0.23	0%	0.3×
Q4 8:19	WAS	4th & 1	WAS 46	(8:19) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt [97-L.Latu].	−2.44	−2.67	+0.23	−2.98	−3%	0.3×
Q4 8:10	IND	1st & 10	WAS 46	(8:10) (Shotgun) 20-S.McGowan left guard to WAS 35 for 11 yards (29-R.Douglas; 4-F.Luvu).	+0.67	+0.62	+0.05	+0.76	0%	0.1×
Q4 7:26	IND	1st & 10	WAS 35	(7:26) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short left.	−0.43	−0.44	+0.01	−0.45	0%	0.1×
Q4 7:21	IND	2nd & 10	WAS 35	(7:21) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 84-T.Warren to WAS 27 for 8 yards (4-F.Luvu; 52-S.Styles).	+0.58	+0.49	+0.08	+0.41	0%	0.1×
Q4 6:36	IND	3rd & 2	WAS 27	(6:36) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left guard to WAS 26 for 1 yard (39-J.Reaves).	−0.52	−0.62	+0.10	−1.39	0%	0.1×
Q4 5:52	IND	4th & 1	WAS 26	(5:52) 3-S.Shrader 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+0.42	+0.13	+0.29	+0.92	0%	0.0×
Q4 5:48	WAS	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 63 yards from IND 35 to WAS 2. 6-D.Brown to WAS 39 for 37 yards (55-C.Curry).	+1.45	+1.56	−0.11	+0.92	+1%	0.1×
Q4 5:42	WAS	1st & 10	WAS 39	(5:42) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short middle to 74-B.Coleman to IND 48 for 13 yards (90-G.Stewart; 50-B.Boettcher). WAS-74-B.Coleman was injured during the play.	+0.56	+0.65	−0.09	+0.81	0%	0.1×
Q4 4:56	WAS	1st & 10	IND 48	(4:56) (Shotgun) 31-K.Allen left end to 50 for -2 yards (90-G.Stewart, 91-J.Tuimoloau).	−0.83	−0.77	−0.06	−0.90	−1%	0.1×
Q4 4:13	WAS	2nd & 12	50	(4:13) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to 13-T.Burks (1-A.Gardner). ** Injury Update: WAS-74-B.Coleman has returned to the game.	−0.69	−0.69	−0.01	−0.73	0%	0.1×
Q4 4:07	WAS	3rd & 12	50	(4:07) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 3-S.Diggs to IND 40 for 10 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	−0.30	−0.21	−0.09	−0.34	0%	0.0×
Q4 3:25	WAS	4th & 2	IND 40	(3:25) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass short right to 6-D.Brown to IND 32 for 8 yards (7-C.Ward).	+2.05	+2.12	−0.08	+2.65	0%	0.0×
Q4 2:46	WAS	1st & 10	IND 32	(2:46) (Shotgun) 31-K.Allen up the middle to IND 31 for 1 yard (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	−0.64	−0.57	−0.07	−0.40	−1%	0.1×
Q4 2:02	WAS	2nd & 9	IND 31	(2:02) (Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at IND 31 - No Play.	−0.54	−0.55	+0.01	−0.60	0%	0.0×
Q4 2:02	WAS	2nd & 14	IND 36	(2:02) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to 80-C.Yankoff.	−0.67	−0.66	−0.01	−0.54	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:57	WAS	3rd & 14	IND 36	(1:57) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to 3-S.Diggs (29-C.Taylor-Britt) [99-D.Buckner].	−1.10	−1.09	−0.01	−1.21	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:53	WAS	4th & 14	IND 36	(1:53) (Shotgun) 16-A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep right to 13-T.Burks (7-C.Ward).	−0.37	−0.33	−0.04	−1.83	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:46	IND	1st & 10	IND 36	(1:46) 20-S.McGowan up the middle to IND 38 for 2 yards (94-D.Payne).	−0.40	−0.50	+0.10	−1.16	0%	0.0×
Q4 1:02	IND	2nd & 8	IND 38	(1:02) 17-D.Jones kneels to IND 36 for -2 yards.	−0.87	−0.94	+0.07	0.00	0%	0.0×
Q4 0:34	IND	3rd & 10	IND 36	(:34) 17-D.Jones kneels to IND 35 for -1 yards.	+2.53	+1.96	+0.57	0.00	0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	D.Brown	WAS	4	—	—	+4.9+1.23	+4.9+1.23	+1.1+1.29	+6.0+1.50
	M.Mariota	WAS	6	+1.3+0.25	+1.9+1.85	—	+3.1+0.52	+1.2+0.56	+3.2+0.53
	T.Warren	IND	5	—	—	+3.0+0.61	+3.0+0.61	+1.0+0.68	+2.3+0.47
	T.Burks	WAS	3	—	—	+2.7+0.91	+2.7+0.91	+1.1+3.44	+1.7+0.56
	S.McGowan	IND	8	—	+2.1+0.36	−0.1−0.06	+2.0+0.25	+0.6+0.27	+1.6+0.20
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
IND
	D.Jones	19	34	0	1	2	1434.2	−13.4−0.37	−8.5−0.24	−3.2−0.27

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
WAS
	A.Kaliakmanis	15	33	1	1	1	1865.6	−10.2−0.30	−8.3−0.24	−2.1−0.28
	M.Mariota	3	4	0	0	1	4611.5	+0.7+0.15	+1.3+0.25	+0.5+0.29

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
IND
	J.Taylor	20	2	954.8	+3.6+0.18	+3.1+0.15	+1.1+0.18
	S.McGowan	6	0	315.2	+1.6+0.26	+2.1+0.36	+0.7+0.44
	D.Jones	4	1	20.5	+2.7+0.67	+4.1+1.02	+0.4+1.08

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
WAS
	J.Croskey-Merritt	9	0	151.7	−3.7−0.41	−2.1−0.24	−0.8−0.26
	A.Ekeler	4	0	297.2	+1.7+0.42	+1.2+0.29	+0.4+0.29
	K.Allen	3	0	10.3	−1.9−0.63	−1.8−0.61	−0.2−0.41
	A.Kaliakmanis	3	0	165.3	−1.3−0.43	−0.7−0.24	−0.2−0.33
	C.Reynolds	2	0	42.0	−3.0−1.52	−2.8−1.40	−0.9−1.44
	M.Mariota	1	0	3535.0	+2.4+2.43	+1.9+1.85	+0.7+1.85

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
IND
	L.Treadwell	6	5	0	428.4	+2.3+0.38	+1.8+0.29	+0.5+0.29
	A.Dulin	6	3	0	299.7	−5.0−0.83	−4.0−0.66	−1.4−0.64
	T.Warren	5	5	0	418.2	+2.3+0.47	+3.0+0.61	+1.0+0.68
	J.Taylor	4	1	0	22.0	−2.1−0.52	−2.0−0.51	−0.8−0.50
	J.Downs	4	3	0	165.3	+0.5+0.13	+0.6+0.15	+0.2+0.17
	S.McGowan	2	1	0	77.0	0.0+0.01	−0.1−0.06	−0.1−0.08
	D.Burks	2	1	0	66.0	−1.9−0.93	−1.2−0.58	−0.4−0.55

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
WAS
	S.Diggs	9	5	0	357.0	−3.7−0.41	−2.5−0.28	−0.1−0.03
	A.Williams	8	3	0	217.0	−6.7−0.83	−6.0−0.75	−2.4−1.07
	C.Okonkwo	4	2	0	52.5	−2.4−0.60	−2.0−0.50	−0.7−0.50
	J.Croskey-Merritt	4	2	0	3517.5	−0.5−0.13	−0.3−0.07	+0.8+0.85
	D.Brown	4	3	0	6521.7	+6.0+1.50	+4.9+1.23	+1.1+1.29
	T.Burks	3	1	1	4747.0	+1.7+0.56	+2.7+0.91	+1.1+3.44
	A.Ekeler	2	1	0	1111.0	+0.7+0.37	+0.4+0.22	0.0+0.03
	B.Coleman	1	1	0	1313.0	+0.8+0.81	+0.6+0.56	0.0+0.56
	C.Yankoff	1	0	0	0—	−0.5−0.54	−0.7−0.67	0.0−0.67