LA 26, DEN 30 — week 3, 2026

26 at 30

Week 3 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
DEN	74	30	2573.5	−4.0−0.054	−1.6−0.022	−0.9−0.012	−0.7−0.010	−1.0−0.043
LA	98	26	4824.9	−0.8−0.008	−0.5−0.005	−2.2−0.023	+1.7+0.017	+0.5+0.017
NET	−24	4	−225−1.4	−3.2−0.046	−1.1−0.017	+1.3+0.011	−2.4−0.027	−1.5−0.060
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is DEN minus LA.

Game Timeline

LA at DEN. DEN won by 4. Two panels. Top: DEN's win probability across 189 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 100%; DEN was favored on 25% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at LA by 15.6 in the second quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -12% at play 36, W.Lutz 43 yard field goal — NO GOOD; +39% at play 156, M.Stafford pass short left… — INTERCEPTED, RETURNED FOR TD; +23% at play 178, A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. B.Nix up… — TOUCHDOWN.

Excitement

2.2 bits

#1 of 16 this week

93rd percentile since 2006

Tension

0.80

#10 of 16 this week

67th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

628 pts

#2 of 16 this week

94th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

50%

#11 of 16 this week

47th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#3 of 16 this week

87th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

#1 of 16 this week

94th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 5:01	LA	3rd & 6	DEN 38	(5:01) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 23-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN 34. 9-T.Hufanga for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	−6.09	−7.96	+1.87	−9.32	−38.9%	1.0×
2	Q4 13:07	DEN	2nd & 14	LA 48	(13:07) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Wallace (91-K.Turner) at LA 37. 30-J.Wallace to DEN 37 for 26 yards (60-L.Wattenberg).	−3.54	−4.50	+0.96	−5.31	−19.8%	1.3×
3	Q1 1:23	DEN	4th & 6	LA 25	(1:23) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	−3.42	−3.61	+0.19	−3.44	−12.0%	1.4×
4	Q4 3:26	DEN	2nd & 20	DEN 25	(3:26) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 13-P.Bryant to LA 36 for 39 yards (3-K.Curl).	+2.61	+2.68	−0.07	+2.94	+22.1%	1.0×
5	Q4 7:03	LA	1st & 10	LA 9	(7:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams ran ob at DEN 42 for 49 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	+2.59	+2.62	−0.04	+3.07	+17.1%	1.2×
6	Q4 3:46	LA	2nd & 1	DEN 48	(3:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.46	+3.98	−1.52	+4.37	+18.2%	1.0×
7	Q4 0:02	LA	2nd & 15	DEN 19	(:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN -1. Touchback.	−2.30	−2.66	+0.37	−2.12	−13.8%	0.9×
8	Q1 7:30	LA	4th & 4	DEN 35	(7:30) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 30 for 5 yards (22-B.Jones). Denver challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)	+2.08	+2.05	+0.03	+2.52	+6.3%	1.4×
9	Q4 0:32	LA	3rd & 10	LA 33	(:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 48 for 19 yards (22-B.Jones).	+2.03	+2.05	−0.02	+0.91	+9.7%	0.4×
10	Q2 8:16	LA	3rd & 11	LA 48	(8:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 4-K.Mumpfield ran ob at DEN 37 for 15 yards.	+1.98	+2.02	−0.05	+2.57	+3.0%	1.0×
11	Q2 2:00	DEN	3rd & 2	LA 43	(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix sacked at 50 for -7 yards (48-O.Speights).	−1.98	−2.04	+0.07	−1.34	−5.1%	1.0×
12	Q4 9:22	LA	3rd & 5	DEN 20	(9:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DEN 30 for -10 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	−1.92	−1.91	−0.01	−2.05	−12.1%	1.2×
13	Q4 14:00	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 29	(14:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton ran ob at LA 44 for 27 yards. Penalty on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.	+1.89	+1.94	−0.05	+2.08	+10.3%	1.3×
14	Q3 9:17	DEN	3rd & 9	LA 20	(9:17) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 14-C.Sutton to LA 11 for 9 yards (55-B.Fiske). PENALTY on LA-37-Q.Lake, Face Mask, 6 yards, enforced at LA 11.	+1.87	+1.79	+0.08	+2.27	+4.9%	0.8×
15	Q3 7:50	DEN	3rd & 5	LA 5	(7:50) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 13-P.Bryant for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.69	+2.20	−0.51	+2.46	+0.2%	0.9×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 5:01	LA	3rd & 6	DEN 38	(5:01) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 23-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN 34. 9-T.Hufanga for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	−6.09	−7.96	+1.87	−9.32	−38.9%	1.0×
2	Q1 1:23	DEN	4th & 6	LA 25	(1:23) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	−3.42	−3.61	+0.19	−3.44	−12.0%	1.4×
3	Q4 13:07	DEN	2nd & 14	LA 48	(13:07) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Wallace (91-K.Turner) at LA 37. 30-J.Wallace to DEN 37 for 26 yards (60-L.Wattenberg).	−3.54	−4.50	+0.96	−5.31	−19.8%	1.3×
4	Q4 7:03	LA	1st & 10	LA 9	(7:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams ran ob at DEN 42 for 49 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	+2.59	+2.62	−0.04	+3.07	+17.1%	1.2×
5	Q1 7:30	LA	4th & 4	DEN 35	(7:30) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 30 for 5 yards (22-B.Jones). Denver challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)	+2.08	+2.05	+0.03	+2.52	+6.3%	1.4×
6	Q4 3:26	DEN	2nd & 20	DEN 25	(3:26) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 13-P.Bryant to LA 36 for 39 yards (3-K.Curl).	+2.61	+2.68	−0.07	+2.94	+22.1%	1.0×
7	Q4 14:00	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 29	(14:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton ran ob at LA 44 for 27 yards. Penalty on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.	+1.89	+1.94	−0.05	+2.08	+10.3%	1.3×
8	Q4 3:46	LA	2nd & 1	DEN 48	(3:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.46	+3.98	−1.52	+4.37	+18.2%	1.0×
9	Q4 9:22	LA	3rd & 5	DEN 20	(9:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DEN 30 for -10 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	−1.92	−1.91	−0.01	−2.05	−12.1%	1.2×
10	Q1 5:00	LA	2nd & 5	DEN 5	(5:00) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.67	+2.43	−0.76	+1.69	+6.0%	1.4×
11	Q1 11:44	LA	3rd & 5	DEN 43	(11:44) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DEN 47 for -4 yards (15-N.Bonitto).	−1.57	−1.64	+0.07	−2.17	−4.8%	1.4×
12	Q1 5:49	LA	3rd & 8	DEN 15	(5:49) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford scrambles right guard to DEN 5 for 10 yards (21-R.Moss; 99-Z.Allen).	+1.56	+1.48	+0.08	+2.09	+4.6%	1.4×
13	Q2 8:16	LA	3rd & 11	LA 48	(8:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 4-K.Mumpfield ran ob at DEN 37 for 15 yards.	+1.98	+2.02	−0.05	+2.57	+3.0%	1.0×
14	Q4 0:02	LA	2nd & 15	DEN 19	(:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN -1. Touchback.	−2.30	−2.66	+0.37	−2.12	−13.8%	0.9×
15	Q2 2:00	DEN	3rd & 2	LA 43	(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix sacked at 50 for -7 yards (48-O.Speights).	−1.98	−2.04	+0.07	−1.34	−5.1%	1.0×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 5:01	LA	3rd & 6	DEN 38	(5:01) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 23-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN 34. 9-T.Hufanga for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	−6.09	−7.96	+1.87	−9.32	−38.9%	1.0×
2	Q4 0:48	DEN	3rd & 1	LA 1	(:48) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.07	+2.23	−1.16	+1.70	+22.7%	1.0×
3	Q4 3:26	DEN	2nd & 20	DEN 25	(3:26) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 13-P.Bryant to LA 36 for 39 yards (3-K.Curl).	+2.61	+2.68	−0.07	+2.94	+22.1%	1.0×
4	Q4 13:07	DEN	2nd & 14	LA 48	(13:07) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Wallace (91-K.Turner) at LA 37. 30-J.Wallace to DEN 37 for 26 yards (60-L.Wattenberg).	−3.54	−4.50	+0.96	−5.31	−19.8%	1.3×
5	Q4 3:46	LA	2nd & 1	DEN 48	(3:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.46	+3.98	−1.52	+4.37	+18.2%	1.0×
6	Q4 7:03	LA	1st & 10	LA 9	(7:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams ran ob at DEN 42 for 49 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	+2.59	+2.62	−0.04	+3.07	+17.1%	1.2×
7	Q4 0:02	LA	2nd & 15	DEN 19	(:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN -1. Touchback.	−2.30	−2.66	+0.37	−2.12	−13.8%	0.9×
8	Q4 1:01	DEN	3rd & 5	LA 5	(1:01) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 1-E.Engram (37-Q.Lake). PENALTY on LA-37-Q.Lake, Illegal Use of Hands, 3 yards, enforced at LA 5 - No Play.	+1.36	+1.35	+0.02	+1.89	+12.4%	1.0×
9	Q4 9:22	LA	3rd & 5	DEN 20	(9:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DEN 30 for -10 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	−1.92	−1.91	−0.01	−2.05	−12.1%	1.2×
10	Q1 1:23	DEN	4th & 6	LA 25	(1:23) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	−3.42	−3.61	+0.19	−3.44	−12.0%	1.4×
11	Q4 0:16	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 34	(:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 14 for 20 yards (26-D.Key).	+1.49	+1.45	+0.04	+0.39	+10.7%	0.8×
12	Q4 2:35	DEN	1st & 10	LA 36	(2:35) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 11-T.Franklin to LA 15 for 21 yards (22-T.McDuffie).	+1.05	+1.03	+0.02	+1.62	+10.6%	1.0×
13	Q4 4:16	LA	2nd & 11	LA 22	(4:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield to LA 43 for 21 yards (22-B.Jones).	+1.61	+1.62	−0.01	+2.04	+10.5%	0.8×
14	Q4 14:00	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 29	(14:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton ran ob at LA 44 for 27 yards. Penalty on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.	+1.89	+1.94	−0.05	+2.08	+10.3%	1.3×
15	Q4 0:32	LA	3rd & 10	LA 33	(:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 48 for 19 yards (22-B.Jones).	+2.03	+2.05	−0.02	+0.91	+9.7%	0.4×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 189 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	LA	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 62 yards from DEN 35 to LA 3. 33-D.Connors to LA 26 for 23 yards (92-D.Tillman).	+0.11	+0.14	−0.03	+0.05	+0.3%	1.4×
Q1 14:55	LA	1st & 10	LA 26	(14:55) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 87-D.Allen pushed ob at LA 39 for 13 yards (49-A.Singleton).	+0.84	+0.70	+0.14	+0.90	+2.4%	1.4×
Q1 14:26	LA	1st & 10	LA 39	(14:26) 23-K.Williams left end to LA 42 for 3 yards (40-J.Strnad).	+0.01	−0.18	+0.19	−0.27	+0.0%	1.4×
Q1 13:49	LA	2nd & 7	LA 42	(13:49) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 87-D.Allen to LA 48 for 6 yards (15-N.Bonitto; 2-P.Surtain).	+0.38	+0.21	+0.17	+0.55	+1.1%	1.4×
Q1 13:10	LA	3rd & 1	LA 48	(13:10) 23-K.Williams right end to DEN 48 for 4 yards (2-P.Surtain).	+0.81	+0.66	+0.15	+0.64	+2.4%	1.4×
Q1 12:29	LA	1st & 10	DEN 48	(12:29) 23-K.Williams right guard to DEN 43 for 5 yards (51-Q.Robinson; 9-T.Hufanga).	+0.16	+0.07	+0.09	−0.01	+0.5%	1.4×
Q1 11:50	LA	2nd & 5	DEN 43	(11:50) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 89-T.Higbee.	−0.68	−0.69	+0.01	−0.85	−2.0%	1.4×
Q1 11:44	LA	3rd & 5	DEN 43	(11:44) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DEN 47 for -4 yards (15-N.Bonitto).	−1.57	−1.64	+0.07	−2.17	−4.8%	1.4×
Q1 11:05	LA	4th & 9	DEN 47	(11:05) 42-E.Evans punts 33 yards to DEN 14, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 31-K.Abrams-Draine.	−0.03	−0.41	+0.38	−0.13	+0.1%	1.4×
Q1 10:58	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 14	(10:58) 27-J.Dobbins left end to DEN 12 for -2 yards (35-J.Watson).	−0.63	−0.66	+0.03	−1.03	−2.0%	1.4×
Q1 10:23	DEN	2nd & 12	DEN 12	(10:23) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 12-R.Harvey to DEN 18 for 6 yards (37-Q.Lake).	−0.04	−0.05	+0.01	+0.06	−0.1%	1.4×
Q1 9:43	DEN	3rd & 6	DEN 18	(9:43) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right.	−0.89	−0.89	0.00	−1.36	−2.9%	1.4×
Q1 9:36	DEN	4th & 6	DEN 18	(9:36) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 45 yards to LA 37, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.	−0.01	−0.25	+0.24	+0.19	+0.3%	1.4×
Q1 9:27	LA	1st & 10	LA 37	(9:27) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to DEN 41 for 22 yards (2-P.Surtain).	+1.20	+1.23	−0.02	+1.56	+3.7%	1.4×
Q1 8:50	LA	1st & 10	DEN 41	(8:50) 24-B.Corum up the middle to DEN 34 for 7 yards (51-Q.Robinson).	+0.42	+0.40	+0.02	+0.24	+1.2%	1.4×
Q1 8:14	LA	2nd & 3	DEN 34	(8:14) 24-B.Corum right guard to DEN 35 for -1 yards (97-M.Roach).	−0.73	−0.78	+0.05	−0.79	−2.2%	1.4×
Q1 7:35	LA	3rd & 4	DEN 35	(7:35) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 18-T.Ferguson (9-T.Hufanga). LA-18-T.Ferguson was injured during the play.	−1.01	−1.02	+0.01	−1.13	−3.2%	1.4×
Q1 7:30	LA	4th & 4	DEN 35	(7:30) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 30 for 5 yards (22-B.Jones). Denver challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)	+2.08	+2.05	+0.03	+2.52	+6.3%	1.4×
Q1 7:07	LA	1st & 10	DEN 30	(7:07) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to DEN 17 for 13 yards (40-J.Strnad).	+0.77	+0.70	+0.07	+0.86	+2.3%	1.4×
Q1 6:32	LA	1st & 10	DEN 17	(6:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right.	−0.37	−0.37	+0.01	−0.47	−1.1%	1.4×
Q1 6:27	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 17	(6:27) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee pushed ob at DEN 15 for 2 yards (22-B.Jones).	−0.27	−0.32	+0.05	−0.69	−0.8%	1.4×
Q1 5:49	LA	3rd & 8	DEN 15	(5:49) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford scrambles right guard to DEN 5 for 10 yards (21-R.Moss; 99-Z.Allen).	+1.56	+1.48	+0.08	+2.09	+4.6%	1.4×
Q1 5:05	LA	1st & 5	DEN 5	(5:05) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 84-C.Parkinson (22-B.Jones).	−0.34	−0.34	0.00	−0.52	−0.9%	1.4×
Q1 5:00	LA	2nd & 5	DEN 5	(5:00) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.67	+2.43	−0.76	+1.69	+6.0%	1.4×
Q1 4:55	LA	Try	DEN 15	92-H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.	−0.03	−0.82	+0.79	+0.07	−2.5%	1.3×
Q1 4:55	DEN	Kickoff	LA 35	92-H.Mevis kicks 65 yards from LA 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DEN 35.	+0.53	+0.39	+0.13	+0.58	+1.8%	1.3×
Q1 4:55	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 35	(4:55) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right to 17-J.Waddle (35-J.Watson).	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.52	−1.4%	1.4×
Q1 4:50	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 35	(4:50) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 14-C.Sutton to DEN 45 for 10 yards (37-Q.Lake).	+1.02	+1.01	+0.01	+1.28	+3.3%	1.3×
Q1 4:11	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 45	(4:11) 27-J.Dobbins left guard to DEN 49 for 4 yards (10-J.Stewart; 53-N.Landman).	−0.05	−0.05	0.00	−0.19	−0.4%	1.4×
Q1 3:39	DEN	2nd & 6	DEN 49	(3:39) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to LA 46 for 5 yards (0-B.Young; 30-J.Wallace).	+0.09	+0.11	−0.02	+0.27	−0.0%	1.4×
Q1 2:57	DEN	3rd & 1	LA 46	(2:57) (Shotgun) 28-T.Badie right guard to LA 44 for 2 yards (48-O.Speights; 35-J.Watson).	+0.59	+0.61	−0.01	+0.47	+1.7%	1.4×
Q1 2:18	DEN	1st & 10	LA 44	(2:18) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep middle to 11-T.Franklin. PENALTY on LA-1-E.Forbes, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, enforced at LA 44 - No Play.	+0.87	+0.89	−0.03	+0.87	+3.1%	1.4×
Q1 2:13	DEN	1st & 10	LA 29	(2:13) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep left to 14-C.Sutton (37-Q.Lake).	−0.41	−0.40	0.00	−0.42	−1.3%	1.4×
Q1 2:04	DEN	2nd & 10	LA 29	(2:04) (Shotgun) 12-R.Harvey up the middle to LA 25 for 4 yards (22-T.McDuffie; 2-J.McCollough).	−0.06	−0.06	−0.01	−0.35	−0.4%	1.4×
Q1 1:27	DEN	3rd & 6	LA 25	(1:27) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 17-J.Waddle (35-J.Watson).	−0.75	−0.75	0.00	−1.38	−2.2%	1.4×
Q1 1:23	DEN	4th & 6	LA 25	(1:23) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	−3.42	−3.61	+0.19	−3.44	−12.0%	1.4×
Q1 1:19	LA	1st & 10	LA 33	(1:19) 23-K.Williams up the middle to DEN 37 for 30 yards (21-R.Moss). ** Injury Update: LA-18-T.Ferguson has returned to the game.	+1.56	+1.66	−0.10	+1.97	+2.8%	1.2×
Q1 0:37	LA	1st & 10	DEN 37	(:37) 23-K.Williams left guard to DEN 34 for 3 yards (9-T.Hufanga; 22-B.Jones). ** Injury Update: LA-84-C.Parkinson has returned to the game.	−0.17	−0.14	−0.03	−0.33	−0.4%	1.1×
Q2 15:00	LA	2nd & 7	DEN 34	(15:00) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 23-K.Williams ran ob at DEN 16 for 18 yards.	+1.30	+1.29	+0.01	+1.69	+2.7%	1.1×
Q2 14:26	LA	1st & 10	DEN 16	(14:26) 23-K.Williams up the middle to DEN 8 for 8 yards (2-P.Surtain).	+0.59	+0.56	+0.03	+0.57	+1.3%	1.1×
Q2 13:46	LA	2nd & 2	DEN 8	(13:46) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right [22-B.Jones].	−0.57	−0.57	0.00	−0.64	−1.2%	1.0×
Q2 13:43	LA	3rd & 2	DEN 8	(13:43) 24-B.Corum right tackle to DEN 5 for 3 yards (9-T.Hufanga; 22-B.Jones). PENALTY on LA-73-S.Avila, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 8 - No Play.	−1.09	−1.04	−0.05	−1.48	−2.2%	1.1×
Q2 13:24	LA	3rd & 12	DEN 18	(13:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 4-K.Mumpfield.	−0.71	−0.71	0.00	−0.57	−1.8%	1.1×
Q2 13:21	LA	4th & 12	DEN 18	(13:21) 92-H.Mevis 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.	−0.08	−0.31	+0.24	+0.38	+1.0%	1.2×
Q2 13:17	DEN	Kickoff	LA 35	92-H.Mevis kicks 62 yards from LA 35 to DEN 3. 81-K.Katsis to DEN 31 for 28 yards (37-Q.Lake; 94-D.Johnson).	−0.04	+0.17	−0.22	+0.32	−0.1%	1.1×
Q2 13:12	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 31	(13:12) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins right guard to DEN 34 for 3 yards (57-T.Hamilton).	−0.12	−0.17	+0.06	−0.27	−0.3%	1.1×
Q2 12:36	DEN	2nd & 7	DEN 34	(12:36) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 27-J.Dobbins to DEN 38 for 4 yards (48-O.Speights).	−0.05	−0.11	+0.06	−0.14	−0.1%	1.1×
Q2 11:55	DEN	3rd & 3	DEN 38	(11:55) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right to 17-J.Waddle (22-T.McDuffie).	−1.11	−1.12	+0.01	−1.40	−2.7%	1.1×
Q2 11:51	DEN	4th & 3	DEN 38	(11:51) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 41 yards to LA 21, Center-48-M.Fraboni, fair catch by 19-X.Smith.	−0.39	−0.55	+0.17	−0.34	−0.6%	1.1×
Q2 11:45	LA	1st & 10	LA 21	(11:45) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 24-B.Corum.	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.52	−1.0%	1.0×
Q2 11:40	LA	2nd & 10	LA 21	(11:40) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to LA 24 for 3 yards (49-A.Singleton).	−0.29	−0.30	+0.01	−0.50	−0.4%	1.1×
Q2 11:03	LA	3rd & 7	LA 24	(11:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield. PENALTY on DEN-21-R.Moss, Defensive Pass Interference, 13 yards, enforced at LA 24 - No Play.	+1.65	+1.65	−0.01	+2.05	+2.9%	1.1×
Q2 10:59	LA	1st & 10	LA 37	(10:59) 24-B.Corum right end to LA 39 for 2 yards (97-M.Roach).	−0.24	−0.25	+0.02	−0.44	−0.5%	1.0×
Q2 10:21	LA	2nd & 8	LA 39	(10:21) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 24-B.Corum to LA 40 for 1 yard (40-J.Strnad).	−0.48	−0.51	+0.02	−0.61	−0.9%	1.0×
Q2 9:36	LA	3rd & 7	LA 40	(9:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 18-T.Ferguson to LA 49 for 9 yards (52-J.Elliss) [99-Z.Allen].	+1.45	+1.45	0.00	+1.81	+2.9%	1.0×
Q2 9:05	LA	1st & 10	LA 49	(9:05) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 24-B.Corum to LA 48 for -1 yards (40-J.Strnad).	−0.54	−0.55	+0.01	−0.72	−0.8%	0.9×
Q2 8:19	LA	2nd & 11	LA 48	(8:19) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield.	−0.65	−0.65	0.00	−0.84	−1.3%	1.0×
Q2 8:16	LA	3rd & 11	LA 48	(8:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 4-K.Mumpfield ran ob at DEN 37 for 15 yards.	+1.98	+2.02	−0.05	+2.57	+3.0%	1.0×
Q2 7:41	LA	1st & 10	DEN 37	(7:41) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 89-T.Higbee.	−0.44	−0.44	0.00	−0.46	−0.8%	0.9×
Q2 7:36	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 37	(7:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-D.Adams pushed ob at DEN 15 for 22 yards (2-P.Surtain) [99-Z.Allen].	+1.65	+1.66	−0.01	+1.74	+2.6%	0.9×
Q2 6:56	LA	1st & 10	DEN 15	(6:56) (Shotgun) PENALTY on LA, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 15 - No Play.	−0.52	−0.48	−0.04	−0.79	−0.7%	0.9×
Q2 6:36	LA	1st & 15	DEN 20	(6:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 24-B.Corum (97-M.Roach).	−0.38	−0.38	0.00	−0.45	−0.7%	0.9×
Q2 6:33	LA	2nd & 15	DEN 20	(6:33) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 17-D.Adams pushed ob at DEN 4 for 16 yards (22-B.Jones) [99-Z.Allen]. PENALTY on LA-17-D.Adams, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 20 - No Play. Penalty on LA-71-W.McClendon, Illegal Formation, declined.	−0.58	−0.55	−0.03	−0.67	−0.9%	0.9×
Q2 6:16	LA	2nd & 25	DEN 30	(6:16) (Shotgun) 23-K.Williams right guard to DEN 26 for 4 yards (49-A.Singleton).	−0.32	−0.27	−0.05	−0.17	−0.4%	0.9×
Q2 5:35	LA	3rd & 21	DEN 26	(5:35) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 23-K.Williams to DEN 16 for 10 yards (49-A.Singleton) [15-N.Bonitto].	−0.07	−0.03	−0.04	+0.03	−0.1%	0.9×
Q2 4:46	LA	4th & 11	DEN 16	(4:46) 92-H.Mevis 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.	−0.82	−0.52	−0.30	+0.30	+0.3%	0.9×
Q2 4:43	DEN	Kickoff	LA 35	92-H.Mevis kicks 65 yards from LA 35 to DEN 0. 81-K.Katsis to DEN 24 for 24 yards (56-S.Dolac).	−0.11	−0.13	+0.02	−0.04	−0.4%	0.9×
Q2 4:38	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 24	(4:38) 12-R.Harvey left end to DEN 31 for 7 yards (90-T.Davis). PENALTY on DEN-72-G.Bolles, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 24 - No Play.	−0.49	−0.51	+0.02	−0.41	−1.1%	0.9×
Q2 4:15	DEN	1st & 15	DEN 19	(4:15) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 12-R.Harvey ran ob at DEN 38 for 19 yards (3-K.Curl).	+1.26	+1.24	+0.02	+1.01	+3.3%	0.9×
Q2 3:47	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 38	(3:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-R.Harvey left tackle to DEN 40 for 2 yards (55-B.Fiske).	−0.23	−0.28	+0.05	−0.49	−0.9%	1.0×
Q2 3:07	DEN	2nd & 8	DEN 40	(3:07) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right to 17-J.Waddle.	−0.62	−0.62	0.00	−0.52	−1.5%	1.0×
Q2 3:04	DEN	3rd & 8	DEN 40	(3:04) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 17-J.Waddle ran ob at DEN 49 for 9 yards. LA-35-J.Watson was injured during the play.	+1.48	+1.48	0.00	+1.43	+3.8%	0.9×
Q2 2:52	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 49	(2:52) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix left end to LA 47 for 4 yards (30-J.Wallace).	−0.02	−0.06	+0.04	−0.04	−0.6%	1.0×
Q2 2:16	DEN	2nd & 6	LA 47	(2:16) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to LA 43 for 4 yards (91-K.Turner; 99-A.Donald).	−0.09	−0.10	+0.01	0.00	−0.4%	1.0×
Q2 2:00	DEN	3rd & 2	LA 43	(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix sacked at 50 for -7 yards (48-O.Speights).	−1.98	−2.04	+0.07	−1.34	−5.1%	1.0×
Q2 1:18	DEN	4th & 9	50	(1:18) (Punt formation) PENALTY on DEN-48-M.Fraboni, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.	−0.48	−0.49	+0.01	−0.25	−1.0%	0.8×
Q2 1:18	DEN	4th & 14	DEN 45	(1:18) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 47 yards to LA 8, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 19-X.Smith to LA 24 for 16 yards (51-Q.Robinson; 92-D.Tillman).	−0.39	−0.10	−0.29	−0.72	−0.9%	0.8×
Q2 1:07	LA	1st & 10	LA 24	(1:07) (Shotgun) 23-K.Williams right guard to LA 31 for 7 yards (21-R.Moss; 49-A.Singleton).	+0.31	+0.33	−0.01	−0.09	+0.7%	0.8×
Q2 0:51	LA	2nd & 3	LA 31	(:51) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee ran ob at LA 41 for 10 yards (22-B.Jones).	+0.56	+0.58	−0.01	+0.55	+0.2%	0.7×
Q2 0:45	LA	1st & 10	LA 41	(:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 17-D.Adams ran ob at DEN 46 for 13 yards (2-P.Surtain).	+0.69	+0.72	−0.03	+0.93	+1.0%	0.7×
Q2 0:40	LA	1st & 10	DEN 46	(:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 17-D.Adams [49-A.Singleton].	−0.46	−0.46	−0.01	−0.35	−0.6%	0.7×
Q2 0:34	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 46	(:34) (Shotgun) PENALTY on LA, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 46 - No Play.	−0.50	−0.52	+0.01	−0.58	−0.9%	0.7×
Q2 0:34	LA	2nd & 15	LA 49	(:34) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 17-D.Adams ran ob at DEN 37 for 14 yards.	+1.04	+1.08	−0.04	+1.18	+1.4%	0.7×
Q2 0:30	LA	3rd & 1	DEN 37	(:30) (No Huddle) 23-K.Williams right guard to DEN 32 for 5 yards (22-B.Jones).	+0.71	+0.72	−0.01	+0.22	+0.4%	0.7×
Q2 0:25	LA	1st & 10	DEN 32	(:25) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short middle.	−0.43	−0.42	0.00	−0.34	−0.6%	0.7×
Q2 0:20	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 32	(:20) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to DEN 22 for 10 yards (22-B.Jones).	+0.97	+0.98	−0.01	−0.18	+1.5%	0.7×
Q2 0:04	LA	1st & 10	DEN 22	(:04) (No Huddle) 9-M.Stafford spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.39	−0.38	0.00	+0.49	−0.5%	0.6×
Q2 0:03	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 22	(:03) 92-H.Mevis 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.	−1.49	−1.15	−0.34	+0.45	−0.1%	0.7×
Q3 15:00	DEN	Kickoff	LA 35	92-H.Mevis kicks 64 yards from LA 35 to DEN 1. 81-K.Katsis to DEN 32 for 31 yards (44-G.Stuard; 34-T.Ingle).	+0.64	+0.22	+0.42	+0.53	+1.2%	0.7×
Q3 14:55	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 32	(14:55) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 27-J.Dobbins left guard to DEN 38 for 6 yards (97-P.Ford).	+0.22	+0.23	−0.01	+0.17	+0.5%	0.7×
Q3 14:19	DEN	2nd & 4	DEN 38	(14:19) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep right to 17-J.Waddle [55-B.Fiske].	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.89	−1.2%	0.7×
Q3 14:12	DEN	3rd & 4	DEN 38	(14:12) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 1-E.Engram [99-A.Donald].	−1.11	−1.11	0.00	−1.60	−1.7%	0.7×
Q3 14:08	DEN	4th & 4	DEN 38	(14:08) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 62 yards to LA 0, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 19-X.Smith pushed ob at LA 10 for 10 yards (34-J.Skinner).	−0.09	+0.45	−0.55	+0.56	−0.1%	0.6×
Q3 13:57	LA	1st & 10	LA 10	(13:57) 24-B.Corum up the middle to LA 13 for 3 yards (93-D.Jones; 97-M.Roach).	−0.27	−0.21	−0.07	−0.28	+0.2%	0.6×
Q3 13:14	LA	2nd & 7	LA 13	(13:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 89-T.Higbee [97-M.Roach].	−0.65	−0.64	−0.01	−0.72	−0.9%	0.6×
Q3 13:09	LA	3rd & 7	LA 13	(13:09) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 17-D.Adams.	−0.88	−0.87	−0.01	−1.32	−1.6%	0.6×
Q3 13:04	LA	4th & 7	LA 13	(13:04) 42-E.Evans punts 57 yards to DEN 30, Center-49-J.Cardona. 81-K.Katsis ran ob at LA 42 for 28 yards (42-E.Evans).	−1.34	−0.95	−0.38	−0.98	−3.2%	0.7×
Q3 12:52	DEN	1st & 10	LA 42	(12:52) 27-J.Dobbins right tackle to LA 36 for 6 yards (57-T.Hamilton; 37-Q.Lake).	+0.27	+0.30	−0.03	+0.19	+0.8%	0.8×
Q3 12:20	DEN	2nd & 4	LA 36	(12:20) 27-J.Dobbins left guard to LA 34 for 2 yards (97-P.Ford; 94-D.Johnson).	−0.21	−0.19	−0.02	−0.50	−0.6%	0.8×
Q3 11:50	DEN	3rd & 2	LA 34	(11:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to LA 31 for 3 yards (57-T.Hamilton; 48-O.Speights).	+0.74	+0.75	−0.01	+0.93	+1.7%	0.8×
Q3 11:14	DEN	1st & 10	LA 31	(11:14) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short middle to 12-R.Harvey.	−0.41	−0.41	0.00	−0.45	−1.0%	0.9×
Q3 11:10	DEN	2nd & 10	LA 31	(11:10) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey pushed ob at LA 22 for 9 yards (47-W.Bailey).	+0.80	+0.80	0.00	+0.73	+1.6%	0.8×
Q3 10:37	DEN	3rd & 1	LA 22	(10:37) 10-B.Nix up the middle to LA 21 for 1 yard (91-K.Turner).	+0.32	+0.31	+0.01	+0.36	+0.6%	0.9×
Q3 9:56	DEN	1st & 10	LA 21	(9:56) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short middle.	−0.38	−0.38	0.00	−0.44	−1.0%	0.9×
Q3 9:53	DEN	2nd & 10	LA 21	(9:53) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 17-J.Waddle pushed ob at LA 20 for 1 yard (22-T.McDuffie; 1-E.Forbes).	−0.32	−0.33	+0.02	−0.70	−1.1%	0.9×
Q3 9:17	DEN	3rd & 9	LA 20	(9:17) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 14-C.Sutton to LA 11 for 9 yards (55-B.Fiske). PENALTY on LA-37-Q.Lake, Face Mask, 6 yards, enforced at LA 11.	+1.87	+1.79	+0.08	+2.27	+4.9%	0.8×
Q3 8:59	DEN	1st & 5	LA 5	(8:59) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins left end to LA 5 for no gain (48-O.Speights; 10-J.Stewart).	−0.29	−0.31	+0.02	−0.42	−1.2%	1.0×
Q3 8:22	DEN	2nd & 5	LA 5	(8:22) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to LA 5 for no gain (37-Q.Lake). DEN-12-R.Harvey was injured during the play.	−0.57	−0.58	+0.01	−0.99	−1.9%	1.0×
Q3 7:50	DEN	3rd & 5	LA 5	(7:50) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 13-P.Bryant for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.69	+2.20	−0.51	+2.46	+0.2%	0.9×
Q3 7:44	DEN	Try	LA 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-B.Nix pass to 17-J.Waddle is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+1.09	+0.93	+0.17	+1.05	+2.9%	0.9×
Q3 7:44	LA	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 60 yards from DEN 35 to LA 5. 19-X.Smith to LA 21 for 16 yards (51-Q.Robinson).	−0.25	+0.06	−0.32	−0.41	−0.8%	1.0×
Q3 7:41	LA	1st & 10	LA 21	(7:41) 23-K.Williams up the middle to LA 30 for 9 yards (2-P.Surtain; 22-B.Jones).	+0.65	+0.67	−0.02	+0.98	+2.5%	1.0×
Q3 7:01	LA	2nd & 1	LA 30	(7:01) 23-K.Williams right end to LA 34 for 4 yards (21-R.Moss). LA-69-K.Dotson was injured during the play.	−0.02	−0.01	−0.01	−0.03	−0.2%	0.9×
Q3 6:33	LA	1st & 10	LA 34	(6:33) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 17-D.Adams. PENALTY on LA-71-W.McClendon, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LA 34 - No Play.	−0.75	−0.75	0.00	−1.06	−2.1%	1.0×
Q3 6:28	LA	1st & 20	LA 24	(6:28) (Shotgun) 23-K.Williams right guard to LA 27 for 3 yards (52-J.Elliss). ** Injury Update: LA-69-K.Dotson has returned to the game.	−0.37	−0.37	−0.01	−0.25	−1.1%	1.0×
Q3 6:04	LA	2nd & 17	LA 27	(6:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 17-D.Adams [99-Z.Allen].	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.80	−2.1%	1.0×
Q3 5:59	LA	3rd & 17	LA 27	(5:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams pushed ob at LA 25 for -2 yards (23-J.Barron).	−1.16	−1.16	0.00	−1.20	−4.6%	1.1×
Q3 5:33	LA	4th & 19	LA 25	(5:33) 42-E.Evans punts 60 yards to DEN 15, Center-49-J.Cardona. 81-K.Katsis MUFFS catch, and recovers at DEN 15. 81-K.Katsis to DEN 9 for -6 yards (44-G.Stuard). PENALTY on LA-1-E.Forbes, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 13 yards, enforced at LA 25 - No Play.	−0.53	−0.54	+0.01	−0.71	−2.7%	1.2×
Q3 5:22	LA	4th & 30	LA 12	(5:22) 42-E.Evans punts 41 yards to DEN 47, impetus ends at DEN 48, Center-49-J.Cardona. 81-K.Katsis pushed ob at DEN 48 for 1 yard (56-S.Dolac).	+0.42	+0.03	+0.39	−0.28	+1.9%	1.2×
Q3 5:11	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 48	(5:11) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to LA 47 for 5 yards (91-K.Turner; 97-P.Ford).	+0.03	+0.05	−0.02	−0.02	−0.1%	1.2×
Q3 4:38	DEN	2nd & 5	LA 47	(4:38) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to LA 42 for 5 yards (48-O.Speights). FUMBLES (48-O.Speights), recovered by DEN-13-P.Bryant at LA 41. 13-P.Bryant to LA 34 for 7 yards (22-T.McDuffie).	+0.94	+0.99	−0.05	+0.96	+4.4%	1.2×
Q3 3:52	DEN	1st & 10	LA 34	(3:52) 17-J.Waddle left end to LA 20 for 14 yards (91-K.Turner).	+0.79	+0.80	−0.02	+0.98	+3.5%	1.3×
Q3 3:12	DEN	1st & 10	LA 20	(3:12) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short middle.	−0.38	−0.38	0.00	−0.47	−1.8%	1.3×
Q3 3:08	DEN	2nd & 10	LA 20	(3:08) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 28-T.Badie to LA 8 for 12 yards (3-K.Curl).	+1.07	+1.06	+0.02	+1.19	+4.9%	1.3×
Q3 2:24	DEN	1st & 8	LA 8	(2:24) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 14-C.Sutton.	−0.35	−0.35	0.00	−0.57	−1.7%	1.3×
Q3 2:19	DEN	2nd & 8	LA 8	(2:19) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 45-N.Adkins for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.36	+2.18	−0.82	+2.02	+5.6%	1.3×
Q3 2:15	DEN	Try	LA 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-B.Nix pass to 13-P.Bryant is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+1.06	+0.81	+0.26	+1.05	+6.4%	1.3×
Q3 2:15	LA	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 64 yards from DEN 35 to LA 1. 19-X.Smith to LA 30 for 29 yards (31-K.Abrams-Draine).	+0.04	+0.13	−0.09	+0.28	+0.2%	1.4×
Q3 2:09	LA	1st & 10	LA 30	(2:09) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-D.Adams to LA 36 for 6 yards (2-P.Surtain).	+0.19	+0.19	0.00	+0.30	+1.1%	1.4×
Q3 1:32	LA	2nd & 4	LA 36	(1:32) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 87-D.Allen (40-J.Strnad) [92-D.Tillman].	−0.60	−0.60	0.00	−0.85	−3.4%	1.4×
Q3 1:26	LA	3rd & 4	LA 36	(1:26) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 89-T.Higbee to LA 41 for 5 yards (51-Q.Robinson) [92-D.Tillman].	+1.01	+1.02	−0.01	+1.25	+5.7%	1.3×
Q3 0:46	LA	1st & 10	LA 41	(:46) 9-M.Stafford sacked at LA 32 for -9 yards (99-Z.Allen).	−1.16	−1.16	−0.01	−1.36	−6.8%	1.3×
Q4 15:00	LA	2nd & 19	LA 32	(15:00) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right.	−0.60	−0.59	0.00	−0.79	−3.5%	1.3×
Q4 14:56	LA	3rd & 19	LA 32	(14:56) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 4-K.Mumpfield [99-Z.Allen].	−1.06	−1.06	0.00	−1.02	−6.0%	1.3×
Q4 14:50	LA	4th & 19	LA 32	(14:50) 42-E.Evans punts 49 yards to DEN 19, Center-49-J.Cardona. 81-K.Katsis to DEN 29 for 10 yards (56-S.Dolac; 49-J.Cardona).	+0.94	+0.15	+0.79	−0.19	+5.8%	1.3×
Q4 14:39	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 29	(14:39) 27-J.Dobbins left end to DEN 29 for no gain (91-K.Turner).	−0.48	−0.46	−0.02	−0.51	−2.7%	1.3×
Q4 14:00	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 29	(14:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton ran ob at LA 44 for 27 yards. Penalty on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.	+1.89	+1.94	−0.05	+2.08	+10.3%	1.3×
Q4 13:47	DEN	1st & 10	LA 44	(13:47) 27-J.Dobbins right end to LA 43 for 1 yard (0-B.Young; 1-E.Forbes).	−0.38	−0.36	−0.02	−0.55	−1.8%	1.2×
Q4 13:07	DEN	2nd & 9	LA 43	(13:07) (Shotgun) ** Injury Update: DEN-12-R.Harvey has returned to the game. PENALTY on DEN-60-L.Wattenberg, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at LA 43 - No Play.	−0.51	−0.52	+0.01	−0.57	−2.8%	1.2×
Q4 13:07	DEN	2nd & 14	LA 48	(13:07) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Wallace (91-K.Turner) at LA 37. 30-J.Wallace to DEN 37 for 26 yards (60-L.Wattenberg).	−3.54	−4.50	+0.96	−5.31	−19.8%	1.3×
Q4 12:58	LA	1st & 10	DEN 37	(12:58) 23-K.Williams left guard to DEN 39 for -2 yards (22-B.Jones).	−0.67	−0.66	−0.01	−1.08	−3.7%	1.3×
Q4 12:14	LA	2nd & 12	DEN 39	(12:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-D.Adams to DEN 28 for 11 yards (22-B.Jones).	+0.92	+0.94	−0.03	+1.24	+5.3%	1.3×
Q4 11:29	LA	3rd & 1	DEN 28	(11:29) 9-M.Stafford right end to DEN 25 for 3 yards (49-A.Singleton).	+0.42	+0.43	−0.01	+0.63	+2.5%	1.3×
Q4 10:44	LA	1st & 10	DEN 25	(10:44) 23-K.Williams right end to DEN 20 for 5 yards (22-B.Jones).	+0.15	+0.14	+0.01	+0.09	+1.0%	1.2×
Q4 10:06	LA	2nd & 5	DEN 20	(10:06) 23-K.Williams left end to DEN 20 for no gain (9-T.Hufanga; 97-M.Roach).	−0.44	−0.44	0.00	−0.63	−2.5%	1.2×
Q4 9:22	LA	3rd & 5	DEN 20	(9:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DEN 30 for -10 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	−1.92	−1.91	−0.01	−2.05	−12.1%	1.2×
Q4 8:44	LA	4th & 15	DEN 30	(8:44) 92-H.Mevis 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.	+0.72	+0.27	+0.46	+1.41	+7.2%	1.3×
Q4 8:40	DEN	Kickoff	LA 35	92-H.Mevis kicks 59 yards from LA 35 to DEN 6. 81-K.Katsis to DEN 30 for 24 yards (30-J.Wallace).	+0.17	+0.32	−0.15	+0.19	+1.1%	1.2×
Q4 8:34	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 30	(8:34) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to DEN 36 for 6 yards (53-N.Landman).	+0.26	+0.26	0.00	+0.37	+1.6%	1.2×
Q4 7:56	DEN	2nd & 4	DEN 36	(7:56) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to DEN 38 for 2 yards (0-B.Young; 90-T.Davis).	−0.21	−0.21	0.00	−0.41	−1.7%	1.2×
Q4 7:13	DEN	3rd & 2	DEN 38	(7:13) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 1-E.Engram (30-J.Wallace).	−1.11	−1.11	0.00	−1.69	−7.3%	1.2×
Q4 7:10	DEN	4th & 2	DEN 38	(7:10) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 53 yards to LA 9, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.	+0.79	+0.01	+0.78	+0.25	+8.2%	1.2×
Q4 7:03	LA	1st & 10	LA 9	(7:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams ran ob at DEN 42 for 49 yards (9-T.Hufanga).	+2.59	+2.62	−0.04	+3.07	+17.1%	1.2×
Q4 6:24	LA	1st & 10	DEN 42	(6:24) 24-B.Corum right end to DEN 42 for no gain (49-A.Singleton; 52-J.Elliss).	−0.46	−0.50	+0.04	−0.46	−2.3%	1.0×
Q4 5:43	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 42	(5:43) 24-B.Corum left guard to DEN 38 for 4 yards (21-R.Moss; 49-A.Singleton).	−0.28	−0.32	+0.03	−0.35	−1.4%	1.0×
Q4 5:01	LA	3rd & 6	DEN 38	(5:01) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 23-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN 34. 9-T.Hufanga for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	−6.09	−7.96	+1.87	−9.32	−38.9%	1.0×
Q4 4:49	DEN	Try	LA 15	3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.	+0.26	−0.83	+1.09	+0.07	+5.4%	1.0×
Q4 4:49	LA	Kickoff	DEN 35	3-W.Lutz kicks 61 yards from DEN 35 to LA 4. 19-X.Smith to LA 23 for 19 yards (26-D.Key).	+0.41	+0.35	+0.06	−0.19	+2.2%	0.9×
Q4 4:43	LA	1st & 10	LA 23	(4:43) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at LA 22 for -1 yards (96-E.Uwazurike).	−0.61	−0.63	+0.01	−0.78	−3.9%	0.9×
Q4 4:16	LA	2nd & 11	LA 22	(4:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield to LA 43 for 21 yards (22-B.Jones).	+1.61	+1.62	−0.01	+2.04	+10.5%	0.8×
Q4 4:08	LA	1st & 10	LA 43	(4:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 4-K.Mumpfield to DEN 48 for 9 yards (21-R.Moss).	+0.64	+0.64	−0.01	+0.69	+4.1%	1.0×
Q4 3:46	LA	2nd & 1	DEN 48	(3:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.46	+3.98	−1.52	+4.37	+18.2%	1.0×
Q4 3:38	LA	Try	DEN 15	92-H.Mevis extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.	+0.10	−1.15	+1.25	+0.07	+4.9%	1.0×
Q4 3:38	DEN	Kickoff	LA 35	92-H.Mevis kicks 65 yards from LA 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DEN 35.	+0.71	+0.92	−0.21	+0.59	+5.5%	1.0×
Q4 3:38	DEN	1st & 10	DEN 35	(3:38) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short middle to 27-J.Dobbins (97-P.Ford).	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.48	−3.6%	1.0×
Q4 3:33	DEN	2nd & 10	DEN 35	(3:33) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix scrambles right end ran ob at DEN 40 for 5 yards (30-J.Wallace). PENALTY on DEN-72-G.Bolles, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 35 - No Play.	−0.78	−0.78	0.00	−0.81	−6.1%	1.0×
Q4 3:26	DEN	2nd & 20	DEN 25	(3:26) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 13-P.Bryant to LA 36 for 39 yards (3-K.Curl).	+2.61	+2.68	−0.07	+2.94	+22.1%	1.0×
Q4 2:35	DEN	1st & 10	LA 36	(2:35) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 11-T.Franklin to LA 15 for 21 yards (22-T.McDuffie).	+1.05	+1.03	+0.02	+1.62	+10.6%	1.0×
Q4 2:00	DEN	1st & 10	LA 15	(2:00) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to LA 13 for 2 yards (97-P.Ford).	−0.35	−0.35	+0.01	−0.35	+1.4%	0.9×
Q4 1:22	DEN	2nd & 8	LA 13	(1:22) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 12-R.Harvey to LA 11 for 2 yards (53-N.Landman; 2-J.McCollough).	−0.37	−0.37	+0.01	−0.46	−3.9%	0.9×
Q4 1:15	DEN	3rd & 6	LA 11	(1:15) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right intended for 13-P.Bryant INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Wallace [0-B.Young] at LA 8. 30-J.Wallace ran ob at LA 8 for no gain. PENALTY on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, 4 yards, enforced at LA 11 - No Play.	+1.03	+1.01	+0.02	+1.30	+9.3%	1.0×
Q4 1:09	DEN	1st & 7	LA 7	(1:09) 27-J.Dobbins right tackle to LA 5 for 2 yards (37-Q.Lake; 0-B.Young).	−0.14	−0.15	+0.01	−0.31	−2.0%	0.9×
Q4 1:05	DEN	2nd & 5	LA 5	(1:05) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 14-C.Sutton.	−0.62	−0.62	0.00	−0.96	−7.5%	0.9×
Q4 1:01	DEN	3rd & 5	LA 5	(1:01) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short left to 1-E.Engram (37-Q.Lake). PENALTY on LA-37-Q.Lake, Illegal Use of Hands, 3 yards, enforced at LA 5 - No Play.	+1.36	+1.35	+0.02	+1.89	+12.4%	1.0×
Q4 0:56	DEN	1st & 2	LA 2	(:56) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix pass incomplete short right to 45-N.Adkins.	−0.34	−0.34	0.00	−0.46	−2.1%	0.8×
Q4 0:51	DEN	2nd & 2	LA 2	(:51) (Shotgun) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix right end ran ob at LA 1 for 1 yard (22-T.McDuffie).	−0.44	−0.45	+0.01	−0.04	−3.5%	0.9×
Q4 0:48	DEN	3rd & 1	LA 1	(:48) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. PENALTY on LA-91-K.Turner, Encroachment, 0 yards, enforced at LA 1 - No Play.	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.0%	1.0×
Q4 0:48	DEN	3rd & 1	LA 1	(:48) 63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.07	+2.23	−1.16	+1.70	+22.7%	1.0×
Q4 0:47	DEN	Try	LA 15	3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw. PENALTY on LA-22-T.McDuffie, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.	+0.65	−0.49	+1.14	+0.07	−6.4%	0.3×
Q4 0:47	LA	Kickoff	DEN 40	3-W.Lutz kicks 53 yards from DEN 40 to LA 7. 19-X.Smith to LA 33 for 26 yards (46-A.Prentice; 55-J.Turner).	+0.46	+0.24	+0.22	+0.22	+2.4%	0.5×
Q4 0:42	LA	1st & 10	LA 33	(:42) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 4-K.Mumpfield (21-R.Moss).	−0.48	−0.48	0.00	−0.16	−3.5%	0.6×
Q4 0:37	LA	2nd & 10	LA 33	(:37) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 17-D.Adams.	−0.62	−0.62	0.00	−0.19	−3.5%	0.5×
Q4 0:32	LA	3rd & 10	LA 33	(:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 48 for 19 yards (22-B.Jones).	+2.03	+2.05	−0.02	+0.91	+9.7%	0.4×
Q4 0:26	LA	1st & 10	DEN 48	(:26) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 89-T.Higbee. The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee ran ob at DEN 34 for 14 yards.	+0.77	+0.80	−0.03	+0.90	+5.9%	0.8×
Q4 0:21	LA	1st & 10	DEN 34	(:21) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 17-D.Adams.	−0.45	−0.46	0.00	−0.19	−5.5%	1.0×
Q4 0:16	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 34	(:16) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 14 for 20 yards (26-D.Key).	+1.49	+1.45	+0.04	+0.39	+10.7%	0.8×
Q4 0:03	LA	1st & 10	DEN 14	(:03) (No Huddle) 9-M.Stafford spiked the ball to stop the clock.	−0.37	−0.37	0.00	−0.05	−7.9%	1.3×
Q4 0:02	LA	2nd & 10	DEN 14	(:02) (Shotgun) PENALTY on LA-77-A.Jackson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 14 - No Play.	−0.51	−0.49	−0.02	−0.13	−4.9%	1.1×
Q4 0:02	LA	2nd & 15	DEN 19	(:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN -1. Touchback.	−2.30	−2.66	+0.37	−2.12	−13.8%	0.9×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	P.Bryant	DEN	2	—	—	+4.3+2.15	+4.3+2.15	+1.1+2.17	+5.4+2.70
	K.Mumpfield	LA	8	—	—	+3.8+0.47	+3.8+0.47	+0.9+0.41	+7.1+0.89
	T.Higbee	LA	11	—	—	+3.4+0.31	+3.4+0.31	+1.1+0.34	+1.9+0.17
	D.Adams	LA	13	—	—	+3.0+0.23	+3.0+0.23	+1.4+0.40	+5.0+0.39
	M.Stafford	LA	61	+0.6+0.01	+2.0+0.99	—	+2.6+0.04	+0.8+0.05	+2.0+0.03
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LA
	M.Stafford	30	55	2	2	4	3907.1	−0.7−0.01	+0.6+0.01	+0.10.00

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DEN
	B.Nix	17	34	2	1	1	1865.5	−3.2−0.09	−0.7−0.02	−0.5−0.04

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LA
	K.Williams	15	0	885.9	+1.6+0.11	+2.9+0.20	+0.9+0.19
	B.Corum	6	0	152.5	−2.1−0.35	−1.6−0.26	−0.4−0.25
	M.Stafford	2	0	136.5	+2.7+1.36	+2.0+0.99	+0.8+1.02

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DEN
	J.Dobbins	17	0	492.9	−1.9−0.11	−0.5−0.03	−0.3−0.05
	B.Nix	4	1	71.8	+2.0+0.49	+0.9+0.23	+0.3+0.24
	R.Harvey	2	0	63.0	−0.8−0.42	−0.3−0.15	−0.1−0.13
	T.Badie	1	0	22.0	+0.5+0.47	+0.6+0.59	+0.2+0.59
	J.Waddle	1	0	1414.0	+1.0+0.98	+0.8+0.79	+0.3+0.79

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
LA
	D.Adams	13	7	0	13719.6	+5.0+0.39	+3.0+0.23	+1.4+0.40
	T.Higbee	11	8	1	627.8	+1.9+0.17	+3.4+0.31	+1.1+0.34
	K.Mumpfield	8	4	1	9323.2	+7.1+0.89	+3.8+0.47	+0.9+0.41
	K.Williams	7	6	0	7011.7	−5.0−0.71	−0.4−0.06	−0.3−0.15
	B.Corum	4	2	0	00.0	−2.3−0.57	−1.9−0.47	−0.5−0.47
	D.Allen	3	2	0	199.5	+0.6+0.20	+0.6+0.21	+0.3+0.22
	T.Ferguson	2	1	0	99.0	+0.7+0.34	+0.4+0.22	0.0+0.02
	C.Parkinson	1	0	0	0—	−0.5−0.52	−0.3−0.34	−0.1−0.34

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DEN
	R.Harvey	7	6	0	416.8	+0.2+0.03	+0.8+0.11	+0.2+0.08
	J.Waddle	7	2	0	105.0	−4.0−0.57	−2.4−0.34	−0.8−0.39
	C.Sutton	7	3	0	4615.3	−1.6−0.23	−0.1−0.02	−0.2−0.08
	J.Dobbins	2	1	0	44.0	−0.6−0.31	−0.5−0.26	−0.2−0.25
	E.Engram	2	0	0	0—	−3.3−1.65	−2.2−1.11	−0.6−1.11
	P.Bryant	2	2	1	4422.0	+5.4+2.70	+4.3+2.15	+1.1+2.17
	N.Adkins	2	1	1	88.0	+1.6+0.78	+1.0+0.51	+0.4+0.69
	T.Badie	1	1	0	1212.0	+1.2+1.19	+1.1+1.07	+0.4+1.07
	T.Franklin	1	1	0	2121.0	+1.6+1.62	+1.0+1.05	+0.3+1.05