KC 24, MIA 10 — week 3, 2026

24 at 10

Week 3 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
MIA	77	10	3294.3	−8.6−0.112	−5.4−0.071	−5.2−0.068	−0.2−0.003	+0.1+0.005
KC	55	24	3346.1	+6.9+0.125	+6.7+0.121	+7.9+0.143	−1.2−0.022	+3.1+0.193
NET	22	−14	−5−1.8	−15.4−0.236	−12.1−0.192	−13.1−0.211	+1.0+0.019	−3.0−0.188
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is MIA minus KC.

Game Timeline

KC at MIA. KC won by 14. Two panels. Top: MIA's win probability across 144 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 0%; MIA was favored on 2% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at KC by 14.5 in the fourth quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -13% at play 60, M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards… — FUMBLES; +12% at play 75, M.Willis pass deep middle to G.Dulcich to KC 30 for 42 yards; -10% at play 103, P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to R.Rice. PENALTY…; -9% at play 125, M.Willis pass incomplete short right to K.Coleman.

Excitement

0.7 bits

#13 of 16 this week

38th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.81

#8 of 16 this week

67th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

371 pts

#10 of 16 this week

48th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

72%

#6 of 16 this week

74th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#10 of 16 this week

53rd percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

47%

#13 of 16 this week

21st percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q2 2:00	KC	2nd & 8	KC 49	(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle intended for 4-R.Rice INTERCEPTED by 10-J.Rodriguez (11-D.Trader) at MIA 29. 10-J.Rodriguez to MIA 47 for 18 yards (1-X.Worthy).	−3.74	−3.67	−0.07	−3.56	−11.1%	1.1×
2	Q2 3:16	MIA	2nd & 9	KC 31	(3:16) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards (23-D.Tranquill). Kansas City challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards (23-D.Tranquill, 38-L.Sneed). FUMBLES (38-L.Sneed), RECOVERED by KC-38-L.Sneed at KC 25.	−3.67	−3.77	+0.09	−3.75	−12.9%	1.4×
3	Q2 6:15	KC	4th & 1	MIA 12	(6:15) 64-H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle to MIA 12 for no gain (20-J.Brooks; 90-M.Herring).	−3.57	−3.59	+0.02	−3.58	−7.0%	1.1×
4	Q1 12:57	KC	3rd & 1	MIA 10	(12:57) 77-J.Moore reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.01	+2.77	+0.24	+2.25	+7.9%	1.4×
5	Q1 14:55	KC	1st & 10	KC 33	(14:55) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce to MIA 19 for 48 yards (11-D.Trader).	+2.88	+2.70	+0.18	+3.38	+7.6%	1.4×
6	Q4 3:01	KC	3rd & 6	MIA 11	(3:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN [9-J.Uche].	+2.86	+4.42	−1.56	+3.13	+0.6%	0.1×
7	Q3 14:15	MIA	2nd & 8	MIA 28	(14:15) 2-M.Willis pass deep middle to 85-G.Dulcich to KC 30 for 42 yards (20-N.Williams).	+2.70	+2.76	−0.05	+3.27	+11.9%	1.2×
8	Q4 0:42	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 45	(:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles right end to KC 47 for 8 yards (32-N.Bolton).	−2.47	−1.53	−0.94	−1.00	−0.0%	0.0×
9	Q4 5:16	KC	2nd & 12	MIA 49	(5:16) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 4-R.Rice to MIA 15 for 34 yards (3-C.Johnson) [92-Z.Sieler].	+2.45	+2.36	+0.08	+2.83	+6.1%	0.5×
10	Q2 9:25	MIA	4th & 4	KC 49	(9:25) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short middle to 6-M.Washington (5-M.Delane).	−2.36	−2.51	+0.15	−2.73	−6.0%	1.3×
11	Q2 6:10	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 12	(6:10) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 18-C.Bell pushed ob at KC 44 for 44 yards (17-A.Gilman; 31-J.Bassa).	+2.34	+2.37	−0.03	+2.77	+8.2%	1.2×
12	Q1 7:09	MIA	3rd & 18	KC 42	(7:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles left guard to KC 32 for 10 yards (17-A.Gilman). PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at KC 32.	+2.31	+2.29	+0.02	+3.04	+6.9%	1.3×
13	Q2 4:03	MIA	4th & 3	KC 37	(4:03) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep right to 21-K.Coleman. PENALTY on KC-38-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 37 - No Play.	+2.09	+2.09	0.00	+2.51	+7.4%	1.3×
14	Q4 2:03	MIA	4th & 1	MIA 48	(2:03) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right intended for 84-R.Miller INTERCEPTED by 56-G.Karlaftis (95-C.Jones) at MIA 36. 56-G.Karlaftis to MIA 36 for no gain (55-A.Brewer).	−2.05	−1.89	−0.17	−3.34	−0.3%	0.0×
15	Q3 13:16	MIA	3rd & 10	KC 30	(13:16) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 0-O.Gordon to KC 11 for 19 yards (17-A.Gilman; 20-N.Williams).	+2.02	+1.97	+0.05	+2.18	+8.2%	1.3×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q2 3:16	MIA	2nd & 9	KC 31	(3:16) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards (23-D.Tranquill). Kansas City challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards (23-D.Tranquill, 38-L.Sneed). FUMBLES (38-L.Sneed), RECOVERED by KC-38-L.Sneed at KC 25.	−3.67	−3.77	+0.09	−3.75	−12.9%	1.4×
2	Q1 12:57	KC	3rd & 1	MIA 10	(12:57) 77-J.Moore reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.01	+2.77	+0.24	+2.25	+7.9%	1.4×
3	Q1 14:55	KC	1st & 10	KC 33	(14:55) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce to MIA 19 for 48 yards (11-D.Trader).	+2.88	+2.70	+0.18	+3.38	+7.6%	1.4×
4	Q2 2:00	KC	2nd & 8	KC 49	(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle intended for 4-R.Rice INTERCEPTED by 10-J.Rodriguez (11-D.Trader) at MIA 29. 10-J.Rodriguez to MIA 47 for 18 yards (1-X.Worthy).	−3.74	−3.67	−0.07	−3.56	−11.1%	1.1×
5	Q2 6:15	KC	4th & 1	MIA 12	(6:15) 64-H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle to MIA 12 for no gain (20-J.Brooks; 90-M.Herring).	−3.57	−3.59	+0.02	−3.58	−7.0%	1.1×
6	Q3 14:15	MIA	2nd & 8	MIA 28	(14:15) 2-M.Willis pass deep middle to 85-G.Dulcich to KC 30 for 42 yards (20-N.Williams).	+2.70	+2.76	−0.05	+3.27	+11.9%	1.2×
7	Q1 7:09	MIA	3rd & 18	KC 42	(7:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles left guard to KC 32 for 10 yards (17-A.Gilman). PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at KC 32.	+2.31	+2.29	+0.02	+3.04	+6.9%	1.3×
8	Q2 9:25	MIA	4th & 4	KC 49	(9:25) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short middle to 6-M.Washington (5-M.Delane).	−2.36	−2.51	+0.15	−2.73	−6.0%	1.3×
9	Q2 6:10	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 12	(6:10) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 18-C.Bell pushed ob at KC 44 for 44 yards (17-A.Gilman; 31-J.Bassa).	+2.34	+2.37	−0.03	+2.77	+8.2%	1.2×
10	Q2 4:03	MIA	4th & 3	KC 37	(4:03) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep right to 21-K.Coleman. PENALTY on KC-38-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 37 - No Play.	+2.09	+2.09	0.00	+2.51	+7.4%	1.3×
11	Q3 13:16	MIA	3rd & 10	KC 30	(13:16) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 0-O.Gordon to KC 11 for 19 yards (17-A.Gilman; 20-N.Williams).	+2.02	+1.97	+0.05	+2.18	+8.2%	1.3×
12	Q1 9:39	MIA	2nd & 7	MIA 36	(9:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 6-M.Washington to KC 34 for 30 yards (5-M.Delane).	+1.97	+2.03	−0.05	+2.15	+6.0%	1.3×
13	Q1 4:13	MIA	3rd & 9	KC 14	(4:13) (Shotgun) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to KC 3 for 11 yards (32-N.Bolton).	+1.84	+1.78	+0.06	+2.34	+5.4%	1.4×
14	Q3 2:26	KC	3rd & 9	KC 5	(2:26) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 4-R.Rice. PENALTY on MIA-44-C.Robinson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at KC 5 - No Play. Penalty on MIA-92-Z.Sieler, Defensive Holding, declined.	+1.84	+1.86	−0.02	+2.05	+10.1%	1.4×
15	Q2 13:02	KC	2nd & 5	MIA 5	(13:02) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 9-K.Walker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.64	+2.50	−0.86	+1.76	+6.5%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q2 3:16	MIA	2nd & 9	KC 31	(3:16) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards (23-D.Tranquill). Kansas City challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards (23-D.Tranquill, 38-L.Sneed). FUMBLES (38-L.Sneed), RECOVERED by KC-38-L.Sneed at KC 25.	−3.67	−3.77	+0.09	−3.75	−12.9%	1.4×
2	Q3 14:15	MIA	2nd & 8	MIA 28	(14:15) 2-M.Willis pass deep middle to 85-G.Dulcich to KC 30 for 42 yards (20-N.Williams).	+2.70	+2.76	−0.05	+3.27	+11.9%	1.2×
3	Q2 2:00	KC	2nd & 8	KC 49	(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle intended for 4-R.Rice INTERCEPTED by 10-J.Rodriguez (11-D.Trader) at MIA 29. 10-J.Rodriguez to MIA 47 for 18 yards (1-X.Worthy).	−3.74	−3.67	−0.07	−3.56	−11.1%	1.1×
4	Q3 2:26	KC	3rd & 9	KC 5	(2:26) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 4-R.Rice. PENALTY on MIA-44-C.Robinson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at KC 5 - No Play. Penalty on MIA-92-Z.Sieler, Defensive Holding, declined.	+1.84	+1.86	−0.02	+2.05	+10.1%	1.4×
5	Q4 6:00	MIA	4th & 5	MIA 48	(6:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short right to 21-K.Coleman (20-N.Williams).	−1.98	−2.56	+0.57	−2.70	−8.7%	0.8×
6	Q3 13:16	MIA	3rd & 10	KC 30	(13:16) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 0-O.Gordon to KC 11 for 19 yards (17-A.Gilman; 20-N.Williams).	+2.02	+1.97	+0.05	+2.18	+8.2%	1.3×
7	Q2 6:10	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 12	(6:10) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 18-C.Bell pushed ob at KC 44 for 44 yards (17-A.Gilman; 31-J.Bassa).	+2.34	+2.37	−0.03	+2.77	+8.2%	1.2×
8	Q3 4:40	MIA	3rd & 6	MIA 45	(4:40) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 18-C.Bell to KC 43 for 12 yards (5-M.Delane).	+1.58	+1.61	−0.03	+1.84	+8.0%	1.3×
9	Q1 12:57	KC	3rd & 1	MIA 10	(12:57) 77-J.Moore reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.01	+2.77	+0.24	+2.25	+7.9%	1.4×
10	Q4 8:02	MIA	3rd & 6	MIA 32	(8:02) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles up the middle to MIA 43 for 11 yards (97-A.Gillotte).	+1.51	+1.54	−0.03	+1.69	+7.9%	0.8×
11	Q1 14:55	KC	1st & 10	KC 33	(14:55) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce to MIA 19 for 48 yards (11-D.Trader).	+2.88	+2.70	+0.18	+3.38	+7.6%	1.4×
12	Q2 4:03	MIA	4th & 3	KC 37	(4:03) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep right to 21-K.Coleman. PENALTY on KC-38-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 37 - No Play.	+2.09	+2.09	0.00	+2.51	+7.4%	1.3×
13	Q2 6:15	KC	4th & 1	MIA 12	(6:15) 64-H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle to MIA 12 for no gain (20-J.Brooks; 90-M.Herring).	−3.57	−3.59	+0.02	−3.58	−7.0%	1.1×
14	Q1 7:09	MIA	3rd & 18	KC 42	(7:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles left guard to KC 32 for 10 yards (17-A.Gilman). PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at KC 32.	+2.31	+2.29	+0.02	+3.04	+6.9%	1.3×
15	Q2 13:02	KC	2nd & 5	MIA 5	(13:02) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 9-K.Walker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.64	+2.50	−0.86	+1.76	+6.5%	1.4×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 144 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	KC	Kickoff	MIA 35	47-R.Patterson kicks 63 yards from MIA 35 to KC 2. 10-E.Johnson to KC 33 for 31 yards (16-M.Taaffe; 84-R.Miller).	+0.48	+0.51	−0.03	+0.52	+1.4%	1.4×
Q1 14:55	KC	1st & 10	KC 33	(14:55) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 87-T.Kelce to MIA 19 for 48 yards (11-D.Trader).	+2.88	+2.70	+0.18	+3.38	+7.6%	1.4×
Q1 14:10	KC	1st & 10	MIA 19	(14:10) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 4-R.Rice to MIA 14 for 5 yards (20-J.Brooks).	+0.31	+0.11	+0.20	+0.13	+0.9%	1.4×
Q1 13:34	KC	2nd & 5	MIA 14	(13:34) 9-K.Walker right guard to MIA 10 for 4 yards (9-J.Uche; 10-J.Rodriguez).	+0.26	+0.08	+0.18	−0.04	+0.9%	1.4×
Q1 12:57	KC	3rd & 1	MIA 10	(12:57) 77-J.Moore reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+3.01	+2.77	+0.24	+2.25	+7.9%	1.4×
Q1 12:54	KC	Try	MIA 15	7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	−0.34	−0.91	+0.56	+0.07	−0.6%	1.3×
Q1 12:54	MIA	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 67 yards from KC 35 to MIA -2. 0-O.Gordon to MIA 25 for 27 yards (47-B.VanSumeren; 43-J.Cochrane). PENALTY on MIA-84-R.Miller, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 9 yards, enforced at MIA 18.	−1.25	−1.04	−0.21	−1.15	−2.7%	1.3×
Q1 12:47	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 9	(12:47) (Shotgun) 28-D.Achane left guard to MIA 13 for 4 yards (21-J.Hicks; 32-N.Bolton).	−0.05	−0.12	+0.07	−0.37	−0.8%	1.3×
Q1 12:14	MIA	2nd & 6	MIA 13	(12:14) 28-D.Achane left end to MIA 15 for 2 yards (5-M.Delane; 56-G.Karlaftis).	−0.36	−0.42	+0.06	−0.41	−1.5%	1.3×
Q1 11:28	MIA	3rd & 4	MIA 15	(11:28) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 18-C.Bell to MIA 22 for 7 yards (5-M.Delane).	+1.15	+1.14	+0.01	+1.38	+2.5%	1.3×
Q1 10:47	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 22	(10:47) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short right to 28-D.Achane.	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.59	−1.3%	1.3×
Q1 10:42	MIA	2nd & 10	MIA 22	(10:42) (Shotgun) 28-D.Achane left end to MIA 33 for 11 yards (17-A.Gilman). MIA-28-D.Achane was injured during the play.	+1.05	+1.05	−0.01	+1.55	+2.8%	1.3×
Q1 10:12	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 33	(10:12) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles left end ran ob at MIA 36 for 3 yards (99-P.Woods).	−0.18	−0.18	0.00	−0.22	−0.5%	1.3×
Q1 9:39	MIA	2nd & 7	MIA 36	(9:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 6-M.Washington to KC 34 for 30 yards (5-M.Delane).	+1.97	+2.03	−0.05	+2.15	+6.0%	1.3×
Q1 8:56	MIA	1st & 10	KC 34	(8:56) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 0-O.Gordon to KC 36 for -2 yards (23-D.Tranquill). PENALTY on MIA-89-W.Kacmarek, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 34 - No Play.	−0.77	−0.80	+0.04	−0.96	−2.5%	1.4×
Q1 8:32	MIA	1st & 20	KC 44	(8:32) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to KC 39 for 5 yards (43-J.Cochrane; 94-B.Eason).	−0.13	−0.17	+0.03	−0.25	−0.3%	1.4×
Q1 7:51	MIA	2nd & 15	KC 39	(7:51) 0-O.Gordon right tackle to KC 42 for -3 yards (32-N.Bolton).	−0.81	−0.88	+0.07	−1.30	−2.5%	1.4×
Q1 7:09	MIA	3rd & 18	KC 42	(7:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles left guard to KC 32 for 10 yards (17-A.Gilman). PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at KC 32.	+2.31	+2.29	+0.02	+3.04	+6.9%	1.3×
Q1 6:46	MIA	1st & 10	KC 27	(6:46) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 89-W.Kacmarek to KC 18 for 9 yards (17-A.Gilman). PENALTY on MIA-73-A.Jackson, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at KC 27 - No Play.	−0.48	−0.52	+0.03	−0.75	−1.4%	1.4×
Q1 6:28	MIA	1st & 15	KC 32	(6:28) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep left to 18-C.Bell.	−0.41	−0.42	+0.01	−0.44	−1.2%	1.4×
Q1 6:23	MIA	2nd & 15	KC 32	(6:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 85-G.Dulcich to KC 25 for 7 yards (32-N.Bolton).	+0.34	+0.28	+0.06	+0.18	+0.9%	1.4×
Q1 5:41	MIA	3rd & 8	KC 25	(5:41) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 84-R.Miller to KC 15 for 10 yards (5-M.Delane).	+1.42	+1.34	+0.07	+1.76	+4.0%	1.4×
Q1 4:58	MIA	1st & 10	KC 15	(4:58) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 6-M.Washington to KC 14 for 1 yard (21-J.Hicks; 5-M.Delane).	−0.23	−0.26	+0.03	−0.47	−0.7%	1.4×
Q1 4:20	MIA	2nd & 9	KC 14	(4:20) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short left [56-G.Karlaftis].	−0.50	−0.50	0.00	−0.80	−1.5%	1.4×
Q1 4:13	MIA	3rd & 9	KC 14	(4:13) (Shotgun) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to KC 3 for 11 yards (32-N.Bolton).	+1.84	+1.78	+0.06	+2.34	+5.4%	1.4×
Q1 3:33	MIA	1st & 3	KC 3	(3:33) 77-C.Wallace reported in as eligible. 0-O.Gordon left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.23	+1.70	−0.47	+0.77	+3.6%	1.4×
Q1 3:27	MIA	Try	KC 15	47-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.	+0.26	−0.44	+0.69	+0.07	+1.3%	1.4×
Q1 3:27	KC	Kickoff	MIA 35	47-R.Patterson kicks 65 yards from MIA 35 to end zone, Touchback to the KC 35.	+1.00	+0.67	+0.33	+0.54	+3.5%	1.4×
Q1 3:27	KC	1st & 10	KC 35	(3:27) 9-K.Walker up the middle to KC 41 for 6 yards (10-J.Rodriguez; 20-J.Brooks).	+0.14	+0.17	−0.03	+0.33	+0.4%	1.4×
Q1 2:53	KC	2nd & 4	KC 41	(2:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 2-T.Thornton to KC 46 for 5 yards (3-C.Johnson).	+0.37	+0.41	−0.04	+0.57	+1.2%	1.4×
Q1 2:18	KC	1st & 10	KC 46	(2:18) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 4-R.Rice pushed ob at MIA 43 for 11 yards (11-D.Trader).	+0.57	+0.61	−0.05	+0.55	+1.9%	1.4×
Q1 1:54	KC	1st & 10	MIA 43	(1:54) 9-K.Walker left guard to MIA 37 for 6 yards (8-J.Brents).	+0.19	+0.23	−0.04	+0.36	+0.6%	1.4×
Q1 1:20	KC	2nd & 4	MIA 37	(1:20) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle to MIA 34 for 3 yards (20-J.Brooks; 93-Z.Biggers).	−0.09	−0.06	−0.03	−0.20	−0.3%	1.4×
Q1 0:44	KC	3rd & 1	MIA 34	(:44) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 2-T.Thornton pushed ob at MIA 17 for 17 yards (11-D.Trader).	+1.31	+1.31	0.00	+1.74	+4.1%	1.4×
Q1 0:14	KC	1st & 10	MIA 17	(:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 24-B.Smith to MIA 13 for 4 yards (16-M.Taaffe).	+0.01	0.00	+0.01	−0.14	+0.0%	1.4×
Q2 15:00	KC	2nd & 6	MIA 13	(15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 4-R.Rice to MIA 9 for 4 yards (16-M.Taaffe; 20-J.Brooks).	0.00	0.00	0.00	−0.16	+0.1%	1.4×
Q2 14:14	KC	3rd & 2	MIA 9	(14:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at MIA 19 for -10 yards (20-J.Brooks). PENALTY on MIA-16-M.Taaffe, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 9 - No Play.	+0.95	+0.93	+0.02	+1.34	+3.0%	1.4×
Q2 13:49	KC	1st & 4	MIA 4	(13:49) 9-K.Walker left tackle to MIA 5 for -1 yards (3-C.Johnson, 20-J.Brooks).	−0.48	−0.46	−0.02	−0.56	−1.4%	1.4×
Q2 13:02	KC	2nd & 5	MIA 5	(13:02) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 9-K.Walker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.64	+2.50	−0.86	+1.76	+6.5%	1.4×
Q2 12:58	KC	Try	MIA 15	7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	+0.01	−0.86	+0.87	+0.07	−1.3%	1.3×
Q2 12:58	MIA	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 64 yards from KC 35 to MIA 1. 6-M.Washington to MIA 34 for 33 yards (43-J.Cochrane).	+0.32	+0.44	−0.12	+0.49	+1.2%	1.3×
Q2 12:51	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 34	(12:51) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 6-M.Washington to MIA 43 for 9 yards (32-N.Bolton).	+0.68	+0.69	−0.01	+0.82	+2.5%	1.3×
Q2 12:09	MIA	2nd & 1	MIA 43	(12:09) 0-O.Gordon right end to MIA 45 for 2 yards (21-J.Hicks; 91-F.Anudike-Uzomah).	−0.10	−0.10	0.00	−0.08	−0.4%	1.4×
Q2 11:26	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 45	(11:26) 0-O.Gordon left end to MIA 47 for 2 yards (32-N.Bolton; 97-A.Gillotte).	−0.26	−0.27	+0.01	−0.42	−1.0%	1.3×
Q2 10:45	MIA	2nd & 8	MIA 47	(10:45) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 0-O.Gordon pushed ob at MIA 47 for no gain (5-M.Delane).	−0.62	−0.65	+0.03	−0.85	−2.3%	1.3×
Q2 10:08	MIA	3rd & 8	MIA 47	(10:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 18-C.Bell to KC 49 for 4 yards (17-A.Gilman).	−0.72	−0.75	+0.03	−0.88	−2.4%	1.3×
Q2 9:25	MIA	4th & 4	KC 49	(9:25) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short middle to 6-M.Washington (5-M.Delane).	−2.36	−2.51	+0.15	−2.73	−6.0%	1.3×
Q2 9:22	KC	1st & 10	KC 49	(9:22) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 83-N.Gray to MIA 38 for 13 yards (11-D.Trader).	+0.74	+0.76	−0.02	+0.90	+1.6%	1.1×
Q2 8:43	KC	1st & 10	MIA 38	(8:43) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 1-X.Worthy pushed ob at MIA 21 for 17 yards (3-C.Johnson).	+0.99	+0.99	0.00	+1.06	+1.8%	1.1×
Q2 8:11	KC	1st & 10	MIA 21	(8:11) 10-E.Johnson left tackle to MIA 14 for 7 yards (40-W.Gay; 11-D.Trader).	+0.42	+0.40	+0.01	+0.43	+1.0%	1.0×
Q2 7:35	KC	2nd & 3	MIA 14	(7:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 83-N.Gray to MIA 12 for 2 yards (92-Z.Sieler).	−0.18	−0.16	−0.02	−0.15	−0.2%	1.0×
Q2 6:58	KC	3rd & 1	MIA 12	(6:58) 9-K.Walker up the middle to MIA 12 for no gain (16-M.Taaffe; 11-D.Trader).	−0.85	−0.80	−0.05	−1.17	−1.9%	1.0×
Q2 6:15	KC	4th & 1	MIA 12	(6:15) 64-H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle to MIA 12 for no gain (20-J.Brooks; 90-M.Herring).	−3.57	−3.59	+0.02	−3.58	−7.0%	1.1×
Q2 6:10	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 12	(6:10) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 18-C.Bell pushed ob at KC 44 for 44 yards (17-A.Gilman; 31-J.Bassa).	+2.34	+2.37	−0.03	+2.77	+8.2%	1.2×
Q2 5:28	MIA	1st & 10	KC 44	(5:28) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep left to 18-C.Bell.	−0.45	−0.46	+0.01	−0.44	−1.7%	1.4×
Q2 5:20	MIA	2nd & 10	KC 44	(5:20) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 85-G.Dulcich pushed ob at KC 39 for 5 yards (38-L.Sneed).	−0.14	−0.15	+0.01	−0.16	−0.5%	1.3×
Q2 4:46	MIA	3rd & 5	KC 39	(4:46) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to KC 37 for 2 yards (51-R.Thomas; 23-D.Tranquill).	−0.77	−0.82	+0.05	−1.33	−2.7%	1.3×
Q2 4:03	MIA	4th & 3	KC 37	(4:03) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep right to 21-K.Coleman. PENALTY on KC-38-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at KC 37 - No Play.	+2.09	+2.09	0.00	+2.51	+7.4%	1.3×
Q2 3:55	MIA	1st & 10	KC 32	(3:55) 6-M.Washington left tackle to KC 31 for 1 yard (97-A.Gillotte; 92-K.Tonga).	−0.28	−0.35	+0.06	−0.50	−1.2%	1.4×
Q2 3:16	MIA	2nd & 9	KC 31	(3:16) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards (23-D.Tranquill). Kansas City challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis up the middle to KC 28 for 3 yards (23-D.Tranquill, 38-L.Sneed). FUMBLES (38-L.Sneed), RECOVERED by KC-38-L.Sneed at KC 25.	−3.67	−3.77	+0.09	−3.75	−12.9%	1.4×
Q2 3:10	KC	1st & 10	KC 25	(3:10) 9-K.Walker right tackle to KC 47 for 22 yards (16-M.Taaffe).	+1.12	+1.17	−0.04	+1.24	+2.5%	1.2×
Q2 2:32	KC	1st & 10	KC 47	(2:32) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker left guard to KC 49 for 2 yards (92-Z.Sieler; 8-J.Brents).	−0.31	−0.29	−0.02	−0.40	−0.5%	1.1×
Q2 2:00	KC	2nd & 8	KC 49	(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle intended for 4-R.Rice INTERCEPTED by 10-J.Rodriguez (11-D.Trader) at MIA 29. 10-J.Rodriguez to MIA 47 for 18 yards (1-X.Worthy).	−3.74	−3.67	−0.07	−3.56	−11.1%	1.1×
Q2 1:50	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 47	(1:50) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to KC 47 for 6 yards (23-D.Tranquill). PENALTY on KC-51-R.Thomas, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 47 - No Play.	+0.51	+0.51	−0.01	+0.53	+1.9%	1.3×
Q2 1:48	MIA	1st & 5	KC 48	(1:48) (Shotgun) 0-O.Gordon right end to KC 42 for 6 yards (99-P.Woods; 23-D.Tranquill).	+0.14	+0.08	+0.05	−0.02	+0.3%	1.3×
Q2 1:12	MIA	1st & 10	KC 42	(1:12) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short left to 6-M.Washington.	−0.45	−0.45	+0.01	−0.23	−1.8%	1.3×
Q2 1:08	MIA	2nd & 10	KC 42	(1:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 0-O.Gordon to KC 47 for -5 yards (5-M.Delane). MIA-0-O.Gordon was injured during the play.	−1.19	−1.21	+0.02	−1.03	−3.8%	1.3×
Q2 1:02	MIA	3rd & 15	KC 47	(1:02) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis left guard to KC 40 for 7 yards (5-M.Delane). ** Injury Update: MIA-0-O.Gordon has returned to the game.	−0.52	−0.52	−0.01	−1.02	−0.8%	1.3×
Q2 0:54	MIA	4th & 8	KC 40	(:54) (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at KC 40 - No Play.	−0.53	−0.55	+0.01	−0.12	−2.1%	1.2×
Q2 0:54	MIA	4th & 13	KC 45	(:54) 48-B.Pinion punts 36 yards to KC 9, Center-46-T.Addington, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio.	+0.12	+0.25	−0.13	−0.04	+1.0%	1.2×
Q2 0:48	KC	1st & 10	KC 9	(:48) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-X.Worthy ran ob at KC 16 for 7 yards (3-C.Johnson). PENALTY on KC-4-R.Rice, Offensive Holding, 6 yards, enforced at KC 12.	−0.29	−0.29	0.00	−0.09	−1.2%	1.2×
Q2 0:44	KC	1st & 13	KC 6	(:44) 10-E.Johnson right guard to KC 9 for 3 yards (44-C.Robinson; 97-K.Cooper).	−0.69	−0.59	−0.11	+0.06	+0.9%	1.2×
Q3 15:00	MIA	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 61 yards from KC 35 to MIA 4. 6-M.Washington to MIA 26 for 22 yards (47-B.VanSumeren; 29-X.Nwankpa).	−0.05	−0.19	+0.14	+0.04	−0.4%	1.2×
Q3 14:53	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 26	(14:53) 77-C.Wallace reported in as eligible. 0-O.Gordon left tackle to MIA 28 for 2 yards (21-J.Hicks; 17-A.Gilman).	−0.25	−0.28	+0.02	−0.48	−1.2%	1.2×
Q3 14:15	MIA	2nd & 8	MIA 28	(14:15) 2-M.Willis pass deep middle to 85-G.Dulcich to KC 30 for 42 yards (20-N.Williams).	+2.70	+2.76	−0.05	+3.27	+11.9%	1.2×
Q3 13:27	MIA	1st & 10	KC 30	(13:27) 77-C.Wallace reported in as eligible. 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep left to 85-G.Dulcich.	−0.41	−0.41	0.00	−0.45	−1.7%	1.4×
Q3 13:21	MIA	2nd & 10	KC 30	(13:21) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep left to 18-C.Bell.	−0.54	−0.54	0.00	−0.75	−2.2%	1.4×
Q3 13:16	MIA	3rd & 10	KC 30	(13:16) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 0-O.Gordon to KC 11 for 19 yards (17-A.Gilman; 20-N.Williams).	+2.02	+1.97	+0.05	+2.18	+8.2%	1.3×
Q3 12:30	MIA	1st & 10	KC 11	(12:30) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to KC 14 for -3 yards (23-D.Tranquill).	−0.63	−0.62	−0.01	−0.99	−2.7%	1.4×
Q3 11:46	MIA	2nd & 13	KC 14	(11:46) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 6-M.Washington for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on MIA, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at KC 14 - No Play.	−0.38	−0.36	−0.02	−0.55	−1.6%	1.4×
Q3 11:39	MIA	2nd & 18	KC 19	(11:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 85-G.Dulcich to KC 24 for -5 yards (56-G.Karlaftis).	−0.68	−0.68	+0.01	−0.67	−2.9%	1.4×
Q3 10:54	MIA	3rd & 23	KC 24	(10:54) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles left tackle to KC 18 for 6 yards (30-C.Roland-Wallace).	−0.38	−0.41	+0.04	−0.51	−1.5%	1.3×
Q3 10:13	MIA	4th & 17	KC 18	(10:13) 47-R.Patterson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.	+0.05	+0.22	−0.18	+0.43	−1.6%	1.3×
Q3 10:10	KC	Kickoff	MIA 35	47-R.Patterson kicks 63 yards from MIA 35 to KC 2. 81-N.Remigio to KC 36 for 34 yards (16-M.Taaffe; 47-R.Patterson).	+0.52	+0.63	−0.11	+0.73	+1.9%	1.3×
Q3 10:01	KC	1st & 10	KC 36	(10:01) 9-K.Walker left end to KC 37 for 1 yard (20-J.Brooks; 16-M.Taaffe). PENALTY on KC-65-Tr.Smith, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at KC 37.	−0.73	−0.70	−0.02	−0.92	−2.7%	1.3×
Q3 9:40	KC	1st & 19	KC 27	(9:40) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 4-R.Rice to KC 39 for 12 yards (3-C.Johnson; 11-D.Trader).	+0.50	+0.55	−0.05	+0.63	+1.8%	1.3×
Q3 9:01	KC	2nd & 7	KC 39	(9:01) 9-K.Walker up the middle to KC 38 for -1 yards (10-J.Rodriguez).	−0.74	−0.71	−0.03	−0.98	−3.0%	1.3×
Q3 8:21	KC	3rd & 8	KC 38	(8:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep middle to 4-R.Rice [93-Z.Biggers]. Penalty on KC-65-Tr.Smith, Offensive Holding, declined.	−1.12	−1.12	−0.01	−1.36	−5.2%	1.3×
Q3 8:13	KC	4th & 8	KC 38	(8:13) 14-M.Araiza punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-41-J.Winchester, Touchback.	+0.27	−0.11	+0.38	+0.10	+1.6%	1.4×
Q3 8:05	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 20	(8:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 6-M.Washington to MIA 31 for 11 yards (21-J.Hicks).	+0.60	+0.60	0.00	+0.84	+2.9%	1.3×
Q3 7:28	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 31	(7:28) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep middle to 21-K.Coleman (21-J.Hicks).	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.53	−2.3%	1.4×
Q3 7:19	MIA	2nd & 10	MIA 31	(7:19) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to MIA 36 for 5 yards (32-N.Bolton).	−0.10	−0.10	0.00	−0.25	−0.5%	1.3×
Q3 6:38	MIA	3rd & 5	MIA 36	(6:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 84-R.Miller ran ob at MIA 41 for 5 yards.	+1.09	+1.09	0.00	+1.40	+5.4%	1.3×
Q3 6:01	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 41	(6:01) 0-O.Gordon left end to MIA 44 for 3 yards (5-M.Delane; 23-D.Tranquill).	−0.18	−0.17	0.00	−0.20	−1.0%	1.4×
Q3 5:22	MIA	2nd & 7	MIA 44	(5:22) 0-O.Gordon right guard to MIA 45 for 1 yard (23-D.Tranquill). KC-38-L.Sneed was injured during the play.	−0.53	−0.53	0.00	−0.76	−2.8%	1.4×
Q3 4:40	MIA	3rd & 6	MIA 45	(4:40) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 18-C.Bell to KC 43 for 12 yards (5-M.Delane).	+1.58	+1.61	−0.03	+1.84	+8.0%	1.3×
Q3 3:57	MIA	1st & 10	KC 43	(3:57) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep left to 6-M.Washington.	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.50	−2.3%	1.4×
Q3 3:51	MIA	2nd & 10	KC 43	(3:51) (Shotgun) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to KC 42 for 1 yard (99-P.Woods; 21-J.Hicks). MIA-0-O.Gordon was injured during the play. ** Injury Update: KC-38-L.Sneed has returned to the game.	−0.59	−0.58	−0.01	−0.81	−3.1%	1.4×
Q3 3:23	MIA	3rd & 9	KC 42	(3:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep middle to 6-M.Washington.	−1.27	−1.27	0.00	−1.77	−6.4%	1.4×
Q3 3:18	MIA	4th & 9	KC 42	(3:18) 48-B.Pinion punts 34 yards to KC 8, Center-46-T.Addington, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio. PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Offensive Holding, 4 yards, enforced at KC 8.	+0.37	−0.03	+0.40	+0.19	+2.3%	1.3×
Q3 3:11	KC	1st & 10	KC 4	(3:11) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 88-J.Briningstool.	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.58	−2.3%	1.3×
Q3 3:09	KC	2nd & 10	KC 4	(3:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles up the middle to KC 5 for 1 yard (9-J.Uche).	−0.55	−0.57	+0.02	−0.58	−2.7%	1.3×
Q3 2:26	KC	3rd & 9	KC 5	(2:26) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 4-R.Rice. PENALTY on MIA-44-C.Robinson, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at KC 5 - No Play. Penalty on MIA-92-Z.Sieler, Defensive Holding, declined.	+1.84	+1.86	−0.02	+2.05	+10.1%	1.4×
Q3 2:21	KC	1st & 10	KC 20	(2:21) 9-K.Walker left tackle to KC 28 for 8 yards (20-J.Brooks).	+0.51	+0.50	+0.01	+0.57	+2.8%	1.3×
Q3 1:45	KC	2nd & 2	KC 28	(1:45) 10-E.Johnson up the middle to KC 31 for 3 yards (20-J.Brooks).	+0.09	+0.08	+0.01	+0.19	+0.5%	1.2×
Q3 1:08	KC	1st & 10	KC 31	(1:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 4-R.Rice to KC 38 for 7 yards (4-J.Marshall).	+0.32	+0.32	0.00	+0.36	+1.3%	1.2×
Q3 0:28	KC	2nd & 3	KC 38	(:28) 66-M.Caliendo reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle to KC 42 for 4 yards (94-J.Phillips).	+0.24	+0.24	0.00	+0.33	+1.0%	1.2×
Q4 15:00	KC	1st & 10	KC 42	(15:00) 66-M.Caliendo reported in as eligible. 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 11-J.Royals to MIA 47 for 11 yards (11-D.Trader; 3-C.Johnson).	+0.56	+0.58	−0.02	+0.77	+2.8%	1.2×
Q4 14:20	KC	1st & 10	MIA 47	(14:20) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker right guard pushed ob at MIA 32 for 15 yards (4-J.Marshall).	+0.83	+0.86	−0.03	+1.00	+3.0%	1.1×
Q4 13:47	KC	1st & 10	MIA 32	(13:47) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 83-N.Gray to MIA 8 for 24 yards (40-W.Gay).	+1.36	+1.30	+0.07	+1.59	+5.2%	1.0×
Q4 13:09	KC	1st & 8	MIA 8	(13:09) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker right end to MIA 14 for -6 yards (10-J.Rodriguez, 44-C.Robinson).	−0.99	−0.97	−0.02	−1.33	−3.1%	0.9×
Q4 12:22	KC	2nd & 14	MIA 14	(12:22) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right [44-C.Robinson].	−0.51	−0.51	0.00	−0.75	−2.0%	1.0×
Q4 12:17	KC	3rd & 14	MIA 14	(12:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 9-K.Walker to MIA 16 for -2 yards (92-Z.Sieler).	−0.92	−0.92	+0.01	−0.51	−3.8%	1.0×
Q4 11:38	KC	4th & 16	MIA 16	(11:38) 7-H.Butker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	+0.15	−0.10	+0.26	+0.29	+3.5%	1.1×
Q4 11:35	MIA	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 59 yards from KC 35 to MIA 6. 21-K.Coleman to MIA 35 for 29 yards (88-J.Briningstool). PENALTY on MIA-34-D.Herman, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIA 26.	−0.79	−0.71	−0.08	−0.60	−3.5%	1.0×
Q4 11:28	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 16	(11:28) 6-M.Washington right end to MIA 20 for 4 yards (21-J.Hicks; 23-D.Tranquill).	−0.04	−0.02	−0.03	−0.40	−2.0%	0.9×
Q4 10:41	MIA	2nd & 6	MIA 20	(10:41) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles up the middle to MIA 25 for 5 yards (92-K.Tonga). ** Injury Update: MIA-0-O.Gordon has returned to the game. The ball spot was assisted by replay.	+0.20	+0.22	−0.02	+0.47	+0.4%	0.9×
Q4 10:10	MIA	3rd & 1	MIA 25	(10:10) 77-C.Wallace reported in as eligible. 2-M.Willis up the middle to MIA 28 for 3 yards (95-C.Jones).	+0.63	+0.65	−0.02	+0.30	+2.7%	0.9×
Q4 9:25	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 28	(9:25) 0-O.Gordon right guard to MIA 30 for 2 yards (32-N.Bolton).	−0.21	−0.20	−0.01	−0.39	−1.2%	0.9×
Q4 8:47	MIA	2nd & 8	MIA 30	(8:47) (Shotgun) 0-O.Gordon up the middle to MIA 32 for 2 yards (95-C.Jones; 31-J.Bassa).	−0.32	−0.30	−0.02	−0.27	−1.7%	0.9×
Q4 8:02	MIA	3rd & 6	MIA 32	(8:02) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles up the middle to MIA 43 for 11 yards (97-A.Gillotte).	+1.51	+1.54	−0.03	+1.69	+7.9%	0.8×
Q4 7:17	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 43	(7:17) (Shotgun) 0-O.Gordon left tackle to MIA 43 for no gain (51-R.Thomas; 97-A.Gillotte).	−0.43	−0.41	−0.02	−0.51	−2.5%	1.0×
Q4 6:38	MIA	2nd & 10	MIA 43	(6:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 6-M.Washington to MIA 48 for 5 yards (32-N.Bolton).	−0.15	−0.13	−0.02	−0.20	−1.1%	0.9×
Q4 6:05	MIA	3rd & 5	MIA 48	(6:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short middle to 85-G.Dulcich (32-N.Bolton).	−1.18	−1.18	0.00	−1.53	−5.2%	0.9×
Q4 6:00	MIA	4th & 5	MIA 48	(6:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short right to 21-K.Coleman (20-N.Williams).	−1.98	−2.56	+0.57	−2.70	−8.7%	0.8×
Q4 5:56	KC	1st & 10	MIA 47	(5:56) 9-K.Walker right guard to MIA 49 for -2 yards (94-J.Phillips).	−0.65	−0.73	+0.08	−0.91	−1.1%	0.5×
Q4 5:16	KC	2nd & 12	MIA 49	(5:16) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 4-R.Rice to MIA 15 for 34 yards (3-C.Johnson) [92-Z.Sieler].	+2.45	+2.36	+0.08	+2.83	+6.1%	0.5×
Q4 4:30	KC	1st & 10	MIA 15	(4:30) 9-K.Walker right tackle to MIA 16 for -1 yards (10-J.Rodriguez).	−0.50	−0.58	+0.08	−0.91	+0.2%	0.2×
Q4 3:52	KC	2nd & 11	MIA 16	(3:52) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to MIA 9 for 7 yards (16-M.Taaffe). PENALTY on KC-52-C.Humphrey, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at MIA 16 - No Play.	−0.74	−0.73	−0.01	−0.87	−1.1%	0.2×
Q4 3:46	KC	2nd & 21	MIA 26	(3:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 4-R.Rice to MIA 11 for 15 yards (40-W.Gay; 3-C.Johnson) [9-J.Uche].	+0.62	+0.47	+0.15	+0.82	+2.4%	0.3×
Q4 3:01	KC	3rd & 6	MIA 11	(3:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN [9-J.Uche].	+2.86	+4.42	−1.56	+3.13	+0.6%	0.1×
Q4 2:55	KC	Try	MIA 15	7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	+0.70	−0.89	+1.60	+0.07	+0.7%	0.1×
Q4 2:55	MIA	Kickoff	KC 35	7-H.Butker kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to MIA 0. 21-K.Coleman to MIA 39 for 39 yards (47-B.VanSumeren; 88-J.Briningstool).	+0.99	+0.89	+0.10	+0.69	+0.8%	0.1×
Q4 2:46	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 39	(2:46) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short middle to 85-G.Dulcich to MIA 45 for 6 yards (32-N.Bolton; 38-L.Sneed).	+0.07	+0.10	−0.04	+0.20	−0.1%	0.1×
Q4 2:29	MIA	2nd & 4	MIA 45	(2:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 21-K.Coleman to MIA 48 for 3 yards (20-N.Williams).	−0.27	−0.23	−0.04	+0.07	−0.5%	0.1×
Q4 2:09	MIA	3rd & 1	MIA 48	(2:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep left to 6-M.Washington.	−1.22	−1.21	−0.01	−1.44	−0.6%	0.1×
Q4 2:03	MIA	4th & 1	MIA 48	(2:03) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right intended for 84-R.Miller INTERCEPTED by 56-G.Karlaftis (95-C.Jones) at MIA 36. 56-G.Karlaftis to MIA 36 for no gain (55-A.Brewer).	−2.05	−1.89	−0.17	−3.34	−0.3%	0.0×
Q4 1:54	KC	1st & 10	MIA 36	(1:54) 64-H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. 10-E.Johnson up the middle to MIA 36 for no gain (10-J.Rodriguez).	−0.45	−0.47	+0.02	−0.78	+0.1%	0.0×
Q4 1:48	KC	2nd & 10	MIA 36	(1:48) 64-H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. 10-E.Johnson left end to MIA 36 for no gain (8-J.Brents).	−0.65	−0.67	+0.02	−1.46	+0.1%	0.0×
Q4 1:42	KC	3rd & 10	MIA 36	(1:42) (Shotgun) 10-E.Johnson left guard to MIA 32 for 4 yards (11-D.Trader; 20-J.Brooks).	−0.49	−0.63	+0.14	+0.93	+0.1%	0.0×
Q4 0:57	KC	4th & 6	MIA 32	(:57) 7-H.Butker 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.	−1.16	−0.92	−0.24	−2.82	−0.1%	0.0×
Q4 0:52	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 40	(:52) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete deep right to 21-K.Coleman.	−0.49	−0.48	−0.01	−0.41	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 0:47	MIA	2nd & 10	MIA 40	(:47) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right intended for 85-G.Dulcich INTERCEPTED by 30-C.Roland-Wallace at MIA 42. 30-C.Roland-Wallace to MIA 42 for no gain (85-G.Dulcich). PENALTY on KC-56-G.Karlaftis, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 40 - No Play.	+0.68	+0.70	−0.02	+0.29	−0.0%	0.0×
Q4 0:42	MIA	1st & 10	MIA 45	(:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles right end to KC 47 for 8 yards (32-N.Bolton).	−2.47	−1.53	−0.94	−1.00	−0.0%	0.0×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	P.Mahomes	KC	25	+10.3+0.43	−0.6−0.55	—	+9.7+0.39	+2.2+0.28	+12.3+0.49
	T.Kelce	KC	2	—	—	+5.7+2.87	+5.7+2.87	+1.3+2.88	+6.5+3.26
	C.Bell	MIA	7	—	—	+2.9+0.42	+2.9+0.42	+1.0+0.39	+3.5+0.50
	N.Gray	KC	3	—	—	+1.9+0.64	+1.9+0.64	+0.6+0.65	+2.3+0.78
	T.Thornton	KC	2	—	—	+1.7+0.84	+1.7+0.84	+0.7+0.84	+2.3+1.16
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
KC
	P.Mahomes	20	24	2	1	0	24610.2	+12.9+0.54	+10.3+0.43	+2.4+0.32

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
MIA
	M.Willis	20	36	0	1	0	2105.8	−4.0−0.11	−2.7−0.08	+0.7+0.06

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
KC
	K.Walker	18	1	703.9	−4.9−0.27	−2.6−0.14	−0.2−0.03
	E.Johnson	6	0	172.8	−0.6−0.11	−1.8−0.29	−0.1−0.10
	P.Mahomes	1	0	11.0	−0.6−0.58	−0.6−0.55	−0.2−0.55

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
MIA
	O.Gordon	17	1	412.4	−4.9−0.29	−2.1−0.12	−0.6−0.10
	M.Willis	9	0	566.2	−1.0−0.11	−2.6−0.29	−0.4−0.15
	D.Achane	3	0	175.7	+0.8+0.26	+0.6+0.21	+0.2+0.21
	M.Washington	2	0	52.5	−0.9−0.45	−0.3−0.16	−0.1−0.19

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
KC
	R.Rice	9	7	0	8812.6	+0.2+0.03	−0.1−0.01	−0.5−0.19
	N.Gray	3	3	0	3913.0	+2.3+0.78	+1.9+0.64	+0.6+0.65
	T.Kelce	2	2	1	5929.5	+6.5+3.26	+5.7+2.87	+1.3+2.88
	T.Thornton	2	2	0	2211.0	+2.3+1.16	+1.7+0.84	+0.7+0.84
	K.Walker	2	2	1	31.5	+1.2+0.62	+0.7+0.36	+0.4+0.56
	X.Worthy	2	2	0	2010.0	+1.0+0.49	+0.7+0.35	+0.2+0.31
	B.Smith	1	1	0	44.0	−0.1−0.14	0.0+0.01	0.0+0.01
	J.Briningstool	1	0	0	0—	−0.6−0.58	−0.5−0.47	−0.2−0.47
	J.Royals	1	1	0	1111.0	+0.8+0.77	+0.6+0.56	+0.2+0.56

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
MIA
	M.Washington	10	5	0	5611.2	−3.5−0.35	−2.9−0.29	−0.6−0.18
	C.Bell	7	4	0	6716.8	+3.5+0.50	+2.9+0.42	+1.0+0.39
	G.Dulcich	7	5	0	5511.0	+0.8+0.12	+0.7+0.10	+0.3+0.13
	K.Coleman	4	1	0	33.0	−3.6−0.90	−3.2−0.80	−0.6−0.96
	R.Miller	3	2	0	157.5	−0.2−0.06	+0.4+0.15	+0.9+1.21
	O.Gordon	3	3	0	144.7	+0.3+0.10	+0.2+0.07	+0.1+0.07
	D.Achane	1	0	0	0—	−0.6−0.59	−0.5−0.47	−0.2−0.47