BAL 34, DAL 31 — week 3, 2026

34 at 31

Week 3 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive plays only. Each cell is the total, with the per-play average underneath. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
DAL	80	31	4155.2	+3.7+0.047	+6.6+0.082	+4.2+0.053	+2.3+0.029	+1.7+0.060
BAL	72	34	3785.2	+11.4+0.158	+10.5+0.146	+11.8+0.164	−1.3−0.018	+3.5+0.145
NET	8	−3	37−0.1	−7.6−0.111	−4.0−0.064	−7.6−0.111	+3.6+0.047	−1.8−0.085
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is DAL minus BAL.

Game Timeline

BAL at DAL. BAL won by 3. Two panels. Top: DAL's win probability across 172 plays, starting at 53% and finishing at 0%; DAL was favored on 51% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at DAL by 10.5 in the first quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -15% at play 50, L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to D.Walker. PENALTY…; -20% at play 91, D.Prescott pass short middle to J.Ferguson to BAL… — FUMBLES; +18% at play 127, D.Prescott pass deep left to C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 46 for…; -28% at play 156, L.Jackson pass short middle to M.Hibner for 2… — TOUCHDOWN.

Excitement

1.9 bits

#2 of 16 this week

90th percentile since 2006

Tension

0.91

#2 of 16 this week

91st percentile since 2006

Win probability movement

677 pts

#1 of 16 this week

97th percentile since 2006

Plays in doubt

85%

#3 of 16 this week

89th percentile since 2006

Lead changes

#4 of 16 this week

79th percentile since 2006

Winner's lowest win probability

20%

#4 of 16 this week

80th percentile since 2006

Rank is against this week's games; the percentile is against every game since 2006. One flips: for the winner's lowest win probability, lower means the closer call.

Key Plays

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q2 11:37	BAL	3rd & 11	BAL 48	(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 81-D.Walker. PENALTY on DAL-14-M.Bell, Defensive Pass Interference, 49 yards, enforced at BAL 48 - No Play.	+4.26	+4.23	+0.03	+5.13	+14.9%	1.4×
2	Q3 10:40	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 23	(10:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to BAL 24 for -1 yards (98-T.Jones). FUMBLES (98-T.Jones), RECOVERED by BAL-32-T.Simpson at BAL 25. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.	−4.24	−4.60	+0.35	−5.62	−19.6%	1.4×
3	Q1 6:12	BAL	4th & 1	BAL 30	(6:12) 22-D.Henry up the middle to BAL 30 for no gain (13-C.Downs).	−3.14	−3.25	+0.11	−3.25	−7.3%	1.4×
4	Q3 2:55	DAL	3rd & 10	DAL 48	(2:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens pushed ob at BAL 33 for 19 yards (0-R.Smith; 29-C.Rivers). PENALTY on BAL-92-N.Madubuike, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 33.	+3.04	+3.06	−0.02	+3.66	+11.4%	0.8×
5	Q4 12:25	DAL	2nd & 9	DAL 5	(12:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 46 for 49 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+3.03	+3.09	−0.06	+3.65	+17.6%	1.2×
6	Q3 13:15	DAL	4th & 4	BAL 47	(13:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to BAL 34 for 13 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+2.81	+2.84	−0.03	+3.85	+12.4%	1.4×
7	Q2 9:24	DAL	4th & 1	DAL 44	(9:24) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to DAL 44 for no gain (0-R.Smith). FUMBLES (0-R.Smith), and recovers at DAL 43.	−2.79	−2.82	+0.03	−3.28	−8.1%	1.4×
8	Q1 1:22	BAL	2nd & 4	DAL 4	(1:22) 51-E.Jones reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.23	+2.52	−0.29	+1.46	+3.3%	1.3×
9	Q3 6:07	DAL	4th & 6	BAL 41	(6:07) 17-B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is BLOCKED (39-K.Jackson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.17	−2.66	+0.50	−3.09	−9.8%	1.3×
10	Q3 1:53	DAL	2nd & 11	BAL 19	(1:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 87-J.Ferguson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.13	+2.54	−0.41	+3.08	+5.8%	1.1×
11	Q4 13:07	BAL	4th & 1	DAL 1	(13:07) 22-D.Henry left guard to DAL 4 for -3 yards (55-J.Barham).	−2.10	−3.00	+0.89	−4.50	−8.4%	1.1×
12	Q3 0:21	BAL	2nd & 5	BAL 46	(:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 7-R.Bateman to DAL 23 for 31 yards (11-A.Clark).	+1.95	+2.00	−0.05	+2.45	+8.3%	1.2×
13	Q1 8:53	DAL	3rd & 1	BAL 1	(8:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at BAL 10 for -9 yards (0-R.Smith).	−1.93	−1.92	−0.01	−3.03	−5.5%	1.3×
14	Q4 0:01	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 38	(:01) 33-T.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+1.89	+1.14	+0.75	+1.15	+21.6%	1.2×
15	Q2 0:13	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 24	(:13) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill up the middle to BAL 28 for 4 yards (53-D.Winters; 6-D.Ezeiruaku).	−1.82	−1.44	−0.37	−0.08	−8.2%	1.3×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q3 10:40	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 23	(10:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to BAL 24 for -1 yards (98-T.Jones). FUMBLES (98-T.Jones), RECOVERED by BAL-32-T.Simpson at BAL 25. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.	−4.24	−4.60	+0.35	−5.62	−19.6%	1.4×
2	Q2 11:37	BAL	3rd & 11	BAL 48	(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 81-D.Walker. PENALTY on DAL-14-M.Bell, Defensive Pass Interference, 49 yards, enforced at BAL 48 - No Play.	+4.26	+4.23	+0.03	+5.13	+14.9%	1.4×
3	Q1 6:12	BAL	4th & 1	BAL 30	(6:12) 22-D.Henry up the middle to BAL 30 for no gain (13-C.Downs).	−3.14	−3.25	+0.11	−3.25	−7.3%	1.4×
4	Q3 13:15	DAL	4th & 4	BAL 47	(13:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to BAL 34 for 13 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+2.81	+2.84	−0.03	+3.85	+12.4%	1.4×
5	Q2 9:24	DAL	4th & 1	DAL 44	(9:24) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to DAL 44 for no gain (0-R.Smith). FUMBLES (0-R.Smith), and recovers at DAL 43.	−2.79	−2.82	+0.03	−3.28	−8.1%	1.4×
6	Q4 12:25	DAL	2nd & 9	DAL 5	(12:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 46 for 49 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+3.03	+3.09	−0.06	+3.65	+17.6%	1.2×
7	Q3 6:07	DAL	4th & 6	BAL 41	(6:07) 17-B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is BLOCKED (39-K.Jackson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.17	−2.66	+0.50	−3.09	−9.8%	1.3×
8	Q1 1:22	BAL	2nd & 4	DAL 4	(1:22) 51-E.Jones reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.23	+2.52	−0.29	+1.46	+3.3%	1.3×
9	Q1 8:53	DAL	3rd & 1	BAL 1	(8:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at BAL 10 for -9 yards (0-R.Smith).	−1.93	−1.92	−0.01	−3.03	−5.5%	1.3×
10	Q3 2:55	DAL	3rd & 10	DAL 48	(2:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens pushed ob at BAL 33 for 19 yards (0-R.Smith; 29-C.Rivers). PENALTY on BAL-92-N.Madubuike, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 33.	+3.04	+3.06	−0.02	+3.66	+11.4%	0.8×
11	Q3 0:21	BAL	2nd & 5	BAL 46	(:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 7-R.Bateman to DAL 23 for 31 yards (11-A.Clark).	+1.95	+2.00	−0.05	+2.45	+8.3%	1.2×
12	Q2 0:13	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 24	(:13) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill up the middle to BAL 28 for 4 yards (53-D.Winters; 6-D.Ezeiruaku).	−1.82	−1.44	−0.37	−0.08	−8.2%	1.3×
13	Q4 13:07	BAL	4th & 1	DAL 1	(13:07) 22-D.Henry left guard to DAL 4 for -3 yards (55-J.Barham).	−2.10	−3.00	+0.89	−4.50	−8.4%	1.1×
14	Q3 1:53	DAL	2nd & 11	BAL 19	(1:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 87-J.Ferguson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.13	+2.54	−0.41	+3.08	+5.8%	1.1×
15	Q4 10:27	DAL	3rd & 8	BAL 25	(10:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to BAL 9 for 16 yards (21-J.Hawkins; 44-M.Humphrey).	+1.78	+1.72	+0.06	+1.93	+10.3%	1.3×

#	Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
1	Q4 1:34	BAL	3rd & 2	DAL 2	(1:34) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 88-M.Hibner for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.02	+2.72	−1.71	+2.03	+27.5%	1.1×
2	Q4 0:07	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 35	(:07) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 4-Z.Flowers to DAL 38 for 27 yards (27-R.Steward).	+1.44	+1.48	−0.04	+1.72	+27.3%	1.4×
3	Q4 0:01	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 38	(:01) 33-T.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+1.89	+1.14	+0.75	+1.15	+21.6%	1.2×
4	Q3 10:40	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 23	(10:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to BAL 24 for -1 yards (98-T.Jones). FUMBLES (98-T.Jones), RECOVERED by BAL-32-T.Simpson at BAL 25. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.	−4.24	−4.60	+0.35	−5.62	−19.6%	1.4×
5	Q4 12:25	DAL	2nd & 9	DAL 5	(12:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 46 for 49 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+3.03	+3.09	−0.06	+3.65	+17.6%	1.2×
6	Q4 0:28	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 22	(:28) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb (2-N.Wiggins). PENALTY on BAL-2-N.Wiggins, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at BAL 22 - No Play.	+1.57	+1.48	+0.09	+2.22	+16.5%	1.2×
7	Q4 0:14	DAL	3rd & 5	BAL 5	(:14) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens.	−1.06	−1.06	0.00	−0.85	−15.9%	1.3×
8	Q2 11:37	BAL	3rd & 11	BAL 48	(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 81-D.Walker. PENALTY on DAL-14-M.Bell, Defensive Pass Interference, 49 yards, enforced at BAL 48 - No Play.	+4.26	+4.23	+0.03	+5.13	+14.9%	1.4×
9	Q4 1:20	DAL	2nd & 10	DAL 48	(1:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 38 for 14 yards (24-M.Starks).	+1.20	+1.24	−0.04	+1.16	+12.5%	1.1×
10	Q3 13:15	DAL	4th & 4	BAL 47	(13:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to BAL 34 for 13 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+2.81	+2.84	−0.03	+3.85	+12.4%	1.4×
11	Q4 1:54	BAL	2nd & 10	DAL 16	(1:54) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 4-Z.Flowers to DAL 2 for 14 yards (53-D.Winters).	+1.60	+1.53	+0.08	+1.97	+12.2%	1.0×
12	Q3 2:55	DAL	3rd & 10	DAL 48	(2:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens pushed ob at BAL 33 for 19 yards (0-R.Smith; 29-C.Rivers). PENALTY on BAL-92-N.Madubuike, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 33.	+3.04	+3.06	−0.02	+3.66	+11.4%	0.8×
13	Q4 10:27	DAL	3rd & 8	BAL 25	(10:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to BAL 9 for 16 yards (21-J.Hawkins; 44-M.Humphrey).	+1.78	+1.72	+0.06	+1.93	+10.3%	1.3×
14	Q4 0:20	DAL	2nd & 7	BAL 7	(:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 5 for 2 yards (0-R.Smith). DAL-78-T.Steele was injured during the play.	−0.40	−0.41	+0.01	−0.74	−10.1%	1.2×
15	Q3 6:07	DAL	4th & 6	BAL 41	(6:07) 17-B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is BLOCKED (39-K.Jackson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.17	−2.66	+0.50	−3.09	−9.8%	1.3×

Points now and the game after add up to CASE on every play - that's the whole decomposition, right there in the row. WPA is win probability added for the team with the ball. Leverage is how much the play mattered next to the league's average snap: 2.0× means twice the weight.

Show all 172 plays

Time	Team	Down	Ball on	Play	CASE	Points now	Game after	EPA	WPA	Leverage
Q1 15:00	BAL	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to BAL 0. 10-L.Wester to BAL 23 for 23 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford; 41-J.Houston).	−0.06	−0.03	−0.03	−0.28	−0.2%	1.4×
Q1 14:56	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 23	(14:56) 22-D.Henry left end to BAL 29 for 6 yards (34-J.Thompson).	+0.36	+0.18	+0.18	+0.47	+0.9%	1.4×
Q1 14:21	BAL	2nd & 4	BAL 29	(14:21) 22-D.Henry left tackle to BAL 29 for no gain (91-O.Ogbonnia).	−0.41	−0.60	+0.19	−0.85	−1.3%	1.4×
Q1 13:43	BAL	3rd & 4	BAL 29	(13:43) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep left to 89-M.Andrews.	−1.05	−1.08	+0.03	−1.69	−3.1%	1.4×
Q1 13:37	BAL	4th & 4	BAL 29	(13:37) 30-R.Eckley punts 43 yards to DAL 28, Center-46-N.Moore. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 33 for 5 yards (49-J.Higgins).	+0.60	−0.65	+1.24	−0.09	+2.1%	1.4×
Q1 13:27	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 33	(13:27) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 86-L.Schoonmaker to DAL 42 for 9 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	+0.82	+0.69	+0.13	+0.80	+2.3%	1.4×
Q1 12:55	DAL	2nd & 1	DAL 42	(12:55) 33-J.Williams right guard to 50 for 8 yards (92-N.Madubuike).	+0.33	+0.22	+0.11	+0.35	+1.1%	1.4×
Q1 12:20	DAL	1st & 10	50	(12:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 3-G.Pickens to BAL 37 for 13 yards (2-N.Wiggins).	+0.78	+0.75	+0.03	+0.89	+2.1%	1.4×
Q1 11:59	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 37	(11:59) (No Huddle) 33-J.Williams left tackle to BAL 34 for 3 yards (95-T.Robinson).	−0.04	−0.13	+0.08	−0.35	−0.0%	1.4×
Q1 11:11	DAL	2nd & 7	BAL 34	(11:11) 33-J.Williams left tackle to BAL 17 for 17 yards (14-K.Hamilton).	+1.30	+1.25	+0.05	+1.78	+3.6%	1.4×
Q1 10:40	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 17	(10:40) 33-J.Williams up the middle to BAL 9 for 8 yards (21-J.Hawkins).	+0.62	+0.57	+0.06	+0.39	+1.7%	1.4×
Q1 10:09	DAL	2nd & 2	BAL 9	(10:09) 33-J.Williams right tackle to BAL 5 for 4 yards (93-C.Campbell; 0-R.Smith).	+0.28	+0.24	+0.04	+0.50	+0.8%	1.3×
Q1 9:35	DAL	1st & 5	BAL 5	(9:35) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right guard to BAL 1 for 4 yards (9-Z.Young).	+0.35	+0.30	+0.04	+0.42	+1.1%	1.3×
Q1 8:59	DAL	2nd & 1	BAL 1	(8:59) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy.	−0.62	−0.62	0.00	−0.38	−1.6%	1.3×
Q1 8:53	DAL	3rd & 1	BAL 1	(8:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at BAL 10 for -9 yards (0-R.Smith).	−1.93	−1.92	−0.01	−3.03	−5.5%	1.3×
Q1 8:13	DAL	4th & 10	BAL 10	(8:13) 17-B.Aubrey 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	+0.08	−0.41	+0.48	+0.13	+1.6%	1.4×
Q1 8:10	BAL	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 56 yards from DAL 35 to BAL 9. 10-L.Wester MUFFS catch, and recovers at BAL 21.	+1.08	−0.21	+1.28	−0.36	+3.4%	1.4×
Q1 8:06	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 21	(8:06) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 22-D.Henry to BAL 21 for no gain (40-V.Miller) [91-O.Ogbonnia].	−0.54	−0.47	−0.07	−0.60	−1.8%	1.4×
Q1 7:26	BAL	2nd & 10	BAL 21	(7:26) 22-D.Henry left guard to BAL 21 for no gain (55-J.Barham).	−0.66	−0.61	−0.05	−0.77	−2.2%	1.4×
Q1 6:50	BAL	3rd & 10	BAL 21	(6:50) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 30 for 9 yards (53-D.Winters; 55-J.Barham).	+0.08	+0.12	−0.04	−0.08	+0.3%	1.4×
Q1 6:12	BAL	4th & 1	BAL 30	(6:12) 22-D.Henry up the middle to BAL 30 for no gain (13-C.Downs).	−3.14	−3.25	+0.11	−3.25	−7.3%	1.4×
Q1 6:06	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 30	(6:06) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to BAL 27 for 3 yards (2-N.Wiggins; 32-T.Simpson). PENALTY on BAL-32-T.Simpson, Face Mask, 13 yards, enforced at BAL 27.	+0.89	+0.84	+0.05	+1.08	+2.1%	1.3×
Q1 5:48	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 14	(5:48) 33-J.Williams up the middle to BAL 11 for 3 yards (93-C.Campbell; 9-Z.Young).	−0.08	−0.12	+0.04	−0.30	−0.1%	1.2×
Q1 5:10	DAL	2nd & 7	BAL 11	(5:10) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 19-R.Flournoy.	−0.54	−0.54	0.00	−0.74	−1.3%	1.2×
Q1 5:05	DAL	3rd & 7	BAL 11	(5:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at BAL 2 for 9 yards (24-M.Starks) [95-T.Robinson].	+1.76	+1.70	+0.05	+2.23	+4.4%	1.3×
Q1 4:35	DAL	1st & 2	BAL 2	(4:35) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.72	+1.14	+0.58	+0.69	+4.1%	1.2×
Q1 4:32	DAL	Try	BAL 15	17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	+0.04	−0.37	+0.40	+0.07	+0.4%	1.1×
Q1 4:32	BAL	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 64 yards from DAL 35 to BAL 1, out of bounds. PENALTY on DAL-17-B.Aubrey, Kickoff Out of Bounds, placed at BAL 40.	+0.60	+0.88	−0.27	+0.84	+2.1%	1.1×
Q1 4:32	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 40	(4:32) PENALTY on BAL-74-J.Simpson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 40 - No Play.	−0.49	−0.50	0.00	−0.62	−1.5%	1.1×
Q1 4:32	BAL	1st & 15	BAL 35	(4:32) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end ran ob at DAL 44 for 21 yards (14-M.Bell).	+1.33	+1.37	−0.04	+1.70	+3.5%	1.1×
Q1 3:57	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 44	(3:57) 22-D.Henry up the middle to DAL 42 for 2 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia).	−0.28	−0.27	−0.01	−0.45	−0.9%	1.2×
Q1 3:12	BAL	2nd & 8	DAL 42	(3:12) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers to DAL 20 for 22 yards (14-M.Bell).	+1.63	+1.64	−0.01	+2.17	+4.6%	1.1×
Q1 2:42	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 20	(2:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle to DAL 9 for 11 yards (34-J.Thompson).	+0.63	+0.57	+0.06	+0.60	+1.5%	1.2×
Q1 2:05	BAL	1st & 9	DAL 9	(2:05) 22-D.Henry right guard to DAL 4 for 5 yards (34-J.Thompson; 57-M.Lawrence).	+0.23	+0.17	+0.06	+0.26	+0.3%	1.3×
Q1 1:22	BAL	2nd & 4	DAL 4	(1:22) 51-E.Jones reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.23	+2.52	−0.29	+1.46	+3.3%	1.3×
Q1 1:18	BAL	Try	DAL 15	33-T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	−0.01	−0.83	+0.82	+0.07	+0.3%	1.3×
Q1 1:18	DAL	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DAL 35.	0.00	+0.70	−0.69	+0.49	−0.2%	1.3×
Q1 1:18	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 35	(1:18) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb ran ob at DAL 46 for 11 yards (24-M.Starks).	+0.59	+0.58	0.00	+0.82	+1.5%	1.3×
Q1 0:50	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 46	(:50) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to 50 for 4 yards (2-N.Wiggins).	−0.05	−0.08	+0.03	−0.15	+0.0%	1.3×
Q1 0:11	DAL	2nd & 6	50	(:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 19-R.Flournoy.	−0.66	−0.67	+0.01	−0.90	−2.0%	1.3×
Q1 0:04	DAL	3rd & 6	50	(:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 87-J.Ferguson (14-K.Hamilton).	−1.18	−1.18	0.00	−1.68	−3.8%	1.3×
Q2 15:00	DAL	4th & 6	50	(15:00) 5-B.Anger punts 39 yards to BAL 11, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 10-L.Wester.	+0.27	−0.19	+0.45	+0.17	+1.8%	1.4×
Q2 14:53	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 11	(14:53) 22-D.Henry left guard to BAL 16 for 5 yards (97-K.Clark; 57-M.Lawrence).	−0.03	+0.03	−0.05	+0.01	−0.4%	1.4×
Q2 14:15	BAL	2nd & 5	BAL 16	(14:15) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 4-Z.Flowers. PENALTY on DAL-26-D.Bland, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at BAL 16 - No Play.	+1.24	+1.26	−0.02	+1.41	+4.4%	1.4×
Q2 14:09	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 35	(14:09) 43-J.Hill left end to BAL 42 for 7 yards (53-D.Winters).	+0.27	+0.34	−0.07	+0.42	+1.1%	1.4×
Q2 13:24	BAL	2nd & 3	BAL 42	(13:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 4-Z.Flowers pushed ob at BAL 49 for 7 yards (28-S.Revel).	+0.37	+0.43	−0.06	+0.58	+1.3%	1.4×
Q2 12:50	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 49	(12:50) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 43-J.Hill to BAL 49 for no gain (28-S.Revel; 50-S.James). PENALTY on BAL-54-J.Gwyn, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 49 - No Play.	−0.53	−0.50	−0.02	−0.63	−1.9%	1.4×
Q2 12:25	BAL	1st & 15	BAL 44	(12:25) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill left guard to BAL 48 for 4 yards (53-D.Winters; 90-J.Bullard).	−0.11	−0.04	−0.06	−0.03	−0.4%	1.4×
Q2 11:41	BAL	2nd & 11	BAL 48	(11:41) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 89-M.Andrews.	−0.66	−0.65	0.00	−0.93	−2.3%	1.4×
Q2 11:37	BAL	3rd & 11	BAL 48	(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 81-D.Walker. PENALTY on DAL-14-M.Bell, Defensive Pass Interference, 49 yards, enforced at BAL 48 - No Play.	+4.26	+4.23	+0.03	+5.13	+14.9%	1.4×
Q2 11:29	BAL	1st & 3	DAL 3	(11:29) 22-D.Henry right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.01	+1.93	−0.92	+0.90	+4.2%	1.4×
Q2 11:23	BAL	Try	DAL 15	33-T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	−0.02	−0.86	+0.84	+0.07	+0.2%	1.4×
Q2 11:23	DAL	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DAL 35.	−0.19	+0.46	−0.66	+0.49	−0.6%	1.4×
Q2 11:23	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 35	(11:23) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 38 for 3 yards (14-K.Hamilton; 98-T.Jones).	−0.15	−0.16	+0.02	−0.22	−0.5%	1.4×
Q2 10:44	DAL	2nd & 7	DAL 38	(10:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 43 for 5 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+0.09	+0.06	+0.03	+0.14	+0.3%	1.4×
Q2 10:02	DAL	3rd & 2	DAL 43	(10:02) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left guard to DAL 44 for 1 yard (14-K.Hamilton; 15-M.Green).	−0.96	−0.99	+0.04	−1.46	−4.4%	1.4×
Q2 9:24	DAL	4th & 1	DAL 44	(9:24) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to DAL 44 for no gain (0-R.Smith). FUMBLES (0-R.Smith), and recovers at DAL 43.	−2.79	−2.82	+0.03	−3.28	−8.1%	1.4×
Q2 9:18	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 43	(9:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 7-R.Bateman to DAL 37 for 6 yards (55-J.Barham).	+0.23	+0.23	0.00	+0.38	+0.5%	1.2×
Q2 8:47	BAL	2nd & 4	DAL 37	(8:47) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on BAL-54-J.Gwyn, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 37 - No Play.	−0.57	−0.58	+0.01	−0.78	−1.3%	1.2×
Q2 8:39	BAL	2nd & 9	DAL 42	(8:39) 22-D.Henry right end to DAL 38 for 4 yards (7-R.Gary).	−0.22	−0.22	−0.01	−0.21	−0.7%	1.2×
Q2 8:01	BAL	3rd & 5	DAL 38	(8:01) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill right guard to DAL 31 for 7 yards (14-M.Bell; 28-S.Revel).	+1.27	+1.29	−0.02	+1.43	+3.4%	1.2×
Q2 7:23	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 31	(7:23) 22-D.Henry left tackle to DAL 27 for 4 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia). DAL-34-J.Thompson was injured during the play.	−0.01	+0.01	−0.02	−0.04	+0.0%	1.2×
Q2 6:56	BAL	2nd & 6	DAL 27	(6:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 85-J.Cuevas to DAL 13 for 14 yards (14-M.Bell).	+0.94	+0.95	−0.01	+1.19	+2.5%	1.2×
Q2 6:08	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 13	(6:08) 8-L.Jackson scrambles right end ran ob at DAL 12 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku).	−0.32	−0.28	−0.04	−0.46	−0.7%	1.1×
Q2 5:32	BAL	2nd & 9	DAL 12	(5:32) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle to DAL 9 for 3 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku).	−0.33	−0.29	−0.04	−0.52	−0.7%	1.1×
Q2 4:51	BAL	3rd & 6	DAL 9	(4:51) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short right to 4-Z.Flowers.	−0.90	−0.90	0.00	−1.24	−2.7%	1.1×
Q2 4:48	BAL	4th & 6	DAL 9	(4:48) 33-T.Loop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	−1.29	−0.60	−0.69	+0.11	−1.8%	1.2×
Q2 4:44	DAL	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DAL 35.	+0.33	+0.51	−0.18	+0.62	+1.4%	1.2×
Q2 4:44	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 35	(4:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 41 for 6 yards (14-K.Hamilton) [93-C.Campbell].	+0.20	+0.15	+0.05	+0.08	+0.9%	1.3×
Q2 4:01	DAL	2nd & 4	DAL 41	(4:01) 32-T.Goodson left tackle to BAL 49 for 10 yards (0-R.Smith; 93-C.Campbell).	+0.71	+0.66	+0.05	+0.88	+2.5%	1.3×
Q2 3:20	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 49	(3:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 32-T.Goodson to DAL 46 for -5 yards (32-T.Simpson).	−0.91	−1.00	+0.08	−1.01	−3.4%	1.3×
Q2 2:43	DAL	2nd & 15	DAL 46	(2:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb ran ob at BAL 47 for 7 yards.	+0.05	−0.01	+0.05	+0.19	−0.1%	1.3×
Q2 2:11	DAL	3rd & 8	BAL 47	(2:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to BAL 36 for 11 yards (3-C.Awuzie).	+1.69	+1.70	0.00	+1.67	+6.6%	1.3×
Q2 2:00	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 36	(2:00) (Shotgun) 32-T.Goodson left end to BAL 27 for 9 yards (32-T.Simpson).	+0.84	+0.78	+0.06	+0.61	+3.2%	1.4×
Q2 1:25	DAL	2nd & 1	BAL 27	(1:25) 33-J.Williams up the middle to BAL 24 for 3 yards (0-R.Smith; 92-N.Madubuike).	−0.06	−0.12	+0.07	−0.01	−0.3%	1.4×
Q2 0:48	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 24	(:48) (Shotgun) 32-T.Goodson up the middle to BAL 20 for 4 yards (92-N.Madubuike; 14-K.Hamilton).	+0.03	0.00	+0.03	−0.14	−1.0%	1.4×
Q2 0:33	DAL	2nd & 6	BAL 20	(:33) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 19-R.Flournoy.	−0.47	−0.48	+0.01	−0.33	−1.1%	1.4×
Q2 0:27	DAL	3rd & 6	BAL 20	(:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy [93-C.Campbell].	−0.71	−0.71	+0.01	−0.84	−2.6%	1.4×
Q2 0:23	DAL	4th & 6	BAL 20	(:23) 17-B.Aubrey 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−0.18	+0.09	−0.27	+0.37	−1.5%	1.3×
Q2 0:18	BAL	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 57 yards from DAL 35 to BAL 8. 26-R.Ali to BAL 24 for 16 yards (57-M.Lawrence).	+0.33	−0.04	+0.37	−0.14	+1.4%	1.3×
Q2 0:13	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 24	(:13) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill up the middle to BAL 28 for 4 yards (53-D.Winters; 6-D.Ezeiruaku).	−1.82	−1.44	−0.37	−0.08	−8.2%	1.3×
Q3 15:00	DAL	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DAL 35.	+0.39	+0.48	−0.08	+0.42	+1.9%	1.4×
Q3 15:00	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 35	(15:00) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 47 for 12 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+0.66	+0.65	+0.01	+1.05	+3.0%	1.4×
Q3 14:20	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 47	(14:20) 33-J.Williams left tackle to DAL 46 for -1 yards (98-T.Jones). BAL-14-K.Hamilton was injured during the play.	−0.54	−0.55	+0.01	−0.82	−2.4%	1.4×
Q3 14:00	DAL	2nd & 11	DAL 46	(14:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 19-R.Flournoy.	−0.64	−0.64	0.00	−1.01	−2.8%	1.4×
Q3 13:54	DAL	3rd & 11	DAL 46	(13:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to BAL 47 for 7 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	−0.50	−0.49	−0.01	−0.77	−2.2%	1.4×
Q3 13:15	DAL	4th & 4	BAL 47	(13:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to BAL 34 for 13 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+2.81	+2.84	−0.03	+3.85	+12.4%	1.4×
Q3 12:40	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 34	(12:40) 33-J.Williams right guard to BAL 32 for 2 yards (32-T.Simpson; 21-J.Hawkins).	−0.19	−0.19	0.00	−0.18	−0.8%	1.4×
Q3 12:01	DAL	2nd & 8	BAL 32	(12:01) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 25 for 7 yards (32-T.Simpson).	+0.57	+0.57	+0.01	+0.51	+2.5%	1.4×
Q3 11:23	DAL	3rd & 1	BAL 25	(11:23) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to BAL 23 for 2 yards (2-N.Wiggins).	+0.38	+0.36	+0.02	+0.59	+1.6%	1.4×
Q3 10:40	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 23	(10:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to BAL 24 for -1 yards (98-T.Jones). FUMBLES (98-T.Jones), RECOVERED by BAL-32-T.Simpson at BAL 25. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.	−4.24	−4.60	+0.35	−5.62	−19.6%	1.4×
Q3 10:34	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 25	(10:34) 22-D.Henry left tackle to BAL 26 for 1 yard (92-Q.Williams).	−0.41	−0.35	−0.05	−0.60	−1.7%	1.3×
Q3 9:57	BAL	2nd & 9	BAL 26	(9:57) 22-D.Henry left tackle to BAL 21 for -5 yards (92-Q.Williams).	−1.16	−1.11	−0.05	−1.56	−5.2%	1.3×
Q3 9:16	BAL	3rd & 14	BAL 21	(9:16) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep left to 81-D.Walker (11-A.Clark). ** Injury Update: BAL-89-M.Andrews has returned to the game.	−0.97	−0.96	−0.01	−1.10	−4.7%	1.4×
Q3 9:08	BAL	4th & 14	BAL 21	(9:08) 30-R.Eckley punts 58 yards to DAL 21, Center-46-N.Moore. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 33 for 12 yards (21-J.Hawkins).	+0.61	+0.26	+0.35	+0.76	+2.8%	1.4×
Q3 8:55	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 33	(8:55) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 88-C.Lamb (44-M.Humphrey). ** Injury Update: BAL-14-K.Hamilton has returned to the game.	−0.45	−0.45	0.00	−0.56	−2.2%	1.4×
Q3 8:50	DAL	2nd & 10	DAL 33	(8:50) 33-J.Williams left tackle to BAL 45 for 22 yards (24-M.Starks; 21-J.Hawkins).	+1.64	+1.67	−0.03	+2.06	+8.0%	1.4×
Q3 8:23	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 45	(8:23) (No Huddle) 33-J.Williams left guard to BAL 42 for 3 yards (0-R.Smith; 95-T.Robinson).	−0.14	−0.15	+0.01	−0.35	−0.7%	1.4×
Q3 7:39	DAL	2nd & 7	BAL 42	(7:39) 32-T.Goodson right tackle to BAL 44 for -2 yards (14-K.Hamilton, 9-Z.Young).	−0.88	−0.90	+0.01	−1.09	−4.4%	1.4×
Q3 7:04	DAL	3rd & 9	BAL 44	(7:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 3-G.Pickens to BAL 24 for 20 yards (21-J.Hawkins). PENALTY on DAL-78-T.Steele, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 44 - No Play.	−0.76	−0.79	+0.03	−1.06	−3.7%	1.4×
Q3 6:46	DAL	3rd & 19	DAL 46	(6:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to BAL 41 for 13 yards (21-J.Hawkins) [93-C.Campbell].	−0.19	−0.16	−0.03	+0.06	−0.9%	1.3×
Q3 6:07	DAL	4th & 6	BAL 41	(6:07) 17-B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is BLOCKED (39-K.Jackson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−2.17	−2.66	+0.50	−3.09	−9.8%	1.3×
Q3 5:54	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 49	(5:54) 22-D.Henry right tackle pushed ob at DAL 22 for 29 yards (28-S.Revel).	+1.63	+1.67	−0.04	+2.09	+5.7%	1.2×
Q3 5:27	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 22	(5:27) (No Huddle) PENALTY on BAL-74-J.Simpson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 22 - No Play.	−0.52	−0.52	0.00	−0.75	−1.8%	1.1×
Q3 5:08	BAL	1st & 15	DAL 27	(5:08) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill right end pushed ob at DAL 16 for 11 yards (13-C.Downs).	+0.78	+0.74	+0.04	+0.90	+3.1%	1.1×
Q3 4:27	BAL	2nd & 4	DAL 16	(4:27) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end to DAL 4 for 12 yards (13-C.Downs).	+1.00	+0.93	+0.08	+1.15	+3.5%	1.0×
Q3 3:50	BAL	1st & 4	DAL 4	(3:50) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 17-C.Moore for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.02	+2.17	−1.15	+1.07	+3.9%	0.9×
Q3 3:44	BAL	Try	DAL 15	33-T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+0.04	−0.91	+0.95	+0.07	+0.5%	0.8×
Q3 3:44	DAL	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 63 yards from BAL 35 to DAL 2. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 33 for 31 yards (39-K.Jackson).	+0.39	+0.55	−0.16	+0.48	+1.3%	0.8×
Q3 3:39	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 33	(3:39) 33-J.Williams left tackle to DAL 48 for 15 yards (24-M.Starks; 14-K.Hamilton).	+0.82	+0.81	+0.01	+1.05	+3.2%	0.8×
Q3 3:06	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 48	(3:06) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 87-J.Ferguson.	−0.45	−0.46	+0.01	−0.51	−1.6%	0.9×
Q3 2:58	DAL	2nd & 10	DAL 48	(2:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 33-J.Williams (14-K.Hamilton).	−0.65	−0.65	0.00	−0.92	−2.1%	0.9×
Q3 2:55	DAL	3rd & 10	DAL 48	(2:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens pushed ob at BAL 33 for 19 yards (0-R.Smith; 29-C.Rivers). PENALTY on BAL-92-N.Madubuike, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 33.	+3.04	+3.06	−0.02	+3.66	+11.4%	0.8×
Q3 2:36	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 18	(2:36) (Shotgun) 32-T.Goodson right end to BAL 19 for -1 yards (32-T.Simpson).	−0.44	−0.46	+0.02	−0.96	−2.1%	1.1×
Q3 1:53	DAL	2nd & 11	BAL 19	(1:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 87-J.Ferguson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+2.13	+2.54	−0.41	+3.08	+5.8%	1.1×
Q3 1:48	DAL	Try	BAL 2	TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Prescott pass to 88-C.Lamb is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.	+1.03	+0.82	+0.21	+1.05	+5.9%	1.2×
Q3 1:48	BAL	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the BAL 20.	−0.58	−0.35	−0.23	−0.31	−3.1%	1.3×
Q3 1:48	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 20	(1:48) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 88-M.Hibner to BAL 41 for 21 yards (14-M.Bell; 28-S.Revel). ** Injury Update: DAL-14-M.Bell has returned to the game.	+1.10	+1.11	−0.01	+1.27	+5.5%	1.3×
Q3 1:03	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 41	(1:03) 22-D.Henry left guard to BAL 46 for 5 yards (99-L.Overton).	+0.01	+0.02	−0.01	+0.17	+0.2%	1.2×
Q3 0:21	BAL	2nd & 5	BAL 46	(:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 7-R.Bateman to DAL 23 for 31 yards (11-A.Clark).	+1.95	+2.00	−0.05	+2.45	+8.3%	1.2×
Q4 15:00	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 23	(15:00) 4-Z.Flowers left end to DAL 3 for 20 yards (28-S.Revel). DAL-28-S.Revel was injured during the play.	+1.44	+1.36	+0.08	+1.65	+5.7%	1.1×
Q4 14:29	BAL	1st & 3	DAL 3	(14:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end pushed ob at DAL 4 for -1 yards (26-D.Bland).	−0.51	−0.50	−0.01	−0.65	−1.7%	0.9×
Q4 14:05	BAL	2nd & 4	DAL 4	(14:05) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry right guard to DAL 2 for 2 yards (14-M.Bell; 55-J.Barham).	−0.34	−0.35	+0.01	−0.45	−0.8%	1.0×
Q4 13:22	BAL	3rd & 2	DAL 2	(13:22) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left guard to DAL 1 for 1 yard (55-J.Barham; 91-O.Ogbonnia).	−1.04	−1.04	+0.01	−0.39	−4.4%	1.0×
Q4 13:07	BAL	4th & 1	DAL 1	(13:07) 22-D.Henry left guard to DAL 4 for -3 yards (55-J.Barham).	−2.10	−3.00	+0.89	−4.50	−8.4%	1.1×
Q4 13:03	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 4	(13:03) 33-J.Williams left guard to DAL 5 for 1 yard (32-T.Simpson).	−0.35	−0.34	−0.01	−0.54	−2.4%	1.2×
Q4 12:25	DAL	2nd & 9	DAL 5	(12:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 46 for 49 yards (44-M.Humphrey).	+3.03	+3.09	−0.06	+3.65	+17.6%	1.2×
Q4 11:52	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 46	(11:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Spann-Ford to BAL 27 for 19 yards (15-M.Green) [91-T.Hendrickson].	+1.16	+1.18	−0.03	+1.24	+6.7%	1.3×
Q4 11:05	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 27	(11:05) 32-T.Goodson right tackle to BAL 25 for 2 yards (21-J.Hawkins).	−0.14	−0.14	+0.01	−0.35	−0.8%	1.3×
Q4 10:30	DAL	2nd & 8	BAL 25	(10:30) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens (95-T.Robinson).	−0.48	−0.48	0.00	−0.60	−2.9%	1.3×
Q4 10:27	DAL	3rd & 8	BAL 25	(10:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to BAL 9 for 16 yards (21-J.Hawkins; 44-M.Humphrey).	+1.78	+1.72	+0.06	+1.93	+10.3%	1.3×
Q4 9:46	DAL	1st & 9	BAL 9	(9:46) 9-K.Turpin left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+0.78	+1.83	−1.05	+1.78	+9.7%	1.2×
Q4 9:42	DAL	Try	BAL 15	17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	+0.11	−0.91	+1.02	+0.07	+1.0%	1.0×
Q4 9:42	BAL	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 56 yards from DAL 35 to BAL 9, out of bounds. PENALTY on DAL-17-B.Aubrey, Kickoff Out of Bounds, placed at BAL 40.	+0.99	+1.02	−0.03	+0.77	+6.2%	1.0×
Q4 9:42	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 40	(9:42) 22-D.Henry left tackle to BAL 44 for 4 yards (97-K.Clark).	−0.02	−0.02	0.00	−0.05	−0.3%	1.1×
Q4 9:06	BAL	2nd & 6	BAL 44	(9:06) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews to BAL 49 for 5 yards (14-M.Bell).	+0.17	+0.17	0.00	+0.29	+0.6%	1.1×
Q4 8:22	BAL	3rd & 1	BAL 49	(8:22) 51-E.Jones reported in as eligible. 22-D.Henry left tackle to BAL 45 for -4 yards (55-J.Barham).	−1.75	−1.77	+0.02	−2.51	−9.8%	1.1×
Q4 7:40	BAL	4th & 5	BAL 45	(7:40) 30-R.Eckley punts 48 yards to DAL 7, Center-46-N.Moore. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 24 for 17 yards (46-N.Moore).	−0.32	−0.79	+0.47	−0.91	−2.4%	0.9×
Q4 7:29	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 24	(7:29) 33-J.Williams left tackle to DAL 25 for 1 yard (94-J.Jenkins; 0-R.Smith).	−0.37	−0.39	+0.03	−0.63	−1.5%	0.9×
Q4 6:47	DAL	2nd & 9	DAL 25	(6:47) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to DAL 28 for 3 yards (15-M.Green).	−0.29	−0.33	+0.04	−0.42	−1.1%	0.9×
Q4 6:01	DAL	3rd & 6	DAL 28	(6:01) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 9-K.Turpin.	−1.08	−1.09	0.00	−1.31	−6.9%	0.9×
Q4 5:57	DAL	4th & 6	DAL 28	(5:57) 5-B.Anger punts 60 yards to BAL 12, Center-44-T.Sieg. 10-L.Wester to BAL 36 for 24 yards (27-R.Steward; 89-B.Spann-Ford).	−0.23	−0.59	+0.36	−0.68	−0.2%	1.0×
Q4 5:45	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 36	(5:45) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson scrambles right end pushed ob at DAL 47 for 17 yards (53-D.Winters).	+0.88	+0.90	−0.02	+1.14	+5.5%	1.0×
Q4 5:14	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 47	(5:14) 22-D.Henry right tackle to DAL 39 for 8 yards (14-M.Bell).	+0.48	+0.49	0.00	+0.51	+2.9%	1.1×
Q4 4:35	BAL	2nd & 2	DAL 39	(4:35) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry up the middle to DAL 38 for 1 yard (91-O.Ogbonnia).	−0.54	−0.56	+0.02	−0.40	−3.8%	1.1×
Q4 3:57	BAL	3rd & 1	DAL 38	(3:57) 8-L.Jackson scrambles up the middle to DAL 26 for 12 yards (13-C.Downs). PENALTY on BAL-76-C.Vinson, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 38 - No Play.	−0.83	−0.85	+0.02	−1.18	−5.6%	1.0×
Q4 3:52	BAL	3rd & 6	DAL 43	(3:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews to DAL 33 for 10 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku).	+1.43	+1.42	0.00	+1.80	+9.8%	0.9×
Q4 3:11	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 33	(3:11) 22-D.Henry left end to DAL 30 for 3 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia). DAL-6-D.Ezeiruaku was injured during the play. BAL-77-E.Pocic was injured during the play.	−0.24	−0.26	+0.02	−0.30	−1.2%	1.0×
Q4 2:36	BAL	2nd & 7	DAL 30	(2:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers to DAL 16 for 14 yards (11-A.Clark).	+0.92	+0.87	+0.05	+1.41	+8.4%	1.0×
Q4 2:00	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 16	(2:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left end pushed ob at DAL 16 for no gain (53-D.Winters). ** Injury Update: DAL-6-D.Ezeiruaku has returned to the game.	−0.40	−0.40	0.00	−0.52	−3.0%	1.0×
Q4 1:54	BAL	2nd & 10	DAL 16	(1:54) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 4-Z.Flowers to DAL 2 for 14 yards (53-D.Winters).	+1.60	+1.53	+0.08	+1.97	+12.2%	1.0×
Q4 1:47	BAL	1st & 2	DAL 2	(1:47) (Shotgun) 51-E.Jones reported in as eligible. PENALTY on BAL-74-J.Simpson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 2 - No Play.	−0.67	−0.64	−0.03	−0.85	−5.7%	1.0×
Q4 1:47	BAL	1st & 7	DAL 7	(1:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short left [7-R.Gary]. PENALTY on DAL-14-M.Bell, Defensive Pass Interference, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 7 - No Play.	+0.65	+0.62	+0.03	+0.85	+5.8%	1.1×
Q4 1:43	BAL	1st & 2	DAL 2	(1:43) 51-E.Jones reported in as eligible. 22-D.Henry right tackle to DAL 2 for no gain (21-C.Carson; 99-L.Overton).	−0.34	−0.35	0.00	−0.45	−4.3%	1.1×
Q4 1:38	BAL	2nd & 2	DAL 2	(1:38) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short left to 7-R.Bateman.	−0.63	−0.64	0.00	−0.76	−5.3%	1.1×
Q4 1:34	BAL	3rd & 2	DAL 2	(1:34) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 88-M.Hibner for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	+1.02	+2.72	−1.71	+2.03	+27.5%	1.1×
Q4 1:30	BAL	Try	DAL 15	33-T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+0.30	−0.96	+1.26	+0.07	−8.1%	0.9×
Q4 1:30	DAL	Kickoff	BAL 35	33-T.Loop kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DAL 35.	+0.42	+0.67	−0.24	+0.49	+4.2%	1.0×
Q4 1:30	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 35	(1:30) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at DAL 48 for 13 yards (21-J.Hawkins).	+0.66	+0.68	−0.02	+0.74	+6.9%	1.0×
Q4 1:24	DAL	1st & 10	DAL 48	(1:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 3-G.Pickens.	−0.48	−0.48	0.00	−0.44	−4.6%	1.1×
Q4 1:20	DAL	2nd & 10	DAL 48	(1:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 38 for 14 yards (24-M.Starks).	+1.20	+1.24	−0.04	+1.16	+12.5%	1.1×
Q4 1:14	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 38	(1:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at BAL 29 for 9 yards (29-C.Rivers) [91-T.Hendrickson].	+0.76	+0.78	−0.01	+0.64	+7.8%	1.1×
Q4 1:09	DAL	2nd & 1	BAL 29	(1:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 22 for 7 yards (24-M.Starks).	−0.06	−0.06	0.00	−0.12	−0.9%	1.1×
Q4 0:28	DAL	1st & 10	BAL 22	(:28) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb (2-N.Wiggins). PENALTY on BAL-2-N.Wiggins, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at BAL 22 - No Play.	+1.57	+1.48	+0.09	+2.22	+16.5%	1.2×
Q4 0:23	DAL	1st & 2	BAL 2	(:23) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens (2-N.Wiggins).	−0.34	−0.34	0.00	−0.56	−3.4%	1.0×
Q4 0:20	DAL	2nd & 2	BAL 2	(:20) PENALTY on DAL-86-L.Schoonmaker, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 2 - No Play.	−0.69	−0.66	−0.03	−0.81	−7.8%	1.1×
Q4 0:20	DAL	2nd & 7	BAL 7	(:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 5 for 2 yards (0-R.Smith). DAL-78-T.Steele was injured during the play.	−0.40	−0.41	+0.01	−0.74	−10.1%	1.2×
Q4 0:14	DAL	3rd & 5	BAL 5	(:14) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens.	−1.06	−1.06	0.00	−0.85	−15.9%	1.3×
Q4 0:10	DAL	4th & 5	BAL 5	(:10) 17-B.Aubrey 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.	−0.23	−0.33	+0.10	+0.06	+6.4%	1.4×
Q4 0:07	BAL	Kickoff	DAL 35	17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the BAL 35.	−0.12	−0.09	−0.04	+0.06	−2.2%	1.4×
Q4 0:07	BAL	1st & 10	BAL 35	(:07) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 4-Z.Flowers to DAL 38 for 27 yards (27-R.Steward).	+1.44	+1.48	−0.04	+1.72	+27.3%	1.4×
Q4 0:01	BAL	1st & 10	DAL 38	(:01) 33-T.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.	+1.89	+1.14	+0.75	+1.15	+21.6%	1.2×

Best CASE

Every play a player touched - passing, rushing, and receiving - so a quarterback who scrambles gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	L.Jackson	BAL	26	+9.1+0.46	+2.0+0.33	—	+11.1+0.43	+3.3+0.39	+14.3+0.55
	C.Lamb	DAL	8	—	—	+8.4+1.05	+8.4+1.05	+2.9+1.01	+10.0+1.25
	D.Prescott	DAL	45	+6.8+0.17	−0.2−0.04	—	+6.6+0.15	+1.8+0.12	+6.6+0.15
	Z.Flowers	BAL	7	—	+1.4+1.44	+5.1+0.84	+6.5+0.93	+2.1+0.91	+8.3+1.18
	G.Pickens	DAL	11	—	—	+3.8+0.34	+3.8+0.34	+1.0+0.27	+5.1+0.47
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team on the left, home team on the right. A completion counts fully for the passer and the receiver, so these won't sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
BAL
	L.Jackson	15	20	2	0	0	1869.3	+11.9+0.60	+9.1+0.46	+2.7+0.40

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DAL
	D.Prescott	25	40	1	0	1	2766.9	+7.4+0.18	+6.8+0.17	+1.8+0.13

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
BAL
	D.Henry	26	2	893.4	−10.8−0.42	−6.4−0.25	−2.1−0.23
	L.Jackson	6	0	508.3	+2.4+0.39	+2.0+0.33	+0.6+0.34
	J.Hill	5	0	336.6	+2.6+0.53	+0.4+0.08	+0.1+0.05
	Z.Flowers	1	0	2020.0	+1.6+1.65	+1.4+1.44	+0.4+1.44

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DAL
	J.Williams	19	1	985.2	−0.9−0.05	+1.4+0.07	+0.4+0.06
	T.Goodson	6	0	223.7	−1.1−0.18	+0.1+0.02	0.0+0.02
	D.Prescott	4	0	194.8	−0.8−0.19	−0.2−0.04	0.00.00
	K.Turpin	1	1	99.0	+1.8+1.78	+0.8+0.78	+0.3+0.78

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
BAL
	Z.Flowers	6	5	0	8416.8	+6.6+1.10	+5.1+0.84	+1.7+0.84
	M.Andrews	5	3	0	248.0	−0.6−0.12	0.0−0.01	−0.2−0.13
	R.Bateman	3	2	0	3718.5	+2.1+0.69	+1.5+0.52	+0.6+0.57
	M.Hibner	2	2	1	2311.5	+3.3+1.65	+2.1+1.06	+0.7+1.06
	D.Henry	1	1	0	00.0	−0.6−0.60	−0.5−0.54	−0.2−0.54
	J.Cuevas	1	1	0	1414.0	+1.2+1.19	+0.9+0.94	+0.3+0.94
	D.Walker	1	0	0	0—	−1.1−1.10	−1.0−0.97	−0.4−0.97
	C.Moore	1	1	1	44.0	+1.1+1.07	+1.0+1.02	+0.3+1.02

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
DAL
	G.Pickens	11	7	0	8211.7	+5.1+0.47	+3.8+0.34	+1.0+0.27
	R.Flournoy	8	2	0	2211.0	−2.8−0.35	−2.2−0.28	−0.9−0.33
	C.Lamb	8	7	0	11216.0	+10.0+1.25	+8.4+1.05	+2.9+1.01
	J.Ferguson	5	3	1	237.7	−4.6−0.93	−3.5−0.71	−1.5−0.89
	J.Williams	3	2	0	52.5	+0.8+0.25	+0.6+0.21	+0.3+0.31
	K.Turpin	2	1	0	99.0	+0.9+0.46	+0.7+0.34	+0.3+0.58
	L.Schoonmaker	1	1	0	99.0	+0.8+0.80	+0.8+0.82	+0.3+0.82
	T.Goodson	1	1	0	−5−5.0	−1.0−1.01	−0.9−0.91	−0.3−0.91
	B.Spann-Ford	1	1	0	1919.0	+1.2+1.24	+1.2+1.16	+0.4+1.16