DET 26, CAR 32 — week 4, 2026

DET

26 at 32

CAR

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

DET season | CAR season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

DET 48%

Win expectancy

from how they played

DET 4%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
CAR	82	32	4455.4	+18.7+0.228	+16.0+0.195	+20.4+0.249	−4.4−0.054	+7.0+0.318
DET	83	26	4525.4	+12.4+0.149	+9.7+0.117	+9.2+0.111	+0.5+0.006	+3.0+0.135
NET	−1	6	−70.0	+6.3+0.079	+6.3+0.078	+11.2+0.138	−4.9−0.060	+4.0+0.183
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is CAR minus DET.

Game Timeline

DET at CAR. CAR won by 6. Two panels. Top: CAR's win probability across 184 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 100%; CAR was favored on 93% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at CAR by 13.3 in the fourth quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: +8% at play 10, J.Bates kicks 59 yards from DET 35 to CAR 6. D.Moore ran ob…; +8% at play 51, B.Young pass short middle to J.Metchie to DET 32 for 10…; -11% at play 80, J.Goff pass deep right to J.Williams to CAR 23 for 49 yards; -16% at play 103, J.Goff pass deep left to I.TeSlaa to CAR 12 for 57 yards.

Excitement

0.8 bits

#10 of 16 this week

46th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.71

#11 of 16 this week

46th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

410 pts

#10 of 16 this week

57th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

58%

#9 of 16 this week

58th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#3 of 16 this week

87th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

45%

#12 of 16 this week

29th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 7:53	DET	1st & 25	DET 31	(7:53) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 18-I.TeSlaa to CAR 12 for 57 yards (29-A.Evans).	+3.32	+3.34	−0.02	+4.03	+16%	1.1×
2	Q2 8:52	CAR	4th & 4	DET 42	(8:52) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 13-J.Metchie to DET 32 for 10 yards (36-C.Clark).	+2.71	+2.70	+0.01	+3.01	+8%	1.3×
3	Q2 0:21	DET	1st & 10	DET 28	(:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 1-J.Williams to CAR 23 for 49 yards (22-L.Ransom; 29-A.Evans).	+2.70	+2.76	−0.06	+2.40	+11%	1.3×
4	Q1 12:05	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 59 yards from DET 35 to CAR 6. 83-D.Moore ran ob at CAR 36 for 30 yards (5-C.Izien).	+2.69	+0.43	+2.26	+0.79	+8%	1.4×
5	Q2 11:14	CAR	3rd & 9	CAR 26	(11:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan pushed ob at DET 48 for 26 yards (2-E.Rakestraw).	+2.44	+2.43	0.00	+2.49	+8%	1.4×
6	Q1 8:32	CAR	3rd & 2	DET 45	(8:32) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 45 for -10 yards (54-A.McNeill).	−2.40	−2.32	−0.08	−2.89	−8%	1.4×
7	Q4 11:14	CAR	4th & 4	DET 37	(11:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 88-D.Waller to DET 28 for 9 yards (27-J.Mills).	+2.38	+2.37	+0.02	+3.33	+4%	0.5×
8	Q4 0:40	CAR	2nd & 11	DET 23	(:40) 9-B.Young kneels to DET 26 for -3 yards.	−2.32	−1.76	−0.56	−2.38	0%	0.0×
9	Q2 8:14	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 32	(8:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-D.Wonnum].	+2.26	+3.59	−1.33	+3.75	+7%	1.2×
10	Q4 4:05	DET	4th & 5	CAR 10	(4:05) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to CAR 3 for 7 yards (55-D.Lloyd; 20-Z.Wheatley).	+2.20	+2.20	0.00	+3.10	+4%	0.3×
11	Q4 3:16	CAR	3rd & 14	CAR 32	(3:16) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan pushed ob at 50 for 18 yards (2-E.Rakestraw) [8-D.Moore].	+2.18	+2.19	−0.01	+2.06	+5%	0.3×
12	Q1 12:09	DET	4th & 12	CAR 36	(12:09) 39-J.Bates 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	+2.16	+1.26	+0.90	+2.09	+3%	1.4×
13	Q3 9:37	CAR	2nd & 9	DET 10	(9:37) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.03	+2.68	−0.65	+2.20	+9%	1.2×
14	Q2 7:21	DET	3rd & 10	DET 32	(7:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 33-S.Vaki to DET 49 for 17 yards (55-D.Lloyd; 26-C.Smith-Wade).	+1.97	+1.97	0.00	+2.11	+7%	1.0×
15	Q1 1:06	DET	2nd & 12	DET 25	(1:06) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 36 for 11 yards (55-D.Lloyd). PENALTY on CAR-52-T.Gipson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at DET 36.	+1.94	+1.97	−0.03	+2.57	+7%	1.3×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 12:05	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 59 yards from DET 35 to CAR 6. 83-D.Moore ran ob at CAR 36 for 30 yards (5-C.Izien).	+2.69	+0.43	+2.26	+0.79	+8%	1.4×
2	Q3 7:53	DET	1st & 25	DET 31	(7:53) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 18-I.TeSlaa to CAR 12 for 57 yards (29-A.Evans).	+3.32	+3.34	−0.02	+4.03	+16%	1.1×
3	Q2 8:52	CAR	4th & 4	DET 42	(8:52) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 13-J.Metchie to DET 32 for 10 yards (36-C.Clark).	+2.71	+2.70	+0.01	+3.01	+8%	1.3×
4	Q2 0:21	DET	1st & 10	DET 28	(:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 1-J.Williams to CAR 23 for 49 yards (22-L.Ransom; 29-A.Evans).	+2.70	+2.76	−0.06	+2.40	+11%	1.3×
5	Q1 8:32	CAR	3rd & 2	DET 45	(8:32) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 45 for -10 yards (54-A.McNeill).	−2.40	−2.32	−0.08	−2.89	−8%	1.4×
6	Q2 11:14	CAR	3rd & 9	CAR 26	(11:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan pushed ob at DET 48 for 26 yards (2-E.Rakestraw).	+2.44	+2.43	0.00	+2.49	+8%	1.4×
7	Q1 12:09	DET	4th & 12	CAR 36	(12:09) 39-J.Bates 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	+2.16	+1.26	+0.90	+2.09	+3%	1.4×
8	Q2 8:14	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 32	(8:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-D.Wonnum].	+2.26	+3.59	−1.33	+3.75	+7%	1.2×
9	Q3 9:37	CAR	2nd & 9	DET 10	(9:37) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.03	+2.68	−0.65	+2.20	+9%	1.2×
10	Q1 1:56	CAR	1st & 10	DET 15	(1:56) 30-C.Hubbard left tackle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.81	+2.66	−0.85	+1.84	+5%	1.4×
11	Q1 1:06	DET	2nd & 12	DET 25	(1:06) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 36 for 11 yards (55-D.Lloyd). PENALTY on CAR-52-T.Gipson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at DET 36.	+1.94	+1.97	−0.03	+2.57	+7%	1.3×
12	Q2 7:21	DET	3rd & 10	DET 32	(7:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 33-S.Vaki to DET 49 for 17 yards (55-D.Lloyd; 26-C.Smith-Wade).	+1.97	+1.97	0.00	+2.11	+7%	1.0×
13	Q1 10:44	CAR	3rd & 9	CAR 37	(10:44) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 47 for 10 yards (4-D.Reed) [8-D.Moore].	+1.39	+1.56	−0.17	+1.93	+4%	1.4×
14	Q2 1:15	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 47	(1:15) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan to DET 29 for 18 yards (2-E.Rakestraw). FUMBLES (2-E.Rakestraw), ball out of bounds at DET 29.	+1.45	+1.50	−0.05	+1.37	+5%	1.4×
15	Q3 3:28	CAR	1st & 10	DET 27	(3:28) 30-C.Hubbard right guard to DET 2 for 25 yards (4-D.Reed).	+1.87	+1.76	+0.11	+1.99	+6%	1.0×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 7:53	DET	1st & 25	DET 31	(7:53) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 18-I.TeSlaa to CAR 12 for 57 yards (29-A.Evans).	+3.32	+3.34	−0.02	+4.03	+16%	1.1×
2	Q2 0:21	DET	1st & 10	DET 28	(:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 1-J.Williams to CAR 23 for 49 yards (22-L.Ransom; 29-A.Evans).	+2.70	+2.76	−0.06	+2.40	+11%	1.3×
3	Q3 9:37	CAR	2nd & 9	DET 10	(9:37) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.03	+2.68	−0.65	+2.20	+9%	1.2×
4	Q2 8:52	CAR	4th & 4	DET 42	(8:52) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 13-J.Metchie to DET 32 for 10 yards (36-C.Clark).	+2.71	+2.70	+0.01	+3.01	+8%	1.3×
5	Q1 12:05	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 59 yards from DET 35 to CAR 6. 83-D.Moore ran ob at CAR 36 for 30 yards (5-C.Izien).	+2.69	+0.43	+2.26	+0.79	+8%	1.4×
6	Q1 8:32	CAR	3rd & 2	DET 45	(8:32) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 45 for -10 yards (54-A.McNeill).	−2.40	−2.32	−0.08	−2.89	−8%	1.4×
7	Q2 11:14	CAR	3rd & 9	CAR 26	(11:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan pushed ob at DET 48 for 26 yards (2-E.Rakestraw).	+2.44	+2.43	0.00	+2.49	+8%	1.4×
8	Q2 8:14	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 32	(8:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-D.Wonnum].	+2.26	+3.59	−1.33	+3.75	+7%	1.2×
9	Q1 1:06	DET	2nd & 12	DET 25	(1:06) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 36 for 11 yards (55-D.Lloyd). PENALTY on CAR-52-T.Gipson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at DET 36.	+1.94	+1.97	−0.03	+2.57	+7%	1.3×
10	Q2 7:21	DET	3rd & 10	DET 32	(7:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 33-S.Vaki to DET 49 for 17 yards (55-D.Lloyd; 26-C.Smith-Wade).	+1.97	+1.97	0.00	+2.11	+7%	1.0×
11	Q3 3:28	CAR	1st & 10	DET 27	(3:28) 30-C.Hubbard right guard to DET 2 for 25 yards (4-D.Reed).	+1.87	+1.76	+0.11	+1.99	+6%	1.0×
12	Q3 5:10	CAR	2nd & 8	CAR 33	(5:10) 9-B.Young pass deep middle to 87-B.Tremayne to DET 46 for 21 yards (46-J.Campbell; 5-C.Izien) [54-A.McNeill].	+1.48	+1.50	−0.03	+1.82	+6%	1.2×
13	Q3 6:24	DET	4th & 6	CAR 8	(6:24) 39-J.Bates 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	−0.87	−0.64	−0.22	+0.08	−6%	1.3×
14	Q3 1:57	DET	3rd & 7	DET 28	(1:57) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 1-J.Williams pushed ob at DET 42 for 14 yards (29-A.Evans).	+1.70	+1.70	0.00	+2.14	+5%	0.6×
15	Q2 0:32	CAR	4th & 10	DET 29	(:32) 10-R.Fitzgerald 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.	+0.80	+0.75	+0.05	+1.00	+5%	1.4×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 184 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	DET	Kickoff	CAR 35	10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DET 35.	+0.56	+0.62	−0.06	+0.50	+2%	1.4×
Q1 15:00	DET	1st & 10	DET 35	(15:00) 0-J.Gibbs up the middle to DET 42 for 7 yards (91-P.Jones).	+0.49	+0.33	+0.17	+0.56	+1%	1.4×
Q1 14:27	DET	2nd & 3	DET 42	(14:27) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 1-J.Williams to DET 48 for 6 yards (29-A.Evans).	+0.53	+0.37	+0.16	+0.57	+1%	1.4×
Q1 13:54	DET	1st & 10	DET 48	(13:54) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 14-A.St. Brown to CAR 34 for 18 yards (58-B.Okereke; 7-T.Moehrig).	+1.18	+1.04	+0.14	+1.18	+3%	1.4×
Q1 13:15	DET	1st & 10	CAR 34	(13:15) PENALTY on DET-89-B.Wright, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 34 - No Play.	−0.46	−0.53	+0.08	−0.62	−1%	1.4×
Q1 12:59	DET	1st & 15	CAR 39	(12:59) (Shotgun) 0-J.Gibbs left guard to CAR 36 for 3 yards (58-B.Okereke; 91-P.Jones).	+0.02	−0.12	+0.14	−0.29	0%	1.4×
Q1 12:17	DET	2nd & 12	CAR 36	(12:17) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 18-I.TeSlaa (58-B.Okereke).	−0.62	−0.63	+0.01	−0.88	−2%	1.4×
Q1 12:13	DET	3rd & 12	CAR 36	(12:13) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short right to 87-S.LaPorta.	−1.06	−1.07	+0.01	−0.87	−3%	1.4×
Q1 12:09	DET	4th & 12	CAR 36	(12:09) 39-J.Bates 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	+2.16	+1.26	+0.90	+2.09	+3%	1.4×
Q1 12:05	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 59 yards from DET 35 to CAR 6. 83-D.Moore ran ob at CAR 36 for 30 yards (5-C.Izien).	+2.69	+0.43	+2.26	+0.79	+8%	1.4×
Q1 11:59	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 36	(11:59) 9-B.Young pass short left to 82-T.Tremble to CAR 41 for 5 yards (46-J.Campbell).	−0.10	+0.04	−0.14	−0.09	0%	1.4×
Q1 11:21	CAR	2nd & 5	CAR 41	(11:21) 30-C.Hubbard left tackle to CAR 37 for -4 yards (41-J.Rolder).	−1.17	−1.03	−0.15	−1.27	−4%	1.4×
Q1 10:44	CAR	3rd & 9	CAR 37	(10:44) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 47 for 10 yards (4-D.Reed) [8-D.Moore].	+1.39	+1.56	−0.17	+1.93	+4%	1.4×
Q1 10:07	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 47	(10:07) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 13-J.Metchie to DET 27 for 26 yards (5-C.Izien; 36-C.Clark). PENALTY on CAR-50-R.Hunt, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 47 - No Play.	−0.60	−0.51	−0.10	−0.63	−2%	1.4×
Q1 9:42	CAR	1st & 15	CAR 42	(9:42) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to DET 46 for 12 yards (36-C.Clark).	+0.71	+0.85	−0.15	+0.84	+2%	1.4×
Q1 9:10	CAR	2nd & 3	DET 46	(9:10) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to DET 45 for 1 yard (91-T.Williams).	−0.64	−0.51	−0.12	−0.48	−2%	1.4×
Q1 8:32	CAR	3rd & 2	DET 45	(8:32) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 45 for -10 yards (54-A.McNeill).	−2.40	−2.32	−0.08	−2.89	−8%	1.4×
Q1 7:49	CAR	4th & 12	CAR 45	(7:49) 6-S.Martin punts 44 yards to DET 11, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 85-T.Kennedy.	+0.10	+0.09	+0.01	+0.59	−2%	1.4×
Q1 7:41	DET	1st & 10	DET 11	(7:41) 0-J.Gibbs up the middle to DET 21 for 10 yards (7-T.Moehrig). PENALTY on DET-70-J.Scruggs, Offensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at DET 11 - No Play.	−0.47	−0.49	+0.03	−0.74	−2%	1.4×
Q1 7:17	DET	1st & 15	DET 6	(7:17) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to DET 11 for 5 yards (29-A.Evans) [55-D.Lloyd].	+0.02	0.00	+0.03	+0.25	0%	1.4×
Q1 6:39	DET	2nd & 10	DET 11	(6:39) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to 1-J.Williams.	−0.64	−0.64	0.00	−0.76	−2%	1.4×
Q1 6:34	DET	3rd & 10	DET 11	(6:34) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 0-J.Gibbs to DET 15 for 4 yards (21-N.Scott).	−0.47	−0.50	+0.03	−0.77	−2%	1.4×
Q1 5:59	DET	4th & 6	DET 15	(5:59) 3-J.Fox punts 47 yards to CAR 38, Center-49-H.Hatten, out of bounds. PENALTY on CAR-38-R.Rochell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 38. Penalty on CAR-27-I.Simmons, Offensive Holding, declined.	+0.31	+0.26	+0.05	+0.70	−1%	1.4×
Q1 5:50	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 28	(5:50) 9-B.Young pass short left to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 37 for 9 yards (21-R.McCreary) [93-T.Lacy]. Penalty on DET-95-L.Onwuzurike, Defensive Offside, declined.	+0.68	+0.70	−0.02	+0.91	+2%	1.4×
Q1 5:31	CAR	2nd & 1	CAR 37	(5:31) 30-C.Hubbard right guard to CAR 40 for 3 yards (95-L.Onwuzurike; 4-D.Reed).	−0.09	−0.05	−0.04	−0.13	0%	1.4×
Q1 4:56	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 40	(4:56) 30-C.Hubbard left end to CAR 46 for 6 yards (46-J.Campbell).	+0.13	+0.18	−0.05	+0.27	0%	1.4×
Q1 4:23	CAR	2nd & 4	CAR 46	(4:23) 9-B.Young scrambles right end pushed ob at DET 47 for 7 yards (5-C.Izien).	+0.47	+0.54	−0.06	+0.47	+1%	1.4×
Q1 3:50	CAR	1st & 10	DET 47	(3:50) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 82-T.Tremble to DET 43 for 4 yards (41-J.Rolder).	−0.12	−0.05	−0.07	−0.32	0%	1.4×
Q1 3:12	CAR	2nd & 6	DET 43	(3:12) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 30-C.Hubbard to DET 36 for 7 yards (41-J.Rolder) [97-A.Hutchinson].	+0.62	+0.70	−0.08	+0.86	+2%	1.4×
Q1 2:32	CAR	1st & 10	DET 36	(2:32) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to DET 15 for 21 yards (36-C.Clark; 46-J.Campbell).	+1.13	+1.17	−0.03	+1.24	+3%	1.4×
Q1 1:56	CAR	1st & 10	DET 15	(1:56) 30-C.Hubbard left tackle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.81	+2.66	−0.85	+1.84	+5%	1.4×
Q1 1:50	CAR	Try	DET 15	10-R.Fitzgerald extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.	+0.20	−0.47	+0.67	+0.07	0%	1.3×
Q1 1:50	DET	Kickoff	CAR 35	10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 64 yards from CAR 35 to DET 1. 85-T.Kennedy to DET 27 for 26 yards (38-R.Rochell).	−0.33	+0.10	−0.42	+0.08	−1%	1.3×
Q1 1:45	DET	1st & 10	DET 27	(1:45) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 25 for -2 yards (94-A.Hall).	−0.65	−0.66	+0.01	−0.87	−2%	1.3×
Q1 1:06	DET	2nd & 12	DET 25	(1:06) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 36 for 11 yards (55-D.Lloyd). PENALTY on CAR-52-T.Gipson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at DET 36.	+1.94	+1.97	−0.03	+2.57	+7%	1.3×
Q1 0:41	DET	1st & 10	CAR 49	(:41) 0-J.Gibbs right tackle to CAR 45 for 4 yards (94-A.Hall).	−0.05	−0.05	0.00	−0.11	0%	1.4×
Q2 15:00	DET	2nd & 6	CAR 45	(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to CAR 38 for 7 yards (58-B.Okereke).	+0.68	+0.70	−0.01	+0.89	+2%	1.4×
Q2 14:25	DET	1st & 10	CAR 38	(14:25) 0-J.Gibbs up the middle to CAR 41 for -3 yards (55-D.Lloyd).	−0.76	−0.76	+0.01	−1.15	−3%	1.4×
Q2 13:45	DET	2nd & 13	CAR 41	(13:45) 0-J.Gibbs left tackle ran ob at CAR 28 for 13 yards (29-A.Evans).	+1.35	+1.37	−0.02	+1.92	+5%	1.4×
Q2 13:10	DET	1st & 10	CAR 28	(13:10) 0-J.Gibbs up the middle to CAR 25 for 3 yards (7-T.Moehrig).	−0.09	−0.09	0.00	−0.21	0%	1.4×
Q2 12:49	DET	2nd & 7	CAR 25	(12:49) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 0-J.Gibbs.	−0.49	−0.49	0.00	−0.59	−3%	1.4×
Q2 12:46	DET	3rd & 7	CAR 25	(12:46) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short middle to 0-J.Gibbs (22-L.Ransom). Detroit challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #2.)	−0.75	−0.75	0.00	−0.90	−2%	1.4×
Q2 12:41	DET	4th & 7	CAR 25	(12:41) 39-J.Bates 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	+0.66	+0.09	+0.57	+0.84	+1%	1.4×
Q2 12:37	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 61 yards from DET 35 to CAR 4. 83-D.Moore to CAR 25 for 21 yards (30-K.Dorsey; 57-A.Ogbongbemiga).	+0.63	+0.36	+0.27	+0.01	+2%	1.4×
Q2 12:30	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 25	(12:30) 30-C.Hubbard left guard to CAR 30 for 5 yards (91-T.Williams).	+0.07	+0.04	+0.03	−0.07	0%	1.3×
Q2 11:54	CAR	2nd & 5	CAR 30	(11:54) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to CAR 26 for -4 yards (54-A.McNeill).	−0.99	−1.03	+0.04	−1.18	−3%	1.3×
Q2 11:14	CAR	3rd & 9	CAR 26	(11:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan pushed ob at DET 48 for 26 yards (2-E.Rakestraw).	+2.44	+2.43	0.00	+2.49	+8%	1.4×
Q2 10:39	CAR	1st & 10	DET 48	(10:39) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 82-T.Tremble to DET 48 for no gain (44-M.Rodriguez). Penalty on CAR-57-M.Freeling, Illegal Formation, declined.	−0.43	−0.46	+0.03	−0.53	−1%	1.3×
Q2 10:14	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 48	(10:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 28-A.Dillon to DET 43 for 5 yards (5-C.Izien).	−0.14	−0.17	+0.03	−0.33	0%	1.3×
Q2 9:36	CAR	3rd & 5	DET 43	(9:36) (Shotgun) 28-A.Dillon left end to DET 42 for 1 yard (97-A.Hutchinson; 91-T.Williams).	−1.09	−1.13	+0.05	−1.37	−4%	1.3×
Q2 8:52	CAR	4th & 4	DET 42	(8:52) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 13-J.Metchie to DET 32 for 10 yards (36-C.Clark).	+2.71	+2.70	+0.01	+3.01	+8%	1.3×
Q2 8:19	CAR	1st & 10	DET 32	(8:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Waller.	−0.42	−0.42	0.00	−0.38	−1%	1.2×
Q2 8:14	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 32	(8:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-D.Wonnum].	+2.26	+3.59	−1.33	+3.75	+7%	1.2×
Q2 8:08	CAR	Try	DET 15	10-R.Fitzgerald extra point is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.	−0.78	−1.42	+0.65	−0.93	−2%	1.1×
Q2 8:08	DET	Kickoff	CAR 35	10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 59 yards from CAR 35 to DET 6. 25-J.Saylors to DET 32 for 26 yards (87-B.Tremayne).	+0.41	+0.51	−0.09	+0.38	+1%	1.1×
Q2 8:01	DET	1st & 10	DET 32	(8:01) 79-L.Borom reported in as eligible. 0-J.Gibbs right guard to DET 32 for no gain (24-W.Lee; 55-D.Lloyd).	−0.43	−0.46	+0.03	−0.36	−1%	1.1×
Q2 7:25	DET	2nd & 10	DET 32	(7:25) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 33-S.Vaki.	−0.59	−0.59	0.00	−0.72	−2%	1.1×
Q2 7:21	DET	3rd & 10	DET 32	(7:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 33-S.Vaki to DET 49 for 17 yards (55-D.Lloyd; 26-C.Smith-Wade).	+1.97	+1.97	0.00	+2.11	+7%	1.0×
Q2 6:41	DET	1st & 10	DET 49	(6:41) 0-J.Gibbs left end pushed ob at CAR 46 for 5 yards (29-A.Evans).	+0.06	+0.06	0.00	+0.09	0%	1.2×
Q2 6:11	DET	2nd & 5	CAR 46	(6:11) (Shotgun) 0-J.Gibbs left end to CAR 46 for no gain (5-J.Phillips; 21-N.Scott).	−0.68	−0.70	+0.02	−0.62	−2%	1.2×
Q2 5:33	DET	3rd & 5	CAR 46	(5:33) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 1-J.Williams to CAR 38 for 8 yards (29-A.Evans).	+1.37	+1.36	+0.01	+1.28	+5%	1.2×
Q2 4:53	DET	1st & 10	CAR 38	(4:53) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown to CAR 24 for 14 yards (7-T.Moehrig).	+0.83	+0.79	+0.04	+0.79	+3%	1.3×
Q2 4:08	DET	1st & 10	CAR 24	(4:08) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 0-J.Gibbs pushed ob at CAR 19 for 5 yards (58-B.Okereke).	+0.16	+0.10	+0.06	+0.06	0%	1.3×
Q2 3:35	DET	2nd & 5	CAR 19	(3:35) 0-J.Gibbs right end ran ob at CAR 17 for 2 yards (20-Z.Wheatley).	−0.16	−0.22	+0.07	−0.05	0%	1.3×
Q2 3:03	DET	3rd & 3	CAR 17	(3:03) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 1-J.Williams to CAR 6 for 11 yards (55-D.Lloyd).	+1.24	+1.11	+0.13	+1.48	+4%	1.3×
Q2 2:23	DET	1st & 6	CAR 6	(2:23) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short middle to 18-I.TeSlaa [5-J.Phillips]. PENALTY on CAR-29-A.Evans, Defensive Pass Interference, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 6 - No Play.	+0.76	+0.72	+0.04	+0.93	+3%	1.4×
Q2 2:18	DET	1st & 1	CAR 1	(2:18) 79-L.Borom and 50-S.Gill-Howard reported in as eligible. 0-J.Gibbs left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.45	+1.73	−1.28	+0.69	+1%	1.4×
Q2 2:14	DET	Try	CAR 15	39-J.Bates extra point is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	−0.09	−0.83	+0.74	+0.07	+1%	1.4×
Q2 2:14	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 63 yards from DET 35 to CAR 2. 34-A.Tyus to CAR 30 for 28 yards (53-T.Nowaske; 25-J.Saylors).	+0.04	+0.24	−0.20	+0.25	0%	1.4×
Q2 2:07	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 30	(2:07) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 41 for 11 yards (91-T.Williams; 36-C.Clark).	+0.58	+0.59	−0.01	+0.32	+2%	1.4×
Q2 2:00	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 41	(2:00) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 49 for 8 yards (36-C.Clark; 46-J.Campbell).	+0.48	+0.49	−0.02	+0.34	+2%	1.4×
Q2 1:38	CAR	2nd & 2	CAR 49	(1:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to DET 47 for 4 yards (46-J.Campbell).	+0.12	+0.14	−0.01	+0.35	+1%	1.4×
Q2 1:20	CAR	1st & 10	DET 47	(1:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep left to 4-T.McMillan [50-S.Gill-Howard].	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.36	−2%	1.3×
Q2 1:15	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 47	(1:15) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan to DET 29 for 18 yards (2-E.Rakestraw). FUMBLES (2-E.Rakestraw), ball out of bounds at DET 29.	+1.45	+1.50	−0.05	+1.37	+5%	1.4×
Q2 0:45	CAR	1st & 10	DET 29	(:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep middle.	−0.41	−0.41	0.00	−0.24	−2%	1.3×
Q2 0:39	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 29	(:39) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 13-J.Metchie (21-R.McCreary).	−0.53	−0.53	0.00	−0.24	−2%	1.3×
Q2 0:35	CAR	3rd & 10	DET 29	(:35) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short middle to 13-J.Metchie.	−0.81	−0.81	0.00	−0.51	−3%	1.3×
Q2 0:32	CAR	4th & 10	DET 29	(:32) 10-R.Fitzgerald 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.	+0.80	+0.75	+0.05	+1.00	+5%	1.4×
Q2 0:28	DET	Kickoff	CAR 35	10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 60 yards from CAR 35 to DET 5. 25-J.Saylors to DET 28 for 23 yards (27-I.Simmons; 46-J.Kuwatch).	+0.03	+0.12	−0.10	−0.04	0%	1.3×
Q2 0:21	DET	1st & 10	DET 28	(:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 1-J.Williams to CAR 23 for 49 yards (22-L.Ransom; 29-A.Evans).	+2.70	+2.76	−0.06	+2.40	+11%	1.3×
Q2 0:15	DET	1st & 10	CAR 23	(:15) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to 18-I.TeSlaa (29-A.Evans).	−0.38	−0.39	+0.01	−0.39	−1%	1.4×
Q2 0:10	DET	2nd & 10	CAR 23	(:10) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to 87-S.LaPorta.	−0.48	−0.48	0.00	+0.29	−2%	1.4×
Q2 0:05	DET	3rd & 10	CAR 23	(:05) 39-J.Bates 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	−0.60	−0.53	−0.07	+0.50	−2%	1.4×
Q3 15:00	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 64 yards from DET 35 to CAR 1. 34-A.Tyus to CAR 24 for 23 yards (17-T.Martin; 30-K.Dorsey).	−0.42	−0.19	−0.23	−0.30	−2%	1.4×
Q3 14:55	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 24	(14:55) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 4-T.McMillan pushed ob at CAR 29 for 5 yards (4-D.Reed).	+0.01	+0.04	−0.03	+0.33	0%	1.4×
Q3 14:32	CAR	2nd & 5	CAR 29	(14:32) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard right guard to CAR 33 for 4 yards (46-J.Campbell; 91-T.Williams).	0.00	+0.06	−0.06	+0.26	0%	1.4×
Q3 13:58	CAR	3rd & 1	CAR 33	(13:58) 28-A.Dillon up the middle to CAR 35 for 2 yards (44-M.Rodriguez; 93-T.Lacy).	+0.43	+0.50	−0.07	+0.34	+2%	1.4×
Q3 13:19	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 35	(13:19) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 87-B.Tremayne pushed ob at CAR 46 for 11 yards (4-D.Reed).	+0.55	+0.60	−0.06	+0.82	+2%	1.4×
Q3 12:54	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 46	(12:54) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to DET 46 for 8 yards (44-M.Rodriguez; 46-J.Campbell).	+0.47	+0.54	−0.07	+0.40	+2%	1.4×
Q3 12:20	CAR	2nd & 2	DET 46	(12:20) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short middle [46-J.Campbell].	−0.69	−0.69	−0.01	−0.73	−3%	1.3×
Q3 12:16	CAR	3rd & 2	DET 46	(12:16) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 13-J.Metchie pushed ob at DET 37 for 9 yards (5-C.Izien).	+1.09	+1.16	−0.07	+1.23	+4%	1.4×
Q3 11:39	CAR	1st & 10	DET 37	(11:39) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CAR-77-L.Fortner, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DET 37 - No Play.	−0.52	−0.52	0.00	−0.74	−2%	1.3×
Q3 11:25	CAR	1st & 15	DET 42	(11:25) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep right to 4-T.McMillan [97-A.Hutchinson]. PENALTY on DET-21-R.McCreary, Defensive Pass Interference, 17 yards, enforced at DET 42 - No Play.	+1.21	+1.24	−0.02	+1.48	+5%	1.3×
Q3 11:20	CAR	1st & 10	DET 25	(11:20) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 82-T.Tremble to DET 22 for 3 yards (46-J.Campbell).	−0.10	−0.07	−0.03	−0.15	0%	1.3×
Q3 10:42	CAR	2nd & 7	DET 22	(10:42) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 88-D.Waller to DET 11 for 11 yards (5-C.Izien).	+0.85	+0.83	+0.03	+0.84	+3%	1.3×
Q3 10:13	CAR	1st & 10	DET 11	(10:13) 28-A.Dillon left tackle to DET 10 for 1 yard (50-S.Gill-Howard; 46-J.Campbell).	−0.25	−0.25	0.00	−0.47	−1%	1.2×
Q3 9:37	CAR	2nd & 9	DET 10	(9:37) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.03	+2.68	−0.65	+2.20	+9%	1.2×
Q3 9:33	CAR	Try	DET 15	10-R.Fitzgerald extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.	−0.75	−1.53	+0.77	−0.93	−3%	1.1×
Q3 9:33	DET	Kickoff	CAR 35	10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DET 35.	+0.67	+0.48	+0.19	+0.55	+3%	1.1×
Q3 9:33	DET	1st & 10	DET 35	(9:33) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 89-B.Wright to DET 43 for 8 yards (55-D.Lloyd; 92-L.Hunter).	+0.52	+0.51	+0.01	+0.73	+2%	1.2×
Q3 9:00	DET	2nd & 2	DET 43	(9:00) 0-J.Gibbs up the middle to DET 46 for 3 yards (58-B.Okereke; 95-D.Brown).	+0.10	+0.09	+0.01	+0.19	0%	1.2×
Q3 8:24	DET	1st & 10	DET 46	(8:24) (Shotgun) 0-J.Gibbs left end to CAR 48 for 6 yards (20-Z.Wheatley; 91-P.Jones). PENALTY on DET-89-B.Wright, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DET 46 - No Play. Penalty on DET-73-C.Mahogany, Offensive Holding, declined.	−0.97	−1.00	+0.03	−1.36	−5%	1.2×
Q3 7:53	DET	1st & 25	DET 31	(7:53) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 18-I.TeSlaa to CAR 12 for 57 yards (29-A.Evans).	+3.32	+3.34	−0.02	+4.03	+16%	1.1×
Q3 7:12	DET	1st & 10	CAR 12	(7:12) (No Huddle) 0-J.Gibbs up the middle to CAR 8 for 4 yards (20-Z.Wheatley).	+0.03	0.00	+0.03	−0.09	0%	1.4×
Q3 6:31	DET	2nd & 6	CAR 8	(6:31) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 0-J.Gibbs.	−0.57	−0.57	0.00	−0.80	−3%	1.3×
Q3 6:28	DET	3rd & 6	CAR 8	(6:28) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short middle to 87-S.LaPorta (95-D.Brown).	−0.93	−0.93	0.00	−1.19	−4%	1.3×
Q3 6:24	DET	4th & 6	CAR 8	(6:24) 39-J.Bates 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	−0.87	−0.64	−0.22	+0.08	−6%	1.3×
Q3 6:21	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 62 yards from DET 35 to CAR 3. 83-D.Moore to CAR 29 for 26 yards (53-T.Nowaske). PENALTY on CAR-81-F.Franks, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 25. Penalty on CAR-48-T.Incoom, Offensive Holding, declined.	−0.96	−0.55	−0.41	−0.76	−5%	1.2×
Q3 6:14	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 15	(6:14) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 88-D.Waller to CAR 31 for 16 yards (4-D.Reed).	+0.83	+0.84	−0.02	+1.13	+4%	1.3×
Q3 5:41	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 31	(5:41) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to CAR 33 for 2 yards (97-A.Hutchinson).	−0.28	−0.28	0.00	−0.40	−1%	1.2×
Q3 5:10	CAR	2nd & 8	CAR 33	(5:10) 9-B.Young pass deep middle to 87-B.Tremayne to DET 46 for 21 yards (46-J.Campbell; 5-C.Izien) [54-A.McNeill].	+1.48	+1.50	−0.03	+1.82	+6%	1.2×
Q3 4:28	CAR	1st & 10	DET 46	(4:28) 30-C.Hubbard right guard to DET 45 for 1 yard (97-A.Hutchinson). CAR-57-M.Freeling was injured during the play.	−0.36	−0.37	+0.01	−0.49	−1%	1.1×
Q3 4:04	CAR	2nd & 9	DET 45	(4:04) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 13-J.Metchie to DET 27 for 18 yards (46-J.Campbell; 5-C.Izien).	+1.45	+1.47	−0.01	+1.68	+5%	1.1×
Q3 3:28	CAR	1st & 10	DET 27	(3:28) 30-C.Hubbard right guard to DET 2 for 25 yards (4-D.Reed).	+1.87	+1.76	+0.11	+1.99	+6%	1.0×
Q3 2:52	CAR	1st & 2	DET 2	(2:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.64	+1.41	−0.77	+0.62	+3%	0.8×
Q3 2:47	CAR	Try	DET 15	10-R.Fitzgerald extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.	+0.26	−0.55	+0.81	+0.07	+1%	0.7×
Q3 2:47	DET	Kickoff	CAR 35	10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 56 yards from CAR 35 to DET 9. 25-J.Saylors to DET 25 for 16 yards (34-A.Tyus; 46-J.Kuwatch).	+0.19	+0.17	+0.03	+0.01	0%	0.7×
Q3 2:41	DET	1st & 10	DET 25	(2:41) 0-J.Gibbs right guard to DET 28 for 3 yards (3-P.Umanmielen).	−0.14	−0.16	+0.02	−0.36	−1%	0.7×
Q3 2:02	DET	2nd & 7	DET 28	(2:02) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short right.	−0.59	−0.59	0.00	−0.72	−2%	0.7×
Q3 1:57	DET	3rd & 7	DET 28	(1:57) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 1-J.Williams pushed ob at DET 42 for 14 yards (29-A.Evans).	+1.70	+1.70	0.00	+2.14	+5%	0.6×
Q3 1:27	DET	1st & 10	DET 42	(1:27) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown to CAR 39 for 19 yards (29-A.Evans).	+1.06	+1.09	−0.04	+1.31	+4%	0.8×
Q3 0:53	DET	1st & 10	CAR 39	(:53) 0-J.Gibbs left tackle to CAR 38 for 1 yard (7-T.Moehrig).	−0.32	−0.32	0.00	−0.55	−1%	0.9×
Q3 0:11	DET	2nd & 9	CAR 38	(:11) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DET-76-B.Miller, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 38 - No Play.	−0.52	−0.53	+0.01	−0.76	−2%	0.9×
Q4 15:00	DET	2nd & 14	CAR 43	(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep middle to 1-J.Williams.	−0.69	−0.69	0.00	−0.96	−2%	0.8×
Q4 14:55	DET	3rd & 14	CAR 43	(14:55) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep middle to 14-A.St. Brown.	−1.27	−1.27	0.00	−1.43	−3%	0.7×
Q4 14:49	DET	4th & 14	CAR 43	(14:49) (Punt formation) PENALTY on DET, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 43 - No Play.	−0.22	−0.24	+0.01	−0.17	−1%	0.6×
Q4 14:49	DET	4th & 19	CAR 48	(14:49) 3-J.Fox punts 34 yards to CAR 14, Center-49-H.Hatten, fair catch by 83-D.Moore.	+0.28	−0.14	+0.42	+0.26	+1%	0.6×
Q4 14:43	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 14	(14:43) 30-C.Hubbard left tackle pushed ob at CAR 46 for 32 yards (53-T.Nowaske). Penalty on DET-50-S.Gill-Howard, Defensive Offside, declined.	+1.66	+1.70	−0.05	+2.20	+3%	0.6×
Q4 14:18	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 46	(14:18) 9-B.Young sacked ob at CAR 45 for -1 yards (5-C.Izien).	−0.60	−0.59	−0.02	−0.79	−1%	0.5×
Q4 13:43	CAR	2nd & 11	CAR 45	(13:43) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard left guard to DET 43 for 12 yards (46-J.Campbell).	+1.09	+1.13	−0.04	+1.26	+2%	0.5×
Q4 13:05	CAR	1st & 10	DET 43	(13:05) 28-A.Dillon up the middle to DET 43 for no gain (54-A.McNeill; 5-C.Izien).	−0.50	−0.50	0.00	−0.50	0%	0.4×
Q4 12:29	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 43	(12:29) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan to DET 35 for 8 yards (36-C.Clark).	+0.35	+0.36	−0.01	+0.44	+1%	0.4×
Q4 11:54	CAR	3rd & 2	DET 35	(11:54) 28-A.Dillon left guard to DET 37 for -2 yards (93-T.Lacy).	−1.54	−1.56	+0.02	−2.32	−2%	0.4×
Q4 11:14	CAR	4th & 4	DET 37	(11:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 88-D.Waller to DET 28 for 9 yards (27-J.Mills).	+2.38	+2.37	+0.02	+3.33	+4%	0.5×
Q4 10:34	CAR	1st & 10	DET 28	(10:34) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 84-M.Evans to DET 20 for 8 yards (36-C.Clark).	+0.59	+0.54	+0.04	+0.55	+1%	0.3×
Q4 9:58	CAR	2nd & 2	DET 20	(9:58) 30-C.Hubbard right tackle to DET 14 for 6 yards (46-J.Campbell).	+0.16	+0.10	+0.06	+0.31	0%	0.2×
Q4 9:18	CAR	1st & 10	DET 14	(9:18) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Waller.	−0.37	−0.37	+0.01	−0.45	0%	0.2×
Q4 9:12	CAR	2nd & 10	DET 14	(9:12) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 86-J.Reed (2-E.Rakestraw).	−0.50	−0.51	0.00	−0.79	0%	0.2×
Q4 9:08	CAR	3rd & 10	DET 14	(9:08) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Waller [97-A.Hutchinson].	−0.76	−0.76	+0.01	−0.82	−1%	0.2×
Q4 9:03	CAR	4th & 10	DET 14	(9:03) 10-R.Fitzgerald 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.	+0.47	−0.09	+0.56	+0.22	+1%	0.3×
Q4 8:59	DET	Kickoff	CAR 35	10-R.Fitzgerald kicks 57 yards from CAR 35 to DET 8. 85-T.Kennedy to DET 24 for 16 yards (48-T.Incoom; 33-T.Dodson).	+0.46	+0.25	+0.21	−0.17	0%	0.2×
Q4 8:54	DET	1st & 10	DET 24	(8:54) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to DET 49 for 25 yards (20-Z.Wheatley).	+1.36	+1.39	−0.04	+1.57	+3%	0.2×
Q4 8:32	DET	1st & 10	DET 49	(8:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 0-J.Gibbs to CAR 43 for 8 yards (58-B.Okereke). CAR-5-J.Phillips was injured during the play.	+0.53	+0.56	−0.03	+0.52	+1%	0.4×
Q4 8:16	DET	2nd & 2	CAR 43	(8:16) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to CAR 36 for 7 yards (3-P.Umanmielen).	+0.34	+0.37	−0.03	+0.42	+1%	0.4×
Q4 7:57	DET	1st & 10	CAR 36	(7:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to CAR 29 for 7 yards (21-N.Scott).	+0.43	+0.45	−0.02	+0.40	+1%	0.5×
Q4 7:41	DET	2nd & 3	CAR 29	(7:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 1-J.Williams to CAR 15 for 14 yards (24-W.Lee).	+0.78	+0.77	+0.01	+0.95	+2%	0.5×
Q4 7:19	DET	1st & 10	CAR 15	(7:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short right to 87-S.LaPorta.	−0.37	−0.37	0.00	−0.44	−1%	0.6×
Q4 7:16	DET	2nd & 10	CAR 15	(7:16) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 14-A.St. Brown.	−0.49	−0.49	0.00	−0.76	−1%	0.5×
Q4 7:13	DET	3rd & 10	CAR 15	(7:13) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 14-A.St. Brown (97-B.Brown).	−0.74	−0.74	0.00	−1.01	−1%	0.5×
Q4 7:10	DET	4th & 10	CAR 15	(7:10) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DET, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 15 - No Play.	−0.46	−0.44	−0.02	−0.28	−1%	0.4×
Q4 7:10	DET	4th & 15	CAR 20	(7:10) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DET-69-T.Ratledge, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 20 - No Play.	−0.32	−0.31	−0.01	−0.28	−1%	0.4×
Q4 7:10	DET	4th & 20	CAR 25	(7:10) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to CAR 21 for 4 yards. Lateral to 0-J.Gibbs to CAR 12 for 9 yards (55-D.Lloyd).	−1.77	−2.01	+0.24	−2.15	−4%	0.3×
Q4 7:04	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 12	(7:04) 30-C.Hubbard left guard to CAR 15 for 3 yards (5-C.Izien; 46-J.Campbell).	−0.16	−0.24	+0.08	−0.32	0%	0.1×
Q4 6:22	CAR	2nd & 7	CAR 15	(6:22) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 4-T.McMillan.	−0.63	−0.64	0.00	−0.60	0%	0.1×
Q4 6:20	CAR	3rd & 7	CAR 15	(6:20) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 87-B.Tremayne. Penalty on CAR-87-B.Tremayne, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.	−0.86	−0.87	+0.01	−0.93	−1%	0.1×
Q4 6:14	CAR	4th & 7	CAR 15	(6:14) 6-S.Martin punts 52 yards to DET 33, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 85-T.Kennedy. Penalty on DET-53-T.Nowaske, Running Into the Kicker, declined.	+0.39	+0.24	+0.15	+0.22	−1%	0.1×
Q4 6:07	DET	1st & 10	DET 33	(6:07) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 0-J.Gibbs to DET 38 for 5 yards (55-D.Lloyd).	+0.01	+0.05	−0.03	−0.10	0%	0.2×
Q4 5:47	DET	2nd & 5	DET 38	(5:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 18-I.TeSlaa to DET 48 for 10 yards (24-W.Lee).	+0.70	+0.75	−0.05	+0.92	+1%	0.2×
Q4 5:26	DET	1st & 10	DET 48	(5:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 18-I.TeSlaa to CAR 36 for 16 yards (7-T.Moehrig; 24-W.Lee).	+0.84	+0.90	−0.07	+0.98	+2%	0.3×
Q4 5:06	DET	1st & 10	CAR 36	(5:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 18-I.TeSlaa (95-D.Brown).	−0.45	−0.44	−0.01	−0.51	−1%	0.3×
Q4 5:01	DET	2nd & 10	CAR 36	(5:01) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to CAR 15 for 21 yards (29-A.Evans; 22-L.Ransom) [3-P.Umanmielen].	+1.55	+1.57	−0.01	+1.81	+3%	0.3×
Q4 4:40	DET	1st & 10	CAR 15	(4:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short right to 18-I.TeSlaa.	−0.39	−0.38	−0.01	−0.46	−1%	0.4×
Q4 4:34	DET	2nd & 10	CAR 15	(4:34) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to CAR 10 for 5 yards (58-B.Okereke).	−0.14	−0.12	−0.02	−0.28	−1%	0.4×
Q4 4:10	DET	3rd & 5	CAR 10	(4:10) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short left to 89-B.Wright.	−0.89	−0.88	−0.01	−1.18	−2%	0.3×
Q4 4:05	DET	4th & 5	CAR 10	(4:05) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta to CAR 3 for 7 yards (55-D.Lloyd; 20-Z.Wheatley).	+2.20	+2.20	0.00	+3.10	+4%	0.3×
Q4 3:42	DET	1st & 3	CAR 3	(3:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on DET-76-B.Miller, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 3 - No Play.	−0.59	−0.57	−0.03	−0.80	−1%	0.4×
Q4 3:42	DET	1st & 8	CAR 8	(3:42) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.16	+2.04	−0.88	+1.92	−4%	0.4×
Q4 3:38	DET	Try	CAR 15	39-J.Bates extra point is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.	−0.40	−1.09	+0.69	+0.07	0%	0.2×
Q4 3:38	CAR	Kickoff	DET 35	39-J.Bates kicks 58 yards from DET 35 to CAR 7. 34-A.Tyus to CAR 36 for 29 yards (53-T.Nowaske; 57-A.Ogbongbemiga).	−0.64	−0.51	−0.13	+0.63	−1%	0.2×
Q4 3:32	CAR	1st & 10	CAR 36	(3:32) 30-C.Hubbard right end to CAR 37 for 1 yard (5-C.Izien).	−0.37	−0.38	+0.01	−0.41	0%	0.2×
Q4 3:26	CAR	2nd & 9	CAR 37	(3:26) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 48 for 11 yards (2-E.Rakestraw). PENALTY on CAR-73-S.Forsythe, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 37 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.51	+0.01	−0.23	−1%	0.3×
Q4 3:22	CAR	2nd & 14	CAR 32	(3:22) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short right to 30-C.Hubbard.	−0.60	−0.62	+0.01	−0.50	−1%	0.3×
Q4 3:16	CAR	3rd & 14	CAR 32	(3:16) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan pushed ob at 50 for 18 yards (2-E.Rakestraw) [8-D.Moore].	+2.18	+2.19	−0.01	+2.06	+5%	0.3×
Q4 3:09	CAR	1st & 10	50	(3:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to DET 46 for 4 yards (55-D.Barnes).	−0.07	−0.08	0.00	−0.59	0%	0.1×
Q4 3:04	CAR	2nd & 6	DET 46	(3:04) (Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard right guard to DET 46 for no gain (91-T.Williams).	−0.69	−0.70	+0.01	−1.19	−1%	0.1×
Q4 3:00	CAR	3rd & 6	DET 46	(3:00) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at DET 46 for 0 yards (98-D.Wonnum).	−1.34	−1.46	+0.11	−0.71	0%	0.2×
Q4 2:12	CAR	4th & 6	DET 46	(2:12) (Punt formation) PENALTY on CAR, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DET 46 - No Play.	−0.40	−0.41	+0.01	−0.17	−1%	0.2×
Q4 2:12	CAR	4th & 11	CAR 49	(2:12) 6-S.Martin punts 38 yards to DET 13, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 85-T.Kennedy.	+1.30	+1.22	+0.08	−0.34	−2%	0.2×
Q4 2:06	DET	1st & 10	DET 13	(2:06) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to DET 16 for 3 yards (29-A.Evans).	−0.23	−0.22	0.00	−0.37	−1%	0.3×
Q4 2:00	DET	2nd & 7	DET 16	(2:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at DET 10 for -6 yards (3-P.Umanmielen).	−1.34	−1.35	+0.01	−0.44	−3%	0.3×
Q4 1:34	DET	3rd & 13	DET 10	(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to 87-S.LaPorta.	−0.92	−0.92	0.00	−0.30	−1%	0.1×
Q4 1:29	DET	4th & 13	DET 10	(1:29) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 18-I.TeSlaa to DET 22 for 12 yards (22-L.Ransom; 24-W.Lee).	−0.07	−0.06	−0.01	−2.51	−1%	0.1×
Q4 1:22	CAR	1st & 10	DET 22	(1:22) 9-B.Young kneels to DET 23 for -1 yards.	−0.59	−0.70	+0.11	−0.60	0%	0.0×
Q4 0:40	CAR	2nd & 11	DET 23	(:40) 9-B.Young kneels to DET 26 for -3 yards.	−2.32	−1.76	−0.56	−2.38	0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	T.McMillan	CAR	16	—	—	+14.5+0.91	+14.5+0.91	+5.0+1.03	+16.7+1.04
	B.Young	CAR	47	+15.9+0.36	−2.4−0.81	—	+13.4+0.29	+6.4+0.49	+18.0+0.38
	J.Goff	DET	53	+11.2+0.21	—	—	+11.2+0.21	+2.9+0.23	+12.3+0.23
	J.Williams	DET	8	—	—	+7.0+0.87	+7.0+0.87	+2.1+0.87	+7.1+0.89
	S.LaPorta	DET	13	—	—	+4.9+0.38	+4.9+0.38	+0.2+0.07	+8.9+0.68
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DET
	J.Goff	32	52	1	0	1	4127.9	+12.3+0.23	+11.2+0.21	+2.9+0.23

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CAR
	B.Young	29	41	2	0	3	3298.0	+20.5+0.47	+15.9+0.36	+6.2+0.49

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DET
	J.Gibbs	15	1	463.1	−0.3−0.02	−0.1−0.01	+0.1+0.01

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CAR
	C.Hubbard	20	2	1226.1	+3.6+0.18	+3.3+0.16	+0.7+0.13
	A.Dillon	5	0	20.4	−4.3−0.86	−3.0−0.59	−0.5−0.41
	B.Young	3	0	31.0	−2.5−0.84	−2.4−0.81	+0.2+0.47

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DET
	S.LaPorta	13	8	1	8410.5	+8.9+0.68	+4.9+0.38	+0.2+0.07
	A.St. Brown	11	8	0	759.4	−2.0−0.19	−1.2−0.11	+0.4+0.19
	J.Williams	8	6	0	10217.0	+7.1+0.89	+7.0+0.87	+2.1+0.87
	I.TeSlaa	8	4	0	9523.8	+1.2+0.15	+2.9+0.37	+0.7+0.45
	J.Gibbs	7	4	0	317.8	−2.6−0.37	−1.6−0.23	−0.8−0.37
	S.Vaki	2	1	0	1717.0	+1.4+0.70	+1.4+0.69	+0.4+0.66
	B.Wright	2	1	0	88.0	−0.4−0.22	−0.4−0.18	+0.1+0.21

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
CAR
	T.McMillan	16	14	2	19213.7	+16.7+1.04	+14.5+0.91	+5.0+1.03
	D.Waller	6	3	0	3612.0	+3.6+0.61	+2.5+0.42	+0.7+0.54
	J.Metchie	5	3	0	3712.3	+5.2+1.03	+3.9+0.78	+1.4+0.76
	T.Tremble	4	4	0	123.0	−1.1−0.27	−0.7−0.19	−0.3−0.18
	B.Tremayne	3	2	0	3216.0	+1.7+0.57	+1.2+0.39	+0.7+0.92
	C.Hubbard	2	1	0	77.0	+0.4+0.18	0.0+0.01	+0.2+0.41
	A.Dillon	1	1	0	55.0	−0.3−0.33	−0.1−0.14	0.0−0.14
	M.Evans	1	1	0	88.0	+0.6+0.55	+0.6+0.59	0.0+0.59
	J.Reed	1	0	0	0—	−0.8−0.79	−0.5−0.50	0.0−0.50