DAL 34, HOU 30 — week 4, 2026

DAL

34 at 30

HOU

Week 4 · 2026 · Final

DAL season | HOU season

BASE CASE

before kickoff

DAL 59%

Win expectancy

from how they played

DAL 33%

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
HOU	65	30	3976.1	+10.5+0.161	+8.4+0.129	+11.0+0.168	−2.6−0.039	+3.1+0.148
DAL	85	34	3994.7	+13.5+0.159	+11.5+0.135	+15.0+0.177	−3.6−0.042	+3.0+0.103
NET	−20	−4	−21.4	−3.0+0.002	−3.1−0.006	−4.1−0.008	+1.0+0.002	+0.2+0.045
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is HOU minus DAL.

Game Timeline

DAL at HOU. DAL won by 4. Two panels. Top: HOU's win probability across 170 plays, starting at 52% and finishing at 0%; HOU was favored on 81% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at HOU by 10.0 in the second quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -11% at play 96, D.Prescott pass deep middle to G.Pickens to HOU 11 for 53…; -14% at play 133, C.Stroud sacked at HOU 31 for -11 yards; -48% at play 163, D.Prescott pass short middle to C.Lamb for 12… — TOUCHDOWN.

Excitement

2.2 bits

#2 of 16 this week

93rd percentile since 2006

Tension

0.87

#4 of 16 this week

83rd percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

631 pts

#2 of 16 this week

94th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

79%

#3 of 16 this week

84th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#5 of 16 this week

68th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

14%

#2 of 16 this week

88th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 10:43	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 36	(10:43) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 3-G.Pickens to HOU 11 for 53 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+2.99	+2.99	0.00	+3.48	+11%	0.9×
2	Q4 0:09	HOU	2nd & 5	DAL 48	(:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right (24-M.Hooker).	−2.70	−1.71	−0.99	−0.73	−19%	0.9×
3	Q1 10:06	HOU	3rd & 3	DAL 7	(10:06) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.68	+2.63	+0.05	+2.16	+7%	1.4×
4	Q1 14:55	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 15	(14:55) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 12-N.Collins to DAL 40 for 45 yards (24-M.Hooker).	+2.63	+2.46	+0.17	+2.85	+7%	1.4×
5	Q1 4:21	HOU	2nd & 1	HOU 17	(4:21) 7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 13-J.Noel pushed ob at DAL 31 for 52 yards (26-D.Bland).	+2.50	+2.66	−0.16	+3.06	+5%	1.2×
6	Q3 10:57	HOU	2nd & 6	DAL 22	(10:57) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 12-N.Collins for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DAL-27-R.Steward, Unnecessary Roughness, 8 yards, enforced between downs.	+2.49	+3.11	−0.62	+2.45	+8%	1.1×
7	Q2 5:02	DAL	4th & 11	HOU 44	(5:02) 17-B.Aubrey 62 yard field goal is BLOCKED (51-W.Anderson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.46	−2.43	−0.02	−2.93	−7%	1.2×
8	Q3 6:59	DAL	4th & 3	HOU 3	(6:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 19-R.Flournoy (5-J.Pitre) [51-W.Anderson]. PENALTY on HOU-3-K.Lassiter, Defensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at HOU 3 - No Play.	+2.42	+2.41	+0.02	+3.46	+8%	1.1×
9	Q4 2:34	HOU	3rd & 14	DAL 27	(2:34) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to DAL 25 for 2 yards. Lateral to 32-D.Montgomery pushed ob at DAL 6 for 19 yards (53-D.Winters; 23-A.Speed).	+2.37	+2.29	+0.08	+2.88	+18%	1.0×
10	Q4 9:31	HOU	3rd & 3	HOU 42	(9:31) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 31 for -11 yards (92-Q.Williams).	−2.16	−2.17	+0.01	−2.52	−14%	1.2×
11	Q1 7:23	DAL	3rd & 6	HOU 45	(7:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 19-R.Flournoy to HOU 26 for 19 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+2.15	+2.11	+0.04	+2.71	+6%	1.3×
12	Q2 0:30	DAL	4th & 16	HOU 47	(:30) 17-B.Aubrey 65 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.11	−2.02	−0.08	−1.98	−4%	1.0×
13	Q2 1:17	DAL	3rd & 7	HOU 38	(1:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at HOU 47 for -9 yards (sack split by 51-W.Anderson and 55-D.Hunter).	−2.09	−2.19	+0.10	−0.68	−9%	1.2×
14	Q4 1:34	DAL	4th & 4	DAL 32	(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 39 for 7 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+2.08	+2.09	−0.01	+1.85	+15%	0.6×
15	Q2 9:34	DAL	3rd & 22	DAL 19	(9:34) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left guard to DAL 27 for 8 yards (96-L.Hall; 35-J.Hansen). PENALTY on HOU-96-L.Hall, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 27.	+2.01	+2.00	+0.01	+2.64	+7%	1.2×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 14:55	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 15	(14:55) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 12-N.Collins to DAL 40 for 45 yards (24-M.Hooker).	+2.63	+2.46	+0.17	+2.85	+7%	1.4×
2	Q1 10:06	HOU	3rd & 3	DAL 7	(10:06) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.68	+2.63	+0.05	+2.16	+7%	1.4×
3	Q1 4:21	HOU	2nd & 1	HOU 17	(4:21) 7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 13-J.Noel pushed ob at DAL 31 for 52 yards (26-D.Bland).	+2.50	+2.66	−0.16	+3.06	+5%	1.2×
4	Q2 5:02	DAL	4th & 11	HOU 44	(5:02) 17-B.Aubrey 62 yard field goal is BLOCKED (51-W.Anderson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.46	−2.43	−0.02	−2.93	−7%	1.2×
5	Q1 7:23	DAL	3rd & 6	HOU 45	(7:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 19-R.Flournoy to HOU 26 for 19 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+2.15	+2.11	+0.04	+2.71	+6%	1.3×
6	Q3 10:57	HOU	2nd & 6	DAL 22	(10:57) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 12-N.Collins for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DAL-27-R.Steward, Unnecessary Roughness, 8 yards, enforced between downs.	+2.49	+3.11	−0.62	+2.45	+8%	1.1×
7	Q4 9:31	HOU	3rd & 3	HOU 42	(9:31) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 31 for -11 yards (92-Q.Williams).	−2.16	−2.17	+0.01	−2.52	−14%	1.2×
8	Q3 10:43	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 36	(10:43) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 3-G.Pickens to HOU 11 for 53 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+2.99	+2.99	0.00	+3.48	+11%	0.9×
9	Q2 1:17	DAL	3rd & 7	HOU 38	(1:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at HOU 47 for -9 yards (sack split by 51-W.Anderson and 55-D.Hunter).	−2.09	−2.19	+0.10	−0.68	−9%	1.2×
10	Q4 0:09	HOU	2nd & 5	DAL 48	(:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right (24-M.Hooker).	−2.70	−1.71	−0.99	−0.73	−19%	0.9×
11	Q3 6:59	DAL	4th & 3	HOU 3	(6:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 19-R.Flournoy (5-J.Pitre) [51-W.Anderson]. PENALTY on HOU-3-K.Lassiter, Defensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at HOU 3 - No Play.	+2.42	+2.41	+0.02	+3.46	+8%	1.1×
12	Q4 14:00	DAL	2nd & 18	HOU 41	(14:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 20 for 21 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 35-J.Hansen).	+1.92	+1.95	−0.03	+2.53	+11%	1.3×
13	Q2 9:34	DAL	3rd & 22	DAL 19	(9:34) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left guard to DAL 27 for 8 yards (96-L.Hall; 35-J.Hansen). PENALTY on HOU-96-L.Hall, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 27.	+2.01	+2.00	+0.01	+2.64	+7%	1.2×
14	Q4 2:34	HOU	3rd & 14	DAL 27	(2:34) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to DAL 25 for 2 yards. Lateral to 32-D.Montgomery pushed ob at DAL 6 for 19 yards (53-D.Winters; 23-A.Speed).	+2.37	+2.29	+0.08	+2.88	+18%	1.0×
15	Q4 12:42	DAL	2nd & 10	HOU 20	(12:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 3 for 17 yards (2-C.Bullock; 5-J.Pitre).	+1.73	+1.66	+0.07	+1.95	+10%	1.3×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 0:43	DAL	2nd & 10	HOU 12	(:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.76	+3.14	−1.38	+3.40	+48%	1.2×
2	Q4 0:09	HOU	2nd & 5	DAL 48	(:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right (24-M.Hooker).	−2.70	−1.71	−0.99	−0.73	−19%	0.9×
3	Q4 2:34	HOU	3rd & 14	DAL 27	(2:34) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to DAL 25 for 2 yards. Lateral to 32-D.Montgomery pushed ob at DAL 6 for 19 yards (53-D.Winters; 23-A.Speed).	+2.37	+2.29	+0.08	+2.88	+18%	1.0×
4	Q4 1:34	DAL	4th & 4	DAL 32	(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 39 for 7 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+2.08	+2.09	−0.01	+1.85	+15%	0.6×
5	Q4 0:40	DAL	Try	HOU 15	17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. ** Injury Update: HOU-95-J.Crumedy has returned to the game.	+0.46	−0.88	+1.34	+0.07	−15%	0.3×
6	Q4 9:31	HOU	3rd & 3	HOU 42	(9:31) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 31 for -11 yards (92-Q.Williams).	−2.16	−2.17	+0.01	−2.52	−14%	1.2×
7	Q4 0:52	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 34	(:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 3-G.Pickens pushed ob at HOU 12 for 22 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+1.20	+1.17	+0.04	+1.79	+13%	1.1×
8	Q4 2:00	DAL	3rd & 1	DAL 35	(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 32 for -3 yards (27-K.Ramsey).	−1.68	−1.68	0.00	−1.52	−12%	0.9×
9	Q3 10:43	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 36	(10:43) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 3-G.Pickens to HOU 11 for 53 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+2.99	+2.99	0.00	+3.48	+11%	0.9×
10	Q4 14:00	DAL	2nd & 18	HOU 41	(14:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 20 for 21 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 35-J.Hansen).	+1.92	+1.95	−0.03	+2.53	+11%	1.3×
11	Q4 12:42	DAL	2nd & 10	HOU 20	(12:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 3 for 17 yards (2-C.Bullock; 5-J.Pitre).	+1.73	+1.66	+0.07	+1.95	+10%	1.3×
12	Q4 1:12	DAL	2nd & 10	DAL 39	(1:12) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 46 for 15 yards (5-J.Pitre).	+1.21	+1.24	−0.03	+1.40	+10%	0.9×
13	Q4 6:55	HOU	1st & 15	HOU 8	(6:55) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to HOU 34 for 26 yards (27-R.Steward).	+1.61	+1.62	−0.01	+2.09	+9%	1.1×
14	Q4 2:26	HOU	1st & 6	DAL 6	(2:26) (Shotgun) 4-W.Marks left tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.43	+1.78	−1.35	+1.51	+9%	1.0×
15	Q2 1:17	DAL	3rd & 7	HOU 38	(1:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at HOU 47 for -9 yards (sack split by 51-W.Anderson and 55-D.Hunter).	−2.09	−2.19	+0.10	−0.68	−9%	1.2×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 170 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	HOU	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 57 yards from DAL 35 to HOU 8. 13-J.Noel to HOU 29 for 21 yards (14-M.Bell; 30-H.Luepke). PENALTY on HOU-30-W.Woodaz, Face Mask, 14 yards, enforced at HOU 29.	−0.67	−0.58	−0.09	−0.75	−2%	1.4×
Q1 14:55	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 15	(14:55) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 12-N.Collins to DAL 40 for 45 yards (24-M.Hooker).	+2.63	+2.46	+0.17	+2.85	+7%	1.4×
Q1 14:11	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 40	(14:11) 32-D.Montgomery right end to DAL 38 for 2 yards (7-R.Gary).	−0.05	−0.25	+0.20	−0.42	0%	1.4×
Q1 13:29	HOU	2nd & 8	DAL 38	(13:29) 7-C.Stroud scrambles right end pushed ob at DAL 29 for 9 yards (53-D.Winters).	+1.04	+0.90	+0.15	+1.21	+3%	1.4×
Q1 12:52	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 29	(12:52) 32-D.Montgomery right guard to DAL 27 for 2 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia; 99-L.Overton).	−0.07	−0.21	+0.13	−0.39	0%	1.4×
Q1 12:13	HOU	2nd & 8	DAL 27	(12:13) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 9-B.Jordan ran ob at DAL 14 for 13 yards (24-M.Hooker).	+1.12	+1.00	+0.12	+1.28	+3%	1.4×
Q1 11:34	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 14	(11:34) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 86-D.Schultz to DAL 7 for 7 yards (13-C.Downs).	+0.49	+0.40	+0.09	+0.26	+2%	1.4×
Q1 10:50	HOU	2nd & 3	DAL 7	(10:50) (Shotgun) 32-D.Montgomery up the middle to DAL 7 for no gain (97-K.Clark; 92-Q.Williams).	−0.55	−0.58	+0.03	−0.79	−1%	1.3×
Q1 10:06	HOU	3rd & 3	DAL 7	(10:06) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.68	+2.63	+0.05	+2.16	+7%	1.4×
Q1 10:01	HOU	Try	DAL 15	15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	+0.01	−0.43	+0.44	+0.07	0%	1.2×
Q1 10:01	DAL	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DAL 35.	+0.40	+0.44	−0.04	+0.51	+1%	1.2×
Q1 10:01	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 35	(10:01) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to DAL 41 for 6 yards (50-K.Murray; 5-J.Pitre).	+0.17	+0.17	−0.01	+0.30	+1%	1.3×
Q1 9:20	DAL	2nd & 4	DAL 41	(9:20) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 43 for 2 yards (51-W.Anderson).	−0.29	−0.31	+0.01	−0.41	−1%	1.3×
Q1 8:41	DAL	3rd & 2	DAL 43	(8:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 49 for 8 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+1.01	+1.00	+0.01	+1.26	+3%	1.2×
Q1 8:08	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 49	(8:08) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right guard to HOU 45 for 4 yards (5-J.Pitre).	0.00	−0.04	+0.04	−0.10	0%	1.3×
Q1 7:29	DAL	2nd & 6	HOU 45	(7:29) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 18-J.Mingo.	−0.68	−0.69	+0.01	−0.87	−2%	1.3×
Q1 7:23	DAL	3rd & 6	HOU 45	(7:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 19-R.Flournoy to HOU 26 for 19 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+2.15	+2.11	+0.04	+2.71	+6%	1.3×
Q1 6:40	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 26	(6:40) 33-J.Williams right guard to HOU 21 for 5 yards (50-K.Murray; 90-J.Clowney).	+0.21	+0.14	+0.07	+0.01	0%	1.4×
Q1 6:04	DAL	2nd & 5	HOU 21	(6:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at HOU 21 for 0 yards (sack split by 90-J.Clowney and 95-J.Crumedy).	−0.40	−0.45	+0.06	−0.64	−1%	1.4×
Q1 5:21	DAL	3rd & 5	HOU 21	(5:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens.	−0.70	−0.71	+0.01	−1.34	−2%	1.3×
Q1 5:13	DAL	4th & 5	HOU 21	(5:13) 17-B.Aubrey 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	+0.24	−0.14	+0.38	+0.54	−1%	1.3×
Q1 5:10	HOU	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 64 yards from DAL 35 to HOU 1. 13-J.Noel to HOU 18 for 17 yards (13-C.Downs; 45-J.Barron). PENALTY on HOU-59-A.Fisher, Illegal Blindside Block, 7 yards, enforced at HOU 15.	+0.69	−0.45	+1.14	−1.21	+1%	1.3×
Q1 5:06	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 8	(5:06) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 4-W.Marks up the middle to HOU 17 for 9 yards (13-C.Downs; 24-M.Hooker). The ball spot was assisted by replay.	+0.53	+0.62	−0.09	+0.85	+2%	1.3×
Q1 4:21	HOU	2nd & 1	HOU 17	(4:21) 7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 13-J.Noel pushed ob at DAL 31 for 52 yards (26-D.Bland).	+2.50	+2.66	−0.16	+3.06	+5%	1.2×
Q1 3:39	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 31	(3:39) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud scrambles right end pushed ob at DAL 28 for 3 yards (27-R.Steward). PENALTY on HOU-4-W.Marks, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 31 - No Play. Penalty on HOU-63-E.Brown, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.	−0.86	−0.83	−0.03	−1.11	−1%	1.1×
Q1 3:16	HOU	1st & 20	DAL 41	(3:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 4-W.Marks. Penalty on HOU, Illegal Formation, declined.	−0.47	−0.46	−0.01	−0.64	−1%	1.2×
Q1 3:10	HOU	2nd & 20	DAL 41	(3:10) (Shotgun) 4-W.Marks left guard to DAL 38 for 3 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 97-K.Clark).	−0.65	−0.57	−0.08	−0.86	−2%	1.2×
Q1 2:32	HOU	3rd & 17	DAL 38	(2:32) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 12-N.Collins to DAL 33 for 5 yards (27-R.Steward).	−0.47	−0.40	−0.07	−0.20	−2%	1.2×
Q1 1:53	HOU	4th & 12	DAL 33	(1:53) 15-K.Fairbairn 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	+0.64	+0.92	−0.29	+1.59	+4%	1.3×
Q1 1:49	DAL	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 57 yards from HOU 35 to DAL 8. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 32 for 24 yards (8-C.Stover).	+0.55	+0.42	+0.12	+0.45	+2%	1.2×
Q1 1:43	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 32	(1:43) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 38 for 6 yards (55-D.Hunter). PENALTY on HOU-90-J.Clowney, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 32 - No Play.	+0.50	+0.51	−0.01	+0.56	+2%	1.2×
Q1 1:21	DAL	1st & 5	DAL 37	(1:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams pushed ob at DAL 46 for 9 yards (35-J.Hansen).	+0.24	+0.26	−0.02	+0.33	+1%	1.3×
Q1 0:47	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 46	(:47) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 86-L.Schoonmaker (50-K.Murray) [72-T.Togiai]. PENALTY on HOU-3-K.Lassiter, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 46 - No Play.	+0.27	+0.28	−0.01	+0.26	+1%	1.3×
Q1 0:39	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 49	(:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 47 for 2 yards (5-J.Pitre).	−0.26	−0.26	−0.01	−0.39	−1%	1.3×
Q1 0:03	DAL	2nd & 8	HOU 47	(:03) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to HOU 45 for 2 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	−0.49	−0.48	−0.01	−0.58	−1%	1.3×
Q2 15:00	DAL	3rd & 6	HOU 45	(15:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 37 for 8 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+1.43	+1.45	−0.02	+1.81	+5%	1.2×
Q2 14:36	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 37	(14:36) (No Huddle) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to HOU 35 for 2 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	−0.24	−0.23	−0.01	−0.46	−1%	1.3×
Q2 14:01	DAL	2nd & 8	HOU 35	(14:01) 33-J.Williams up the middle to HOU 33 for 2 yards (51-W.Anderson).	−0.37	−0.36	−0.01	−0.33	−1%	1.3×
Q2 13:19	DAL	3rd & 6	HOU 33	(13:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 33-J.Williams to HOU 32 for 1 yard (5-J.Pitre) [98-S.Rankins].	−0.75	−0.74	−0.01	−1.08	−2%	1.3×
Q2 12:34	DAL	4th & 5	HOU 32	(12:34) 17-B.Aubrey 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	+0.73	+0.63	+0.10	+1.36	+1%	1.2×
Q2 12:30	HOU	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 58 yards from DAL 35 to HOU 7. 11-T.Smith to HOU 24 for 17 yards (11-A.Clark; 89-B.Spann-Ford).	+0.39	+0.01	+0.37	−0.27	+1%	1.3×
Q2 12:24	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 24	(12:24) PENALTY on HOU-79-A.Ersery, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 24 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.50	0.00	−0.58	−2%	1.2×
Q2 12:24	HOU	1st & 15	HOU 19	(12:24) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to HOU 29 for 10 yards (24-M.Hooker).	+0.53	+0.54	0.00	+0.79	+2%	1.3×
Q2 11:46	HOU	2nd & 5	HOU 29	(11:46) 32-D.Montgomery right guard to HOU 30 for 1 yard (97-K.Clark).	−0.46	−0.47	+0.01	−0.66	−1%	1.2×
Q2 11:09	HOU	3rd & 4	HOU 30	(11:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 29 for -1 yards (7-R.Gary).	−1.20	−1.22	+0.02	−1.61	−4%	1.3×
Q2 10:30	HOU	4th & 5	HOU 29	(10:30) 38-K.Kroeger punts 56 yards to DAL 15, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 31 for 16 yards (56-J.Hill).	−0.23	−0.29	+0.07	−0.59	0%	1.3×
Q2 10:18	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 31	(10:18) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 33 for 2 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 72-T.Togiai).	−0.23	−0.26	+0.03	−0.46	−1%	1.3×
Q2 9:44	DAL	2nd & 8	DAL 33	(9:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right [90-J.Clowney]. PENALTY on DAL-4-D.Prescott, Intentional Grounding, 14 yards, enforced at DAL 33.	−1.65	−1.67	+0.02	−2.07	−6%	1.3×
Q2 9:34	DAL	3rd & 22	DAL 19	(9:34) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left guard to DAL 27 for 8 yards (96-L.Hall; 35-J.Hansen). PENALTY on HOU-96-L.Hall, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 27.	+2.01	+2.00	+0.01	+2.64	+7%	1.2×
Q2 9:15	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 32	(9:15) 88-C.Lamb left end to DAL 26 for -6 yards (51-W.Anderson).	−0.98	−1.03	+0.05	−1.31	−5%	1.3×
Q2 8:34	DAL	2nd & 16	DAL 26	(8:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 88-C.Lamb (24-D.Stingley).	−0.59	−0.60	+0.01	−0.85	−2%	1.2×
Q2 8:29	DAL	3rd & 16	DAL 26	(8:29) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 87-J.Ferguson (3-K.Lassiter).	−1.06	−1.07	+0.01	−0.93	−3%	1.2×
Q2 8:23	DAL	4th & 16	DAL 26	(8:23) 5-B.Anger punts 57 yards to HOU 17, Center-44-T.Sieg. 13-J.Noel to HOU 17 for no gain (11-A.Clark).	+0.95	+1.08	−0.12	+0.61	+4%	1.1×
Q2 8:13	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 17	(8:13) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep left to 19-X.Hutchinson (24-M.Hooker).	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.54	−1%	1.2×
Q2 8:06	HOU	2nd & 10	HOU 17	(8:06) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 4-W.Marks left end to HOU 20 for 3 yards (99-L.Overton; 53-D.Winters).	−0.35	−0.33	−0.01	−0.27	−1%	1.2×
Q2 7:27	HOU	3rd & 7	HOU 20	(7:27) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson.	−0.94	−0.94	0.00	−1.44	−3%	1.3×
Q2 7:22	HOU	4th & 7	HOU 20	(7:22) 38-K.Kroeger punts 55 yards to DAL 25, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 36 for 11 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 56-J.Hill).	−0.31	−0.14	−0.17	−0.51	−1%	1.3×
Q2 7:10	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 36	(7:10) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 47 for 11 yards (35-J.Hansen).	+0.62	+0.61	+0.01	+0.63	+2%	1.3×
Q2 6:33	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 47	(6:33) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 32-T.Goodson (72-T.Togiai).	−0.45	−0.46	+0.01	−0.50	−2%	1.4×
Q2 6:25	DAL	2nd & 10	DAL 47	(6:25) (Shotgun) 32-T.Goodson up the middle to HOU 43 for 10 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+1.03	+1.03	0.00	+1.05	+4%	1.3×
Q2 5:52	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 43	(5:52) 32-T.Goodson left end to HOU 44 for -1 yards (35-J.Hansen).	−0.52	−0.55	+0.03	−0.76	−2%	1.4×
Q2 5:10	DAL	2nd & 11	HOU 44	(5:10) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 18-J.Mingo (3-K.Lassiter).	−0.69	−0.69	0.00	−0.81	−3%	1.3×
Q2 5:06	DAL	3rd & 11	HOU 44	(5:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 88-C.Lamb [96-L.Hall].	−1.27	−1.27	0.00	−1.35	−4%	1.3×
Q2 5:02	DAL	4th & 11	HOU 44	(5:02) 17-B.Aubrey 62 yard field goal is BLOCKED (51-W.Anderson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.46	−2.43	−0.02	−2.93	−7%	1.2×
Q2 4:58	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 48	(4:58) 32-D.Montgomery left tackle to DAL 45 for 3 yards (92-Q.Williams; 97-K.Clark).	−0.23	−0.18	−0.05	−0.22	0%	1.1×
Q2 4:21	HOU	2nd & 7	DAL 45	(4:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 12-N.Collins to DAL 27 for 18 yards (26-D.Bland).	+1.30	+1.37	−0.07	+1.43	+3%	1.1×
Q2 3:39	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 27	(3:39) (Shotgun) 32-D.Montgomery left guard to DAL 21 for 6 yards (50-S.James).	+0.21	+0.23	−0.02	+0.31	+1%	1.0×
Q2 2:58	HOU	2nd & 4	DAL 21	(2:58) 32-D.Montgomery right guard to DAL 20 for 1 yard (24-M.Hooker; 93-E.Garcia).	−0.38	−0.35	−0.03	−0.47	−1%	1.0×
Q2 2:15	HOU	3rd & 3	DAL 20	(2:15) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right [7-R.Gary].	−0.72	−0.72	−0.01	−1.32	−2%	1.0×
Q2 2:08	HOU	4th & 3	DAL 20	(2:08) 15-K.Fairbairn 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	−0.86	−0.33	−0.53	+0.50	0%	1.1×
Q2 2:05	DAL	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 61 yards from HOU 35 to DAL 4. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 26 for 22 yards (94-D.Robinson).	+0.10	+0.02	+0.08	−0.13	0%	1.1×
Q2 2:00	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 26	(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at DAL 35 for 9 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+0.70	+0.70	+0.01	+0.48	+3%	1.1×
Q2 1:55	DAL	2nd & 1	DAL 35	(1:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 48 for 13 yards (2-C.Bullock; 6-R.Blankenship).	+0.50	+0.48	+0.02	+0.92	+2%	1.2×
Q2 1:35	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 48	(1:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 41 for 11 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+0.61	+0.62	−0.02	+0.64	+3%	1.2×
Q2 1:29	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 41	(1:29) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 33-J.Williams to HOU 36 for 5 yards (50-K.Murray).	+0.09	+0.09	0.00	−0.13	+1%	1.3×
Q2 1:24	DAL	2nd & 5	HOU 36	(1:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at HOU 38 for -2 yards (35-J.Hansen).	−0.89	−0.91	+0.02	−1.78	−3%	1.3×
Q2 1:17	DAL	3rd & 7	HOU 38	(1:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at HOU 47 for -9 yards (sack split by 51-W.Anderson and 55-D.Hunter).	−2.09	−2.19	+0.10	−0.68	−9%	1.2×
Q2 0:30	DAL	4th & 16	HOU 47	(:30) 17-B.Aubrey 65 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.11	−2.02	−0.08	−1.98	−4%	1.0×
Q2 0:26	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 45	(:26) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 14-K.Boutte ran ob at DAL 39 for 6 yards (26-D.Bland).	+0.20	+0.22	−0.02	+0.28	0%	0.9×
Q2 0:22	HOU	2nd & 4	DAL 39	(:22) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud scrambles up the middle to DAL 36 for 3 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku).	−0.13	−0.09	−0.04	−0.30	0%	0.9×
Q2 0:03	HOU	3rd & 1	DAL 36	(:03) 7-C.Stroud spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−1.07	−1.07	0.00	+0.45	−3%	0.9×
Q2 0:02	HOU	4th & 1	DAL 36	(:02) 15-K.Fairbairn 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	+0.72	+0.78	−0.06	+1.04	+4%	1.0×
Q3 15:00	DAL	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 62 yards from HOU 35 to DAL 3. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at HOU 49 for 48 yards (5-J.Pitre).	+1.23	+1.38	−0.15	+1.65	+4%	0.9×
Q3 14:52	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 49	(14:52) 33-J.Williams up the middle to HOU 42 for 7 yards (55-D.Hunter; 72-T.Togiai).	+0.36	+0.39	−0.03	+0.41	+1%	1.0×
Q3 14:17	DAL	2nd & 3	HOU 42	(14:17) 33-J.Williams left end to HOU 38 for 4 yards (72-T.Togiai).	+0.28	+0.31	−0.03	+0.44	+1%	1.0×
Q3 13:40	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 38	(13:40) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 8 for 30 yards (3-K.Lassiter; 2-C.Bullock).	+1.77	+1.75	+0.02	+2.05	+6%	1.0×
Q3 13:00	DAL	1st & 8	HOU 8	(13:00) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.67	+2.58	−0.91	+1.52	+3%	1.2×
Q3 12:55	DAL	Try	HOU 15	17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−0.10	−0.85	+0.75	+0.07	−1%	1.2×
Q3 12:55	HOU	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 56 yards from DAL 35 to HOU 9. 13-J.Noel to DAL 38 for 53 yards (23-A.Speed).	+1.77	+2.03	−0.25	+2.22	+5%	1.2×
Q3 12:45	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 38	(12:45) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery up the middle to DAL 36 for 2 yards (53-D.Winters).	−0.30	−0.21	−0.09	−0.44	−1%	1.1×
Q3 12:07	HOU	2nd & 8	DAL 36	(12:07) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 19-X.Hutchinson pushed ob at DAL 26 for 10 yards (13-C.Downs).	+0.90	+0.97	−0.07	+1.28	+3%	1.1×
Q3 11:35	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 26	(11:35) 13-J.Noel left tackle to DAL 22 for 4 yards (55-J.Barham).	−0.02	+0.04	−0.06	−0.14	0%	1.1×
Q3 10:57	HOU	2nd & 6	DAL 22	(10:57) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 12-N.Collins for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DAL-27-R.Steward, Unnecessary Roughness, 8 yards, enforced between downs.	+2.49	+3.11	−0.62	+2.45	+8%	1.1×
Q3 10:50	HOU	Try	DAL 7	15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	+0.14	−0.44	+0.58	+0.02	0%	0.8×
Q3 10:50	DAL	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 61 yards from HOU 35 to DAL 4. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 36 for 32 yards (30-W.Woodaz).	+0.40	+0.80	−0.39	+0.71	+2%	0.8×
Q3 10:43	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 36	(10:43) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 3-G.Pickens to HOU 11 for 53 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+2.99	+2.99	0.00	+3.48	+11%	0.9×
Q3 9:57	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 11	(9:57) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left guard to HOU 5 for 6 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 50-K.Murray).	+0.35	+0.29	+0.06	+0.27	+1%	1.2×
Q3 9:20	DAL	2nd & 4	HOU 5	(9:20) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left end to HOU 8 for -3 yards (5-J.Pitre).	−0.87	−0.89	+0.02	−1.25	−3%	1.2×
Q3 8:37	DAL	3rd & 7	HOU 8	(8:37) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 3-G.Pickens (3-K.Lassiter). PENALTY on HOU-3-K.Lassiter, Defensive Pass Interference, 7 yards, enforced at HOU 8 - No Play.	+1.84	+1.79	+0.04	+2.28	+7%	1.1×
Q3 8:32	DAL	1st & 1	HOU 1	(8:32) 33-J.Williams right tackle to HOU 4 for -3 yards (90-J.Clowney).	−0.79	−0.81	+0.02	−0.91	−3%	1.2×
Q3 7:48	DAL	2nd & 4	HOU 4	(7:48) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 88-C.Lamb (24-D.Stingley).	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.99	−2%	1.2×
Q3 7:45	DAL	3rd & 4	HOU 4	(7:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles left tackle to HOU 3 for 1 yard (35-J.Hansen; 51-W.Anderson).	−0.93	−0.98	+0.05	−1.57	−3%	1.1×
Q3 6:59	DAL	4th & 3	HOU 3	(6:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 19-R.Flournoy (5-J.Pitre) [51-W.Anderson]. PENALTY on HOU-3-K.Lassiter, Defensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at HOU 3 - No Play.	+2.42	+2.41	+0.02	+3.46	+8%	1.1×
Q3 6:54	DAL	1st & 1	HOU 1	(6:54) 33-J.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. HOU-95-J.Crumedy was injured during the play.	+0.36	+1.34	−0.98	+0.49	−2%	1.2×
Q3 6:49	DAL	Try	HOU 15	17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−0.07	−0.93	+0.86	+0.07	0%	1.2×
Q3 6:49	HOU	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 62 yards from DAL 35 to HOU 3. 11-T.Smith to HOU 20 for 17 yards (30-H.Luepke; 89-B.Spann-Ford).	−0.68	−0.26	−0.42	−0.43	−3%	1.2×
Q3 6:44	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 20	(6:44) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 8-C.Stover to HOU 40 for 20 yards (24-M.Hooker).	+1.04	+1.06	−0.03	+1.29	+4%	1.2×
Q3 6:01	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 40	(6:01) (Shotgun) 4-W.Marks right guard to HOU 42 for 2 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia).	−0.29	−0.29	−0.01	−0.41	−1%	1.2×
Q3 5:22	HOU	2nd & 8	HOU 42	(5:22) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 12-N.Collins [97-K.Clark].	−0.63	−0.63	0.00	−0.84	−3%	1.2×
Q3 5:17	HOU	3rd & 8	HOU 42	(5:17) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right [53-D.Winters].	−1.19	−1.19	0.00	−1.57	−6%	1.2×
Q3 5:12	HOU	4th & 8	HOU 42	(5:12) 38-K.Kroeger punts 45 yards to DAL 13, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 9-K.Turpin ran ob at DAL 19 for 6 yards (8-C.Stover).	+0.77	+0.02	+0.75	−0.13	+5%	1.3×
Q3 5:04	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 19	(5:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 27 for 8 yards (6-R.Blankenship). ** Injury Update: HOU-95-J.Crumedy has returned to the game.	+0.48	+0.50	−0.02	+0.62	+2%	1.2×
Q3 4:26	DAL	2nd & 2	DAL 27	(4:26) (Shotgun) 32-T.Goodson up the middle to DAL 30 for 3 yards (72-T.Togiai; 35-J.Hansen).	+0.08	+0.10	−0.01	+0.12	0%	1.3×
Q3 3:52	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 30	(3:52) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy to DAL 32 for 2 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	−0.27	−0.25	−0.02	−0.39	−2%	1.3×
Q3 3:14	DAL	2nd & 8	DAL 32	(3:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 39 for 7 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+0.35	+0.38	−0.03	+0.62	+2%	1.3×
Q3 2:29	DAL	3rd & 1	DAL 39	(2:29) 67-D.Shelton reported in as eligible. 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 45 for 16 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+1.26	+1.32	−0.06	+1.43	+7%	1.3×
Q3 1:48	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 45	(1:48) 33-J.Williams right guard to HOU 44 for 1 yard (35-J.Hansen).	−0.36	−0.32	−0.03	−0.56	−2%	1.3×
Q3 1:12	DAL	2nd & 9	HOU 44	(1:12) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to HOU 42 for 2 yards (35-J.Hansen).	−0.49	−0.45	−0.05	−0.65	−3%	1.3×
Q3 0:25	DAL	3rd & 7	HOU 42	(:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 19-R.Flournoy to HOU 33 for 9 yards (2-C.Bullock; 35-J.Hansen).	+1.54	+1.58	−0.04	+2.03	+8%	1.3×
Q4 15:00	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 33	(15:00) 32-T.Goodson left tackle to HOU 28 for 5 yards (35-J.Hansen; 55-D.Hunter). PENALTY on DAL-66-T.Bass, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 33 - No Play.	−0.78	−0.79	+0.01	−1.23	−5%	1.3×
Q4 14:42	DAL	1st & 20	HOU 43	(14:42) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL-60-T.Guyton, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 43 - No Play.	−0.26	−0.27	+0.01	−0.20	−1%	1.3×
Q4 14:42	DAL	1st & 25	HOU 48	(14:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy to HOU 41 for 7 yards (98-S.Rankins).	−0.11	−0.06	−0.05	−0.24	−1%	1.3×
Q4 14:00	DAL	2nd & 18	HOU 41	(14:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 20 for 21 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 35-J.Hansen).	+1.92	+1.95	−0.03	+2.53	+11%	1.3×
Q4 13:20	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 20	(13:20) 33-J.Williams up the middle to HOU 20 for no gain (90-J.Clowney).	−0.36	−0.34	−0.01	−0.49	−2%	1.3×
Q4 12:42	DAL	2nd & 10	HOU 20	(12:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 3 for 17 yards (2-C.Bullock; 5-J.Pitre).	+1.73	+1.66	+0.07	+1.95	+10%	1.3×
Q4 11:59	DAL	1st & 3	HOU 3	(11:59) 33-J.Williams right tackle to HOU 2 for 1 yard (96-L.Hall; 72-T.Togiai).	−0.10	−0.11	+0.01	−0.21	0%	1.3×
Q4 11:20	DAL	2nd & 2	HOU 2	(11:20) 33-J.Williams right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.42	+1.75	−1.33	+1.11	+3%	1.3×
Q4 11:17	DAL	Try	HOU 15	17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. PENALTY on HOU-72-T.Togiai, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced between downs.	−0.06	−1.26	+1.20	+0.07	+1%	1.2×
Q4 11:17	HOU	Kickoff	DAL 40	17-B.Aubrey kicks 57 yards from DAL 40 to HOU 3. 11-T.Smith to HOU 30 for 27 yards (50-S.James). ** Injury Update: DAL-11-A.Clark has returned to the game. PENALTY on HOU-8-C.Stover, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 24.	−0.64	−0.56	−0.08	−0.65	−5%	1.2×
Q4 11:10	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 14	(11:10) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 14-K.Boutte ran ob at HOU 35 for 21 yards. Dallas challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)	+1.12	+1.14	−0.02	+1.24	+7%	1.2×
Q4 10:53	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 35	(10:53) (Shotgun) 32-D.Montgomery right guard to HOU 40 for 5 yards (57-M.Lawrence).	+0.09	+0.09	−0.01	+0.05	0%	1.3×
Q4 10:10	HOU	2nd & 5	HOU 40	(10:10) (Shotgun) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery up the middle to HOU 42 for 2 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 53-D.Winters).	−0.29	−0.29	0.00	−0.52	−2%	1.2×
Q4 9:31	HOU	3rd & 3	HOU 42	(9:31) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 31 for -11 yards (92-Q.Williams).	−2.16	−2.17	+0.01	−2.52	−14%	1.2×
Q4 8:51	HOU	4th & 14	HOU 31	(8:51) 38-K.Kroeger punts 52 yards to DAL 17, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 31 for 14 yards (87-F.Moreau).	+0.42	−0.09	+0.51	−0.42	+4%	1.0×
Q4 8:40	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 31	(8:40) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right guard to DAL 33 for 2 yards (98-S.Rankins; 6-R.Blankenship).	−0.26	−0.28	+0.02	−0.28	−1%	1.1×
Q4 8:00	DAL	2nd & 8	DAL 33	(8:00) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 89-B.Spann-Ford.	−0.59	−0.60	0.00	−0.72	−4%	1.1×
Q4 7:55	DAL	3rd & 8	DAL 33	(7:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 30-H.Luepke to DAL 35 for 2 yards (5-J.Pitre) [51-W.Anderson].	−0.86	−0.89	+0.03	−1.15	−6%	1.1×
Q4 7:08	DAL	4th & 6	DAL 35	(7:08) 5-B.Anger punts 60 yards to HOU 5, Center-44-T.Sieg. 13-J.Noel to HOU 13 for 8 yards (30-H.Luepke; 89-B.Spann-Ford).	+0.62	+0.20	+0.42	+0.29	+6%	1.2×
Q4 6:55	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 13	(6:55) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. PENALTY on HOU-66-K.Rutledge, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 13 - No Play.	−0.48	−0.48	+0.01	−0.81	−3%	1.1×
Q4 6:55	HOU	1st & 15	HOU 8	(6:55) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 19-X.Hutchinson to HOU 34 for 26 yards (27-R.Steward).	+1.61	+1.62	−0.01	+2.09	+9%	1.1×
Q4 6:13	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 34	(6:13) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 14-K.Boutte to HOU 43 for 9 yards (27-R.Steward).	+0.68	+0.68	0.00	+0.80	+4%	1.1×
Q4 5:36	HOU	2nd & 1	HOU 43	(5:36) 4-W.Marks right tackle to HOU 42 for -1 yards (92-Q.Williams).	−0.85	−0.87	+0.02	−1.09	−6%	1.1×
Q4 4:53	HOU	3rd & 2	HOU 42	(4:53) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 12-N.Collins to DAL 45 for 13 yards (27-R.Steward).	+1.17	+1.18	−0.01	+1.43	+8%	1.1×
Q4 4:11	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 45	(4:11) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 13-J.Noel to DAL 23 for 22 yards (13-C.Downs).	+1.16	+1.16	0.00	+1.36	+8%	1.1×
Q4 3:30	HOU	1st & 10	DAL 23	(3:30) (Shotgun) 4-W.Marks left end to DAL 15 for 8 yards (24-M.Hooker). PENALTY on HOU-69-E.Ingram, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 23 - No Play.	−0.80	−0.81	0.00	−1.11	−6%	1.0×
Q4 3:24	HOU	1st & 20	DAL 33	(3:24) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 87-F.Moreau to DAL 32 for 1 yard (13-C.Downs).	−0.53	−0.56	+0.03	−0.46	−3%	1.0×
Q4 2:40	HOU	2nd & 19	DAL 32	(2:40) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 14-K.Boutte.	−0.59	−0.60	0.00	−0.48	−4%	1.0×
Q4 2:34	HOU	3rd & 19	DAL 32	(2:34) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL-6-D.Ezeiruaku, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 32 - No Play.	+0.41	+0.41	0.00	+0.38	+3%	1.0×
Q4 2:34	HOU	3rd & 14	DAL 27	(2:34) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to DAL 25 for 2 yards. Lateral to 32-D.Montgomery pushed ob at DAL 6 for 19 yards (53-D.Winters; 23-A.Speed).	+2.37	+2.29	+0.08	+2.88	+18%	1.0×
Q4 2:26	HOU	1st & 6	DAL 6	(2:26) (Shotgun) 4-W.Marks left tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.43	+1.78	−1.35	+1.51	+9%	1.0×
Q4 2:23	HOU	Try	DAL 15	15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	+0.41	−0.64	+1.05	+0.07	+3%	0.9×
Q4 2:23	DAL	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 60 yards from HOU 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 26 for 21 yards (8-C.Stover).	+0.25	+0.41	−0.16	+0.05	+2%	0.8×
Q4 2:15	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 26	(2:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 88-C.Lamb (5-J.Pitre).	−0.49	−0.49	0.00	−0.49	−4%	0.8×
Q4 2:10	DAL	2nd & 10	DAL 26	(2:10) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 35 for 9 yards (27-K.Ramsey).	+0.52	+0.52	−0.01	+0.55	+4%	0.8×
Q4 2:00	DAL	3rd & 1	DAL 35	(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 32 for -3 yards (27-K.Ramsey).	−1.68	−1.68	0.00	−1.52	−12%	0.9×
Q4 1:34	DAL	4th & 4	DAL 32	(1:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 39 for 7 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+2.08	+2.09	−0.01	+1.85	+15%	0.6×
Q4 1:16	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 39	(1:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left [51-W.Anderson].	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.29	−4%	1.0×
Q4 1:12	DAL	2nd & 10	DAL 39	(1:12) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 46 for 15 yards (5-J.Pitre).	+1.21	+1.24	−0.03	+1.40	+10%	0.9×
Q4 1:02	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 46	(1:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to HOU 42 for 4 yards (35-J.Hansen) [51-W.Anderson].	−0.07	−0.06	−0.01	−0.25	−2%	1.1×
Q4 0:58	DAL	2nd & 6	HOU 42	(:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to HOU 34 for 8 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+0.71	+0.73	−0.02	−0.17	+6%	1.0×
Q4 0:52	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 34	(:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 3-G.Pickens pushed ob at HOU 12 for 22 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+1.20	+1.17	+0.04	+1.79	+13%	1.1×
Q4 0:47	DAL	1st & 10	HOU 12	(:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 19-R.Flournoy [51-W.Anderson].	−0.38	−0.38	0.00	−0.42	−4%	1.2×
Q4 0:43	DAL	2nd & 10	HOU 12	(:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.76	+3.14	−1.38	+3.40	+48%	1.2×
Q4 0:40	DAL	Try	HOU 15	17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. ** Injury Update: HOU-95-J.Crumedy has returned to the game.	+0.46	−0.88	+1.34	+0.07	−15%	0.3×
Q4 0:40	HOU	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 55 yards from DAL 35 to HOU 10. 13-J.Noel ran ob at HOU 28 for 18 yards (13-C.Downs).	−0.01	−0.17	+0.16	+0.05	−1%	0.9×
Q4 0:37	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 28	(:37) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 12-N.Collins pushed ob at HOU 36 for 8 yards (23-A.Speed).	+0.48	+0.48	0.00	+0.14	+4%	0.9×
Q4 0:31	HOU	2nd & 2	HOU 36	(:31) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 13-J.Noel to HOU 47 for 11 yards (24-M.Hooker).	+0.43	+0.44	0.00	+0.24	+1%	1.0×
Q4 0:17	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 47	(:17) (No Huddle) 7-C.Stroud spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.22	−8%	1.1×
Q4 0:16	HOU	2nd & 10	HOU 47	(:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson. PENALTY on DAL-57-M.Lawrence, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 47 - No Play.	+0.47	+0.48	−0.01	+0.10	+2%	0.9×
Q4 0:09	HOU	2nd & 5	DAL 48	(:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right (24-M.Hooker).	−2.70	−1.71	−0.99	−0.73	−19%	0.9×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	C.Stroud	HOU	35	+11.3+0.34	+0.9+0.46	—	+12.2+0.35	+4.4+0.40	+16.1+0.46
	C.Lamb	DAL	22	—	−1.0−0.98	+11.2+0.53	+10.2+0.46	+3.4+0.48	+12.3+0.56
	N.Collins	HOU	8	—	—	+9.6+1.21	+9.6+1.21	+3.3+1.27	+9.4+1.18
	D.Prescott	DAL	50	+8.1+0.17	−0.8−0.38	—	+7.4+0.15	+1.8+0.11	+8.6+0.17
	J.Noel	HOU	4	—	0.0−0.02	+4.1+1.36	+4.1+1.02	+1.3+1.09	+4.5+1.13
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DAL
	D.Prescott	32	45	1	0	3	3357.4	+9.8+0.20	+8.1+0.17	+2.0+0.13

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
HOU
	C.Stroud	21	31	2	0	2	34711.2	+15.2+0.46	+11.3+0.34	+4.0+0.38

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DAL
	J.Williams	19	3	623.3	+2.8+0.15	+2.5+0.13	+0.8+0.12
	T.Goodson	3	0	124.0	+0.4+0.14	+0.6+0.20	+0.2+0.19
	D.Prescott	2	0	73.5	−1.3−0.63	−0.8−0.38	−0.2−0.36
	C.Lamb	1	0	−6−6.0	−1.3−1.31	−1.0−0.98	−0.4−0.98

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
HOU
	D.Montgomery	10	0	242.4	−3.6−0.36	−2.0−0.20	−0.7−0.20
	W.Marks	6	1	223.7	−0.3−0.05	−1.2−0.20	−0.4−0.20
	C.Stroud	2	0	126.0	+0.9+0.46	+0.9+0.46	+0.4+0.59
	J.Noel	1	0	44.0	−0.1−0.14	0.0−0.02	0.0−0.02

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DAL
	C.Lamb	21	17	1	18911.1	+13.6+0.65	+11.2+0.53	+3.8+0.56
	R.Flournoy	5	4	0	379.2	+3.7+0.74	+2.9+0.59	+1.0+0.59
	J.Williams	5	5	0	214.2	−1.8−0.36	−1.0−0.20	−0.4−0.21
	J.Ferguson	4	3	0	113.7	−0.1−0.03	+0.3+0.07	−0.3−0.22
	G.Pickens	3	2	0	7537.5	+3.9+1.31	+3.5+1.16	+0.8+0.90
	J.Mingo	2	0	0	0—	−1.7−0.84	−1.4−0.68	−0.5−0.69
	T.Goodson	1	0	0	0—	−0.5−0.50	−0.5−0.45	−0.2−0.45
	B.Spann-Ford	1	0	0	0—	−0.7−0.72	−0.6−0.59	−0.2−0.59
	H.Luepke	1	1	0	22.0	−1.1−1.15	−0.9−0.86	−0.3−0.86

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
HOU
	N.Collins	8	7	2	11816.9	+9.4+1.18	+9.6+1.21	+3.3+1.27
	X.Hutchinson	5	3	0	4615.3	+2.2+0.43	+1.6+0.33	+0.5+0.28
	K.Boutte	4	3	0	3612.0	+1.8+0.46	+1.4+0.35	+0.5+0.40
	J.Noel	3	3	0	8528.3	+4.7+1.56	+4.1+1.36	+1.3+1.45
	D.Schultz	2	2	0	94.5	+3.1+1.57	+2.9+1.43	+0.9+1.30
	B.Jordan	1	1	0	1313.0	+1.3+1.28	+1.1+1.12	+0.4+1.12
	W.Marks	1	0	0	0—	−0.6−0.64	−0.5−0.47	−0.2−0.47
	C.Stover	1	1	0	2020.0	+1.3+1.29	+1.0+1.04	+0.4+1.04
	F.Moreau	1	1	0	11.0	−0.5−0.46	−0.5−0.53	−0.2−0.53
	D.Montgomery	0	0	0	19—	—	—	—