SEA 31, ARI 7 — week 2, 2026

31 at 7

Week 2 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive scrimmage plays. Each value shows the total, with its per-play average beneath it. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
ARI	57	7	1512.6	−18.9−0.332	−10.1−0.178	−11.9−0.208	+1.7+0.030	−2.3−0.124
SEA	75	31	3815.2	+11.0+0.146	+13.2+0.175	+15.4+0.206	−2.3−0.030	+1.9+0.100
NET	−18	−24	−230−2.6	−29.9−0.478	−23.3−0.353	−27.3−0.414	+4.0+0.060	−4.3−0.224
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is ARI minus SEA.

Game Timeline

SEA at ARI. SEA won by 24. Two panels. Top: ARI's win probability across 145 plays, starting at 52% and finishing at 0%; ARI was favored on 21% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at SEA by 24.0 in the fourth quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: -19% at play 7, D.Lock pass deep right to J.Smith-Njigba for 82… — TOUCHDOWN; +13% at play 39, J.Price up the middle to ARI 45 for 2 yards — FUMBLES; +10% at play 65, O.Oluwatimi and J.Jones reported in as eligible. E.Wilson…; -9% at play 85, D.Lock pass short middle to J.Smith-Njigba for… — TOUCHDOWN.

Best CASE

Every play a player was part of — passing, rushing and receiving — so a quarterback who runs gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	J.Smith-Njigba	SEA	11	—	—	+15.5+1.41	+15.5+1.41	+4.7+1.40	+17.9+1.63
	D.Lock	SEA	27	+15.3+0.57	—	—	+15.3+0.57	+4.8+0.57	+16.1+0.60
	A.Barner	SEA	2	—	+4.0+4.05	+0.5+0.51	+4.6+2.28	+0.2+0.53	+3.0+1.50
	T.McBride	ARI	10	—	—	+4.5+0.45	+4.5+0.45	+1.5+0.41	+5.1+0.51
	C.Kupp	SEA	2	—	—	+1.3+0.64	+1.3+0.64	+0.5+0.64	+0.2+0.12
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team left, home team right. Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SEA
	D.Lock	19	26	3	0	1	2359.0	+16.1+0.60	+15.3+0.57	+4.8+0.57

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
ARI
	J.Brissett	17	28	1	1	2	953.4	−8.1−0.27	−4.7−0.16	−1.0−0.10

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SEA
	E.Wilson	21	0	924.4	−3.9−0.19	−2.6−0.12	−1.1−0.31
	J.Price	13	0	524.0	−7.5−0.57	−5.5−0.42	−2.1−0.44
	G.Holani	4	0	133.2	+2.2+0.54	+0.9+0.23	0.0+0.20
	R.Shaheed	1	0	44.0	−0.4−0.40	−0.2−0.19	0.0−0.19
	A.Barner	1	1	11.0	+2.5+2.46	+4.0+4.05	0.0+4.05

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
ARI
	J.Love	9	0	293.2	−2.5−0.28	−1.6−0.18	−0.6−0.18
	T.Allgeier	5	0	102.0	−2.8−0.56	−1.3−0.26	−0.5−0.26
	Z.Knight	2	0	2412.0	−1.1−0.56	−1.9−0.94	0.0−0.37
	J.Brissett	1	0	77.0	−0.8−0.77	−0.3−0.32	−0.1−0.32

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
SEA
	J.Smith-Njigba	11	9	3	15517.2	+17.9+1.63	+15.5+1.41	+4.7+1.40
	R.Shaheed	6	3	0	3511.7	−1.6−0.26	−1.6−0.26	−0.6−0.26
	C.Kupp	2	2	0	2010.0	+0.2+0.12	+1.3+0.64	+0.5+0.64
	J.Price	2	1	0	88.0	+0.5+0.25	+0.2+0.10	0.0+0.04
	A.Barner	1	1	0	88.0	+0.5+0.53	+0.5+0.51	+0.2+0.51
	E.Arroyo	1	1	0	1717.0	+1.4+1.36	+0.9+0.94	+0.3+0.94
	G.Holani	1	1	0	22.0	−0.4−0.40	−0.2−0.21	−0.1−0.21
	E.Saubert	1	1	0	−10−10.0	−1.6−1.63	−1.4−1.42	−0.3−1.42
	E.Wilson	1	0	0	0—	−0.5−0.47	−0.4−0.38	0.0−0.38

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
ARI
	T.McBride	10	8	1	415.1	+5.1+0.51	+4.5+0.45	+1.5+0.41
	Mi.Wilson	7	2	0	189.0	−5.0−0.71	−2.8−0.39	−0.6−0.26
	J.Love	3	3	0	165.3	+0.1+0.04	+0.5+0.17	+0.3+0.27
	K.Bourne	3	2	0	115.5	−1.7−0.58	−1.0−0.33	−0.5−0.68
	T.Allgeier	2	2	0	94.5	−0.4−0.20	−0.2−0.12	−0.1−0.11
	M.Harrison	1	0	0	0—	−0.3−0.26	−0.7−0.65	−0.3−0.65