PHI 24, TEN 20 — week 2, 2026

24 at 20

Week 2 · 2026 · Final

Box Score

Offensive scrimmage plays. Each value shows the total, with its per-play average beneath it. Points now and the game after add up to CASE.

Team	Plays	Points	YARDS	EPA	CASE	POINTS NOW	THE GAME AFTER¹	CONTESTED CASE²
TEN	60	20	2914.8	+2.0+0.034	+3.4+0.056	+3.0+0.050	+0.3+0.006	+1.4+0.067
PHI	79	24	3414.3	+7.0+0.089	+6.1+0.078	+7.7+0.098	−1.6−0.020	+2.1+0.072
NET	−19	−4	−500.5	−5.0−0.055	−2.8−0.022	−4.7−0.048	+1.9+0.026	−0.7−0.005
¹ Points now + the game after = CASE, exactly. Points now is what a play did for the race to the next score. The game after is what it did to everything past that — mostly the clock and the possessions left — which no expected-points model measures.
² Contested CASE weights each play by how much of the game was still in doubt. Its total is the weighted sum of those plays, so snaps taken in a decided game total little.
CASE \| Offensive scrimmage plays. NET is TEN minus PHI.

Game Timeline

PHI at TEN. PHI won by 4. Two panels. Top: TEN's win probability across 153 plays, starting at 52% and finishing at 0%; TEN was favored on 48% of plays. Bottom: each play's CASE as a bar above or below zero, with the expected final margin as a line. The expected margin peaked at TEN by 7.4 in the first quarter, and finished on the actual result. Labeled plays: +25% at play 21, J.Hurts pass short right intended for D.Smith — INTERCEPTED; +11% at play 67, C.Ward pass short left to E.Ayomanor to PHI 45 for 28 yards; +14% at play 130, C.Ward pass deep right to E.Ayomanor pushed ob at PHI 24…; -50% at play 149, J.Hurts pass short middle to D.Cooper for 3… — TOUCHDOWN.

Best CASE

Every play a player was part of — passing, rushing and receiving — so a quarterback who runs gets credit for both.

	Player	Team	Plays	CASE				CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	Player	Team	Plays	PASSING	RUSHING	RECEIVING	ALL	CONTESTED CASE	EPA
	D.Wicks	PHI	6	—	—	+9.0+1.50	+9.0+1.50	+3.3+1.64	+11.1+1.84
	J.Hurts	PHI	45	+5.1+0.13	+0.7+0.15	—	+5.8+0.13	+1.8+0.11	+8.7+0.19
	E.Ayomanor	TEN	3	—	—	+4.4+1.46	+4.4+1.46	+1.3+1.34	+3.8+1.26
	C.Ward	TEN	26	−0.4−0.02	+3.7+0.93	—	+3.3+0.13	+1.3+0.15	+4.0+0.15
	C.Ridley	TEN	2	—	—	+2.1+1.07	+2.1+1.07	+0.8+1.07	+2.2+1.10
Beneath each value: passing per dropback, rushing per carry, receiving per target; all CASE, Contested CASE and EPA per play.
CASE \| Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

Passing

Away team left, home team right. Player views are tabulations, not allocations: a completion counts in full for both passer and receiver, so player CASE does not sum to the team total.

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PHI
	J.Hurts	26	37	2	2	3	2647.1	+8.8+0.22	+5.1+0.13	+1.5+0.11

	Player	Completions	Attempts	Touchdowns	Interceptions	Sacks	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TEN
	C.Ward	13	20	0	0	2	1839.2	−0.10.00	−0.4−0.02	−0.1−0.01

Rushing

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PHI
	T.Bigsby	13	1	332.5	−1.7−0.13	−0.9−0.07	−0.3−0.07
	W.Shipley	7	0	243.4	−1.5−0.21	−0.7−0.10	−0.3−0.10
	J.Hurts	5	0	163.2	−0.1−0.02	+0.7+0.15	+0.3+0.16
	S.Barkley	4	0	92.2	−1.4−0.35	−1.1−0.27	−0.4−0.27
	M.Brown	2	0	126.0	+0.1+0.05	+0.1+0.06	+0.1+0.10
	M.Lemon	1	0	−5−5.0	−1.3−1.33	−1.2−1.16	−0.4−1.16

	Player	Carries	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TEN
	T.Pollard	14	0	644.6	−0.2−0.01	+0.3+0.02	+0.1+0.03
	T.Spears	7	0	415.9	+1.2+0.18	−0.1−0.01	−0.2−0.08
	C.Ward	4	2	71.8	+4.1+1.02	+3.7+0.93	+1.4+0.94
	N.Singleton	4	0	102.5	−1.2−0.31	−0.8−0.21	−0.3−0.21

Receiving

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
PHI
	D.Smith	13	10	1	11711.7	+1.3+0.10	+0.6+0.05	0.00.00
	D.Wicks	6	5	0	7414.8	+11.1+1.84	+9.0+1.50	+3.3+1.64
	J.Mundt	3	2	0	84.0	−1.8−0.59	−1.6−0.53	−0.6−0.53
	D.Cooper	3	2	1	2613.0	+3.2+1.07	+1.6+0.53	+0.5+0.49
	T.Bigsby	2	2	0	52.5	−0.8−0.38	−0.3−0.16	−0.1−0.19
	D.Goedert	2	1	0	44.0	−0.6−0.31	−0.5−0.24	−0.2−0.24
	W.Shipley	2	2	0	52.5	−1.3−0.64	−1.0−0.48	−0.4−0.49
	S.Barkley	2	1	0	1111.0	+0.7+0.36	+0.8+0.39	+0.3+0.42
	M.Lemon	1	1	0	1414.0	+2.5+2.49	+1.8+1.84	+0.6+1.84

	Player	Targets	Receptions	Touchdowns	YARDS	EPA	CASE	CONTESTED CASE
TEN
	C.Tate	5	3	0	279.0	−3.5−0.71	−2.1−0.42	−0.9−0.56
	E.Ayomanor	3	2	0	6934.5	+3.8+1.26	+4.4+1.46	+1.3+1.34
	G.Helm	2	2	0	136.5	0.0−0.01	+0.1+0.04	0.0+0.03
	T.Spears	2	2	0	2914.5	+1.5+0.74	+1.3+0.65	+0.5+0.68
	C.Ridley	2	2	0	3517.5	+2.2+1.10	+2.1+1.07	+0.8+1.07
	T.Pollard	1	1	0	11.0	−0.7−0.75	−0.3−0.35	−0.1−0.35
	D.Bellinger	1	0	0	0—	−0.6−0.62	−0.5−0.47	−0.2−0.47
	W.Robinson	1	1	0	99.0	+1.6+1.62	+1.3+1.29	+0.4+1.29