GB 17, TB 14 — week 4, 2026

17 at 14

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

GB season | TB season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

GB 46%

Win expectancy

from how they played

GB 90%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
TB	68	14	2754.0	−6.5−0.096	−2.1−0.032	−4.9−0.072	+2.7+0.040	−0.7−0.032
GB	69	17	2834.1	−0.4−0.006	+2.3+0.033	+0.6+0.009	+1.6+0.024	+1.7+0.074
NET	−1	−3	−8−0.1	−6.1−0.090	−4.4−0.064	−5.5−0.081	+1.1+0.017	−2.4−0.106
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is TB minus GB.

Game Timeline

GB at TB. GB won by 3. Two panels. Top: TB's win probability across 147 plays, starting at 52% and finishing at 0%; TB was favored on 20% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at GB by 9.9 in the third quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -11% at play 17, J.Daniels pass deep left intended for E.Egbuka — INTERCEPTED; -18% at play 71, J.Daniels pass short left intended for… — INTERCEPTED; +18% at play 123, K.Johnson up the middle to TB 3 for no gain — FUMBLES; -26% at play 143, J.Daniels pass short middle intended for… — INTERCEPTED.

Excitement

1.3 bits

#7 of 16 this week

74th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.89

#3 of 16 this week

86th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

473 pts

#7 of 16 this week

71st percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

79%

#4 of 16 this week

83rd percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#8 of 16 this week

53rd percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

37%

#9 of 16 this week

50th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q2 0:41	TB	2nd & 10	GB 41	(:41) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left intended for 19-K.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 56-E.Cooper at GB 38. 56-E.Cooper pushed ob at TB 44 for 18 yards (10-J.Daniels).	−4.09	−4.52	+0.43	−3.90	−18%	1.4×
2	Q4 9:13	GB	1st & 3	TB 3	(9:13) (Shotgun) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to TB 3 for no gain (23-T.Smith). FUMBLES (23-T.Smith), touched at TB 3, RECOVERED by TB-27-Z.McCollum at TB 4.	−4.02	−4.85	+0.82	−5.89	−18%	0.8×
3	Q1 7:15	TB	1st & 10	GB 49	(7:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep left intended for 2-E.Egbuka INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Williams [57-B.Cox] at GB 32. 33-E.Williams ran ob at GB 32 for no gain.	−3.59	−3.59	−0.01	−4.40	−11%	1.4×
4	Q2 12:58	GB	4th & 2	TB 2	(12:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 0-M.Golden for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.96	+3.83	−0.88	+3.93	+8%	1.4×
5	Q4 4:26	GB	1st & 15	TB 26	(4:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left intended for 0-M.Golden INTERCEPTED by 25-J.Parrish at TB 7. 25-J.Parrish to TB 15 for 8 yards (85-T.Kraft).	−2.85	−3.56	+0.72	−3.89	−15%	0.8×
6	Q4 0:02	GB	3rd & 22	GB 35	(:02) 10-J.Love kneels to GB 30 for -5 yards.	+2.84	+2.04	+0.79	0.00	0%	0.0×
7	Q2 9:04	TB	3rd & 5	GB 49	(9:04) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.Hurst pushed ob at GB 28 for 21 yards (29-X.McKinney).	+2.12	+2.13	−0.01	+2.18	+8%	1.3×
8	Q3 12:04	GB	2nd & 5	TB 36	(12:04) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to TB 5 for 31 yards (31-A.Winfield).	+2.09	+2.11	−0.01	+2.49	+7%	1.2×
9	Q2 0:02	GB	3rd & 6	TB 40	(:02) 28-T.Smack 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.	+1.98	+2.00	−0.02	+1.63	+9%	1.4×
10	Q2 1:09	TB	4th & 1	GB 45	(1:09) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.Hurst to GB 41 for 4 yards (2-B.Cisse).	+1.93	+1.95	−0.02	+1.53	+8%	1.4×
11	Q4 14:57	TB	3rd & 7	GB 10	(14:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 1-K.Gainwell for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.89	+2.86	−0.96	+2.93	+6%	1.1×
12	Q3 8:43	TB	3rd & 8	TB 37	(8:43) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels sacked at TB 29 for -8 yards (29-X.McKinney). GB-56-E.Cooper was injured during the play.	−1.81	−1.83	+0.02	−1.96	−6%	0.9×
13	Q1 6:32	GB	2nd & 6	GB 36	(6:32) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brooks left tackle to TB 37 for 27 yards (31-A.Winfield).	+1.79	+1.79	0.00	+2.15	+6%	1.4×
14	Q3 3:47	TB	3rd & 2	TB 42	(3:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles up the middle to GB 37 for 21 yards (2-B.Cisse).	+1.75	+1.75	0.00	+1.95	+7%	0.9×
15	Q4 5:51	TB	3rd & 13	TB 12	(5:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels Aborted. 62-G.Barton FUMBLES at TB 6, recovered by TB-10-J.Daniels at TB 3. 10-J.Daniels to TB 1 for -2 yards (57-B.Cox).	−1.61	−1.62	+0.01	−1.28	−9%	1.0×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q2 0:41	TB	2nd & 10	GB 41	(:41) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left intended for 19-K.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 56-E.Cooper at GB 38. 56-E.Cooper pushed ob at TB 44 for 18 yards (10-J.Daniels).	−4.09	−4.52	+0.43	−3.90	−18%	1.4×
2	Q1 7:15	TB	1st & 10	GB 49	(7:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep left intended for 2-E.Egbuka INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Williams [57-B.Cox] at GB 32. 33-E.Williams ran ob at GB 32 for no gain.	−3.59	−3.59	−0.01	−4.40	−11%	1.4×
3	Q2 12:58	GB	4th & 2	TB 2	(12:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 0-M.Golden for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.96	+3.83	−0.88	+3.93	+8%	1.4×
4	Q4 9:13	GB	1st & 3	TB 3	(9:13) (Shotgun) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to TB 3 for no gain (23-T.Smith). FUMBLES (23-T.Smith), touched at TB 3, RECOVERED by TB-27-Z.McCollum at TB 4.	−4.02	−4.85	+0.82	−5.89	−18%	0.8×
5	Q2 9:04	TB	3rd & 5	GB 49	(9:04) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.Hurst pushed ob at GB 28 for 21 yards (29-X.McKinney).	+2.12	+2.13	−0.01	+2.18	+8%	1.3×
6	Q2 0:02	GB	3rd & 6	TB 40	(:02) 28-T.Smack 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.	+1.98	+2.00	−0.02	+1.63	+9%	1.4×
7	Q2 1:09	TB	4th & 1	GB 45	(1:09) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.Hurst to GB 41 for 4 yards (2-B.Cisse).	+1.93	+1.95	−0.02	+1.53	+8%	1.4×
8	Q3 12:04	GB	2nd & 5	TB 36	(12:04) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to TB 5 for 31 yards (31-A.Winfield).	+2.09	+2.11	−0.01	+2.49	+7%	1.2×
9	Q1 6:32	GB	2nd & 6	GB 36	(6:32) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brooks left tackle to TB 37 for 27 yards (31-A.Winfield).	+1.79	+1.79	0.00	+2.15	+6%	1.4×
10	Q4 4:26	GB	1st & 15	TB 26	(4:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left intended for 0-M.Golden INTERCEPTED by 25-J.Parrish at TB 7. 25-J.Parrish to TB 15 for 8 yards (85-T.Kraft).	−2.85	−3.56	+0.72	−3.89	−15%	0.8×
11	Q1 3:45	GB	4th & 1	TB 28	(3:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 85-T.Kraft pushed ob at TB 18 for 10 yards (22-K.Scott).	+1.56	+1.57	−0.01	+2.37	+5%	1.4×
12	Q4 14:57	TB	3rd & 7	GB 10	(14:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 1-K.Gainwell for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.89	+2.86	−0.96	+2.93	+6%	1.1×
13	Q1 1:17	GB	4th & 1	TB 9	(1:17) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 85-T.Kraft. 85-T.Kraft up the middle to TB 6 for 3 yards (45-J.Trotter).	+1.45	+1.45	−0.01	+1.91	+5%	1.4×
14	Q1 12:28	GB	2nd & 8	GB 31	(12:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft to GB 48 for 17 yards (31-A.Winfield).	+1.39	+1.29	+0.09	+1.79	+4%	1.4×
15	Q4 12:58	GB	3rd & 3	GB 39	(12:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 9-C.Watson to TB 43 for 18 yards (31-A.Winfield) [23-T.Smith].	+1.56	+1.59	−0.03	+1.88	+8%	1.3×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 1:34	TB	4th & 11	GB 47	(1:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short middle intended for 17-T.Hurst INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Nixon [33-E.Williams] at GB 43. 25-K.Nixon to GB 43 for no gain (17-T.Hurst). The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 17-T.Hurst (25-K.Nixon) [33-E.Williams].	−0.17	−0.61	+0.44	−0.52	−26%	0.9×
2	Q4 9:13	GB	1st & 3	TB 3	(9:13) (Shotgun) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to TB 3 for no gain (23-T.Smith). FUMBLES (23-T.Smith), touched at TB 3, RECOVERED by TB-27-Z.McCollum at TB 4.	−4.02	−4.85	+0.82	−5.89	−18%	0.8×
3	Q2 0:41	TB	2nd & 10	GB 41	(:41) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left intended for 19-K.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 56-E.Cooper at GB 38. 56-E.Cooper pushed ob at TB 44 for 18 yards (10-J.Daniels).	−4.09	−4.52	+0.43	−3.90	−18%	1.4×
4	Q4 4:26	GB	1st & 15	TB 26	(4:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left intended for 0-M.Golden INTERCEPTED by 25-J.Parrish at TB 7. 25-J.Parrish to TB 15 for 8 yards (85-T.Kraft).	−2.85	−3.56	+0.72	−3.89	−15%	0.8×
5	Q4 1:47	TB	2nd & 10	GB 46	(1:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels sacked at TB 48 for -6 yards (33-E.Williams). Penalty on TB-15-T.Johnson, Illegal Motion, declined.	−1.26	−1.27	+0.01	−0.99	−11%	1.1×
6	Q1 7:15	TB	1st & 10	GB 49	(7:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep left intended for 2-E.Egbuka INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Williams [57-B.Cox] at GB 32. 33-E.Williams ran ob at GB 32 for no gain.	−3.59	−3.59	−0.01	−4.40	−11%	1.4×
7	Q4 1:42	TB	3rd & 16	TB 48	(1:42) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 2-E.Egbuka to GB 47 for 5 yards (57-B.Cox; 7-J.Bullard).	−0.80	−0.79	−0.01	−0.49	−11%	1.0×
8	Q2 0:02	GB	3rd & 6	TB 40	(:02) 28-T.Smack 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.	+1.98	+2.00	−0.02	+1.63	+9%	1.4×
9	Q4 7:45	TB	3rd & 7	TB 7	(7:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 15 for 8 yards (90-L.Van Ness).	+1.44	+1.45	−0.01	+1.36	+9%	1.1×
10	Q4 5:51	TB	3rd & 13	TB 12	(5:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels Aborted. 62-G.Barton FUMBLES at TB 6, recovered by TB-10-J.Daniels at TB 3. 10-J.Daniels to TB 1 for -2 yards (57-B.Cox).	−1.61	−1.62	+0.01	−1.28	−9%	1.0×
11	Q4 12:58	GB	3rd & 3	GB 39	(12:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 9-C.Watson to TB 43 for 18 yards (31-A.Winfield) [23-T.Smith].	+1.56	+1.59	−0.03	+1.88	+8%	1.3×
12	Q2 12:58	GB	4th & 2	TB 2	(12:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 0-M.Golden for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.96	+3.83	−0.88	+3.93	+8%	1.4×
13	Q4 2:30	TB	3rd & 3	TB 36	(2:30) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to TB 41 for 5 yards (33-E.Williams).	+0.79	+0.80	−0.01	+0.87	+8%	1.0×
14	Q2 1:09	TB	4th & 1	GB 45	(1:09) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.Hurst to GB 41 for 4 yards (2-B.Cisse).	+1.93	+1.95	−0.02	+1.53	+8%	1.4×
15	Q2 9:04	TB	3rd & 5	GB 49	(9:04) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.Hurst pushed ob at GB 28 for 21 yards (29-X.McKinney).	+2.12	+2.13	−0.01	+2.18	+8%	1.3×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 147 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	TB	Kickoff	GB 35	28-T.Smack kicks 65 yards from GB 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the TB 20. PENALTY on GB-94-K.Brooks, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at TB 20.	−0.17	−0.05	−0.12	0.00	0%	1.4×
Q1 15:00	TB	1st & 10	TB 25	(15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 30 for 5 yards (95-D.Wyatt; 56-E.Cooper).	+0.22	+0.04	+0.18	+0.04	+1%	1.4×
Q1 14:26	TB	2nd & 5	TB 30	(14:26) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 33 for 3 yards (95-D.Wyatt; 94-K.Brooks).	+0.05	−0.14	+0.19	−0.17	0%	1.4×
Q1 13:49	TB	3rd & 2	TB 33	(13:49) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels sacked at TB 33 for 0 yards (56-E.Cooper).	−0.90	−1.06	+0.16	−1.76	−3%	1.4×
Q1 13:16	TB	4th & 2	TB 33	(13:16) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to GB 29, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 23-S.Moore.	+0.18	−0.88	+1.07	−0.77	+1%	1.4×
Q1 13:09	GB	1st & 10	GB 29	(13:09) 30-C.Brooks left tackle to GB 31 for 2 yards (25-J.Parrish).	−0.12	−0.27	+0.15	−0.52	0%	1.4×
Q1 12:28	GB	2nd & 8	GB 31	(12:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft to GB 48 for 17 yards (31-A.Winfield).	+1.39	+1.29	+0.09	+1.79	+4%	1.4×
Q1 11:45	GB	1st & 10	GB 48	(11:45) 0-M.Golden left end pushed ob at TB 46 for 6 yards (25-J.Parrish).	+0.24	+0.20	+0.04	+0.23	+1%	1.4×
Q1 11:13	GB	2nd & 4	TB 46	(11:13) (Shotgun) 32-M.Lloyd left tackle to TB 44 for 2 yards (0-Y.Diaby; 23-T.Smith).	−0.32	−0.36	+0.04	−0.52	−1%	1.4×
Q1 10:32	GB	3rd & 2	TB 44	(10:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep middle to 16-B.Melton.	−1.27	−1.27	0.00	−1.91	−4%	1.4×
Q1 10:27	GB	4th & 2	TB 44	(10:27) 19-D.Whelan punts 30 yards to TB 14, Center-42-M.Orzech, out of bounds.	−0.70	−1.02	+0.32	−0.80	−2%	1.4×
Q1 10:19	TB	1st & 10	TB 14	(10:19) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 88-C.Otton pushed ob at TB 27 for 13 yards (56-E.Cooper).	+0.70	+0.70	0.00	+0.97	+2%	1.4×
Q1 9:49	TB	1st & 10	TB 27	(9:49) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to TB 32 for 5 yards (44-Z.Franklin; 55-C.McClellan).	+0.07	+0.05	+0.02	+0.09	0%	1.4×
Q1 9:13	TB	2nd & 5	TB 32	(9:13) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 39 for 7 yards (29-X.McKinney; 25-K.Nixon).	+0.62	+0.60	+0.02	+0.71	+2%	1.4×
Q1 8:36	TB	1st & 10	TB 39	(8:36) 10-J.Daniels scrambles left end to TB 40 for 1 yard (2-B.Cisse).	−0.32	−0.36	+0.04	−0.51	−1%	1.4×
Q1 7:56	TB	2nd & 9	TB 40	(7:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles up the middle to GB 49 for 11 yards (2-B.Cisse).	+1.05	+1.02	+0.04	+1.24	+3%	1.4×
Q1 7:15	TB	1st & 10	GB 49	(7:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep left intended for 2-E.Egbuka INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Williams [57-B.Cox] at GB 32. 33-E.Williams ran ob at GB 32 for no gain.	−3.59	−3.59	−0.01	−4.40	−11%	1.4×
Q1 7:10	GB	1st & 10	GB 32	(7:10) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 86-M.Redman to GB 36 for 4 yards (51-D.Walker).	−0.02	−0.07	+0.05	−0.09	0%	1.4×
Q1 6:32	GB	2nd & 6	GB 36	(6:32) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brooks left tackle to TB 37 for 27 yards (31-A.Winfield).	+1.79	+1.79	0.00	+2.15	+6%	1.4×
Q1 5:44	GB	1st & 10	TB 37	(5:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love right tackle to TB 33 for 4 yards (98-A.Nelson).	0.00	−0.02	+0.02	−0.09	0%	1.4×
Q1 5:03	GB	2nd & 6	TB 33	(5:03) 32-M.Lloyd right guard to TB 33 for no gain (45-J.Trotter).	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.71	−2%	1.4×
Q1 4:21	GB	3rd & 6	TB 33	(4:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 30-C.Brooks to TB 28 for 5 yards (45-J.Trotter).	+0.06	+0.08	−0.02	−0.24	0%	1.4×
Q1 3:45	GB	4th & 1	TB 28	(3:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 85-T.Kraft pushed ob at TB 18 for 10 yards (22-K.Scott).	+1.56	+1.57	−0.01	+2.37	+5%	1.4×
Q1 3:11	GB	1st & 10	TB 18	(3:11) (Shotgun) 32-M.Lloyd up the middle to TB 13 for 5 yards (31-A.Winfield; 45-J.Trotter).	+0.09	+0.11	−0.01	+0.08	0%	1.4×
Q1 2:33	GB	2nd & 5	TB 13	(2:33) 10-J.Love pass short right to 85-T.Kraft pushed ob at TB 10 for 3 yards (23-T.Smith).	−0.12	−0.11	−0.01	−0.29	0%	1.4×
Q1 1:58	GB	3rd & 2	TB 10	(1:58) (Shotgun) 32-M.Lloyd up the middle to TB 9 for 1 yard (0-Y.Diaby).	−0.75	−0.73	−0.02	−0.87	−2%	1.4×
Q1 1:17	GB	4th & 1	TB 9	(1:17) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 85-T.Kraft. 85-T.Kraft up the middle to TB 6 for 3 yards (45-J.Trotter).	+1.45	+1.45	−0.01	+1.91	+5%	1.4×
Q1 0:35	GB	1st & 6	TB 6	(:35) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brooks up the middle to TB 3 for 3 yards (23-T.Smith; 50-V.Vea).	+0.05	+0.05	0.00	+0.08	0%	1.4×
Q2 15:00	GB	2nd & 3	TB 3	(15:00) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short right to 85-T.Kraft.	−0.61	−0.61	0.00	−0.98	−2%	1.4×
Q2 14:56	GB	3rd & 3	TB 3	(14:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short left to 0-M.Golden (25-J.Parrish). PENALTY on TB-25-J.Parrish, Defensive Pass Interference, 2 yards, enforced at TB 3 - No Play.	+1.30	+1.28	+0.01	+1.71	+4%	1.4×
Q2 14:54	GB	1st & 1	TB 1	(14:54) 30-C.Brooks up the middle to TB 3 for -2 yards (95-E.Roberts, 45-J.Trotter).	−0.70	−0.68	−0.02	−0.81	−2%	1.3×
Q2 14:19	GB	2nd & 3	TB 3	(14:19) (Shotgun) 32-M.Lloyd up the middle to TB 6 for -3 yards (25-J.Parrish).	−1.02	−0.98	−0.03	−1.57	−3%	1.4×
Q2 13:37	GB	3rd & 6	TB 6	(13:37) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 32-M.Lloyd pushed ob at TB 2 for 4 yards (45-J.Trotter).	−0.62	−0.63	+0.01	−0.92	−2%	1.4×
Q2 12:58	GB	4th & 2	TB 2	(12:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 0-M.Golden for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.96	+3.83	−0.88	+3.93	+8%	1.4×
Q2 12:54	GB	Try	TB 15	28-T.Smack extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.	+0.01	−0.85	+0.87	+0.07	−2%	1.3×
Q2 12:54	TB	Kickoff	GB 35	28-T.Smack kicks 65 yards from GB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the TB 35.	+0.37	+0.49	−0.12	+0.45	+2%	1.3×
Q2 12:54	TB	1st & 10	TB 35	(12:54) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 35 for no gain (90-L.Van Ness; 56-E.Cooper).	−0.46	−0.45	0.00	−0.52	−2%	1.4×
Q2 12:20	TB	2nd & 10	TB 35	(12:20) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 88-C.Otton.	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.70	−2%	1.3×
Q2 12:16	TB	3rd & 10	TB 35	(12:16) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles right end to TB 38 for 3 yards (56-E.Cooper).	−0.84	−0.84	0.00	−1.05	−3%	1.3×
Q2 11:47	TB	4th & 7	TB 38	(11:47) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to GB 24, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 23-S.Moore.	−0.13	−0.38	+0.25	−0.44	−2%	1.3×
Q2 11:40	GB	1st & 10	GB 24	(11:40) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 9-C.Watson pushed ob at GB 48 for 24 yards (27-Z.McCollum). PENALTY on GB-9-C.Watson, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at GB 24 - No Play.	−0.72	−0.74	+0.02	−1.06	−2%	1.2×
Q2 11:15	GB	1st & 20	GB 14	(11:15) (Shotgun) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to GB 18 for 4 yards (51-D.Walker).	−0.30	−0.31	0.00	−0.21	−1%	1.3×
Q2 10:50	GB	2nd & 16	GB 18	(10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short left to 0-M.Golden.	−0.62	−0.63	0.00	−0.74	−2%	1.3×
Q2 10:45	GB	3rd & 16	GB 18	(10:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep middle to 87-J.Sturdivant [50-V.Vea].	−0.89	−0.89	0.00	−0.80	−3%	1.3×
Q2 10:38	GB	4th & 16	GB 18	(10:38) 19-D.Whelan punts 36 yards to TB 46, Center-42-M.Orzech, downed by GB-42-M.Orzech.	−0.10	−0.30	+0.20	−0.44	−2%	1.4×
Q2 10:27	TB	1st & 10	TB 46	(10:27) 1-K.Gainwell right guard to 50 for 4 yards (33-E.Williams; 56-E.Cooper).	−0.04	−0.06	+0.02	−0.27	0%	1.4×
Q2 9:48	TB	2nd & 6	50	(9:48) 1-K.Gainwell up the middle to GB 49 for 1 yard (56-E.Cooper; 7-J.Bullard).	−0.51	−0.55	+0.04	−0.61	−2%	1.4×
Q2 9:04	TB	3rd & 5	GB 49	(9:04) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.Hurst pushed ob at GB 28 for 21 yards (29-X.McKinney).	+2.12	+2.13	−0.01	+2.18	+8%	1.3×
Q2 8:36	TB	1st & 10	GB 28	(8:36) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to GB 25 for 3 yards (95-D.Wyatt).	−0.06	−0.10	+0.03	−0.25	0%	1.4×
Q2 8:02	TB	2nd & 7	GB 25	(8:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 88-C.Otton to GB 19 for 6 yards (44-Z.Franklin). GB-95-D.Wyatt was injured during the play.	+0.44	+0.41	+0.04	+0.38	+1%	1.4×
Q2 7:29	TB	3rd & 1	GB 19	(7:29) 44-S.Tucker left guard to GB 19 for no gain (98-J.Hargrave; 99-B.Sorrell).	−0.69	−0.71	+0.03	−0.91	−3%	1.4×
Q2 6:45	TB	4th & 1	GB 19	(6:45) 44-S.Tucker up the middle to GB 11 for 8 yards (29-X.McKinney; 25-K.Nixon).	+1.33	+1.28	+0.05	+1.67	+4%	1.4×
Q2 6:01	TB	1st & 10	GB 11	(6:01) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels left end to GB 2 for 9 yards (56-E.Cooper; 33-E.Williams).	+0.83	+0.75	+0.07	+1.14	+3%	1.4×
Q2 5:17	TB	2nd & 1	GB 2	(5:17) 44-S.Tucker left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.94	+1.70	−0.75	+1.08	+3%	1.4×
Q2 5:13	TB	Try	GB 15	4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.	+0.10	−0.42	+0.51	+0.07	−3%	1.4×
Q2 5:13	GB	Kickoff	TB 35	4-C.McLaughlin kicks 63 yards from TB 35 to GB 2. 23-S.Moore to GB 26 for 24 yards (84-B.Sharp).	+0.15	+0.27	−0.12	+0.03	+1%	1.4×
Q2 5:07	GB	1st & 10	GB 26	(5:07) 26-K.Johnson left tackle to GB 30 for 4 yards (91-A.Robinson; 97-A.Muhammad). PENALTY on GB-72-L.Tomlinson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at GB 27.	−0.72	−0.72	0.00	−0.88	−3%	1.4×
Q2 4:51	GB	1st & 19	GB 17	(4:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 9-C.Watson to GB 33 for 16 yards (27-Z.McCollum).	+1.00	+1.03	−0.03	+1.25	+4%	1.4×
Q2 4:09	GB	2nd & 3	GB 33	(4:09) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to GB 31 for -2 yards (56-R.Nunez-Roches).	−0.92	−0.91	−0.01	−0.71	−4%	1.4×
Q2 3:26	GB	3rd & 5	GB 31	(3:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 0-M.Golden to GB 42 for 11 yards (25-J.Parrish). FUMBLES (25-J.Parrish), RECOVERED by TB-31-A.Winfield at GB 47. 31-A.Winfield to GB 17 for 30 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at GB 12. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short left to 0-M.Golden (25-J.Parrish).	−1.07	−1.07	0.00	−1.08	−4%	1.4×
Q2 3:22	GB	4th & 5	GB 31	(3:22) 19-D.Whelan punts 53 yards to TB 16, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.	+0.67	+0.40	+0.27	+0.17	+3%	1.4×
Q2 3:15	TB	1st & 10	TB 16	(3:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 15-T.Johnson pushed ob at TB 18 for 2 yards (25-K.Nixon).	−0.31	−0.30	0.00	−0.35	−1%	1.4×
Q2 2:52	TB	2nd & 8	TB 18	(2:52) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to TB 27 for 9 yards (2-B.Cisse; 7-J.Bullard).	+0.84	+0.84	0.00	+0.83	+4%	1.4×
Q2 2:12	TB	1st & 10	TB 27	(2:12) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 15-T.Johnson ran ob at TB 42 for 15 yards (44-Z.Franklin). ** Injury Update: GB-95-D.Wyatt has returned to the game.	+0.79	+0.80	−0.01	+0.54	+3%	1.4×
Q2 2:00	TB	1st & 10	TB 42	(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to 2-E.Egbuka. PENALTY on GB-25-K.Nixon, Defensive Pass Interference, 4 yards, enforced at TB 42 - No Play.	+0.21	+0.22	−0.01	+0.15	+1%	1.4×
Q2 1:57	TB	1st & 10	TB 46	(1:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles right end ran ob at GB 49 for 5 yards (56-E.Cooper).	+0.04	+0.05	−0.01	+0.02	0%	1.4×
Q2 1:51	TB	2nd & 5	GB 49	(1:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 14-C.Godwin to GB 45 for 4 yards (25-K.Nixon).	−0.07	−0.06	−0.02	+0.19	0%	1.4×
Q2 1:13	TB	3rd & 1	GB 45	(1:13) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 88-C.Otton (33-E.Williams).	−1.26	−1.26	0.00	−1.20	−5%	1.4×
Q2 1:09	TB	4th & 1	GB 45	(1:09) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.Hurst to GB 41 for 4 yards (2-B.Cisse).	+1.93	+1.95	−0.02	+1.53	+8%	1.4×
Q2 0:46	TB	1st & 10	GB 41	(:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to 14-C.Godwin [98-J.Hargrave].	−0.46	−0.45	0.00	−0.23	−2%	1.3×
Q2 0:41	TB	2nd & 10	GB 41	(:41) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left intended for 19-K.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 56-E.Cooper at GB 38. 56-E.Cooper pushed ob at TB 44 for 18 yards (10-J.Daniels).	−4.09	−4.52	+0.43	−3.90	−18%	1.4×
Q2 0:34	GB	1st & 10	TB 44	(:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 32-M.Lloyd pushed ob at TB 41 for 3 yards (22-K.Scott).	−0.16	−0.15	−0.01	+0.03	−1%	1.4×
Q2 0:29	GB	2nd & 7	TB 41	(:29) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 32-M.Lloyd to TB 40 for 1 yard (22-K.Scott).	−0.61	−0.58	−0.03	−0.59	−3%	1.4×
Q2 0:02	GB	3rd & 6	TB 40	(:02) 28-T.Smack 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.	+1.98	+2.00	−0.02	+1.63	+9%	1.4×
Q3 15:00	GB	Kickoff	TB 35	4-C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the GB 20.	−0.08	−0.15	+0.08	−0.43	0%	1.4×
Q3 15:00	GB	1st & 10	GB 20	(15:00) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 86-M.Redman to GB 45 for 25 yards (27-Z.McCollum).	+1.25	+1.34	−0.09	+1.78	+5%	1.4×
Q3 14:19	GB	1st & 10	GB 45	(14:19) (Shotgun) 32-M.Lloyd right end to GB 48 for 3 yards (45-J.Trotter).	−0.23	−0.17	−0.07	−0.19	−1%	1.3×
Q3 13:50	GB	2nd & 7	GB 48	(13:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 0-M.Golden pushed ob at TB 46 for 6 yards (34-A.Anzalone).	+0.13	+0.20	−0.07	+0.52	+1%	1.3×
Q3 13:25	GB	3rd & 1	TB 46	(13:25) (Shotgun) 32-M.Lloyd left tackle to TB 41 for 5 yards (23-T.Smith).	+0.67	+0.78	−0.11	+0.76	+3%	1.3×
Q3 12:42	GB	1st & 10	TB 41	(12:42) (Shotgun) 26-K.Johnson right guard to TB 36 for 5 yards (45-J.Trotter).	+0.03	+0.12	−0.09	+0.02	0%	1.3×
Q3 12:04	GB	2nd & 5	TB 36	(12:04) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to TB 5 for 31 yards (31-A.Winfield).	+2.09	+2.11	−0.01	+2.49	+7%	1.2×
Q3 11:20	GB	1st & 5	TB 5	(11:20) (Shotgun) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to TB 2 for 3 yards (50-V.Vea; 91-A.Robinson).	+0.10	+0.15	−0.05	+0.09	+1%	1.1×
Q3 10:39	GB	2nd & 2	TB 2	(10:39) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short right to 85-T.Kraft (23-T.Smith). Green Bay challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 10-J.Love pass short right to 85-T.Kraft for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.01	+1.98	−0.97	+1.19	+4%	1.1×
Q3 10:32	GB	Try	TB 15	28-T.Smack extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.	−0.06	−0.85	+0.79	+0.07	0%	1.0×
Q3 10:32	TB	Kickoff	GB 35	28-T.Smack kicks 65 yards from GB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the TB 35.	+0.15	+0.62	−0.47	+0.58	+1%	1.0×
Q3 10:32	TB	1st & 10	TB 35	(10:32) 7-B.Irving left tackle to TB 38 for 3 yards (7-J.Bullard; 55-C.McClellan).	−0.11	−0.12	+0.02	−0.24	0%	1.0×
Q3 9:48	TB	2nd & 7	TB 38	(9:48) 7-B.Irving left end to TB 42 for 4 yards (44-Z.Franklin).	−0.06	−0.09	+0.03	−0.20	0%	1.0×
Q3 9:04	TB	3rd & 3	TB 42	(9:04) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB-62-G.Barton, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 42 - No Play.	−0.55	−0.57	+0.02	−0.72	−2%	1.0×
Q3 8:43	TB	3rd & 8	TB 37	(8:43) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels sacked at TB 29 for -8 yards (29-X.McKinney). GB-56-E.Cooper was injured during the play.	−1.81	−1.83	+0.02	−1.96	−6%	0.9×
Q3 8:28	TB	4th & 16	TB 29	(8:28) 9-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to GB 30, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-S.Moore to GB 38 for 8 yards (19-K.Johnson).	−0.08	−0.55	+0.46	−0.57	+1%	0.7×
Q3 8:19	GB	1st & 10	GB 38	(8:19) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep middle to 85-T.Kraft (23-T.Smith) [97-A.Muhammad]. PENALTY on GB-72-L.Tomlinson, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at GB 38 - No Play.	−0.75	−0.75	0.00	−0.96	−1%	0.8×
Q3 8:14	GB	1st & 20	GB 28	(8:14) 10-J.Love pass short right to 0-M.Golden ran ob at GB 41 for 13 yards.	+0.51	+0.54	−0.04	+0.70	+1%	0.8×
Q3 7:42	GB	2nd & 7	GB 41	(7:42) 26-K.Johnson left tackle to GB 41 for no gain (27-Z.McCollum).	−0.70	−0.67	−0.03	−0.81	−1%	0.8×
Q3 6:58	GB	3rd & 7	GB 41	(6:58) (Shotgun) PENALTY on GB-71-A.Belton, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at GB 41 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.48	−0.01	−0.72	−1%	0.8×
Q3 6:36	GB	3rd & 12	GB 36	(6:36) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep left to 0-M.Golden.	−1.09	−1.08	0.00	−1.09	−3%	0.9×
Q3 6:30	GB	4th & 12	GB 36	(6:30) 19-D.Whelan punts 61 yards to TB 3, Center-42-M.Orzech. 15-T.Johnson to TB 16 for 13 yards (7-J.Bullard).	+0.63	+0.21	+0.42	+0.44	+3%	1.0×
Q3 6:17	TB	1st & 10	TB 16	(6:17) 10-J.Daniels scrambles right end pushed ob at TB 21 for 5 yards (44-Z.Franklin; 58-I.McDuffie). ** Injury Update: GB-95-D.Wyatt has returned to the game.	+0.05	+0.02	+0.03	−0.14	0%	0.9×
Q3 5:42	TB	2nd & 5	TB 21	(5:42) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to TB 34 for 13 yards (7-J.Bullard; 44-Z.Franklin).	+0.96	+0.93	+0.03	+1.36	+3%	0.9×
Q3 5:05	TB	1st & 10	TB 34	(5:05) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving left tackle to TB 39 for 5 yards (57-B.Cox; 94-K.Brooks).	+0.08	+0.04	+0.03	+0.04	0%	1.0×
Q3 4:31	TB	2nd & 5	TB 39	(4:31) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 19-K.Johnson to TB 42 for 3 yards (58-I.McDuffie) [57-B.Cox].	−0.13	−0.17	+0.05	−0.24	−1%	1.0×
Q3 3:47	TB	3rd & 2	TB 42	(3:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles up the middle to GB 37 for 21 yards (2-B.Cisse).	+1.75	+1.75	0.00	+1.95	+7%	0.9×
Q3 3:02	TB	1st & 10	GB 37	(3:02) 7-B.Irving up the middle to GB 34 for 3 yards (55-C.McClellan).	−0.09	−0.11	+0.02	−0.34	0%	1.1×
Q3 2:23	TB	2nd & 7	GB 34	(2:23) (Shotgun) 15-T.Johnson right end to GB 24 for 10 yards (29-X.McKinney; 25-K.Nixon).	+0.92	+0.90	+0.02	+1.27	+4%	1.1×
Q3 1:47	TB	1st & 10	GB 24	(1:47) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TB, Offensive Too Many Men on Field, 5 yards, enforced at GB 24 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.51	0.00	−0.86	−2%	1.2×
Q3 1:29	TB	1st & 15	GB 29	(1:29) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 1-K.Gainwell to GB 17 for 12 yards (58-I.McDuffie; 7-J.Bullard). GB-58-I.McDuffie was injured during the play.	+0.97	+0.94	+0.03	+1.13	+4%	1.1×
Q3 0:58	TB	2nd & 3	GB 17	(:58) 7-B.Irving right tackle to GB 13 for 4 yards (99-B.Sorrell; 59-T.Hopper).	+0.20	+0.18	+0.02	+0.21	+1%	1.2×
Q3 0:14	TB	1st & 10	GB 13	(:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to GB 10 for 3 yards (33-E.Williams; 44-Z.Franklin).	−0.07	−0.08	+0.01	−0.32	0%	1.2×
Q4 15:00	TB	2nd & 7	GB 10	(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 2-E.Egbuka (25-K.Nixon).	−0.55	−0.55	0.00	−0.75	−2%	1.2×
Q4 14:57	TB	3rd & 7	GB 10	(14:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 1-K.Gainwell for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.89	+2.86	−0.96	+2.93	+6%	1.1×
Q4 14:49	TB	Try	GB 15	4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.	+0.05	−0.67	+0.72	+0.07	+1%	1.2×
Q4 14:49	GB	Kickoff	TB 35	4-C.McLaughlin kicks 61 yards from TB 35 to GB 4. 23-S.Moore to GB 32 for 28 yards (51-D.Walker; 19-K.Johnson).	−0.09	+0.15	−0.24	+0.47	−1%	1.3×
Q4 14:41	GB	1st & 10	GB 32	(14:41) 32-M.Lloyd right tackle to GB 33 for 1 yard (31-A.Winfield). PENALTY on GB-79-T.Glover, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at GB 32 - No Play.	−0.78	−0.78	0.00	−1.12	−4%	1.3×
Q4 14:13	GB	1st & 20	GB 22	(14:13) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 18-J.Smith to GB 41 for 19 yards (23-T.Smith).	+1.38	+1.39	−0.02	+1.87	+7%	1.3×
Q4 13:31	GB	2nd & 1	GB 41	(13:31) PENALTY on GB-85-T.Kraft, False Start, 4 yards, enforced at GB 41 - No Play.	−0.64	−0.65	0.00	−0.72	−3%	1.2×
Q4 13:31	GB	2nd & 5	GB 37	(13:31) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 85-T.Kraft to GB 39 for 2 yards (25-J.Parrish).	−0.38	−0.38	0.00	−0.45	−2%	1.2×
Q4 12:58	GB	3rd & 3	GB 39	(12:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 9-C.Watson to TB 43 for 18 yards (31-A.Winfield) [23-T.Smith].	+1.56	+1.59	−0.03	+1.88	+8%	1.3×
Q4 12:15	GB	1st & 10	TB 43	(12:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 23-S.Moore to TB 45 for -2 yards (52-C.Rozeboom).	−0.70	−0.72	+0.01	−0.75	−3%	1.1×
Q4 11:36	GB	2nd & 12	TB 45	(11:36) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft to TB 37 for 8 yards (34-A.Anzalone).	+0.18	+0.18	0.00	+0.40	+1%	1.2×
Q4 10:51	GB	3rd & 4	TB 37	(10:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on TB-34-A.Anzalone, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 37 - No Play.	+1.06	+1.07	−0.01	+1.24	+5%	1.2×
Q4 10:44	GB	1st & 10	TB 32	(10:44) 10-J.Love pass short right to 32-M.Lloyd to TB 16 for 16 yards (31-A.Winfield). FUMBLES (31-A.Winfield), ball out of bounds at TB 16.	+0.87	+0.83	+0.04	+0.99	+4%	1.1×
Q4 10:02	GB	1st & 10	TB 16	(10:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short right to 23-S.Moore.	−0.37	−0.38	0.00	−0.46	−2%	1.0×
Q4 9:58	GB	2nd & 10	TB 16	(9:58) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 9-C.Watson to TB 3 for 13 yards (25-J.Parrish).	+1.45	+1.36	+0.09	+1.74	+7%	1.0×
Q4 9:13	GB	1st & 3	TB 3	(9:13) (Shotgun) 26-K.Johnson up the middle to TB 3 for no gain (23-T.Smith). FUMBLES (23-T.Smith), touched at TB 3, RECOVERED by TB-27-Z.McCollum at TB 4.	−4.02	−4.85	+0.82	−5.89	−18%	0.8×
Q4 9:06	TB	1st & 10	TB 4	(9:06) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to TB 6 for 2 yards (25-K.Nixon). ** Injury Update: GB-58-I.McDuffie has returned to the game.	−0.21	−0.21	0.00	−0.34	−2%	1.2×
Q4 8:27	TB	2nd & 8	TB 6	(8:27) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right tackle to TB 7 for 1 yard (90-L.Van Ness; 51-D.Dennis-Sutton).	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.49	−3%	1.1×
Q4 7:45	TB	3rd & 7	TB 7	(7:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 2-E.Egbuka to TB 15 for 8 yards (90-L.Van Ness).	+1.44	+1.45	−0.01	+1.36	+9%	1.1×
Q4 7:17	TB	1st & 10	TB 15	(7:17) (No Huddle) 1-K.Gainwell up the middle to TB 15 for no gain (58-I.McDuffie; 7-J.Bullard).	−0.41	−0.41	0.00	−0.65	−3%	1.2×
Q4 6:35	TB	2nd & 10	TB 15	(6:35) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 14-C.Godwin to TB 12 for -3 yards (25-K.Nixon).	−0.90	−0.90	0.00	−1.10	−6%	1.1×
Q4 5:51	TB	3rd & 13	TB 12	(5:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels Aborted. 62-G.Barton FUMBLES at TB 6, recovered by TB-10-J.Daniels at TB 3. 10-J.Daniels to TB 1 for -2 yards (57-B.Cox).	−1.61	−1.62	+0.01	−1.28	−9%	1.0×
Q4 5:09	TB	4th & 24	TB 1	(5:09) 9-R.Dixon punts 43 yards to TB 44, Center-86-E.Deckers. 23-S.Moore to TB 33 for 11 yards (38-K.Knowles; 29-M.Killebrew).	+0.23	−0.49	+0.73	−0.99	+3%	0.8×
Q4 4:59	GB	1st & 10	TB 33	(4:59) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 32-M.Lloyd to TB 21 for 12 yards (45-J.Trotter). TB-31-A.Winfield was injured during the play.	+0.65	+0.60	+0.05	+0.75	+4%	0.9×
Q4 4:26	GB	1st & 10	TB 21	(4:26) PENALTY on GB-32-M.Lloyd, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 21 - No Play.	−0.51	−0.50	−0.01	−0.74	−3%	0.8×
Q4 4:26	GB	1st & 15	TB 26	(4:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left intended for 0-M.Golden INTERCEPTED by 25-J.Parrish at TB 7. 25-J.Parrish to TB 15 for 8 yards (85-T.Kraft).	−2.85	−3.56	+0.72	−3.89	−15%	0.8×
Q4 4:18	TB	1st & 10	TB 15	(4:18) 7-B.Irving left tackle to TB 22 for 7 yards (2-B.Cisse). GB-2-B.Cisse was injured during the play.	+0.27	+0.28	−0.01	+0.22	+2%	1.0×
Q4 3:57	TB	2nd & 3	TB 22	(3:57) (Shotgun) 7-B.Irving right guard to TB 29 for 7 yards (44-Z.Franklin; 33-E.Williams).	+0.33	+0.34	−0.01	+0.68	+3%	1.0×
Q4 3:17	TB	1st & 10	TB 29	(3:17) 7-B.Irving right tackle to TB 30 for 1 yard (90-L.Van Ness).	−0.51	−0.50	−0.01	−0.40	−3%	1.0×
Q4 2:36	TB	2nd & 9	TB 30	(2:36) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short left to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at TB 36 for 6 yards (24-C.Valentine).	+0.07	+0.07	0.00	−0.04	−1%	1.0×
Q4 2:30	TB	3rd & 3	TB 36	(2:30) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to TB 41 for 5 yards (33-E.Williams).	+0.79	+0.80	−0.01	+0.87	+8%	1.0×
Q4 2:00	TB	1st & 10	TB 41	(2:00) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 88-C.Otton pushed ob at GB 46 for 13 yards (33-E.Williams).	+0.67	+0.69	−0.03	+0.76	+6%	1.0×
Q4 1:54	TB	1st & 10	GB 46	(1:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short left.	−0.49	−0.48	0.00	−0.39	−4%	1.0×
Q4 1:47	TB	2nd & 10	GB 46	(1:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels sacked at TB 48 for -6 yards (33-E.Williams). Penalty on TB-15-T.Johnson, Illegal Motion, declined.	−1.26	−1.27	+0.01	−0.99	−11%	1.1×
Q4 1:42	TB	3rd & 16	TB 48	(1:42) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short right to 2-E.Egbuka to GB 47 for 5 yards (57-B.Cox; 7-J.Bullard).	−0.80	−0.79	−0.01	−0.49	−11%	1.0×
Q4 1:34	TB	4th & 11	GB 47	(1:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass short middle intended for 17-T.Hurst INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Nixon [33-E.Williams] at GB 43. 25-K.Nixon to GB 43 for no gain (17-T.Hurst). The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 17-T.Hurst (25-K.Nixon) [33-E.Williams].	−0.17	−0.61	+0.44	−0.52	−26%	0.9×
Q4 1:25	GB	1st & 10	GB 47	(1:25) 10-J.Love kneels to GB 43 for -4 yards.	−1.00	−1.08	+0.09	0.00	0%	0.1×
Q4 0:44	GB	2nd & 14	GB 43	(:44) 10-J.Love kneels to GB 40 for -3 yards.	−0.99	−1.07	+0.09	+0.13	+1%	0.1×
Q4 0:02	GB	3rd & 17	GB 40	(:02) PENALTY on GB, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at GB 40 - No Play.	−0.18	−0.19	0.00	−0.13	0%	0.0×
Q4 0:02	GB	3rd & 22	GB 35	(:02) 10-J.Love kneels to GB 30 for -5 yards.	+2.84	+2.04	+0.79	0.00	0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	J.Love	GB	34	+4.6+0.15	+0.9+0.21	—	+5.4+0.16	+1.9+0.18	+6.9+0.20
	T.Kraft	GB	8	—	+1.4+1.45	+3.0+0.43	+4.5+0.56	+1.7+0.58	+5.9+0.74
	C.Watson	GB	3	—	—	+4.0+1.33	+4.0+1.33	+1.4+1.31	+4.9+1.62
	T.Hurst	TB	3	—	—	+3.9+1.29	+3.9+1.29	+1.5+1.49	+3.2+1.06
	K.Gainwell	TB	5	—	−1.0−0.32	+2.9+1.43	+1.9+0.38	+0.6+0.32	+2.5+0.50
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
GB
	J.Love	22	30	2	1	0	1976.6	+6.9+0.23	+4.6+0.15	+1.9+0.19

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TB
	J.Daniels	19	27	1	2	3	1485.5	−4.3−0.14	−4.0−0.13	−1.5−0.15

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
GB
	K.Johnson	8	0	425.2	−5.9−0.74	−4.4−0.56	−1.1−0.41
	M.Lloyd	7	0	131.9	−3.0−0.43	−2.2−0.31	−0.9−0.32
	C.Brooks	4	0	307.5	+0.9+0.22	+1.0+0.26	+0.4+0.28
	J.Love	4	0	−8−2.0	0.0+0.01	+0.9+0.21	0.0−0.05
	M.Golden	1	0	66.0	+0.2+0.23	+0.2+0.24	+0.1+0.24
	T.Kraft	1	0	33.0	+1.9+1.91	+1.4+1.45	+0.6+1.45

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TB
	B.Irving	16	0	613.8	−0.9−0.06	0.00.00	0.0+0.01
	J.Daniels	8	0	556.9	+1.4+0.17	+0.9+0.12	+0.3+0.12
	K.Gainwell	3	0	51.7	−1.5−0.51	−1.0−0.32	−0.3−0.32
	S.Tucker	3	1	103.3	+1.8+0.61	+1.6+0.53	+0.6+0.53
	T.Johnson	1	0	1010.0	+1.3+1.27	+0.9+0.92	+0.3+0.92

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
GB
	T.Kraft	7	6	1	427.0	+4.0+0.58	+3.0+0.43	+1.1+0.44
	M.Golden	7	3	1	217.0	−1.6−0.24	−2.0−0.29	−0.2−0.11
	M.Lloyd	5	5	0	367.2	+0.3+0.05	+0.1+0.02	−0.1−0.07
	C.Watson	3	3	0	4715.7	+4.9+1.62	+4.0+1.33	+1.4+1.31
	M.Redman	2	2	0	2914.5	+1.7+0.85	+1.2+0.62	+0.5+0.60
	S.Moore	2	1	0	−2−2.0	−1.2−0.61	−1.1−0.54	−0.3−0.55
	B.Melton	1	0	0	0—	−1.9−1.91	−1.3−1.27	−0.5−1.27
	C.Brooks	1	1	0	55.0	−0.2−0.24	+0.1+0.06	0.0+0.06
	J.Sturdivant	1	0	0	0—	−0.8−0.80	−0.9−0.89	−0.3−0.89
	J.Smith	1	1	0	1919.0	+1.9+1.87	+1.4+1.38	+0.5+1.38

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TB
	C.Godwin	7	6	0	315.2	+0.7+0.10	+0.2+0.03	0.0+0.01
	C.Otton	6	4	0	379.2	+1.1+0.18	+0.7+0.12	+0.2+0.08
	E.Egbuka	4	2	0	136.5	−4.3−1.07	−3.5−0.87	−1.4−1.05
	T.Hurst	3	2	0	2512.5	+3.2+1.06	+3.9+1.29	+1.5+1.49
	T.Johnson	2	2	0	178.5	+0.2+0.10	+0.5+0.24	+0.2+0.24
	K.Johnson	2	1	0	33.0	−4.1−2.07	−4.2−2.11	−1.6−2.44
	K.Gainwell	2	2	1	2211.0	+4.1+2.03	+2.9+1.43	+0.9+1.43