HOU 17, IND 19 — week 3, 2026

17 at 19

Week 3 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
IND	77	19	3003.9	−3.8−0.049	+1.1+0.014	−1.3−0.017	+2.3+0.030	+1.6+0.066
HOU	62	17	2233.6	−4.2−0.068	−0.6−0.009	−1.8−0.030	+1.3+0.020	−1.2−0.061
NET	15	2	770.3	+0.4+0.019	+1.6+0.023	+0.6+0.013	+1.1+0.010	+2.7+0.127
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is IND minus HOU.

Game Timeline

HOU at IND. IND won by 2. Two panels. Top: IND's win probability across 152 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 100%; IND was favored on 97% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at IND by 10.6 in the second quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -13% at play 9, D.Jones sacked at IND 39 for -8 yards — FUMBLES; +8% at play 73, S.Shrader 58 yard field goal — GOOD; -17% at play 133, D.Jones sacked at HOU 45 for -6 yards — FUMBLES; +28% at play 148, S.Shrader 53 yard field goal — GOOD.

Excitement

1.2 bits

#8 of 16 this week

69th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.81

#7 of 16 this week

68th percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

424 pts

#9 of 16 this week

60th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

55%

#10 of 16 this week

54th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#8 of 16 this week

68th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

45%

#12 of 16 this week

30th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 11:28	IND	1st & 10	IND 47	(11:28) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 39 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), touched at IND 44, RECOVERED by HOU-51-W.Anderson at IND 42. 51-W.Anderson to IND 40 for 2 yards (81-M.Alie-Cox). FUMBLES (81-M.Alie-Cox), recovered by HOU-3-K.Lassiter at IND 40.	−4.43	−4.91	+0.48	−6.27	−13.0%	1.4×
2	Q4 4:45	IND	2nd & 10	HOU 39	(4:45) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at HOU 45 for -6 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson) [51-W.Anderson], RECOVERED by HOU-72-T.Togiai at HOU 46. Fumble Forced by 55-D.Hunter.	−3.80	−4.26	+0.46	−5.52	−16.6%	0.3×
3	Q1 9:47	HOU	4th & 1	IND 31	(9:47) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to IND 31 for no gain (0-C.Bynum; 99-D.Buckner).	−3.12	−3.44	+0.32	−4.23	−9.5%	1.4×
4	Q2 11:13	IND	3rd & 6	HOU 6	(11:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 10-K.Allen for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.56	+2.81	−0.24	+2.76	+7.8%	1.2×
5	Q1 7:37	IND	3rd & 9	IND 48	(7:37) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to HOU 28 for 24 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair) [98-S.Rankins].	+2.49	+2.47	+0.02	+2.97	+7.2%	1.4×
6	Q4 7:36	HOU	4th & 4	IND 6	(7:36) 15-K.Fairbairn 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	−2.31	−1.99	−0.32	+0.08	−11.9%	0.9×
7	Q3 14:03	IND	3rd & 7	IND 40	(14:03) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep right to 10-K.Allen to HOU 34 for 26 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 2-C.Bullock).	+2.29	+2.45	−0.16	+2.88	+5.7%	1.1×
8	Q3 11:40	IND	3rd & 4	HOU 28	(11:40) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep left intended for 2-J.Downs INTERCEPTED by 6-R.Blankenship [55-D.Hunter] at HOU 1. 6-R.Blankenship ran ob at HOU 1 for no gain.	−2.07	−2.36	+0.28	−2.76	−5.1%	0.9×
9	Q3 8:34	IND	3rd & 4	IND 34	(8:34) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 25 for -9 yards (sack split by 55-D.Hunter and 51-W.Anderson).	−2.05	−2.02	−0.02	−2.60	−7.4%	1.0×
10	Q2 1:08	IND	4th & 16	HOU 40	(1:08) 3-S.Shrader 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+1.99	+2.20	−0.21	+2.18	+8.5%	1.3×
11	Q4 9:48	HOU	3rd & 5	IND 32	(9:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 17-J.Wayne to IND 12 for 20 yards (1-A.Gardner). IND-1-A.Gardner was injured during the play.	+1.92	+1.88	+0.04	+2.03	+8.7%	0.9×
12	Q3 3:24	IND	4th & 1	HOU 48	(3:24) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 28-J.Taylor right tackle to HOU 44 for 4 yards (35-J.Hansen).	+1.90	+1.89	+0.01	+2.34	+6.6%	1.0×
13	Q2 1:12	IND	3rd & 11	HOU 35	(1:12) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at HOU 40 for -5 yards (98-S.Rankins).	−1.82	−1.83	+0.01	−1.55	−5.7%	1.2×
14	Q4 11:16	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 35	(11:16) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson ran ob at IND 37 for 28 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+1.58	+1.63	−0.05	+1.90	+6.8%	0.7×
15	Q2 2:37	IND	2nd & 10	IND 46	(2:37) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 10-K.Allen to HOU 34 for 20 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+1.54	+1.59	−0.05	+1.81	+4.7%	1.3×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q1 11:28	IND	1st & 10	IND 47	(11:28) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 39 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), touched at IND 44, RECOVERED by HOU-51-W.Anderson at IND 42. 51-W.Anderson to IND 40 for 2 yards (81-M.Alie-Cox). FUMBLES (81-M.Alie-Cox), recovered by HOU-3-K.Lassiter at IND 40.	−4.43	−4.91	+0.48	−6.27	−13.0%	1.4×
2	Q1 9:47	HOU	4th & 1	IND 31	(9:47) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to IND 31 for no gain (0-C.Bynum; 99-D.Buckner).	−3.12	−3.44	+0.32	−4.23	−9.5%	1.4×
3	Q1 7:37	IND	3rd & 9	IND 48	(7:37) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to HOU 28 for 24 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair) [98-S.Rankins].	+2.49	+2.47	+0.02	+2.97	+7.2%	1.4×
4	Q2 11:13	IND	3rd & 6	HOU 6	(11:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 10-K.Allen for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.56	+2.81	−0.24	+2.76	+7.8%	1.2×
5	Q2 1:08	IND	4th & 16	HOU 40	(1:08) 3-S.Shrader 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+1.99	+2.20	−0.21	+2.18	+8.5%	1.3×
6	Q3 14:03	IND	3rd & 7	IND 40	(14:03) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep right to 10-K.Allen to HOU 34 for 26 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 2-C.Bullock).	+2.29	+2.45	−0.16	+2.88	+5.7%	1.1×
7	Q2 1:12	IND	3rd & 11	HOU 35	(1:12) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at HOU 40 for -5 yards (98-S.Rankins).	−1.82	−1.83	+0.01	−1.55	−5.7%	1.2×
8	Q3 8:34	IND	3rd & 4	IND 34	(8:34) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 25 for -9 yards (sack split by 55-D.Hunter and 51-W.Anderson).	−2.05	−2.02	−0.02	−2.60	−7.4%	1.0×
9	Q4 7:36	HOU	4th & 4	IND 6	(7:36) 15-K.Fairbairn 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	−2.31	−1.99	−0.32	+0.08	−11.9%	0.9×
10	Q1 2:37	HOU	3rd & 15	HOU 27	(2:37) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 19 for -8 yards (95-A.Adebawore).	−1.42	−1.34	−0.07	−1.73	−4.9%	1.4×
11	Q1 1:35	IND	2nd & 10	IND 31	(1:35) 17-D.Jones pass deep middle to 2-J.Downs to IND 49 for 18 yards (2-C.Bullock; 0-A.Al-Shaair).	+1.41	+1.41	0.00	+1.62	+4.0%	1.4×
12	Q2 2:37	IND	2nd & 10	IND 46	(2:37) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 10-K.Allen to HOU 34 for 20 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+1.54	+1.59	−0.05	+1.81	+4.7%	1.3×
13	Q3 11:40	IND	3rd & 4	HOU 28	(11:40) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep left intended for 2-J.Downs INTERCEPTED by 6-R.Blankenship [55-D.Hunter] at HOU 1. 6-R.Blankenship ran ob at HOU 1 for no gain.	−2.07	−2.36	+0.28	−2.76	−5.1%	0.9×
14	Q3 3:24	IND	4th & 1	HOU 48	(3:24) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 28-J.Taylor right tackle to HOU 44 for 4 yards (35-J.Hansen).	+1.90	+1.89	+0.01	+2.34	+6.6%	1.0×
15	Q1 14:10	HOU	3rd & 7	HOU 32	(14:10) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 28 for -4 yards (99-D.Buckner).	−1.28	−1.47	+0.19	−1.88	−3.9%	1.4×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 0:21	IND	4th & 1	HOU 36	(:21) 3-S.Shrader 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+1.07	+1.03	+0.04	+1.27	+27.7%	1.3×
2	Q4 1:43	IND	2nd & 10	IND 35	(1:43) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep middle to 13-L.Treadwell to HOU 45 for 20 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+1.41	+1.42	−0.01	+1.48	+16.9%	1.0×
3	Q4 4:45	IND	2nd & 10	HOU 39	(4:45) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at HOU 45 for -6 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson) [51-W.Anderson], RECOVERED by HOU-72-T.Togiai at HOU 46. Fumble Forced by 55-D.Hunter.	−3.80	−4.26	+0.46	−5.52	−16.6%	0.3×
4	Q4 0:01	HOU	2nd & 10	HOU 48	(:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right.	−0.51	−1.25	+0.74	−0.29	−13.5%	0.9×
5	Q1 11:28	IND	1st & 10	IND 47	(11:28) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 39 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), touched at IND 44, RECOVERED by HOU-51-W.Anderson at IND 42. 51-W.Anderson to IND 40 for 2 yards (81-M.Alie-Cox). FUMBLES (81-M.Alie-Cox), recovered by HOU-3-K.Lassiter at IND 40.	−4.43	−4.91	+0.48	−6.27	−13.0%	1.4×
6	Q4 0:29	IND	2nd & 5	HOU 40	(:29) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left end to HOU 41 for -1 yards (51-W.Anderson).	−0.83	−0.83	+0.01	−0.76	−12.5%	0.9×
7	Q4 7:36	HOU	4th & 4	IND 6	(7:36) 15-K.Fairbairn 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	−2.31	−1.99	−0.32	+0.08	−11.9%	0.9×
8	Q1 9:47	HOU	4th & 1	IND 31	(9:47) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to IND 31 for no gain (0-C.Bynum; 99-D.Buckner).	−3.12	−3.44	+0.32	−4.23	−9.5%	1.4×
9	Q4 9:48	HOU	3rd & 5	IND 32	(9:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 17-J.Wayne to IND 12 for 20 yards (1-A.Gardner). IND-1-A.Gardner was injured during the play.	+1.92	+1.88	+0.04	+2.03	+8.7%	0.9×
10	Q2 1:08	IND	4th & 16	HOU 40	(1:08) 3-S.Shrader 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+1.99	+2.20	−0.21	+2.18	+8.5%	1.3×
11	Q2 11:13	IND	3rd & 6	HOU 6	(11:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 10-K.Allen for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.56	+2.81	−0.24	+2.76	+7.8%	1.2×
12	Q4 0:24	IND	3rd & 6	HOU 41	(:24) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 10-K.Allen to HOU 35 for 6 yards (3-K.Lassiter). The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 10-K.Allen to HOU 36 for 5 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	−0.23	−0.22	−0.01	+0.04	−7.5%	1.2×
13	Q3 8:34	IND	3rd & 4	IND 34	(8:34) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 25 for -9 yards (sack split by 55-D.Hunter and 51-W.Anderson).	−2.05	−2.02	−0.02	−2.60	−7.4%	1.0×
14	Q1 7:37	IND	3rd & 9	IND 48	(7:37) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to HOU 28 for 24 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair) [98-S.Rankins].	+2.49	+2.47	+0.02	+2.97	+7.2%	1.4×
15	Q4 11:16	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 35	(11:16) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson ran ob at IND 37 for 28 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+1.58	+1.63	−0.05	+1.90	+6.8%	0.7×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 152 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	HOU	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 64 yards from IND 35 to HOU 1. 13-J.Noel to HOU 29 for 28 yards (30-H.Wohler).	+0.28	+0.30	−0.02	+0.29	+0.8%	1.4×
Q1 14:53	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 29	(14:53) 32-D.Montgomery right end to HOU 32 for 3 yards (90-G.Stewart).	+0.03	−0.18	+0.21	−0.28	+0.0%	1.4×
Q1 14:13	HOU	2nd & 7	HOU 32	(14:13) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 19-X.Hutchinson (1-A.Gardner, 90-G.Stewart). The penalty was assisted by replay.	−0.58	−0.59	+0.02	−0.81	−1.7%	1.4×
Q1 14:10	HOU	3rd & 7	HOU 32	(14:10) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 28 for -4 yards (99-D.Buckner).	−1.28	−1.47	+0.19	−1.88	−3.9%	1.4×
Q1 13:32	HOU	4th & 11	HOU 28	(13:32) 38-K.Kroeger punts 56 yards to IND 16, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 6-A.Gould to IND 36 for 20 yards (56-J.Hill).	+0.80	−0.39	+1.19	−0.63	+2.7%	1.4×
Q1 13:20	IND	1st & 10	IND 36	(13:20) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 84-T.Warren to IND 45 for 9 yards (5-J.Pitre; 6-R.Blankenship) [51-W.Anderson].	+0.85	+0.69	+0.16	+0.67	+2.5%	1.4×
Q1 12:37	IND	2nd & 1	IND 45	(12:37) 28-J.Taylor left tackle to IND 45 for no gain (55-D.Hunter; 72-T.Togiai).	−0.54	−0.64	+0.10	−0.65	−1.4%	1.4×
Q1 12:04	IND	3rd & 1	IND 45	(12:04) 17-D.Jones left guard to IND 47 for 2 yards (51-W.Anderson; 55-D.Hunter).	+0.61	+0.54	+0.07	+0.53	+1.9%	1.4×
Q1 11:28	IND	1st & 10	IND 47	(11:28) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 39 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), touched at IND 44, RECOVERED by HOU-51-W.Anderson at IND 42. 51-W.Anderson to IND 40 for 2 yards (81-M.Alie-Cox). FUMBLES (81-M.Alie-Cox), recovered by HOU-3-K.Lassiter at IND 40.	−4.43	−4.91	+0.48	−6.27	−13.0%	1.4×
Q1 11:17	HOU	1st & 10	IND 40	(11:17) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 87-F.Moreau [97-L.Latu]. IND-97-L.Latu was injured during the play.	−0.44	−0.45	+0.01	−0.58	−1.3%	1.4×
Q1 11:13	HOU	2nd & 10	IND 40	(11:13) (Shotgun) 32-D.Montgomery right guard to IND 37 for 3 yards (7-C.Ward; 99-D.Buckner).	−0.30	−0.34	+0.03	−0.58	−0.9%	1.4×
Q1 10:32	HOU	3rd & 7	IND 37	(10:32) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 87-F.Moreau to IND 31 for 6 yards (27-J.Walley).	+0.19	+0.17	+0.01	+0.19	+0.5%	1.4×
Q1 9:47	HOU	4th & 1	IND 31	(9:47) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to IND 31 for no gain (0-C.Bynum; 99-D.Buckner).	−3.12	−3.44	+0.32	−4.23	−9.5%	1.4×
Q1 9:42	IND	1st & 10	IND 31	(9:42) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to IND 32 for 1 yard (98-S.Rankins).	−0.34	−0.36	+0.02	−0.44	−1.1%	1.4×
Q1 9:02	IND	2nd & 9	IND 32	(9:02) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 84-T.Warren to IND 47 for 15 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	+1.24	+1.23	+0.02	+1.51	+3.7%	1.4×
Q1 8:20	IND	1st & 10	IND 47	(8:20) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left guard to IND 48 for 1 yard (55-D.Hunter; 35-J.Hansen).	−0.32	−0.36	+0.04	−0.53	−1.0%	1.4×
Q1 7:43	IND	2nd & 9	IND 48	(7:43) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep right to 2-J.Downs (5-J.Pitre).	−0.65	−0.65	+0.01	−0.89	−2.0%	1.4×
Q1 7:37	IND	3rd & 9	IND 48	(7:37) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to HOU 28 for 24 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair) [98-S.Rankins].	+2.49	+2.47	+0.02	+2.97	+7.2%	1.4×
Q1 6:49	IND	1st & 10	HOU 28	(6:49) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep right to 2-J.Downs.	−0.40	−0.40	+0.01	−0.43	−1.1%	1.4×
Q1 6:45	IND	2nd & 10	HOU 28	(6:45) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 84-T.Warren to HOU 20 for 8 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+0.58	+0.51	+0.06	+0.32	+1.8%	1.4×
Q1 6:05	IND	3rd & 2	HOU 20	(6:05) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to HOU 19 for 1 yard (54-S.Harsh).	−0.49	−0.53	+0.04	−0.80	−1.5%	1.4×
Q1 5:25	IND	4th & 1	HOU 19	(5:25) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones scrambles right end to HOU 18 for 1 yard (24-D.Stingley).	+0.95	+0.94	+0.02	+1.55	+2.8%	1.4×
Q1 4:58	IND	1st & 10	HOU 18	(4:58) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to HOU 16 for 2 yards (72-T.Togiai; 54-S.Harsh).	−0.19	−0.20	+0.01	−0.46	−0.5%	1.3×
Q1 4:43	IND	2nd & 8	HOU 16	(4:43) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short middle to 2-J.Downs (55-D.Hunter).	−0.49	−0.49	0.00	−0.77	−1.4%	1.3×
Q1 4:38	IND	3rd & 8	HOU 16	(4:38) (Shotgun) PENALTY on IND-10-K.Allen, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 16 - No Play.	−0.49	−0.47	−0.02	−0.67	−1.4%	1.4×
Q1 4:38	IND	3rd & 13	HOU 21	(4:38) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 10-K.Allen.	−0.72	−0.72	0.00	−0.81	−2.2%	1.4×
Q1 4:32	IND	4th & 13	HOU 21	(4:32) 3-S.Shrader 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. ** Injury Update: IND-3-S.Shrader has returned to the game.	+0.25	+0.10	+0.15	+0.60	−1.3%	1.4×
Q1 4:28	HOU	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the HOU 20.	+0.60	−0.26	+0.86	−0.33	+2.0%	1.4×
Q1 4:28	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 20	(4:28) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 13-J.Noel to HOU 32 for 12 yards (27-J.Walley). ** Injury Update: IND-97-L.Latu has returned to the game.	+0.59	+0.65	−0.06	+0.79	+1.9%	1.4×
Q1 3:49	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 32	(3:49) 4-W.Marks left end to HOU 32 for no gain (91-J.Tuimoloau).	−0.52	−0.45	−0.07	−0.52	−2.0%	1.4×
Q1 3:07	HOU	2nd & 10	HOU 32	(3:07) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 82-L.Bond. PENALTY on IND-91-J.Tuimoloau, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 32 - No Play.	+0.49	+0.51	−0.01	+0.55	+1.8%	1.4×
Q1 3:02	HOU	2nd & 5	HOU 37	(3:02) (Shotgun) 4-W.Marks right tackle to HOU 49 for 12 yards (0-C.Bynum). PENALTY on HOU-63-E.Brown, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 37 - No Play.	−1.04	−1.01	−0.03	−1.34	−3.9%	1.4×
Q1 2:41	HOU	2nd & 15	HOU 27	(2:41) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 82-L.Bond (27-J.Walley).	−0.60	−0.60	−0.01	−0.83	−2.1%	1.4×
Q1 2:37	HOU	3rd & 15	HOU 27	(2:37) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 19 for -8 yards (95-A.Adebawore).	−1.42	−1.34	−0.07	−1.73	−4.9%	1.4×
Q1 1:46	HOU	4th & 23	HOU 19	(1:46) 38-K.Kroeger punts 50 yards to IND 31, Center-40-A.Brinkman, fair catch by 6-A.Gould.	+0.85	+0.48	+0.37	+0.51	+1.8%	1.3×
Q1 1:39	IND	1st & 10	IND 31	(1:39) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep left to 2-J.Downs.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.56	−1.5%	1.4×
Q1 1:35	IND	2nd & 10	IND 31	(1:35) 17-D.Jones pass deep middle to 2-J.Downs to IND 49 for 18 yards (2-C.Bullock; 0-A.Al-Shaair).	+1.41	+1.41	0.00	+1.62	+4.0%	1.4×
Q1 0:50	IND	1st & 10	IND 49	(:50) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 84-T.Warren to HOU 44 for 7 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).	+0.36	+0.34	+0.02	+0.24	+1.3%	1.3×
Q1 0:08	IND	2nd & 3	HOU 44	(:08) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to HOU 43 for 1 yard (35-J.Hansen).	−0.51	−0.52	+0.01	−0.60	−1.5%	1.3×
Q2 15:00	IND	3rd & 2	HOU 43	(15:00) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 84-T.Warren to HOU 40 for 3 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+0.82	+0.78	+0.04	+0.96	+2.4%	1.3×
Q2 14:22	IND	1st & 10	HOU 40	(14:22) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 28-J.Taylor to HOU 37 for 3 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	−0.10	−0.14	+0.04	−0.25	−0.3%	1.3×
Q2 13:42	IND	2nd & 7	HOU 37	(13:42) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to HOU 19 for 18 yards (55-D.Hunter).	+1.39	+1.34	+0.05	+1.67	+3.6%	1.3×
Q2 13:03	IND	1st & 10	HOU 19	(13:03) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 28-J.Taylor to HOU 18 for 1 yard (94-D.Robinson).	−0.23	−0.29	+0.06	−0.39	−0.5%	1.2×
Q2 12:21	IND	2nd & 9	HOU 18	(12:21) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 2-J.Downs to HOU 6 for 12 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+1.17	+1.08	+0.09	+1.29	+3.0%	1.2×
Q2 11:56	IND	1st & 6	HOU 6	(11:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 20-S.McGowan right tackle to HOU 6 for no gain (96-L.Hall).	−0.28	−0.34	+0.06	−0.55	−0.6%	1.2×
Q2 11:16	IND	2nd & 6	HOU 6	(11:16) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 10-K.Allen (6-R.Blankenship).	−0.59	−0.59	0.00	−0.95	−1.5%	1.2×
Q2 11:13	IND	3rd & 6	HOU 6	(11:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 10-K.Allen for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.56	+2.81	−0.24	+2.76	+7.8%	1.2×
Q2 11:08	IND	Try	HOU 15	3-S.Shrader extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+0.21	−0.39	+0.59	+0.07	−0.2%	1.0×
Q2 11:08	HOU	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 62 yards from IND 35 to HOU 3. 11-T.Smith to HOU 32 for 29 yards (55-C.Curry). FUMBLES (55-C.Curry), RECOVERED by IND-38-J.Owens at HOU 33. 38-J.Owens to HOU 28 for 5 yards (17-J.Wayne; 94-D.Robinson). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 8-R.Sanchez kicks 62 yards from IND 35 to HOU 3. 11-T.Smith to HOU 32 for 29 yards (55-C.Curry).	+0.32	+0.36	−0.04	+0.43	+0.9%	1.0×
Q2 11:04	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 32	(11:04) 32-D.Montgomery left guard to HOU 34 for 2 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	−0.19	−0.27	+0.08	−0.58	−0.6%	1.0×
Q2 10:20	HOU	2nd & 8	HOU 34	(10:20) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 17-J.Wayne (7-C.Ward).	−0.59	−0.60	+0.01	−0.68	−1.5%	1.0×
Q2 10:16	HOU	3rd & 8	HOU 34	(10:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud scrambles up the middle to HOU 42 for 8 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither; 30-H.Wohler).	+1.47	+1.40	+0.07	+1.79	+4.3%	1.0×
Q2 9:34	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 42	(9:34) 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to HOU 44 for 2 yards (7-C.Ward).	−0.20	−0.27	+0.07	−0.33	−0.8%	1.1×
Q2 8:52	HOU	2nd & 8	HOU 44	(8:52) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 19-X.Hutchinson to 50 for 6 yards (57-J.Carlies; 27-J.Walley).	+0.16	+0.12	+0.05	+0.28	+0.1%	1.1×
Q2 8:13	HOU	3rd & 2	50	(8:13) (Shotgun) 13-J.Noel right end pushed ob at IND 42 for 8 yards (7-C.Ward).	+1.06	+1.05	+0.01	+1.13	+2.9%	1.1×
Q2 7:45	HOU	1st & 10	IND 42	(7:45) (Shotgun) 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to IND 38 for 4 yards (93-T.Smith).	−0.01	−0.03	+0.02	−0.15	−0.0%	1.2×
Q2 7:08	HOU	2nd & 6	IND 38	(7:08) 32-D.Montgomery left tackle to IND 33 for 5 yards (57-J.Carlies; 93-T.Smith).	+0.23	+0.23	+0.01	+0.42	+0.7%	1.2×
Q2 6:24	HOU	3rd & 1	IND 33	(6:24) 7-C.Stroud up the middle to IND 31 for 2 yards (99-D.Buckner).	+0.46	+0.46	0.00	+0.41	+1.3%	1.2×
Q2 5:47	HOU	1st & 10	IND 31	(5:47) 32-D.Montgomery up the middle to IND 27 for 4 yards (50-B.Boettcher; 1-A.Gardner).	0.00	0.00	0.00	−0.09	−0.2%	1.2×
Q2 5:07	HOU	2nd & 6	IND 27	(5:07) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 32-D.Montgomery to IND 17 for 10 yards (7-C.Ward). PENALTY on IND-7-C.Ward, Face Mask, 9 yards, enforced at IND 17.	+1.33	+1.26	+0.07	+1.49	+4.0%	1.2×
Q2 4:39	HOU	1st & 8	IND 8	(4:39) 32-D.Montgomery pass incomplete short right to 17-J.Wayne [55-C.Curry]. PENALTY on IND-1-A.Gardner, Defensive Pass Interference, 7 yards, enforced at IND 8 - No Play.	+0.95	+0.91	+0.04	+1.05	+2.9%	1.3×
Q2 4:34	HOU	1st & 1	IND 1	(4:34) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 87-F.Moreau for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.77	+1.79	−1.02	+0.52	−0.1%	1.3×
Q2 4:30	HOU	Try	IND 15	15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	−0.13	−0.80	+0.66	+0.07	−1.1%	1.3×
Q2 4:30	IND	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to end zone, Touchback to the IND 35.	+0.69	+0.74	−0.05	+0.61	+2.1%	1.3×
Q2 4:30	IND	1st & 10	IND 35	(4:30) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to IND 41 for 6 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 35-J.Hansen).	+0.14	+0.16	−0.01	+0.10	+0.3%	1.3×
Q2 3:55	IND	2nd & 4	IND 41	(3:55) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left guard to IND 44 for 3 yards (3-K.Lassiter, 0-A.Al-Shaair).	−0.15	−0.14	−0.01	0.00	−0.3%	1.3×
Q2 3:21	IND	3rd & 1	IND 44	(3:21) 17-D.Jones up the middle to IND 46 for 2 yards (3-K.Lassiter; 0-A.Al-Shaair).	+0.50	+0.50	0.00	+0.55	+1.9%	1.3×
Q2 2:41	IND	1st & 10	IND 46	(2:41) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short middle to 84-T.Warren.	−0.46	−0.46	0.00	−0.47	−1.5%	1.2×
Q2 2:37	IND	2nd & 10	IND 46	(2:37) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 10-K.Allen to HOU 34 for 20 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+1.54	+1.59	−0.05	+1.81	+4.7%	1.3×
Q2 2:00	IND	1st & 10	HOU 34	(2:00) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short left to 28-J.Taylor.	−0.43	−0.43	0.00	−0.38	−1.3%	1.2×
Q2 1:57	IND	2nd & 10	HOU 34	(1:57) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 10-K.Allen to HOU 35 for -1 yards (2-C.Bullock).	−0.77	−0.76	−0.01	−0.80	−2.0%	1.2×
Q2 1:12	IND	3rd & 11	HOU 35	(1:12) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at HOU 40 for -5 yards (98-S.Rankins).	−1.82	−1.83	+0.01	−1.55	−5.7%	1.2×
Q2 1:08	IND	4th & 16	HOU 40	(1:08) 3-S.Shrader 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+1.99	+2.20	−0.21	+2.18	+8.5%	1.3×
Q2 1:03	HOU	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 64 yards from IND 35 to HOU 1. 4-W.Marks to HOU 31 for 30 yards (58-A.Ajiake; 30-H.Wohler).	+0.34	+0.25	+0.10	+0.15	+1.2%	1.2×
Q2 0:58	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 31	(:58) (Shotgun) PENALTY on IND-95-A.Adebawore, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 31 - No Play.	+0.50	+0.50	0.00	+0.45	+2.2%	1.2×
Q2 0:58	HOU	1st & 5	HOU 36	(:58) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 34 for -2 yards (sack split by 99-D.Buckner and 95-A.Adebawore).	−0.67	−0.68	+0.01	−0.61	−3.6%	1.2×
Q2 0:51	HOU	2nd & 7	HOU 34	(:51) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep left to 19-X.Hutchinson.	−0.59	−0.60	+0.01	−0.34	−2.2%	1.2×
Q2 0:45	HOU	3rd & 7	HOU 34	(:45) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 13-J.Noel to HOU 39 for 5 yards (25-A.Haulcy).	−0.47	−0.48	0.00	−0.48	−0.4%	1.1×
Q2 0:39	HOU	4th & 2	HOU 39	(:39) 38-K.Kroeger punts 52 yards to IND 9, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 6-A.Gould to IND 14 for 5 yards (11-T.Smith).	−0.10	+0.08	−0.17	−0.09	+0.7%	1.1×
Q2 0:30	IND	1st & 10	IND 14	(:30) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to IND 18 for 4 yards (96-L.Hall; 0-A.Al-Shaair).	+0.45	+0.51	−0.06	−0.08	+2.0%	1.1×
Q3 15:00	IND	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 60 yards from HOU 35 to IND 5. 6-A.Gould to IND 37 for 32 yards (27-K.Ramsey; 36-G.Odum).	+0.70	+0.72	−0.02	+0.71	+1.6%	1.1×
Q3 14:54	IND	1st & 10	IND 37	(14:54) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 2-J.Downs.	−0.47	−0.45	−0.01	−0.49	−1.3%	1.0×
Q3 14:48	IND	2nd & 10	IND 37	(14:48) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 84-T.Warren to IND 40 for 3 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	−0.43	−0.33	−0.10	−0.64	−1.1%	1.0×
Q3 14:03	IND	3rd & 7	IND 40	(14:03) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep right to 10-K.Allen to HOU 34 for 26 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 2-C.Bullock).	+2.29	+2.45	−0.16	+2.88	+5.7%	1.1×
Q3 13:22	IND	1st & 10	HOU 34	(13:22) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor right guard to HOU 30 for 4 yards (35-J.Hansen).	−0.08	+0.02	−0.10	−0.03	−0.1%	0.9×
Q3 12:42	IND	2nd & 6	HOU 30	(12:42) 28-J.Taylor right tackle pushed ob at HOU 6 for 24 yards (97-M.Edwards). PENALTY on IND-13-L.Treadwell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 19.	+0.09	+0.14	−0.05	+0.16	+0.3%	0.9×
Q3 12:22	IND	2nd & 5	HOU 29	(12:22) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to HOU 28 for 1 yard (51-W.Anderson).	−0.44	−0.35	−0.09	−0.48	−0.9%	0.9×
Q3 11:40	IND	3rd & 4	HOU 28	(11:40) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep left intended for 2-J.Downs INTERCEPTED by 6-R.Blankenship [55-D.Hunter] at HOU 1. 6-R.Blankenship ran ob at HOU 1 for no gain.	−2.07	−2.36	+0.28	−2.76	−5.1%	0.9×
Q3 11:33	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 1	(11:33) 32-D.Montgomery left guard to HOU 1 for no gain (51-A.Davis-Gaither; 99-D.Buckner).	−0.42	−0.44	+0.01	−0.50	−1.6%	1.1×
Q3 10:52	HOU	2nd & 10	HOU 1	(10:52) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 17-J.Wayne [98-A.Key].	−0.66	−0.66	0.00	−0.69	−2.2%	1.0×
Q3 10:48	HOU	3rd & 10	HOU 1	(10:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to HOU 9 for 8 yards (95-A.Adebawore; 25-A.Haulcy). ** Injury Update: IND-97-L.Latu has returned to the game.	+0.09	+0.08	+0.01	−0.21	−0.8%	1.0×
Q3 10:01	HOU	4th & 2	HOU 9	(10:01) (Punt formation) PENALTY on HOU, Delay of Game, 4 yards, enforced at HOU 9 - No Play.	−0.61	−0.61	+0.01	−0.34	−1.3%	0.9×
Q3 10:01	HOU	4th & 6	HOU 5	(10:01) 38-K.Kroeger punts 67 yards to IND 28, Center-40-A.Brinkman, out of bounds.	+1.45	+1.10	+0.35	+1.07	+3.8%	0.9×
Q3 9:51	IND	1st & 10	IND 28	(9:51) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to IND 29 for 1 yard (72-T.Togiai).	−0.40	−0.36	−0.04	−0.39	−1.1%	1.0×
Q3 9:15	IND	2nd & 9	IND 29	(9:15) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 84-T.Warren to IND 34 for 5 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	−0.09	−0.05	−0.04	−0.20	−0.2%	1.0×
Q3 8:34	IND	3rd & 4	IND 34	(8:34) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 25 for -9 yards (sack split by 55-D.Hunter and 51-W.Anderson).	−2.05	−2.02	−0.02	−2.60	−7.4%	1.0×
Q3 7:57	IND	4th & 13	IND 25	(7:57) 8-R.Sanchez punts 58 yards to HOU 17, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 13-J.Noel to HOU 28 for 11 yards (58-A.Ajiake).	+0.82	+0.41	+0.41	+0.44	+3.8%	1.2×
Q3 7:48	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 28	(7:48) 4-W.Marks right tackle to HOU 28 for no gain (0-C.Bynum).	−0.46	−0.47	+0.01	−0.58	−2.2%	1.1×
Q3 7:06	HOU	2nd & 10	HOU 28	(7:06) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 4-W.Marks pushed ob at HOU 34 for 6 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+0.04	+0.04	0.00	−0.01	+0.2%	1.1×
Q3 6:32	HOU	3rd & 4	HOU 34	(6:32) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson (51-A.Davis-Gaither) [95-A.Adebawore].	−1.06	−1.06	0.00	−1.54	−3.9%	1.1×
Q3 6:23	HOU	4th & 4	HOU 34	(6:23) 38-K.Kroeger punts 36 yards to IND 30, Center-40-A.Brinkman, out of bounds.	−0.14	−0.60	+0.46	−0.82	−0.4%	1.0×
Q3 6:16	IND	1st & 10	IND 30	(6:16) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short middle to 84-T.Warren to IND 38 for 8 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 0-A.Al-Shaair). HOU-0-A.Al-Shaair was injured during the play.	+0.49	+0.50	−0.01	+0.53	+1.2%	1.0×
Q3 5:51	IND	2nd & 2	IND 38	(5:51) 28-J.Taylor left guard to IND 43 for 5 yards (35-J.Hansen; 5-J.Pitre).	+0.17	+0.18	−0.01	+0.27	+0.4%	0.9×
Q3 5:17	IND	1st & 10	IND 43	(5:17) 17-D.Jones FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 36, recovered by IND-28-J.Taylor at IND 39. 28-J.Taylor to IND 47 for 8 yards (54-S.Harsh).	−0.08	−0.08	0.00	−0.14	+0.0%	0.9×
Q3 4:38	IND	2nd & 6	IND 47	(4:38) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left tackle to HOU 49 for 4 yards (3-K.Lassiter; 35-J.Hansen).	−0.10	−0.10	0.00	−0.17	+0.1%	0.9×
Q3 4:03	IND	3rd & 2	HOU 49	(4:03) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left guard to HOU 48 for 1 yard (98-S.Rankins).	−1.01	−1.02	+0.01	−1.32	−3.4%	0.9×
Q3 3:24	IND	4th & 1	HOU 48	(3:24) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 28-J.Taylor right tackle to HOU 44 for 4 yards (35-J.Hansen).	+1.90	+1.89	+0.01	+2.34	+6.6%	1.0×
Q3 2:41	IND	1st & 10	HOU 44	(2:41) 20-S.McGowan right tackle to HOU 39 for 5 yards (6-R.Blankenship; 72-T.Togiai).	+0.08	+0.08	0.00	−0.03	+0.2%	0.8×
Q3 1:58	IND	2nd & 5	HOU 39	(1:58) (Shotgun) 20-S.McGowan right tackle to HOU 32 for 7 yards (30-W.Woodaz).	+0.62	+0.62	0.00	+0.80	+1.4%	0.8×
Q3 1:11	IND	1st & 10	HOU 32	(1:11) (Shotgun) 20-S.McGowan right tackle to HOU 30 for 2 yards (55-D.Hunter).	−0.22	−0.22	0.00	−0.39	−0.4%	0.7×
Q3 0:32	IND	2nd & 8	HOU 30	(:32) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 10-K.Allen to HOU 23 for 7 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+0.52	+0.52	+0.01	+0.69	+1.6%	0.7×
Q4 15:00	IND	3rd & 1	HOU 23	(15:00) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 84-T.Warren up the middle to HOU 21 for 2 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 72-T.Togiai). ** Injury Update: HOU-0-A.Al-Shaair has returned to the game.	+0.28	+0.28	+0.01	+0.38	+0.9%	0.7×
Q4 14:20	IND	1st & 10	HOU 21	(14:20) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 84-T.Warren to HOU 24 for -3 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	−0.73	−0.73	0.00	−0.98	−1.4%	0.6×
Q4 13:39	IND	2nd & 13	HOU 24	(13:39) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 2-J.Downs to HOU 19 for 5 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	−0.01	−0.03	+0.02	−0.13	+0.5%	0.7×
Q4 12:54	IND	3rd & 8	HOU 19	(12:54) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right.	−0.72	−0.72	0.00	−1.16	−2.1%	0.7×
Q4 12:47	IND	4th & 8	HOU 19	(12:47) 3-S.Shrader 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+0.17	−0.37	+0.54	+0.47	+3.0%	0.7×
Q4 12:43	HOU	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 64 yards from IND 35 to HOU 1. 4-W.Marks to HOU 23 for 22 yards (58-A.Ajiake).	+0.31	+0.01	+0.30	−0.29	+0.8%	0.6×
Q4 12:39	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 23	(12:39) 19-X.Hutchinson left end to HOU 26 for 3 yards (50-B.Boettcher; 30-H.Wohler).	−0.13	−0.13	+0.01	−0.19	−1.0%	0.7×
Q4 11:59	HOU	2nd & 7	HOU 26	(11:59) 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to HOU 35 for 9 yards (7-C.Ward; 51-A.Davis-Gaither).	+0.89	+0.88	+0.01	+1.02	+2.8%	0.6×
Q4 11:16	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 35	(11:16) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson ran ob at IND 37 for 28 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+1.58	+1.63	−0.05	+1.90	+6.8%	0.7×
Q4 10:38	HOU	1st & 10	IND 37	(10:38) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep left to 17-J.Wayne (1-A.Gardner).	−0.43	−0.43	0.00	−0.53	−1.9%	0.9×
Q4 10:32	HOU	2nd & 10	IND 37	(10:32) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 32-D.Montgomery to IND 32 for 5 yards (97-L.Latu).	+0.06	+0.06	0.00	+0.01	+0.1%	0.9×
Q4 9:48	HOU	3rd & 5	IND 32	(9:48) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 17-J.Wayne to IND 12 for 20 yards (1-A.Gardner). IND-1-A.Gardner was injured during the play.	+1.92	+1.88	+0.04	+2.03	+8.7%	0.9×
Q4 9:14	HOU	1st & 10	IND 12	(9:14) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to IND 11 for 1 yard (94-J.Tillery; 99-D.Buckner).	−0.19	−0.18	−0.01	−0.49	−1.2%	1.1×
Q4 8:21	HOU	2nd & 9	IND 11	(8:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 87-F.Moreau (27-J.Walley).	−0.53	−0.53	0.00	−0.75	−2.6%	1.0×
Q4 8:16	HOU	3rd & 9	IND 11	(8:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 86-D.Schultz to IND 6 for 5 yards (7-C.Ward).	−0.47	−0.47	+0.01	−0.93	−2.1%	1.0×
Q4 7:36	HOU	4th & 4	IND 6	(7:36) 15-K.Fairbairn 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	−2.31	−1.99	−0.32	+0.08	−11.9%	0.9×
Q4 7:33	IND	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to end zone, Touchback to the IND 35.	−0.61	−0.34	−0.27	+0.50	−2.4%	0.5×
Q4 7:33	IND	1st & 10	IND 35	(7:33) 17-D.Jones pass short right to 81-M.Alie-Cox to HOU 49 for 16 yards (6-R.Blankenship).	+0.86	+0.84	+0.02	+0.98	+2.8%	0.6×
Q4 6:51	IND	1st & 10	HOU 49	(6:51) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to HOU 42 for 7 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 96-L.Hall).	+0.36	+0.32	+0.04	+0.41	+1.7%	0.5×
Q4 6:06	IND	2nd & 3	HOU 42	(6:06) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left guard to HOU 39 for 3 yards (51-W.Anderson).	+0.21	+0.15	+0.06	+0.27	+1.3%	0.4×
Q4 5:22	IND	1st & 10	HOU 39	(5:22) 28-J.Taylor right tackle to HOU 39 for no gain (72-T.Togiai). HOU-97-M.Edwards was injured during the play.	−0.46	−0.52	+0.06	−0.52	−0.1%	0.4×
Q4 4:45	IND	2nd & 10	HOU 39	(4:45) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones sacked at HOU 45 for -6 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson) [51-W.Anderson], RECOVERED by HOU-72-T.Togiai at HOU 46. Fumble Forced by 55-D.Hunter.	−3.80	−4.26	+0.46	−5.52	−16.6%	0.3×
Q4 4:40	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 46	(4:40) 4-W.Marks right tackle to IND 45 for 9 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither; 25-A.Haulcy). ** Injury Update: IND-1-A.Gardner has returned to the game.	+0.59	+0.62	−0.03	+0.77	+2.7%	0.8×
Q4 3:59	HOU	2nd & 1	IND 45	(3:59) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 19-X.Hutchinson right end to IND 44 for 1 yard (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	−0.29	−0.28	−0.01	−0.31	−1.9%	0.9×
Q4 3:21	HOU	1st & 10	IND 44	(3:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 19-X.Hutchinson to IND 27 for 17 yards (7-C.Ward). HOU-19-X.Hutchinson was injured during the play.	+0.86	+0.89	−0.03	+0.95	+5.8%	0.8×
Q4 2:52	HOU	1st & 10	IND 27	(2:52) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 14-K.Boutte to IND 12 for 15 yards (1-A.Gardner).	+0.64	+0.60	+0.04	+1.08	+4.7%	0.9×
Q4 2:14	HOU	1st & 10	IND 12	(2:14) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 14-K.Boutte to IND 6 for 6 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).	+0.22	+0.19	+0.03	+0.37	+1.8%	1.0×
Q4 2:00	HOU	2nd & 4	IND 6	(2:00) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 4-W.Marks left tackle to IND 1 for 5 yards (7-C.Ward).	+0.90	+0.87	+0.03	+1.07	+5.5%	1.0×
Q4 1:50	HOU	1st & 1	IND 1	(1:50) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 4-W.Marks right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.20	+1.61	−1.41	+0.61	+1.1%	1.0×
Q4 1:48	HOU	Try	IND 15	15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.	+0.13	−0.98	+1.11	+0.07	−0.5%	1.0×
Q4 1:48	IND	Kickoff	HOU 35	15-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to end zone, Touchback to the IND 35.	+0.46	+0.63	−0.16	+0.52	+4.5%	1.0×
Q4 1:48	IND	1st & 10	IND 35	(1:48) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short middle to 10-K.Allen.	−0.47	−0.47	0.00	−0.30	−4.2%	1.0×
Q4 1:43	IND	2nd & 10	IND 35	(1:43) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep middle to 13-L.Treadwell to HOU 45 for 20 yards (2-C.Bullock).	+1.41	+1.42	−0.01	+1.48	+16.9%	1.0×
Q4 1:11	IND	1st & 10	HOU 45	(1:11) 28-J.Taylor left guard to HOU 40 for 5 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 3-K.Lassiter).	−0.08	−0.10	+0.02	−0.24	+2.6%	0.9×
Q4 0:29	IND	2nd & 5	HOU 40	(:29) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left end to HOU 41 for -1 yards (51-W.Anderson).	−0.83	−0.83	+0.01	−0.76	−12.5%	0.9×
Q4 0:24	IND	3rd & 6	HOU 41	(:24) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 10-K.Allen to HOU 35 for 6 yards (3-K.Lassiter). The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 10-K.Allen to HOU 36 for 5 yards (3-K.Lassiter).	−0.23	−0.22	−0.01	+0.04	−7.5%	1.2×
Q4 0:21	IND	4th & 1	HOU 36	(:21) 3-S.Shrader 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.	+1.07	+1.03	+0.04	+1.27	+27.7%	1.3×
Q4 0:16	HOU	Kickoff	IND 35	8-R.Sanchez kicks 60 yards from IND 35 to HOU 5. 13-J.Noel pushed ob at HOU 31 for 26 yards (34-K.Gushiken).	+0.23	+0.35	−0.11	+0.02	+0.4%	0.8×
Q4 0:11	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 31	(:11) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 86-D.Schultz pushed ob at HOU 48 for 17 yards (97-L.Latu). ** Injury Update: HOU-19-X.Hutchinson has returned to the game.	+0.87	+0.89	−0.02	+0.17	+4.5%	0.8×
Q4 0:05	HOU	1st & 10	HOU 48	(:05) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right.	−0.48	−0.48	0.00	+0.01	−6.0%	1.0×
Q4 0:01	HOU	2nd & 10	HOU 48	(:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right.	−0.51	−1.25	+0.74	−0.29	−13.5%	0.9×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	K.Allen	IND	9	—	—	+4.1+0.46	+4.1+0.46	+1.3+0.44	+5.3+0.59
	T.Warren	IND	11	—	+0.3+0.28	+2.6+0.26	+2.9+0.26	+1.2+0.36	+2.3+0.21
	J.Downs	IND	11	—	—	+1.9+0.18	+1.9+0.18	+1.0+0.27	+1.5+0.14
	L.Treadwell	IND	1	—	—	+1.4+1.41	+1.4+1.41	+0.4+1.41	+1.5+1.48
	J.Noel	HOU	3	—	+1.1+1.06	+0.1+0.06	+1.2+0.39	+0.4+0.40	+1.4+0.48
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
HOU
	C.Stroud	16	27	1	0	3	1676.2	−3.1−0.10	−1.5−0.05	−1.1−0.12

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
IND
	D.Jones	24	36	1	1	4	2356.5	−6.9−0.17	−2.6−0.07	+0.3+0.02

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
HOU
	D.Montgomery	11	0	333.0	−5.8−0.53	−3.3−0.30	−1.4−0.40
	W.Marks	5	1	153.0	+1.4+0.27	+0.7+0.14	+0.1+0.06
	C.Stroud	2	0	105.0	+2.2+1.10	+1.9+0.97	+0.6+0.92
	X.Hutchinson	2	0	42.0	−0.5−0.25	−0.4−0.21	−0.1−0.22
	J.Noel	1	0	88.0	+1.1+1.13	+1.1+1.06	+0.3+1.06

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
IND
	J.Taylor	23	0	683.0	−4.0−0.18	−2.7−0.12	−0.9−0.14
	S.McGowan	4	0	143.5	−0.2−0.04	+0.2+0.05	0.0+0.02
	D.Jones	3	0	51.7	+2.6+0.87	+2.1+0.69	+0.8+0.69
	T.Warren	1	0	22.0	+0.4+0.38	+0.3+0.28	+0.1+0.28

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
HOU
	X.Hutchinson	6	3	0	5117.0	+0.4+0.07	+0.4+0.06	−0.2−0.11
	F.Moreau	4	2	1	73.5	−0.6−0.15	0.00.00	0.0+0.02
	J.Wayne	4	1	0	2020.0	+0.1+0.03	+0.2+0.06	0.0−0.01
	D.Schultz	3	3	0	3010.0	−1.0−0.32	+0.5+0.17	+0.1+0.13
	J.Noel	2	2	0	178.5	+0.3+0.16	+0.1+0.06	+0.1+0.12
	D.Montgomery	2	2	0	157.5	+1.5+0.75	+1.4+0.69	+0.5+0.79
	K.Boutte	2	2	0	2110.5	+1.5+0.73	+0.9+0.43	+0.2+0.42
	L.Bond	1	0	0	0—	−0.8−0.83	−0.6−0.60	−0.2−0.60
	W.Marks	1	1	0	66.0	0.0−0.01	0.0+0.04	0.0+0.04

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
IND
	J.Downs	11	5	0	7715.4	+1.5+0.14	+1.9+0.18	+1.0+0.27
	T.Warren	10	9	0	556.1	+1.9+0.19	+2.6+0.26	+1.2+0.36
	K.Allen	9	6	1	6310.5	+5.3+0.59	+4.1+0.46	+1.3+0.44
	J.Taylor	3	2	0	42.0	−1.0−0.34	−0.8−0.25	−0.3−0.25
	M.Alie-Cox	1	1	0	1616.0	+1.0+0.98	+0.9+0.86	+0.1+0.86
	L.Treadwell	1	1	0	2020.0	+1.5+1.48	+1.4+1.41	+0.4+1.41